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Michigan Judges’ Retirement System Retiree Health Actuarial Valuation Results

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Michigan Judges’ Retirement System Retiree Health Actuarial Valuation Results
Michigan Judges’
Retirement System
Retiree Health Actuarial
Valuation Results
as of September 30, 2015
Copyright © 2016 GRS – All rights reserved.
Retiree Health Benefits
Participants Eligible for Employer Subsidized Benefits

Plan 1 and Plan 2 members, both defined benefit
(Tier 1) and defined contribution (Tier 2)

Covered participants pay 2% of compensation
while actively employed

Covered participants receive employer
subsidized health benefits after retirement

Other retired judges may enroll in the health
plan, but pay the full cost of their coverage
2
Retiree Health Benefits
The Funding Issue

Unlike pensions, health benefits have not been prefunded (most plan sponsors nationwide have not
pre-funded health benefits either)
 No
investment income to help pay the costs

Costs rise as more members retire, and health
inflation outpaces general inflation

Pre-funding contribution rates have been
calculated since 1999 – but pre-funding
contributions have not been made
3
Governmental Accounting Standards
Board
Beginning with the 2007 CAFR, GASB Statements No. 43
and No. 45 specify how retiree health benefit liabilities and
expenses are reported in the financial statements
 The reported annual expense is based on the Annual
Required Contribution (ARC)
 If the employer fully funds the actuarially computed ARC,
in a qualified trust with a long-term investment policy, then
the liabilities and ARC are based on a long range investment
return assumption (approximately 8%)
 If the employer only pays the cash benefits, with no prefunding, the liabilities and ARC are based on a short term
investment return assumption, like that earned on the
employer’s general accounts (approximately 4%) – and the
liabilities and ARC are much larger

4
Governmental Accounting Standards
Board



The reported liability and ARC depend on how the
employer is funding the benefits
If the employer funds more than the cash benefits but
less than the full actuarial contribution (partial prefunding), the liabilities and ARC will lie somewhere
between the pre-funding and cash funding results
Existing employer contributions to pay the cash
benefits count as contributions toward meeting the
ARC

5
Medicare Part D Retiree Drug Subsidy (RDS) payments
received during the year also count as employer contributions
toward meeting the ARC
JRS – GASB Compliant Valuation
Full Actuarial Funding vs. Cash Funding
 2015 Potential Unfunded Accrued Liability and ARC:



Unfunded Liability
ARC - FY2016
Full Actuarial Funding
$6.1 million
$495 thousand
Cash Funding
$9.1 million
$712 thousand
Lump sum of $6.1 million would fully fund the 2015 unfunded
liability (annual employer normal cost payments thereafter –$50
thousand in FY 2016).
The $9.1 million amount is for reporting and disclosure purposes
(if cash funding is continued), and is not an amount that needs to
be funded in a lump sum.
$3.0 million ($9.1 less $6.1) represents some of the lost investment
income from not pre-funding.
The potential Unfunded Liability and ARC are from the September 2015 GASB valuation.
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Circumstances That Would Increase
Projected Costs

Medicare funding reductions or cost shifting

Unexpected new entrants into the retiree health plan
(from health benefit cutbacks of other employers)

Medical inflation worse than assumed; the actual future
contributions will depend on future per capita health
cost increases (health inflation)*

Active member population decline (contribution rates
as a percentage of payroll would increase)

This is not a complete list
* Per capita costs are projected to increase 9% the first year, graded down to 3.5% in the tenth and later
years.
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Solutions and Observations
Strategic planning – an important tool to contain
costs while delivering valuable benefits
 Plan for increases in employer health care
contributions
 Partial pre-funding (more than cash funding, but
less than GASB ARC) may protect against higher
costs if experience is worse than projected

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Health Assets & Accrued Liabilities
Full Actuarial Funding (Amounts in Millions)
$7
$6.1
$5.7
6
Dollar Amount
5
4
3
2
1
$0
0
(2)
2006
(1)
(1)
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Valuation Year
Market Value of Assets
Actuarial Accrued Liability
(1)
Reflects assumption changes
(2)
Reflects assumption changes and compliance with GASB Statements No. 43 and No. 45
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$0
2013
2014
2015
Health Accrued Liabilities
Cash Funding (Paygo) (Amounts in Millions)
$10
$9.1
$8.7
Dollar Amount
8
6
4
2
0
2008
2009
(1)
2010
2011
2012
Valuation Year
(1)
10
Reflects assumption changes
2013
2014
(1)
2015
Unfunded Accrued Liabilities
as %’s of Payroll – Full Actuarial Funding
120%
102.6%
Percent of Payroll
94.1%
80%
40%
0%
(2)
2006
2007
2008
2009
(1)
2010
2011
Valuation Year
2012
(1)
Reflects assumption changes
(2)
Reflects assumption changes and compliance with GASB Statements No. 43 and No. 45
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2013
2014
(1)
2015
Annual Required Contributions (ARC) as
Percents of Pay(3) (Full Actuarial Funding)
10%
Employer Contribution %
8.08%
7.19%
5%
0%
6.48%
0.71%
(2)
2006
2007
2008
2009
Normal Cost
(1)
(2)
(3)
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(1)
2010
2011
Valuation Year
2012
Amortization Payments
Reflects assumption changes
Reflects assumption changes and compliance with GASB Statements No. 43 and No. 45
Projected pay
2013
(1)
2014
7.27%
0.81%
2015
Annual Required Contributions (ARC) as
Percents of Pay(2) (Cash Funding - Paygo)
12%
11.61%
10.54%
Employer Contribution %
10%
8%
7.58%
6.71%
6%
4%
2%
0%
4.03%
3.83%
(1)
(1)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Valuation Year
Normal Cost
(1)
(2)
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Reflects assumption changes
Projected pay
Amortization Payments
Disclaimers
This presentation is intended to be used in conjunction with the September
30, 2015 retiree health annual actuarial valuation report issued on February
3, 2016. This presentation should not be relied on for any purpose other
than the purpose described in the valuation report.
 Circular 230 Notice: Pursuant to regulations issued by the IRS, to the extent
this presentation concerns tax matters, it is not intended or written to be
used, and cannot be used, for the purpose of (i) avoiding tax-related
penalties under the Internal Revenue Code or (ii) marketing or
recommending to another party any tax-related matter addressed within.
Each taxpayer should seek advice based on the individual’s circumstances
from an independent tax advisor.
 This presentation shall not be construed to provide tax advice, legal advice
or investment advice.
 The actuaries submitting this presentation (Mita Drazilov and Louise Gates)
are Members of the American Academy of Actuaries and meet the
Qualification Standards of the American Academy of Actuaries to render
the actuarial opinions contained herein.

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