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Health and Safety Executive The Pesticide Users’ Health Study An analysis of mortality (1987-2005) Prepared by the Health and Safety Laboratory for the Health and Safety Executive 2013 RR958 Research Report Health and Safety Executive The Pesticide Users’ Health Study An analysis of mortality (1987-2005) Terry Brown Anne-Helen Harding Gillian Frost Harpur Hill Buxton Derbyshire SK17 9JN The Pesticide Users Health Study (PUHS) was established so as to monitor the health of men and women who are certified to apply pesticides on a commercial basis under the 1986 Control of Pesticides Regulations. An analysis of deaths occurring between 1987 and 2005 among members of the PUHS is presented in this report. There were 1,628 deaths among 59,085 male and 3,875 female pesticide users during the follow-up period. Compared with the population of Great Britain, the pesticide users had lower than expected mortality from all causes, and in particular from all cancers combined, cancers of the digestive organs, cancers of the respiratory system, and non-malignant diseases of the nervous system and sense organs, and of the circulatory, respiratory, and digestive systems. There was some evidence of excess deaths from multiple myeloma in men and women, and possibly also from testicular cancer. Deaths from all external causes (accidents and injuries) combined were lower than expected when compared with the general population. However in men, deaths from ‘injury by machinery’ were higher than expected. Continuing recruitment into the PUHS will enable HSE to monitor the health of these pesticide users as regulations and exposures change over time. This report and the work it describes were funded by the Health and Safety Executive (HSE). Its contents, including any opinions and/or conclusions expressed, are those of the authors alone and do not necessarily reflect HSE policy. HSE Books © Crown copyright 2013 First published 2013 You may reuse this information (not including logos) free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government Licence. To view the licence visit www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/, write to the Information Policy Team, The National Archives, Kew, London TW9 4DU, or email [email protected]. Some images and illustrations may not be owned by the Crown so cannot be reproduced without permission of the copyright owner. Enquiries should be sent to [email protected]. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Acknowledgements go to Steve Hewitt and Kate Hopkins at City & Guilds Land Based Services for their advice and support for the database. The authors would also like to thank Paul Buckley, John Osman, and John Hodgson at the Health and Safety Executive for their assistance on how the study was established and previous work that had been carried out. The authors would also like to thank Adrian Cassidy and Yiqun Chen of the Health & Safety Executive for their contributions. Lastly, the authors wish to thank the staff at the National Health Service Information Centre for their support. ii KEY MESSAGES Overall, men and women in the Pesticide Users Health Study (PUHS) had statistically significantly lower than expected mortality from all causes, all cancers combined, cancers of the lip, oral cavity and pharynx, of the digestive organs, and of the respiratory system, non malignant diseases of the nervous system and sense organs, and non-malignant diseases of the circulatory, respiratory and digestive systems, when compared with the GB population. There was some evidence of excess deaths from multiple myeloma among men and women, and possibly also some excess of testicular cancer deaths. With the limited data available, it was not possible to investigate whether these were linked with particular jobs, working practices or pesticides. There was lower than expected mortality from all external causes (accidents and injuries) combined in both men and women. In men only, there was an excess of deaths due to “injury by machinery”. It is recommended that recruitment into the PUHS cohort and follow-up of the PUHS cohort be continued, so that this system for monitoring the health of workers exposed to pesticides through their work is maintained. iii iv EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Objectives The overall objective of this report was to describe mortality among participants of the Pesticide Users Health Study (PUHS). Study participants were men and women who have been certified to apply pesticides on a commercial basis in Great Britain under the 1986 Control of Pesticides Regulations and who agreed to take part in HSE’s research into their health. These men and women therefore represent a cohort of individuals who were likely to have been occupationally exposed to pesticides. Main findings There were 1,628 deaths among 59,085 male and 3,875 female pesticide users during the follow-up period, 1987-2005. The mean age at first certification was 32 years (sd 11), with women on average nearly 4 years younger than men at entry. At the end of the study, the mean length of time since first certification was 13 years, with a range of less than one year to 18.7 years. The mean age at first certification for those who died was 46 years for men and 36 years for women. For those who died, the mean length of time since first certification was 9 years. All cause mortality was substantially lower among the pesticide users than in the general population (standardised mortality ratio (SMR) 0.58, 95% CI 0.55-0.61), as was mortality for a number of the major disease groups: o All cancers combined (SMR 0.72, 95% CI 0.66-0.78), o Cancers of the lip, oral cavity and pharynx (SMR 0.18, 95% CI 0.07-0.48), o Cancers of the digestive organs (SMR 0.78, 95% CI 0.68-0.90), o Cancers of the respiratory system (SMR 0.55, 95% CI 0.46-0.65), o Non-malignant diseases of the nervous system and sense organs (SMR 0.39, 95% CI 0.27-0.57), o Non-malignant diseases of the circulatory system (SMR 0.58, 95% CI 0.52 0.63) o Non-malignant diseases of the respiratory system (SMR 0.39, 95% CI 0.31 0.49) o Non-malignant diseases of the digestive system (SMR 0.24, 95% CI 0.18-0.32) The healthy worker effect, together with higher occupational physical activity levels and lower smoking rates in this group of workers, to some degree may explain these lower than expected mortality rates. v The SMRs for some causes of death were higher than expected, though relatively small numbers of deaths, wide confidence intervals and statistical non-significance for some SMRs, mean that these need to be interpreted with caution. Only those causes of death with raised SMRs in this analysis and statistically significantly higher than expected cancer incidence in the parallel analysis of cancer incidence a in the PUHS cohort are listed here: o There was some evidence that mortality from multiple myeloma (SMR 1.28, 95% CI 0.77-2.12 for men and SMR 10.8, 95% CI 2.70-43.2 for women) was higher than expected in this cohort. o There may be some evidence of an excess of deaths from testicular cancer (SMR 1.95, 95% CI 0.93-4.09). Mortality from all external causes (accidents and injuries) combined was significantly lower than expected in men (SMR 0.69, 95% CI 0.62-1.78), but for women it was not significantly different from the general population. Among men “injury by machinery” was statistically significantly higher than expected (SMR 4.21, 95% CI 2.11-8.42). Recommendations The PUHS is an important resource, but the information currently held on the PUHS database is limited. As it stands, it is not possible to investigate whether occupational exposures at any level – industry, job, specific pesticide or working practice – are associated with an increased risk of mortality. In addition, information on factors that may affect mortality, such as diet and lifestyle, would permit an analysis to take these into account before investigating the associations with occupational exposures. It is recommended that this type of information be collected on the pesticide users in future research. At present only information on mortality and cancer incidence among the pesticide users is available. Concern has been raised in the published literature about possible links between pesticide exposure and non-malignant conditions, such as neurological and respiratory symptoms and diseases, which are not always fatal. A general health survey of the pesticide users is recommended, in order to determine the occurrence and the associated risk factors of these health conditions among the pesticide users. It is recommended that recruitment into the PUHS cohort and follow-up of the PUHS cohort be continued, so that this system for monitoring the health of workers exposed to pesticides through their work is maintained. a Frost, G. The Pesticide Users Health Study: an analysis of cancer incidence (1987-2004). 2011. HSE Research Report (in preparation) vi CONTENTS PAGE 1 INTRODUCTION......................................................................................... 2 2 IMPLICATIONS .......................................................................................... 5 3 METHODOLOGY........................................................................................ 6 3.1 The Cohort............................................................................................... 6 3.2 The Pesticide Users Health Study Database........................................... 7 3.3 Follow-Up ................................................................................................ 7 3.4 Case definition......................................................................................... 7 3.5 Data Analysis........................................................................................... 7 4 RESULTS ................................................................................................... 9 4.1 The Cohort............................................................................................... 9 4.2 Results from the Mortality Analysis........................................................ 12 4.3 Discussion of results.............................................................................. 15 5 REFERENCES.......................................................................................... 18 6 APPENDICES........................................................................................... 20 6.1 Causes of death selected for analysis ................................................... 20 6.2 City & Guilds Land Based Services certificates of competence............. 22 6.3 Stratified tables of results ...................................................................... 23 6.4 Review of the literature .......................................................................... 33 6.5 References cited in the appendices....................................................... 45 1 1 INTRODUCTION A pesticide is any physical, chemical or biological agent that will kill an undesirable plant, fungal or animal pest. Therefore, pesticides are almost as diverse as their targets. Pesticides have been used for centuries: the first recorded use was by the Sumerians who were using sulphur as an insecticide in 2500 BC1. The Chinese were using pyrethrum as an insecticide by 1200 BC and sulphur as a fumigant by 1000 BC. Arsenic-containing compounds were used as insecticides in the 16th century and as a weed killer in the late 19th century. By the 1920s the extensive use of arsenicals caused public concern because some fruit and vegetables were found to contain toxic residues. The use of chemicals for pest control in crops began in the 19th century with, firstly, the introduction of lime-based fungicides and insecticides and, secondly, the use of copper sulphate in fungicide mixtures2. The 1930s saw the development of a variety of synthetic pesticides such as alkyl thiocyanate insecticides, dithiocarbamates and ethylene dibromide, some of which have been superseded by numerous new compounds developed in the post-war era. Pesticide use increased with the introduction of the insecticide DDT (Dichloro-DiphenylTrichloroethane) and growth-regulating herbicides in the 1940s. Organomercury has been used since the 1950s to control seed and soil-borne fungal diseases, while the use of foliar fungicides on cereals began in the 1970s. At the same time, the use of organochlorines (OCs), organophosphates (OPs) and later, carbamates for insect pest control became more widespread. Since the late 1970s, control of insects in arable crops via chemicals has become commonplace, helped by the introduction of synthetic pyrethroids. Potential associations between pesticide exposure and human diseases are increasingly the focus of epidemiological investigations. This increased concern for human toxicity, potential addresses differing levels of exposure occurring through various routes (food, air, water, soil). The process of identifying causes of disease within pesticide-exposed populations is complex, primarily because pesticides are merely one of many environmental exposures that people may encounter. Therefore, to say that a pesticide is associated with increased adverse health effects – cancer, respiratory problems, immune disorders, birth defects, etc. – requires the determination of a positive association between pesticide exposure and a specific disease; and that other known causes can be ruled out. For instance, farmers are not only exposed to pesticides, but also to other potential risk factors such as fertilisers, nitrates, fuels and engine exhausts, solvents, organic and inorganic dusts, electromagnetic and ultraviolet radiation, and animal pathogens. Behavioural, dietary, and genetic factors may also have a bearing on their risk of disease. The acute health effects of pesticides in humans are well documented; common symptoms include headache, aching limbs, runny nose, giddiness, muscle weakness, and fevers/chills, plus others3. In a study of 4,108 individuals who had at some time used pesticides occupationally, the risk of pesticide-related symptoms increased with somatizing tendency b (somatic symptoms include: faintness or dizziness, pains in the heart or chest, nausea or upset stomach, trouble getting breath, hot or cold spells, numbness and tingling in parts of the body, and feeling weak in parts of the body). The risk was also higher in men who had used pesticides more often and who had worked with concentrates. The relative frequency of symptoms was similar for all categories of pesticide (sheep dip, other insecticides, herbicides, fungicides and wood preservatives). However, in many cases the symptoms may have arisen through psychological rather than toxic mechanisms. Existing reporting systems in the UK that collect data on incident illness associated with exposure to pesticides, focus on acute episodes of ill health such as poisonings, caused by either misuse or abuse. Much less is known about the incidence of ill health due to low-levels of b Somatization is the tendency to express psychological factors such as anxiety or stress through bodily symptoms. 