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Tech Memo Approval Form ATTACHMENT A
TECH MEMO USE Document No.: 338884-PI-03-14 Revision No. 0 Effective Date: 10/17/2007 Page 6 of 6 ATTACHMENT A Tech Memo Approval Form Tech Memo Number: 338884-TMEM-090 Revision: 1 Project: 338884 Review Date: 1/28/09 Tech Memo Title: Historical Flow Data Analysis at Inglis Dam, Citrus County, Florida Revision History: Revision Number Description Approval Date Affected Pages 0 Initial submittal for formal review. 1/29/09 All Document Review and Approval Originator: Rich Srivastava 1/29/09 Name/Position Date Signature Reviewer Mitchell L. Griffin/Principal Technologist 1/29/09 Name/Position Date Signature Project Manager: Lorin Young/Project Manager 1/29/09 Name/Position Approval Date Signature 338884-TMEM-090, REV 0 CH2M HILL NUCLEAR BUSINESS GROUP CONTROLLED DOCUMENT PAGE 1 OF 8 MEMORANDUM Historical Flow Data Analysis at Inglis Dam, Citrus County, Florida 1. Introduction The 3,400-acre Lake Rousseau was formed by the construction of Inglis Dam in 1909 by Florida Power Corporation. Water from the Withlacoochee River is impounded by Inglis dam, and then continues into the Gulf of Mexico. Although the dam was constructed for the generation of hydroelectric power, hydropower operations ceased in 1965, when the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers assumed operation and maintenance. The dam is now operated only as a flood control structure. In the 1960's, the Corps built a portion of the Cross Florida Barge Canal (CFBC) between Lake Rousseau and the Gulf of Mexico. The barge canal bisected the Withlacoochee River below Lake Rousseau, so that releases through the main spillway at Inglis Dam now flow through an old segment of the river channel (Old Withlacoochee River, OWR) and then enters the CFBC en route to the Gulf. Since construction of the CFBC interrupted the natural flow of water from the upper into the lower segment of the river, the Corps constructed the 8,900 foot long Inglis Lock Bypass channel (bypass channel) to discharge fresh water from Lake Rousseau into the lower river segment. This connection essentially rechannels the Withlacoochee River below the CFBC and limits releases to the Lower Withlacoochee River; the maximum daily value was reported by U.S.G.S. to be approximately 1,840 cubic feet per second (cfs). The bypass channel branches off the barge canal approximately 3,500 feet downstream of the canal's connection to Lake Rousseau and extends to the lower segment of the river (Lower Withlacoochee River) near the point at which the barge canal separates the upper and lower segments. Although the bypass channel receives most of the flow from Lake Rousseau now, flow through the channel is regulated by the Inglis bypass spillway, a gated concrete structure located on the lower end of the channel. The water level in the bypass channel above this structure is equal to the water level of Lake Rousseau, generally about 27.5 feet mean sea level (NGVD29). Below the bypass spillway, the water level is a maximum of 5 feet NGVD29. Essentially, Inglis Dam, the bypass channel spillway, and Inglis Lock together maintain the level of Lake Rousseau. In the early 1990's, the barge canal was deauthorized as a federal project. Section 402 of the Water Resources Development Act of 1990, Public Law 101-640, provided the basis for final deauthorization of the barge canal project and transfer to the State of Florida of all lands and interests in lands in and adjacent to the barge canal. 2. Data Source U. S. Geological Survey (USGS) has two gauging stations near the Inglis Dam. • Withlacoochee River at Inglis Dam near Dunnellon, FL (USGS Station ID 02313230) 338884-TMEM-090, REV 0 CH2M HILL NUCLEAR BUSINESS GROUP CONTROLLED DOCUMENT PAGE 2 OF 8 HISTORICAL FLOW DATA ANALYSIS AT INGLIS DAM, CITRUS COUNTY, FLORIDA • Withlacoochee River below Inglis Dam near Dunnellon, FL (USGS Station ID 02313231) Historical gage height information is available at both the stations. Flow data is available for only for one station (USGS station ID 02313230), the period of record available is from 1969 to 2007 (Attachment A). The total drainage area contributing to this station is 2,020 square miles. Flow records at the station also include the contribution of groundwater (approximately 70 cfs). The U.S.G.S. reports this flow as mostly leakage from Lake Rousseau. Flow release at the Inglis Dam is regulated by manipulation of gates in the spillway. 3. Data Analysis Statistical analysis was conducted on available daily flow data. The number of releases, average annual, median and maximum flow rate was estimated from the period of record (Table 1). Under future conditions, the Levy Nuclear Plant (LNP) cooling water will withdraw about 190 cfs, so flow down the OWR of less than this value will likely be withdrawn by LNP. Therefore, the estimate of the number of releases per year was for the number of days with releases more than 195 cfs to determine how often flows from the dam may move toward the Gulf. The flow records included the 70 cfs groundwater flow in the reported values so the reported minimum flow below the dam was always 70 cfs. For the entire period of record the average annual flow was 436 cfs, median value was 80 cfs, and maximum flow reported as 6,030 cfs. Statistical analysis was also performed on daily flow data for the days when flow exceeded 195 cfs (the intake flows at the LNP is estimated to be approximately. Average annual flow for this case was 987 cfs, median value was 612 cfs, and maximum flow was 6,030 cfs1. A return period estimation was conducted using the maximum reported flow for each year (partial series analysis). The statistical analysis tool DISTRIB 2.13 was used for computing the return period. DISTRIB 2.13 is a statistical distribution analysis tool provided with Stormwater Management and Design Aid (SMADA) tool (website: http://www.cee.ucf.edu/software/index.htm). Among the available distribution functions, a Log Pearson Type III Distribution provided the best-fit. Table 2 provides a return period estimate based on the measured data and Figure 1 presents the fitted probability distribution function curve for the return period. 1Note that this analysis does not include the additional flows transmitted to the Lower Withlacoochee River through the Bypass Spillway. During the high flows over the Inglis Dam, flow through the Bypass was about 1,200 cfs (see attachment). 338884-TMEM-090, REV 0 CH2M HILL NUCLEAR BUSINESS GROUP CONTROLLED DOCUMENT PAGE 3 OF 8 HISTORICAL FLOW DATA ANALYSIS AT INGLIS DAM, CITRUS COUNTY, FLORIDA TABLE 1. Statistical Analysis Results of Historical Flow Data at the USGS Gauging Station at Inglis Dam Year Number of Releases per Year in Excess of 195 cfs Median Value (cfs) Average Annual (cfs) Maximum Flow (cfs 1969 92 2,600 2,420 3,300 1970 232 300 1,013 3,600 1971 125 180 282 1,450 1972 128 75 348 2,540 1973 102 70 164 1,110 1974 121 70 414 2,560 1975 3 70 74 320 1976 87 70 144 890 1977 0 70 73 152 1978 105 70 236 2,220 1979 88 70 434 4,500 1980 8 70 94 1,500 1981 0 70 75 133 1982 228 840 1,095 4,280 1983 342 881 948 3,000 1984 286 538 565 2,180 1985 102 70 412 3,560 1986 125 70 229 1,190 1987 164 70 456 3,420 1988 223 290 574 4,190 1989 112 70 164 919 1990 95 70 172 900 1991 96 70 231 1,620 1992 97 70 179 2,320 1993 136 70 155 624 1994 236 460 493 1,910 1995 347 612 859 2,790 1996 246 460 478 2,070 1997 90 70 182 3,480 338884-TMEM-090, REV 0 CH2M HILL NUCLEAR BUSINESS GROUP CONTROLLED DOCUMENT PAGE 4 OF 8 HISTORICAL FLOW DATA ANALYSIS AT INGLIS DAM, CITRUS COUNTY, FLORIDA TABLE 1. Statistical Analysis Results of Historical Flow Data at the USGS Gauging Station at Inglis Dam Year Number of Releases per Year in Excess of 195 cfs Median Value (cfs) Average Annual (cfs) Maximum Flow (cfs 1998 262 460 1,643 6,000 1999 147 141 176 1,070 2000 70 70 116 948 2001 87 70 162 1,300 2002 101 70 220 1,690 2003 313 1,150 1,270 3,610 2004 143 70 934 6,030 2005 273 617 729 3,080 2006 61 105 171 2,830 2007 5 105 109 776 TABLE 2 Return Period Estimation Using the Statistical Distribution Analysis “DISTRIB 2.13” Model Return Period (years) Predicted Flow (cfs) 500 5,973 100 5,684 50 5,450 25 5,113 10 4,441 5 3,681 3 2,922 2 2,145 338884-TMEM-090, REV 0 CH2M HILL NUCLEAR BUSINESS GROUP CONTROLLED DOCUMENT PAGE 5 OF 8 HISTORICAL FLOW DATA ANALYSIS AT INGLIS DAM, CITRUS COUNTY, FLORIDA Log Pearson Type III Distribution 7000 6000 Flow (cfs) 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 Probability Actual Distribution FIGURE 1 Probability Distribution Function Curve for Maximum Report Flows at Inglis Dam 4. Reference USGS. USGS 02313230 Withlacoochee River at Inglis Dam near Dunnellon, FL. Website: http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/dv/?site_no=02313230&referred_module=sw. Accessed December 18, 2008. 338884-TMEM-090, REV 0 CH2M HILL NUCLEAR BUSINESS GROUP CONTROLLED DOCUMENT PAGE 6 OF 8 HISTORICAL FLOW DATA ANALYSIS AT INGLIS DAM, CITRUS COUNTY, FLORIDA Attachment USGS 02313250 WITHLACOOCHEE R BYPASS CHANNEL NR INGLIS FLA Available data for this site Time-series: Annual statistics GO Output formats Levy County, Florida HTML table of all data Hydrologic Unit Code 03100208 Latitude 29°01'15", Longitude 82°38'17" NAD27 Tab-separated data Reselect output format Water Year 338884-TMEM-090, REV 0 00060, Discharge, cubic feet per second 1971 1,177 1972 1,170 1973 1,061 1974 1,124 1975 984.1 1976 1,115 1977 1,040 1978 1,195 1979 1,146 1980 1,282 1981 836.6 1982 1,099 1983 1,239 1984 1,488 1985 931.6 1986 1,217 1987 1,141 1988 1,106 CH2M HILL NUCLEAR BUSINESS GROUP CONTROLLED DOCUMENT PAGE 7 OF 8 HISTORICAL FLOW DATA ANALYSIS AT INGLIS DAM, CITRUS COUNTY, FLORIDA Water Year 00060, Discharge, cubic feet per second 1989 1,200 1990 711.8 1991 849.6 1992 643.7 1993 871.8 1994 772.2 1995 975.3 1996 1,264 1997 781.7 1998 1,246 1999 1,091 2000 551.0 2001 453.9 2002 897.8 2003 1,352 2004 1,171 2005 1,347 2006 1,080 2007 639.8 ** No Incomplete data have been used for statistical calculation Highest reported value highlighted in yellow. 338884-TMEM-090, REV 0 CH2M HILL NUCLEAR BUSINESS GROUP CONTROLLED DOCUMENT PAGE 8 OF 8