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DCU School of Computing DCU School of Business
M.Sc. Electronic Commerce (Business) 2010 DCU School of Computing M.Sc. Business Management 2010 DCU School of Business Student Mobile Services Business Plan July 2010 (2010-2013) Darren Norris 59211072 MECB Nessa Farrell 56549047 MSBM Stephen Murphy 59211054 MECB Stephen Rooney 59211669 MECB I hereby certify that this material, which I submit for assessment on the programme of study leading to the award of M.Sc. in Electronic Commerce is entirely my own work and has not been taken from the work of others save and to the extent that such work has been cited and acknowledged within the text of my work. Darren Norris 59211072 MECB Nessa Farrell 56549047 MSBM Stephen Murphy 59211054 MECB Stephen Rooney 59211669 MECB www.studentmobileserivces.com 2 Contents 1 Executive Summary 6 2 Market and Industry Overview 8 3 4 5 6 2.1 Industry Overview 8 2.2 Market Overview 12 2.2.1 The Mobile Market 12 2.2.2 The Education market 14 Products & Services 3.1 QuickRoll 21 3.2 Updates 21 3.3 Feedback 22 Competitor analysis 23 4.1.1 Electronic Polling: 23 4.1.2 Attendance services: 24 4.1.3 Learning Management Updates 25 Business Strategy 26 5.1 Vision 26 5.2 Mission 26 5.3 Strategic Model 26 5.3.1 Adapting to changing technology 27 5.3.2 Growth 28 5.4 Contingency planning & sensitivity analysis 28 5.5 New Product Development 28 Sales and Marketing Strategy 6.1 Marketing Strategy 30 30 6.1.1 Target Market 30 6.1.2 Advertising 30 6.2 7 21 Sales 31 6.2.1 Current products 31 6.2.2 The sales process 31 Technology Reports 33 7.1 SMS and SMS gateways 33 7.2 Bluetooth technology 35 7.3 Technology Roadmap 36 www.studentmobileserivces.com 3 8 Management and Staff 8.1 Company ownership: 38 38 8.1.1 Managing Director (CEO) and Financial Director: Darren Norris 38 8.1.2 Marketing Director: Stephen Rooney 38 8.1.3 Technical Director: Stephen Murphy 38 8.1.4 Sales Director: Nessa Farrell 38 8.2 Organisation Structure: 39 8.3 Training and professional development 40 9 Logistics, Operations and Supply Chain 42 9.1 Stock Management 42 9.2 Supplier Analysis 43 9.3 Strategic Relationships 45 10 Financial Overview 46 10.1 Financial Projections 46 10.2 Financial Performance 47 10.2.1 10.3 11 Forecasted ratios: 48 Funding Requirements 48 Bibliography www.studentmobileserivces.com 51 4 Index of Figures Figure 2.1 - The mobile eco system 8 Figure 2.2 - Total Revenue from mobile entertainment applications: 9 Figure 2.3 - European Mobile Penetration 12 Figure 2.4 – US Smartphone Penetration and Projections 13 Figure 2.5 - Number of schools/institutions in Ireland and the United Kingdom 16 Figure 2.6 – Education spending per student for Ireland and the U.K. 17 Figure 2.7 – A typical United States school structure 19 Figure 7.1 – SMS Gateway schema 33 Figure 7.2 – sMs Update conceptual architecture 35 Figure 9.1 – Devices stock management timeline 43 Figure 10.1 – Sales Breakdown Years 1 & 2 46 Figure 10.2 – Sales, Gross Profit and Net Profit 47 Index of Tables Table 2.1 - Top Smartphone Platforms 10 Table 2.2 - Worldwide Mobile Terminal Sales to End Users in 1Q10 (Thousands of Units) 11 Table 2.3 - Company shares by value. 12 Table 2.4 - Student numbers for 2009 in Ireland and the U.K. 16 Table 7.1 - Technology Roadmap 36 Table 9.1 – Annual order quantities 42 Table 10.1 – sMs Financial performance information 47 Table 10.2 – Annual accounts summary 50 www.studentmobileserivces.com 5 1 Executive Summary Global Mobile handset sales have grown by 17% in the past year, with smart phone sales growing by nearly 49%. The Irish mobile phone penetration rate is currently 120% and the market is the most valuable in Europe in terms of average spend per user. Following our analysis of the mobile ecosystem and its dependent tiers we have identified that the application and aggregator tiers are the most lucrative and have the lowest barriers to entry. Recognising the potential of these tiers within the mobile ecosystem and the ubiquity of mobile devices, sMs have developed a set of services which will initially be targeted at the education sector. Targeting this market would mean a potential user base of almost 1 million in Ireland alone. There are however applications in several other sectors which sMs are currently considering. The three concepts currently in development are QuickRoll – A Bluetooth enabled roll call which automatically detects the students present for the appropriate class. Updates – A notification service that collates updated documents on the schools learning management system and pushes it to the appropriate students via SMS FeedBack – A Bluetooth enabled in-class polling system which allows the student to interact with class quizzes and forums. These products provide solutions that could be applied to any environment with a basic ICT infrastructure. sMs’s vision is to be the global leader in mobile service provision to the education market and this enacts our mission which is to provide adaptive mobile solutions that are highly scalable and interoperable. Several ICT companies offer similar services to those above but do not offer the flexibility and low cost model which sMs will provide. To be specific, sMs will grow sales and market share by • • • • Offering high value products at a competitive price offering its services on a pay by use basis allowing the educational institutions to share costs with their users requiring minimal technical expertise to operate www.studentmobileserivces.com 6 • developing highly robust products that make use of mass market infrastructure sMs will win run a low cost and highly engaging social media marketing campaign to gain brand recognition and win market share. Building on scale, we hope to form strong relationships with our customers, using their input to develop further products and services based on mobile technologies. Over the past year, sMs has formed a strong executive team with diverse skill sets in Technology, Sales, Marketing, New Product Development and Finance. We are extremely confident in our ability to innovate and coordinate operations as outlined in our detailed accompanying reports. sMs financial requirements and projections are to begin with capital sourced from the shareholders, namely the four key staff, grant aid of a similar value and a long term SME Focused loan. By the end of Year 2, SMS aims to be in a positive cash flow situation, and profitable in Year 3. sMs aims to expand internationally by the end of year 3 either through licensing or partnering and have already built up some considerable interest in our product in Ireland and internationally. www.studentmobileserivces.com 7 2 Market and Industry Overview 2.1 Industry Overview With the growth in smart phone sales, the release of developer kits for mobile operating systems and the investment in 3G networks, the mobile ecosystem has grown ever more complex since its inception in the mid 1980’s. In Figure 2.1 we can see the mobile eco system as it has emerged over the last decade. Although there may appear to be many opportunities to innovate, competitive rivalry in the value chain is intense at all levels and barriers to entry can be extremely high for levels such as carriers and operating systems. Figure 2.1 - The mobile eco system Content In the early 00’s content took the form of ringtones and logos but now with 3G and mobile web infrastructure, services such as Google maps and iTunes can provide their content to users directly through their handset. www.studentmobileserivces.com 8 Applications Applications (apps) were originally developed by OEM’s but now we have an abundance of apps developed for various operating systems (e.g. iOS or Android) by large and small independent developers. The value of the mobile applications market, including games, sports, music and other entertainment applications is estimated to reach USD$77 billion by 2011. The Asia-Pacific region currently has the biggest market for mobile applications followed closely by Europe. The barriers to entry at this level are considerably low with most operating systems making a free or low cost developer toolkit available and an relatively open market place for the applications to be distributed. The lack of standards at this level of the value chain however has lead to fairly closed application development tailored to each unique operating system (OS). The total OS users will dictate the applications market size and thus it’s potential to generate revenue. Figure 2.2 - Total Revenue from mobile entertainment applications: Regional split percentage North America South America Europe Asia Pacific Rest of World (Source: www.juniperresearch.com) Aggregators Aggregator usually refers to an intermediary between the carrier and another party in the value chain e.g. SMS