2 pesticides and in the UK there is currently no surveillance scheme within primary care. A recent study to estimate the prevalence and incidence of pesticide-related illness presenting to GPs in Great Britain, suggested the former to be 0.07% and latter 0.04% of consultations, because of concern about pesticide exposure4. Estimates of prevalence and incidence of possible pesticiderelated symptoms were 2.7% and 1.6% respectively. Although small, these estimates translate to relatively large numbers of consultations annually. Chronic health effects, such as cancer, and adverse reproductive outcomes, have been investigated extensively5-12. Results have been interpreted in various ways as evidence that pesticides are safe or that they are a cause for concern because they can be detrimental to human health13. Genotoxicity studies and some recent epidemiological studies in occupationally exposed populations, point to the real possibility of carcinogenic health effects in humans exposed to pesticides 5-7 9 10 12 14-16. The Occupational Health Decennial Supplement showed that farmers had high death rates from various accidental injuries, from several occupationally related respiratory disorders, from hernias (which may result from the extremely heavy lifting in agriculture, especially in the past), and from suicide (Table 1)17. The highest Proportional Mortality Ratio (PMR) (1455) was seen for pesticide poisoning. A more detailed review of the published literature on epidemiological studies, which investigate the association between occupational exposure to pesticides and morbidity or mortality, is given in Appendix 6.4. Table 1 Mortality from selected causes in farmers: men aged 20-74, England and Wales, 1979-80 and 1982-90 (Source Drever et al, 1995)17 and 19912000 (Source Coggan et al, 2009)18 Cause of death 1979-80 and 1982-90 Deaths Farmers’ lung disease (495.0) Other and unspecified allergic pneumonitis (495.1, 495.3-495.9) Inguinal hernia (550) Other hernia (551-553) Infections of skin, joints and bone (680-686, 711, 730) Off-road motor vehicle accidents (E820-E825) Animal transport accidents (E827-E828) Pesticide poisoning (E863) Poisoning by other gases (E869) Slipping and tripping (E885) Injury by animals and plants (E905-E906) Injury by falling object (E916) Injury by machinery (E919) Injury by firearms (E922) Injury by electric current (E925) Suicide (E950-E959) PMR 1991-2000 95% CI Deaths PMR 95% CI 56 7 10.1 7.87 8.23-14.2 3.17-16.2 31 3 14.6 2.89 9.89-20.7 0.60-8.44 41 41 36 1.91 1.49 1.81 1.37-2.59 1.07-2.02 1.27-2.51 29 24 2.37 1.57 1.59-3.41 1.01-2.34 38 2.55 1.80-3.50 23 2.80 1.78-4.20 15 4.68 2.62-7.73 9 9.64 4.41-18.3 4 7 17 21 14.6 4.17 1.93 7.75 3.96-37.24 1.68-8.59 1.12-3.09 4.79-11.9 4 3 4 16 13.5 2.38 1.54 10.3 3.68-34.6 0.49-6.97 0.42-3.93 5.90-16.8 35 147 23 29 1215 1.56 4.57 6.70 2.13 1.56 1.09-2.17 3.86-5.38 4.24-10.2 1.43-3.07 1.47-1.65 17 50 12 18 908 2.20 4.17 8.13 2.38 1.37 1.28-3.52 3.09-5.50 4.20-14.2 1.41-3.76 1.29-1.47 3 The most obvious groups in which to study the chronic effects of pesticides in humans are those occupational groups or workers who apply pesticides in high doses as part of their daily activities. Individuals working with pesticides can be categorised into a number of groups, depending on their place of work and/or activity with the active ingredients: Pesticide sprayers and applicators: Those involved directly in the preparation and application of pesticides to crops and who potentially represent the most exposed group of workers. However, as the potential for direct contact with pesticides is anticipated during these activities, the use of personal protective equipment (PPE) is frequently a condition of use and is thought to be more commonplace than in those working with the sprayed crops, which may impact on outcomes 19 20. Floriculturists and greenhouse workers: Those involved in the production of flowers and ornamental plants that are commonly sprayed with pesticides in greenhouses. It has been suggested that these groups of workers may potentially have an increased risk of cytogenetic damage due to working in small confined areas, humid conditions and a potential continuous exposure through re-entry activities such as cutting and potting, all militating against the regular use of PPE 21 22. Additionally, compared to other classes of workers, floriculturists may be relatively highly exposed to pesticides during loading, mixing and application as well as during manual activities following regular contact with flowers and ornamental plants. Furthermore, the climatic conditions within greenhouses allow for the continuous production of fruits, vegetables and flowers, requiring a regular application of pesticides throughout the year, resulting in potentially continuous exposure. Agricultural workers and farmers: Those involved in the production of crops, fruits and vegetables and hence indirectly exposed to pesticides. In most instances, such workers are also involved in the mixing and loading of the pesticides. Exposure to pesticides may be lower than in other groups due to the seasonal application of pesticides and the working environment, i.e. outdoors. Forestry workers: Those involved in the spraying of trees and shrubs. In general, compared with other occupational groups, forestry workers use fewer active ingredients. Production workers: Those involved in the manufacture of pesticides. The production of pesticides is undertaken throughout the year, as opposed to pesticide applications, which in general, occur seasonally. Workers are therefore potentially exposed to pesticides continuously, as well as to the raw materials such as formaldehyde, toluene and benzene, some of which also have genotoxic activity. The overall objective of this report was to describe mortality up to the end of 2005 among participants of the Pesticide Users Health Study. Study participants were men and women, who have taken certificates of competence in the use of agricultural pesticides and who therefore represent a cohort of individuals who were likely to have been occupationally exposed to pesticides. 4 2 IMPLICATIONS The Pesticide Users Health Study (PUHS) is the only national study monitoring the health of men and women who are chronically exposed to pesticides as a part of their work. As such, and in the absence of a requirement for health surveillance of these workers, the PUHS is the principle means by which HSE can assess whether occupational exposure to pesticides is linked to ill health. The findings of the mortality analysis thus provide an important insight into the health of commercial pesticide users in Great Britain, and represent the first step in the investigation of the health effects of occupational exposure to pesticides. Men and women in the PUHS had significantly lower mortality rates than the GB population during the period 1987-2005. Mortality from all causes, and from major disease groups, including all cancers combined, cancers of the lip, oral cavity and pharynx, cancers of the digestive organs, cancers of the respiratory system, non-malignant diseases of the nervous system and sense organs, and non-malignant diseases of the circulatory, respiratory and digestive systems, were statistically significantly lower than mortality in the GB population, after taking age, year of death and sex into account. The healthy worker effect, and higher occupational physical activity levels and lower smoking rates in this group of workers, may explain these lower than expected mortality rates to some degree. There was some evidence that there were excess deaths from multiple myeloma in both men and women, and possibly also an excess of testicular cancer deaths. The evidence from the mortality analysis for these excess deaths was relatively weak, but is strengthened when combined with the reported statistically significant excess in the number of incident cases of multiple myeloma and testicular cancer in the PUHS cohort during the period 1987-200423. The published evidence for a link between pesticide use and multiple myeloma is conflicting; more accurate measurement of exposure to specific pesticides may help clarify whether there is a causal association. An association between blood levels of a metabolite of the organochlorine pesticide DDT and testicular germ cell tumours has been reported in the literature24. Further research into the observed excess of these cancers in the PUHS cohort may be warranted, particularly with respect to occupational exposures and other potential explanatory factors. Reported statistics for farmers, the occupational group most closely representative of the PUHS cohort in official Standard Occupational Classifications, indicate that farmers are at increased risk of mortality from a range of external causes, including transport, falling from height, struck by moving or falling objects, asphyxiation/drowning, trapped by something collapsing or overturning, contact with machinery, livestock related fatalities, and contact with electricity. The HSE focused on safe working practices among farmers in their 2009 Agriculture Campaign and it regularly runs Farm Safety Health Awareness Days in an attempt to reduce the disproportionately high number of deaths from accidents and injuries in agriculture. There was a statistically significantly lower risk of mortality from all external causes (accidents and injuries) combined in the PUHS cohort than expected when compared with the GB population. In the PUHS, the only statistically significant increased risk of mortality from external causes was observed for “injury by machinery” in men. This self-selected cohort of workers trained in the safe use of pesticides may be more health and safety aware than the wider group of farmers. Alternatively, as only a proportion of the cohort are farmers, non-farming cohort members may not be exposed to the same range of risks as farmers. 5 3 3.1 METHODOLOGY THE COHORT Since 1986, anyone applying pesticides on a commercial basis in the UK must first gain a certificate of competence in their safe use. The City & Guilds Land Based Services (formerly the National Proficiency Test Council (NPTC)), in Stoneleigh, has been at the forefront of developments for craftsmen awards under the Agricultural Wages Order, statutory and code of practice qualifications for the safe use of pesticides, sheep dipping, chainsaw operation and transport of livestock, required by the Chemicals Regulation Directorate (CRD), the Veterinary Medicines Directorate (VMD), Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs (Defra), the Health and Safety Executive (HSE) and other government agencies and national bodies. The City & Guilds Land Based Services maintains a database of individuals who hold a certificate of competence in the use of agricultural pesticides. At the time of their training, individuals were invited to participate in a programme of medical research on the health effects of pesticide usage conducted by HSE. In 1998, the HSE’s Epidemiology and Medical Statistics Unit (EMSU) conducted a feasibility study into using the City & Guilds Land Based Services database, both for following up cancer incidence and mortality, and for collecting other data on health and on pesticide usage. They concluded that the database was “an excellent tool …. but could be enhanced”, and committed HSE to a programme of work to achieve this. In February 2005, the database was transferred from EMSU to the Health and Safety Laboratory (HSL) in Buxton, and the programme of work continues at HSL. The Pesticide Users Health Study (PUHS) cohort consists of those individuals on the City & Guilds Land Based Services database who consented to taking part in HSE’s medical research programme. The overall objectives of the work involving the PUHS were to fill the gaps in knowledge about the extent and nature of pesticide-related ill health, especially chronic pesticide-related ill health, which is not the focus of current surveillance schemes. To achieve this, the overall aims of the study are: • To augment the information stored in the City & Guilds Land Based Services database, by conducting surveys to collect data on: o The extent and nature of current and historical pesticide usage; o The health of cohort members; and o Other relevant factors (but not health outcomes), e.g. work practices. • To maintain the cohort so that it remains available for future research, by adopting procedures to optimise: o Recruitment to the study; o Retention and tracking of study members; and o Good survey practice. 6 3.2 THE PESTICIDE USERS HEALTH STUDY DATABASE The PUHS database contains personal details of all 65,910 individuals who agreed to take part in HSE’s programme of medical research into the health of pesticide users. The first test date included in the database was May 1987. Data for those who agreed to take part before March 2003 were available for this analysis. The details include: • Full name • Maiden/previous name • Sex • Date of birth • Address • Employer name, background and address • Test details: certificate received, date, centre name, county • National insurance number • National health service number • Death details • Cancer registration details Although the database contains the employer’s name and background, the job of each individual or the industry in which they worked cannot be ascertained from this information. 3.3 FOLLOW-UP A request to flag the 65,910 men and women in the PUHS for cancer and death registrations was made to the National Health Service Central Register (NHSCR) or the General Register Office for Scotland (GROS) for those based in Scotland. For individuals not immediately traced by NHSCR or GROS, further information was requested from the National Insurance office in Newcastle-upon-Tyne, and passed back to NHSCR. A total of 63,493 individuals were eventually traced, a rate of 96.3%. The NHSCR and GROS notify HSL, on a quarterly basis, of any cancer or death registrations among the PUHS participants who were successfully traced. 3.4 CASE DEFINITION The causes of death selected for the analysis were determined from a comprehensive review of the literature. A list of the diseases or conditions considered in previous studies of pesticide users or pesticide manufacturing workers was compiled and used as the outcomes for this analysis. The underlying cause of death reported on death certificates was used to define a case in this analysis. A full list of the causes selected and their associated International Classification of Diseases (ICD) revisions 9 and 10 codes is given in Appendix 6.1. 