A Need to Transform the U.S. Health Care System: Improving A Chartbook
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A Need to Transform the U.S. Health Care System: Improving A Chartbook
THE COMMONWEALTH FUND A Need to Transform the U.S. Health Care System: Improving Access, Quality, and Efficiency A Chartbook Compiled by Anne Gauthier, Senior Policy Director Michelle Serber, Program Assistant 2 Contents Acknowledgments • 3 Overview • 4 I. Need for Better Access and Coverage • 6 II. Need for Quality Enhancements • 28 III. Need for Greater Efficiency • 57 Conclusion. The Time Is Ripe for Improvement • 80 References • 86 Commonwealth Fund pub. no. 867. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 3 Acknowledgments This chartbook is a compilation of data that represents the work of many individuals at The Commonwealth Fund. We wish to thank those who kindly provided data, information, research, and assistance: Anne-Marie J. Audet, M.D., Vice President, Quality Improvement Sara R. Collins, Ph.D., Senior Program Officer John E. Craig, Jr., Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer Karen Davis, Ph.D., President Michelle M. Doty, Ph.D., Senior Analyst Paul D. Frame, Production Editor Stuart Guterman, Senior Program Director Alice Ho, former Research Associate Christopher Hollander, Associate Communications Director Alyssa L. Holmgren, Research Associate Phuong Trang Huynh, Ph.D., Associate Director Cathy Schoen, Senior Vice President, Research and Evaluation Stephen C. Schoenbaum, M.D., Executive Vice President for Programs Ilana Weinbaum, Program Associate THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 4 Overview The need for fundamental transformation of the U.S. health care system has become increasingly apparent. Research reveals a fragmented system fraught with waste and inefficiency. Among industrialized nations, the United States spends well over twice the per capita average (Reinhardt et al. 2004). High spending, however, has not translated into better health: Americans do not live as long as citizens of several other industrialized countries, and disparities are pervasive, with widespread differences in access to care based on insurance status, income, race, and ethnicity. Particularly problematic is the large number of individuals lacking ready access to health services. Over a third of the population is uninsured, unstably insured, or underinsured (Schoen et al. 2005). With health care costs on the rise, affordability is a key concern for many working families. Gaps in insurance coverage and high out-of-pocket spending hinder patients' access to care and lead to skipped medical tests, treatments, and follow-up appointments. In turn, these access problems produce preventable pain, suffering, and death—as well as more expensive care. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 5 There are also significant issues with the safety and quality of care. As many as 98,000 deaths result annually from medical errors (Kohn et al. 1999), and U.S. adults receive only 55 percent of recommended care (McGlynn et al. 2003). Inefficiencies, such as duplication and use of unnecessary services, are costly and compromise the quality of care. High administrative costs in health insurance and health care delivery are also problems. The following sections further illustrate the need to improve coverage, quality, and efficiency. The charts presented paint a stark picture of a health system in need of reform. Clearly, moving the nation toward a high performance health system will require collaboration. That is why The Commonwealth Fund has formed the Commission on a High Performance Health System: to identify public and private strategies, policies, and practices that would lead to improvements in the delivery and financing of health care for all Americans. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 6 I. Need for Better Access and Coverage Number of uninsured individuals are on the rise. In 2004, 45.8 million individuals in the United States were uninsured (U.S. Census Bureau),* and projections indicate that the number of uninsured individuals may exceed 50 million by the end of the decade (Chart I-1). The following are findings pertaining to the uninsured: – According to health care opinion leaders, the uninsured should be a top priority for Congress (Chart I-2). – Between 2000 and 2004, the number of uninsured individuals increased by 5.8 million. Adults ages 18 to 64 comprised all of the increase (Chart I-3). – Between 1987 and 2003, the working middle class saw the greatest increase in uninsured individuals (Chart I-4). – Among the uninsured, low-income families and adults are disproportionately represented (Chart I-5). – Uninsured rates vary widely by state (Chart I-6). * The CPS asks about insurance coverage in the previous year. An individual is considered "uninsured" if he or she was not covered by any type of health insurance at any time in that year. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 7 Job-based premium increases, gaps in coverage, and underinsurance contribute to access problems. In 2003, 45 million U.S. adults were uninsured at some point during the year (Schoen et al. 2005).