Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological Coupled Ocean Model
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Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological Coupled Ocean Model
Global Environmental Change in the Ocean and on Land, Eds., M. Shiyomi et al., pp. 1–44. © by TERRAPUB, 2004. Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological Coupled Ocean Model Kisaburo NAKATA1, Toshimasa DOI 2, Koichi TAGUCHI2 and Shigeaki A OKI3 1 Department of Marine Science and Technology, University of Tokai, 3-20-1 Shimizu-Orido, Shizuoka 424-8610, Japan 2 Science and Technology Department, Chuden CTI Co., Ltd., 1-27-2 Meieki-Minami, Nakamura Ward, Nagoya 450-0003, Japan 3 Institute of environmental management technology, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology, 16-3 Onogawa, Tsukuba 305-8569, Japan Abstract. A lower-trophic marine ecosystem model that takes into account both the grazing food web and the microbial food web has been developed to investigate the ocean carbon cycle. The ecosystem model was coupled to an oceanic general circulation model and a simulation was performed to examine the temporal and spatial distribution of primary production in the world ocean. Monthly-mean-based observations were used to force the ocean ecosystem in order to simulate seasonal variation in the model compartments. Numerical results revealed that the total amount of annual net primary production reaches nearly 61.2 GtC, showing fair agreement with the recent estimates based on the satellite image analysis. The annual flux of particulate organic carbon toward the subsurface layer, viz., the export flux, was evaluated as 5.5 GtC. The model results reproduced the general tendency that the regions of low latitude are characterized by high primary productivity as well as low export flux, and suggested a dominant role for the microbial food web in the oceanic carbon cycle. Keywords: global ocean carbon cycle, coupled physical and biological model, microbial food web, net primary production, export flux 1. INTRODUCTION The ocean is expected to play an important role in absorbing the increasing amounts of atmospheric anthropogenic carbon dioxide released following the industrial revolution that started at the end of the 18th century (e.g., Gruber, 1999; Rayner et al., 1999; Le Quéré et al., 2000; Orr et al., 2001; Sabine et al., 2002; Takahashi et al., 2002). In order to assess the ocean’s role quantitatively as a reservoir of anthropogenic carbon dioxide, a detailed knowledge of the carbon cycle mechanism over the world ocean is required. Processes associated with the carbon cycle in the ocean have physical, chemical and biological origins and interact mutually. It is recognized that the carbon cycle in an oceanic ecosystem depends strongly on physical processes. A typical example of a physical process is vertical mixing: it can enhance phytoplankton growth by mixing nutrients into 1 2 K. NAKATA et al. the surface layer from below, or it can suppress photosynthesis by carrying phytoplankton down away from the euphotic zone. Whether or not increased vertical mixing acts positively on the aquatic biota depends on a delicate balance among various conditions such as nutrient concentration and light intensity. The relation between changes in the oceanic ecosystem and in the mixed layer depth (MLD hereafter) have been discussed based on modeling studies (e.g., Venrick et al., 1987; Polovina et al., 1995). Processes occurring within the ML should be represented in numerical models in terms of their physical and biological aspects. Therefore most of the model studies that attempt to examine the ecosystem structure include the carbon and nutrient cycles in combination with the physical processes. Historically, Bacastow and Maier-Reimer (1990) introduced an oceanic general circulation model (OGCM) into their study to reproduce the distribution of tracers in the deep layer, and then coupled it to an oceanic ecosystem model. Their model was the first attempt to approach the global ocean carbon cycle (GOCC hereafter), but was so simplified that the relation between MLD and biological activities was only poorly resolved. Improvements were made in subsequent studies (e.g., Bacastow and Maier-Reimer, 1991; Najjar et al., 1992; Anderson and Sarmiento, 1995; Yamanaka and Tajika, 1996; Fasham et al., 1993; Sarmiento et al., 1993; Six and Maier-Reimer, 1996). In particular, Fasham et al. (1993) and Sarmiento et al. (1993) incorporated ecological constituents such as phytoplankton and zooplankton into an OGCM as explicit state variables, assuming that the planktonic variables are susceptible to vertical mixing, which means that the relation between MLD and the ecosystem could be represented much better than before. Their model was applied to the North Atlantic and showed good agreement with the satellite coastal zone color scanner (CZCS) data. Although there were many points for improvement, their model demonstrated great potential for examining the structure of the marine ecosystem. Six and Maier-Reimer (1996) also developed an ecosystem model coupled to an OGCM. They showed that the incorporation of ecosystem dynamics can improve tracer distributions by reducing the magnitude of an undesired subsurface nutrient maximum, i.e., nutrient trapping, in the equatorial region. Kawamiya et al. (2000) applied an ecosystem model of the same kind to study the nitrogen cycle in the North Pacific. Their model qualitatively reproduced the basin-wide distributions of the state variables, but revealed some discrepancies in comparison with the observational data. For example, chlorophyll concentration at the sea surface remained lower in the subpolar region and higher in the subtropical and equatorial regions than represented by CZCS observations. Nowadays, estimates of net primary production (NPP hereafter) are available on a global scale, not only through the satellite images of chlorophyll concentration but also through the numerical algorithms developed to describe the relationship between phytoplankton abundance and photosynthetic activity as a function of environmental parameters such as surface temperature, solar irradiance and MLD (Platt et al., 1991; Longhurst et al., 1995; Antoine et al., 1996; Behrenfeld and Falkowski, 1997). Recently, Buesseler (1998) showed that a large part of the world ocean is characterized by low export of particulate organic carbon (POC) Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 3 against primary production (the export/production ratio stays below 0.05–0.1), and that the sites with high export values are overwhelmingly characterized by food webs dominated by large-size phytoplankton, diatoms in particular. He suggested that incorporation of different food web structures such as a diatomdominated system or a microbial food web (MFW hereafter) into the carbon cycle model is crucial in explaining the decoupling between production and particulate export in the surface ocean. Our present study stems from the modeling work that aims ultimately at developing predictive and reliable tools capable of investigating the responses of an oceanic ecosystem to anticipated changes in the global environment under the condition of increasing anthropogenic carbon dioxide. In order to gain a better insight into the behavior of carbon dioxide in the ocean, our conventional ecosystem model based only on the classical grazing food web, referred usually to as the PZDN (phytoplankton, zooplankton, detritus, nutrient) model or averaged plankton model, was improved to take MFW into account by defining size structure in the plankton system and coupling it to the OGCM. This is very important because a feature of the global ocean ecosystem is the significant regional differences in dominant species or size of plankton and biological productivity, and hence in food web structure, which has a direct effect on carbon and nutrient cycles. In this paper, GOCC is studied using this new physicalbiological coupled ocean model. It should be emphasized that no artificial adjustment or regional calibration for the model parameters so that they may reproduce global characteristics of the ecosystem has been implemented here. This also deserves attention because, as mentioned above, most of the numerical ecosystem models to date, no matter how they consider the MFW structure, have been developed and calibrated for the purpose of regional or site-specific application. The discussions in this paper emphasize primarily how reasonably the new model can estimate NPP compared to the conventional PZDN model, then addresses export POC flux against NPP in terms of export ratio, and finally considering the relative role of MFW in drawing the model results together. 2. MODEL DESCRIPTIONS A 3-D time-dependent coupled physical and biological model is introduced to simulate the seasonal pattern of GOCC. The physical part depends on a wellestablished OGCM described by a set of geohydrodynamic equations on a spherical coordinate system, whereas the biological counterpart comprises a plankton-base lower-trophic marine ecosystem model that takes MFW into account to explain regional characteristics in NPP and export POC flux in the world ocean. 2.1 Physical model The physical model used is Version 2 of the GFDL Modular Ocean Model (MOM2; Pacanowski, 1996). MOM2 is a 3-D, z-coordinate, primitive-equation OGCM that employs the hydrostatic and Bousinesq approximations as well as the 4 K. NAKATA et al. rigid-lid assumption for the sea surface elevation. The computational domain covers the global ocean, including the Pacific, the Atlantic and the Indian Ocean up to 80° north and south, using a spherical grid system with a resolution set at 2°. Under the bathymetric condition built in using the Etopo5 database, the water column up to 5,500 m is divided into 30 layers the thickness of which starts from the minimum value of 10 m at the surface layer, then increasing gradually to reach 500 m at the bottom layer. The seasonal condition of the sea-surface wind stress depends on the monthly mean database provided by Hellerman and Rosenstein (1983). Regarding heat and salt flux conditions at the sea surface, the monthly mean objective analysis data from World Ocean Atlas 1998 (WOA98; Levitus, 1999) are utilized to restore the computed surface water temperature and salinity fields in 10 days every month. The MOM2 simulation also employs the WOA98 T-S database for temperature and salinity in layers deeper than 4,000 m, assuming a slower restoration parameter of 1,000 days. Regarding the vertical turbulent mixing process, the Pacanowski-Philander scheme is introduced into seasonal variation in the coefficient of eddy diffusivity. Note that the MOM2 simulation does not directly output MLD itself, and it is not MLD but the eddy diffusion coefficient that the biological model inputs through the coupling procedure. In this regard, following Kawamiya et al. (2000), background viscosity and diffusivity are chosen as 1.0 cm2s –1 and 0.3 cm2s –1, respectively. As for the diffusion process, the simulation considers the effect of isopycnal diffusion and adopts a coefficient of 2 × 107 cm2s –1. The horizontal eddy viscosity and diffusivity are assumed to be constant throughout the simulation period with the respective values set at 8 × 108 cm2s–1 and 3 × 106 cm2s –1. Needless to say, all the settings are realized within the functions of the present MOM2. The time integration of the basic primitive equations lasted over 1,300 years from the stationary initial condition with spatial patterns of temperature and salinity estimated from the WOA98 annual mean data. Different time steps were selected to save computational time: 1 hour for the equations of motion and 12 hours for the transport equations of heat and salt. During simulation, the temporal variation in kinetic energy over the entire domain was monitored every time step along with those in temperature and salinity. While sluggish variations continued even at the final stage, the annual variation over the last 100 years stayed within 0.2% for kinetic energy and around 0.5% for both temperature and salinity, permitting us to judge that the simulation almost reproduced a steady-state annual cycle. After the hydrodynamic calculation, the estimated seasonal flow field was recorded in a computer disk file every 5 days throughout a year, along with temperature, salinity and vertical eddy diffusivity, and then introduced into the biological model. 2.2 Biological model Figure 1 presents a schematic view of the biological model in this study, which features the introduction of the MFW structure into our conventional Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 5 Surface Zooplankton Mesograzers Phytoplankton Grazing Diatoms Grazing Diel Migration Dinoflagellates Micrograzers Sinking Mortality Extracellular Release Phytoflagellates Heteroflagellates Natural Mortality Feeding Picophytoplankton Grazing Feeding Feeding Detritus Uptake Respiration Excretion Biogenic Particulate Silica Degradation Sinking Dissolved Organic Matter Bacteria Up take Sinking Excretion Respiration Uptake CO2 Exchange with the air Dissolution Uptake Carbonates Silicate Phosphate Ammonium Uptake Nitrate Nitrite Nitrification Nitrification Nutrients Euphotic Layer Lower Layer Advection Diffusion Fig. 1. Schematic view of the ocean ecosystem model considering MFW structure. ecosystem model based on the grazing food web. The MFW in the model comprises three functional groups: the primary producers, the consumers, and the decomposers. According to Baretta-Bekker et al. (1997) and Taylor et al. (1993), the biological model defines four phytoplankton categories for primary producers: diatoms, dinoflagellates, autotrophic nanoflagellates (phytoflagellates), and picophytoplankton (picoalgae); three zooplankton categories for consumers: mesograzers, micrograzers and heterotrophic nanoflagellates (heteroflagellates); and the bacteria compartment as decomposers. Mathematical formulations of 6 K. NAKATA et al. Table 1. Mathematical expressions of biochemical processes in the global ocean ecosystem model. Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological Table 1. (continued). 7 8 K. NAKATA et al. Table 2. Biological parameters for the global ocean ecosystem model. Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 9 Table 2. (continued). biological processes for these functional groups are presented in Table 1. It should be stated that the present model assigns the phytoplankton categories to each zooplankton category as grazing target simply based on their cell size. Those selected as grazing target are diatoms and dinoflagellates for mesograzers, phytoflagellates for micrograzers, and picoalgae for heteroflagellates. In addition, the model assumes that all the zooplankton categories consume both bacteria and detritus. It should also be noted that the present model assumes the existence of thermal optima for growth process of phytoplankton and describes the maximal growth rate of each category by the equation presented by Kawamata (1997) for the growth response of sea urchin (see Table 1). This is an attempt to cope with shortcomings of the conventional model employing the familiar exponential response to temperature (Eppley, 1972): estimates of primary production always tended to attain a maximum around the Equator according to the spatial gradient of surface water temperature (Nakata et al., 1995; Kawamiya et al., 2000), which is obviously in conflict with the satellite images, which demonstrate enhanced 10 K. NAKATA et al. primary productivity in high latitudes. The model also adopts the growth pattern with thermal optima for every zooplankton category. Following the ecological simulation of the North Pacific by Nakata et al. (1995), all the state variables of the ecosystem model were initialized using observational data from the Northwest Pacific Carbon Cycle Study (NOPACCS) obtained during 1990–1996. The data in the vertical section along the 175°E meridian were deployed in the longitudinal direction to set up their distributions all over the ocean. Only for the nutrient compartments, were the WOA98 annual mean data utilized to initialize the distributions of phosphate, nitrate and silicate. The condition of the sea surface light intensity depends both on the daily estimate of global solar radiation by astronomical calculation and on the monthly observations of cloud cover (the 1994 Atlas of Surface Marine Data; da Silva et al., 1994). The model also considers diurnal variation in the sea surface light intensity: a cubic sinusoidal curve is employed, following Ikushima (1967), to approximate the temporal change from sunrise to sunset. After coupling with the annual time series of physical parameters obtained from the preceding hydrodynamic simulation by MOM2, the biological model was run over 10 years with a time step of 3 hours. The physiological rate coefficients and parameters, so-called “biological parameters”, are summarized in Table 2. Their choice depends largely on the literature (e.g., Baretta-Bekker et al. (1997) for phytoplankton growth and Taylor et al. (1993) for zooplankton growth), except for some characteristic coefficients, such as natural mortality rates of bacteria and plankton, which are usually regarded as fitting or tuning parameters. Note here that the model assumes fixed stoichiometry in every 90 N 60 30 Eq. 30 60 90 S 0 30E 60E -50 -40 90E -30 120E 150E -20 -10 180 0 150W 120W 90W 10 20 30 40 60W 30W 0 50 ( Sv ) Fig. 2. Annual mean horizontal circulations obtained from the OGCM. Values of volume transport are in Sv (10 6 m 3s –1). Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 11 organic compartment except phytoplankton. For phytoplankton, according to Caperon and Meyer (1972), Lehman et al. (1975) and other researchers, a cell quota model was embedded into all categories to formulate their nutrient dynamics and distinguish them from the photosynthetic growth processes. This allows each plankton category to sustain growth through intracellular nutrient reserves without directly responding to variation in ambient nutrient concentration. In this connection, only the stoichiometry of phytoplankton varied temporally according to the cell quota size. Special attention was paid to the photosynthesis-light response of phytoplankton so that the simulated vertical profile of primary productivity coincides with the observation: the model evaluates the response by the classical Steele equation (1962), which introduces a light optimum for photosynthesis, and considers the effect of shelf-shading by the Riley equation (1956). 3. NUMERICAL RESULTS 3.1 Hydrodynamic aspect 1) Flow field The simulated annual mean horizontal circulation in the uppermost layer is presented in Fig. 2. General features of the surface circulation are reasonably well reproduced: the Kuroshio and the Oyashio Currents along the western boundary in the North Pacific, the Gulf Stream in the North Atlantic and the strongly divergent westward flow along the Equator. But the model result also has some shortcomings: e.g., the latitude where the Kuroshio separates deviated further north from the observed location, the Equatorial Counter Current disappeared in the western equatorial region, etc. These discrepancies seem to be attributed to the coarse grid resolution of 2°. While not presented in the figure, the model’s 90 N 60 30 Eq. 30 60 90 S 0 30E 60E 90E 120E 150E 180 150W 120W 90W 60W 30W Fig. 3. Horizontal distributions of the annual mean MLD. Values are in m. 0 12 K. NAKATA et al. Month (a) Mixed Layer Depth (m) 0 I ❊ L ❅ L I I ❅ ❘ N M ❈ 100 200 300 400 500 OWS-P OWS-I 600 Fig. 4. Seasonal variations in the estimated MLD in comparison with observations. (a) simulated annual patterns at OWS-P and OWS-I; (b) observations given by Fasham (1995) based on the results of Frost (1987) and Levitus (1982); (c) simulated annual pattern at BATS; and (d) annual pattern derived from field data by Spitz et al. (2001). seasonal pattern shows that the surface circulation strengthens generally during winter both in the Northern and the Southern Hemispheres. Regional characteristics in the estimated volume transport are summarized as follows: in the subtropical gyre of the North Pacific including the Kuroshio Current, the volume transport varies from 55 Sv (Sv = 106 m3s –1) in winter to 35 Sv in summer. The circulation in the subtropical North Atlantic, including the Gulf Stream, also strengthens in winter, where the volume transport ranges from 20 to 30 Sv. The current passing through Indonesia is characterized by a westward transport toward the Indian Ocean throughout the year, with a volume that fluctuates periodically from 16 to 20 Sv, reaching its maximum in April and November and minimum in February and August. Despite a large volume transport, in the range 110–140 Sv, the Antarctic Circumpolar Current does not show a clear seasonal variation. The volume transport through Drake Passage amounts to 120 Sv. These estimates compare favorably with the reported values: e.g., approximately 50 Sv for the Kuroshio extension estimated from CTD measurements and mooring current observations (Joyce, 1987; Schmitz, 1987), 140 Sv for Drake Passage, and 16 Sv Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 13 Model Years (c) 1 2 3 4 5 Mixed Layer Depth (m) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Fig. 4. (continued). for the eastward current toward the Indian Ocean, both estimated from the geostrophic current based on hydrographic data (Ganachaud and Wunsch, 2000), and 135 Sv for Drake Passage reported by Sloyan and Rintoul (2001). 2) Mixed layer depth To visualize the vertical turbulent mixing process, seasonal variation in MLD is examined based on the simulated eddy diffusion coefficients. Since the condition of the ML in the surface layer strongly affects nutrient transport from subsurface layers, regions where the ML develops deep into the water column are generally characterized by high plankton productivity, and therefore by enhanced new production, utilizing nutrients from the lower layers. Figure 3 presents the resulting annual mean distribution, where, following Kawamiya et al. (2000), the MLD is tentatively defined as the thickness of a water column with vertical eddy diffusivity exceeding 10 cm2s–1. Incidentally, there is little difference from the MLD estimate if one chooses the diffusivity threshold at 5 cm2s–1. The annual mean MLD attains approximately 150 m in the western basin of the North Pacific, in contrast to 30 m in the northeastern basin, and 20 m in the Equatorial Pacific, except for the central zone with a value less than 50 m, showing a general tendency analogous to the result reported by Kawamiya et al. (2000). The MLD 14 K. NAKATA et al. 90 N (a) 60 30 Eq. 30 60 90 S 0 30E 60E 90E 120E 150E 180 150W 120W 90W 60W 30W 0 60E 90E 120E 150E 180 150W 120W 90W 60W 30W 0 90 N (b) 60 30 Eq. 30 60 90 S 0 30E Fig. 5. Annual mean phytoplankton abundance in the surface layer in comparison between (a) the model and (b) the objective analysis data. The simulated total phytoplankton carbon biomass was converted into chlorophyll-a concentration (mgm–3) assuming a constant C/Chl-a ratio of 50. The objective analysis data represent the annual mean chlorophyll-a distribution from the WOA98 database. of the Atlantic is estimated at 200–300 m in high latitudes and 30 m in low latitudes. Along the Circumpolar Current, it attains a high value ranging from 300 to 500 m. The annual variation is characterized by pronounced vertical mixing both in the western North Atlantic and in the region around Greenland-Iceland: the MLD increases up to 250–300 m from March to May and exceeds 500 m from winter to spring, respectively. Panel (a) of Fig. 4 illustrates the estimated seasonal variation in MLD for the two observational sites, OWS-P (50°N, 145°W) and OWS-I (59°N, 19°W), which are well known for their contrasting temporal variability in MLD: OWS-P has no distinct ML throughout the year, while OWS-I has strong vertical mixing in the Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 15 90 N (a) 60 30 Eq. 30 60 90 S 0 30E 60E 90E 120E 150E 180 150W 120W 90W 60W 30W 0 Fig. 6. Annual mean zooplankton abundance in the surface layer in comparison between (a) the model and (b) observation. The simulated total zooplankton carbon biomass was converted into nitrogen stock (mmolNm–3) according to the C/N ratio of each category. The observation data are those compiled by Bogorov et al. (1968). first half of the year. This feature can be clearly seen in the model result: at OWSI, the ML develops from early January to late May with a thickness reaching almost 550 m, while at OWS-P, it is restricted within a thin surface layer, the maximum thickness of which attains only 70 m. Panel (b) presents the seasonal variation in MLD at these two sites, which Fasham (1995) studied based on the data by Frost (1987) and Levitus (1982). On comparing the model result with this study, it was found that the difference in MLD between the two sites coincides well, but the timing when the spring ML declines has a delay of about a month. The other two panels of Fig. 4 give the seasonal variation in the estimated MLD at the Bermuda Atlantic Times-Series site (BATS), located in the subtropical zone (31.7°N, 64.2°W), in comparison with the estimate by Spitz et al. (2001) and Steinberg et al. (2001). Compared with the observations, their studies suggested that the ML deepens gradually after September to reach its maximum of about 200 16 K. NAKATA et al. 90 N 60 30 Eq. 30 60 90 S 0 30E 60E 90E 120E 150E 180 150W 120W 90W 60W 30W 0 Fig. 7. Annual mean bacterial stock in the surface layer obtained from the model. Values are in mgCm–3. m from January to March. The tendency is well explained by our present simulation, except that the strengthened vertical mixing continues until late May. Putting these speculations together, it turns out that the model explains the seasonal variation in ML reasonably well: the MLD coincides well with the observations except for the onset of mixing in the spring season. 3.2 Ecological aspect 1) Horizontal pattern of biological constituents Panel (a) of Fig. 5 illustrates the simulated annual mean total abundance of phytoplankton in the surface layer in terms of chlorophyll-a concentration. Compared with the map from the WOA98 objective analysis data (panel (b) of the figure), the ecosystem model displays a general tendency that the concentration stays high both in the subpolar and the equatorial upwelling regions (~0.8 mgChlam–3), and low in the subtropical region (less than 0.1–0.2 mgChl-am –3). It should be noted, however, as a discrepancy of the model, that the simulation gives values rather higher than the map from WOA98 data both in the equatorial zone and in the Antarctic Ocean. This may be attributed to the constant C/Chl-a stoichiometry assumed in this study since the model reproduced the general feature of chlorophylla distribution, which will be discussed later in further detail. The simulated annual mean total biomass of zooplankton in the uppermost layer is shown in Fig. 6(a), along with the surface observation compiled by Bogorov et al. (1968) in the North Pacific (panel (b)). Here the model results in carbon units are converted into nitrogen stock using the weight C/N ratio of 6.0 (see Table 2) for the sake of comparison. A similar tendency to phytoplankton is found in the distribution: zooplankton in the model tends to concentrate more densely in the subpolar and the equatorial regions than in the subtropical region. Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 17 Fig. 8. Seasonal variation in bacterial stock at BATS in comparison between (a) the model and (b) observation. The model result was converted into nitrogen stock (mmolNm–3) using the C/N composition. While the spatial pattern seems to be reproduced reasonably well, the nitrogen biomass becomes a little higher, especially in the northern basin: e.g., 0.3–0.5 mmolNm–3 in the Bering Sea in contrast to the estimate given by Bogorov et al. (0.1–0.3 mmolNm–3). Another estimate for the same region given by Sugimoto and Tadokoro (1997) suggests that the biomass stays around 0.2–0.3 mmolNm–3. Figure 7 illustrates the simulated annual mean carbon biomass of bacteria in the uppermost layer. High values are found around the equatorial region. In the Pacific, measurements are available for comparison through the 1991–1992 NOPACCS cruise. At high latitudes (44–45°N), the cumulated biomass over the upper water column up to 200 m resulted in about 400 mgCm–3 for both the model and the observed values. In the subtropical and the equatorial regions, however, the model considerably overestimates the biomass: the model result shows high value of almost 1,000 mgCm–3 compared with observations ranging from 300 to 400 mgCm –3. As another observation, Spitz et al. (2001) reported the bacterial biomass at BATS in the North Atlantic. As presented in Fig. 8, the nitrogen biomass observed there during 1988–1993 varied from 0.15 to 0.2 mmolNm–3. Applying the C/N composition (see Table 2), the corresponding model value comes to 0.05–0.2 mmolNm–3. Despite differences in the biomass level in the latter half of the year, the model result broadly follows the observed annual variation. 2) Seasonal pattern of plankton biomass Figure 9 shows the simulated seasonal variations in phytoplankton and zooplankton abundance at OWS-P and OWS-I, both averaged over the surface water column up to 50 m. Thorough discussions have concluded that the OWSP site is not characterized by phytoplankton blooming, whereas a typical strong spring bloom occurs at OWS-I. At OWS-P, the model result seems to follow the regionalism satisfactorily, while it introduces a slight bloom in the spring season (panel (a) of Fig. 9). The 18 K. NAKATA et al. Fig. 9. Simulated seasonal variations in phytoplankton and zooplankton biomass in comparison between the two sites: (a) OWS-P and (b) OWS-I. Values are in mgCm–3. The model results are averaged over the surface water column up to 50 m. total phytoplankton biomass reaches a maximum of around 50 mgCm–3 in March and May. Following phytoplankton, zooplankton also reaches a maximum in May. The model puts the peak value at about 60 mgCm–3, higher than that of phytoplankton, suggesting that zooplankton exerts strong grazing pressure there. For phytoplankton at this site, the seasonal variation is characterized by the annual dominance of smaller-size categories, i.e., dinoflagellates, phytoflagellates and picoalgae. The contribution of these categories to the total phytoplankton biomass amounts to 80% throughout the year. Diatoms dominate only from March to July. For zooplankton, about 50% of the total biomass is shared by Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 19 Fig. 9. (continued). micrograzers and heteroflagellates. Accordingly, at OWS-P, the model result suggests that MFW plays a dominant role in the carbon and nutrient cycles. Figure 10 illustrates the observed seasonal variations in chlorophyll-a concentration (Anderson et al., 1977) and zooplankton abundance (Fulton, 1983) at this site. Note that zooplankton is expressed as wet body weight, which can be converted into carbon biomass using the carbon content of about 6%. In addition, the observed chlorophyll-a is considered here to represent the total phytoplankton of the model. It becomes clear from the comparison that the model slightly overestimates both chlorophyll-a concentration and zooplankton biomass, although it is in agreement with the general opinion that typical spring blooming does not 20 K. NAKATA et al. Surface Chlorophyll-a (mg m-3 ) 2.0 1959-1970 (a) 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 J F M A M J J A S Month O N D Zooplankton Biomass (mg m-3 ) 200 (b) 150 100 50 0 J F M A M J J A S O N Month 5 day means for 20 years combined D Fig. 10. Seasonal variations in (a) chlorophyll-a concentration and (b) zooplankton biomass, observed at OWS-P by Anderson et al., (1977) and by Fulton (1983), respectively. occur at this site. A lack of iron is sometimes referred to as one possible explanation for the HNLC (High-Nutrient Low-Chlorophyll) characteristic in the North Pacific (e.g., Martin and Fitzwater, 1988). The effect of such a micronutrient, however, remains beyond the scope of our present model. If this is a question of severe regulation of phytoplankton growth at OWS-P, it may be natural that the model overestimated the abundance. At OWS-I, in marked contrast to OWS-P, the model reproduced the intense phytoplankton blooming at the end of May (panel (b) of Fig. 9), which seems to be consistent with the ecological studies by Fasham et al. (1993) and Hurtt and Armstrong (1999). The bloom is mainly attributed to diatoms with peak biomass exceeding 70 mgCm–3. The total phytoplankton abundance attains a maximum of around 150 mgCm–3 in late May, which is followed by the total zooplankton, which peaks at about 120 mgCm–3 early in June. Since the model regards only physical vertical mixing as a primary factor in the control of phytoplankton Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 0 0.9 Depth (m) 0.5 100 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.5 21 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 200 (a) 300 45N 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 Latitude 5 0 5 10 15S Apr. - Jun., 1994 0 Depth (m) 50 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.40.3 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.5 100 0.1 0.2 0.3 150 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 200 250 (b) 300 48 45 N 40 35 30 25 20 15 Latitude Depth (m) 0 10 10 50 0 5 10 15 S 10 50 90 70 100 5 70 50 30 30 20 10 200 (c) 300 45N 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 Latitude 5 0 5 10 15S Apr. - Jun., 1994 0 Depth (m) 50 90 70 50 70 50 30 30 30 30 100 150 200 10 10 250 10 10 300 48 45 N 40 35 30 25 20 15 Latitude 10 5 0 5 (d) 10 15 S Fig. 11. Vertical sections of chlorophyll-a and POC along the 175°E meridian. (a) Simulated total chlorophyll-a concentration (in mgm–3) as the three-month average from April to June; (b) chlorophylla concentration (in mgm–3) observed during April–June in the 1994 NOPACCS cruise; (c) simulated POC concentration (in mgCm –3) as the three-month average from April to June; and (d) observed POC concentration (in mgCm–3) from the 1994 NOPACCS cruise during April–June. 22 K. NAKATA et al. Fig. 12. Sensitivity of vertical chlorophyll-a profile to the choice of C/Chl-a ratio of phytoplankton. The simulated total phytoplankton carbon biomass at the two sites (20°N, 175°E) and (30°N, 175°E) was converted into chlorophyll-a concentration under two different conditions of C/Chl-a ratio: (a) constant at 50, and (b) varies with depth according to (c) the scheme proposed by Taylor et al. (1997). blooming, the sharp contrast between the two ecosystems, OWS-P and OWS-I, is inferred here from the seasonal pattern of estimated MLD. At OWS-P, where the ML does not deepen, the reproductive mechanism involved in MFW will maintain the phytoplankton abundance and consequently bring high biomass to zooplankton in the surface layer, even during winter, due to the availability of sufficient food. This leads to the intense grazing pressure in spring that restrains phytoplankton bloom. At OWS-I, on the other hand, the highly developing ML Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 23 will reduce zooplankton biomass in the surface layer to a considerable extent during winter and provoke the spring phytoplankton bloom by supplying nutrients from the subsurface layer. In any case, it seems significant that the model explains the ecological feature for both sites based primarily on the MLD characteristics (see Fig. 4). 3) Vertical profiles Vertical sections of the simulated chlorophyll-a and POC concentrations along the 175°E meridian are presented in Fig. 11 in comparison with the field data obtained during the 1994 NOPACCS cruise during April–June (Nat. Inst. of AIST, 1994). Both of the model results represent an average over the same threemonth period. For chlorophyll-a, the simulated distribution does not agree well with the observation: the model overestimates the concentration as a whole. The greatest discrepancy is that, in the observations, the low chlorophyll-a area lies over a wide range from 5 to 30°N, whereas in the model it is restricted within a narrow interval of 18–28°N. Moreover, the observed depth of the chlorophyll maximum reaches about 130 m, but the model result stays at most at 50 m. On the other hand, POC concentration, expressed as the sum of carbon stocks of phytoplankton, zooplankton, bacteria and detritus, seems to be reproduced better than chlorophyll-a, while the level also stays little higher than observation. The spatial pattern, however, seems reasonable in that the model satisfactorily reproduced the situation where high the POC zone lay both in high latitudes and in the equatorial region, and in the vertical direction the concentration decreased to 10 mgCm –3 at a depth of around 200 m. In connection with the issue of the vertical location of chlorophyll-a maximum, an attempt was made to examine the sensitivity of the model to the choice of C/ Chl-a ratio of phytoplankton. The present model regards the ratio as constant (C/ Chl-a = 50; see Table 2); but Taylor et al. (1997) suggested that the spatial variability in the ratio in the vertical direction significantly affects the depth of the chlorophyll maximum. Following this view, a depth-dependent C/Chl-a scheme (Fig. 12 (c); after Taylor et al., 1997) was applied to the simulated vertical profile of phytoplankton carbon biomass to convert into chlorophyll-a concentration, and the result was compared with the original case using a constant C/Chl-a ratio. As shown in the panels (a): constant ratio and (b): variable ratio of Fig. 12, the location of the chlorophyll maximum deepens in the case of a variable ratio than in the original. The results suggest that realistic profiles of C/Chl-a ratio would be required in order to bring the vertical profiles of the simulated chlorophyll-a concentration much closer to the observed values. 4) Primary production Figure 13 illustrates the horizontal distribution of simulated NPP over the global ocean for four seasons (March, June, September and December). The satellite image observations (SeaWiFS) in 2000 are presented in Fig. 14 after Ishizaka and Kameda (2003). The model results show that the general pattern is in fair agreement with observation. Above all, the model satisfactorily reproduces the seasonal pattern in high latitudes characterized by high NPP (spring bloom in the Northern Hemisphere and autumn bloom in the Southern Hemisphere), as 180 150W 120W 90W 60W 30W 0 0 100 200 300 400 600 700 800 ( mgCm-2 day -1 ) 100 0 200 30E (d) Dec. 200 30E 60E 60E 300 90E 300 90E 500 400 500 120E 150E 400 120E 150E 180 180 700 600 700 60W 30W 0 30W 0 800 ( mgCm-2 day -1 ) 60W 800 ( mgCm-2 day -1 ) 150W 120W 90W 600 150W 120W 90W Fig. 13. Horizontal distributions of the simulated net primary production (NPP) during (a) March, (b) June, (c) September, and (d) December. 500 90 S 30W 90 S 60W 60 90 N 60 150W 120W 90W 0 (c) Sep. 100 30 180 800 ( mgCm-2 day -1 ) 30 120E 150E 700 Eq. 90E 600 Eq. 60E 500 30 30E 400 30 0 300 60 (b) Jun. 200 60 90 N 100 90 S 120E 150E 90 S 90E 60 60 60E 30 30 30E Eq. Eq. 0 30 30 90 N 60 (a) Mar. 60 90 N 24 K. NAKATA et al. (d) Dec. (b) Jun. Fig. 14. Horizontal NPP maps estimated from the satellite data (SeaWiFS; provided by Ishizaka and Kameda, 2003). Seasonal variations are shown here for comparison with the model: (a) March, (b) June, (c) September and (d) December in 2000. (c) Sep. (a) Mar. Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 25 26 K. NAKATA et al. Fig. 15. Comparison of NPP at OWS-P between (a) the model and (b) observation. Data during 1961–1967 are taken from Miller et al. (1984). well as the existence of high NPP area in the eastern Equatorial Pacific (offPeruvian upwelling zone). High NPP in high latitudes has a close relation to the variation in MLD: enhanced vertical mixing contributes to the supply of nutrients to the surface layer. In contrast, continuous nutrient supply due to upwelling process brings high primary productivity in the eastern equatorial zone. A closer look at the figure, however, reveals some discrepancies. The NPP is overestimated in the Kuroshio extension, the eastern Equatorial Pacific, and the southern Pacific sector. Despite reproducing low NPP waters in the subtropics, the model overestimates the magnitude compared with the satellite data. Moreover, a low NPP region that is not found in the satellite image appears in the eastern North Pacific (around 40°N, 140°W). Here the NPP values estimated by the present model are compared with some observations. Figure 15 gives a comparison at OWS-P with the observation during 1961–1967 (Miller et al., 1984). At this site, the model overestimates NPP by about 10 mgCm–2hr–1 throughout the year. In Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological Model Result ALOHA Observation (1990-1993) 800 -1 NPP (mgCm day ) 27 -2 600 400 200 0 J F M A M J 6 J 7 A S O N D Month Fig. 16. Simulated and observed monthly NPP at ALOHA. The observed data were obtained during 1990–1993, compiled by Karl et al. (1996). Fig. 17. Comparison of NPP at BATS between (a) the model and (b) observation taken from Spitz et al. (2001). addition, the timing of the NPP peak is slightly different in both cases, being May in the simulation vs. June according to observation. This may be attributed to reproducibility in the timing of phytoplankton growth since the model predicts the maximum biomass for the total phytoplankton during March–May. Another comparison at the station ALOHA (A Long-term Oligotrophic Habitat Assessment; 22.75°N, 158°W) is given in Fig. 16. The observed NPP represents the annual average of the data from 1991 to 1993 compiled by Karl et al. (1996). At this site, while the model result remains a little higher than observation, both the seasonal pattern and the magnitude are in good agreement. Finally, comparison of NPP at BATS is given in Fig. 17. Here the observation refers to the modeling study by Spitz et al. (2001). At this location, the NPP peak 28 K. NAKATA et al. 0.25 0.025 0.020 -1 Global Ocean -1 NPP (GtCday ) 0.20 0.15 0.10 Export Flux (GtCday ) NPP Export Flux 0.015 Southern Hemisphere 0.010 0.05 0.005 Northern Hemisphere 0.00 J F M A M 6J 7J A Month S O N D 0.000 Fig. 18. Seasonal variations in the simulated gross NPP and export flux. The export flux stands for sinking POC flux across a plane at a depth of 300 m. takes place in April in the observation, but July in the present model. The delay of the NPP peak at BATS seems to be closely related to the behavior of MLD. In fact, as seen in the previous section (Figs. 4(c) and (d)), the observed MLD deepens during winter and shallows drastically around March, whereas the estimated MLD shallows near the end of May, which is a few months later. In this way the comparisons with observation have clarified the problems with the present model. It is encouraging, however, that, without any regional tuning, the model could simulate the general feature of NPP in the global ocean in terms both of spatial distribution and seasonal variation. 4. DISCUSSIONS 4.1 NPP and export flux of POC 1) Gross NPP Figure 18 presents the seasonal variation in the simulated total NPP over the global ocean (gross NPP hereafter). It can be seen that the gross NPP attains a maximum during December–January and a minimum in June. Looking into the regional difference, the NPP in the Northern Hemisphere reaches a peak in June and a trough during December–January, whereas in the Southern Hemisphere the situation is the direct opposite with the maximum NPP during June. This demonstrates that the NPP in the Southern Hemisphere characterizes the seasonal pattern of the gross NPP. From the horizontal map of simulated annual mean NPP (panel (a) of Fig. 19), the annual amount of the gross NPP is estimated at approximately 61.2 GtC. This is somewhat higher than the value reported by Longhurst et al. (1995) based on satellite data. They evaluated the annual gross Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 29 90 N (a) 60 30 Eq. 30 60 90 S 0 30E 100 60E 200 90E 300 120E 150E 400 500 180 150W 120W 90W 600 700 60W 30W 0 800 ( mgCm-2 day -1 ) 90 N (b) 60 30 Eq. 30 60 90 S 0 20 30E 60E 30 90E 40 120E 150E 50 60 180 150W 120W 90W 70 80 60W 30W 0 90 ( mgCm-2 day -1 ) 90 N (c) 60 30 Eq. 30 60 90 S 0 30E 0.05 60E 90E 0.10 120E 150E 0.15 180 150W 120W 90W 0.20 0.25 60W 30W 0 0.30 Fig. 19. Horizontal distributions of the annual mean (a) NPP, (b) export flux, and (c) export ratio (export/production ratio) resulting from the present model considering MFW. 30 K. NAKATA et al. Table 3. Historical estimates of annual gross NPP compiled by Suzuki (1997). NPP as 45–51 GtC. Historically, Fleming (1957) made a primary production map of the world ocean based on the data by Steemann (1955) and the production map that Sverdrup (1955) estimated from the distribution of upwelling area. Ryther (1969) used this map to calculate the annual gross NPP as 20 GtC. KoblentzMishke et al. (1970) compiled over 7,000 data collected in the 1960s and concluded that the annual gross NPP reaches 23 GtC. Platt and Subba Rao (1975) also estimated it at 31.1 GtC. They divided the global ocean into five basins (the Pacific, the Atlantic, the Indian, the Arctic and the Antarctic Oceans) and calculated the NPP for each ocean basin. Martin et al. (1987) reevaluated the result of the 14C method to conclude that the annual NPP reaches 51 GtC. Thus the estimates of the annual gross NPP have increased gradually (see, Table 3). Recent estimates by satellite data have a tendency to fall in a range of 50–60 GtC (Longhurst et al., 1995; Antoine et al., 1996; Behrenfeld and Falkowski, 1997; Ishizaka and Kameda, 2003). The model value in this study agrees fairly with the recent estimates. 2) Export flux Also shown in Fig. 18 is the simulated seasonal variation in export POC flux, which is defined here as the sum of sinking carbon fluxes of diatoms, dinoflagellates, detritus and bacteria across a plane at a depth of 300 m. The choice of this value is just a measure of the euphotic depth where primary production takes place, while the depth varies considerably with water area. The model result shows that the export flux becomes the highest in February and lowest in July. From the horizontal map of annual mean export flux (panel (b) of Fig. 19), the annual gross flux amounts to 5.5 GtC. Therefore, about 9% of the gross NPP (61.2 GtC) corresponds to the carbon flux being transported to the subsurface layer as sinking particles. To make a comparison between the two hemispheres, the NPP per unit area results in 482 and 490 mgCm–2day –1 in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, respectively, indicating that the two are Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 31 (a) 0.15 Global Ocean Northern Hemisphere Southern Hemisphere 0.14 0.13 Export ratio 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.05 J✵ ✴ (b) F✶ ✵ M ✷ ✶ A ✸ ✷ M J ✻J ✺ Month ✹ ✸ ✹ ✺ A S ✼ ✻ O ✽ ✼ N ✵✴ ✽ ✵✵ ✵✴ D ✵✶ ✵✵ ✵✶ 0 20 40 MLD (m) 60 80 100 120 140 Global Ocean Northern Hemisphere Southern Hemisphere 160 180 200 J F M A M J J Month A S O N D Fig. 20. Simulated seasonal variations in (a) the global and the hemispherical export ratio, in comparison with (b) the corresponding MLD profiles. almost identical. The export flux, on the other hand, estimated at 39.7 mgCm –2day–1 in the Northern Hemisphere against 46.2 mgCm –2day –1 in the Southern Hemisphere, suggests that the sinking process of POC in the south dominates over the north. This implies that a much larger quantity of organic particulates is transported to the subsurface layer in the Southern Hemisphere because of the strengthened MLD throughout the year. Apart from the relative importance between the two hemispheres, however, it should be noted that the magnitude of export flux depends strongly on how one chooses the POC sinking rate. The flux values are therefore left unexamined here since the export fluxes in the present model are estimates only, based on a conventional value for sinking rate of detritus. 3) Export ratio As shown in panel (a) of Fig. 20, the export ratio, defined as the ratio of gross export flux to gross NPP, stays at around 0.09 with slight double peaks in April 32 K. NAKATA et al. (a) Surface Zooplankton 25.0 34.1 Mesograzers Phytoplankton 83.6 4.5 21.5 11.8 28.1 10.6 Diatoms 4.9 28.2 Grazing 8.5 35.4 12.7 23.3 4.5 6.7 19.6 Phytoflagellates 17.5 37.3 36.6 3.7 32.9 8.2 23.4 Heteroflagellates 9.1 19.3 Dinoflagellates Micrograzers 57.5 24.8 Grazing 10.7 9.4 3.5 Picophytoplankton Mortality 12.5 37.8 21.5 Grazing Natural Mortality 20.7 19.0 6.3 Extracellular Release Detritus Feeding 134.0 8.3 Feeding Bacteria 58.2 Respiration Excretion 2.5 22.4 20.5 Dissolved Organic Matter 221.8 Up take 100.0 Respiration CO2 Exchange with the air 18.0 Degradation Mortality 12.5 Sinking Up take 9.6 77.9 Carbonates 386.1 x 103 9.6 Sinking Euphotic Layer Advection Diffusion Lower Layer Fig. 21. Annual carbon budget obtained from the MFW model. Fluxes and standing stocks are normalized by the respective regional values of NPP and the total phytoplankton biomass. (a) Highlatitude area in the North Pacific (around OWS-P); and (b) subtropical area in the North Pacific (around ALOHA). and October. Regionally, the Northern Hemisphere shows a high value during October–January against the Southern Hemisphere during March–May. In order to interpret the situation, the seasonal pattern of the estimated global mean MLD is illustrated in panel (b). From the comparison, a close relation comes to light between the peak of export ratio and the timing when the MLD begins to deepen. In the situation where ML develops, a rapid increase in the large-size phytoplankton such as diatoms enhances the production of POC, and hence introduces a large quantity of the sinking flux. It is worth noting, however, that this does not directly explain the behavior of export ratio. Indeed, the export ratio varies seasonally, out Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological (b) 33 Surface Zooplankton 13.7 10.7 Mesograzers Phytoplankton 28.7 5.1 8.4 3.5 25.5 Diatoms 4.1 24.1 Grazing 15.9 24.6 6.7 2.7 39.9 32.1 6.9 20.7 23.3 5.1 20.6 Phytoflagellates Heteroflagellates 16.7 23.9 17.0 25.9 9.7 Dinoflagellates Micrograzers 34.0 23.3 Grazing 2.9 4.5 11.5 Mortality 6.3 4.0 Picophytoplankton 37.6 19.4 Grazing Natural Mortality 19.2 24.6 6.7 Extracellular Release Detritus Feeding 126.6 52.8 Feeding Bacteria 115.1 Respiration Excretion 10.2 91.9 Dissolved Organic Matter 30.5 44.5 Up take 100.0 Respiration CO2 Exchange with the air 20.3 Degradation Mortality 31.6 Sinking Up take 5.9 62.5 Carbonates 405.3 x 103 5.9 Sinking Euphotic Layer Advection Diffusion Lower Layer Fig. 21. (continued). of phase with the NPP, differing by almost half a year in the timing of peak (see Fig. 18). With the aim of investigating how export ratio differs with choice of the control depth in the surface ocean, NPP and export flux were calculated for several locations and the resulting ratios were compared with the standard estimate choosing the depth at 300 m. The result shows that the annual mean global export ratio diminishes to about 13% and 6% of NPP when the control depth is set at 200 and 500 m, respectively. For deeper locations, the value is reduced to nearly 3% and 2% for the cases of 1,000 and 2,000 m, respectively. Thus the model seems to simulate reasonably well the situation where the organic particulates produced in the euphotic layer are decomposed and scavenged while 34 K. NAKATA et al. 0.25 PZDN model (Case 1) PZDN model (Case 2) MFW model Export ratio 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 J✵ F✶ M ✷ A ✸ M ✹ J✻ A ✺J ✼ Month S✽ O ✵✴ N ✵✵ D ✵✶ Fig. 22. Comparison of the simulated seasonal variations in export ratio among the three model runs. The conventional PZDN model was run for two different cases of plankton categorization in order to examine relative importance of the MFW modeling. sinking to the subsurface layer. Although the discussion is limited to the surface ocean for the time being, the carbon cycle throughout the global ocean including subsurface and lower layers should be investigated in our future studies. The 234Th method is well known as a valuable tool for tracing scavenging processes over time-scales of days to weeks, taking advantage of the isotope’s short half-life. The method has been widely applied in the past decade to quantify the sinking flux of POC from the upper ocean (e.g., Matsumoto, 1975; Coale and Bruland, 1985; Buesseler et al., 1992; Buesseler, 1998). Buesseler (1998) estimated the relationship between primary production and POC flux derived from the 234Th technique for some typical water areas in the Equatorial Pacific, together with BATS, off Greenland and Antarctic Polar Front, etc. He suggests that most of the areas are characterized by low POC export fluxes compared to NPP, with export ratio less than 0.05–0.1, and that areas of high export ratio appear in high latitudes. The horizontal distribution of the annual mean export ratio is presented in the panel (c) of Fig. 19 to examine the relation between NPP and export flux resulting from the model. The simulated export ratio in the subpolar region fluctuates seasonally, the value ranging from 0.1 to 0.35. In the subtropical and the equatorial regions, on the other hand, the ratio is evaluated as 0.1 or below throughout the year. Both the magnitude and spatial pattern of the simulated export ratio agree well with the estimate given by Buesseler (1998). Comparing the simulated spatial distribution between the export ratio and the NPP (panels (a) and (b) of Fig. 19), it turns out that the region of high export ratio corresponds to that of high NPP in high latitudes. However, in the subtropical and the equatorial regions there are many areas featuring high NPP and low export ratio. This means that, in low latitudes, a large part of the NPP is decomposed in 180 150W 120W 90W 60W 30W 0 60E 90E 120E 150E 500 180 700 60W 30W 0 800 ( mgCm-2 day -1 ) 150W 120W 90W 600 90 N 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 ( mgCm-2 day -1 ) Fig. 23. Horizontal distributions of the annual mean NPP resulting from two comparison runs, (a) Case 1 and (b) Case 2, of the PZDN model. 100 90 S 60 30 Eq. 0 0 (b) (a) 0.05 30E 0.05 30E 60E 60E 0.10 90E 0.10 90E 0.15 120E 150E 0.15 120E 150E 180 180 0.25 0.20 0.25 150W 120W 90W 0.20 150W 120W 90W 30W 30W 0.30 60W 0.30 60W 0 0 Fig. 24. Horizontal distributions of the annual mean export ratio resulting from two comparison runs, (a) Case 1 and (b) Case 2, of the PZDN model. 90 S 60 30 Eq. 30 30E 400 30 0 300 60 (b) 200 60 90 N 100 90 S 120E 150E 90 S 90E 60 60 60E 30 30 30E Eq. Eq. 0 30 30 90 N 60 (a) 60 90 N Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 35 36 K. NAKATA et al. 700 -1 NPP (mgCm day ) 600 -2 500 400 300 200 100 ❖❈M✤❧n❝❞❦✤✬❇r❞✤✵✭ ❖❈M✤❧n❝❞❦✤✬❇r❞✤✶✭ L❊ (a) 0 -70 60 -60 50 -50 40 -40 30 -30 20 -20 10 -10 Eq. 0 70S 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 50N 50 40 Latitude -2 -1 Export Flux (mgCm day ) 100 ❖❈M✤❧n❝❞❦✤✬❇r❞✤✵✭ ❖❈M✤❧n❝❞❦✤✬❇r❞✤✶✭ L❊ 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 (b) 0 -70 60 -60 50 -50 40 -40 30 -30 20 -20 10 -10 Eq. 0 70S 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50N Latitude 0.40 ❖❈M✤❧n❝❞❦✤✬❇r❞✤✵✭ ❖❈M✤❧n❝❞❦✤✬❇r❞✤✶✭ L❊ 0.35 Export ratio 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 (c) 0.00 -70 60 -60 50 -50 40 -40 30 -30 20 -20 10 -10 Eq. 0 70S 10 20 30 30 40 40 50 50N Latitude Fig. 25. Meridional distributions of the annual mean (a) NPP, (b) export flux and (c) export ratio resulting from the MFW model and the PZDN model. The conventional PZDN model was run for two cases and compared with the MFW model. Each map stands for the zonal average over an interval from 180° to 150°W. Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 37 the euphotic layer, and therefore the sinking flux becomes much smaller than in high latitudes. This suggests the relative importance of MFW in regions of low latitude. 4.2 Carbon budgets With a view to gaining a better insight into the food web structure, the annual carbon budgets from the model are compared in Fig. 21 between a region of high latitude (50–60°N) and a subtropical region (20–30°N). In each diagram, fluxes and standing stocks are normalized by the total NPP and the total phytoplankton biomass. Note that the flux from carbonates to phytoplankton is equivalent to the NPP. While little difference is seen in the phytoplankton abundance between the two, other compartments show the following characteristics: for zooplankton, meso- and micrograzers tend to dominate in high latitudes; bacteria concentrate in the subtropics; labile DOC therefore tends to concentrate in the high-latitude region with smaller consumption by bacteria; detritus also inclines toward the high latitude zone, directly reflecting the difference in sinking flux between the two. In these diagrams, biological processes with carbon flux exceeding 20% of NPP are drawn with a bold line. In high latitudes, the carbon flow is mainly characterized by the formation and consumption of detritus as well as respiration by zooplankton. In the subtropics, on the other hand, the flux is not characterized by zooplankton processes, but by the formation of detritus and consumption processes associated with bacteria. The NPP of diatoms also remains small compared with the high-latitude region. Moreover, in response to the dominant contribution by bacteria, detritus is rapidly decomposed to cause a small settling flux of particulate matter. Another feature in the carbon budget can be seen in the grazing and feeding processes of zooplankton. The grazed amount of diatoms and dinoflagellates by mesograzers almost doubles in the high-latitude region compared to the subtropical region. The total grazing flux of zooplankton in the food web placing mesograzers on the top also shows the same tendency: the value in the high-latitude region becomes 2–3 times as high as in the subtropical region. On the other hand, the feeding flux of bacteria by micrograzers and heteroflagellates in the subtropical region is estimated to be about double that in the high-latitude region. These findings corroborate the potential importance of MFW in low latitudes. 4.3 Importance of the MFW model In order to elucidate the role of MFW in the simulation of GOCC, the conventional PZDN model was run to compare the regional feature in NPP and export flux with the present result. In the comparison run, two schemes were provided for setting the plankton compartments; Case1: Both phyto- and zooplankton represent the large-size single species group such as diatoms or copepods that dominates generally in high latitudes. As biological parameters, values of 2.2 day–1, 5 × 10–4 m 3mgC –1day–1 and 0.5 mday–1, respectively, are given for the maximum growth rate at optimum water temperature (Gmax), natural 38 K. NAKATA et al. mortality rate at 0°C ( δP), and sinking velocity (wP) of phytoplankton, and the maximum grazing rate (R max) and the natural mortality rate (δ Z) of zooplankton are chosen as 0.65 day–1 and 8 × 10–4 m3mgC –1day –1, respectively. Other parameters remain unchanged (see, Table 2). Case2: Since the setting of Case1 alone does not explain the dominant contribution of small-size plankton in low latitudes, here both phyto- and zooplankton are defined as an average compartment over the respective MFW categories. The biological parameters are tentatively chosen by the biomass-weighted geometric mean: G max = 2.8 day–1, δP = 3.5 × 10 –3 m3mgC –1day–1, wP = 0.5 mday–1 for phytoplankton, and Rmax = 1.13 day–1, δZ = 1.64 × 10–3 m3mgC –1day–1 for zooplankton. Note that carbon and nutrients in this case turns over more rapidly than in Case1. Figure 22 compares the seasonal variation in global mean export ratio among the three model runs. Obviously the ratio from the PZDN model represents a sharp contrast with the MFW model, showing that the values stay at higher level throughout the year for both cases. Case1 of the PZDN model predicts that the export ratio goes up to nearly 0.20 during January–February, which clearly differs from the MFW model result, which has double peaks in April and October. The seasonal pattern in Case2 appears to be an average of Case1 and the MFW model. This suggests that the faster the ecosystem turns over, the smaller the export ratio tends to be evaluated. Global distributions of annual mean NPP and export ratio (based on the sinking flux at a depth of 300 m) resulting from the comparison runs are presented in Figs. 23 and 24, respectively. Both NPP maps show that the high production area distributes in high latitudes and the equatorial upwelling region where the ML develops seasonally. They also reveal the appearance of a longitudinal low NPP zone at around 30°N and S. The annual gross NPP in these cases came to approximately 37 GtC (Case1) and 41 GtC (Case2). The maps of export ratio reveal a general tendency that the value becomes high in low NPP regions in the subtropical gyre where the export flux dominates over NPP. The situation is much clearer in Case1: the ratio goes up above 0.20, even exceeding 0.30 locally. Such characteristics are consistent with the numerical study of the North Pacific by Kawamiya et al. (2000) with a typical PZDN model. For further investigation, numerical results from the three model runs were averaged over an interval from 180° to 150°W and the meridional distributions of the zonal-mean NPP, export flux and export ratio are compared in Fig. 25. Both of the PZDN model cases seem to follow the same tendency, although one is more pronounced than the other in the spatial pattern: NPP north and south of the 20° latitude stays at a uniformly low level compared to the MFW model, and an area of NPP minimum appears around 25°N and S, which is not observed in the MFW model. Meridional export flux distribution shows little difference among the three, except for slight falls in the PZDN model at around 25°N and S, corresponding to the NPP minimum. In contrast to the MFW model, which estimates low export ratio in the subtropical gyres, especially in the areas around the 25° latitudes, the PZDN model estimates a very high value there. The situation is more evident in Case1 than in Case2. In addition, values in high latitudes (above 35°) are Characterization of Ocean Productivity Using a New Physical-Biological 39 estimated as considerably higher in the PZDN model than in the MFW model. Accordingly, it turned out that the classical PZDN model alone does not reproduce global features in the oceanic carbon and nutrient cycles. This attests to the potential importance of the MFW model capable of simulating regional succession from grazing food web to microbial food web. 4.4 Problem with coarse grid resolution The new production associated with nutrients supplied from the lower layer must be identical to the export flux. In our future work, we should perform a detailed analysis of the seasonal variation in biological processes including new production and other nutrient kinetics of primary importance, together with the evaluation of NPP and export flux. For this purpose, there is an urgent need for an improvement in oceanic flow field. Although the result of our biological model seems reasonable as a whole, detailed inspection reveals that the reproducibility of nutrient distribution around the Equator is not acceptable. The problem seems to be closely related to the simulated flow field. In the hydrodynamic simulation, for example, the Equatorial Counter Current could not be reproduced in the western sector and the Equatorial Undercurrent remained significantly weak. These shortcomings must be due to coarse spatial resolution. In this connection, with the aim of examining the model’s sensitivity, another simulation with a finer resolution of 1° was run and the resulting east-west flow field along the 180°E longitude in the North Pacific was compared with the geostrophic circulation diagram drawn by Wyrtki and Kilonsky (1984). Although still inadequate to explain the intense Equatorial Undercurrent remaining within a narrow equatorial zone, the flow field resulting from the finer resolution was a great improvement over the present simulation. In the future, therefore, an improvement in the simulation of flow field around the Equator is required to improve our discussions of GOCC and nutrient dynamics. 5. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS The 3-D coupled physical and biological model considering processes relevant to MFW has been developed to evaluate NPP in the world ocean. The seasonal variation in flow field was estimated by the physical model together with the vertical eddy diffusivity and incorporated into the biological model to reproduce the seasonal variation in the ocean ecosystem. The numerical study reproduced the general tendency of temporal and spatial variations in both phytoplankton and zooplankton compartments, except for the equatorial region, which reflects a deficiency in the OGCM associated with coarse grid resolution. The annual gross NPP was evaluated as 61.2 GtC by the present simulation, which agreed fairly well with recent estimates from satellite data. The annual gross export flux of POC toward the subsurface layer was found to be 5.5 GtC. This value shows that about 9% of the NPP is transported to the subsurface layer and the remainder is respired by zooplankton and decomposed by bacteria in the euphotic layer. The export ratio, defined by the ratio of export flux to NPP, turned 40 K. NAKATA et al. out to stay high in the subpolar region, corresponding to the high NPP region. In the subtropical and the equatorial regions, on the other hand, the export ratio remained small at 0.1 or smaller throughout the year, no matter how high the NPP value was. The mechanism was explained by a carbon budget analysis: the result showed that a low export ratio in the low-latitude region may be closely related to the enhanced decomposition through MFW. Perhaps the most interesting finding of this study is that, in addition to the conventional grazing food web modeling, the inclusion of MFW becomes critical in gaining a better insight into the GOCC. Moreover, the present model reproduces the general characteristics of the global ocean ecosystem without any local calibration of the model parameters. Every parameter is left uniform throughout the ocean, and the model can explain regional differences in the ecosystem solely by considering seasonal variation in the forcing functions such as meteorological parameters, flow field and vertical eddy diffusivity. Since our aim is to elucidate carbon and nutrient cycles throughout the ocean, the present study must be continued to improve our understanding of nutrient dynamics, new production and export flux, as well as to improve in the reproducibility of the hydrodynamic model. Acknowledgements—This study was performed as part of the “GCMAPS program” (Global carbon cycle and related mapping based on satellite imagery) promoted by the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology of Japan. 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