3.5 DATA ANALYSIS The outcome for the mortality analysis was the underlying cause of death recorded on the death certificate, coded according to ICD-9 or ICD-10. Person-years at risk and standardised mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated using Stata SE v11.125 26. The start date for the cohort was the date members sat for their first certificate of competence, irrespective of what type it was. Person years at risk accrued until the end of the study period (31 December 2005), or when an individual died or emigrated. Individuals were excluded from the analysis if they were not successfully traced by the NHSCR or GROS, they were not resident in Great Britain, they had withdrawn from the study, or had 7 missing or invalid information recorded in the database on date of birth, date of first test, date of death (if applicable), and region. Standard methods for analysing cohort studies were used. Standardised mortality ratios, which compare mortality in the cohort with national mortality, were calculated. The SMRs were calculated by sex-specific 5-year age and calendar periods. National mortality rates were obtained from the Office for National Statistics (England and Wales) and from the General Register Officer for Scotland. If an SMR is greater than 1, there is an excess of deaths among the pesticide users, and if the SMR is less than 1, there are fewer deaths than expected among the pesticide users when compared with the national population. Potential trends within the overall SMRs were examined by stratifying the SMRs by year of birth, year of the first test, age at the first test, and the modules for which an individual had received a certificate of competence (Appendix 6.2). The number of years since an individual was first certified was treated as a time dependent variable in the analysis. SMRs were also stratified in relation to the region where an individual lived. The regions were based on Government Office Regions, defined as: • Scotland • North: Durham, Cleveland, Cheshire, Lancashire, Humberside, Northumberland, Yorkshire, Cumbria, Yorkshire, Tyne & Wear, Merseyside • Midlands: Leicestershire, Derbyshire, Nottinghamshire, Lincolnshire, Northamptonshire, Hereford, Worcester, Shropshire, Staffordshire, Warwickshire, West Midlands • Eastern: Norfolk, Suffolk, Essex, Hertfordshire, Bedfordshire, Cambridgeshire • South East: Sussex, Surrey, Hampshire, Berkshire, Buckinghamshire, Isle of Wight, Kent, Oxfordshire, London c • South West: Cornwall, Devon, Dorset, Somerset, Gloucestershire, Avon, Wiltshire • Wales c London is a separate Government Office Region; for the purpose of this analysis it was combined with ‘South-East’ because there was a comparatively small number of pesticide users in London. 8 4 4.1 RESULTS THE COHORT Altogether 63,493 of the 65,910 men and women on the PUHS database, were successfully traced. Of these, a further 533 individuals were excluded from the analysis: 182 did not have a date on which they took the first test, 344 lived outside the boundaries of England, Wales and Scotland, and 7 emigrated before the first test date. Men and women who only held a Foundation Module were included in the analysis, because they are permitted to apply pesticides under the supervision of an individual who is fully qualified to apply pesticides on a commercial basis. Thus, 62,960 members of the cohort were included in the analysis: 59,085 (93.8%) men and 3,875 (6.2%) women. Table 2 gives numbers of individuals in the different regions of the country. Table 2 Region East South East South West Midlands North Scotland Wales Total Regional distribution of the cohort Men Number (%) 8,343 (13.2) 11,872 (18.9) 7,457 (11.8) 10,431 (16.6) 12,350 (19.6) 6,071 (9.6) 2,561 (4.1) 59,085 (100) Women Number (%) 600 (1.0) 1,156 (1.8) 543 (0.9) 584 (0.9) 615 (1.0) 252 (0.4) 125 (0.2) (100) 3,875 Total Number (%) 8,943 (14.2) 13,028 (20.7) 8,000 (12.7) 11,015 (17.5) 12,965 (20.6) 6,323 (10.0) 2,686 (4.3) 62,960 (100) Table 3 gives information about the year of birth of the cohort as a whole (men and women). The majority of the cohort was born in the 1950s and 1960s, though the majority of women were born in the 1960s and 1970s. Table 3 Year of Birth Before 1930 1930-1939 1940-1949 1950-1959 1960-1969 1970-1979 1980- Cohort distribution by year of birth Men Number 618 3,532 8,344 13,264 21,347 10,607 1,373 % (1.0) (5.6) (13.2) (21.1) (33.9) (16.8) (2.2) Women Number % 4 (0.01) 48 (0.1) 290 (0.5) 598 (1.0) 1,698 (2.7) 1,157 (1.8) 80 (0.1) Total Number % 622 (1.0) 3,580 (5.7) 8,634 (13.7) 13,862 (22.0) 23,045 (36.6) 11,764 (18.7) 1,453 (2.3) Table 4 gives details of the year in which individuals were first given a certificate of competence and the age they were when issued the certificate. As expected, the majority of certificates were first issued in the 1980s when the certification scheme was established. In each 9 year group, the mean age of men was significantly greater than the mean age of women. The average age of the cohort at the date they received their first certificate of competence was 32.3 years (standard deviation: 11.0; range: 16.2-74.3), and almost 50% were under the age of 30 years. At the end of follow-up, the mean age for men was 45.7 years (standard deviation (sd) 11.7), compared to 40.8 years (sd 9.3) for women. Table 4 Cohort distribution by year of and age at the first test date Year of first test Men Number (%) 1987-1990 1991-1994 1996-2000 2001-2003 29,742 16,465 10,149 2,729 (50.3) (27.9) (17.2) (4.6) Mean age 33.4 31.1 32.1 33.7 Women Number (%) Mean age 1,366 (35.3) 28.3 1,419 (36.6) 27.9 835 (21.5) 29.6 255 (6.6) 32.5 Total Number (%) 31,108 17,884 10,984 2,984 (49.4) (28.4) (17.4) (4.7) Mean age 33.1 30.8 31.9 33.6 Age at first test <25 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50Mean age at first test 18,696 10,428 8,520 6,692 5,498 3,975 5,276 (29.7) (16.6) (13.5) (10.6) (8.7) (6.3) (8.4) 32.5 (11.0) 1,689 876 479 314 261 141 115 (2.7) (1.4) (0.8) (0.5) (0.4) (0.2) (0.2) 28.7 (8.8) 20,385 11,304 8,999 7,006 5,759 4,116 5,391 (32.4) (18.0) (14.3) (11.1) (9.2) (6.5) (8.6) 32.3 (11.0) As outlined in section 3.2, job information was lacking on the PUHS database, although a total of 8,270 were known to be definitely self-employed and 16,934 not. Table 5 gives information of the modules passed by the cohort: 6,969 individuals completed only the foundation module, while 48,249 completed the foundation module and either the ground crop sprayer or the hand held operator module. The table also shows the length of time a certificate had been held by the end of the study (31 December 2005). The overall mean was 13.2 years (sd 4.2), with a range from less than one month to 18.7 years. 10 Table 5 Cohort distribution by City & Guilds Land Based Services modules taken and number of years certified Men Modules taken Number Women (%) Number Total (%) Number (%) Foundation Module (FM) FM + Ground Crop Sprayer, unspec. FM + Hand Held Applicators, unspec. All Three All others 6,293 16,640 (10.7) (28.2) 676 207 (17.5) (5.3) 6,969 16,847 (11.1) (26.8) 28,693 (48.6) 2,709 (69.9) 31,402 (49.9) 2,711 4,748 (4.6) (8.0) 73 210 (1.9) (5.4) 2,784 4,958 Total 59,085 (100) 3,875 (100) 62,960 (100) <=5 5-9 10-14 15+ Total 5,814 10,605 19,681 22,985 59,085 (9.8) (18.0) (33.3) (38.9) (100) 533 889 1,546 907 3,875 (13.8) (22.9) (39.9) (23.4) (100) 6,347 11,494 21,227 23,892 62,960 (10.1) (18.3) (33.7) (38.0) (100) Mean number of years certified 13.3 (sd 4.2) 13.2 (sd 4.2) (4.4) (7.9) Years since first certification$ $ (sd 4.2) Equivalent to length of follow-up 11 12.2 4.2 RESULTS FROM THE MORTALITY ANALYSIS Altogether there were 829,709 person years at risk and 1,628 deaths among the cohort (1,591 men, 37 women). The mean age at which those individuals who died took their first test was 45.3 years, approximately 13 years older than the cohort average. The mean age of men was approximately ten years greater than that for women. The number of years those individuals, who died during follow-up, had held a certificate (9.4 years, sd 4.6) was some four years less than the cohort average. The mean age at death was 54.6 years (sd 13.7), with that for men (54.8 years) being significantly greater than that for women (44.9 years) (Table 6). Table 6 Mean age at death, age at first test and number of years certified by sex for individuals who died during follow-up Age at first test Number of years certified Age at death Men 45.5 (12.5) 9.4 (4.6) 54.8 (13.6) Women 36.1 (11.0) 8.8 (4.4) 44.9 (13.0) Total 45.3 (12.6) 9.4 (4.6) 54.6 (13.7) p<0.001$ p = 0.43$ p<0.001$ $ Difference between men and women Table 7 shows the mortality pattern for men and women and the cohort as a whole. All-cause mortality (SMR 0.58, 95% CI 0.55-0.61) and mortality from all cancers (SMR 0.72, 95% CI 0.66-0.78) were significantly less than expected when compared with the GB population. In addition, cancers of the lip, oral cavity, pharynx, digestive organs, and respiratory system, and diseases of the nervous system, sense organs, circulatory system, respiratory system, and digestive system were all statistically significantly lower than expected. In men, the SMRs for the majority of causes of death were less than one. There was no statististically significant excess of deaths from any of the individual causes of death analysed. There were statistically non-significantly raised SMRs for pancreatic cancer (observed deaths = 38, SMR 1.02), non-melanoma skin cancer (observed deaths = 2, SMR 1.92), breast cancer (observed deaths = 1, SMR 1.24), testicular cancer (observed deaths = 7, SMR 1.95), cancer of the central nervous system (observed deaths = 1, SMR 3.32), and multiple myeloma (observed deaths = 15, SMR 1.28). These statistically non-significant excesses should not be overinterpreted in the absence of other supporting evidence, particularly where the number of deaths is small, the excess is small, and/or the confidence interval is very wide. On the whole, no real patterns could be discerned for women because of the small number of deaths and the resulting wide confidence intervals for many SMRs (Table 7). There was a statistically significant excess of connective and soft tissue cancers (observed deaths = 1; SMR 8.77, 95% CI 1.24-62.3) and the SMRs for lymphohaematopoietic cancers suggested there was some evidence of an excess of deaths from this group of cancers in women. The SMR for lymphohaematopoietic cancers was 3.48 (95% CI 1.56-7.74), with a statistically significant excess of multiple myelomas (observed deaths = 2, SMR 10.8, 95% CI 2.70-43.2) and non significant excesses of non-Hodgkins lymphoma (observed deaths = 2, SMR 3.03) and leukaemia (observed deaths = 2, SMR 2.83). The small number of deaths for each of these cancers means that the results should be treated with caution, and the role of chance cannot be excluded. The SMR for mortality from all external causes was also statistically significantly lower than expected when compared with the GB population (SMR 0.70, 95% CI 0.62-0.79) (Table 8). In 12 men only, there was a statistically significant excess of the external cause of death “injury by machinery” (observed deaths = 8; SMR 4.21, 95% CI 2.11-8.42) and in women there was an excess of deaths caused by slips, trips or stumbling (observed deaths = 1; SMR 123, 95% CI 17.3-873). The latter, based on one death, should be interpreted with caution. External causes accounted for 82% of deaths from all causes among those aged under 25-years at death. The proportion declined steadily with age at death to the extent that in the over 50-year old age group, external causes accounted for 4% of deaths from all causes. Overall, suicide and selfinflicted injuries dominated the external cause of death category (39%), although the proportion varied by age at death. In individuals aged less than 25 years at death, 18% of external causes of death were suicides or self-inflicted injuries, whereas the proportion was 59% in those aged 35 39 years. Among those aged less than 25 years at death, 48% of deaths from external causes were due to transport accidents, whereas this proportion was less than 25% in those aged over 30 years at death. The SMRs for men, stratified by region of residence, year of birth, age at first certification, length of time since first certification, and type(s) of certificate held, are shown in Table 9 to Table 13 in Appendix 6.3. Overall there were no discernable trends in mortality with any of these possible explanatory variables. 13 Table 7 Mortality in the Pesticide Users Health Study, 1987-2005 Cause of Death Obs 1,591 All causes Malignant neoplasms Malignant neoplasms (excl. NMSC) Lip, oral cavity & pharynx Digestive organs Oesophagus Stomach Colon Rectum & anus Liver & gall bladder Pancreas Respiratory system Larynx Trachea, bronchus & lung Skin Malignant melanoma Non-melanoma skin cancer Connective & soft tissue Breast Female genital system Ovarian & other uterine adnexa Male genital system Prostate Testis Urinary system Kidney Bladder Eye, brain & central nervous system Eye Brain Central nervous system & meninges Thyroid Lymphohaematopoietic Hodgkin’s disease Non-Hodgkins lymphoma Multiple myeloma Leukaemia 583 580 4 192 46 30 38 22 8 38 126 3 118 15 12 3 3 1 40 33 7 34 18 14 34 0 20 1 1 73 4 26 15 26 Diseases of the: Nervous system & sense organs Parkinson’s disease Motor neuron disease Alzheimer’s disease Circulatory system Ischaemic heart disease Cerebrovascular disease Respiratory system COPD Asthma Farmer’s Lung Digestive System 28 0 9 3 530 335 89 75 15 4 0 39 Men SMR (95% CI) 0.58 (0.55-0.60) 0.71 0.71 0.18 0.78 0.89 0.88 0.72 0.64 0.42 1.02 0.55 0.34 0.55 0.79 0.72 1.34 0.93 1.24 (0.66-0.77) (0.66-0.77) (0.07-0.49) (0.68-0.90) (0.66-1.18) (0.61-1.26) (0.53-1.00) (0.42-0.97) (0.21-0.85) (0.74-1.40) (0.46-0.66) (0.11-1.05) (0.46-0.66) (0.48-1.32) (0.41-1.27) (0.43-4.15) (0.30-2.87) (0.17-8.82) 0.86 0.80 1.95 0.72 0.72 0.66 0.82 (0.63-1.18) (0.57-1.12) (0.93-4.09) (0.51-1.00) (0.45-1.15) (0.39-1.11) (0.58-1.14) 0.78 1.89 0.72 0.94 0.82 0.77 1.28 0.96 (0.51-1.22) (0.27-13.4) (0.10-5.09) (0.75-1.18) (0.31-2.20) (0.53-1.14) (0.77-2.12) (0.66-1.42) 0.40 (0.28-0.59) 0.81 0.95 0.58 0.54 0.66 0.39 0.30 0.41 (0.42-1.56) (0.31-2.94) (0.53-0.63) (0.48-0.60) (0.54-0.82) (0.32-0.49) (0.18-0.49) (0.15-1.08) 0.23 (0.17-0.32) Obs 37 19 19 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 6 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 6 0 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 Women SMR (95% CI) 0.71 (0.52-0.98) 0.85 0.85 (0.54-1.34) (0.54-1.34) 0.58 (0.14-2.30) 2.33 (0.33-16.5) 1.55 0.34 (0.22-11.0) (0.05-2.42) 0.35 (0.05-2.51) 8.77 0.94 0.60 0.60 (1.24-62.3) (0.42-2.08) (0.15-2.40) (0.08-4.22) 0.98 (0.14-6.95) 3.48 (1.56-7.74) 3.03 10.8 2.83 (0.76-12.1) (2.70-43.2) (0.71-11.3) All (95% CI) (0.55-0.61) 0.72 0.71 0.18 0.78 0.88 0.90 0.71 0.63 0.42 1.03 0.55 0.34 0.55 0.77 0.70 1.33 1.19 0.97 0.60 0.60 0.86 0.80 1.95 0.71 0.71 0.65 0.82 (0.66-0.78) (0.66-0.77) (0.07-0.48) (0.68-0.90) (0.66-1.18) (0.63-1.28) (0.52-0.98) (0.41-0.95) (0.21-0.84) (0.75-1.40) (0.46-0.65) (0.11-1.05) (0.46-0.66) (0.46-1.28) (0.40-1.23) (0.43-4.11) (0.44-3.18) (0.46-2.03) (0.15-2.40) (0.08-4.22) (0.63-1.18) (0.57-1.12) (0.93-4.09) (0.51-1.00) (0.45-1.13) (0.38-1.10) (0.59-1.14) 0.77 1.84 0.69 1.00 0.80 0.81 1.42 1.01 (0.49-1.19) (0.26-13.0) (0.10-4.93) (0.80-1.24) (0.30-2.12) (0.56-1.18) (0.89-2.30) (0.70-1.47) 0.39 (0.27-0.57) (0.41-1.53) (0.30-2.89) (0.52-0.63) (0.48-0.60) (0.54-0.82) (0.31-0.49) (0.18-0.49) (0.15-1.04) (0.18-0.32) 0.43 0.27 0.71 0.32 (0.16-1.14) (0.04-1.90) (0.18-2.85) (0.04-2.26) 0.80 0.93 0.58 0.54 0.66 0.39 0.29 0.39 0.56 (0.14-2.25) 0.24 Number of deaths observed; Standardised mortality ratio; 95% Confidence intervals 14 SMR 0.58 Table 8 External causes of mortality among men and women in the Pesticide Users Health Study database, 1987-2005 Cause of Death External causes Transport accidents Accidental falls Slips, trips or stumbling Injury by falling object Injury by machinery Injury by firearm Accidents by submersion, suffocation & foreign bodies Injury by electric current Accidental