** Contributing to problems with access are job-based premium increases overtaking wage increases. The year 2004 saw increases in premiums greatly outpace workers' earnings from the previous year (Chart I-7). The Commonwealth Fund Biennial Health Insurance Survey (2003) highlighted the growing problem of underinsurance:*** – 26 percent of U.S. adults 19 to 64 were either uninsured all year or part of the year (Chart I-8). – Another 9 percent of adults, or 16 million people, were underinsured (Chart I-8). – Added together, 61 million adults—one-third of adults under 65—were either uninsured or underinsured during the year (Chart I-8). ** Schoen et al. used the term uninsured to refer to individuals who had been uninsured for some time during the past year. *** An underinsured person is defined as one who has insurance all year but has inadequate protection, as indicated by one of three conditions: 1) annual out-of-pocket medical expenses amount to 10 percent or more of income; 2) among low-income adults (with income below 200 percent of the federal poverty level), out-of-pocket expenses amount to 5 percent or more of income; or 3) health plan deductibles equal or exceed 5 percent of income. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 8 Gaps in insurance coverage make it difficult for people to afford filling prescriptions; seeing a specialist when warranted; undergoing a medical test, treatment, or follow-up; or seeking advice for a medical problem. Of adults who were uninsured at the time of the survey, 61 percent reported encountering at least one of these access problems. Of those who were currently insured but had been uninsured at some point during the past year, a majority reported access problems. For those who had been insured all year, the percentage was much lower but still large (Chart I-9). The Institute of Medicine estimates that in 1999, being uninsured was the sixthleading cause of death (Chart I-10). Underinsured adults are also at high risk of going without needed care because of cost, as well as at high risk of experiencing financial stress. Rates on both access and financial indicators for the underinsured approach or equal those reported by the uninsured (Chart I-11). Even for adults covered all year by private insurance, barriers to access exist in several forms, including high out-of-pocket costs (Chart I-12). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 9 Disparities persist by income and race. For low-income adults (with income below 200 percent of the poverty level), unstable health coverage is a prevalent concern. Analysis of health insurance coverage and employment patterns over the four years 1996-99 indicates that at some point during this period, 68 percent of low-income adults were uninsured, compared with 26 percent of adults with higher incomes (Chart I-13). In addition to income, access also varies by race and ethnicity. In 2000, 50 percent of Hispanic adults were uninsured for all or part of the year, compared with 35 percent of African Americans and 22 percent of whites (Chart I-14). Inadequate access leads to reduced productivity and output. Individuals with no insurance, only sporadic coverage, or insurance that exposes them to catastrophic out-of-pocket costs are more likely to go without care. Receipt of primary and preventive care is associated with job compensation, and workers in the lowest-compensated positions are less likely to have a regular physician and to receive preventive care screens (Chart I-15). The majority of employers believe that health insurance positively affects employee health and morale. In addition, more than one-third of employers link health benefits to enhanced employee productivity (Chart I-16). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 10 The effects of inadequate access go beyond individual health consequences, as gaps in coverage affect quality of care, health outcomes, and economic productivity. The Institute of Medicine estimated that preventable morbidity and mortality associated with being uninsured translates into a loss of $65 billion to $130 billion annually (Institute of Medicine 2003). Providing all workers with health insurance coverage would facilitate early treatment of acute illnesses and the ongoing management of chronic conditions, increase use of preventive care, and improve worker health and productivity (Davis et al. 2005). The health of workers has economic implications. More generally, substantial costs are incurred when workers are too sick to work or function effectively. According to the 2003 Biennial Health Insurance Survey, the majority of Americans experience reduced productivity, sick days, or health problems (Chart I-17). Affordable and comprehensive health insurance coverage and paid sick leave can improve the health of workers and their family members, which in turn could yield economic payoffs for working families and the economy as a whole (Davis et al. 2005). Since employers, and society as a whole, benefit from workers having insurance, it is important to strengthen employee coverage (Collins et al. 2005). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-1. 46 Million Uninsured in 2004; Projected to Increase Substantially 11 Millions uninsured 56 60 40 33 31 33 35 35 39 40 40 41 44 42 43 40 40 41 44 45 46 20 0 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999* 2002 2005 2008 2011 2013 Projected * 1999–2004 estimates reflect the results of follow-up verification questions and implementation of Census 2000-based population controls. Note: Projected estimates for 2005–2013 are for nonelderly uninsured based on T. Gilmer and R. Kronick, "It's the Premiums, Stupid: Projections of the Uninsured Through 2013," Health Affairs Web Exclusive, April 5, 2005. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, March CPS Surveys 1988 to 2005. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-2. Uninsured Top Priority for Congress According to Health Care Opinion Leaders 12 "Which of the following health care issues should be the top priorities for Congress to address in the next five years?" Expand coverage to the uninsured 87% Improve quality of medical care, inc. increased use of IT 69% Medicare reforms to ensure long-run solvency 50% Enact reforms to moderate rising costs of medical care Medicare payment reform to reward performance on quality and efficiency 48% 38% