South Carolina Profile on Alcohol, Tobacco, and Other Substance Related Indicators
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South Carolina Profile on Alcohol, Tobacco, and Other Substance Related Indicators
South Carolina Profile on Alcohol, Tobacco, and Other Substance Related Indicators Prepared by South Carolina Department of Alcohol and Other Drug Abuse Services (DAODAS) State Epidemiological Outcomes Workgroup (SEOW) Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation (PIRE) March 2009 DRAFT This document was made possible by the South Carolina Department of Alcohol and Other Drug Abuse Services (DAODAS) and the Center for Substance Abuse Prevention, Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (CSAP-SAMHSA). ii State Epidemiological Outcomes Workgroup (SEOW) MEMBERS Cheryl Addy, Ph.D, Chief SEOW Committee Chairperson, Senior Associate Dean for Academic Affairs, Associate Professor of Biostatistics Norman J. Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina Sarah Crawford, Program Coordinator Office of Research and Statistics, Budget Control Board Melissa English, Surveillance and Evaluation Coordinator Division of Oral Health, SC DHEC David Forrester, Executive Director Spartanburg Alcohol and Drug Abuse Commission Wesley J. Gravelle, II, Director of Research and Planning Maternal and Child Health Bureau, SC DHEC Khosrow Heidari, State Epidemiologist (Chronic) SC Department of Health and Environmental Control (DHEC) Baron Holmes, KIDS COUNT Director Office of Research and Statistics, Budget Control Board Ann Maletic, Program Manager Evaluation, Training, and Research, SC Department of Mental Health Robert McManus, Coordinator of Planning and Research Office of Justice Programs, SC Department of Public Safety Delores Pluto, YRBS Coordinator Office of Youth Services, Healthy Schools, SC Department of Education Brenda Powell, Prevention Consultant Division of Program Accountability, DAODAS Camelia Vitoc, Surveillance and Evaluation Coordinator Division of Tobacco Prevention and Control, SC DHEC Dan Walker, Research and Statistical Analyst Management Information and Research Section, DAODAS James Wilson, Treatment Consultant Division of Program Accountability, DAODAS 3 SUPPORT STAFF SEOW Project Director: Michelle Nienhius, M.P.H., Prevention Consultant (NPN), DAODAS Lead SEOW Epidemiologist: Robert Flewelling, Ph.D., Senior Research Scientist, PIRE PIRE Project Director: Steven C. Burritt, M.P.H., Senior Program Manager, PIRE SEOW Manager: Crystal Gordon, M.S.W., Program Associate, PIRE SEOW Research Assistant: Chris Paget, B.A., Research Assistant, PIRE 4 SEOW MISSION The mission of the South Carolina State Epidemiological Outcomes Workgroup is to create a highly effective statewide comprehensive substance abuse prevention data system that will support and enhance efforts to reduce alcohol, tobacco and other drug use across the lifespan of people living in South Carolina communities through the development and implementation of a comprehensive statewide prevention strategy at the state and local levels. SEOW OBJECTIVES 1. DAODAS will establish a State Epidemiological Outcomes Workgroup (SEOW) to examine alcohol-, tobacco-, and other drug-related archival data, including the National Outcome Measures (NOMs), in order to determine the scope and extent of substance abuse and its related problems with in the state. The major roles of the SEOW are a) supporting the Governor’s Council on Substance Abuse with respect to data-based decision making, b) supporting needs assessment at state and local levels, c) supporting capacity-building at the state and local level, d) supporting the use of data-driven planning , and e) supporting development of a statewide strategic plan for substance abuse prevention. The SEOW has recruited members and will establish procedures, is meeting regularly, and will make significant contributions to the development of this Strategic Plan. 2. Through its data-collection efforts, the established South Carolina SEOW will support ongoing monitoring and evaluation. The SEOW, with support from the Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation (PIRE) staff, will 1) conduct a thorough review of relevant archive data sets in the state of South Carolina; 2) design an analysis of state data sets to document a) the substance abuse patterns that pose the greatest harm for South Carolina citizens, and b) widespread problems in the state associated with these substance use patterns; 3) review these analyses and make recommendations to the Governor’s Council concerning evidence-based problems in the state. Systems assessment will be ongoing through SEOW identification of data system needs and gaps and ongoing assessment of local systems. 3. To produce a Statewide Epidemiological Profile that will drive strategic and operational planning and budgeting processes. South Carolina will have a highly effective substance abuse prevention system both at the State level and in targeted counties of the state. Stakeholder readiness, involvement, organizational expertise, system capacity and infrastructure will be substantially enhanced. The work of the SEOW will provide a critically important role in these enhancements. We envision this strengthened infrastructure will facilitate data-driven planning decisions that will measurably contribute to a significant reduction in ATOD abuse or dependence and related consequences. 5 LIST OF ACRONYMS ACS ATOD AIDS BRFS BRFSS CDC CI CSAP DHEC DHHS DAODAS DSM FARS FBI HIV ICD MDMA NIAAA NOMS NSDUH NVSS PIRE SAAMIS SAMHSA SC SEDS SEOW SIG SPF STD UCR US YRBS YRBSS YTS American Community Survey Alcohol, Tobacco, and Other Drugs Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Confidence Interval Center for Substance Abuse Prevention Department of Health and Environmental Control Department of Health and Human Services Department of Alcohol and Other Drug Abuse Services Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders Fatality Analysis Reporting Systems Federal Bureau of Investigation Human Immunodeficiency Virus International Classification of Diseases 3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine (a.k.a. Ecstasy) National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism National Outcomes Measures National Survey on Drug Use and Health National Vital Statistics System Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation Substance Abuse Agencies Management Information System Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration South Carolina State Epidemiological Data System State Epidemiological Outcomes Workgroup State Incentive Grant State Prevention Framework Sexually Transmitted Disease Uniform Crime Reports United States Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System Youth Tobacco Survey 6 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................ 9 Tobacco..................................................................................................................................... 12 Marijuana and Other Illicit Drugs............................................................................................. 14 INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................................ 16 METHODS ................................................................................................................................... 20 RESULTS ..................................................................................................................................... 22 Alcohol Use .............................................................................................................................. 22 Availability/Consumption..................................................................................................... 22 Current Use ........................................................................................................................... 23 Early onset use ...................................................................................................................... 27 Binge use............................................................................................................................... 28 Heavy use.............................................................................................................................. 33 Drinking and driving............................................................................................................. 35 Alcohol use during pregnancy .............................................................................................. 38 Consequences of Alcohol Use .................................................................................................. 39 Mortality ............................................................................................................................... 39 Dependence or Abuse ........................................................................................................... 42 ATOD Services Utilization................................................................................................... 43 Violent crime ........................................................................................................................ 47 Motor Vehicle Crashes ......................................................................................................... 48 Sexual activity....................................................................................................................... 52 Teen births ............................................................................................................................ 53 HIV/AIDS ............................................................................................................................. 53 Summary of Alcohol Consumption and Consequences............................................................ 54 Tobacco Use.............................................................................................................................. 56 Availability/Consumption..................................................................................................... 56 Current use ............................................................................................................................ 58 Daily use ............................................................................................................................... 63 Age of first use...................................................................................................................... 66 Smokeless tobacco ................................................................................................................ 67 Tobacco use during pregnancy ............................................................................................. 69 Consequences of Tobacco Use ................................................................................................. 71 Mortality ............................................................................................................................... 71 Summary of Tobacco Use and Consequences .......................................................................... 78 Marijuana and Other Illicit Drug Use ....................................................................................... 79 Current marijuana use ........................................................................................................... 79 Age of first marijuana use..................................................................................................... 82 Other illicit substance use ..................................................................................................... 83 Consequences of Illicit Drug Use ............................................................................................. 86 Morbidity………………………………………………………………………….………...86 Mortality ............................................................................................................................... 86 Dependence or Abuse ........................................................................................................... 88 Methamphetamine Laboratory Incidents……………………………………………….…...89 Property crime....................................................................................................................... 89 7 Summary of Illicit Drug Use and Consequences...................................................................... 91 General Causal Factors ............................................................................................................. 92 Community ........................................................................................................................... 92 Family ................................................................................................................................... 95 Summary of General Causal Factors ........................................................................................ 98 CONCLUSIONS......................................................................................................................... 100 Summary of Findings on Indicators........................................................................................ 100 Data Limitations...................................................................................................................... 103 APPENDIX................................................................................................................................. 105 Constructs and Indicators........................................................................................................ 105 Data Sources ........................................................................................................................... 110 Attributable Fractions ............................................................................................................. 113 Attributable Fractions Tables.............................................................................................. 113 Number of Deaths in South Carolina Attributable to Alcohol, Tobacco, and Drug Use ... 125 8 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In the spring of 2006 the South Carolina Department of Alcohol and Other Drug Abuse Services (DAODAS) convened the South Carolina State Epidemiological Outcomes Workgroup (SEOW), funded through the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration’s Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (SAMHSA/CSAP). The SEOW was tasked with examining alcohol, tobacco, and other drug (ATOD)-related archival data in order to determine the scope and extent of substance abuse and its related problems in South Carolina; and supporting ongoing statelevel monitoring and evaluation through its data collection, assimilation, and reporting efforts. The goal for SEOWs was to develop a data-driven planning and resource allocation model—a deliberate strategy for interpreting, comparing, and synthesizing multiple health-related indicators in order to translate information into good planning around the identified needs of the state, territory, or community. The SEOW’s tasks included production of a Statewide Epidemiological Profile as a key deliverable which organizes, summarizes, and presents these archival data for use in prevention planning and decision making. These data were measures or “indicators” of ATOD consumption and consequences primarily from periodic national surveys, which allowed us to report trends over multiple years and to compare to national rates. These indicators were carefully selected (most are from the State Epidemiological Data System or SEDS, developed by SAMHSA/CSAP) and met criteria for availability, validity, consistency, periodic collection, and sensitivity. In addition, national sources were supplemented with state data sources, keeping in mind these selective criteria. Below we summarize our findings first by major substance and second by consumption, consequences, and selected indicators for that substance. Alcohol Consumption Alcohol is the most commonly abused substance nationally and state-wide. According to the 2007 BRFS survey, 47.5% of people age 18 or older in the South Carolina (an estimated 1,559,000 persons) were current users of alcohol. The State’s rate was 9% lower than the national average (45.2%). Data from the 2007 BRFS survey showed that current use of alcohol among adults has remained constant since 2001. However, consumption of alcohol in South Carolina, as measured by sales per capita aged 14 and over, has trended upward since 1995 and has been about 10% higher than in the U.S. Roughly 18% of South Carolina adults would be classified as risky drinkers based on reports of engaging in binge and/or heavy drinking. Adult binge use rates are slightly lower compared to US rates, while heavy use rates are about the same. Males and younger adult age groups have higher rates of current, binge, and heavy use, while African Americans have lower rates. Among pregnant women in South Carolina, use during the last trimester of pregnancy from 1995 to 2005 has ranged from a low of 3.2% to a high of 6.2% (in 2004), which exceeded the Healthy People 2010 benchmark of 6 percent or less. 9 Alcohol Use, Ages 18 and Older, South Carolina and United States, 2007 • 60 50 40 Current Use 30 Binge Use Heavy Use 20 10 0 SC US G eo g r ap hi c A r ea • Source: 2007 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Most adults begin using alcohol in adolescence. Youth data from the YRBS indicate that South Carolina rates of current, early-onset, and binge use, and rates of drinking and driving are all very similar to national rates and have trended slightly downward (though South Carolina YRBS data were absent for 2001 and 2003). Data from the 2007 SC YRBS indicate that 36.8% of 9th-12th grade public high school students are current drinkers and 20.1% had engaged in binge drinking during the past month. Almost 10% percent of students said that they had driven a car while under the influence of alcohol, and 26.3% reported being a passenger in a car with a driver who had been drinking. Males, upper classmen, and Whites were at higher risk for drinking and driving, while African Americans were at lower risk on all YRBS alcohol consumption indicators. • • • • Consequences • • Nearly 100,000 deaths each year in the U.S. are attributed to alcohol use. In 2004 in South Carolina there were roughly 454 deaths from cirrhosis, 483 from suicide, and 323 from homicides, some of which were alcohol-related and all of which were preventable. There were roughly 460 deaths from • • motor vehicle crashes in which alcohol was a factor. Risky sexual behavior is another consequence of alcohol abuse. Rates on teen sexual behavior indicators in South Carolina exceed national averages. Similarly, HIV and AIDS rates among adults and adolescents are higher in South Carolina compared to the national average. Binge drinking, as indicated by consumption of five or more drinks on a single occasion, is strongly associated with injuries, motor vehicle crashes, violence, fetal alcohol syndrome, chronic liver disease, and other chronic and acute conditions. Initiation of alcohol use at young ages has been linked to more problematic levels of use in adolescence and adulthood. Young people who drink are more likely than adults to be binge drinkers. Heavy drinkers are at increased risk for alcohol abuse and dependence. People who begin drinking before the age of 15 are four times more likely to develop alcohol dependence than those who wait until age 21. Each additional year of delayed drinking onset reduces the probability of alcohol dependence by 14%. Studies have shown that long-term alcohol abuse produces serious, harmful effects on a variety of the body’s organ systems, especially the liver and the immune, cardiovascular and skeletal systems. Immediate adverse effects of alcohol can include: impaired judgment, reduced reaction time, slurred speech, and unsteady gate. When consumed rapidly and in large amounts, alcohol can result in coma and death. Excessive drinking, including binge and heavy drinking, has numerous chronic 10 • and acute health effects. Chronic health consequences include: liver cirrhosis, pancreatitis, various cancers, including cancer of the liver, mouth, throat, larynx, and esophagus, high blood pressure, and psychological disorders. Acute health consequences of excessive drinking can include motor vehicle injuries, falls, domestic violence, rape, and child abuse. Mortality from causes associated with alcohol use is generally higher in South Carolina compared to the US. Violent crime rates in South Carolina have remained about 1.5 times higher compared to US rates. All FARS motor vehicle accident indicators show a spike in rates from 1999 to 2001, but declining trends thereafter, with rates higher than those in the US. The most recent data for two of the three FARS indicators show upward spikes for the US and especially for South Carolina. Nighttime single vehicle crashes seem to be trending downward. There are no national data on this indicator for comparison. • Hospital discharge rate for alcoholrelated conditions+ • Alcohol treatment admissions# ____________________________________ __ *CSAP/SEDS current recommended indicator +CSAP/SEDS indicator currently under consideration #Useful indicator for which no national data source has been identified Selected Indicators 1 • • • • • • • • • • • Chronic liver disease/cirrhosis death rate* Suicide death rate* Homicide death rate* Alcohol-related fatal motor vehicle crashes* Alcohol-related vehicle death rate* Alcohol-involved drivers of all drivers in fatal crashes* Single-vehicle nighttime crash rate# Violent crime rate* Alcohol abuse or dependence* Ethanol sales per capita* Alcohol-related mortality+ 1 Indicators are specific data measures that quantify different types of consumption patterns or different consequences of use. 11 Consumption Rates of adult cigarette consumption in South Carolina and the US as measured by pack sales per adult age 18 and over have declined since the late 1990s. However, from 2004 to 2006 South Carolina sales increased from 92 to 96 packs per capita, while US sales continued on a decline to 85 packs per capita. This difference might be anticipated given that South Carolina is a tobacco-producing state. Despite this standing, youth current cigarette use rates have declined and are on par with those in the US (at approximately 25%), while adult rates have also declined. The 2007 BRFS survey found that 21.9% of the state’s population age 18 and over were current cigarette smokers (approximately 718,800 people), including 16.2% who were daily smokers. Data over time from the BRFS suggest both current and daily adult cigarette use have gradually declined since 2002, although current and daily use rates have remained higher in South Carolina compared to the US. Current Cigarette Use, Ages 18 and Older, South Carolina and United States, 1999-2007 50 45 40 35 Percent 30 SC 25 US 20 15 The 2007 South Carolina YRBS showed rates of current cigarette use (17.8%), daily use (13.1%), and smokeless tobacco use (7.9%) among 9th-12th grade public school students, which were similar to national rates in 2005 (23.0%, 9.4%, and 8.0%, respectively), and are equally likely to begin smoking before age 13. Current Cigarette Use, Grades 9-12, South Carolina and United States, 1995-2007 50 40 Percent Tobacco 30 SC US 20 10 0 1995 1997 1999 Source: Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 2001 2003 2005 2007 Year Higher risk youth subgroups included 12th graders, males, and whites (though 9th and 10th graders also have higher smokeless use rates). Rates of smoking during the last trimester of pregnancy among women in South Carolina have ranged from 12% to 15%, far exceeding the Healthy People 2010 goal of 1%. Rates of smoking at any time during pregnancy have exceeded national rates since 1995 and are increasing, while US rates are sharply decreasing. 