gateways where ringtone companies can receive payment by SMS from their subscribers on different networks. The role of aggregators will become increasingly significant as high value services need to be provided to the varying standards at the carrier, hardware and OS levels. Nearfield card transaction (NFC) for example is an aggregator service that will allow users to pay for goods by installing payment technology in handsets. In 2009, there were $861 million NFC transactions globally but IE market research expect this www.studentmobileserivces.com 9 to rise to $35.6 billion in transactions by 2014 as it becomes standard across handsets. Another example is location based services that use the GPRS standard. Revenue derived from location based services is expected to rise to $13.4 bn dollars in 2014 (IE market research, 2010). Operating Systems Although in early handset development Symbian was the only OS worth developing on to reach a mass market. Now; iOS, Android, Windows mobile and Samsung’s Bada are all viable options for developers. The lack of standardisation in the OS is what stratifies the market and reduces the potential scale economies for products and services that are OS dependant. Below are the top platforms for the EU5 nations. Table 2.1 - Top Smartphone Platforms 3 Month average ending Jan. 2010 - Total EU5 (UK, DE, FR, ES and IT), Age 13+ Share (%) of Smartphone Subscribers EU5 UK DE FR ES IT 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Symbian 60.9% 46.9% 55.1% 40.7% 73.5% 75.7% Apple 14.5% 20.5% 15.3% 29.9% 6.5% 7.7% Microsoft 14.1% 10.7% 19.9% 20.0% 12.8% 11.4% RIM 8.3% 18.7% 6.8% 5.4% 5.2% 4.7% Google 2.0% 3.0% 2.2% 3.7% 1.8% 0.4% Total Smartphone Subscribers (comScore, 2010) Hardware Hardware parts can now be sourced very cheaply in China and most standard and smart phone developers alike outsource manufacturing to massive production companies. One of which is Foxxconn who employ 300,000 workers in just one of their manufacturing campuses in Shenzhen. There is also rampant counterfeiting, imitation and some genuine innovation emerging from China. Coupled with Moore’s law the price and power of mobile devices are ever moving in opposite directions. According to a Gartner report “To compete in such a www.studentmobileserivces.com 10 crowded market, manufacturers need to tightly integrate hardware, user interface, and cloud and social networking services if their solutions are to appeal to users” (Gartner, 2010) Table 2.2 - Worldwide Mobile Terminal Sales to End Users in 1Q10 (Thousands of Units) Company 1Q10 1Q10 Market Share (%) 1Q09 Units Units 1Q09 Market Share (%) Nokia 110,105.6 35.0 97,398.2 36.2 Samsung 64,897.1 20.6 51,385.4 19.1 LG 27,190.1 8.6 26,546.9 9.9 RIM 10,552.5 3.4 7,233.5 2.7 Sony Ericsson 9,865.6 3.1 14,470.3 5.4 Motorola 9,574.5 3.0 16,587.3 6.2 Apple 8,359.7 2.7 3,938.8 1.5 ZTE 5,375.4 1.7 3,369.6 1.3 G-Five 4,345.0 1.4 Huawei 3,970.0 1.3 3,217.9 1.2 Others 60,418.1 19.2 44,972.2 16.5 Total 314,653.50 100.0 269,120.10 100.0 Source: Gartner (May 2010) Carriers Although in the early days of mobile networks carriers could hold customers to ransom, the liberalisation of licenses and spectrums have lead to fierce competition in the market with mobile virtual networks operators piggy backing larger networks’ infrastructures. Companies like carphone warehouse also offer an unbiased retail alternative to carrier storefronts. Therefore it is no longer good enough to offer coverage, carriers need to offer value add services just to differentiate themselves which has lead to marketing budgets and partnerships becoming central to their strategies. Despite this mobile carriers and retailers have experienced strong growth as is shown in a selection of share prices below www.studentmobileserivces.com 11 Table 2.3 - Company shares by value. Company 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Vodafone 3.5 4.5 5.6 6.1 7.4 Carphone 3.9 4.1 4.1 7.1 8.7 O2 3.0 3.9 4.8 5.7 6.7 Source: http://www.portal.euromonitor.com.remote.library.dcu.ie/Portal/ 2.2 Market Overview 2.2.1 The Mobile Market The European mobile industry was valued at between €135 and €145 billion in 2007, (Paul Budde Communication, 2009). In Ireland the mobile penetration at 120% which is still 6% below the European average (Figure 2.3). Figure 2.3 - European Mobile Penetration Europeran Mobile Penetration, (March, 2010) 160 Subscribers/Population 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Pop. (Millions) Finland U.K 150 129 EU Average 126 Ireland Belgium France 120 114 93 (Source: Yankee group, 2010) Mobile is also one of the most widely adopted digital technologies. It is joint top with digital T.V. with 89% proportion of individuals subscribing to its services, (Ofcom 2009). Current www.studentmobileserivces.com 12 Irish mobile subscriptions are at 5.35 million, (Comreg, 2010) and U.K. subscriptions are at 76.8 million, (Ofcom, 2009). The average number of SMS messages sent per connection per month in Ireland was 192 in quarter 1 2010, an annual increase of 3.7%, (Comreg, 2010). In the U.K. it has increased by 29% to an average of 99 messages sent per month, (Ofcom, 2009). The handset market is also experiencing strong growth according to Gartner; ‘worldwide mobile phone sales to end users totalled 314.7 million units in the first quarter of 2010, a 17 per cent increase from the same period in 2009...Smartphone sales to end users reached 54.3 million units, an increase of 48.7 per cent from the first quarter of 2009’ It must be noted however that white box 1 products in emerging markets like India have helped contribute to this substantial growth in handset sales. Smartphone sales in particular are expected to rise dramatically going forward with Nielson (2010) market research forecasting that sales will overtake feature phone sales in the U.S. by 2011 (Figure 2.4). Figure 2.4 – US Smartphone Penetration and Projections % of Population U.S Mobile Phones Projections, 2010 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2008 Q2 2009 Q4 Smart Phones 21 31 Feature Phones 81 66 2011 Q3 Smart Phones2 31 45 Feature Phones2 66 51 (Source: Neilson Company 2010) 1 Cheaper devices often only sold to OEMS who will then engage in packaging, branding and marketing the device www.studentmobileserivces.com 13 In the U.K., smart phones totalled 15.6% of all handset sales in 2009. By March 2010 the amount of smart phones subscribers in the U.K. had grown at annual rate of 70% to 11 million (ComScore, 2010). As identified in the qualitative interview with Samsung (Appendix 3), the Irish 12-18 year old market has huge potential for smart phone manufacturers once apps can be paid for through phone credit. When Samsung and other handset manufacturers have their pay by credit app stores up and running we will see another sudden spike in demand for these powerful devices. It must also be mentioned that the monthly average revenue per user (ARPU) in the Irish mobile market is the highest in Europe at €35.23 with the E.U. average being €22.07 this makes it an extremely attractive market for mobile services Finally, with such a high penetration rate it is important to recognise the potential of any aggregated services that can be embedded in mobile technology. For example the global market for GPS navigation and Location Based Services (LBS) is set to rise to $13.4 billion in 2014, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 51.3%. Total spend in the LBS market in Ireland is predicted to rise to $82.3 million in 2014 and. $719.3 million in the U.K (IE Market Research, 2010). As GPRS can be aggregated across all mobile devices there are vast revenue opportunities. 2.2.2 The Education market Although current sMs offerings can be adapted to serve many markets, the initial application focus is on the education market. In www.studentmobileserivces.com 14 Figure 2.5 we can see the number of educational institutions by level, with primary schools being the largest in both the U.K. and Ireland www.studentmobileserivces.com 15 Figure 2.5 - Number of schools/institutions in Ireland and the United Kingdom 25000 20000 Numbers of institutions 15000 England 10000 Ireland 5000 0 Primary Secondary Higher Ed Levels (Source: http://www.portal.euromonitor.com.remote.library.dcu.ie/Portal. 