Michigan Judges’ Retirement System Retiree Health Actuarial Valuation Results
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Michigan Judges’ Retirement System Retiree Health Actuarial Valuation Results
Michigan Judges’ Retirement System Retiree Health Actuarial Valuation Results as of September 30, 2015 Copyright © 2016 GRS – All rights reserved. Retiree Health Benefits Participants Eligible for Employer Subsidized Benefits Plan 1 and Plan 2 members, both defined benefit (Tier 1) and defined contribution (Tier 2) Covered participants pay 2% of compensation while actively employed Covered participants receive employer subsidized health benefits after retirement Other retired judges may enroll in the health plan, but pay the full cost of their coverage 2 Retiree Health Benefits The Funding Issue Unlike pensions, health benefits have not been prefunded (most plan sponsors nationwide have not pre-funded health benefits either) No investment income to help pay the costs Costs rise as more members retire, and health inflation outpaces general inflation Pre-funding contribution rates have been calculated since 1999 – but pre-funding contributions have not been made 3 Governmental Accounting Standards Board Beginning with the 2007 CAFR, GASB Statements No. 43 and No. 45 specify how retiree health benefit liabilities and expenses are reported in the financial statements The reported annual expense is based on the Annual Required Contribution (ARC) If the employer fully funds the actuarially computed ARC, in a qualified trust with a long-term investment policy, then the liabilities and ARC are based on a long range investment return assumption (approximately 8%) If the employer only pays the cash benefits, with no prefunding, the liabilities and ARC are based on a short term investment return assumption, like that earned on the employer’s general accounts (approximately 4%) – and the liabilities and ARC are much larger 4 Governmental Accounting Standards Board The reported liability and ARC depend on how the employer is funding the benefits If the employer funds more than the cash benefits but less than the full actuarial contribution (partial prefunding), the liabilities and ARC will lie somewhere between the pre-funding and cash funding results Existing employer contributions to pay the cash benefits count as contributions toward meeting the ARC 5 Medicare Part D Retiree Drug Subsidy (RDS) payments received during the year also count as employer contributions toward meeting the ARC JRS – GASB Compliant Valuation Full Actuarial Funding vs. Cash Funding 2015 Potential Unfunded Accrued Liability and ARC: Unfunded Liability ARC - FY2016 Full Actuarial Funding $6.1 million $495 thousand Cash Funding $9.1 million $712 thousand Lump sum of $6.1 million would fully fund the 2015 unfunded liability (annual employer normal cost payments thereafter –$50 thousand in FY 2016). The $9.1 million amount is for reporting and disclosure purposes (if cash funding is continued), and is not an amount that needs to be funded in a lump sum. $3.0 million ($9.1 less $6.1) represents some of the lost investment income from not pre-funding. The potential Unfunded Liability and ARC are from the September 2015 GASB valuation. 6 Circumstances That Would Increase Projected Costs Medicare funding reductions or cost shifting Unexpected new entrants into the retiree health plan (from health benefit cutbacks of other employers) Medical inflation worse than assumed; the actual future contributions will depend on future per capita health cost increases (health inflation)* Active member population decline (contribution rates as a percentage of payroll would increase) This is not a complete list * Per capita costs are projected to increase 9% the first year, graded down to 3.5% in the tenth and later years. 7 Solutions and Observations Strategic planning – an important tool to contain costs while delivering valuable benefits Plan for increases in employer health care contributions Partial pre-funding (more than cash funding, but less than GASB ARC) may protect against higher costs if experience is worse than projected 8 Health Assets & Accrued Liabilities Full Actuarial Funding (Amounts in Millions) $7 $6.1 $5.7 6 Dollar Amount 5 4 3 2 1 $0 0 (2) 2006 (1) (1) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Valuation Year Market Value of Assets Actuarial Accrued Liability (1) Reflects assumption changes (2) Reflects assumption changes and compliance with GASB Statements No. 43 and No. 45 9 $0 2013 2014 2015 Health Accrued Liabilities Cash Funding (Paygo) (Amounts in Millions) $10 $9.1 $8.7 Dollar Amount 8 6 4 2 0 2008 2009 (1) 2010 2011 2012 Valuation Year (1) 10 Reflects assumption changes 2013 2014 (1) 2015 Unfunded Accrued Liabilities as %’s of Payroll – Full Actuarial Funding 120% 102.6% Percent of Payroll 94.1% 80% 40% 0% (2) 2006 2007 2008 2009 (1) 2010 2011 Valuation Year 2012 (1) Reflects assumption changes (2) Reflects assumption changes and compliance with GASB Statements No. 43 and No. 45 11 2013 2014 (1) 2015 Annual Required Contributions (ARC) as Percents of Pay(3) (Full Actuarial Funding) 10% Employer Contribution % 8.08% 7.19% 5% 0% 6.48% 0.71% (2) 2006 2007 2008 2009 Normal Cost (1) (2) (3) 12 (1) 2010 2011 Valuation Year 2012 Amortization Payments Reflects assumption changes Reflects assumption changes and compliance with GASB Statements No. 43 and No. 45 Projected pay 2013 (1) 2014 7.27% 0.81% 2015 Annual Required Contributions (ARC) as Percents of Pay(2) (Cash Funding - Paygo) 12% 11.61% 10.54% Employer Contribution % 10% 8% 7.58% 6.71% 6% 4% 2% 0% 4.03% 3.83% (1) (1) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Valuation Year Normal Cost (1) (2) 13 Reflects assumption changes Projected pay Amortization Payments Disclaimers This presentation is intended to be used in conjunction with the September 30, 2015 retiree health annual actuarial valuation report issued on February 3, 2016. This presentation should not be relied on for any purpose other than the purpose described in the valuation report. Circular 230 Notice: Pursuant to regulations issued by the IRS, to the extent this presentation concerns tax matters, it is not intended or written to be used, and cannot be used, for the purpose of (i) avoiding tax-related penalties under the Internal Revenue Code or (ii) marketing or recommending to another party any tax-related matter addressed within. Each taxpayer should seek advice based on the individual’s circumstances from an independent tax advisor. This presentation shall not be construed to provide tax advice, legal advice or investment advice. The actuaries submitting this presentation (Mita Drazilov and Louise Gates) are Members of the American Academy of Actuaries and meet the Qualification Standards of the American Academy of Actuaries to render the actuarial opinions contained herein. 14