10 Consequences 5 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Source: 2007 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System The highest rates of current and daily adult smoking were found among those ages 25 to 34 and males. • More than 400,000 deaths in the U.S. each year are attributed to cigarette smoking, making it the leading preventable cause of death. In South Carolina, nearly 17,000 people annually die from smoking-related diseases. 12 • • • • • • • Smoking increases the risk of heart disease, cancer, stroke, and chronic lung disease. Heart disease is the leading cause of death in the U.S. and South Carolina, and the leading cause of heart disease is smoking. In 2004 some 8,287 deaths were attributed to cardiovascular disease in South Carolina, with the mortality rate from this cause being comparable to the national rate. In 2004 there were 3,482 deaths from ischemic cerebrovascular disease in South Carolina. Being in the “stroke belt,” the state suffers from about 20% higher mortality rates from ischemic cerebrovascular disease compared to the US national average. Approximately 80% of chronic obstructive pulmonary (COPD) and emphysema deaths are attributable to smoking. In 2004 1,721deaths were due to lung diseases in South Carolina, and the death rate for this cause was higher than the national average. Lung cancer results from long-term tobacco use and it is the most common form of cancer mortality in the U.S., accounting for 80-90% of all cancer deaths. In 2004 some 2,496 deaths were due to lung cancer in South Carolina. The mortality rate from lung cancer is 10% to 20% higher in South Carolina compared to the US. Environmental tobacco smoke increases the risk for heart disease and lung cancer among nonsmokers. Careless smoking is the leading cause of fatal fires in the U.S. The social costs per year of tobacco use in the U.S. were estimated to be $177.2 billion in 2001, including those attributed to lost productivity and medical expenditures. Selected Indicators • • Lung cancer deaths* Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and emphysema deaths* • Cardiovascular disease deaths* • Wholesale number of cigarettes taxed* • Hospital discharge rate for tobaccorelated conditions+ • Tobacco-related mortality+ • Persons smoking a pack per day or more# ____________________________________ __ *CSAP/SEDS current recommended indicator +CSAP/SEDS indicator currently under consideration #Useful indicator for which no national data source has been identified 13 Marijuana and Other Illicit Drugs Consumption Marijuana is the nation’s most commonlyused illicit drug and is the illicit drug of choice in South Carolina. Marijuana use is widespread among young adults and adolescents. It accounts for the majority of adolescent substance abuse treatment admissions. Youth (grades 9-12) current marijuana use has been gradually declining in both South Carolina and the US since 1999, with rates equivalent in the two regions at around 20%. the two regions and have remained stable during the three reporting periods other than a possible decrease in 18- to 25-year old cocaine use rates. Nonmedical pain reliever use rates among South Carolina and US 12to 17-year-olds and 18- to 25-year-olds from 2003 to 2005 were comparable in the two regions. Consequences • Current Marijuana Use, Grades 9-12, South Carolina and United States, 1995-2007 50 • Percent 40 30 SC US 20 10 • 0 1995 1997 1999 Source: Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 2001 2003 2005 2007 Year Males are at much higher risk compared to females, and upper classmen at slightly higher risk compared to lower classmen. NSDUH survey data indicate that South Carolina and US current marijuana use rates in the 12- to 17- -year-old age group are gradually declining and are similar in both regions. The South Carolina 18- to 25-yearold rate increased in 2005-2006 and came close to the national rate where the state had been lower in previous years. Rates of first use before age 13 are similar in both South Carolina and the US. Rates of using other illicit substances and using cocaine in particular are also similar in • • • Smoking marijuana frequently has been associated with increased reporting of health problems and more days of missed employment than nonsmokers. In the short-term, marijuana use may cause adverse physical, mental, emotional, and behavioral changes such as problems with memory and learning, distorted perceptions, difficulty in thinking and problem solving, loss of coordination, and increased heart rate. Longer term adverse health effects include respiratory illnesses, memory impairment, and weakening of the immune system. Long-term marijuana use causes changes in the brain similar to those seen after long-term use of other major drugs. Marijuana has been shown to compromise the ability to learn and remember information, often leading to deficits in accumulating intellectual, job or social skills. Depression, anxiety, and personality disturbances have been associated with marijuana use. Babies born to women who used marijuana during their pregnancies display altered responses to visual stimuli, increased tremulousness, and potential neurological problems. Risk of 14 • • • • heat attack more than quadruples in the first hour after smoking marijuana. Initiation of marijuana use at younger ages has been linked to higher and more severe patterns of use of marijuana and other substances in adolescence and adulthood. Although marijuana abusers generally do not commit violent crimes, some illicit drug use may be associated with violent crime and risky sexual behavior. Death rates from drug use, abuse, or dependence have been higher in the US compared to South Carolina since 1990, though low use rates make it difficult to make definitive statements. Dependence and abuse rates by age match consumption patterns by age, and there were no differences across reporting years or between South Carolina and the US as a whole in reported rates of illicit drug dependency in the past year among persons ages 12 to 17 and 18 to 25 years old. Property crime rates have consistently remained about 20% higher in South Carolina compared to the US from 1995 to 2006. The social costs of marijuana use in the U.S. were estimated at $9.1 billion in 2001. *CSAP/SEDS current recommended indicator +CSAP/SEDS indicator currently under consideration #Useful indicator-- no national data source has been identified Selected Indicators • • • • Illicit drug use death rate* Property crime rate* Illicit drug abuse or dependence* Hospital discharge rate for illicit drugrelated conditions+ • Drug-related treatment admissions rate# • Daily use of marijuana or other illicit drugs rate# • Adults reporting injection drug use# • Women reporting illicit drug use during pregnancy# ____________________________________ __ 15 INTRODUCTION In the spring of 2006 the South Carolina Department of Alcohol and Other Drug Abuse Services (DAODAS) convened the South Carolina State Epidemiological Outcomes Workgroup (SEOW), funded through the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration’s Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (SAMHSA/CSAP). The SEOW was assigned two primary tasks: to examine alcohol-, tobacco-, and other drug-related archival data, including the National Outcome Measures (NOMs), in order to determine the scope and extent of substance abuse and its related problems in South Carolina; and to support ongoing state-level monitoring and evaluation through its data collection, assimilation, and reporting efforts, including the production of a Statewide Epidemiological Profile that will drive strategic and operational planning and budgeting processes. This profile would be produced in two phases: phase 1 would be a statewide assessment, and phase 2 (in year 2) would be sub-state assessment (at the county level). This document is the first phase of the South Carolina Epidemiological Profile. SEOW members were invited to be a part of the statewide needs assessment process based upon their knowledge of and ability to work with data. Membership was also chosen to reflect as many State agencies as possible, while keeping the group relatively small. The SEOW achieved a working membership as of May 17, 2006. It meets bi-monthly and works closely with Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation (PIRE) to complete the assessment activities. Additionally, the SEOW will make the many decisions necessary to develop the needs assessment and make recommendations to the Governor’s Council, which meets quarterly. The SEOW is a subcommittee of the Governor’s Council for Substance Abuse and reports to both the full Council and its Executive Steering Committee. State Epidemiological Outcomes Workgroups (SEOWs) operate within the Strategic Prevention Framework (SPF), which closely parallels the Institute of Medicine’s Core Functions of Public Health (Assessment, Policy Development, and Assurance) and includes five critical steps that support effective planning and decision making (Figure 1). 16 Figure 1. SAMHSA’s Strategic Prevention Framework 1. Assess 5. Monitor, evaluate 2. Build Capacity Profile population needs, resources, and readiness to address needs and gaps Monitor, evaluate, sustain, and improve or replace those that fail Cultural Competence Sustainability Implement evidencebased prevention programs and activities 4. Implement Mobilize and/or build capacity to address needs Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan 3. Plan The goal for SEOWs is to develop a data-driven planning and resource allocation model like the one pictured above—a deliberate strategy for interpreting, comparing, and synthesizing multiple health-related indicators in order to translate information into good planning around the identified needs of the state, territory, or community. With this goal in mind, the Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP) recommends that states include a set of key indicators of substance use (consumption) and consequences resulting from substance use in state epidemiological profiles. Consumption refers to patterns of alcohol, tobacco, and/or illicit drug use, such as initiation of use, regular or typical use, and high-risk use. Consequences include morbidity and mortality and other undesired events for which these substances are clearly and consistently involved. Scientific evidence must support a link to one or more of these substances as a contributing factor to the consequence. In other words, it must establish a sufficient degree of association (or attribution) of the consequence to substance abuse. Within each of the two major groupings (consumption and consequences), identifying a set of prevention-related constructs for each of three major substance types—alcohol, tobacco, and illicit drugs is the next step. The constructs provide a way to conceptualize and organize key types of consumption patterns and consequences. For example, current use of alcohol is one construct pertaining to consumption of alcohol. Binge drinking (i.e., drinking large quantities of alcohol on a single occasion) and driving after drinking alcohol are two additional conceptually meaningful patterns of consumption for which it is useful to have valid and reliable data. Alcohol-, tobacco-, and illicit drug-related mortality are three of the constructs pertaining to consequences. Some things to consider when deciding on constructs include the extent to which the outcome is attributable to substance use and abuse. For example, alcohol-related motor vehicle fatalities are 100% attributable to alcohol use. On the other hand, homicide is only 30% 17 attributable to alcohol use. Another aspect to consider is whether the construct has short-term or long-term relevance. Cirrhosis of the liver is the result of many years of problem drinking so examining changes in the rate of cirrhosis over a five-year period is not likely to show much change if prevention efforts are focused on reducing problem drinking. However, the prevalence of binge drinking among young people is more likely to show changes in the short term. Prevention-related constructs for each of the three major substance types are provided in Table 1. Table 1. Alcohol, Tobacco, and Other Drug Consumption and Consequences and Associated PreventionRelated Constructs Consumption Consequences Alcohol Current alcohol use Current binge drinking Heavy drinking Age of initial alcohol use Drinking and driving Per capita alcohol consumption Alcohol-related morbidity and mortality Motor vehicle crashes Violence Dependence or abuse Decreased school connectedness Risky sexual activity Increased teen births Increased HIV/AIDS cases Tobacco Current tobacco use Daily cigarette use Age of initial tobacco use Per capita cigarette consumption Illicit Drugs Current illicit drug use Lifetime illicit drug use Age of first illicit drug use Tobacco-related mortality Drug-related morbidity and mortality Crime Dependence or abuse Decreased school connectedness Risky sexual activity Increased teen births Increased HIV/AIDS cases For each construct, one or more specific measures (or “indicators”) are needed to identify the specific data elements that will be incorporated into the profile. Unlike the underlying constructs, indicators have specific data sources and precise definitions. Indicators are used to specify the data elements and quantify the constructs. Thus, while “alcohol-related mortality” is a relevant construct for monitoring trends of an important consequence of use, it does not provide a precise definition of how this construct can be measured. There are several indicators available, however, that provide specific measures of this construct, e.g., the annual incidence rate of deaths determined to be attributable to chronic liver disease, suicide, homicide, or alcoholinvolved crash fatalities. There are several criteria for selecting consequence and consumption constructs and indicators to monitor and evaluate, including the availability/accessibility, validity, timeliness, consistency, and sensitivity of the data. 18 1. Availability. The data should be readily available and accessible. Ideally it could be analyzed at the subgroup level (i.e., by age, sex, race/ethnicity, etc.) and by location (i.e., county, region, state) if necessary. 2. Validity. The measure must meet basic criteria for validity. That is, there must be research-based evidence that the data accurately measure the specific construct and yield a true snapshot of the phenomenon at the time of assessment. These criteria are used to eliminate measures that, while they may look at face value as if they assess a particular construct, are in fact poor or unproven proxy measures and thus do not accurately reflect the construct. 3. Periodic collection over at least 3 to 5 past years. The measure should be available for the past 3 to 5 past years, preferably on an annual or least biennial basis. This enables the State to determine not only the level of an indicator but also its trends. 4. Consistency. The measure must be consistent, i.e., the method or means of collecting and organizing data should be relatively unchanged over time, such that the method of measurement is the same from time i to time i+1. Alternatively, if the method of measurement has changed, sound studies or data should exist that determine and allow adjustment for differences resulting from data collection changes. 5. Sensitivity. For monitoring, the measure must be sufficiently sensitive to detect change over time that might be associated with changes in alcohol, tobacco, or illicit drug use. As part of its data collection effort, each SEOW is required by CSAP to collect data for the National Outcome Measures (NOMs) initiative. CSAP’s parent agency, the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA), developed the NOMs to establish a mechanism by which all states and territories can consistently monitor their substance abuse and mental health services systems. There are eight prevention-related NOMs domains, five of which include epidemiological constructs (and are identified with asterisks below): • • • • • • • • Reduced Morbidity [30-day substance use (non-use, reduction in use); perceived risk/harm of use; age of first use; perception of disapproval/attitude]* Employment/Education (Perception of workplace policy; ATOD-related suspensions and expulsions; attendance and enrollment)* Crime and Criminal Justice (Alcohol-related car crashes and injuries; alcohol and drugrelated crime)* Social Connectedness (Family communication around drug use)* Access/Capacity(Number of persons served by age, gender, race and ethnicity) Retention (Total number of evidence-based programs and strategies; percent youth seeing, reading, watching, or listening to a prevention message)* Cost Effectiveness (Services provided within cost bands) Use of Evidence-Based Practices (Total number of evidence-based programs and strategies) Although South Carolina data are available for all five of the epidemiologically-oriented NOMs prevention domains, data are not available for all constructs or indicators within the domains. During the next two years, the SC SEOW will work to establish mechanisms to obtain all NOMs data. 19 METHODS Given that prevention resources are limited and priorities must therefore be identified and targeted, prevention planners require a mechanism for identifying priority problems. Once data are obtained on these indicators, there are several different criteria that are useful for identifying substance abuse consumption and consequences patterns that are problematic for a particular state and therefore warrant close attention. A primary function of the epidemiological profile is to allow ready comparisons of the different consumption patterns and consequences in order to identify those that are most important from a purely epidemiological perspective (other perspectives will come into play later in the prevention planning and implementation process). Three key criteria or “dimensions” for identifying priority problems include: 1. Direct comparison across different indicators based on magnitude or level of burden 2. Comparisons based on where indicators stand in relation to a reference population (or to other similar populations as defined geographically or demographically) 3. Comparisons based on trends in indicator values over time To the extent that all three dimensions are assessed in the profile, an accurate assessment of priority areas is possible. However, States’ past experiences with empirically-based prevention needs assessments indicate that having data does not necessarily lead to maximally effective prevention planning. States need to use deliberate strategies for presenting, interpreting, comparing, and synthesizing multiple indicators from different