poisoning Suicide & self-inflicted injury Injury, undetermined intent Obs 264 67 17 1 3 8 1 6 2 6 101 25 Men SMR 0.69 0.74 0.74 1.66 1.78 4.21 5.03 0.45 1.33 0.34 0.80 0.43 (95% CI) (0.62-0.78) (0.58-0.94) (0.46-1.20) (0.23-11.8) (0.57-5.51) (2.11-8.42) (0.71-35.8) (0.20-1.00) Obs 6 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 (0.33-5.31) (0.15-0.75) (0.66-0.97) (0.29-0.64) 0 0 4 0 Women SMR (95% CI) 0.96 (0.43-2.14) 0.74 (0.10-5.29) 3.14 (0.44-22.3) 123 (17.3-873) 2.23 (0.84-5.93) SMR 0.70 0.74 0.78 3.28 1.77 4.21 5.03 0.44 All (95% CI) (0.62-0.79) (0.58-0.93) (0.49-1.23) (0.82-13.1) (0.57-5.49) (2.11-8.42) (0.71-35.7) (0.20-0.98) 1.32 0.33 0.82 0.43 (0.33-5.29) (0.15-0.74) (0.68-0.99) (0.29-0.63) Number of deaths observed; Standardised mortality ratio; 95% Confidence intervals 4.3 DISCUSSION OF RESULTS This analysis of mortality among 62,960 pesticide users in the GB Pesticide Users Health Study during the period 1987-2005 demonstrated that all cause mortality, and mortality from all cancers combined, respiratory disease, circulatory disease, and non-malignant diseases of the digestive system of the pesticide users were statistically significantly lower than expected when compared with the GB population. In men, all cause mortality was 42% lower than expected and in women it was 29% lower than expected. This may in part reflect the well-known healthy worker effect, but it may also reflect relatively higher occupational physical activity levels and lower tobacco consumption among these workers. A survey of the members of the PUHS undertaken in 2004-2006 showed that 14% of the 8,073 respondents were current smokers1. Although this represents only 13% of the whole cohort of pesticide users, it does suggest that smoking is less prevalent in the cohort than in the GB population, where approximately 24% of the population were current smokers in 20052. Consequently, the lower mortality rates among the pesticide users will be at least partially attributable to differences in smoking rates in the cohort and the reference population. These findings are consistent with the published literature on farmers and pesticide applicators, which indicates that these workers tend to be healthier than the general population, especially with respect to cardiovascular disease and diseases associated with heavy tobacco and alcohol use3 4. For example, in the US Agricultural Health Study of 52,394 pesticide applicators followed up from 1993 to 2007, the SMR was 0.54 (95% CI 0.52-0.55) for all cause mortality, 0.61 (95% CI 0.58-0.64) for all cancers, 0.43 (95% CI 0.39-0.47) for lung cancer, 0.54 (95% CI 0.51-0.56) for heart diseases, 0.52 (95% CI 0.45-0.59) for cerebrovascular disease, and 0.60 (95% CI 0.32-0.46) for non-malignant diseases of the digestive system5. Overall, 17% of these pesticide applicators were current smokers compared with 25% of the US population in 19956. Although SMRs are generally not directly comparable between different populations, the similarities observed between the Agricultural Health Survey and the PUHS results does provide evidence of consistency in their reported associations. In men there were a number of statistically non-significantly raised SMRs, which on their own do not provide evidence of an increased risk of mortality. However, a parallel analysis of cancer incidence in this cohort was undertaken, and this analysis found statistically significantly raised incidence of testicular cancer (observed cases = 102; Standardised Incidence Rate (SIR) 1.26, 15 95 % CI 1.04-1.53) and multiple myeloma (observed cases = 31; SIR 1.49, 95% CI 1.05-2.13)7. Taken together, the significant excess in the number of incident cancers and the statistically non-significant excess of deaths from testicular cancer and from multiple myeloma suggest that there may be some increase in the risk of these two cancers in men. In women there were statistically significantly raised SMRs for connective and soft tissue cancers and lymphohaematopoietic cancers, and within the group of lymphohaematopoietic cancers for multiple myeloma. The small number of deaths for each of these causes means that these excesses must be treated with caution. In the analysis of cancer incidence in this cohort, no soft tissue cancers were observed in women, and the raised SIR for lymphohaematopoietic cancers was not statistically significant7. However, there were four cases of multiple myeloma, and the SIR of 10.0 (95% CI 2.72-25.6) was statistically significant (p < 0.01). Despite the small numbers involved, the consistency of the findings in the incidence and the mortality analysis provides some evidence of an increased risk of multiple myeloma in these women. Few studies have investigated the association between pesticides and the risk of testicular germ cell tumours (TGCT). A case-control study of 739 cases with TGCT and 915 matched controls reported a significantly increased risk of TGCT associated with exposure to a metabolite (p,p' DDE) of the organochlorine pesticide DDT (odds ratio 1.71, 95% CI 1.23-2.38 for 4th quartile vs 1st quartile)8. An earlier case-control study of 61 cases with TGCT and 58 matched controls reported a statistically non-significantly raised odds ratio of 1.7 for blood p,p'-DDE levels higher than the median compared with those less than the median9. There is substantial literature on the association between agricultural work or pesticide-related occupations and the risk of multiple myeloma, but the evidence in the literature is not conclusive. Meta-analyses have been undertaken, with the meta-relative risk estimates ranging from 1.09-1.26, though many of these were not statistically significantly elevated (see Appendix 6.4). As with all studies investigating occupational groups such as “farmers” or “pesticide users”, the ability to identify particular exposures that may be causal is limited given the broad range of activities, and hence the exposures connected with these occupations. Reported associations between specific exposures and a disease, such as multiple myeloma, may be more consistent if it were possible to classify the exposures more accurately. In official publications reporting occupational health statistics for the periods 1979-1980 and 1982-199010 and for the period 1991-200011, the proportional mortality ratios (PMR) for a number of external causes of death, including intentional suicide and self-inflicted injury, were significantly elevated. These external causes of death were investigated in the cohort of pesticide users, but the SMR for all external causes of death and for most individual external causes were either below one or not statistically significantly elevated. The only external cause of death with a significantly raised SMR in men was “injury by machinery” (SMR 4.21, 95% CI 2.11-8.42) and in women was “slips, trips and falls” (SMR 123, 95% CI 17.3-873). The latter was based on one death and the confidence interval was very wide. The Agricultural Health Study reported a similarly raised SMR for “injury by machine” in men (SMR 4.15, 95% CI 3.18-5.31), but for most external causes the SMRs were less than one5. There are significant drawbacks with the information stored on the database. Only four causes of death (underlying cause plus up to three other contributory causes) are recorded for each death. Thus, for any death where more causes are recorded, in either section one or two of the death certificate, the other causes are not recorded. This is especially important for causes that are not directly related to the underlying cause of death. This may include asthma, farmer’s lung disease and other respiratory diseases, and neurological conditions such as Parkinson’s and Alzheimer’s Diseases. However, there are no national data for the rates of death from contributory causes of death, although these data could be useful in an internal analysis, 16 especially where cancer is mentioned as a contributory cause of death and there is no registration for it. In the current analysis it was only possible to examine mortality within the cohort. A significant number of diseases, however, are not life threatening but may be associated with pesticide exposure and agricultural work where most exposure occurs. These include respiratory diseases, including a decrease in lung function; non-fatal accidents/injuries; incidence of acute symptoms following exposure; musculoskeletal problems; and health in general. These health outcomes could be examined by means of a general health survey of the PUHS cohort members. The most important information that is lacking on the PUHS database is some indication of the job/industry in which each individual was employed. This reflects the fact that the data are secondary data, not collected for research purposes. Although the employer’s address was available, it provided little information about actual occupation. Death certificates contained information about occupation but the occupations of those who were still alive were unknown. Thus, it was not possible to present any analysis by occupation. Related to the lack of information on the individual’s job and industry, there was no information available on exposure to specific pesticides or on working practices, which would help in the interpretation of individual findings. The cohort includes a substantial number of men and women who applied pesticides on a commercial basis before the introduction of the 1986 Control of Pesticides Regulations, and the types of pesticides in use have changed over time. Consequently it would not be possible to rule out exposure to certain pesticides by the first date of certification. Availability of exposure data is critical when investigating causality. This information, in addition to information on other factors potentially associated with disease such as diet, smoking, and alcohol intake, could be gathered as part of a general health survey of the PUHS cohort. The cohort offers the opportunity to investigate actual exposures to pesticides. Laboratory volunteer studies have been undertaken of exposure to various pesticides12-14, however, these have not been validated in the field. Biological sampling following pesticide spraying would allow us to determine whether individuals have been significantly exposed to pesticides, or whether working practices, e.g. use of personal protective equipment, have prevented them being exposed. The work would also allow exposure models that have been developed in the laboratory to be validated. The PUHS cohort includes all those who hold a certificate of competency in the use of pesticides and who agreed to take part in HSE’s programme of research into the health of these workers. Consequently, members of the cohort are distributed geographically across the whole of Great Britain, and represent men and women working in a broad range of jobs and industries. However, the cohort is self-selected, and it is possible that those who agreed to participate in the research are not fully representative in terms of age, sex, attitudes towards health and safety, and other attributes. As a consequence of their training, the men and women in this cohort are likely to understand the risks associated with pesticide use and employ best practice when applying pesticides. Those who apply pesticides without a certificate of competence, for example under ‘grandfather rights’, may be at greater risk of any harmful effects associated with pesticide use. The PUHS database is an important resource that needs to be utilised, and cohort members should be encouraged to take part in further studies to help investigate the association between the health of pesticide users in Great Britain and the pesticides they use. This is the only national study of men and women chronically exposed to pesticides as part of their work in Great Britain. The findings from PUHS will make a substantial contribution to the scientific evidence base about the role of pesticides in human health, and complement the results of other studies such as the US Agricultural Health Study. 17 5 REFERENCES 1. USACHPPM. Entomological science programs. Pesticide timeline: US Army Center for Health Promotion and Preventive Medicine, 2010. 2. Mellanby K. The New Naturalist. London: Collins, 1981. 3. Solomon C, Poole J, Palmer KT, Peveler R, Coggon D. Acute symptoms following work with pesticides. Occupational Medicine-Oxford 2007;57:505-511. 4. Rushton L, Mann V. 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Texas: Stata Press, 2006. 19 6 6.1 APPENDICES CAUSES OF DEATH SELECTED FOR ANALYSIS ICD-9 codes ICD-10 codes Cause of death group 0010-7999 E800-E999 A000-R990 V010-Y899 All causes 1400-2089 C000-C970 Malignant neoplasms 1400-1729 1740-2089 C000-C439 C450-C979 Malignant neoplasms excl NMSC 1400-1499 C000-C148 MN of lip, oral cavity and pharynx 1500-1599 C150-C260 MN digestive organs 1500-1509 C150-C159 MN of oesophagus 1510-1519 C160-C169 MN of stomach 1530-1539 C180-C189 MN of colon 1540-1548 C190-C218 MN of rectum and anus 1550-1569 C220-C249 MN of liver and gall bladder 1570-1579 C250-C259 MN of pancreas 1600-1659 C300-C399 MN respiratory system 1610-1619 C320-C329 MN of larynx 1620-1629 C330-C349 MN of trachea, bronchus and lung 1720-1739 C430-C449 MN skin 1720-1729 C430-C439 Malignant melanoma of skin 1730-1732 C440-C449 Non melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) 1710-1713 C490-C499 MN other connective and soft tissue 1740-1759 C500-C509 MN of breast 1790-1849 C510-C589 MN female genital organs 1830-1839 C560-C579 MN of ovarian and uterine adnexa 1850-1879 C600-C639 MN male genital system 1850-1850 C610-C610 MN of prostate 1860-1869 C620-C629 MN testis 1880-1899 C640-C689 MN urinary system 1890-1890 C640-C640 MN of kidney, except renal pelvis 1880-1889 C670-C679 MN of bladder 1900-1929 C690-C729 MN eye, meninges, brain & central nervous system 1903-1904 C690-C699 MN of eye and adnexa 1910-1916 C710-C719 MN of brain 1920-1929 C700-C709 1930-1939 C730-C739 MN thyroid 2000-2089 C810-C969 MN of lymphoid, haematopoietic and related tissue 2014-2019 C810-C819 Hodgkin's disease 2020-2029 2000-2009 C820-C859 C720-C729 MN of central nervous system and meninges Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma 20 ICD-9 codes ICD-10 codes Cause of death group 2030-2039 C900-C900 Multiple myeloma 2040-2089 C910-C959 Leukaemia 2900-3190 F000-F999 Mental and behavioural disorders 3200-3899 G000-H959 Diseases of the nervous system and the sense organs 3352-3352 G122-G122 Motor neuron disease 3320-3320 G200-G209 Parkinson's disease 3310-3310 G300-G309 Alzheimer's disease 3200-3790 H000-H599 Diseases of eye and adnexa 3900-4599 I000-I990 Diseases of the circulatory system 4100-4149 I200-I259 Ischaemic heart diseases 4200-4239 4250-4299 I300-I339 I390-I528 Other heart diseases 4300-4380 I600-I698 Cerebrovascular diseases 4600-5199 J000-J998 Diseases of the respiratory system 4900-4929 J400-J449 Bronchitis, emphysema and other COPD 4930-4939 J450-J460 Asthma 4950-4950 J670-J670 Farmer's lung disease 5200-5799 K000-K938 Diseases of the digestive system E800-E999 V010-Y980 External causes of morbidity and mortality E800-E848 V010-V999 Transport accidents E880-E888 W000-W199 Accidental falls E885-E885 W010-W010 Slips, trips or stumbling E916-E916 W200-W209 Injury by falling object E919-E919 W300-W319 Injury by machinery E922-E922 W320-W339 Injury by firearm E910-E915 W650-W849 Accidents by submersion, suffocation & foreign bodies E925-E925 W850-W879 Injury by electric current E850-E863 X480-X499 Accidental poisoning E950-E959 X600-X840 Suicide & self-inflicted injury E980-E989 Y100-Y349 Injury, undetermined intent 21 6.2 CITY & GUILDS LAND BASED SERVICES CERTIFICATES OF COMPETENCE The following table shows the City & Guilds Land Based Services certificates of competence, which are recorded in the PUHS database. Certificate PA01 PA02 PA02A PA02B PA02C PA02D PA02E PA02F PA02AR PA02BR PA02ST PA03 PA03A PA03B PA03C PA04 PA05A PA05B PA05C PA06 PA06A PA06AW PA06B PA06C PA06CW PA06D PA07 PA07A PA07B PA08 PA09 PA10 PA11 PA11A PA11B PA12 PA13 Module Foundation Ground crop sprayer – unspecified Ground crop sprayer – boom type hydraulic nozzle Ground crop sprayer – boom type rotary atomiser Ground crop sprayer – boom type twin fluid nozzle Ground crop sprayer – electro-statically charged Ground crop sprayer – boom type fitted with downward air assistance Wick applicator – boom or frame type Vehicle mounted kerb sprayer – hydraulic nozzle type Vehicle mounted kerb sprayer – rotary atomiser type Spray trains – hydraulic nozzle and rotary atomiser Air sprayer – unspecified Broadcast air blast sprayer – mounted or trailed Variable geometry boom air assisted sprayer – mounted or trailed Variable geometry boom sprayer without air assistance Granule applicatory – mounted or trailed Boat mounted applicator – hydraulic nozzle boom Hand held applicators – application to water using viscous gel applicators Boat mounted applicator – viscous gel applicator Hand-held applicators – unspecified Hand held applicators – hydraulic nozzle and/or rotary atomiser types Hand held applicators – application to water using hydraulic nozzle or rotary atom Hand held applicators – application to water using viscous gel applicators Handheld applications – granule applicator Hand held applicators – application to water using granule applicators Hand held applicators – requiring minimal calibration Aerial application Aerial applicator – pilot Aerial applicator – fieldsman/ground marker Mixer/loader Fogging, misting and smokes Dipping, bulbs, corms, plant material or containers Seed treating equipment – unspecified Seed treating equipment – mobile equipment Seed treating equipment – static equipment Application of pesticides to material as a continuous or batch process Sub surface liquid applicator 22 Grouping Foundation Ground crop sprayer Ground crop sprayer Ground crop sprayer Ground crop sprayer Ground crop sprayer Ground crop sprayer Ground crop sprayer Ground crop sprayer Ground crop sprayer Ground crop sprayer Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Hand-held operator Hand-held operator Hand-held operator Hand-held operator Hand-held operator Hand-held operator Hand-held operator Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other 6.3 STRATIFIED TABLES OF RESULTS Standardised mortality ratios, stratified by a number of possible explanatory variables, were calculated. The number of deaths among women was small, so stratified analyses are presented only for men. In order to reduce the number of very small counts and empty cells within the stratified tables, SMRs are presented by grouped causes of death rather than individual causes. Table 9 shows the mortality pattern among men by region of residence, Table 10 gives mortality in men by year of birth, Table 11 gives mortality patterns by age at the first test, Table 12 presents mortality by length of time since the first licence, and Table 13 shows mortality by the type(s) of module for which each cohort member had received a certificate of competence. Overall, there were no obvious associations between mortality and the possible explanatory variables. The majority of SMRs were not statistically significantly different to 1.00; some indicated that the number of deaths was statistically significantly smaller than expected when compared with the GB population. In these stratified tables, only one statistically significantly raised SMR was observed: SMR 1.51 (95% CI 1.09-2.11) for lymphohaematopoietic cancers among men who had held a licence for 5-9 years. In the context of the number of statistical tests presented, and without further evidence of an excess of these cancers in men, this statistically significant SMR should be interpreted with caution. 23 Table 9 Cause of Death All causes Obs 208 Mortality amongst men by region, 1987-2005 Scotland SMR 0.56 (0.49-0.64) Obs 318 North SMR 0.63 (0.56-0.70) Obs 226 Midlands SMR 0.50 (0.44-0.57) Obs 227 Eastern SMR 0.52 (0.46-0.60) Malignant neoplasms (all) Digestive organs Respiratory system Skin Male genital system Urinary system Eye, brain & CNS Lymphohaematopoietic 84 21 26 1 4 6 3 12 0.83 0.69 0.79 0.51 0.76 1.09 0.64 1.60 (0.67-1.02) (0.45-1.06) (0.54-1.16) (0.07-3.62) (0.29-2.03) (0.49-2.42) (0.21-1.98) (0.91-2.81) 120 48 22 4 4 5 8 17 0.81 1.08 0.55 1.08 0.49 0.58 0.99 1.13 (0.68-0.97) (0.82-1.44) (0.36-0.84) (0.40-2.87) (0.18-1.31) (0.24-1.41) (0.50-1.98) (0.71-1.82) 73 22 21 3 5 3 2 5 0.54 0.55 0.58 0.92 0.67 0.39 0.28 0.38 (0.43-0.69) (0.36-0.83) (0.38-0.89) (0.30-2.86) (0.28-1.61) (0.12-1.20) 90.07-1.13) (0.16-0.90) 82 24 18 4 8 8 4 9 0.61 0.60 0.48 1.35 0.99 1.02 0.62 0.71 (0.49-0.76) (0.40-0.89) (0.30-0.76) (0.51-3.60) (0.50-1.98) (0.51-2.03) (0.23-1.65) (0.37-1.37) Diseases of the: Nervous system & sense organs Circulatory system Respiratory system Digestive system 5 60 9 6 0.61 0.49 0.38 0.21 (0.25-1.46) (0.38-0.64) (0.20-0.73) (0.09-0.47) 5 110 16 11 0.37 0.67 0.47 0.36 (0.16-0.90) (0.56-0.81) (0.29-0.77) (0.20-0.65) 5 86 7 7 0.43 0.58 0.23 0.26 (0.18-1.03) (0.47-0.72) (0.11-0.48) (0.12-0.55) 5 77 11 2 0.47 0.51 0.34 0.08 (0.20-1.13) (0.41-0.64) (0.19-0.62) (0.02-0.33) External causes 36 0.67 (0.48-0.93) 45 0.59 (0.44-0.79) 38 0.58 (0.42-0.80) 36 0.69 (0.50-0.96) Number of deaths observed; Standardised mortality ratio; 95% Confidence intervals 24 Table 9 (continued) Cause of Death Obs 372 All causes South East SMR 0.66 (0.60-0.73) Malignant neoplasms (all) Digestive organs Respiratory system Skin Male genital system Urinary system Eye, brain & CNS Lymphohaematopoietic 135 47 21 0 15 9 9 18 1.50 0.90 1.05 1.10 Diseases of the: Nervous system & sense organs Circulatory system Respiratory system Digestive system 6 119 19 11 0.43 0.62 0.47 0.34 External causes 62 0.79 (0.67-0.94) 0.92 (0.69-1.22) 0.45 (0.29-0.68) Obs 170 South West SMR 0.53 (45-0.61) Obs 70 Wales SMR 0.61 (0.49-0.78) (0.90-2.49) (0.47-1.74) (0.55-2.01) (0.69-1.74) 63 19 14 2 3 3 6 8 0.66 0.66 0.54 0.88 0.54 0.54 1.21 0.85 (0.51-0.84) (0.42-1.04) (0.32-0.91) (0.22-3.52) (0.18-1.69) (0.17-1.68) (0.54-2.70) (0.42-1.70) 26 11 4 1 1 0 2 4 (0.19-0.95) (0.52-0.75) (0.30-0.74) (0.19-0.61) 2 52 11 1 0.24 0.49 0.49 0.05 (0.06-0.96) (0.37-0.64) (0.27-0.89) (0.01-0.38) 0 26 2 1 0.68 (0.46-1.00) 0.25 (0.06-1.00) 0.15 (0.02-1.06) 0.86 (0.67-1.10) 33 0.72 (0.51-1.01) 14 0.92 (0.54-1.55) Number of deaths observed; Standardised mortality ratio; 95% Confidence intervals 25 0.76 1.07 0.43 1.24 0.51 (0.52-1.11) (0.59-1.93) (0.16-1.14) (0.17-8.78) (0.07-3.63) 1.14 (0.28-4.54) 1.20 (0.45-3.20) Table 10 Cause of Death Mortality in men by year of birth, 1987-2005 Obs 184 All causes Before 1930 SMR 0.58 (0.50-0.67) Obs 489 1930-1939 SMR 0.59 (0.54-0.65) Obs 391 1940-1949 SMR 0.56 (0.51-0.62) Malignant neoplasms (all) Digestive organs Respiratory system Skin Male genital system Urinary system Eye, brain & CNS Lymphohaematopoietic 68 19 11 2 7 4 1 10 0.65 0.62 0.32 1.92 0.65 0.60 0.50 1.42 (0.51-0.83) (0.40-0.97) (0.18-0.58) (0.48-7.69) (0.31-1.36) (0.23-1.61) (0.07-3.52) (0.77-2.64) 232 88 59 4 23 12 8 17 0.77 0.94 0.61 1.01 1.08 0.65 0.88 0.76 (0.67-0.87) (0.77-1.17) (0.48-0.79) (0.38-2.69) (0.72-1.62) (0.37-1.14) (0.44-1.75) (0.47-1.22) 163 54 39 3 3 12 10 24 0.66 0.70 0.55 0.55 0.32 0.84 0.81 1.14 (0.57-0.77) (0.54-0.92) (0.40-0.75) (0.18-1.70) (0.10-1.00) (0.48-1.47) (0.43-1.50) (0.76-1.70) Diseases of the: Nervous system & sense organs Circulatory system Respiratory system Digestive system 4 96 11 1 0.71 0.70 0.30 0.10 (0.27-1.90) (0.57-0.85) (0.17-0.54) (0.01-0.69) 7 172 36 8 0.50 0.51 0.50 0.24 (0.24-1.05) (0.44-0.59) (0.36-0.69) (0.12-0.47) 5 149 12 20 0.34 0.59 0.27 0.41 (0.14-0.81) (0.50-0.69) (0.16-0.48) (0.27-0.64) 0.40 (0.10-1.61) 11 0.50 (0.28-0.91) 27 External causes 2 Number of deaths observed; Standardised mortality ratio; 95% Confidence intervals 26 0.54 (0.37-0.79) Table 10 (continued) Cause of Death All causes Obs 278 1950-1959 SMR 0.62 (0.55-0.70) Obs 180 1960-1969 SMR 0.49 (0.43-0.57) Obs 66 Malignant neoplasms (all) Digestive organs Respiratory system Skin Male genital system Urinary system Eye, brain & CNS Lymphohaematopoietic 81 24 14 4 2 5 9 12 0.75 0.73 0.61 0.90 0.75 0.86 0.93 0.92 (0.60-0.93) (0.49-1.09) (0.36-1.03) (0.34-2.39) (0.19-3.01) (0.36-2.05) (0.48-1.79) (0.52-1.61) 32 6 3 0 4 1 6 8 0.66 (0.47-0.94) 0.56 (0.25-1.24) 0.65 (0.21-2.01) 2.34 0.60 0.87 0.73 (0.84-5.96) (0.08-1.28) (0.39-1.94) (0.36-1.46) 7 1 0 2 1 0 0 2 Diseases of the: Nervous system & sense organs Circulatory system Respiratory system Digestive system 7 82 13 7 0.49 0.65 0.61 0.15 (0.23-1.02) (0.52-0.81) (0.35-1.05) (0.07-0.32) 4 25 3 3 0.26 0.47 0.22 0.11 (0.10-0.69) (0.32-0.70) (0.07-0.68) (0.04-0.36) 0 6 0 0 External causes 72 0.84 (0.67-1.06) 103 0.67 (0.55-0.81) 47 1970-1979 SMR 0.62 (0.48-0.78) 0.77 (0.37-1.62) 0.84 (0.12-6.00) 3.29 (0.82-13.2) 2.30 (0.32-16.3) 0.70 (0.18-2.82) 0.76 (0.35-1.73) 0.78 (0.58-1.03) Number of deaths observed; Standardised mortality ratio; 95% Confidence intervals 27 Obs 3 1980SMR 0.52 (0.17-1.60) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3.32 (0.49-23.6) 2 0.56 (0.14-2.22) Table 11 Cause of Death All causes Obs 138 Mortality in men by age at first test, 1987-2005 <25 SMR 0.54 (0.46-0.64) Malignant neoplasms (all) Digestive organs Respiratory system Skin Male genital system Urinary system Eye, brain & CNS Lymphohaematopoietic 15 2 1 2 2 0 2 3 0.60 0.49 0.69 1.12 1.75 Diseases of the: Nervous system & sense organs Circulatory system Respiratory system Digestive system 2 14 0 0 External causes 93 (0.36-0.99) (0.12-1.97) (0.10-4.93) (0.28-4.46) (0.44-7.01) Obs 99 25-29 SMR 0.54 (0.44-0.65) 19 4 2 0 3 1 3 5 3.21 1.00 0.82 0.90 0.18 (0.05-0.73) 0.60 (0.35-1.01) 3 14 4 1 0.39 0.46 0.55 0.07 0.70 (0.57-0.86) 56 0.51 (0.13-2.05) 0.41 (0.13-1.27) 0.72 (0.46-1.12) 0.63 (0.24-1.68) 0.69 (0.17-2.74) Obs 127 30-34 SMR 0.62 (0.52-0.74) 0.77 0.61 0.29 1.43 (1.04-9.95) (0.14-7.10) (0.26-2.53) (0.37-2.16) 31 7 2 3 0 3 4 8 (0.13-1.21) (0.28-0.78) (0.21-1.46) (0.01-0.49) 0.79 (0.61-1.03) 28 35-39 SMR 0.60 (51-0.70) 1.51 (0.49-4.69) 0.90 (0.34-2.40) 1.32 (0.66-2.64) 48 14 11 1 2 2 4 7 0.76 0.72 0.77 0.42 1.30 0.57 0.77 0.99 (0.57-1.01) (0.43-1.22) (0.42-1.39) (0.06-3.00) (0.32-5.18) (0.14-2.29) (0.29-2.06) (0.47-2.07) 6 33 4 5 0.78 0.68 0.44 0.24 (0.35-1.75) (0.48-0.95) (0.17-1.18) (0.10-0.58) 1 44 7 6 0.14 0.61 0.59 0.25 (0.02-0.98) (0.45-0.82) (0.28-1.24) (0.11-0.55) 43 0.80 (0.59-1.08) 27 0.68 (0.46-0.99) Number of deaths observed; Standardised mortality ratio; 95% Confidence intervals (0.54-1.09) (0.29-1.27) (0.07-1.15) (0.46-4.43) Obs 143 Table 11 (continued) Cause of Death Obs 179 All causes 40-44 SMR 0.56 (0.48-0.64) Obs 205 45-49 SMR 0.55 (0.48-0.63) 50+ Obs 700 SMR 0.59 (0.55-0.64) 0.73 0.84 0.53 1.31 0.92 0.73 0.84 0.85 (0.65-0.81) (0.69-1.01) (0.42-0.66) (0.62-2.75) (0.64-1.31) (0.46-1.14) (0.45-1.56) (0.58-1.24) 0.53 0.58 0.41 0.21 (0.30-0.96) (0.52-0.65) (0.31-0.55) (0.11-0.38) Malignant neoplasms (all) Digestive organs Respiratory system Skin Male genital system Urinary system Eye, brain & CNS Lymphohaematopoietic 78 26 18 2 1 5 7 11 0.75 0.79 0.64 0.70 0.31 0.83 1.11 1.13 (0.60-0.93) (0.54-1.16) (0.40-1.02) (0.17-2.79) (0.04-2.23) (0.34-1.98) (0.53-2.33) (0.62-2.03) 85 31 21 0 2 4 4 13 0.63 (0.51-0.78) 0.73 (0.52-1.16) 0.52 (0.34-0.80) 0.35 0.50 0.65 1.18 (0.09-1.40) (0.19-1.34) (0.24-1.72) (0.68-2.02) 307 108 71 7 30 19 10 26 Diseases of the: Nervous system & sense organs Circulatory system Respiratory system Digestive system 2 54 5 12 0.26 0.48 0.28 0.45 (0.06-1.03) (0.37-0.63) (0.12-0.66) (0.26-0.80) 3 85 9 5 0.41 0.61 0.36 0.21 (0.13-1.26) (0.49-0.75) (0.19-0.70) (0.09-0.51) 11 286 46 10 External causes 19 0.60 (0.38-0.94) 11 0.51 (0.28-0.92) 15 Number of deaths observed; Standardised mortality ratio; 95% Confidence intervals 29 0.51 (0.31-0.85) Table 12 Mortality in men by length of time since first licensed, 1987-2005 15+ years SMR 0.56 (0.48-0.65) Obs 341 <5 years SMR 0.49 (0.44-0.55) Obs 501 5-9 years SMR 0.60 (0.55-0.66) Obs 563 10-14 years SMR 0.62 (0.57-0.67) Malignant neoplasms (all) Digestive organs Respiratory system Skin Male genital system Urinary system Eye, brain & CNS Lymphohaematopoietic 108 42 18 4 5 7 11 11 0.60 0.81 0.36 0.80 0.69 0.72 0.97 0.54 (0.50-0.73) (0.60-1.10) (0.23-0.57) (0.30-2.13) (0.29-1.66) (0.34-1.51) (0.54-1.75) (0.30-0.97) 182 57 37 2 12 11 6 35 0.76 0.79 0.54 0.34 0.99 0.80 0.47 1.51 (0.65-0.87) (0.61-1.02) (0.39-0.75) (0.09-1.38) (0.56-1.74) 90.44-1.44) (0.21-1.04) (1.09-2.11) 217 75 54 7 17 10 13 21 0.75 0.86 0.68 1.16 0.92 0.59 0.99 0.84 (0.66-0.86) (0.68-1.07) (0.52-0.88) (0.55-2.44) (0.57-1.47) (0.32-1.09) (0.58-1.71) (0.55-1.29) 76 18 17 2 6 6 4 6 0.69 0.53 0.56 0.97 0.71 0.90 0.92 0.66 (0.55-0.86) (0.34-0.85) (0.35-0.90) (0.24-3.87) (0.32-1.59) (0.40-2.00) (0.34-2.46) (0.30-1.47) Diseases of the: Nervous system & sense organs Circulatory system Respiratory system Digestive system 3 114 12 6 0.16 0.53 0.33 0.18 (0.05-0.50) (0.44-0.63) (0.19-0.58) (0.08-0.40) 5 169 22 9 0.25 0.61 0.39 0.18 (0.10-0.60) (0.53-0.71) (0.26-0.59) (0.09-0.35) 13 187 30 19 0.58 0.61 0.43 0.30 (0.34-1.00) (0.53-0.70) (0.30-0.61) (0.19-0.48) 7 60 11 5 0.83 0.51 0.39 0.22 (0.40-1.75) (0.40-0.66) (0.22-0.70) (0.09-0.53) 0.59 (0.48-0.73) 93 0.76 (0.62-0.93) 61 0.70 (0.54-0.89) 22 0.99 (0.65-1.50) Cause of Death All causes External causes 88 Number of deaths observed; Standardised mortality ratio; 95% Confidence intervals 30 Obs 186 Table 13 Cause of Death All causes Obs 297 Foundation only SMR 0.75 (0.67-0.84) Mortality in men by modules taken, 1987-2005 Foundation + Ground crop sprayer Obs SMR 332 0.47 (0.42-0.52) Foundation + Hand-held operator Obs SMR 854 0.62 (0.58-0.66) Obs 27 All three SMR 0.44 (0.31-0.65) Malignant neoplasms (all) Digestive organs Respiratory system Skin Male genital system Urinary system Eye, brain & CNS Lymphohaematopoietic 104 33 26 2 7 6 3 12 0.85 0.90 0.72 0.82 0.90 0.83 0.56 1.11 (0.70-1.02) (0.64-1.26) (0.49-1.06) (0.21-3.29) (0.42-1.89) (0.37-1.86) (0.18-1.74) (0.63-1.96) 121 35 23 3 12 7 12 18 0.60 0.59 0.42 0.59 1.12 0.61 1.08 0.89 (0.50-0.72) (0.42-0.82) (0.28-0.64) (0.19-1.83) (0.64-1.97) (0.29-1.29) (0.61-1.89) (0.56-1.41) 319 113 69 10 21 18 16 35 0.76 0.90 0.58 1.06 0.89 0.74 0.77 0.91 (0.68-0.85) (0.75-1.08) (0.46-0.74) (0.57-1.98) (0.58-1.36) 90.47-1.18) (0.47-1.26) (0.65-1.26) 9 2 0 0 0 1 1 3 Diseases of the: Nervous system & sense organs Circulatory system Respiratory system Digestive system 3 107 19 7 0.33 0.76 0.63 0.32 (0.11-1.02) (0.63-0.92) (0.40-0.99) (0.15-0.68) 8 97 11 3 0.42 0.43 0.24 0.07 (0.21-0.85) (0.36-0.53) (0.13-0.43) (0.02-0.21) 12 291 43 27 0.36 0.62 0.44 0.32 (0.20-0.63) (0.55-0.70) (0.33-0.60) (0.22-0.46) 2 8 1 0 1.05 (0.26-4.21) 0.51 (0.25-1.02) 0.32 (0.04-2.27) 1.06 (0.80-1.41) 80 0.69 (0.55-0.86) 115 0.66 (0.55-0.80) 7 0.48 (0.23-1.00) External causes 47 Number of deaths observed; Standardised mortality ratio; 95% Confidence intervals 31 0.62 (0.32-1.20) 0.48 (0.12-1.91) 1.30 (0.18-9.25) 0.94 (0.13-6.70) 1.74 (0.56-5.38) Table 13 (continued) Cause of Death Obs 81 All causes Other Modules SMR 0.38 (0.30-0.47) Malignant neoplasms (all) Digestive organs Respiratory system Skin Male genital system Urinary system Eye, brain & CNS Lymphohaematopoietic 30 9 8 0 0 2 2 5 0.48 (0.33-0.68) 0.90 (0.75-1.08) 0.46 (0.23-0.93) Diseases of the: Nervous system & sense organs Circulatory system Respiratory system Digestive system 3 27 1 2 0.54 0.38 0.07 0.15 External causes 15 0.47 (0.29-0.79) 0.56 (0.14-2.22) 0.61 (0.15-2.43) 0.82 (0.34-1.97) (0.17-1.67) (0.26-0.56) (0.01-0.48) (0.04-0.61) Number of deaths observed; Standardised mortality ratio; 95% Confidence intervals 32 6.4 REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE The body of evidence from studies of chronic disease in pesticide-exposed worker populations generally report consistent findings in mortality patterns, despite a variety of methodological issues15-21. Exposure data is frequently unavailable, but where it is, demonstrating a causal relationship with a specific pesticide may still present difficulties: the data may lack detail, many pesticide applicators use a variety of pesticides and work practices, and hence exposure may vary widely between applicators. Farmers and other agricultural workers, pesticide manufacturers and applicators, the main worker groups that have been studied, tend to be healthier compared with the general population, especially with respect to cardiovascular disease and the diseases associated with heavy tobacco and alcohol use. They are, however, at an increased risk from accidents and fatal injuries 22, some of this possibly pesticide-related (e.g. aerial sprayers). Farmers are also more likely to die of infectious and non-malignant respiratory disease; to the extent that certain pesticides have immunologic effects, pesticide exposure may contribute toward these risks, although this aspect has not been studied rigorously 3 4 16 21 23-27. Exposure to pesticides has been linked to increased risk of incidence/mortality from a number of diseases and also a number of cancers. The diseases include respiratory (e.g. chronic bronchitis and asthma), neurological (e.g. Parkinson’s and Alzheimer’s disease), and poisonings. Cancers include brain, breast, pancreas, prostate, non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma (NHL), leukaemia and multiple myeloma. A review of the major findings in the published literature follows. 6.4.1 Respiratory Diseases 6.4.1.1 Farmers lung disease Farmers’ lung disease, or hypersensitivity pneumonitis, is an important source of respiratory morbidity among farmers. There have typically been around five or fewer new assessed cases for disablement benefit each year over the last few years, though in 2007 there were 20 cases d . Farmers’ lung disease was recorded as the underlying cause of death typically between 5-10 times per year over the last few years e . The prevalence of farmers’ lung disease in the United Kingdom has been reported to be 420-3,000 cases per 100,000 at risk persons, and incidence between 8-540 cases per 100,000. Incidence is highly variable and depends on multiple factors, such as intensity, frequency, and duration of exposure, type of farming, and climate. It is also more common in the northern latitudes and among dairy farmers. Farmers’ lung disease rarely progresses to a life-threatening level, which suggests that there are substantially more cases than those receiving compensation. Evidence from SWORD/OPRA suggests the number of new cases varied between about 20 and 50 per year over the last ten years with no obvious trendsd. A significant number of farmers develop mild chronic lung impairment, which is predominantly obstructive airflow disease associated with mild emphysematous changes. Farmers lung disease is an immune complex hypersensitivity (Type III hypersensitivity): thermoactinomycetes and other bacteria in mouldy hay are well-established causes of hypersensitivity pneumonitis28 29. Other factors, such as isocyanates, have also been hypothesised to influence the development of hypersensitivity pneumonitis28. Pesticides have been suggested as a risk factor but this hypothesis has rarely been explored. The disease was recognised as a significant cause of death among farmers in the last published Occupational Health Decennial Supplement (PMR=1089, 95% CI=823-1416)30. Analysis of data by region showed a more than 20-fold variation with particularly high proportions in d e http://www.hse.gov.uk/statistics/causdis/respiratory http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=618 33 farmers from Wales and the North-east of England. These areas have extensive hill farming and a relatively damp climate predisposing the formation of the moulds in hay that cause the disease. The US Agricultural Health Study (AHS) is a prospective cohort study of farmers and their spouses in Iowa and North Carolina 31. Hoppin et al 32 analysed cross-sectional enrolment data between 1993-7 from the AHS, and observed 427 cases of farmers’ lung disease among farmers in the study and 38 cases among spouses. Compared to 17,952 and 26,011 controls, respectively, these cases were more likely to be exposed to pesticides over their lifetime, in particular among the farmers, a history of a high pesticide exposure event (OR=1.75, 95% CI=1.39-2.21), use ever of organochlorine (OC) pesticides (OR=1.34, 95% CI=1.04-1.74) and use ever of carbamate pesticides (OR=1.32, 95% CI=1.03-1.68). Analysis of individual pesticides showed variable results. Two organochlorine pesticides associated with farmers’ lung disease were lindane (OR=1.25, 95% CI 0.98-1.60) and dichlorodiphenyl trichloroethan (DDT) (OR=1.25, 95% CI 0.95-1.65), although these results were not statistically significant. Also, two carbamate pesticides were associated with farmers’ lung disease, but in opposite directions; aldicarb, an insecticide, had a positive association (OR=1.65, 95% CI 1.04-2.61), whereas benomyl, a fungicide, had an inverse association (OR=0.60, 95% CI 0.33-1.07). Although these risks were observed, confounding by historic farm activities could not be ruled out. 6.4.1.2 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease Studies have suggested that pesticide use may increase the risk of chronic bronchitis. Pesticides have been associated with cough and phlegm among participants in the Singapore Chinese Health Study33. Also, in a study of non-smoking women in the AHS, chronic bronchitis was associated with exposure to dichlorvos, dichlorodiphenyl thrichloroethane (DDT), cyanazine, paraquat and methyl bromide after multivariate adjustment34. A study of the baseline data collected for the AHS reported that 11 pesticides were significantly associated with chronic bronchitis, after adjustment for correlated pesticides and confounders35. These included carbamates, OCs, organophosphates (OPs) and pyrethroid insecticides, and herbicides (2,4,5-T; 2,4,5-TP; chlorimuron-ethyl (CME), petroleum oil). However, farmers undertake a variety of activities that potentially put them at risk of chronic bronchitis, including confinement farming 36 37 , grain handling38, and livestock production39 40. A recent population-based survey of 1,258 men and women in Austria found that 23% had any type of farming experience, and that farming was the only occupation with increased prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)41. Substantially more farmers had at least mild COPD compared to non-farmers (30% compared to 22%), and proportionally they also exhibited more severe COPD symptoms (14% compared to 8%). 6.4.1.3 Other respiratory symptoms In the US, applying pesticides to livestock has been found to be associated with a high prevalence of respiratory symptoms42, and there is some evidence of an association between working with pesticides and prevalence of cough and chronic phlegm43. In Saskatchewan, Canada, farmers working with carbamates and OPs have reported a higher prevalence of asthma than other farmers44. In the US AHS an increased odds of wheeze was associated with 11 of 40 pesticides among more than 20,000 farmer pesticide applicators45. Pesticides associated with increased wheeze included the herbicides paraquat, atrazine, alachlor and chlorimuron-ethyl (CME) and the OP insecticides parathion and chlorpyrifos. Significant dose-response relationships were also demonstrated for chlorpyrifos, s-ethyl-dipropylthiocarbamate (EPTC), paraquat and parathion. Later work showed a dose-response trend for CME and phorate46. 34 6.4.2 Neurological Diseases 6.4.2.1 Neurological symptoms The neurological consequences of high-level exposure to pesticides are well established47 and symptoms can result from exposure to most types of compounds (for example, OPs, carbamates, OCs, fungicides and fumigants)48. However, only OPs have been studied in detail. Mild exposures lead to symptoms including dizziness, headache, nausea and vomiting, papillary constriction, and excessive sweating, tearing and salivation. High exposures can lead to muscle weakness and twitches, changes in heart rate, and bronchospasm and can progress to convulsions and coma. Some patients may develop OP-induced delayed neuropathy two to five weeks after exposure, which involves sensory abnormalities, muscle cramps, weakness and even paralysis. In some cases of acute OP poisoning, neurological effects were observed ten or more years after poisoning49, suggesting that the residual damage is permanent. In a recent study, the prevalence and pattern of neuropsychiatric symptoms were consistently more common in past users of sheep dip and other pesticides than in those who had never worked with pesticides50. A study of applicators in the AHS observed an association between the number of neurological symptoms experienced and cumulative lifetime days of insecticide use, fumigant use, and weaker relationships for cumulative lifetime days of herbicide use and fungicide use51. Beseler et al 52 noted that depression was significantly associated with a history of pesticide poisoning in female spouses of applicators in the AHS. Chronic low-level exposure is associated with a broad range of non-specific symptoms, including headache, dizziness, insomnia, confusion, and difficulty concentrating47. Men and women who applied OPs, including greenhouse workers53, farmers and pesticide applicators54, commercial termiticide applicators55 and sheep dippers56, all reported higher symptom prevalence than non-exposed. In a review of the health effects of chronic exposure to pesticides, 39 out of 41 studies showed a positive increase in one or more neurological abnormalities (including malaise, depression, mood changes, cognitive dysfunction) with pesticide exposure57. 6.4.2.2 Parkinson’s disease There is extensive literature suggesting that pesticide exposure may increase the risk of Parkinson’s disease58-61. Numerous case-control studies have suggested an association between pesticide exposure and Parkinson’s disease with ORs ranging from 1.6 to 7.062. However, many of the studies defined exposure as ever exposed to any pesticide, a broad definition that could give rise to significant misclassification, which might weaken the association. The results of cohort studies indicate that employment in certain occupations involving pesticide exposure may increase the risk of Parkinson’s disease51 60 63 64. However, findings have been inconsistent, and a number of methodological difficulties were identified that might account for them65 66. These include: variation in diagnostic criteria for Parkinson’s disease, limitations in exposure assessment and variable adjustment for other potential risk factors. In particular, Parkinson’s disease risk is related to living in rural areas, drinking well water and pesticide exposure. With regards to the latter, and the wide range of compounds subsumed under the title ‘pesticide’, the biological implausibility of all pesticides having a similar toxicological action was noted. In a case-control study in four European centres (Scotland, Sweden, Italy, Romania), 649 cases and 1,587 controls were recruited, and their lifetime occupational histories collected 67. Scottish data showed a non-significant increased risk for agriculture (Dictionary of Occupational Titles [DOT]: OR= 1.32, 95% CI=0.81-2.16; International Standard Industrial Classification [ISIC]: OR=1.30, 95% CI=0.84-2.02). Analysis of information from all four centres resulted in a 35 reduced risk (DOT: OR=1.02, 95% CI=0.82-1.28; ISIC: OR=1.05, 95% CI=0.85-1.31). In a further analysis these data were added to cases from Malta68, giving a total of 959 cases with parkinsonism, 767 with Parkinson’s disease, and 1,989 controls. Logistic regression analysis of all cases noted a significant risk with any exposure to pesticides (OR=1.29, 95% CI=1.02-1.63), and an exposure-response when average annual intensity of exposure was the metric (low vs. no exposure: OR=1.13, 95% CI=0.82-1.57; high vs. no exposure: OR=1.41, 95% CI=1.06-1.88). When only Parkinson’s disease cases were considered, similar but slightly lower risks were observed (any exposure: OR=1.25, 95% CI=0.97-1.61; low vs. no exposure: OR=1.09, 95% CI=0.77-1.55; high vs. no exposure: OR=1.39, 95% CI=1.02-1.89). In a case-control study from the US, 319 cases and 296 relative and other controls were examined69. Overall, individuals with Parkinson’s disease were significantly more likely to report direct pesticide application than their unaffected relatives (OR=1.61, 95% CI=1.13-2.29). Significant exposure-response relationships with frequency and duration of pesticide use, and cumulative exposure were reported. Excess risk was observed in individuals exposed to insecticides and herbicides, and specifically OC and organophosphorous compounds. Among male farmers in the Occupational Health Decennial Supplement, a significant excess of Parkinson’s disease was observed (PMR=125, 95% CI=110-142)10. 6.4.2.3 Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis Information on the association between pesticide exposure and the risk of other neurological disease is sparser. Several studies have suggested that the risk of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis is related to farming as an occupation, although the evidence for an increased risk with pesticide exposure is inconclusive 70-74. 6.4.2.4 Alzheimer’s disease Alzheimer’s disease is the most common cause of dementia in the elderly. Several risk factors have been identified including head injury, low serum levels of folate and vitamin B12, raised plasma and total homocysteine levels, a family history of Alzheimer’s disease or dementia, fewer years of education, lower income and lower occupational status75. The evidence for an increased risk of Alzheimer’s disease for occupational exposures, including pesticides, is generally not consistent61 76-78. A recent review of both case-control and cohort studies published up to June 2003 found that for pesticides, studies of greater quality and prospective design found increased and statistically significant associations79. 6.4.3 Cancer The International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) has classified occupational exposures in spraying and application of non-arsenical insecticides as probable human carcinogens (Group 2A)16. However, epidemiological studies relating pesticide exposure and human cancer have been inconsistent, and the evidence probably cannot be considered to establish a causal relationship for any single pesticide at the present time16. According to IARC and the US Environment Protection Agency (EPA) the weight of evidence suggests that although occupational exposure to other insecticides is probably associated with human cancer, the relationship is not considered causal because of the lack of high-quality evidence. The sites where evidence supports an association with pesticides include: non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma, leukaemia, multiple myeloma, soft-tissue sarcoma, prostate, pancreas and lung3 15 16 26 27 80 81. Cancers less frequently associated with pesticide exposures include: breast, testis, Hodgkin’s disease, liver, kidney, rectum, brain and neurological systems. 36 6.4.3.1 Non-Hodgkin’s Lymphoma Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma is among the most widely studied cancers in relation to pesticide use. The last published Occupational Health Decennial Supplement did not show any excess risk among farmers10. They also plotted the rates of phenoxy herbicide usage by Ministry of Agriculture (now Defra) region against the mortality from Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma, but could not find a significant correlation thus concluding the data provided little support for the hypothesised association 30. Many studies have shown farmers to be at an increased risk of Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma82. However, the specific practices associated with the risk vary. In addition, pesticides have been suggested as risk factors for Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma based on findings from studies of pesticide applicators, pesticide manufacturers, chemical production workers, and military veterans who served in Vietnam83. Findings from studies of humans have been inconsistent, and collectively the epidemiological data do not provide powerful evidence for a causal association between pesticides and NHL. A recent review of the literature listed over 100 papers reporting an Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma risk with pesticide exposure83. The study populations included agriculture and applicators, producers and manufacturers, case-control (incident) and cohort (incident) studies, proportional mortality analyses, accidents and environmental exposures. The relative risks ranged from 0.3 to 10.0, however, no summary statistic was estimated. Blair and Zahm3 reviewed the literature and reported that Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma has been linked with exposure to phenoxyacetic acid herbicides, OC and OP pesticides. In 18 of 29 studies, farmers were observed to show excesses of Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma compared to the general population, but no excess was greater than twofold84. Population-based case-control studies have observed NHL risk with self-reported agricultural exposures to specific pesticide groups23 85 86. A Canadian multi-centre population-based incident case-control study found the risk of Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma was increased with exposure to phenoxy and benzoic acid (dicamba) herbicides, to carbamate and OP insecticides, to amide fungicides, and to the fumigant carbon tetrachloride 87. However, the AHS has not observed any excess Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma risk in the cohort as a whole88 89, and a similar study of licensed pesticide applicators in Florida also did not observe an increased Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma risk4. Cohort and case-control studies that evaluated specific pesticides or classes of pesticides generally have reported inconsistent findings. This may be due, in part, to studies investigating different exposure scenarios and using different variables to classify the exposures. As examples, reports from the US AHS that evaluated specific pesticides found no increased Non Hodgkin’s lymphoma risk 90-95. Various meta-analyses have examined the risk of Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma among farmers and shown associations to be weak. In an analysis of 14 studies of farmers no significant association between farming and Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma risk was reported (meta-RR=1.05, 95% CI=0.98-1.12)96, whereas in an analysis of six studies among farmers in the central United States a weak but significant increase in risk was obtained (meta-RR=1.34, 95% CI=1.17 1.55)97. The most comprehensive review, which looked at 36 studies published between 1982 and 1997, reported a significant positive association (meta-RR=1.10, 95% CI=1.03-1.19)98. However, findings across studies were heterogeneous, and when studies were analysed according to study design, only the results from case-control studies produced a significant summary estimate (meta-RR=1.19, 95% CI=1.06-1.33). The summary estimate based on cohort studies was 0.95 (95% CI=0.85-1.07). Another meta-analysis on a smaller number of studies 37 obtained similar summary estimates for eight case-control studies of farmers, although the summary RR was only marginally significant (meta-RR=1.13, 95% CI=1.00-1.27). In contrast, the association based on eight cohort studies was inverse (meta-RR=0.95, 95% CI=0.90-1.00)99. A more recent meta-analysis of 13 case-control studies observed a meta-OR of 1.35 (95% CI=1.17-1.55), but found significant heterogeneity and detected publication bias100. Meta regression showed that a long period of exposure (>10 years) was associated with an increase in the odds for Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma of 1.65 (95% CI=1.08-2.51). Boffetta & De Vocht101 obtained a pooled RR (from 50 studies of farmers) of 1.11 (95% CI=1.05-1.17). No association was seen between crop farming and Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma risk, but a greater risk was observed amongst livestock workers (meta-RR 1.31, 95% CI – 1.08-1.60). Diagnostic analyses did not indicate the presence of publication bias, but there was significant heterogeneity. The authors concluded, “Overall, the available evidence supports the hypothesis of a weak association between farming and Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma risk. Although the quantitative summary estimate of the strength of the association is uncertain given the heterogeneity in exposure circumstances, it is unlikely that the excess risk in farmers is higher than 10% to 15%”. Findings from studies of occupationally exposed pesticide production/manufacturing workers, including studies among phenoxy or chlorophenol production and manufacturing workers102-104, triazine manufacturing workers 105, and alachlor manufacturing workers 106 have generally been mixed. Studies of pesticide applicators have generally shown no excess risk 107 108. In a multinational study of workers enrolled in the IARC cohort, no significant excess of Non Hodgkin’s lymphoma mortality was observed among workers exposed to phenoxy herbicides or chlorophenols (SMR=1.27, 95% CI=0.88-1.78), with no exposure-response relationship based on duration of exposure109. However, a recently published systematic review and meta-analysis of mortality in crop protection product manufacturing workers identified 26 studies that investigated NHL risk110. The pooled estimate was 1.98 (95% CI=1.45-2.69), whereas in studies of phenoxy-herbicide workers the estimate was 2.01 (95% CI=1.38-2.93). 6.4.3.2 Leukaemia Investigations have shown some negative, but mainly positive associations between farming and leukaemia111. Leukaemia types linked with farming include acute lymphoid112, chronic lymphoid113 114, acute myeloid115 and chronic myeloid116, with pesticide exposure suggested as the likely cause. A number of meta-analyses have been undertaken. Keller-Byrne et al 117 investigated 19 studies that examined the association between leukaemia and farming. A random-effects meta-analysis yielded a relative risk of 1.09 (95% CI= 0.997-1.19). The meta-RR of 10 case-control studies was 1.23 (95% CI=1.17-1.29). Another meta-analysis of 27 studies obtained a meta-RR of 1.10 (95% CI=1.02-1.18) for white male farmers99. There was a small difference in the meta-RR by study type: in cohort studies it was 1.00 (95% CI=0.91-1.11); in PMR studies it was 1.17 (95% CI=1.07-1.28); whilst in case-control studies it was 1.11 (95% CI=0.96-1.27). In a comprehensive review, 14 of 16 studies showed an association between pesticide exposure and leukaemia, all but one with statistical significance118. Exposure to specific pesticides, including mancozeb and toxaphane119, have been associated with excess mortality from leukaemia. Evidence from a few studies of workers exposed to DDT provide limited support for an association with leukaemia113, and chronic lymphoid leukaemia120. Exposure to dichlorvos and other pesticides like nicotine and pyrethrins gave, after a 20-year latency, significant excesses of leukaemia 113. 38 Findings from studies of occupationally exposed pesticide production/manufacturing workers, including studies among phenoxy or chlorophenol production and manufacturing workers102 104, triazine manufacturing workers105 121, and alachlor manufacturing workers122 have generally been mixed. Studies of pesticide applicators have generally shown no excess risk107 123. A study by Jones et al 110 reviewed 30 studies of crop protection product manufacturing workers from Europe, USA and China, and obtained a pooled estimate of 1.08 (95% CI=0.81-1.44). In a sub-group of 20 cohorts of workers involved in the manufacture of phenoxy herbicides the summary risk estimate was 1.02 (95% CI=0.71-1.46). In contrast to this, a recent meta-analysis of 12 cohort studies published between 1984 and 2004 obtained a fixed effects meta-RR of 1.43 (95% CI=1.05-1.94) for pesticide manufacturing workers124. Also, a systematic review and meta-analysis of 17 cohort and 16 case-control studies published between 1979 and 2005 examining the association between myeloid leukaemia and occupational pesticide exposure estimated a meta-rate ratio for cohort studies of 1.21 (95% CI=0.99-1.48)125. The meta-RR was 6.32 (95% CI=1.90-21.01) for manufacturing workers and 2.14 (95% CI=1.39-3.31) for pesticide applicators. Among case-control studies a meta-RR of 1.39 was obtained (95% CI=1.03-1.88) for men, and 1.38 (95% CI=1.06-1.79) for farmers and agricultural workers. 6.4.3.3 Multiple Myeloma The Occupational Health Decennial Supplement did not show an increased mortality from myeloma among farmers but did show an increased risk of contracting myeloma among male farmers (PRR=126, 95% CI=105-151)10. Many epidemiological studies, both cohort and case-control, have investigated the relationship between agricultural work and myeloma126 127. Studies that have reported a risk for myeloma have generally reported estimates exceeding 1.0 overall and for specific subgroups, although these were not always statistically significant96 128-136. However, interpretation of the results from studies examining the link between farming and myeloma is limited by the broad exposure classification of farming as an occupational group. Farmers also perform activities such as machine repair, carpentry, welding, painting, equipment operating, pesticide and fertiliser mixing and application, and livestock handling. These activities may involve contact with multiple chemicals and microorganisms, including solvents, fuels and oils, lubricants, wood preservatives, engine exhausts, dusts, zoonotic viruses and other microbes. A number of meta-analyses have been carried out. In one that included 12 studies published between 1977 and 1990 with farmers as an occupational group, RR estimates ranged from 0.4 to 2.5, with a summary RR of 1.12 (95% CI=1.04-1.21)96. In a second analysis of 32 studies published between 1981 and 1996, a random-effects summary RR of 1.23 (95% CI=1.14-1.32) was obtained137. In a third analysis of 22 studies (16 follow-up; 11 PMR; 7 case-control, and 1 other) published through 1994, a summary RR of 1.09 (95% CI=0.99-1.19) was recorded, and the risk was greater than 1.0 irrespective of the study design99. No heterogeneity was observed. The authors also re-analysed the information using 10 studies examined by Blair et al 96, and obtained a summary RR of 1.10 (95% CI=1.01-1.21). A recent study of 13 case-control studies that examined pesticide-related occupations observed a non-significant increase in myeloma risk (OR=1.16, 95% CI=0.99-1.36)100. Although there was no sign of heterogeneity there was an indication that publication bias existed. The authors undertook a process to correct for this with the result of a decrease in the OR to 1.12 (95% CI=0.96-1.30). Nevertheless, only two studies were included in their analysis. A meta-analysis of 25 cohorts from Europe, USA, China and New Zealand of pesticide production workers obtained a pooled estimate of 1.26 (95% CI=0.89-1.77)110. In a sub-group of 20 cohorts of 39 workers involved in the manufacture of phenoxy-herbicides the summary risk estimate was 1.24 (95% CI=0.82-1.86). 6.4.3.4 Soft Tissue Sarcoma Soft tissue sarcoma is a rare heterogeneous group of tumours that show a broad range of differentiation that may reflect aetiologic distinction138 139. However, it is difficult to study the aetiology of soft tissue sarcoma because of their relatively low incidence and inherent misclassification of histology139. Also, because of the rarity, any study usually groups all the different histological subtypes into one, resulting in a loss of specificity and possibly masking the behaviour of the different subtypes. Soft tissue sarcoma are made up of a heterogeneous mix of cancer subtypes and it has been suggested that occupational risk factors are not uniform across subtypes140. A number of factors have been implicated in the aetiology of soft tissue sarcomas. Viruses have long been suspected as causal in their development, and the association of Karposi’s and AIDS is supportive of this hypothesis. Tobacco use has been inconsistently associated with soft tissue sarcoma, and diet has been little studied. The role of therapeutic radiation in inducing soft tissue sarcomas is well established 139. A number of studies have found an association between herbicide use and soft tissue sarcoma141 , although, others have not 85 145 146. However, in most of these studies the assumed aetiologic agent is dioxin. The problem with histological subtypes was highlighted by Hoppin and colleagues140, who observed self-reported herbicide use was associated with malignant fibrohistiocytic sarcoma (OR=2.9, 95% CI=1.1-7.3) but not with liposarcoma. 