2009) Table 2.4 - Student numbers for 2009 in Ireland and the U.K. Students (‘000s) 2009 Ireland Third Level (full Primary Secondary 490.8 338.7 148.0 N/A 164.8 148.0 68.6 .7 4,704.0 3,780.0 1,897.1 621.5 & part time) Independent Northern Ireland U.K. (Ex. N. Ireland) (CSO 2009 and DCSF 2009) 2.2.2.1 Expenditure €6.4 billion was allocated in current expenditure in 2009 to Irish primary and secondary levels, €311 m to further education and €1.8 billion to third level (DEO, 2009). On the 28th of July 2010 the government announced that it would create 70,000 additional permanent places in primary schools and 15,000 permanent places in new post-primary schools by 2016. It also announced that €250 million would be invested in ICT in schools (Kennedy, 2010). This follows the Irish government’s previous commitment of €150 million to ensure a laptop and digital projector for every school in Ireland. www.studentmobileserivces.com 16 Staying with ICT, the National Centre for Technology in Education (NCTE) have recently completed a school broadband network which provides broadband and support for 99% of Irish schools. Research completed as part of this report, a similar education infrastructure of school broadband and classroom laptops/desktops for teachers has developed across several other nations in Western Europe, North America and certain regions of the developing world. The table below indicates the expenditure 2 per student in Purchasing power parity terms for the U.K. and Ireland. Figure 2.6 – Education spending per student for Ireland and the U.K. Spending Per Student for the U.K. and Ireland Monetary Value 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 United Kingdom ( Millions £ ) Ireland ( Millions £ ) Primary Ed. 6000 5000 Secondary 6000 Ed. 8500 Higher Ed. 14500 11000 (Source: http://www.portal.euromonitor.com.remote.library.dcu.ie/Portal/ResultsList.aspx) 2.2.2.2 ICT importance The NCCA 3 as well as the Irish Education Minister’ strategy group have published reports outlining the roles of schools and the need for them to encourage ICT. In order to sustain the 2 Expenditure includes all salaries and benefits for teachers and all educational staff as well as current supplies such as books and materials. Expenditure comes from both public (government) and private sources both current and capital. Exp per student is got by dividing the total expenditures for all institutions by the corresponding equivalent enrolment. 3 National Council of Curriculum and Assesment www.studentmobileserivces.com 17 growth within our economy it has become important to embrace emerging technologies in the classroom and prepare students for the IT rich next generation. In the U.K. however, primary school ICT budgets are expected to drop by 2.2 % in 2009-10 with secondary school budgets dropping by 1%. This equates to a reduction of £9.8m.” (The guardian, 2009) 2.2.2.3 Technology Trends In 2009 Simba information conducted important research into the technology trends in the education market. Some key discoveries were made • Pricing and available funding had the most significant impact on schools’ ICT purchasing decisions • Almost 70% of schools were using learning management systems • Mobile phones were the most sighted device to be purchased for instructional use in the next 2-5 years In our primary research it was discovered that K-12 schools also struggle to find reliable, cost effective ICT support and support can often be a major barrier to schools purchasing ICT equipment and services. From further primary and secondary research it was clear that the emerging trend of institution spending is ‘low cost high gain’. Schools are increasingly looking for value for money in ICT, choosing technologies that can have a significant impact on their delivery of teaching and learning at a relatively low cost. Despite the global economic situation reports have proven that the demand for education is as high as ever. People are more concerned about their future and the quality of their education at present. (Richardson, 2010) It is clear from this analysis that the finances available and the vast numbers of students in the education system makes it a viable target market. What is also evident however is the need for low cost reliable ICT services in a time of fiscal uncertainty. 2.2.2.4 Hierarchy and purchase influencers In Ireland the board of management have the overall say in how K-12 schools are run and they must sign off any large current expenditure. The school principal however, focuses on www.studentmobileserivces.com 18 the day to day administration of the school and much of the marketing activity would be aimed at influencing his/her purchasing decisions for this reason. There are also several other interest groups that need to be considered for those selling ICT goods and services into schools. These include • The ICT co-ordinator • the parent teachers association • Students • Parents • the education department • Other governing and influencing committees. Figure 2.7 details a typical national education hierarchical structure Figure 2.7 – A typical United States school structure Board of Education School District Attorney Auditor Board appointed committees Principals and Administrators Curriculum coordinator Technology Coordinator Teachers Students and Parents Facilities management Director of special education Counsellors, Secretaries and assistants (Source:http://www.google.ie/search?hl=en&source=hp&q=education+system+chain+of+co mmand&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&oq=&gs_rfai=) Universities are primarily run by a board of trustees who delegate most of the Ruling to the president of the college. Colleges for the most part are split into different departments depending on the courses taught in the establishment. The influence of ICT purchasing could www.studentmobileserivces.com 19 come from these trustees, the CEO, the heads of schools, the ICT administration services or even individual lecturers. www.studentmobileserivces.com 20 3 Products & Services sMs will aim to offer three products from the outset: • QuickRoll • Updates • And Feedback The first two products, QuickRoll and Updates will be built to prototype stage and will be supported by a technical delivery product. Feedback will be fully specified and described in detail to be built during Year 1 of operations. 3.1 QuickRoll The objective of QuickRoll is to provide an immediate attendance collection and management solution to any environment, with an initial focus on the education sector. QuickRoll will be powered by Bluetooth technology which scans a room and retrieve’s any Bluetooth devices it finds. It will then reconcile this data against a pre-stored class list and return a list of absent persons. An actor, such as a teacher can then edit the records to give a valid reason for an absence or note when a Bluetooth device is missing. Data is to be collected, once, twice or up to eight times per day depending on the requirements of the school, and billing arrangement. Data is stored for one year, with further storage possible for an additional fee. In schools where there are policies preventing students from bringing their mobile phones into the classroom and therefore where the Bluetooth attendance system may not suit, sMs will provide a low cost device to every student. The devices will also have optional extras such as lanyards for students to wear around their neck in order to prevent un-authorised use during class. For schools that wish to store the devices in the classroom, a secure case can be provided at a once off cost. 3.2 Updates When a change is made to a school Learning Management System (LMS), or the school wishes to update all parents or students of some news the Updates service can be used. Updates will use an SMS gateway to communicate with the entire school or a small segment such as a class. By centrally purchasing SMS messages Updates offers a low-cost solution to notify students of updated class notes, homework or other information on a daily basis. Updates will ensure that students are made aware of changes made to the LMS outside school www.studentmobileserivces.com 21 hours, or alternatively messages will be postponed from during the school day. The QuickRoll system can be linked to Updates to notify parents when their children have been marked as absent from the school for a particular day, or class. 3.3 Feedback Intended as an in-class polling and communication tool, Feedback will be a Bluetooth powered mobile solution. A teacher will be able to create a poll or a discussion in-class on a LMS such as Blackboard, Moodle or Sharepoint. Students for that particular class will be immediately notified of the new poll, have the opportunity to respond and results will be displayed once collected. This approach to in class teaching has been found to be very effective in increasing the participation rate as well as retaining students’ attention, (Reference). In class discussions and questioning facilities will also be provided for. It has been noted in a number of examples where students take part to a greater extent in text based discussions inclass where previously very few or nobody participated in a vocal discussion. Further products will be investigated and developed throughout Year 2 and Year 3 as information from our customers feeds back and improvements can be made. The three products will be built in a format that allows for maximum expansion in the future and ease of change. A results module for example can fit in with QuickRoll and Updates, allowing a seamless results and attendance reporting system for schools which can be immediately highlighted with parents. The integration of attendance and results reporting is an essential aspect of both systems for schools, as noted by an interview with Donal O’Mahony, (See Appendix 3). www.studentmobileserivces.com 22 4 Competitor analysis This segment of the document will look at the major competitors in the market currently. The report is broken down into looking at each competitor in terms of the services that sMs offer. However in the appendix 12 an analysis of the two main competitors to sMs • Serco (ePortal) • MSDN (Dataset) 4.1.1 Electronic Polling: There is a large number of company’s offering polling services for education sectors online at present. The majority of these come from the US but still present a threat to us as their presence online is evident and they deal with clients on an international front also. The biggest of these would include iRespond a wireless e Systems which is located in Florida and is a recognised leader in real time Radio Frequency. They have taken their expertise in the RF technology front and have applied it to the education training market. They provide consistent consumer support and training. But nevertheless this may not work as a sales advantage on their behalf when competing with the Irish and UK markets where ongoing support will be difficult as call outs will be virtually impossible. ATS Conference is a UK based company that provide voting systems that allow you to create presentations and power points that the audience can respond to; it also provides instant feedback after each response. The response keypads run on a unique frequency that will not interfere with other wireless applications or software. Reply Team talk is also a company that provide portable electronic voting and interactive systems. They are leaders in the provision of Audience response and Keypad voting systems in the UK. They also provide ongoing support for their clients in the form of YouTube demonstrations and a contact around the clock to professional sales teams. Even though these competitors have testimonies from well known corporate sector clients it is clear that polling hasn’t yet managed to fully break into and penetrate the education market. Their target markets include companies holding business conferences, aspects of focus group research, and public consultation meetings. These potential competitors highlight the benefits of their unique polling devices. But nevertheless they come at a high cost. We can argue that www.studentmobileserivces.com 23 not all schools throughout Ireland would have the funds to cover such high costs. Prices can vary between systems and on the number of handsets. Studies from the department of education show that the average class size is approximately 24.3 students. This will result in a total cost of between 900-2000 pounds or approximately 1084-2410 euro in order to provide a handset per student in a typical class. Based on our analysis no competitors currently offer student participation and voting using the student’s mobile phone through Bluetooth. 4.1.2 Attendance services: There are a vast number of companies providing solutions for attendance within schools. These involve various methods from key cards swiping to finger prints and face recognition. These systems take the onus off the teacher as students are responsible for their own attendance. The most popular system that has influenced the education market would be the use of a swipe card. From the main attendance solutions offered by business.com over five have swipe card solutions accessible in Ireland. No company analysed so far has yet to provide a multi function card system. We are unique as in we offer three services allocated to one device this will limit the installation costs and time and also will provide a more IT enrich environment for students. Examples of online attendance companies: • Time Clock Plus - http://www.timeclockplus.com/default.aspx • T Data - http://www.t-data.co.uk/?gclid=CKiGup7ni6MCFRM-lAodTl3SZw • NorthGate Arinso http://www.northgatearinso.ie/time_and_attendance?gclid=CP2vxq7ni6MCFRQ9lAo djg7icw • Time Force - http://www.mytimeforce.com/ • Advance Systems Ireland - http://www.asi.ie/ie/solutions/time.html Fame indicated that there are approx 24 main education services throughout Ireland and the UK that deal with services varying from online technical support to computers and training. Most of the listed companies were affiliated to certain schools this will pose a major mode of competition for us as we try and penetrate the education services market. www.studentmobileserivces.com 24 4.1.3 Learning Management Updates Although learning management systems update currently do not offer SMS updates companies like Moodle and Black board continue to present a threat to our development. Reputable businesses like these have been around for some time and have managed to operate in not just Universities and Colleges but secondary schools also. Moodle has a large and diverse community and is available in over 212 countries worldwide and has close to 1,000,000 registered users. It has penetrated the education services market through its applications as regards forums, Moodle docs and calendars. Blackboard also prides themselves in teaching and learning. They are focused on helping institutions drive education through their online services. Similar to Moodle they have forums and a range of online support, downloads and services. (Source: Euromonitor, 2010) We would also see the mobile phone industry as a major market threat to us. Phone Company’s in Ireland and the UK could affect the sales of our hand held devices because of promotions and lower prices due to the scale of their enterprises. Carphone warehouse would be the biggest threat with a 26% holding of all mobile phone outlets in Ireland. Vodafone are in a close second with 24%. There share continues to grow due to decline in sales by independent sellers. (Euromonitor) Best Buy Europe also presents itself as an ongoing threat. Major expansion plans in 2009 present the firm in a stronger position than ever. They plan to open a further 200 stores by the end of this year which will broaden their target market and overall market saturation. Revenues were £794m this quarter (FT, 2010). www.studentmobileserivces.com 25 5 Business Strategy 5.1 Vision To be the global leader in mobile service provision to the education market 5.2 Mission To provide adaptive mobile solutions that are highly scalable and interoperable. 5.3 Strategic Model Based on our analysis of the mobile industry sMs sees an opportunity in developing applications which can be aggregated across all devices and networks. This strategy stems from the analysis that interoperable services can generate enormous revenues by leveraging the total size of the market, while application development has the lowest barrier to entry and allows the developer to solve specific identifiable problems that the target market is facing. As detailed in our market analysis, the penetration of mobile devices in Ireland and the U.K. is significant with steady growth being forecasted for the mobile sector over the next 4 years. At a time of tightened fiscal expenditure, the growth and innovation of the mobile industry will have an important role to play in augmenting the education sector with ICT. The increasing complexity and processing power of these devices as well as their pervasiveness and the continuous improvement in network infrastructures makes mobile a compelling market to invest in. Our strategy is to offer products that require minimal technical expertise, have immediate impact on the institutions processes and which are made available on a pay per use, low cost pricing model. As innovation in technology changes so rapidly in the external market but at a much slower pace in the education market, this strategy can gain quick access to the education sector as it offers established, trusted technology. Once this is achieved sMs will be ideally placed to influence new purchasing decisions while continuing to develop services based on customer feedback and our strong connections with purchase influencers. Since we sMs will provide standardised technologies that will make use of existing ICT infrastructure and hardware (see new product development) institutions and users will have to incur little setup or capital costs which is a key selling point in the industry. www.studentmobileserivces.com 26 We will offer products that are simple for students, teachers and parents to operate