perspectives in order to translate empirical information into justifiable prioritization of needs and sound planning decisions. In order to synthesize the data, states will need additional expertise in epidemiological methods, including age-adjustment or adjustment on other demographic characteristics to allow accurate extrapolations to the state population, as well as other adjustments needed to weight indicators according to some measure of burden, cost, or severity. Although the initial focus of the profile should be the state population as a whole, the data obtained may indicate that it is necessary or desirable to examine substance use and or consequence indicators in smaller geographical areas, such as regions, counties or cities. Data were graphed to show annual trends from the mid 1990s to the present. Subgroup analyses were presented where interesting and informative. Where possible, data from different sources on the same indicators are presented in order to highlight any discrepancies among sources. Data on demographic characteristics and pertinent social and substance use indicators were collected and summarized in tables and graphs. We used the US population as a standard for comparison on indicators where possible. Survey data for Asian/Pacific Islander and American Indian/Alaskan Native students are not provided in the graphs by race/ethnicity because the numbers of these students in the sample was too low to generate reliable population estimates. Substance use indicators were organized by type (i.e., most commonly-used substances, followed by less commonly-used substances), and within type by more common use patterns (e.g., past 30-day use) and then less common but more dangerous use patterns (heavy use, binge use, daily use). Where possible, indicators were graphed using the same scale ranges (0 to 50 percent, for example) to allow for easier comparisons across indicators. However, in cases where prevalence rates were very low or very high, scales had to be adjusted to a more appropriate range to visualize small group differences or to accommodate the full range of data. 20 All of the substance use data in this report are drawn from surveys. In survey research, samples are drawn from a larger population of individuals because we are rarely able to survey all members of the population. Measurements of the sample characteristics are used to estimate the same characteristics in the population. It is assumed that if the sample is large enough and obtained randomly, then what we find to be true for the sample will also be true for the population as a whole. Despite the best efforts of the researchers, however, sample data are never completely accurate reflections of the population. The precision of our estimate is based on a number of factors, including the measurement techniques, the size of the sample, and the proportion of the population that demonstrates the characteristic being measured. Thus, depending on these factors, some estimates of the population are more precise than others. We express this level of precision, or the confidence we have that our estimate is the true value in the population from which the sample was drawn, as a confidence interval (CI). Wider CIs indicate lesser precision, and narrower CIs indicate greater precision. The true population is likely to lie anywhere between the low and high confidence limits. 2 For all the substance use graphs in this report, we include CIs (the vertical lines at the tops of the bars bounded by the low and high limits) to show how precise our estimates are. (An exception is for data from the U.S. BRFS— the SEDS data did not include CIs, which were nevertheless extremely small due to the extremely large sample size). In addition to showing how precise sample estimates are, CIs can be used to determine whether there are differences between groups. If the CIs for two groups (e.g., males and females) are overlapping, it generally means that there is no difference between the groups—even if the estimate itself appears to be different. If, on the other hand, the CIs do not overlap, or only overlap slightly, it means that the two groups are likely to be different from one another. The reader will note that because CIs depend in part on sample size and on the number of persons reporting the particular characteristic being measured, when the characteristic is rare (e.g., very low rates of use) or in subgroups with fewer members (e.g., Hispanics), these CIs are very wide. Such data should be interpreted with caution because the estimates are clearly imprecise. 2 In fact, our analyses allow us to say that we are 95% sure that the true population value lies between the CIs. 21 RESULTS Alcohol Use Availability/Consumption Figure 2 shows total sales of ethanol (in gallons) in the form of beer, wine and spirits per capita aged 14 and over from 1995 to 2006. Alcohol sales in both South Carolina and the US have remained consistently between 2.1 and 2.5 gallons per capita over this time period with an upward trend. South Carolina sales ranged from 2.23 to 2.46 gallons per capita and have been about 10% higher than per capita sales in the US. Figure 2. Total Sales of Ethanol per Capita Aged 14 and Over, South Carolina and US, 1995 to 2006 2.5 G allo n s per Cap ita 2.4 2.3 SC 2.2 US 2.1 2.0 1.9 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Year Source: NIAAA According to data from the Tax Foundation (http://www.taxfoundation.org) the South Carolina alcohol sales tax rates (per gallon) as of January 2009 were as follows: spirits tax = $5.42; table wine tax = $1.08; and beer tax = $0.77. These rates compared to average rates for the U.S. as a whole of $5.94, $0.79, and $0.27, respectively. South Carolina ranked 21st (2 states had no spirits tax), 11th (wine sales in 4 states made through state-run stores ), and 4th in the nation for sales tax rates on each of these substances, respectively, meaning that South Carolina had close to an average sales tax on spirits, a high tax on wine, and a very high tax on beer. 22 Current Use Rates of current (past 30-day) alcohol use among youths in grades 9 through 12 have remained consistent over multiple years of reporting, with a subtle declining trend since 1999 (Figure 3). In three of the four years for which there were South Carolina YRBS data, 1995, 1997, and 1999, use rates were slightly lower in South Carolina compared to the US, with overlapping confidence bands in 1997 and 1999. In 2005 current alcohol use rates in the two geographic regions were indistinguishable. In 2007 the South Carolina rate declined to 36.8 percent (US data for 2007 were not yet available). Since there were approximately 204,000 students in grades 9-12 in South Carolina public schools in 2007-2008 (Source: SC Department of Education, Office of Research, Average Daily Membership files, Available: http://ed.sc.gov/agency/offices/research/DailyMembership.html), this translates to 75,072 students who were current alcohol users. Figure 3. Current (Past 30-Day) Alcohol Use among Youths in Grades 9 through 12, South Carolina and US, 1995 to 2007 60 50 Percent 40 SC US 30 20 10 0 1995 1997 Source: Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 Year South Carolina current alcohol use rates by demographic groups in 2007 are shown in Figure 4. Although confidence bands are overlapping, there was a gradual increase across grade levels with highest use rates among 12th graders. African Americans reported lower use rates compared to whites. 23 Figure 4. Current (Past 30-Day) Alcohol Use among Youths in Grades 9 through 12, By Gender, Grade, and Race/Ethnicity, South Carolina and US, 2007 60 50 Percent 40 30 20 10 0 Male Female Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 White Black Total Source: 2007 Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System Among persons age 12 to 17, current alcohol use rates remained essentially unchanged between 2002 and 2006 in both South Carolina and the US (Figure 5). Current alcohol use rates among 12 to 17 year olds have been consistently lower in South Carolina compared to the US (e.g., 14.2% versus 16.6% in 2005-2006). Using 2006 US Census population estimates for this age group in South Carolina (approximately 365,963) this translates into approximately 51,967 persons age 12 to 17 who were current alcohol users. Among those ages 18 to 25, current use rates in the US have remained constant at about 61%, while South Carolina rates declined from 61% in 20022003 to 55% in 2005-2006 and are now significantly below the US rate. Using the US Census South Carolina population estimates for this age group (approximately 483,962), this translates into approximately 266,179 persons age 18 to 25 who were current alcohol users. 24 Figure 5. Current (Past 30-Day) Alcohol Use among Persons Age 12 to 17 and 18 to 25, South Carolina and US, 2002-2006 70 60 Percent 50 A ge 18 to 25 40 SC US 30 20 10 A ge 12 to 17 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 Year Source: SAMHSA Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Abuse and Health These data are further supported by the BRFS data for adults aged 18 and over presented in Figure 6. This figure shows that current (past 30-day) alcohol use rates have remained higher in the US (at roughly 55%-56%) compared to South Carolina (at roughly 46%-49%) for all years, and that South Carolina rates declined very gradually from 2003 to 2006 with a slight increase in 2007, while US rates appear to have risen slightly from 1999 to 2007. In 2007, 47.5% of South Carolina adults age 18 and over were current alcohol users, which (using US Census data indicating an 18 and over South Carolina population of 3,282,036 in 2007) represents approximately 1,559,000 persons age 18 and over who were current alcohol users. 25 Figure 6. Current (Past 30-Day) Alcohol Use among Persons Age 18 and Over, South Carolina and US, 1999-2007 60 50 Percent 40 SC 30 US 20 10 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Source: 2007 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Subgroup analysis of BRFS data indicates that the highest rates of current alcohol use are among those ages 18 to 44 and steady decline afterwards (Figure 7). African Americans show lower current use rates. Males report higher use rates compared to females. Figure7. Current (Past 30-Day) Alcohol Use among Persons Age 18 and Over, by Age, Race, and Gender, South Carolina, 2007 70 60 Percent 50 40 30 20 10 0 Ages 18 Ages 25 Ages 35 Ages 45 Ages 54 Ages 65 thru 24 thru 34 thru 44 thru 54 thru 64 and over White Black Male Female Total Source: 2007 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System 26 Early onset use First use of alcohol before age 13 is declining in both South Carolina and the US as a whole, from a higher 1995 starting point of roughly 40% in South Carolina and 33% in the US as a whole (Figure 8). Rates in the two regions were indistinguishable in 2005 at roughly 26%. The 2007 rate in South Carolina remained essentially unchanged at approximately 25% (US data for 2007 were not yet available), or roughly 51,000 students in grades 9 through 12. Figure 8. First Alcohol Use before Age 13, South Carolina and US, 1995-2007 45 40 35 Percent 30 25 SC US 20 15 10 5 0 1995 1997 Source: Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 Year 27 Binge use Binge alcohol use, defined as five or more drinks on a single occasion, has remained fairly constant across reporting years among youths in grades 9 through 12, with the suggestion of a recent decline in the US to about 28% (Figure 9). Rates have remained lower in South Carolina compared to the US as a whole, though by 2005, SC rates (at 25%) were not statistically different from US rates. South Carolina rates declined slightly in 2007 (US data for 2007 were not yet available). This rate (25%) translates to approximately 51,000 students in grades 9-12 who were binge drinkers. Figure 9. Binge Alcohol Use* in the Past 30 Days among Youths in Grades 9 through 12, South Carolina and US, 1995-2007 50 40 Percent 30 US SC 20 10 0 1995 1997 Source: Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 1999 2001 Year 2003 2005 2007 *Defined as five or more drinks on a single occasion 28 Subgroup analysis shows overlapping confidence bands for all groups except African Americans, who again report much lower rates of use—less than 10% of African Americans reported binge alcohol use (Figure 10). Figure 10. Binge Alcohol Use* in the Past 30 Days among Youths in Grades 9 through 12, By Gender, Grade, and Race/Ethnicity, South Carolina, 2007 50 40 Percent 30 20 10 0 Male Female Grade 9 Source: 2007 Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 White Black Total *Defined as five or more drinks on a single occasion 29 Among persons age 12 to 17, binge alcohol use rates have remained relatively constant between 2002 and 2006 in both South Carolina and the US, with the US rate being slightly higher (8.3% in South Carolina vs. 10.5% in the US) (Figure 11). The 8.3% rate in 2005-2006 translates to about 30,375 persons ages 12 to 17 in South Carolina who were binge alcohol users. Among those ages 18 to 25, binge alcohol use rates remained at about 41% in the US but declined in South Carolina from 42% to 35.7% and were significantly below US rates in 2005-2006. The South Carolina rate of 35.7% in 2005-2006 translates to approximately 172,774 persons aged 18 to 25 who binge drink. Figure 11. Binge Alcohol Use* in the Past 30 Days among Persons Age 12 to 17 and 18 to 25, South Carolina and US, 2002-2006 50 45 40 35 Ages 18 to 25 Percent 30 SC 25 US 20 15 10 5 Ages 12 to 17 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 Year Source: SAMHSA Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Abuse and Health 30 The BRFS data shown in Figure 12 lend support to the above data on this indicator. For all reporting years South Carolina adults have reported slightly lower rates of binge drinking compared to adults in the US as a whole. The most recent percentages were 13.9% for South Carolina and 15.8% for the US. The South Carolina rate translates to roughly 456,200 persons. Both South Carolina and US rates have been increasing since 2005. Figure 12. Binge Alcohol Use* in the Past 30 Days among Persons Age 18 and Over, South Carolina and US, 1999-2007 25 20 Percent 15 SC US 10 5 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Source: 2007 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Subgroup analysis shows highest binge use rates in the ages from 18 to 34 and a stepwise decline in rates with age (Figure 13). African Americans again report lower use rates, though the difference with Whites was not statistically significant in 2007 as it was in 2006.. Binge alcohol use rates are more than 2.5 times higher among South Carolina males compared to females. 31 Figure 13. Binge Alcohol Use* among Persons Age 18 and Over, by Age, Race, and Gender, South Carolina, 2007 50 45 40 35 Percent 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Ages 18 thru 24 Ages 25 thru 34 Ages 35 thru 44 Ages 45 thru 54 Ages 54 Ages 65 thru 64 and over White Black Male Female Total Source: 2007 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System 32 Heavy use Rates of heavy alcohol use, defined as having more than two drinks per day for adult men and more than one drink per day for adult women, have been very similar between South Carolina and the US over the years (Figure 14). The 2007 South Carolina rate of 5.6% translates to roughly 183,800 persons. Figure 14. Heavy Alcohol Use* in the Past 30 Days among Persons Age 18 and Over, South Carolina and US, 2001-2007 25 Percent 20 15 SC US 10 5 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Source: 2007 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System 33 Heavy alcohol use is highest among 18-44 year olds at about 7%, but then drops to around 5% for ages 45 and over (Figure 15). Again, African Americans report lower rates of heavy alcohol use compared to other races, with Hispanics being the highest, and males having higher rates compared to females. Figure 15. Heavy Alcohol Use* among Persons Age 18 and Over, by Age, Race/Ethnicity, and Gender, South Carolina, 2007 12 10 Percent 8 6 4 2 0 Ages 18 Ages 25 Ages 35 Ages 45 Ages 54 Ages 65 thru 24 thru 34 thru 44 thru 54 thru 64 and over White Black Hispanic Male Female Total Source: 2007 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System 34 Drinking and driving Rates of past 30-day drinking and driving among youths in grades 9-12 declined over multiple reporting years in both South Carolina and the US, although South Carolina YRBS data are absent for 2001 and 2003, so whether the downward trend continued through those years is unknown (Figure 16). Drinking and driving rates in 2005 were roughly equivalent in South Carolina and the US as a whole at about 10-12%. In 2007 the South Carolina rate declined slightly to approximately 10% (US data for 2007 were not yet available). The South Carolina rate translates to roughly 20,400 persons. Figure 16. Drinking and Driving among Youths in Grades 9 through 12, South Carolina and US, 1995-2007 25 20 Percent 15 SC US 10 5 0 1995 1997 Source: Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 Year 35 Drinking and driving rates tended to be higher among males compared to females, and lower among 9th and 10th graders (who are barely of driving age) and African Americans (Figure 17). Figure 17. Drinking and Driving among Youths in Grades 9 through 12, By Gender, Grade, and Race/Ethnicity, South Carolina and US, 2007 30 25 Percent 20 15 10 5 0 Male Female Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 White Black Total Source: 2007 Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 36 Rates of being a passenger in a car with a drinking driver during the past 30-days among youths in grades 9-12 have also declined slightly over multiple reporting years in both South Carolina and the US (Figure 18). In 2005 rates were roughly equivalent in South Carolina and the US as a whole at about 30-32%. The South Carolina rate declined in 2007 to 26.3% (US data for 2007 were not yet available). The South Carolina rate translates to roughly 54,000 persons. Figure 18. Youths in Grades 9 through 12 Reporting Being a Passenger in a Car with a Drinking Driver, South Carolina and US, 1995-2007 50 40 Percent 30 SC US 20 10 0 1995 1997 Source: Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 Year 37 Alcohol use during pregnancy Rates of alcohol use during the last three months of pregnancy remained constant at 3.5% to 3.7% from 1996 to 1999 and reached a low of 3.2% in 2000, but have since increased (Figure 19). The rate peaked at 7.7% in 2006, well above the Healthy People 2010 benchmark of 6 percent or less. This rate of 7.7% represents 4,392 pregnant women in South Carolina. Figure 19. Percent of Pregnant Women Reporting Any Use of Alcohol During the Last Three Months of Pregnancy, South Carolina, 1995-2006 10 9 7.7 8 7 6.2 Healthy People 2010 GOAL = 6.0 Percent 6 5.0 5 4.5 4.4 4.2 4 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.2 3 2 1 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 Source: Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Year 38 Consequences of Alcohol Use Mortality Alcohol abuse is associated with deaths from chronic liver disease, homicide, and suicide. Since 1996, death rates from chronic liver disease have been higher in South Carolina compared to the US, with a larger spread (roughly 10% difference) from 1999 to 2004 (excluding 2002, when rates were nearly identical) (Figure 20). The 2004 death rate represents 454 persons in South Carolina. Mortality from chronic liver disease peaks in the 55- to 64-year-old age group in South Carolina but in the 75- to 84-year-old age group in the US (Figure 21). Figure 20. Number of Deaths from Chronic Liver Disease per 1000 Population, South Carolina and US, 1990-2004 Rate (per 1000 population) 0.15 0.10 SC US 0.05 0.00 1990 1991 1992 1993 Source: National Vital Statistics System 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Year 39 Figure 21. Number of Deaths from Chronic Liver Disease per 100,000 Population, By Age Group, South Carolina and US, 2004 40 Rate (per 100,000 population) 30 SC 20 US 10 0 5-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ Age Group Source: National Vital Statistics System Although somewhat variable, death rates from homicide have been about 20% to 30% higher in South Carolina compared to the US since at least 1996 (Figure 22). The 2004 death rate represents 323 persons in South Carolina. Figure 22. Number of Deaths from Homicide per 1000 Population, South Carolina and US, 1990-2004 Rate (per 1000 population) 0.15 0.10 SC US 0.05 0.00 1990 1991 1992 1993 Source: National Vital Statistics System 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Year South Carolina death rates from homicide exceed national averages for all age groups and peak in the 25- to 34-year-old age group (Figure 23). South Carolina rates among 35- to 44-year-olds and among those 85 years and older are much higher than US rates. 40 Figure 23. Number of Deaths from Homicide per 100,000 Population, By Age Group, South Carolina and US, 2004 Rate (per 100,000 population) 15 10 SC US 5 0 5-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ Age Group Source: National Vital Statistics System Death rates from suicide have been similar in South Carolina and the US between 1990 and 2004, although for most years South Carolina rates have been slightly higher (Figure 24). The 2004 death rate represents 483 persons in South Carolina. Figure 24. Number of Deaths from Suicide per 1000 Population, South Carolina and US, 1990-2004 Rate (per 1000 population) 0.15 0.10 SC US 0.05 0.00 1990 1991 1992 1993 Source: National Vital Statistics System 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Year 41 Death rates from suicide appear to increase through age 54, decline in the 55- to 64-year-old group, and then increase among those aged 75 to 84 (Figure 25). Compared to national rates, South Carolina rates are higher in the age groups 15-34, 45-54, and 65-84, but lower in the age groups 35-44 and 85 and over. Figure 25. Number of Deaths from Suicide per 100,000 Population, By Age Group, South Carolina and US, 2004 20 Rate (per 100,000 population) 15 SC 10 US 5 0 5-14 15-24 Source: National Vital Statistics System 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ Age Group These data all lend support to the contention that alcohol abuse is more of a problem in South Carolina than in the US as a whole, which agrees with the per capita sales data presented in Figure 2, but not with the self-reported consumption data from the BRFS and the NSDUH surveys, which indicate slightly lower use rates in South Carolina compared to the US. Dependence or Abuse Among persons age 12 to 17, alcohol dependence or abuse rates have remained relatively constant between 2002 and 2004 in both South Carolina and the US as a whole, with the suggestion of a slight decline starting in 2004-2005 (Figure 26). Among persons age 18 to 25, alcohol dependence or abuse rates have remained stable in the US but declined to 13.6% in 2004-2005 in South Carolina then increased to 14.8% in 2005-2006. The 2004-2005 death rate in this age group represents approximately 71,626 persons. 42 Figure 26. Percent of Persons Age 12 to 17 and 18 to 25 Meeting DSM-IV Criteria For Alcohol Dependence or Abuse in the Past Year, South Carolina and US, 2002-2006 25 Percent 20 15 Ages 18 to 25 SC US 10 5 Ages 12 to 17 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 Year Source: SAMHSA Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Abuse and Health ATOD Services Utilization The indicators in this section, while not meeting SEDS inclusion criteria set forth in the Introduction, nevertheless provide an indication of the types of ATOD services being provided to subpopulations of the state, and the numbers and demographic characteristics of the clients served. Limitations of these data are noted later in the Data Limitations section of this document. Suffice it to say, these data should be interpreted with caution. Figure 27 shows the number of Medicaid visits per 1000 gender-, age- and race-specific South Carolina population for ATOD-related reasons, by gender, race, and age group, in 2005. This graph indicates that far and away the largest client base served by the South Carolina Medicaid payor for ATOD-related services is non-white, non-black persons, and that these clients tend to be younger females. 43 Figure 27. ATOD-Related Medicaid Visits per 1000 Population, By Gender, Race, and Age Group, 2005 120 Visits per 1000 Population 100 80 60 40 20 0 Total Female Male White Black Other 0-4 5-9 10 - 24 25-34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65+ Source: South Carolina Medicaid Paid Claims Database, SCDHHS ATOD-related Medicaid visits tend to be for alcohol, tobacco, marijuana, and cocaine use and abuse, with alcohol-related visits in recent decline and tobacco-related visits on the rise (Figure 28). These trends may be most closely associated with changed in reimbursement legislation or regulations, with tobacco abuse becoming a more readily reimbursed diagnostic code, which may also have prompted substitution of a tobacco abuse code for an alcohol abuse code among those with both diagnoses. Figure 28. Percent of Total Medicaid Visits by Substance and Year, 2001-2005 35 30 Percent of Total Visits 25 20 alcohol tobacco marijuana cocaine 15 other drugs opioids 10 5 0 2001 2002 Source: South Carolina Medicaid Paid Claims Database, SCDHHS 2003 2004 2005 Year 44 Figure 29 shows unduplicated client admissions among those persons receiving SC DAODAS patient services for AOD problems, per 1000 population, for 2004 to 2008. Intake rates have very consistent at about 6.7 per 1,000 in the South Carolina population. “Treatment Needs Assessment Estimates” (DAODAS, 2003) estimated that 7.1% of the population was in need of treatment services, so these data suggest that perhaps there are more South Carolinians in need of these services but not receiving them. Figure 29. Number of Unduplicated DAODAS Admissions (Primary, Secondary, and Tertiary) for AOD-Related Reasons per 1000 Population, 2004-2008 Rate per 1,000 Population 7 6.5 6 5.5 5 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Year Source: South Carolina DAODAS, SAAMIS Figure 30 indicates that the demographic served by this system is primarily males between the ages of 25 and 64 years old. 45 Figure 30. Number of Unduplicated DAODAS Admissions (Primary, Secondary, and Tertiary) Presenting for AOD-Related Reasons per 1000 Population, By Gender and Age Group, 2008 3.5 Number per 1,000 Population 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Male Female Age 11 Age 12 to Age 18and Under 17 24 Age 25 to Age 35 to Age 45 to Age 65 34 44 64 and Over Source: South Carolina DAODAS, SAAMIS 46 Violent crime Violent crime, including aggravated assaults, sexual assaults, and robberies, is one consequence of alcohol abuse. Figure 31 shows that the violent crime rate in both South Carolina and the US has clearly declined in the latter half of the 1990’s but has remained relatively stable since that time, with the suggestion of slight declines. The absolute rates for South Carolina have consistently remained about 1.5 times those for the US as a whole. The 2006 rate in South Carolina represents 32,719 violent crimes. Figure 31. Number of Violent Crimes Reported to Police per 1000 Population, 1995-2006 12 Rate (per 1000 population) 10 8 SC 6 US 4 2 0 1995 1996 1997 Source: Uniform Crime Reporting Program 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Year 47 Motor Vehicle Crashes Figure 32 shows the percent of fatal motor vehicle crashes in which at least one driver, pedestrian, or cyclist had been drinking, in South Carolina and the US, from 1995 to 2006, using data from the national Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS). This graph indicates a sharp increase in rates between 1999 and 2001, but a gradual decline back to a rate comparable to that for the US as a whole in 2005, rising sharply again in 2006 in the US and especially in South Carolina. It is remarkable that almost half of all fatal motor vehicle accidents involve use of alcohol. The 2006 rate in South Carolina represents 486 fatal motor vehicle crashes involving alcohol. Figure 32. Percent of Fatal Motor Vehicle Crashes in which at Least One Driver, Pedestrian, or Cyclist had Been Drinking, South Carolina and the US, 1995-2006 60 50 Percent 40 SC 30 US 20 10 0 1995 1996 1997 Source: Fatality Analysis Reporting System 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Year 48 Similar to the graph above, South Carolina showed a sudden spike in the number of vehicle deaths per 100,000 population from 1999 to 2001, with rates declining somewhat from 2001 onward, rising again in 2006 (Figure 33). However, rates for South Carolina remain about twice those for the US as a whole. The 2006 rate in South Carolina represents 523 vehicle deaths involving alcohol. Figure 33. Number of Vehicle Deaths in which at Least One Driver, Pedestrian, or Cyclist had been Drinking, per 100,000 Population, 1995-2006 25 Rate (per 1000 population) 20 15 SC US 10 5 0 1995 1996 1997 Source: Fatality Analysis Reporting System 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Year 49 Again, Figure 34 shows that South Carolina experienced a sudden increase between 1999 and 2001 in the percent of drivers involved in fatal crashes who used alcohol, with a steady decline after 2001. However, since 2000 South Carolina rates have remained higher than US rates on this indicator, and in 2006 5% more drivers who used alcohol were involved in fatal crashes, compared to the US. The 2006 rate in South Carolina represents 345 drivers involved in fatal crashes who used alcohol. Figure 34. Percent of Drivers Involved in Fatal Crashes Who Used Alcohol, 1995-2006 50 45 40 35 Percent 30 SC 25 US 20 15 10 5 0 1995 1996 1997 Source: Fatality Analysis Reporting System 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Year 50 The number of nighttime single-vehicle crashes per 1000 population aged 16 and over, while not an official SEDS indicator because it is not available at the national level (hence there is no US comparison), is nevertheless a good proxy for alcohol-related crashes, especially in rural areas. These data for South Carolina indicate a fairly stable rate with possibly a slight declining trend from 2002 onward (Figure 35). The 2005 rate in South Carolina represents a total of 11,651 nighttime single-vehicle crashes. Figure 35. Number of Nighttime Single-Vehicle Crashes per 1000 Population Aged 16 and Older, South Carolina, 2001-2005 Crashes (per 1000 Population Aged 16 Years and Older) 5 4 3 2 1 0 2001 2002 Source: South Carolina Department of Public Safety 2003 2004 2005 Year 51 Alcohol-related car crash fatalities for ages 15 to 20 were higher between 2005 and 2007 than in 2003 and 2004 with a high of 74 fatalities in a year (Figure 36). Figure 36. Total Alcohol-Related Crash Fatalities for Ages 15-20, South Carolina, 2003-2007 100 90 Number of Fatalities 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Source: South Carolina Department of Transportation Alcohol-related traffic crashes for youth increase as age increases between 15 and 20 (Figure 37). Figure 37. Leading Age for Youth Alcohol-Related Crashes, South Carolina, 2003-2007 1400 1200 1109 Number of Crashes 1000 1000 795 800 600 495 400 222 200 55 0 15 16 17 18 19 20 Age Source: South Carolina Department of Transportation 52 Sexual activity According to data from the 2005 YRBS, South Carolina youth were slightly more likely than US youth to be sexually active, to have used alcohol or drugs before last having sex, and to have become sexually active before their teens, although the confidence bands on the rates are overlapping, so these differences are not statistically significant. More South Carolina youth had ever had sexual intercourse (52.3% versus 46.8%), were currently sexually active (37.5% versus 33.9%), reported having used alcohol or drugs before last having intercourse (24.8% versus 23.3%), and had had intercourse before age 13 (9.2% versus 6.2%). However, slightly more South Carolina youth reported having used a condom before sex (67.4% versus 62.8%). Although 2007 YRBS data for the US are not yet available, 2007 YRBS data for South Carolina indicate that 51.5% of youth reported ever having had intercourse, 35.9% were currently sexually active, 18.8% reported having used alcohol or drugs before last having intercourse, 9.5% had had intercourse before age 13, and 62.4% reported having used a condom before last having sex. Therefore, except for these last two, sexual behavior indicators are trending in a favorable direction in South Carolina. Teen births Teenage pregnancies are an important potential consequence of adolescent substance abuse. South Carolina has higher rates of teen pregnancy compared to the US as a whole. In 2004 there were 52.1 live births per 1,000 women ages 15 to 19 in South Carolina, compared to 41.1 per 1,000 women in the US as a whole. For women ages 15 to 17 and 18 to 19 these rates were 28.8 and 87.8, respectively, in South Carolina, compared to 22.1 and 70.0 in the US. HIV/AIDS Like pregnancy, HIV/AIDS is an important consequence of risky sexual behavior among youths. At the end of 2006 in South Carolina there were an estimated 176.8 adults and adolescents per 100,000 living with HIV and 195.9 per 100,000 living with AIDS (Figure 38). These rates compare less favorably to US rates of 137.0 per 100,000 living with HIV and 174.5 per 100,000 living with AIDS. For children less than 13 years of age, prevalence rates were 6.2 per 100,000 for HIV and 3.2 per 100,000 for AIDS in South Carolina. The former is similar to the US rate of 6.5 per 100,000 for HIV but South Carolina is higher than the US rate of 2.2 per 100,000 for AIDS. In South Carolina the leading mode of transmission for reported AIDS cases at the end of 2005 was male to male sexual contact (36% of cases), followed by heterosexual contact (24%), unreported or unidentified means (17%), and injection drug use (16%). For the US, these percents by mode of transmission were 45%, 23%, 2%, and 23%, respectively. 53 Figure 38. Estimated rates (per 100,000 population) for adults and adolescents living with HIV infection (not AIDS) or with AIDS, 2006—United States and dependent areas a Includes persons whose area of residence is unknown. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. HIV/AIDS Surveillance Report, 2006. Vol. 18. Atlanta: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; 2008:pg. 21. http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/topics/surveillance/resources/reports/ Summary of Alcohol Consumption and Consequences In summary, consumption of alcohol in South Carolina, as measured by sales per capita aged 14 and over, has trended upward since 1995 and remained about 10% higher than in the U.S. Among youth in grades 9 through 12 rates of current, early-onset, and binge use, and rates of drinking and driving are all very similar to national rates and have trended slightly downward (though South Carolina YRBS data were absent for 2001 and 2003). Males, upper classmen, and whites are at higher risk for drinking and driving, while African Americans are at lower risk on all YRBS alcohol consumption indicators. Among adults, self-reported current alcohol use and binge alcohol use rates tend to be lower in South Carolina compared to the US. Among young adults, current use and binge use rates are lower than US rates, while heavy alcohol use rates are very similar to US rates. Rates of binge use and heavy use are higher in males and people between 18 and 44 and lower among African Americans. Use during pregnancy declined to a low of 3.2% in 2000 but has since risen to a decade-high 7.7%, above the Healthy People 2010 benchmark of 6 percent or less. Mortality from causes associated with alcohol use is generally higher in South Carolina compared to the US. Higher cirrhosis death rates are concentrated among those in the 35- to 44year-old age group. Violent crime rates in South Carolina have remained about 1.5 times higher compared to US rates. All FARS motor vehicle accident indicators show a spike in rates from 1999 to 2001, but declining trends thereafter, with rates higher than those in the US. It would be 54 valuable to try to identify the reason for this spike and subsequent decline so that the causes of the rise can be avoided and any causes for the decline can be supported to continue this downward trend. The most recent data for two of the three FARS indicators show upward spikes for the US and especially for South Carolina. Nighttime single vehicle crashes seem to be trending downward. There are no national data on this indicator for comparison. Teen sexual behavior indicators, while only loosely associated with alcohol consumption, are nevertheless problematic in South Carolina. Similarly, HIV rates among adults and adolescents are higher in South Carolina compared to the national average. 55 Tobacco Use Availability/Consumption Figure 39 shows annual cigarette consumption per adult for South Carolina and the US from 1996 to 2006. Here consumption is defined as is the number of packs of cigarettes taxed at the wholesale level per capita (persons aged 18 and over) and measured as the total tax paid sales divided by the states' adult population from the US Census. Consumption in South Carolina rose sharply between 1996 and 1997, declined steeply between 1997 and 1999, and then declined more gradually thereafter to a low of 92 packs per adult per year in 2004. US consumption rates have been similar but declined to 85 packs per capita in 2006, while South Carolina sales have increased since 2004 to 96 packs per capita. Figure 39. Annual Cigarette Pack Sales per Adult Age 18 and Over, South Carolina and US, 1996-2006 140 120 Packs per adult 100 80 SC US 60 40 20 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Year Sources: Office of Smoking and Health, State Tobacco Activities Tracking and Evaluation (STATE) System (Orzechowski and Walker); USDA, Economic Research Service, Tobacco Outlook , TBS-263, October 24, 2007 To help sell this many cigarettes per person, Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids estimates that the tobacco industry spends $280.3 million in South Carolina annually (and $13.4 billion nationwide) on marketing. It notes that research studies have found that kids are twice as sensitive to tobacco advertising than adults and are more likely to be influenced to smoke by cigarette marketing than by peer pressure, and that one-third of underage experimentation with smoking is attributable to tobacco company advertising. Table 2 provides state cigarette taxes, prices, and costs per pack for South Carolina and all US states averaged. As indicated, South Carolina has much lower state taxes compared to the average for all states. Interestingly, even with all taxes added, the CDC-estimated smoking- 56 induced costs are over twice the retail price of cigarettes for both South Carolina and the all states combined. Table 2. State Cigarette Prices, Taxes and Costs per Pack, South Carolina and All States Geographic Area State Cigarette Tax Federal Cigarette Tax South Carolina States Average $0.07 $1.21 $1.0066 $1.0066 Retail Price Per Pack With All Taxes $3.85 $4.97 CDC Smoking Costs Per Pack Sold $7.66 $10.28 Source: Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids, Fact Sheets #0099 and #0343 updated February 26, 2009 and February 12, 2009 The South Carolina cigarette tax rate is extraordinarily low even among tobacco-producing states. As indicated in Figure 40, South Carolina has the lowest state cigarette tax (7 cents per pack) among all 50 states plus the District of Columbia. The South Carolina state cigarette tax rate was last changed July 1, 1977, far and away the oldest standing state tax rate in the country. According the Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids, as of February 2009, the average cigarette tax rate for all states combined is $1.21 per pack, while the average rate for the major tobacco states is over three times lower (38.5 cents per pack) and the average for non-tobacco producing states is $1.32 per pack. Figure 40. State Cigarette Tax Rates, 2009 Source: The Tax Foundation 57 According to Tobacco Free Kids documents (2008), South Carolina ranks 45th among all 50 states and the District of Columbia in allocating tobacco settlement funds to tobacco prevention programming, spending only $2 million in FY2008, or 8.4% of the $23.9 million minimum spending recommended by the CDC, and $0 in FY2009. None of the national tobacco settlement funds have been allocated to tobacco prevention in South Carolina since 2003. A potential cigarette tax increase is once again being discussed in the 2009 legislative session. According to the Tax Foundation, South Carolina is among a minority of seven U.S. states that as of January 1, 2009 had a cigarette tax rate less than three times its rate in 1983. Current use Past 30-day (current) cigarette use has decreased in both South Carolina and the US from a high of 35 to 40 percent in 1997 to just under 25% by 2005 (Figure 41). In 2005 South Carolina and US rates were indistinguishable and were just above adult current use rates (see Figures 42 and 43). In 2007 the South Carolina rate declined further to 17.8% (US data for 2007 were not yet available). It is possible that a new smoking law that went into effect on August 21, 2006 that criminalized youth possession and purchase of tobacco products contributed to this most recent decline in current cigarette use. The 2007 South Carolina rate represents approximately 36,000 youths in grades 9-12 who are current smokers. Figure 41. Current (Past 30-day) Cigarette Use among Youths in Grades 9 through 12, South Carolina and US, 1995-2007 50 40 Percent 30 SC US 20 10 0 1995 1997 Source: Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 Year 58 Figure 42 shows South Carolina data on current cigarette use among youths in grades 9 through 12, by gender, grade, and race/ethnicity. [Note: Data from the 2007 YRBS and the 2006 Youth Tobacco Survey (YTS), another source of youth tobacco use data, were comparable]. There were few differences among subgroups with the exception of 12th graders, who reported higher use rates (26.7%), and African Americans, who reported lower use rates (11.2%). Figure 42. Current (Past 30-day) Cigarette Use among Youths in Grades 9 through 12, By Gender, Grade, and Race/Ethnicity, South Carolina, 2007 50 40 Percent 30 20 10 0 Male Female Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 White Black Total Sources: 2007 Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 59 Current cigarette use rates have remained higher among South Carolina adults compared to adults in the US for all reporting periods, with a downward trend in use rates to the present (Figure 43). In 2007, adult current use rates were approximately 22% in South Carolina and 20% in the US. The 2007 South Carolina rate represents approximately 718,800 adults age 18 and over who are current smokers. Figure 43. Current (Past 30-day) Cigarette Use among Persons Age 18 and Over, South Carolina and US, 1999-2007 50 45 40 35 Percent 30 SC 25 US 20 15 10 5 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Source: 2007 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System BRFS subgroup analysis shows the highest current use rates among those ages 25 to 34 (28.4%), and lower current use rates for those ages 54 and over and females compared to males (Figure 44). There was no significant difference by race, though African Americans had lower smoking rates in the previous survey. 60 Figure 44. Current (Past 30-day) Cigarette Use among Persons Age 18 and Over, By Age, Race/Ethnicity and Gender, South Carolina, 2007 35 30 Percent 25 20 15 10 5 0 Ages 18 Ages 25 Ages 35 Ages 45 Ages 54 Ages 65 thru 24 thru 34 thru 44 thru 54 thru 64 and over White Black Hispanic Male Female Total Source: 2007 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Current cigarette use data from the NSDUH show slightly higher rates in the 18- to 25-year-old age group (43% for South Carolina and 39% for the US), which are most likely attributable to the different demographic characteristics of the BRFS vs. NSDUH survey respondents (Figure 45). The 2005-2006 South Carolina rate represents approximately 208,103 persons age 18 to 25 who are current smokers. Rates have remained relatively stable from 2002 through 2006 and may be slightly higher in South Carolina compared to the national average in the 18- to 25-yearold age group. 61 Figure 45. Current (Past 30-day) Cigarette Use among Persons Age 12 and Over, By Age Group, South Carolina and US, 2002-2006 50 45 40 35 Ages 18 to 25 Percent 30 SC 25 US 20 15 10 Ages 12 to 17 5 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 Year Source: SAMHSA Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Abuse and Health 62 Daily use Among both South Carolina and US youths in grades 9-12, daily cigarette use has declined significantly since 1999 with some leveling off by 2005 (although, again, South Carolina YRBS data were unavailable for 2001 and 2003) (Figure 46). Rates have remained slightly higher in South Carolina, although not statistically different from the US as a whole. In 2007 the South Carolina rate increased slightly to 13.1% (US data for 2007 were not yet available). The 2007 South Carolina rate represents approximately 27,000 youths in grades 9-12 who are daily smokers, that is, about 75% of current smokers in this age group. Figure 46. Daily Cigarette Use among Youths in Grades 9 through 12, South Carolina and US, 1995-2007 25 20 Percent 15 SC US 10 5 0 1995 1997 Source: Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 Year Daily use rates appear to be lower among 9th through 11th graders compared to 12th graders, and African Americans compared to Whites (Figure 47). 63 Figure 47. Daily Cigarette Use among Youths in Grades 9 through 12, By Gender, Grade, and Race/Ethnicity, South Carolina, 2007 30 25 Percent 20 15 10 5 0 Male Female Grade 9 Grade 10 Source: 2007 Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System Grade 11 Grade 12 White Black Total Year Daily cigarette use rates have remained higher among South Carolina adults compared to adults in the US for all reporting periods (Figure 48). There has been a decline since 2002. By 2007 rates were 16.2% in South Carolina and 14.5% in the US. The 2007 South Carolina rate represents approximately 531,700 persons age 18 and over who are daily smokers, again about one-fourth of those in this age group. Figure 48. Daily Cigarette Use among Persons Age 18 and Over, South Carolina and US, 1999-2007 50 45 40 35 Percent 30 SC 25 US 20 15 10 5 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Source: 2007 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System 64 As with current cigarette use, adult subgroup analysis shows the highest rates in the 25- to 54year-old age group, and lower use rates for those ages 65 and over, African Americans compared to whites, and females compared to males (Figure 49). Figure 49. Daily Cigarette Use among Persons Age 18 and Over, By Age, Race/Ethnicity, and Gender, South Carolina, 2007 35 30 Percent 25 20 15 10 5 0 A ges 18 thru 24 A ges 25 thru 34 A ges 35 thru 44 A ges 45 thru 54 A ges 54 thru 64 A ges 65 and o ver White B lack Hispanic M ale Female To tal Source: 2007 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System 65 Age of first use Age of first cigarette use among youths in grades 9-12 has declined in both South Carolina and the US as a whole (to 20% and 16%, respectively, in 2005) (Figure 50). Again rates have remained slightly higher in South Carolina, although not statistically different from the US. In 2007 the South Carolina rate declined to 15.3%, which appears to be closer to the national average (US data for 2007 were not yet available). The 2007 South Carolina rate represents approximately 31,000 youths in grades 9-12. Figure 50. Youths in Grades 9 through 12 Reporting First Cigarette Use before Age 13, South Carolina and US, 1995-2007 50 40 Percent 30 SC US 20 10 0 1995 1997 Source: Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 Year 66 Smokeless tobacco Smokeless tobacco use rates among youths in grades 9-12 have remained fairly constant over reporting years in both South Carolina and US at between 7% and 12% (Figure 51). South Carolina youths have reported using smokeless tobacco at rates which are similar to rates for the US as a whole, although the most recent data suggests slightly higher rates in South Carolina. In 2007 the South Carolina rate declined slightly to 7.9%, also apparently closer to the national average (US data for 2007 were not yet available). The 2007 South Carolina rate represents approximately 16,000 youths in grades 9-12 who are current smokeless tobacco users. Figure 51. Current (Past 30-day) Smokeless Tobacco Use among Youths in Grades 9 through 12, South Carolina and US, 1995-2007 25 20 Percent 15 SC US 10 5 0 1995 1997 Source: Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 Year 67 Subgroup analysis [Note: subgroup data from the YRBS and the YTS were again fairly comparable] indicates females and African Americans have much lower use rates compared to other subgroups (Figure 52). Figure 52. (Past 30-day) Smokeless Tobacco Use among Youths in Grades 9 through 12, By Gender, Grade, and Race/Ethnicity, South Carolina, 2007 30 25 Percent 20 15 10 5 0 Male Female Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 White Black Total Source: 2007 Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 68 Tobacco use during pregnancy Rates of tobacco use during the last three months of pregnancy has remained fairly constant from 1995 to 2006, with between 12% and 15% of South Carolina pregnant women reporting smoking during the last three months of their pregnancy (Figure 53). These percents are much higher than the Healthy People 2010 goal of 1% of pregnant women smoking in their last trimester. The rate of 12.1% represents 6,907 pregnant women in South Carolina. Figure 53. Percent of Pregnant Women Reporting Smoking During the Last Three Months of Pregnancy, South Carolina, 1995-2006 25 20 15.4 15.1 14.9 13.9 13.8 Percent 15 13 12.5 12.1 13.1 12.4 12.1 11.4 10 5 Healthy People 2010 GOAL = 1.0 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 Source: Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Year 69 The number of pregnant women per 1,000 live births reporting smoking at any time during their pregnancy has declined in the US from 1995 to 2005, most rapidly since 2001 (Figure 54). However, in South Carolina, the rate has remained above the national average for every year since 1995 and has increased since 2000 such that the gap between the South Carolina and US rate in 2005 is very large. The 2005 rate of 139.1 per 1,000 represents 8,001 live births in South Carolina. Figure 54. Rate (Per 1,000 Live Births) of Women Reporting Smoking at Any Time during Pregnancy, South Carolina and US, 1995-2005 200 Rate (per 1,000 live births) 150 SC 100 US 50 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Year Sources: South Carolina Community Assessment Network; National Vital Statistics System 70 Consequences of Tobacco Use Mortality Tobacco use is associated with deaths from lung cancer, other lung diseases, cardiovascular disease, and ischemic cerebrovascular disease. Figure 55 shows an increasing separation in the trend lines for death rates from lung cancer in South Carolina versus the US in 1996, with rates in South Carolina about 10% higher than those in the US since then, increasing to about 20% higher by 2003. However, the 2004 rate in South Carolina showed a decline toward prior years’ levels. The South Carolina rate of approximately 0.60 per 1,000 in 2004 represents 2,498 persons. Figure 55. Number of Deaths from Lung Cancer per 1000 Population, By Age Group, South Carolina and US, 1990-2004 1.0 0.9 0.8 Rate (per 1000 population) 0.7 0.6 SC US 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1990 1991 1992 1993 Source: National Vital Statistics System 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Year Among all age groups South Carolina death rates exceed national averages, but especially among those aged 55 to 64, again reflecting a burden of premature mortality from this cause (Figure 56). 71 Figure 56. Number of Deaths from Lung Cancer per 100,000 Population, By Age Group, South Carolina and US, 2004 400 Rate (per 100,000 population) 300 SC 200 US 100 0 5-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ Age Group Source: National Vital Statistics System Death rates from other lung diseases have remained very similar in South Carolina and the US since 1992 (Figure 57). South Carolina mortality rates for this cause were higher than US rates in 2002 and 2003 but then declined in 2004 to equal US rates. The South Carolina rate of approximately 0.41 per 1,000 in 2004 represents 1,722 persons. Figure 57. Number of Deaths from Lung Disease per 1000 Population, South Carolina and US, 1990-2004 1.0 0.9 0.8 Rate (per 1000 population) 0.7 0.6 SC US 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1990 1991 1992 1993 Source: National Vital Statistics System 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Year 72 Again, South Carolina death rates from this cause exceed national averages in all age groups except those ages 85 and over (Figure 58). Figure 58. Number of Deaths from Lung Disease per 100,000 Population, By Age Group, South Carolina and US, 2004 700 600 Rate (per 100,000 population) 500 400 SC US 300 200 100 0 5-14 15-24 Source: National Vital Statistics System 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ Age Group 73 Death rates from ischemic cerebrovascular disease have been about 15% to 20% higher in South Carolina) versus the US since 1999, when the change to the ICD-10 coding system caused the apparent large spike in the mortality rate for this cause (Figure 59). Because it is in the “stroke belt,” South Carolina is expected to have higher ischemic cerebrovascular death rates compared to the US average, and the ICD-10 coding system appears to capture this discrepancy in rates. As with death rates for lung cancer and lung disease, death rates for ischemic cerebrovascular disease in South Carolina exceed national averages for all age groups except those ages 85 and over (Figure 60). The South Carolina rate of approximately 0.83 per 1,000 in 2004 represents 3,485 persons. Figure 59. Number of Deaths from Ischemic Cerebrovascular Disease per 1000 Population, South Carolina and US, 1990-2004 1.0 0.9 0.8 Rate (per 1000 population) 0.7 0.6 SC US 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1990 1991 1992 1993 Source: National Vital Statistics System 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Year 74 Figure 60. Number of Deaths from Ischemic Cerebrovascular Disease per 100,000 of Population, by Age Group, South Carolina and US, 2004 5000 Rate (per 100,000 population) 4000 3000 SC US 2000 1000 0 5-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ Age Group Source: National Vital Statistics System Death rates from cardiovascular disease (CVD) have remained nearly identical in South Carolina and the US between 1990 and 2004 (Figure 61). The South Carolina rate of approximately 1.98 per 1,000 in 2004 represents 8,294 persons. Figure 61. Number of Deaths from Cardiovascular Disease per 1000 Population, South Carolina and US, 1990-2004 5.0 4.5 4.0 Rate (per 1000 population) 3.5 3.0 SC US 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1990 1991 1992 1993 Source: National Vital Statistics System 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Year 75 South Carolina CVD death rates are slightly higher in every age group compared to national rates (Figure 62). Figure 62. Number of Deaths from Cardiovascular Disease per 100,000 Population, by Age Group, South Carolina and US, 2004 2000 Rate (per 100,000 population) 1500 SC US 1000 500 0 5-14 15-24 Source: National Vital Statistics System 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ Age Group In 2004 the age-adjusted death rate for all causes was 898.0 deaths per 100,000 in South Carolina and 800.8 per 100,000 in the United States as a whole. Of these deaths, the overwhelming majority were due to diseases of the heart and malignant neoplasms (Figure 63). It is interesting that in all cases South Carolina rates exceed those for the US. Also note that while the difference for malignant neoplasms, for example, is only + 5%, this difference translates into an additional 9.7 deaths per 100,000 persons, or 97 per million, or about 388 per 4 million (the approximate population of South Carolina). A significant contributor to deaths from this cause, and the leading preventable cause of death in the US, is chronic tobacco use. 76 Figure 63. Age-adjusted Deaths from Several Leading Causes Related to ATOD Use, South Carolina and US, 2004 222.0 217.0 Diseases of the heart 195.5 185.8 Malignant neoplasms 65.2 Cerebrovascular diseases 50.0 49.9 Accidents 37.7 43.1 41.1 Chronic lower respiratory diseases SC US 24.4 15.2 Motor vehicle accidents 13.6 10.0 Injury by firearms Intentional self-harm 11.3 10.9 Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis 10.4 9.0 Homicide 7.7 5.9 HIV 6.4 4.5 0 50 100 150 200 250 Rate (per 100,000 population) 77 Summary of Tobacco Use and Consequences In summary, rates of adult cigarette consumption in South Carolina as measured by pack sales per adult age 18 and over remained similar to national consumption rates since 2000, but increased well above national rates in 2005 and 2006. Youth current cigarette use rates declined to about 18% in 2007 and appear to be below national rates, although 2007 national YRBS data were not yet available. South Carolina adult current use rates are approximately 22%, with rates highest among those aged 25 to 34 (between 25% and 30%). Adult current and daily use rates have remained higher compared to the national average. Higher risk youth subgroups include high school upper classmen, males, and whites (for smokeless tobacco, lower classmen also have high use rates). High risk adult subgroups include those ages 25 to 44 and males. Rates of smoking during the last trimester of pregnancy among women in South Carolina have ranged from 11% to 16%, far exceeding the Healthy People 2010 goal of 1%. Rates of South Carolina pregnant women smoking at any time during their pregnancy have exceeded national rates for all years and had been increasing until a favorable decrease in 2006. The mortality rate from lung cancer is 10% to 20% higher in South Carolina compared to the US, and the mortality rate from lung diseases is also higher. Being in the “stroke belt,” South Carolina also suffers from about 20% higher morality rates from ischemic cerebrovascular disease compared to the US national average. However, the mortality rate from CVD is comparable in the two regions. Age-adjusted death rates for several leading causes of death related to ATOD use in 2004 were all higher in South Carolina compared to the US. 78 Marijuana and Other Illicit Drug Use Current marijuana use South Carolina and US youth as a whole consistently report similar rates of past 30-day marijuana use, ranging from 20% to 25% (Figure 64. There has been a gradual decline in rates from 1999 to 2005. In 2007 the South Carolina rate was unchanged at 18.6% (US data for 2007 were not yet available). The 2007 rate of 18.6% represents about 38,000 youths in grades 9 through 12. Figure 64. Current (Past 30-day) Marijuana Use among Youths in Grades 9 through 12, South Carolina and US, 1995-2007 50 40 Percent 30 SC US 20 10 0 1995 1997 Source: Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 Year 79 YRBS subgroup data suggest that males have higher rates of current use compared to females, and an upward trend in use across grade levels (Figure 65). Figure 65. Current (Past 30-day) Marijuana Use among Youths in Grades 9 through 12, By Gender, Grade, and Race/Ethnicity, South Carolina, 2007 50 40 Percent 30 20 10 0 Male Female Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 White Black Total Source: 2007 Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 80 Looking at age groups in the NSDUH survey data, South Carolina and US current marijuana use rates in the 12- to 17 -year-old age group are gradually declining and are similar in South Carolina and the US (Figure 66). For 18- to 25-year-olds, the South Carolina use rate increased to 15.8% in 2005-2006, similar to the US rate, after declining the past three periods. The South Carolina 2005-2006 rates of 6.1 and 15.8 percent represent approximately 22,323 and 76,466 persons in these two age groups, respectively. Figure 66. Current (Past 30-day) Marijuana Use among Persons Age 12 and Over, By Age Group, South Carolina and US, 2002-2006 25 20 Ages 18 to 25 Percent 15 SC US 10 Ages 12 to 17 5 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 Year Source: SAMHSA Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Abuse and Health 81 Age of first marijuana use South Carolina and US youth report similar rates of first marijuana use before age 13 for all reporting periods (Figure 67). As with current use rates, early use rates have declined since 1999. In 2007 the South Carolina rate was essentially unchanged at 9.7% (US data for 2007 were not yet available). The 2007 rate represents about 20,000 youths in grades 9 through 12. Figure 67. Youths in Grades 9 through 12 Reporting First Marijuana Use before Age 13, South Carolina and US, 1995-2007 25 20 Percent 15 SC US 10 5 0 1995 1997 Source: Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 Year 82 Other illicit substance use Looking again at the same two age subgroups in the NSDUH survey data, there was no change in self-reported past month illicit substance use other than marijuana among these subgroups across the three reporting years, both in South Carolina and nationally (Figure 68). South Carolina and US rates were comparable. The South Carolina 2005-2006 rates of 4.9 and 8.6 percent represent approximately 17,932 and 41,621 persons in these two age groups, respectively. Figure 68. Other Illicit Drug Use in the Past Month among Persons Age 12 to 17 and 18 to 25, South Carolina and US, 2002-2006 12 10 Percent 8 Ages 18 to 25 SC 6 4 US Ages 12 to 17 2 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 Year Source: SAMHSA Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Abuse and Health 83 Figure 69 shows past year cocaine use among persons age 12 to 17 years and 18 to 25 years from 2002 to 2005 for South Carolina and the US. Use rates in South Carolina and the US were very similar for 12- to 17-year-olds but the 18- to 25-year-old rate for South Carolina may have decreased from 2004-2005 to 2005-2006. Cocaine use appears to be a concern among 18- to 25year olds, with use rates of about 5.9 percent, representing approximately 28,554 persons. Figure 69. Cocaine Use in Past Year among Persons Age 12 to 17 and 18 to 25, South Carolina and US, 2002-2006 10 9 8 Percent 7 Ages 18 to 25 6 SC 5 US 4 3 2 Ages 12 to 17 1 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 Year Source: SAMHSA Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Abuse and Health 84 Figure 70 shows past year nonmedical use of pain relievers among persons age 12 to 17 and 18 to 25 for South Carolina and the US from 2003 to 2005. Rates have decreased very slightly in the former group and increased slightly in the latter, and rates in South Carolina and the US have been similar. The South Carolina 2005-2006 rates represent approximately 24,885 and 63,883 persons in these two age groups, respectively. Figure 70. Nonmedical Use of Pain Relievers in Past Year among Persons Age 12 to 17 and 18 to 25, South Carolina and US, 2003-2005 18 16 14 Percent 12 Ages 18 to 25 10 SC 8 US 6 Ages 12 to 17 4 2 0 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 Year Source: SAMHSA Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Abuse and Health 85 Consequences of Illicit Drug Use Morbidity Since 2003, there has been a sizable annual increase in the number of persons per 1,000 population admitted to a hospital ER for a drug-related diagnosis, from 9.14 to 21.11 (Figure 71). The number of alcohol only and alcohol and drug-related admissions have been far smaller and have remained consistent since 2003. Figure 71. Number of Persons Admitted to Hospital ER for Drug-related Diagnoses per 1,000 of Population, South Carolina, 2003-2007 25 Rater per 1,000 Population 20 15 Alcohol & Drug Alcohol Only Drug Only 10 5 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Source: Office of Research and Statistics, SC Budget and Control Board Mortality Figure 72 shows death rates from drug use, abuse, or dependence in South Carolina and the US from 1990 to 2003. Although rates across all years appear to be higher in the US compared to South Carolina, these data should be interpreted with caution because the absolute rates are extremely low (less than 0.01 per 1000, of 1 in 100,000). The 2003 South Carolina rate represents only about 15 people. The attributable fractions tables in the Appendix of this report, and recent modifications to the way in which SEDS calculates these rates suggest that this value severely underestimates the actual numbers of deaths associated with drug abuse. 86 Figure 72. Number of Deaths from Drug Use, Abuse, or Dependence per 1000 Population, South Carolina and US, 1990-2003 0.010 0.009 0.008 Rate (per 1000 population) 0.007 0.006 SC US 0.005 0.004 0.003 0.002 0.001 0.000 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Year Source: National Vital Statistics System Death rates appear to increase with age to age 54 and then decrease (Figure 73). South Carolina death rates are lower than national rates for all ages, though again, rates are extremely small and should be interpreted with caution. Figure 73. Number of Deaths from Drug Use, Abuse, or Dependence per 100,000 Population, by Age Group, South Carolina and US, 2003 2.0 Rate (per 100,000 population) 1.5 SC 1.0 US 0.5 0.0 0-11 12-17 Source: National Vital Statistics System 18-20 21-29 30-34 35-54 55-64 65+ Age Group 87 Dependence or Abuse There were no differences across reporting years or between South Carolina and the US as a whole in reported rates of illicit drug dependency in the past year among persons ages 12 to 17 and 18 to 25 years old (Figure 74). The South Carolina 2005-2006 rates represent approximately 16,834 and 38,233 persons in these two age groups, respectively. Figure 74. Illicit Drug Dependency or Abuse in Past Year among Persons Age 12 to 17 and 18 to 25, South Carolina and US, 2002-2006 12 10 8 Percent Ages 18 to 25 SC 6 4 US Ages 12 to 17 2 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 Year Source: SAMHSA Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Abuse and Health 88 Methamphetamine Laboratory Incidents Figure 75 shows total of all meth clandestine laboratory incidents from 2003 to 2007. Included in the number of incidents or seizures of meth labs, dumpsites, and chemical/glass/equipment use in the manufacture of the drug. These data show a sharp decrease in lab incidents beginning in 2004 down to a low of just 26 in 2007. Figure 75. Number of Methamphetamine Clandestine Laboratory Incidents, South Carolina, 2003-2007 180 160 Number of Incidents 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Source: National Clandestine Laboratory Database, US Drug Enforcement Administration Property crime Property crime, including larceny, burglary, and motor vehicle theft, is one consequence of illicit drug use and abuse. Figure 76 shows that property crime rates in the both South Carolina and the US as a whole have shown parallel trends with declines in the latter half of the 1990’s (with a lag noted for the South Carolina rate), but have remained relatively stable since that time, with the suggestion of slight declines from 2004 to 2006. The absolute rates for South Carolina have remained about 20% higher than those for the US as a whole. The 2006 rate represented 183,322 property crimes in South Carolina. 89 Figure 76. Number of Property Crimes Reported to Police per 1000 Population, 1995-2006 60 Rate (per 1000 population) 50 40 SC US 30 20 10 0 1995 1996 1997 Source: Uniform Crime Reporting Program 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Year 90 Summary of Illicit Drug Use and Consequences In summary, YRBS data indicated that current marijuana use has been gradually declining in both South Carolina and the US since 1999 with rates equivalent in the two regions. Males are at higher risk compared to females, and upper classmen are at higher risk than lower classmen. NSDUH survey data indicate that South Carolina and US current marijuana use rates in the 12to 17- -year-old age group are gradually declining and are similar in both regions. There was an increase in the South Carolina marijuana use rate for 18- to 25-year-olds in 2005-2006. Rates of first use before age 13 are similar in both South Carolina and the US. Rates of using other illicit substances and using cocaine in particular are also similar in the two regions and have remained stable during the three reporting periods. Nonmedical pain reliever use rates among South Carolina and US 12- to 17-year-olds and 18- to 25-year-olds from 2003 to 2006 were comparable in the two regions. Death rates from drug use, abuse, or dependence have been higher in the US compared to South Carolina since 1990, though low rates make it difficult to make definitive statements. The 2003 rate is substantially lower than the high in 2000. Dependence and abuse rates by age match consumption patterns by age, and there were no differences across reporting years or between South Carolina and the US as a whole in reported rates of illicit drug dependency in the past year among persons ages 12 to 17 and 18 to 25 years old. Property crime rates have consistently remained about 20% higher in South Carolina compared to the US from 1995 to 2006. 91 General Causal Factors Most data in this assessment is organized by alcohol, tobacco, or marijuana and other drugs. However, some risk and protective factors (causal factors) for the state apply equally to substance use and other behaviors. We describe these factors below, organized by “domains,” the parts of an individual’s everyday environment (community, family, school, peers, and the individuals themselves). Community One measure of risk in a community is the general economic situation. Data from the US Census Bureau indicate that median household income in South Carolina, from 1997 to 2005, remained about 10% to lower than median household income for the US as a whole, and significantly lower for all time points (non-overlapping confidence bands in Figure 77 below). Figure 77. South Carolina and US Median Household Income, 1997-2007 Median household income (dollars) 60000 50000 40000 US 30000 South Carolina 20000 10000 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates Census Bureau data also indicate that, from 1997 to 2007, a significantly higher percent of South Carolina households were considered in poverty, compared to US households. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, in 2005 the poverty level for a family of four was $18,850. This is a national figure and does not take into account geographical location (Figure 78). 92 Figure 78. Percent of South Carolina and US Households Living Below Poverty Level, 19972007 25 20 Percent 15 South Carolina US 10 5 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates 93 From 1999 to 2006, a higher percentage of students in South Carolina have qualified for the federal Free and Reduced Price Lunch Program, compared to students living in the US as a whole. There was a sharp decrease in 2006 in the US, but this was not seen in the South Carolina rate. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, for a family of four their annual income could be no more than $35,798 to qualify for reduced price meals in 2005. The annual income for free meals was $25,155 (Figure 79). Figure 79. Percent of South Carolina and US Students Eligible for the Free and Reduced-Price Lunch Program, 1998-2006 60 50 Percent 40 SC 30 US 20 10 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Year Source: National Center for Education Statistics 94 Fluctuations in South Carolina’s average unemployment rates have mirrored those of the state as a whole, but the state rate has been consistently above the national average since 2003 (Figure 80). The average unemployment rate in South Carolina, currently 6.1%, has remained above six percent since 2003 but is trending downward, while the national rate peaked at 6.0% in 2003 and declined more rapidly afterward to 4.6% in 2006 and 2007. Figure 80. Average South Carolina and US Unemployment Rates, 1997-2007 10 9 8 7 Percent 6 South Carolina 5 US 4 3 2 1 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Family Undoubtedly, characteristics of the family greatly influence the behaviors of both the adults and youth within that family. One of those characteristics, family disorganization, can be measured in several ways, including percent of households with a single head of household, percent of live births to unmarried mothers, and percent of households headed by a grandparent. Data from the 2000 US Census indicate that South Carolina had 2.7% more of its households headed by a single parent, when compared to the national average (Figure 81). 95 Figure 81. Percent of South Carolina and US Households with a Single (Unmarried) Head of Household, 2000 50 40 30 Percent 26.0 23.3 20 10 0 South Carolina US Source: U.S. Census 2000 From 1997 to 2005, rates of live births to unmarried mothers have been about 15% to 20% higher in South Carolina compared to the US as a whole, with both rates trending upward (Figure 82). Figure 82. Percent of South Carolina and US Live Births to Unmarried Mothers, 1997-2005 50 40 Percent 30 SC US 20 10 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Year Source: National Center for Health Statistics, National Vital Statistics System 96 According to 2000 US Census data, 4.4% of South Carolina households are headed by a grandparent, compared to 3.4% for the US as a whole (Figure 83). Figure 83. Percent of South Carolina and US Households with Grandparent as Head of Household, 2000 10 9 8 7 Percent 6 5 4.4 4 3.4 3 2 1 0 South Carolina US Source: U.S. Census 2000 97 Family conflict is also a risk factor. In 2004 there were 24% fewer family assaults per 10,000 residents in South Carolina compared to the state as a whole (Figure 84). Figure 84. Number of Family Assaults per 10,000 Residents, South Carolina (2004) and US (1998-2002) 150 Assaults per 10,000 residents 126.8 100 80.5 50 0 South Carolina US Sources: State Law Enforcement Division, SC Incident-Based Reporting System, 2005; US Department of Justice, Office of Justice Programs, 2005 Summary of General Causal Factors General causal factors for the use and abuse of alcohol, tobacco and other drugs range from the characteristics of the community and home, to the impacts of school and peers. In particular, youth are more likely to use alcohol, tobacco, or other drugs if they do not perceive much harm from use, and do not believe that it is wrong for people their age to drink, smoke, or use other drugs; associate with peers who use or value alcohol; family and community attitudes do not discourage early use behavior; and substances are readily available. The economic health of a community is a strong contributing factor to the use of alcohol, tobacco, and other drugs. From 1997 to 2007 the annual median household income for South Carolina was lower than the national average. In 2007, the median household income for South Carolina was $43,508, compared to a national average of $50,740. Between 1997 and 2007, a higher percent of households in South Carolina were considered to be in poverty, compared to the national average. In 2007, 15.1% of South Carolina households were in poverty, compared to 13.0% of US households. Related to this finding is the percent of South Carolina and US students qualifying for the Free and Reduced Price Lunch Program. In 2006, over half (51%) of South Carolina students qualified for this program, while 41% of students qualified nationally. For a family of four, annual income could be no more than $35,798 to qualify for reduced price meals in 2005. The annual income for free meals was $25,155. Unemployment is also a measure of statewide and national economic health. South Carolina’s 2007 average unemployment rate 98 was 6.1 percent and peaked at 6.8 percent in 2004, while the national rate peaked at 6.0 percent in 2003 and was at 4.6 percent in 2007. The makeup and dynamics of individual families play a significant role in both adult and youth behavior. Family disorganization is a leading cause of youths’ unhealthy habits regarding alcohol, tobacco and other drug use. Specifically, disruptive family characteristics include single parent families, births to unmarried mothers, households headed by a grandparent, and family conflict. According to Census 2000 data, 2.7% more South Carolina households headed by a single parent compared to US households. Likewise, the rate of births to unmarried mothers from 1997 to 2005 has been about 15% to 20% higher in South Carolina compared to the state. Households headed by a grandparent are not considered to be the ideal family environment. Census 2000 data indicate that 4.4% of South Carolina households were headed by a grandparent, compared to 3.4 percent for the US as a whole. Finally, family conflict is a risk factor for inappropriate behavior among the community’s youth. South Carolina reported 37% fewer family assaults per 10,000 residents compared to the national rate. 99 CONCLUSIONS Summary of Findings on Indicators Tables 3, 4, and 5 summarize findings regarding trends across recent years, rate ratios comparing rates for South Carolina and US populations, and high risk groups for each of the indicators examined in this report. Indicator characteristics of greater immediate concern to the South Carolina SEOW are indicated in red (upwardly trending rates and/or high rate ratios). In addition, high risk groups indicate which groups are particularly vulnerable and could be targeted for preventive interventions. As indicated in the tables below, youth current alcohol use in South Carolina is trending downward and identical (rate ratio=1.00) to that for the US as a whole, with highest use rates among whites, other races, and 11th and 12th graders. Early use (before age 13) rates are also identical to those for the US as a whole, with other races having higher risk of early use. Youth binge use rates are lower compared to national rates, with higher risk among males, whites, and other races. Drinking and driving remains a problem in South Carolina despite a downward trend in the rate and is especially prevalent among males, whites, and 11th and 12th graders. Being a passenger in a car with a drinking driver is also problematic despite downward trending rates, with highest risk noted among whites and other races. Adult rates of current and binge alcohol use are below national averages. Males, whites, and those aged 18 to 44 are at highest risk for current alcohol use; Males and whites are also at highest risk for binge and heavy use. As mentioned in the body of this report, tobacco use and consequence rates were all higher than national averages, even though use rates were by and large trending downward. Rate ratios for youth smokeless tobacco use, early cigarette use, and daily cigarette use all exceeded 1.2, meaning that use rates were much higher compared to the national average. Among adults, the rates of 30-day and daily cigarette use are also elevated compared to national rates. As smoking is the leading preventable cause of death and disability in the US and in South Carolina, tobacco use and its consequences deserve continued close monitoring in the South Carolina population. Current youth marijuana use rates are trending downward and just under the national average, but the early use rate is higher than the national average. Almost all of the alcohol-, tobacco-, and drug-related consequences occur at higher rates in South Carolina compared to the US. Although trending downward, rates of risky sexual behavior among youths in grades 9-12 are especially high in South Carolina, particularly for early initiation of sex, ever having had sex, sex with four or more partners, and sex in the past three months. The SEOW will strongly consider as a high priority those indicators which are both trending upward and have rate ratios much greater than 1.0. However, nearly all of the indicators listed warrant close attention, since rate ratios are all greater than 1.0, and attention should be paid to those far exceeding 1.0. For example, the rate ratio for mortality from motor vehicle crashes (1.61) and for deaths attributable to HIV (1.42) are both indicators of great concern. 100 Table 3. Summary of Consumption Indicators Population Substance Indicator Trend1 Rate (%)2 Rate High Risk Groups Ratio 3 Youths in grades 9-12 alcohol Adults (> age 18) Youths in grades 9-12 cigarettes Adults (> age 18) smokeless tobacco cigarettes Youths in grades 9-12 marijuana 30-day use ↓ 43.2 first use before age 13 binge use drinking and driving ↓ ↓ ↓ 25.6 23.6 11.5 passenger with drinking driver ↓ 30.0 1.00 whites, other races, 11th and 12th graders 1.00 other races 0.93 males, whites, other races 1.16 males, whites, 11th and 12th graders 1.05 whites, other races 30-day use binge use heavy use ↑ − ↑ 47.5 13.9 5.6 0.87 males, whites, ages 18-44 0.88 males, whites, ages 25-34 1.08 males, whites, ages 18-24, 35-44 30-day use ↓ 23.5 first use before age 13 daily use ↓ ↓ 19.6 11.4 30-day use ↑ 10.7 1.02 whites, other races, 11th and 12th graders 1.23 whites 1.21 whites, other races, 11th and 12th graders 1.34 30-day use daily use ↓ ↓ 21.9 16.2 1.11 males, whites, ages 25-34 1.12 males, whites, blacks, ages 25-34 30-day use ↓ 19.0 0.94 males, other races first use before age 13 ↓ 9.5 1.09 males, other races 1 Trends are for the years 1996 to 2005 for youths in grades 9-12 but omit years 2001 and 2003 because the YRBS was not conducted in South Carolina during those years, and are for the years 1999 to 2006 for adults (≥ age 18). Arrows indicate trend direction. 2 Rate is for 2005 since US data for 2007 are not yet available for direct rate comparisons. 3 Rate Ratio = SC rate/US rate. A ratio > 1 indicates that the SC rate is higher than the US rate. 101 Table 4. Summary of Consequences Indicators Population Youths in grades 912 Substance Alcohol & Other Drugs Women (ages 15-19) All ages Ages 12-17 Ages 18-25 All ages Ages 16 and older All ages Tobacco Indicator Sexual Activity (% reporting) sex before age 13 ever had sex sex with 4 or more people in lifetime alcohol/drugs before last sex 90 day sex 90 day condom before sex* 90 day BCP before sex* Teen births (live births per 1,000) HIV (cases per 100,000) AIDS (cases per 100,000) Dependence/Abuse (% reporting) alcohol illicit drugs alcohol illicit drugs Motor vehicle accidents fatal accidents involving alcohol (%) vehicle deaths involving alcohol (per 100,000) drivers involved in fatal crashes who used alcohol (%) nighttime single-vehicle crashes (per 1,000) Property crime (offenses per 1,000) Violent crime (offenses per 1,000) Age-adjusted mortality (per 100,000)4 chronic liver disease and cirrhosis unintentional injuries motor vehicle crashes firearm-related suicides homicides HIV Mortality (per 100,000) ischemic cerebrovascular disease lung diseases lung cancer cardiovascular disease Rate (%)2 Rate Ratio3 ↓ 9.2 1.48 ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↑ ↑ ↓ ↓ ↑ 52.3 18.8 24.8 37.5 67.4 17.9 52.1 176.8 195.9 1.12 1.31 1.06 1.11 1.07 0.98 1.27 1.23 1.10 − − ↑ ↓ 4.5 4.56 14.84 7.92 0.83 0.98 0.84 0.97 ↑ ↑ 50.3 12.1 1.22 2.06 ↓ 24.8 1.23 ↓ 3.48 NA ↓ ↓ 42.4 7.7 1.27 1.64 ↑ ↑ ↑ ↓ − ↓ ↓ 10.4 49.9 24.4 13.6 11.3 7.7 6.4 1.16 1.27 1.61 1.36 1.04 1.31 1.42 ↑ ↑ ↑ ↓ 83.0 41.0 59.5 222.0 1.23 1.02 1.01 1.02 Trend1 1 Trends are for the years 1996 to 2005 for youths in grades 9-12 but omit years 2001 and 2003 because the YRBS was not conducted in South Carolina during those years; for the years 1999 to 2007 for adults (≥ age 18) (BRFS); for the years 2002 to 2006 for persons 102 ages 12 to 17 and 18 to 25 (NSDUH); for the years 1995 to 2006 for motor vehicle accidents (FARS); for 1995 to 2006 for crimes (UCR); and for 1990 to 2004 for mortality rates. Arrows indicate trend direction. 2 Rates for youths in grades 9-12 are for 2005 since US data for 2007 are not yet available for direct rate comparisons. 3 Rate Ratio = SC rate/US rate. A ratio > 1 indicates that the SC rate is higher than the US rate. 4 Source for 2004 age-adjusted death rates was the National Vital Statistics Reports, 55(19), Table 29 http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr55/nvsr55_19.pdf * Decreasing trends and lower rate ratios are worse for these indicators. NA = Not available. Table 5. Summary of Causal Factors Population Indicator General Median household income* Households living below poverty level Students on free and reduced lunch Unemployment rates Households with single head of households Live births to unmarried mothers Households with grandparent as head of household Family assaults per 10,000 residents Trend1 ↑ ↓ NA ↑ NA Value/ Rate (%) $43,508 15.1 51.3 6.1 26.0 43.3 4.4 NA 80.5 Rate Ratio2 0.86 1.16 1.24 1.33 1.12 1.17 1.29 0.63 1 Arrows indicate general trend direction for years of data available. 2 Rate Ratio = SC rate/US rate. A ratio > 1 indicates that the state value or rate is higher than the US value or rate. * Decreasing trends and lower rate ratios are worse for these indicators. Data Limitations Where available, this document utilized data from national standardized surveys with wellestablished, proven, and sound methodologies. Despite efforts directed at ensuring the quality of data collection and analyses, measures are often subject to limitations of availability (e.g., gaps in survey administration in certain years), time lag (between administration, data processing, and analysis on the one hand and important environmental inputs such as policy or program initiatives on the other hand), error (sampling, measurement, etc.), bias (e.g., reporting), and other shortcomings. It is important to acknowledge these methodological and reporting issues in order to exclude from consideration those data sets that have too many weaknesses to be informative and to attach less importance to those data sets that have several limitations but still some usefulness. Additionally, identifying and understanding the limitations in the data are important to guide data analyses and interpretation of findings. Failure to consider the weaknesses in data sets can lead to inaccurate assessments of the problem and the adoption of erroneous conclusions. Limitations of the data in this profile include: • Age-adjustment: not age-adjusting the consequences data could lead one to misinterpretations due to differing age structures of US and South Carolina populations. For example, the mortality rates in this profile were not age-adjusted. If there are significantly higher proportions of older or younger adults in South Carolina compared 103 to the US, some of the differences in mortality rates could be attributed to this age distribution difference, rather than to an actual difference in mortality rates. • Small numbers: as mentioned above, estimates derived from small numbers are likely to be imprecise estimates of the actual population value of an indicator. • Identifying meaningful differences: we chose to use CIs where possible to identify between-group differences. It should be acknowledged that there are different methods to calculate the CI which would obviously affect CI values and hence interpretations of between-group differences. • Use of response indicators for assessment: certain indicators (e.g., arrest, treatment data, school suspensions) are typically influenced by a variety of factors in addition to the underlying substance use patterns (e.g., funding, personnel/staff resources, and institutional priorities). As a result, they may reflect a ‘response’ to the problem rather than the underlying pattern of substance use or negative consequences. For example, a zero tolerance policy implemented by law enforcement may result in increased DUI arrests without an actual increase in the percent of people drinking and driving. Caution should be exercised while using and drawing conclusions from such ‘response’ indicators. As another example, the indicators related to sexual activity, teen births, and HIV/AIDS do not meet criteria for inclusion in the SEDS indicators, primarily because their attribution to alcohol is not well-defined, and there are no known data sources for identifying incidents that are alcohol-attributable. • ‘Short’- vs. ‘long’-term consequences: some long-term consequences indicators (e.g., alcoholic cirrhosis deaths) may not be useful for short-term evaluation as they may not change within a short frame of time. However, these consequences may indicate an underlying consumption pattern noteworthy of attention (chronic heavy use of alcohol), which may not be picked up by existing population surveys. • Attributable fractions: These fractions are inexact and may be subject to reporting bias, among other problems. However, in theory they allow attribution to the substance (alcohol, tobacco, or drugs) rather than to broad categories of disease that may be only partially attributable to the substance, so in that respect provide a more accurate picture of numbers of deaths due to substance use. 104 APPENDIX Constructs and Indicators Table A1 lists the indicators of ATOD consumption and consequences, data sources, geographic levels, and associated National Outcome Measures (NOMS) for which data are available in South Carolina. Table A1. Indicators of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Other Drug Consumption and Consequences, Data Sources and Geographic Levels, and Associated National Outcome Measures Construct Apparent per capita ethanol consumption Current alcohol use Current binge drinking Heavy drinking Age of initial alcohol use Drinking and driving Consumption of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Other Drugs (ATOD) Indicator Data Geographic Source Levels Total sales of ethanol (as estimated in gallons) in beer, wine and spirits per capita aged 14 and over AEDS National, State Percent of persons aged 12 and older reporting any use of alcohol in the past 30 days Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 reporting any use of alcohol in the past 30 days Percent of persons aged 18 and over reporting any use of alcohol in the past 30 days Percent of persons aged 12 and older reporting having five or more drinks on at least one occasion in the past 30 days Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 reporting having 5 or more drinks on at least one occasion in the past 30 days Percent of persons aged 18 and older reporting having 5 or more drinks on at least one occasion in the past 30 days Percent of adults aged 18 and older reporting average daily alcohol consumption greater than 2 (male) drinks or greater than 1 drink (female) per day Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 who report first use of alcohol before age 13 Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 reporting driving in the past 30 days when they had been drinking alcohol Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 who report riding in a car driven by someone who has been drinking Percent of adults aged 18 and older reporting driving after having “perhaps too much to drink” in past 30 days NSDUH National, State National, State National, State National, State YRBS BRFS NSDUH YRBS National, State BRFS National, State BRFS National, State YRBS National, State National, State YRBS YRBS BRFSS SAMHSA NOM Domain Reduced Morbidity Reduced Morbidity Reduced Morbidity Reduced Morbidity National, State National, State 105 Total cigarette consumption per capita Current tobacco use Daily cigarette use Age of initial tobacco use Current illicit drug use Lifetime illicit drug use Age of initial marijuana use Number of packs of cigarettes taxed at the wholesale level per capita aged 18 and older State excise tax data National, State Percent of persons aged 12 and older reporting any use of smokeless tobacco in the past 30 days Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 reporting any use of smokeless tobacco in the past 30 days Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 reporting any use of cigarettes in the past 30 days Percent of persons aged 18 and older who report smoking 100 or more cigarettes in their lifetime and now smoke cigarettes either every day or on some days Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 who report smoking cigarettes on 20 or more days within the past 30 days Percent of adults aged 18 and older who report smoking 100 cigarettes in their lifetime and now smoke every day Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 initiating tobacco use before age 13 NSDUH National, State National, State National, State National, State Percent of persons aged 12 and older reporting any use of marijuana in the past 30 days Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 reporting any use of marijuana in the past 30 days Percent of persons aged 12 and older reporting use of any illicit drug other than marijuana, or an abusable product that an be obtained legally, in the past 30 days Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 reporting the use of cocaine in the past 30 days Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 reporting any use of specific classes of illicit drugs in their lifetime Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 reporting first use of marijuana before age 13 YRBSS YRBSS BRFSS Reduced Morbidity Reduced Morbidity Reduced Morbidity Reduced Morbidity YRBSS National, State BRFSS National, State National, State Reduced Morbidity National, State National, State National, State Reduced Morbidity Reduced Morbidity Reduced Morbidity National, State National, State National, State Reduced Morbidity YRBSS NSDUH YRBSS NSDUH YRBSS YRBSS YRBSS Reduced Morbidity Consequences of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Other Drugs (ATOD) Construct Indicator Data Source Alcoholrelated mortality Number of deaths from cirrhosis per 1000 population NVSS Number of deaths from suicide per 1000 population NVSS Number of deaths from homicide per 1000 population NVSS Geographic Levels SAMHSA NOM Domain National, State, County National, State, County National, 106 Alcoholrelated motor vehicle crashes Alcoholrelated crime Dependence or abuse Tobaccorelated mortality Percent of fatal motor vehicle crashes for which at least one driver, pedestrian, or cyclist had been drinking FARS Number of vehicle deaths in which at least one driver, pedestrian, or cyclist had been drinking per 1000 population Percent of drivers involved in fatal crashes who used alcohol FARS FARS Number of single vehicle nighttime crashes per 1000 SC Dept. of population aged 16 and older Transportat ion Total Alcohol-Related Crash Fatalities for Ages 15-20, SC Dept. of South Carolina Transportat ion Leading Age for Youth Alcohol Related Crashes, South SC Dept. of Carolina Transportat ion UCR Number of violent crimes (aggravated assaults, sexual assaults, and robberies) reported to police per 1000 population Percent of population aged 12 and older meeting DSMNSDUH IV criteria for alcohol abuse or dependence Number of deaths from lung cancer and oropharyngeal NVSS cancer per 1000 population Number of deaths from COPD and emphysema per 1000 NVSS population Number of deaths from cardiovascular disease per 1000 population NVSS Drug-related morbidity Number of persons admitted to hospital ER for alcoholand drug-related diagnoses (as per ICD-10 codes) per 1000 population Drug-related mortality Number of deaths from illicit drug use per 1000 population SC Office of Research and Statistics NVSS Drug-related crime Number of property crimes (larceny, burglary, MV theft) reported to police per 1000 population UCR State, County National, State, County National, State, County National, State, County State, County State State National, State, County National, State National, State, County National, State, County National, State, County Crime and Criminal Justice Crime and Criminal Justice Crime and Criminal Justice Crime and Criminal Justice Crime and Criminal Justice Crime and Criminal Justice Crime and Criminal Justice State National, State, County National, State, County Crime and Criminal Justice 107 Number of Methamphetamine Clandestine Laboratory Incidents Illicit drug dependence or abuse Percent of persons aged 12 and older meeting DSM-IV criteria for drug abuse or dependence School connectedness Number of ATOD-related suspensions and expulsions Attendance and enrollment Early, increased, or risky sexual activity Increased teen births Increased HIV/AIDS cases Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 reporting having sexual intercourse before age 13 Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 reporting ever having had sexual intercourse Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 reporting having had sexual intercourse in the past three months Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 reporting having used alcohol or drugs before last sexual intercourse Percent of students in grades 9 through 12 reporting having used a condom before last sexual intercourse Number of live births per 1000 women ages 15-19, 1517, and 18-19 Number of HIV cases per 100,000 population Number of AIDS cases by method of transmission Construct Social norms regarding use Work and school norms US Drug Enforceme nt Agency NSDUH National, State NCES, SC Dept. of Education NCES, SC Dept. of Education YRBSS National, State Education/ Employment National, State Education/ Employment YRBSS YRBSS YRBSS YRBSS NVSS HIV/AIDS Surveillanc e Report HIV/AIDS Surveillanc e Report National, State National, State National, State National, State National, State National, State National, State National, State National, State Additional Substance Abuse Prevention National Outcome Measures Not Falling under the Categories of Consumption or Consequences Indicator Data Geographic Source Levels Survey questions on perceived risk/ harm from use of NSDUH National, ATOD State Survey questions on perception of disapproval/ attitudes NSDUH National, towards ATOD State Survey question of attitude towards employers who NSDUH National, randomly test employees for drug or alcohol use State SAMHSA NOM Reduced Morbidity Reduced Morbidity Reduced Morbidity 108 regarding use Number of school ATOD-related suspensions and expulsions School attendance and enrollment data Social Support/ Survey questions on family communication around drug connectedness use Increased access to prevention services Number of persons served by age, gender, race and ethnicity Increased retention in treatment for substance abuse Total number of evidence-based programs and strategies Cost effectiveness Percent of youth seeing (reading, watching, listening to) a prevention message Services provided within cost bands (under development) NCES, SC Dept. of Education NCES, SC Dept. of Education NSDUH MDS/ Prevention Database Builder; SC DAODAS and SC DHHS MDS/ Prevention Database Builder; SC DAODAS and SC DHHS NSDUH CSAP/ Prevention Template Use of To be collected from CSAP records and/or as reported in MDS/ evidence-based MDS, Database Builder, and the Prevention Platform Prevention practices Database Builder Note: Sources for this information include the SAMHSA SEDS and NOMS websites (http://www.epidcc.samhsa.gov/, http://www.nationaloutcomemeasures.samhsa.gov/). National, State Employment/ Education National, State Employment/ Education National, State Social Connectedness Access/ Service Capacity National, State National, State Retention National, State National, State Retention National, State Cost Effectiveness Use of Evidence Based Practices 109 Data Sources Background information on the Strategic Prevention Framework and the National Outcomes Measures (NOMS) came from the US Department of Health and Human Services (USDHHS), Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) website (http://www.nationaloutcomemeasures.samhsa.gov/./outcome/index.asp; http://www.nationaloutcomemeasures.samhsa.gov/./outcome/Accessible/NOMsSPF2k6.asp?CD DID=1), and from the USDHHS, SAMHSA, Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP), Data Coordinating Center (DCC), State Epidemiological Data System (SEDS) website (http://www.epidcc.samhsa.gov/). In addition, the CSAP DCC SEDS provided data on ATOD consumption and consequences. The primary sources for these data are noted below. Much of the data summarized in the body of this report came from publicly available sources, including NIH-sponsored US national and state surveys on substance use among youths and adults in South Carolina and the United States. Data on per capita ethanol consumption (gallons of ethanol, based on population age 14 and older) for States, census regions, and the United States, 1970-2003 came from the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (NIAAA) http://www.niaaa.nih.gov/Resources/DatabaseResources/QuickFacts/AlcoholSales/consum03.ht m. Data on alcohol sales tax rates came from the Tax Foundation (http://www.taxfoundation.org). Data on youth and adult ATOD consumption indicators and on additional NOMS came from the USDHHS, SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies (OAS), National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) https://nsduhweb.rti.org/ The NSDUH has been used consistently for many years by many different surveillance systems. It is the only national source currently providing prevalence estimates for both adolescents and adults for every state. However, it does not capture the frequency of drug use, and State-level estimates for most states are based on relatively small samples. Although augmented by model-based estimation procedures, estimates for specific age groups have relatively low precision (i.e., large confidence intervals). The estimates are provided directly by SAMHSA and raw data that could be used for alternative calculations (e.g., demographic subgroups) are not available. The estimates are subject to bias due to self-report and non-response (refusal/no answer). More localized versions of the survey are not conducted. Data on youth ATOD consumption indicators came from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion (NCCDPHP), Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System (YRBSS) http://www.cdc.gov/HealthyYouth/data/index.htm. The YRBSS has been used consistently for many years by many different surveillance systems. YRBSS estimates are typically based on larger samples that the NSDUH and can be further disaggregated by grade level, gender, and race/ethnicity. Some states also collect YRBSS data for individual communities or school districts, which can be compared to state-level data. However, this survey does not capture the frequency of drug use on any one occasion. Not all states participate, and some participating states do not provide representative samples. YRBSS is a school-based survey, so students who have dropped out of school are not captured. It is also subject to bias due to self-report, noncoverage (refusal by selected school to participate) and non-response (refusal/no answer). Estimates for subgroups may have relatively low precision (i.e., large confidence intervals). 110 (Note: The YRBSS did not achieve an adequate number of respondents in South Carolina in 2001 and 2003 to have representative data. Data for years 1995 through 1999 were obtained from the State Epidemiological Data System (SEDS) website http://www.epidcc.samhsa.gov/). Additional state-level data on youth tobacco consumption came from the South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control, Division of Tobacco Prevention and Control, South Carolina Youth Tobacco Survey (YTS), 2006 www.dhec.sc.gov/health/chcdp/tobacco. Data on average daily membership in South Carolina public high schools came from the South Carolina Department of Education, Office of Research average daily membership files http://ed.sc.gov/agency/offices/research/DailyMembership.html. Data on adult ATOD consumption came from the CDC, NCCDPHP, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) http://www.cdc.gov/brfss/technical_infodata/surveydata/2005.htm. The BRFSS provides prevalence estimates of adult use for every state. State-level estimates are typically based on larger samples than the National Survey on Drug Use and Health and may be further disaggregated by age, gender, and race/ethnicity. The BRFSS is a telephone survey subject to potential bias due to self-report, non-coverage (households without phones), and non-response (refusal/no answer). Estimates for subgroups may have relatively low precision (i.e., large confidence intervals). Survey data may be accurate to eight health service regions, but not to the county, although the survey does exceed a minimum sample size. (Note: data for years 1999 through 2003 were obtained from the State Epidemiological Data System (SEDS) website http://www.epidcc.samhsa.gov/). Substance Abuse Treatment Services data (unduplicated clients) for FY2000 – FY2005 came from the South Carolina Department of Alcohol and Other Drug Abuse Services (SCDAODAS). Data on Medicaid claims related to substance abuse for FY2000 – FY2005 came from the South Carolina Department of Health and Human Services (SCDHHS). Data on teen birth rates per 1,000 females aged 15 to 19 years came from the CDC National Vital Statistics Reports (http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr56/nvsr56_06.pdf). Data on alcohol use during the last trimester of pregnancy came from the South Carolina Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System (PRAMS) at the South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control website: http://www.scdhec.gov/co/phsis/biostatistics/index.asp?page=prams. Data on HIV/AIDS cases came from the CDC HIV/AIDS Surveillance Reports (http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/topics/surveillance/resources/reports/index.htm) and from a file available at the South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control website (http://www.dhec.sc.gov/health/disease/stdhiv/docs/HIVSTD%20Surveillance%20Report_12312 006.pdf) Mortality data came from the SEDS website (http://www.epidcc.samhsa.gov/), and from National Vital Statistics System (http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/deaths.htm). Updated (2004 & 2005) South Carolina mortality data were obtained from a mortality file available from the South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control website: 111 (http://www.scdhec.gov/co/phsis/biostatistics/an_pubs%5C2004DMS.pdf and http://www.scdhec.gov/co/phsis/biostatistics/an_pubs/2005DMS.pdf. State and national census data came from the SEDS website (http://www.epidcc.samhsa.gov/), from US Census Bureau files http://www.census.gov/, and from the South Carolina Office of Research and Statistics (http://www.sccommunityprofiles.org/census/scpop06.php). Data on teen births came from the National Center for Health Statistics National Vital Statistics System (http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr55/nvsr55_1_table11.pdf). Data on alcohol tax rates by state came from The Tax Foundation website: http://www.taxfoundation.org/taxdata/show/245.html. Data on cigarette tax rates by state came from reports available at the Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids website: http://www.tobaccofreekids.org/research/. Data on youth alcohol-related car crashes came from the South Carolina Department of Transportation. Hospital emergency room visits for alcohol- and drug-related diagnoses data comes from the SC Budget and Control Board Office of Research and Statistics. Data on methamphetamine clandestine incidents reported came from the National Clandestine Laboratory Database at the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration website: http://www.usdoj.gov/dea/concern/map_lab_seizures.html. 112 Attributable Fractions Attributable Fractions Tables Tables A2 – A4 list attributable mortality fractions for alcohol use, drug use, and smoking, as well as the sources for this information. Table A2. ICD 9/10 Codes for Alcohol-Attributable Mortality Fractions ICD-9 Diagnosis Category CHRONIC CONDITIONS 100% ATTRIBUTABLE TO ALCOHOL USE Alcoholic liver disease/cirrhosis CHRONIC CONDITIONS PARTIALLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO ALCOHOL USE Liver cirrhosis, unspecified Percent Age ICD-9 Code1 ICD-9CM Diagnosis Category2 ICD9CM Code3 ICD-10 Diagnosis Category ICD-10 Code 100 >20 571.0571.3 Alcoholic liver disease/cirrhosis 571.0571.3 Alcoholic liver disease K70.0-K70.9 40 >20 571.5571.9 Liver cirrhosis, unspecified 571.5571.9 Liver cirrhosis, unspecified K74.3-K74.6, K76.0, K76.9 ACUTE CONDITIONS 100% ATTRIBUTABLE TO ALCOHOL 113 USE Unintentional poisoning by alcoholic beverages 100 >15 E860.0 Accidental poisoning E860.0 by alcoholic beverages Unintentional poisoning by other and unspecified ethyl alcohol and its products and methyl alcohol Suicide by alcohol 100 >15 E860.1 E860.2 Unintentional E860.1 poisoning by other E860.2 and unspecified ethyl and methyl alcohol and its products 100 >15 -- Suicide by alcohol Homicide and injury purposely inflicted by other persons Hypothermia ACUTE CONDITIONS PARTIALLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO ALCOHOL USE Homicide and injury purposely inflicted by other persons Hypothermia 47 >15 E960E969 42 >15 E901 Unintentional falls 32 >15 Accidents caused by 42 >15 E880E888, E848 E890- Unintentional falls Accidents caused by Unintentional poisoning by and exposure to Ethyl or Methyl alcohol X45 (with T51.0 Ethyl Alcohol or T51.1 Methyl Alcohol diagnosis codes only) -- Suicide by alcohol X65 E960E969 All injury, homicide X85-Y09, Y87.1 E901 Hypothermia E880E888, E848 E890- Fall unintentional W93 (manmade), X31 (natural) W00-W19 Fire/flame X00-X09 114 fires and flames E899 fires and flames E899 unintentional Unintentional drowning and submersion Non-(ethyl)alcohol poisoning E910 Drowning unintentional E830E838 E840E845 E911 Water transport accidents Air and space transport accidents Aspiration Unintentional drowning and submersion Non-(ethyl)alcohol poisoning 34 >15 E910 29 >15 E850E858, E860.3E869 Water transport accidents Air and space transport accidents Aspiration 18 >15 18 >15 Water transport accidents Air and space transport 18 >15 E830E838 E840E845 E911 Firearm injuries 18 >15 E922 E922 Firearm injuries Occupational and machine injuries 18 >15 E917E920 Firearm injuries (includes new codes for air guns E922.4 and paintball guns E922.5) Occupational and machine injuries E917E920 Occupational and machine injuries Suicide and selfinflicted injury 23 >15 E950E959 Suicide and selfinflicted injury (includes new codes E950E959 Suicide, not by alcohol specifically E850Non-(ethyl)alcohol E858, poisoning E860.3E869 W65-W74 X40-X44, X46X49 Y10-Y14, Y16Y19 (poisoning undetermined intent, nonalcohol) V90-V94 V95-V97 W78 (inhalation of gastric contents)-W79 W32-W34 W20-W23 (struck by objects), W24W31 (machinery piercing) X60-X64, X66X84, Y87.0 115 for air guns E955.6 and paintball guns E955.7) Child maltreatment (overlaps with homicide/assault so need age group) Motor-vehicle non traffic crashes 16 <15 E960E968 18 >15 E820E825 Child maltreatment (overlaps with homicide/assault so need age group) Motor-vehicle non traffic crashes E960E968 E820E825 Child maltreatment (overlaps with homicide/assault so need age group) Motor-vehicle non traffic crashes X85-Y09, Y87.1 V02.0, V03.0, V04.0, V09.0, V12-V14(.0-.2), V19.0-V19.3, V20-V28(.0-.2), V29.0-V29.3, V30-V39(.0.3),V40-V49(.0.3), V50-V59(.0.3), V60-V69(.0.3), V70-V79(.0.3), V81.0, V82.0, V83-V86(.4-.9), V88.0-V88.8, V89.0 116 Other road vehicle crashes 18 >15 E800E807, E826E829 Other road vehicle crashes E800E807, E826E829 Other road vehicle crashes V01, V05-V06, V09.1, V09.3, V09.9, V10V11, V15-V18, V19.3, V19.8V19.9, V80.0V80.2, V80.6V80.9, V81.2V81.9, V82.2V82.9, V87.9, V88.9, V89.1, V89.3, V89.9 1 From http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/statab/gmwki_98.pdf 2 Yellow highlights indicate that ICD-9CM codes are more detailed than ICD-9 codes. 3 From http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/icd9.htm#RTF -- No corresponding ICD-9 or ICD-10 code available for that particular condition. Attributable Fraction Source: Alcohol-Related Disease Impact (ARDI) software – http://apps.nccd.cdc.gov/ARDI/HomePage.aspx 117 Table A3. ICD 9/10 Codes for Smoking-Attributable Mortality Fractions Disease Category ICD 10 Codes ICD 9 Codes MALIGNANT NEOPLASMS Trachea, Lung, Bronchus C33-C34 162 89% 87% 77% 67% CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES Ischemic Heart Disease I20-I25 40% 15% 35% 10% 21% 18% 12% 8% 38% 9% 43% 5% 89% 81% 91% 81% 83% 80% 80% 73% Other Heart Disease I00-I09, I26I51 Cerebrovascular Disease I60-I69 410-414, 429.2 390-398, 415-417, 420-429.1, 429.3-429.9 430-438 RESPIRATORY DISEASES Bronchitis, Emphysema Chronic Airway Obstruction J40-J42 J44 490-492 496 35-64 (%) 65 + (%) 35-64 (%) 65 + (%) Source: Smoking Attributable Mortality, Morbidity and Economic Costs (SAMMEC): http://apps.nccd.cdc.gov/sammec/saf_reports.asp 118 Table A4. ICD 9/10 Codes for Drug-Attributable Mortality Fractions Percent1 ICD-9 Code1,2 ICD-9CM Diagnosis Category3 ICD9CM Code4 ICD-10 Diagnosis Category CHRONIC CONDITIONS 100% ATTRIBUTABLE TO DRUG USE Drug psychosis 100 292 Drug psychosis [includes 5th digit codes with more specific drug induced mental disorders] 292 Mental and behavioral disorders due to psychoactive substance use (excluding alcohol and tobacco). [includes 4th characters: .0 acute intoxication, .1 harmful use, .2 dependence syndrome, .3 withdrawal state, .4 withdrawal state with delirium, .5 psychotic disorder, .6 amnesic syndrome, .7 residual and late-onset psychotic disorder, .8 other mental and behavioral disorders, .9 unspecified mental and behavioral disorder] Drug dependence 100 304 Drug dependence [includes 5th digit codes 0 unspecified, 1 continuous, 2 episodic, 3 in remission] 304 ICD-9 Diagnosis Category1 ICD-10 Code5 F11-F-16, F18 -- 119 Nondependent use of drugs 100 305.2305.9 Nondependent use of drugs [includes 5th digit codes 0 unspecified, 1 continuous, 2 episodic, 3 in remission] 305.2305.9 100 CHRONIC CONDITIONS PARTIALLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO DRUG USE AIDS ACUTE CONDITIONS 100% ATTRIBUTABLE TO DRUG USE Accidental poisoning by psychoactive drugs 286 AIDS (HIV-1 and HIV-2) 042, 079.53 -- Mental and behavioral disorders due to multiple drug use and use of other psychoactive substances [same 4th characters as F11F18] F19 AIDS B20-B24 Note: ICD-10 drug poisoning categories are not organized the same way as ICD-9. Overall should include X40-X44, X46. 120 Opiates and related narcotics 100 E850.0 Heroin, methadone, other opiates, and related narcotics Aromatic analgesics, not elsewhere classified 100 E850.2 Other non-narcotic analgesics 100 E850.5 Aromatic analgesics, not elsewhere classified Other non-narcotic analgesics Other 100 E850.8 Unspecified analgesics and antipyretics 100 E850.9 Barbituates 100 E851 Other sedatives and hypnotics Tranquilizers Other psychotropic agents (including antidepressants) 100 E852 100 100 E853 E854 Other drugs acting on the central and autonomic nervous system 100 E855 Other specified analgesics and antipyretics Unspecified analgesics and antipyretics Barbituates Other sedatives and hypnotics Tranquilizers Other psychotropic agents (including antidepressants) Other drugs acting on the central and autonomic nervous E850.0- Accidental poisoning by E850.2 and exposure to narcotics and psychodysleptics [hallucinogens], not elsewhere classified E850.4 E850.7 Accidental poisoning by and exposure to nonopioid analgesics, antipyretics and antirheumatics E850.8 E850.9 E851 Accidental poisoning by and exposure to antiepileptic, sedativehypnotic, antiparkinsonism and psychotropic drugs, not elsewhere classified E852 -- E853 E854 --- E855 Accidental poisoning by and exposure to other drugs acting on the autonomic X43, X46 121 system Accidental poisoning by drugs and medicaments Salicylates nervous system 100 E850.1 Salicylates E850.3 Pyrazole derivatives Antirheumatics Antibiotics Other anti-infectives Other and unspecified drugs, medicaments and biological substances 100 100 100 100 100 E850.3 E850.4 E856 E857 E858 Pyrazole derivatives Antirheumatics Antibiotics Other anti-infectives Other and unspecified drugs, medicaments and biological substances E850.5 E850.6 E856 E857 E858 Heroin, methadone, other opiates and related narcotics, and other drugs causing adverse effects in therapeutic use Self Inflicted Suicides with drugs and medicine Poisoning, Undetermined Intent Analgesics, antipyretics, and antirheumatics 100 E935.0935.2, E937E940 E935.0935.2, E937E940 -- 100 E950.0- Suicides with drugs .5 and medicine E950.0- Suicides with drugs and .5 medicine X60-X64 100 E980.0 E980.0 Y10 Analgesics, antipyretics, and antirheumatics (In ICD-10 these categories are already covered in X40-X43) Accidental poisoning by and exposure to other and unspecified drugs, medicaments and biological substances Nonopioid analgesics, antipyretics and antirheumatics ----X44 122 Barbituates 100 E980.1 Barbituates E980.1 Other sedatives and hypnotics Tranquilizers and other psychoactive agents 100 E980.2 E980.2 100 E980.3 Other sedatives and hypnotics Tranquilizers and other psychoactive agents Other specified drugs and medicinal agents 100 Unspecified drug or medicinal substance Other and unspecified solid and liquid substances ACUTE CONDITIONS PARTIALLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO DRUG USE Homicide and injury purposely inflicted by other persons E980.3 Other specified drugs and medicinal agents 100 100 E980.4 E980.5 100 E980.9 Other and unspecified solid and liquid E980.9 10 E960E969 Homicide and injury purposely inflicted by other persons E960E969 Unspecified drug or medicinal substance E980.4 E980.5 Antiepileptic, sedativehypnotic, antiparkinsonism and psychotropic drugs, not elsewhere classified (includes barbituates, tranquilizers) Y11 -Narcotics and psychodysleptics [hallucinogens], not elsewhere classified (includes most illicit narcotics, drugs acting on autonomic nervous system Y12 Other drugs acting on the autonomic nervous system Y13 Unspecified drugs, medicaments, biological substances Organic solvents and halogenated hydrocarbons and their vapors Y14 All injury, homicide Y16 X85-Y09, Y87.1 123 1 From Source: National Institute on Drug Abuse. The economic costs of alcohol and drug abuse in the United States 1992, Tables 5.5, 5.6, 6.8. http://www.drugabuse.gov/EconomicCosts/Index.html 2 From http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/statab/gmwki_98.pdf 3 Yellow highlights indicate that ICD-9CM codes are more detailed than ICD-9 codes. 4 From http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/icd9.htm#RTF 5 From http://www3.who.int/icd/vol1htm2003/fr-icd.htm 6 28% of AIDS cases were attributed to IV drug use in 2000 versus 36% of cases overall according to CDC ( http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/pubs/facts/idu.htm). The 1992 NIDA report attributed 32% of AIDS cases to IV drug use based on 1992 National Death Certificate data. -- No corresponding ICD-9 or ICD-10 code available for that particular condition. 124 Number of Deaths in South Carolina Attributable to Alcohol, Tobacco, and Drug Use Using the attributable fractions and ICD-10 codes listed in the tables above and 2005 mortality data from the SC DHEC, Tables A5 – A7 indicate the number of deaths in South Carolina in 2005 that can be attributed to alcohol, tobacco, or drug use, by diagnosis category. Table A5. Number of Deaths Attributable to Alcohol Use in South Carolina by ICD-10 Diagnosis Category, 2005 ICD-10 Diagnosis Category CHRONIC CONDITIONS 100% ATTRIBUTABLE TO ALCOHOL USE Mental and behavioral disorders due to use of alcohol Alcohol dependence syndrome Nondependent abuse of alcohol Degeneration of nervous system due to alcohol Alcoholic polyneuropathy Alcoholic cardiomyopathy Alcoholic myopathy Alcoholic gastritis Alcoholic liver disease Alcohol-induced chronic pancreatitis Fetal alcohol syndrome Alcohol affecting fetus Total CHRONIC CONDITIONS PARTIALLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO ALCOHOL USE Portal hypertension Acute pancreatitis Other pancreatitis (not alcohol induced) ICD-10 Code Percent Attributable to ETOH Age SC Deaths Above or Below Age (2005) SC ETOH Attributable Deaths (2005) F10.0-F10.1, F10.3-F10.9 100 >20 68 68 F10.2 -G31.2 G62.1 I42.6 G72.1 K29.2 K70.0-K70.9 K86.0 Q86.0 P04.3, O35.4 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 <15 <15 30 NA 1 0 5 0 0 251 14 0 0 369 30 1 0 5 0 0 251 14 0 0 369 K76.6 K85 K86.1 40 24 84 >20 >20 >20 2 57 8 1 14 7 125 Gastroesophageal hemorrhage Liver cirrhosis, unspecified Esophageal varicies Epilepsy Spontaneous abortion (female only) Total CHRONIC CONDITIONS PARTIALLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO ALCOHOL USE Liver cancer (male) Liver cancer (female) Oropharyngeal cancer (male) Oropharyngeal cancer (female) Esophageal cancer (male) Esophageal cancer (female) Laryngeal cancer (male) Laryngeal cancer (female) Chronic hepatitis (male) Chronic hepatitis (female) Superventricular cardiac dysrhythmia (male) Superventricular cardiac dysrhythmia (female) Stroke, ishemic (male) Stroke, ishemic (female) Stroke, hemorrhagic (male) Stroke, hemorrhagic (female) Breast cancer (female) Hypertension (male) Hypertension (female) Psoriasis (male only) K22.6 K74.3-K74.6, K76.0, K76.9 I85, I98.20, I98.21 G40, G41 O03 C22 C22 C01-C06, C09-C10, C12C14 C01-C06, C09-C10, C12C14 C15 C15 C32 C32 K73 K73 I47.1, I47.9, I48 I47.1, I47.9, I48 G45, I63, I65-I67, I69.3 G45, I63, I65-I67, I69.3 I60-I62, I69.0-I69.2 I60-I62, I69.0-I69.2 C50 I10-I15 I10-I15 L40.0-L40.4, L40.8, L40.9 47 40 >20 >20 2 282 1 113 40 15 4 >20 >20 >20 1 24 0 376 0 4 0 140 6 3 0.07 >20 >20 >20 157 63 79 9 2 0 0.03 >20 40 0 0.04 0.02 0.07 0.03 2 1 2 1 6 1 10 2 1 3 2 1 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 >20 174 38 56 8 1 1 67 119 107 219 299 323 654 349 486 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 2 30 6 7 10 10 0 126 Low birthweight, prematurity, IUGR, death (male) Low birthweight, prematurity, IUGR, death (female) Total ACUTE CONDITIONS 100% ATTRIBUTABLE TO ALCOHOL USE Finding of alcohol in blood Toxic effect of ethyl and methyl alcohol Unintentional poisoning by and exposure to ethyl or methyl alcohol Alcohol poisoning undetermined intent Suicide by alcohol Total ACUTE CONDITIONS PARTIALLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO ALCOHOL USE All injury, homicide Hypothermia Fall unintentional Fire/flame unintentional Drowning unintentional Non-(ethyl)alcohol poisoning Water transport accidents O36.4, O36.5, P05, P07 4 <15 49 2 O36.4, O36.5, P05, P07 3 <15 34 1 3323 66 R78.0 T51.0-T51.1 X45 (with T51.0 ethyl alcohol or T51.1 methyl alcohol diagnosis codes only) Y15 X65 100 100 100 >15 >15 >15 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 100 >15 >15 0 0 0 0 0 0 X85-Y09, Y87.1 W93 (manmade), X31 (natural) W00-W19 X00-X09 W65-W74 X40-X44, X46-X49 Y10-Y14, Y16-Y19 (poisoning undetermined intent, non-alcohol) V90-V94 47 42 >15 >15 593 9 279 4 32 42 34 29 >15 >15 >15 >15 207 67 57 394 66 28 19 114 18 >15 12 2 127 Air and space transport accidents Aspiration Firearm injuries Occupational and machine injuries Suicide, not by alcohol specifically Child maltreatment (overlaps with homicide/assault so need age group) Motor-vehicle non traffic crashes Other road vehicle crashes V95-V97 W78 (inhalation of gastric contents)-W79 W32-W34 W20-W23 (struck by objects), W24-W31 (machinery piercing) X60-X64, X66-X84, Y87.0 X85-Y09, Y87.1 V02.0, V03.0, V04.0, V09.0, V12-V14(.0-.2), V19.0-V19.3, V20V28(.0-.2), V29.0-V29.3, V30-V39(.0.3),V40-V49(.0.3), V50-V59(.0.3), V60-V69(.0.3), V70-V79(.0.3), V81.0, V82.0, V83-V86(.4-.9), V88.0-V88.8, V89.0 V01, V05-V06, V09.1, V09.3, V09.9, V10-V11, V15-V18, V19.3, V19.8V19.9, V80.0-V80.2, V80.6-V80.9, V81.2V81.9, V82.2-V82.9, V87.9, V88.9, V89.1, V89.3, V89.9 18 18 >15 >15 15 17 3 3 18 18 >15 >15 33 36 6 6 23 >15 449 103 16 <15 10 2 18 >15 254 46 18 >15 4 1 128 Total GRAND TOTAL 2157 682 1257 Table A6. Number of Deaths Attributable to Tobacco Use in South Carolina by ICD-10 Diagnosis Category, 2005 Age 35-64 Age 65+ SC Tobacco SC Tobacco SC Attributable Attributable Deaths Deaths SC Deaths Deaths ICD-10 Diagnosis Category ICD-10 Code Percent (2005) (2005) Percent (2005) (2005) MALIGNANT NEOPLASMS Lip, oral cavity, pharynx C00-C14 77 63 49 71 72 51 Esophagus C15 72 84 60 72 128 92 Stomach C16 28 75 21 27 100 27 Pancreas C25 28 145 41 19 324 62 Larynx C32 84 28 24 82 35 29 Trachea, lung, bronchus C33-C34 89 889 791 87 1811 1576 Cervix uteri C53 31 27 Kidney and renal pelvis C64-C65 40 54 22 38 140 53 Urinary bladder C67 48 31 15 46 145 67 Acute myeloid leukemia C92.0 24 22 5 22 72 16 Total 1422 1028 2854 1973 CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES Ischemic heart disease Other heart disease Cerebrovascular disease Atherosclerosis Aortic aneurysm Other arterial disease Total I20-I25 I00-I09, I26-I51 I60-I69 I70 I71 I72-I78 40 21 38 32 66 22 1461 729 394 5 42 24 2655 584 153 150 2 28 5 922 15 18 9 26 64 11 2305 2482 2034 64 182 165 7232 346 447 183 17 116 18 1127 129 RESPIRATORY DISEASES Pneumonia, influenza Bronchitis, emphysema Chronic airway obstruction Total GRAND TOTAL J10-J18 J40-J42 J44 23 89 81 102 1 264 23 1 214 22 91 81 642 11 1374 2027 12113 141 10 1113 1264 4364 Table A7. Number of Deaths Attributable to Drug Use in South Carolina by ICD-10 Diagnosis Category, 2005 ICD-10 Diagnosis Category CHRONIC CONDITIONS 100% ATTRIBUTABLE TO DRUG USE Mental and behavioral disorders due to psychoactive substance use (excluding alcohol and tobacco) Mental and behavioral disorders due to multiple drug use and use of other psychoactive substances Neonatal withdrawal symptoms from maternal use of drugs of addiction Total CHRONIC CONDITIONS PARTIALLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO DRUG USE Tuberculosis Hepatitis C Hepatitis B AIDS Total Percent SC Deaths (2005) SC Drug Attributable Deaths (2005) F11-F16, F18 100 8 8 F19 100 13 13 P96.1 100 0 0 21 21 4.5 20 30 9 60 15 0 12 5 28 249 333 70 87 ICD-10 Code A15-A19 B17.1, B18.2 B16, B17.0, B18.0, B18.1 B20-B24 130 ACUTE CONDITIONS 100% ATTRIBUTABLE TO DRUG USE Acidental Poisoning by Psychoactive Drugs Accidental poisoning by and exposure to narcotics and psychodysleptics [hallucinogens], not elsewhere classified Accidental poisoning by and exposure to nonopioid analgesics, antipyretics and antirheumatics Accidental poisoning by and exposure to antiepileptic, sedativehypnotic, antiparkinsonism and psychotropic drugs, not elsewhere classified Accidental poisoning by and exposure to other drugs acting on the autonomic nervous system Accidental Poisoning by Drugs and Medicaments Accidental poisoning by and exposure to other and unspecified drugs, medicaments and biological substances Self Inflicted Suicides with drugs and medicine Poisoning, Undetermined Intent Nonopioid analgesics, antipyretics and antirheumatics Antiepileptic, sedative-hypnotic, antiparkinsonism and psychotropic drugs, not elsewhere classified (includes barbituates, tranquilizers) Narcotics and psychodysleptics [hallucinogens], not elsewhere classified (includes most illicit narcotics, drugs acting on autonomic nervous system Other drugs acting on the autonomic nervous system Unspecified drugs, medicaments, biological substances Organic solvents and halogenated hydrocarbons and their vapors Total ACUTE CONDITIONS PARTIALLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO DRUG USE All injury, homicide X42 100 140 140 X40 100 5 5 X41 100 11 11 X43, X46 100 1 1 X44 100 199 199 X60-X64 100 50 50 Y10 Y11 100 100 1 4 1 4 Y12 100 1 1 Y13 Y14 Y16 100 100 100 0 7 1 420 0 7 1 420 X85-Y09, Y87.1 10 672 67 131 Total GRAND TOTAL 672 1446 67 595 132