144 6.4.3.5 Prostate Cancer In the previous Occupational Health Decennial Supplement, mortality from prostate cancer was significantly increased (PMR=112, 95% CI=106-118) among farmers10. Prostate cancer risk among farmers and other pesticide users has been examined in a large number of studies in Europe and US, with relative risks generally less than two4 84 99 147 148. A recent analysis of the AHS cohort observed an SIR of 1.14 (95% CI=1.05-1.24)149. The study showed use of chlorinated pesticides over 50 years of age and methyl bromide use were significantly associated with prostate cancer risk. Several other pesticides also showed a significantly increased risk, especially among subjects with a family history of prostate cancer, including carbofuran, coumaphos, fonofos, permethrin and phorate. A previous literature review of prostate cancer and occupation found the evidence to be inconclusive150. Various reports have, however, shown small excesses among exposed workers. A meta-analysis of 24 studies, published between 1983 and 1994, estimated the relative risk to be 1.12 (95% CI=1.01-1.24)148, whereas a meta-analysis of 30 studies of farmers obtained a combined RR of 1.07 (95% CI=1.02-1.13)99. In another analysis of 22 studies published between 1995 and 2001 an estimated RR of 1.13 (95% CI=1.04-1.22) was obtained151. Significant heterogeneity was observed and the major sources were geographic location, study design and the healthy worker effect. A stratified analysis revealed a significant increase in the rate ratio of pesticide applicators (RR=1.64, 95% CI=1.13-2.38), whereas this was not the case for farmers (RR=0.97, 95% CI=0.92-1.03). In a review of 18 studies of pesticide manufacturers published between 1984 and 2004, the meta-RR estimate for all studies was 1.28 (95% CI=1.05 1.58)152. In analyses stratified by specific chemical class, increases in prostate cancer risk were seen in all groups, but statistical significance was only found for accidental or non-accidental exposure to phenoxy herbicide contaminated with dioxins and furans. A more recent meta analysis of manufacturers obtained a pooled estimate of 1.03 (95% CI=0.80-1.33; 29 studies) for all cohorts, and 1.16 (95% CI=0.85-1.57; 20 studies) for cohorts exposed to phenoxy herbicides 110. 40 6.4.3.6 Pancreatic Cancer The risk of pancreatic cancer and exposure to pesticides has been found to be elevated, but rarely statistically significant, in a number of occupational studies of agricultural workers and pesticide users including: farmers153, agricultural pesticide applicators123 154 155, and production workers110. However, a meta-analysis of 28 studies of farmers obtained a summary RR of 0.94 (95% CI=0.86-1.02)99. 6.4.3.7 Lung Cancer The Occupational Health Decennial Supplement noted a significantly decreased mortality from lung cancer among male farmers (PMR=88, 95% CI=86-91)10. Lung cancer is causally associated with exposure to arsenical compounds156, and an excess risk has been observed among vineyard workers157, arsenical pesticide manufacturers158 159 and general pesticide manufacturers110. Increased risk has also been observed amongst licensed pesticide applicators in the US and rose with the number of years licensed160 161. Similar findings were also seen in Germany162. Studies have observed excesses with exposure to OP and carbamate insecticides and phenoxyacetic acid herbicides160, phenoxy herbicides and/or contaminants (dioxins/furans)109, and evidence of exposure response for others163. However, in a review of studies published in 1992-1997 (19 case-control & 21 cohort, not all investigating lung cancer)108, only one case-control study160 reported an excess risk of lung cancer. Farmers have not been seen to be at risk of lung cancer99, and neither have pesticide applicators studied in the AHS89 or from Florida4. However, lung cancer risk was increased with exposure to some OC insecticides164, diazinon90 and chlorpyrifos165. A recent systematic review and meta-analysis of mortality in crop production product manufacturing workers, reported a pooled risk estimate of 1.22 (95% CI=1.05-1.41) in 32 studies, and of 1.28 (95% CI=1.08-1.52) in 20 studies of phenoxy herbicide exposed cohorts 110. 6.4.3.8 Ovarian Cancer Two Italian case-control studies have shown an excess risk among women exposed to herbicides166 167. Previous analysis of the AHS cohort of pesticide applicators showed increased mortality of ovarian cancer among female private applicators, but not among spouses of male private applicators89. However, the study of Florida applicators did not provide any data4. The Occupational Health Decennial Supplement reported a 23% increase in mortality (PMR=123, 95% CI=100-151)10. However, the meta-analysis of production workers by Jones et al 110 used 10 studies and did not observe any excess risk (meta-RR=0.93, 95% CI=0.52-1.68), and the meta-analysis by Acquavella et al 99 did not provide any data. 6.4.3.9 Brain Cancer In the Occupational Health Decennial Supplement no excess deaths from brain cancer were observed among farmers10. The aetiology of brain cancer is still poorly understood. Brain tumours have been associated with several occupational and environmental exposures, including farming168-170 and pesticides171. A review of studies published before 1995 concluded that existing data were insufficient to demonstrate that exposure to pesticides is a clear risk factor for brain tumours172. The authors suggested that it seemed more plausible that exposure to multiple agents and/or other factors are most relevant with respect to brain tumour pathogenesis. A meta-analysis of 33 studies, published between 1981 and 1996, examining the association between brain cancer and farming, yielded a summary RR of 1.30 (95% CI=1.09-1.56)173, which the authors suggested was evidence for a weak association that may be at least partially caused by pesticides and also microorganisms. In the AHS, there was no excess in brain cancer incidence or mortality89 174. A 41 second meta-analysis of 28 studies of farmers reported a summary RR of 1.06 (95% CI=1.02 1.11)99, which was similar to that obtained in an earlier analysis96. A meta-analysis of 30 studies of pesticide production workers reported a pooled estimate of 1.01 (95% CI=0.75-1.36)110, however, the pooled risk for phenoxy-herbicide cohorts was 0.93 (95% CI=.0.64-1.36). 6.4.3.10 Breast Cancer The Occupational Health Decennial Supplement reported breast cancer mortality was lower than expected among female farmers, with a PMR of 85 (95% CI=74-98)10. However, it has been suggested that some pesticides have an oestrogenic effect thus increasing the risk of breast cancer. Studies that have analysed the association between pesticide exposure and breast cancer have mostly supported an association175. In the AHS, private applicators were seen to have a raised incidence, although this was not statistically significant174, and mortality was below that expected89. Pesticide manufacturers were seen to be at a 14% greater risk of breast cancer (meta-SMR=1.14, 95% CI=0.81-1.61)110. 6.4.3.11 Skin Cancer Proportional cancer mortality analysis of the Decennial Supplement data (1979-90 and 1982-90) observed no significant excess of melanoma among male farmers (PCMR=0.94, 95% CI=0.78 1.13) or female farmers (PCMR=1.01, 95% CI=0.48-1.85)169. In contrast, there were excesses of non-melanoma skin cancer (male farmers: 1.27, 95% CI=0.95-1.66; female farmers: 4.22, 95% CI=1.70-8.70). The main cause of melanoma is sun exposure. A number of occupations (airline flight crews, polyvinyl chloride manufacture, employment in the oil industry) or occupational exposures (ionising radiation, extremely low frequency electromagnetic fields, polychlorinated biphenyls) have been linked with melanoma but most cohort studies in these areas have been unable to adequately deal with potential confounding by sun exposure176. Case-control studies177 178 and studies on the incidence and/or mortality caused by cutaneous melanoma amongst agricultural workers and farmers or those otherwise exposed to pesticides (e.g. vets), found indication for an increased risk147 179-182, although another showed a decrease154. Similarly, the main cause of non-melanoma skin cancer is sun exposure, in particular ultraviolet radiation183, and exposure to ionising radiation has been shown to increase risk. Exposure to arsenic contaminated drinking water has be shown to increase the risk of non-melanoma skin cancer184 185. However, in industries where arsenic exposure may occur, including the manufacture of glass and nonferrous alloys, smelting and where wood preservatives are used, the risk of non-melanoma skin cancer is rarely presented as in the majority of cases it is rarely fatal. Studies of farmers have generally shown them to be at an increased risk84 99 186 187, and others have reported an association with agricultural chemicals including paraquat188. However, several studies have not included non-melanoma skin cancer in their reports 88 105. The use of arsenic in sheep dip, and other pesticides, has long since disappeared in farming and the use of these chemicals was also intermittent, but due to the long latency, cases may still be the result of exposure. Agricultural workers are also exposed regularly to UV radiation that must be taken into account in any interpretation of results. 6.4.4 Accidents, Injuries and Poisonings Agriculture has higher rates of occupational accidents than most industries in the UK. The most common fatal accidents in agriculture are those involving vehicles and machinery, falls from height and electrocution189, and according to the HSE, the main causes of death continue to be f : f http:/www.hse.gov.uk/statistics/industry/hsagriculture.htm#fatal 42 • • • • • • • • Transport (being run over or vehicle overturns); Falling from height (through fragile roofs, trees, etc.); Struck by moving or falling objects (bales, trees, etc.); Asphyxiation/drowning; Trapped by something collapsing or overturning; Contact with machinery; Livestock related fatalities; Contact with electricity. According to reports submitted under the Reporting of Injuries, Disease and Dangerous Occurrences Regulations (RIDDOR), the most frequent categories of fatal accident were those involving vehicles and machinery and falls from height. In addition, electrical injuries account for a relatively high proportion of deaths. Other less common accidents are asphyxiation and injury by an animal22. The Occupational Health Decennial Supplement also confirms these figures, with the highest risk being from pesticide poisoning (PMR=1455, 95% CI=396-3724), injury by animals and plants (PMR=775, 95% CI 479-1186), injury by firearms (PMR=670, 95% CI=424-1006), and animal transport accidents (PMR=468, 95% CI=262-773)10. Farmers have, for a long time, been under considerable financial pressures especially as most are running their own businesses, and it has been widely agreed that because of this the suicide rates are much higher among the group. Among self-employed farmers, the PMR was 193 (415 deaths), whereas among employees it was 136 (498 deaths), and managers/foremen it was 134 (70 deaths). In addition to financial constraints other factors may include ready access to means of successful suicide such as guns and poisons30. The rate of occupational accidents in British agriculture is higher than in most other industries. According to the HSE, the rate of fatal injury to workers in 2006/7 was 8.1 deaths per 100,000 g , the numbers fluctuating over the last decade with no overall trend. In 2006/7, the number of reported major injuries to employees decreased by 6% to 437 from 465 in 2005/6 (a decrease in rate of 11% to 191.1), slips and trips accounted for 20% (86) of major injuries. The next most common cause of major injuries were being hit by a moving or falling object at 17% (76) followed by falls from height 14% (63). The rate of reportable non-fatal injury was 2000 per 100,000 workers in 2005/6, double that of the average for all industries. In farmers under 45 years, the second most common cause of death (after accidents) was suicide. They are twice as likely to commit suicide as the average member of the public190. Suicide among farmers is not just because they have easy access to the means, they are also independent, and decisive. Although there is good information about suicide in farmers, the data are poor on agricultural workers, geographical and sectoral variations, and about other physical, psychological and behavioural effects, and requires further investigation190. 6.4.5 Retinal Degeneration Retinal degeneration is the leading cause of visual impairment in older adults, but its aetiology is not well known. Non-occupational risk factors include light eye colour, hypertension, history of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, sun exposure, and low antioxidant levels, but studies have produced inconsistent results. Genetic susceptibility may play a role because familial aggregation has been demonstrated191. Little is known about its relationship to occupational or environmental neurotoxic exposures, although the available evidence mainly concerns exposure to pesticides, primarily OP insecticides. In the AHS, retinal degeneration was associated with fungicide use (OR=1.8, 95% CI=1.3-2.6)192. Risk was seen to increase with cumulative day of fungicide use and was greater when application methods involving greater personal exposure g http://www.hse.gov.uk/statistics/industry/agriculture.htm 43 were used. Retinal degeneration was also related to a lesser extent with use of OC or carbamate insecticides. 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American Journal of Industrial Medicine 2000;37(6):618-628. 57 58 59 Published by the Health and Safety Executive 03/13 Health and Safety Executive The Pesticide Users’ Health Study An analysis of mortality (1987-2005) The Pesticide Users Health Study (PUHS) was established so as to monitor the health of men and women who are certified to apply pesticides on a commercial basis under the 1986 Control of Pesticides Regulations. An analysis of deaths occurring between 1987 and 2005 among members of the PUHS is presented in this report. There were 1,628 deaths among 59,085 male and 3,875 female pesticide users during the followup period. Compared with the population of Great Britain, the pesticide users had lower than expected mortality from all causes, and in particular from all cancers combined, cancers of the digestive organs, cancers of the respiratory system, and non-malignant diseases of the nervous system and sense organs, and of the circulatory, respiratory, and digestive systems. There was some evidence of excess deaths from multiple myeloma in men and women, and possibly also from testicular cancer. Deaths from all external causes (accidents and injuries) combined were lower than expected when compared with the general population. However in men, deaths from ‘injury by machinery’ were higher than expected. Continuing recruitment into the PUHS will enable HSE to monitor the health of these pesticide users as regulations and exposures change over time. This report and the work it describes were funded by the Health and Safety Executive (HSE). Its contents, including any opinions and/or conclusions expressed, are those of the authors alone and do not necessarily reflect HSE policy. RR958 www.hse.gov.uk