sighting ease of use and accessibility as one of our key differentiators. sMs will drive initial sales and growth by • Offering high value products at a competitive price: For example our attendance system saves time in the classroom, reduces administrative overheads and is priced roughly 20% cheaper than the dominant attendance management system in the market. • Offering its services on a pay by use basis. sMs will provide a flexible pricing and billing model which means schools only pay for what they use. • Allowing the educational institutions to share costs with their users. Through our update system we will be servicing the need of parents to be involved in the learning process while they subsidise a service which is convenient for them. • Requiring minimal technical expertise to operate. As mentioned in the market analysis a major concern of schools currently considering ICT implementation is the inability to find or fund support and training. Being O.S. independent, shifting hardware configuration onto the experienced user (student) and operating a software as a service model, sMs will avoid many technical issues • Developing highly robust products that make use of mass market infrastructure. Using technologies such as Bluetooth and SMS will allow us to apply our technologies internationally while licensing to and partnering with key parties in related and unrelated industries (See International testimonies) 5.3.1 Adapting to changing technology As noted in our market analysis mobile broadband is fast approaching although due to bandwidth and infrastructural concerns it is still uncertain whether the future network pricing models will accommodate students’ need for continuous internet access (The Economist, 2010). If students can’t afford such access schools will need to invest in high bandwidth WiFi infrastructure. Deploying campus wide infrastructure will be a schools responsibility and it will incur high setup and maintenance costs. www.studentmobileserivces.com 27 Forming a strong relationship with schools and administrators is imperative to address the emerging concerns of schools in relation to ICT. Having such a relationship will allow sMs to quickly feed information into product development to meet the changing needs of schools. To date we have secured a stand at the Irish teaching and learning festival and will be presenting our products to the Joint Managerial Body’s 4 National ICT Advisory Group. As the technological infrastructure changes in the critical mass of schools and/or society sMs will use this development policy to offer further highly scalable products as add-ons to existing customers 5.3.2 Growth Since sMs services will not be tied to any particular curriculum or educational setting, our services will target the entire education market, with further new market developments detailed in the sales and marketing strategy section of this document. Our medium term growth strategy is to build on scale and expand internationally through licensing and reselling which will also allow us to make maximum return on investment for product development. Targeting the technology lag in developing nations, our services and products can be adapted to any international market and therefore can continue generating revenue long after the service life cycle ends in developed nations. In India for example there were 584 million mobile subscribers by March 2010 and based on its then growth rate it is likely to pass 750 million by year-end with the market currently expanding at an annual rate of 40%. (Paul Buddie Communications, 2010) 5.4 Contingency planning & sensitivity analysis Sensitivity analysis has been conducted in Section 10.2 in the form of financial ratios. The financial results included in this report represent the least optimistic results and are for a modest growth rate. 5.5 New Product Development sMs’s NPD philosophy will be to develop simple robust and standardised technologies that are highly scalable and add significant value. 4 JMB is the main decision-making and negotiating body for the management authorities of over 400 voluntary secondary schools www.studentmobileserivces.com 28 In terms of developing mobile services for education we felt it was important to review the literature from a teaching and learning perspective, (See Appendix 1). Upon completing this review there were a clear set of areas in which mobile technology can impact on teaching and learning • Used as a stimulus and response system • Situated learning where material is presented based on the unique location and context of the learner • Collaborative learning where knowledge is created by groups and through conversations • Lifelong learning where material is provided outside of a dedicated curriculum and learning environment • Teaching and learning support where mobile devices can be used for administrative or operational efficiency within teaching (Naismith et al, 2005) In their research Patten et al (2006) note that data collection; location aware and collaborative applications are particularly powerful in an educational setting. Initially sMs will focus on the application areas of • data collection, • location aware • collaboration We will also maintain strong considerations for development opportunities in the areas identified by Naismith, 2005. As identified in our business strategy and social media campaign, sMs hope to become part of the fabric of the educational sector by building a strong relationship with key innovators, thinkers and influencers. NPD will be customer centred and customer feedback will take a central role in our NPD process. Meeting with the target market on a regular basis with allow us to develop products which are also tailored to the national ICT infrastructure. All product development will be carefully considered based on its merits to reach or exceed our ROI expectations. www.studentmobileserivces.com 29 6 Sales and Marketing Strategy 6.1 Marketing Strategy Marketing activities will be centred on customer engagement at professional events, social media networking and promotion (See social media strategy appendix 4), and presentations at relevant boards and associations. We will place strong emphasis on branding with all devices and peripherals bearing the sMs logo as well as strict customer interaction policies in relation to branding which are detailed in our sales document. 6.1.1 Target Market It is evident from our market analysis that the biggest section in the market (in terms of total expenditure and institutions) would be primary schools. Initially we see the primary and secondary school streams as the most important for our attendance services for example but we will be targeting conferences, third level and private education also. A full explanation of the target market for each service and their needs analysis is detailed in our sales strategy document (appendix 6). Our 5 customer segments are as follows Segment 1: Primary Schools Segment 2: Secondary Schools Segment 3: Third-level institutions Segment 4: Private education institutions Segment 5: Conferences 6.1.2 Advertising Most advertising will be done by using social media email and presentations as they require minimum cash outflows. A general budget of €100 per month has been allocated for the first year which will include activities such as presentations at events and advertising in teacher’s magazines. We aim to have gained some brand recognition with 10% of the target decision makers by the end of year 1. The campaigns will be constantly monitored and tweaked and customer feedback will be sought. Full details of our advertising campaign can be seen in Appendix 7 www.studentmobileserivces.com 30 6.2 Sales 6.2.1 Current products Although mobile phones alone can have an impact on education, when connected to a more sophisticated ICT infrastructure their uses and benefits can be significantly improved (McAfee, 2006). Our initial suite of services is based on current school infrastructure. These services will allow sMs to serve all education environments with the following resources: • a classroom PC/laptop • an internet connection and/or local network • students with personal mobile devices The suite of services are: QuickRoll – A Bluetooth enabled roll call which automatically detects the students present for the appropriate class. Updates – A notification service that collates updated documents on the schools learning management system and pushes it to the appropriate students via SMS Feedback – A Bluetooth enabled in-class polling system which allows the student to interact with class quizzes and forums. 6.2.1.1 Further sales opportunities for existing products • Public sector contracts o FAS training courses where transfer payment are linked to attendance o Expensed meeting attendance • Retail o Customer tracking • Services o Staff deployment 6.2.2 The sales process This will involve four stages 1. Initiation 2. Evaluation 3. Proposal Creation www.studentmobileserivces.com 31 4. Closing and post sales support The details of each stage can be seen in our sales strategy document. Sales staff will be paid a sales bonus that is split by 65% revenue generation and 35% sales profitability. This will ensure that sales staff focus on the long term profitability of the customer and not just focussing on top line revenue. www.studentmobileserivces.com 32 7 Technology Reports 7.1 SMS and SMS gateways ‘According to statistics put out by the Mobile Message Analyst 5 the revenue from standard and premium rated SMS messaging was $82 billion in 2008. This mobile messaging revenue is forecasted to grow and reach $110 billion by 2013’, (BulkSMS, 2010). The market has now become extremely competitive and is well developed in terms of technology. Several protocols that operate on a free to use or paid for basis are now available to transmit data e.g. iSMS or network provider’s email to SMS gateway. A popular service that is emerging is third party SMS gateways who offer SMS distribution through an API connection with their gateway. Below is an example from hosting Ireland’s SMS gateway of how simple an interaction with an SMS gateway can now be. Figure 7.1 – SMS Gateway schema <html> <head> <title>SMS Sender</title> </head> <body> <p> <form action=https://sms.hostingireland.ie method=get> <table border=0> <tr> <td>To:</td> <input type=hidden name=username value=USERNAME> <input type=hidden name=password value=PASSWORD> <td><input type=text name=to></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Message:</td> <td> <textarea name=message width=25 height=5>Test Message. </textarea> </td> </tr> <tr> <td></td> <td> <input type=submit value=Send> </td> 5 an Informa Telecoms & Media research service www.studentmobileserivces.com 33 </tr> </form> </p> </body> </html> http://textmessage.ie/blog/ These gateways operate on a credit system where one credit may be equal to more than or less than the amount needed to send an SMS through the gateway. Many also operate on a national level offering delivery to all national network providers with some select international networks. There is strong competition in the SMS gateway market and once a straightforward interaction with the gateway is required (e.g. http with no replies); the main concerns should be price and reliability of service (Mehta, 2008). Mehta (2008) also details several other important factors when selecting a gateway Network reliability Volume discounts Hidden costs minimum purchase commitments Validity period What ways can you connect to the gateway? HTTP, SMPP or XML Support - Are the APIs well documented Reports and stats Call-back service Is it easy to send bulk SMS? Is two-way messaging supported? Availability and cost of short codes Mehta (2008) also notes that one can use multiple SMS gateways so depending on the feature required or the network, you can queue your messages on any of them. Based on the selection recommendations above we have selected Clickatell as it meets all our requirements now and those that may arise with added services and international expansion. Figure 7.2 below is an overview of how the sMs update system will work. www.studentmobileserivces.com 34 Figure 7.2 – sMs Update conceptual architecture (Adapted from: Mehta, 2008) 7.2 Bluetooth technology In two of the three sMs products; QuickRoll and Feedback, there is a need to communicate information to and from mobile devices. The communication will take place over Bluetooth technology; it can be defined as “a wireless communications system intended to replace the cables connecting portable and/or fixed electronic devices. The key features of Bluetooth wireless technology are robustness, low power, and low cost.”, (Bluetooth.com, 2010). The data required for QuickRoll about each mobile device with Bluetooth within a room will be collected using a piece of Java code. It will scan the room for active Bluetooth devices and reconcile the unique identification number against pre-stored student details. The Bluetooth device which has a range of up to 100 meters communicates with Java over a Bluetooth Stack and Java/Bluetooth Application Programming Interface (API). The technology that supports this communication is JSR82 which provides the link between Java code and Bluetooth technology. One notable company which has developed extensive solutions on the JSR82 platform is Irish technology company Rococo software. When the QuickRoll system is implemented in a school, a Java file is installed on each required computer or laptop, configured to be used with the in-built Bluetooth device or sMs provided Bluetooth dongle, and finally prepared to transmit information to the sMs website. www.studentmobileserivces.com 35 Data can be stored on the school network or fully transmitted to the sMs website, depending on school preferences. In the Feedback product, a teacher or lecturer will be able to create a discussion or poll on their local Learning Management System (LMS) which will automatically be pushed to every Bluetooth device in the class. Students can then send back a response, either in the form of a poll answer or a short piece of text for discussion or answers to questions to the teacher through Bluetooth. The sMs software will then automatically take the responses and feed them back into the LMS for instant feedback. Each of these actions will make use of standard Bluetooth file transfer protocols, and the previously discussed Java/Bluetooth API. In Years 1 and 2 development of the Feedback product will be continued and launched once adequate integration has been achieved with the local school learning management system. 7.3 Technology Roadmap The planned product development and improvement process is detailed for Year 1 in Table 7.1 below. Table 7.1 - Technology Roadmap Timeline Milestone Description April-June 2010 Formalise products Bring together the mission and vision of the company and supporting products for the first three years July 2010 Develop technical The detail of each product is completed and a use case specifications & First specification for the first product is created. Initial prototypes work is started on the architecture and development process for the prototype. August 2010 September October 2010 Complete The Java Java/Bluetooth implemented and tested with the Bluetooth dongles, implementation and configured to work with the prototype website. – Testing code that has been completed is and The first testing will take place in advance of product implementation rollout which commences in November. During this period on-going consultation will take place with target schools to ensure a swift implementation period. November 2010 – Product March 2010 placement, Feedback feedback improvement www.studentmobileserivces.com from on-site implementations and and operations, as well as bug reports and issues will be consolidated and improved as the need arises. Further 36 refinements are noted and planned for the annual postimplementation period during the summer months. April 2010 August 2010 – Product Any major overhauls to the QuickRoll system that improvement and was not possible during the school year will take development place from June onwards. From April and May the work on the Feedback system will take place for a potential launch in September for the new year. www.studentmobileserivces.com 37 8 Management and Staff 8.1 Company ownership: sMs will be created as a Private Limited Company, with a registered office at DCU Invent, Glasnevin, Dublin 9. The ownership structure will be split by four equal sharing stakeholders, Darren Norris, Stephen Rooney, Stephen Murphy and Nessa Farrell. 8.1.1 Managing Director (CEO) and Financial Director: Darren Norris Darren has had extensive customer care and sales experience in the retail sales industry, as well as distribution and logistics planning in a major Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) retailer. Darren, who holds a B.Sc. in Logistics and Supply Chain Management, will have responsibility over the operations and the daily financial management of sMs. In his first year he will be involved in the supply chain management of the company. 8.1.2 Marketing Director: Stephen Rooney Stephen will be responsible for all the advertising campaigns of the sMs product lines. With experience of both consumer markets in Ireland and Germany, where he spent some time studying, Stephen is very much in-touch with consumer and business focused marketing. Having previously studied Business Economics and Social Studies where he gained hands on experience in New Product Development (NPD), he will be responsible for establishing the NPD functions in the first year of operations. 