Michigan State Police Retirement System Pension Actuarial Valuation Results
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Michigan State Police Retirement System Pension Actuarial Valuation Results
Michigan State Police Retirement System Pension Actuarial Valuation Results as of September 30, 2011 Copyright © 2012 GRS – All rights reserved. Actuarial Valuation Process Member Data Financial Data Actuarial Valuation Actuarial Assumptions Plan Provisions % Actuarial Cost Method 1 Membership Data 149 Number of Members 5,000 133 142 2,721 2,762 2,857 4,000 3,000 2,000 26 1,000 1,655 0 35 1,556 55 1,451 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Valuation Year Actives 2 Inactives Retirees & Beneficiaries DROP Members Ratio of Active Members to Pension Benefit Recipients 1 .61 0 .51 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Valuation Year 3 .56 Benefits as %'s of Pay Pension Benefits Expressed as %’s of Active Member Pay 89.0% 71.6% 77.8% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Valuation Year 4 Average Annual Pensions 5 Pension Benefit Payments by Fiscal Year (Amounts in Millions) $ 120 Benefit Payments 100 80 60 $88.5 $97.2 $111.8 40 20 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Plan Year Ending September 30th 6 Growth of Pension Assets (Amounts in Millions) 1,600 $1,238 Assets 1,200 $958 $1,202 $999 $1,138 $967 800 400 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2006* 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Valuation Year Market Value * After adjusting to market value. 7 Actuarial Value Actuarial & Market Net Rates of Return 19% Rate of Return 14% 10.75% 9% 4.30% 2.01% 1.90% 4% -1% -6% -7.33% -11% -16% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2006* 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Plan Year Ending September 30th Actuarial * After adjusting to market value. 8 0.79% Market Investment Gain/(Loss) (Amounts in Millions) $ 100 Investment Gain/(Loss) 80 60 40 20 0 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100 -$74.3 -$84.0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2006* 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Plan Year Ending September 30th * After adjusting to market value. 9 -$73.7 Demographic Gain/(Loss) (Amounts in Millions) Demographic Gain/(Loss) $20 $13.7 10 $1.6 0 -10 -20 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Plan Year Ending September 30th 10 $14.2 2008 2009 2010 2011 Gain/(Loss) by Type of Activity (Amounts in Millions) Plan Year Ending 9/30 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 New Entrants (0.89) (0.18) (0.83) (0.16) 0.00 (0.31) Retiree Deaths (5.38) 0.56 (1.68) (3.98) (3.98) 4.00 (84.04) (73.67) (74.30) (38.88) 21.47 (5.38) 11.74 11.17 13.08 3.74 (4.87) 15.19 Withdrawal 0.37 0.90 0.43 2.44 0.41 0.18 Retirements Other (2.64) (1.58) (1.80) 3.55 2.17 0.52 1.15 0.20 (2.12) (2.44) 1.68 (7.92) (82.42) (59.47) (60.61) (35.49) 8.47 7.44 Investments Pay Increases Total 11 2011 Historical Employer Contribution %’s Valuation as of September 30 Employer Contribution % 54% 45.80% 44% 37.10% 32.62% 34% 14.70% 24% 14% 17.92% 19.14% 19.70% 26.99% 17.96%% 18.80% 18.81% 4% -6% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2006* 2007# 2008 2009 2010 2010^ 2011 Valuation Year Normal Cost 12 38.50% * After adjusting to market value. # Revised benefit provisions. ^ Revised actuarial assumptions. Amortization Payment Actuarial Accrued Liability Compared to Actuarial Value of Assets (in millions) Dollar Amount $ 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 $1,534 $1,238 $1,594 $1,202 $1,202 $1,628 $1,138 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2006* 2007# 2008 2009 2010 2010^ 2011 Valuation Year Actuarial Accrued Liability (AAL) 13 $1,565 * After adjusting to market value. # Revised benefit provisions. ^ Revised actuarial assumptions. Actuarial Value of Assets (AVA) Retirement System Funded % Based on Actuarial Value and Market Value of Assets 120% Funded % 100% 81% 80% 63% 60% 77% 64% 75% 63% 70% 59% 40% 20% 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2006*2007# 2008 2009 2010 2010^ 2011 Valuation Year Funded % based on AVA 14 * After adjusting to market value. # Revised benefit provisions. ^ Revised actuarial assumptions. Funded % based on MVA Unfunded as Percentage of Payroll 599% 600% 500% 467% 400% 478% 306% 300% 502% 444% 331% 240% 200% 100% 0% -100% -200% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2006* 2007# 2008 2009 Valuation Year UAAL(AVA) as % of Payroll 15 * After adjusting to market value. # Revised benefit provisions. ^ Revised actuarial assumptions UAAL(MVA) as % of Payroll 2010 2010^ 2011 Comments on the Investment Markets Investment markets have been very volatile. Valuation is based on a 5-year smoothed value of assets. º Reduces the volatility of the valuation results. 9/30/11 smoothed value of assets was higher than market value. º Meeting the actuarial assumption will require average future market returns over 8%. 9/30/11 valuation results based on market value: º Funded percent would be 59.4% (instead of 69.9%). º Employer contribution would be 55.69% (instead of 45.80%). 16 Circular 230 Notice: Pursuant to regulations issued by the IRS, to the extent this presentation concerns tax matters, it is not intended or written to be used, and cannot be used, for the purpose of (i) avoiding tax-related penalties under the Internal Revenue Code or (ii) marketing or recommending to another party any tax-related matter addressed within. Each taxpayer should seek advice based on the individual’s circumstances from an independent tax advisor. This presentation shall not be construed to provide tax advice, legal advice or investment advice. 17