8.1.3 Technical Director: Stephen Murphy Stephen will be in control of setup in the various schools in the country, his role will involve him working on the road travelling from school to school setting up the devices. Having experience in a previous technology start up and his Masters in Electronic Commerce, he is well capable of undertaking the technical role in the company. Stephen who has also studied Logistics and Supply Chain Management knows what is involved for effective customer care. He will also be responsible for customer support and will respond to any queries of problems that may occur. 8.1.4 Sales Director: Nessa Farrell Nessa will be responsible for the sales end of the company. This will involve promoting the product to various schools around the country. A graduate of St. Patricks Institute with a Bachelor of Education, she is an experienced primary school teacher, who will act as a direct link from the business to the school. She is particularly aware of teachers and students needs www.studentmobileserivces.com 38 and could relate well to the problems and issues that may arise for schools. Nessa has built on her educational experience and branched into business management through a master’s programme at the Dublin City University. 8.2 Organisation Structure: YEAR 1 – 4 Staff CEO and Financial Director Marketing Director Sales Director Set up Director YEAR 2 – 6 Staff CEO and Financial Director Marketing Director Sales Assistant * www.studentmobileserivces.com Sales Director Set up Director Sales Assistant * Set up & customer care assistant 39 * The additional sales assistant in Year 2 will spend the first four months promoting the products and selling to schools. But for the remainder of the year they will be involved in new product development due to their knowledge and feedback from dealing with customers one to one. YEAR 3 – 7 Staff CEO and Financial Director Marketing Director Sales Director Set up Director Sales Assistant * Set up & customer care assistant Set up * * The third person employed for set up in year three will be based on a four month contract from September to December. This is when we see the bulk of our set up and business being done. 8.3 Training and professional development Each sMs staff member will have an opportunity to continue their education and training to ensure they have the right skills and abilities to complete their duties. As the company develops through Year 2 and into Year 3, technical staff will move over from implementation www.studentmobileserivces.com 40 into new product development. Suitable courses will be identified and made available to staff to ensure they are effective in their new roles. Membership of the Chartered Institute of Logistics and Transport (CILT) will be pursued for Darren Norris so he may develop his contacts and further support the supply chain operations of the company with the strategic partners. The four key senior staff has achieved a master’s level qualification and will be suitably qualified for their future roles. www.studentmobileserivces.com 41 9 Logistics, Operations and Supply Chain Based on market share targets for Years 1 through to Year 3, a selection of suppliers based in China, and an entry into a strategic relationship with Doyle distribution, the ordering quantities per year are described in Table 9.1. Each order quantity has been optimised around the minimum order quantity, annual demand, ordering costs and the maximum quantity per euro pallet. It is expected that sMs will require a maximum of four euro pallets per shipment over the three year period, sharing the remaining space in each 20ft container with Doyle distribution to save costs. Products will be ordered 8-12 weeks in advance from Suppliers A, B and C. All will be delivered under the terms of Free On Board (FOB) to Shenzhen port within one week of ordering and loaded into the Doyle distribution / sMs container. Delivery will be expected to take 42-62 days depending on shipping times. On arrival at Dublin port, McConville Norris transport will collect the container and drop it to our storage facility at Need More Space off the old airport road in Santry. In Year 1, due to the small order quantities the storage will be at the sMs offices on DCU grounds in the Invent building. As larger orders arrive from the suppliers in Year 2, the move to Need More Space will take place. The final delivery from storage to each school will be made by the technology setup staff. Table 9.1 – Annual order quantities Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Devices 1,000 2,300 4,600 Dongles 200 500 500 Lanyards 8,000 8,000 24,000 9.1 Stock Management The three year cycle for stock management of devices is demonstrated in Figure 9.1. Stock ordering points and refill periods are clearly displayed, along with their impact on the overall stock level. In order to balance the cost of ordering, there are single order points in Year 1 and 2 but two order points in Year 3. The additional order point in Year 3 is to spread the delivery of dongles, lanyards and devices to ensure a constant supply without incurring large cash outflows. www.studentmobileserivces.com 42 Figure 9.1 – Devices stock management timeline 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb March April May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb March April May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb March April May June July 0 Supply In Consumption Out Remaining Stock 9.2 Supplier Analysis sMs conducted several supplier analysis and comparison in order to study and choose the right partners for the firm to work with in the long term. This is a crucial stage in setting up the firm as the suppliers used must have several key characteristics sMs needs in order for them to be chosen. This segment of the report will look at each of the company’s main suppliers in the first three years. THE key performance indicators used are highlighted below which were used to choose the suppliers selected. The KPI’s the suppliers were ranked on include: • Financial stability • Good Communication Networks • Strong Public Image • Ethical work practices • Efficient supply chain • Competitive pricing models Realex: Realex is an online money transfer company based in Ireland that will be used to handle all sMs’s online transactions with the customers. The company has a strong focus on corporate management and is tailored to handle any volume of sales in any amount. The company works with a flat rate fee of €29 a month for a set amount of transactions with a www.studentmobileserivces.com 43 €0.12 fee on each transaction afterwards. The company works with E.U regulators to manage and combat fraud and has a very strong reputation. Jing Yi Lanyard Factory: Jing Yi is a Chinese manufacturing firm specialising in manufacturing a vast range of lanyards for the global market and are based in Shenzhen. They offer dedicated production lines for sMs with our company logo attached with no major add on costs. They offer FOB (Free on board) deals and have an excellent pricing strategy along with good supply chain lead times. The company will handle all distribution costs until they leave the free trade region and through Chinese customs. Shenzhen Hongtaidingye Electronics Co., Ltd: This electronics firm based in Shenzhen also is a company that specialises in the production of Bluetooth dongles for the international market. They have a strong reputation within the E.U and offer FOB terms and conditions along with competitive prices. Qiao Lin Technology Co., Ltd: This is a mobile device firm also based in Shenzhen in China that produces and distributes digital mobile devices globally. They operate with very flexible terms and conditions which will suit sMs with small order quantities in the first two years and have a strong reputation on mainland china. They are also located in a strategic location near the free trade zone of Shenzhen port. McConville/Norris Transport: This small independent Irish firm operates a 3rd party logistics service in the Dublin and Metropolitan region at competitive prices with flexible terms and conditions. They have a strong reputation dealing with large multinationals such as Avery Denison for over twenty years and will provide a link from customs in Dublin Port to our base in Santry for the storage of our products when needed. Need More Space: Need More Space is the leading provider of self storage in Ireland since 1989. They offer secure and flexible storage solutions to firms at competitive prices. The self storage units provide customers with private rooms for the storage of almost all materials including business stock and our excess stock. Also it is in a strategic location based off the M1 and M50 intersections near the Dublin Port tunnel and Dublin International Airport. It is also convenient for sMs being less than four kilometres from sMs offices in DCU. www.studentmobileserivces.com 44 Allied Irish Bank (AIB): AIB are an Irish Banking institution who offers competitive rates for small start up firms. They have recently passed stress tests from the European Central Bank and have a good reputation with corporate firms. They will supply sMs with a business loan in year two with APR of 4.2%. 9.3 Strategic Relationships Due to the small size of our firm we will be operating a strategic relationship with the following two firms: • John Doyle Distributors Ltd. (Irish wholesaler and distributers based in Ballycoolin Industrial estate Dublin). • Avant Air & Sea (Avant are leading providers of forwarding and logistics services, specializing in intercontinental air freight and ocean freight shipments and associated freight management solutions). Due to the small size and limited funding of sMs, two potential relationships have been negotiated with the above firms in order to reduce costs in the supply chain. Due to the fact Doyle distribution uses the Trade zone in Shenzhen, sMs will tender and sort orders out to lower costs for both firms with all deliveries here before being sent to Ireland. This will lower costs by over 70%. Avant Air and Sea who are a global fright firm operating from Shenzhen will merge the two orders to limit costs from China to Ireland and enable ordering to become more efficient. A potential strategic relationship still in negotiation is with the government education authority NCTE, this firm supplies schools in Ireland with Broadband and training and may help sMs pending further meeting and government approval to train in teachers with sMs’s devices. www.studentmobileserivces.com 45 10 Financial Overview 10.1 Financial Projections The financial reports included in Appendix 11 outline the month by month financial statements for Year 1 – 3. The sales are broken down in Figure 10.1 where it can be clearly seen that from Year 1 to Year 2 the proportion of sales coming from updates drastically increases. The nature of the payment, where parents pay a single fee for a full year’s usage creates a significant cash inflow at the start of the year, and when each school brings the sMs products on board. This offsets the costs incurred when ordering devices for the year ahead. In Year 2, sMs aim to have credit terms in place with Chinese suppliers to have a positive cash to cash cycle with respect to payment for devices and receipt of payment from schools. Figure 10.1 – Sales Breakdown Years 1 & 2 Year 1 Year 2 33% 45% 55% 67% QuickRoll Updates QuickRoll Updates During Years 1 and 2, sMs will be posting annualised losses despite having some short periods of month by month profitability. sMs will be in a cash positive situation by Month 18, January 2012. As will be outlined in Section 10.3, there will be funding in place to cover the expected financial losses, as well as additional capital during any unforeseen circumstances. In an effort to keep costs low in the first year of operations, there will be no salaries paid. The bill for wages and salaries will be further reduced also by utilising the employers PRSI exemption scheme, announced in Budget 2009 which is currently on offer. www.studentmobileserivces.com 46 Figure 10.2 – Sales, Gross Profit and Net Profit €700,000.00 €600,000.00 €500,000.00 €400,000.00 Sales Gross Profit €300,000.00 Net profit €200,000.00 €100,000.00 €Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 -€100,000.00 10.2 Financial Performance The below table (Table 10.1) lists a number of performance indicators for sMs for each year, additional commentary is given below the table on how the performance is relative to international standards. Table 10.1 – sMs Financial performance information Ratio Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 €,000 €,000 €,000 ROCE -16.4% -1.46% 1.4% Gross profit margin -40% 56% 56% Net profit turnover -114% -11% 17.8% Asset turnover 8 times 13 times 14 times Efficiency Stock turnover period 3 times 6 times 15 times Liquidity Current ratio 0.18:1 0.33:1 0.34:1 Gearing Gearing 125% 104% 103% Profitability www.studentmobileserivces.com 47 10.2.1 Forecasted ratios: Profitability • sMs ROCE is still relatively low in year three. But never the less has increased significantly from year one. This will make the firm more attractive to investors in the years to come. • Both gross profit and net profit margins have increased greatly over the three year periods. This would be as a result of increased sales entering each new year as the company gains a better reputation and increases its client base. • Asset turnover has increased significantly, which can be attributed to the increase in sales which will result in us getting rid of stock on a more frequent basis. Efficiency • sMs Stock Turnover is marginally faster indicating that stock in not increasing at a faster rate than sales. This signifies good management of stock, as there is not unnecessary storage of stock due to ordering more than is being sold. Liquidity • The current ratio is a long way from the ideal 2:1. But this is larger die to the loan that was taken out in order to start up the business. We must also take into account that we do not know the cash that may be available to sMs at this time. The low rate of the ratio may initially spark some call from concern but the continuous increase from one year to the next proves very promising for sMs. Gearing • Gearing has reduced marginally over the three year period. It still remains quite high which shows that sMs is dependent on its loans to keep the company going. This is risky as we will have to incur high repayments on loans. But the reduction in the gearing presents a positive outlook for the future. 10.3 Funding Requirements sMs will have a varied requirement for funding throughout the first three years. The biggest considerations are for ordering devices for schools that require them in time for the new academic year, while balancing demand against the costs and requirements when ordering. www.studentmobileserivces.com 48 In Year 1 there will be €20,000 put forward in capital by the four key staff of the company, the figure will aimed to be matched by €20,000 in grant aid from one of a number of sources depending on availability. The sources include; Dublin City Enterprise Board, Enterprise Ireland, or Fingal Enterprise Board. Funding availability is very limited and so the target of sMs is to secure in advance sufficient capital to see through the next 12 months. Due to ordering cycles, the grant aid may be postponed until month 12 without an adverse effect on operations. Long term finance will come from Allied Irish Banks (AIB) who provide an SME growth loan of up to €100,000 at 4.15%. sMs will take out a €50,000 loan from AIB under this scheme for 3 years. In year one there will be capital reserves of between €48,000 and €85,000. Greater investment in stock, and focus on working capital management will be important in year two as the business begins to scale and grow. In month 24 a loan to cover working capital costs for the academic year ahead will consist of €100,000 at approximately 7% APR. The duration of this loan will only be 2-3 months, and may be significantly reduced if 30-60 days credit terms can be negotiated with the suppliers. By the end of year three, all investment can be repaid and cash reserves will still be in place into year four. At any one time, the sMs capital reserves will have a minimum level of €11,500 which can be adjusted with further loan finance or grant aid depending on the environment at the time. As the business reaches year four, a further application for grant aid will be made to Enterprise Ireland to further grow the business, particularly under the target of selling the sMs services internationally. www.studentmobileserivces.com 49 Table 10.2 – Annual accounts summary Projected Profit and Loss Account Sales Notes Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 1 Quick Roll Updates 9,794 84,419 186,453 11,775 168,740 420,480 - - - Total Sales 21,569 253,159 606,933 30,189 110,660 269,378 30,189 110,660 269,378 Cost of sales 3 Gross Profit (8,621) Gross Margin 142,499 - 337,555 - - Expenditure Salaries 4 - 135,600 Employers PRSI 5 - 14,238 184,800 19,404 - 149,838 204,204 Rent, Rates and Insurance 6 6,600 7,200 7,920 Other Office Costs 7 1,536 2,534 3,252 Professional Fees 8 1,350 4,000 6,000 Marketing 9 5,400 5,400 5,400 10 - - 1,200 Depreciation NPD Resources - 500 1,088 1,307 1,307 15,974 170,779 229,283 Period P & L (24,595) (28,280) 108,272 Cumulative P & L (24,595) (52,875) 55,397 Bank Interest and Charges www.studentmobileserivces.com 50 11 Bibliography Bluetooth.com, 2010. 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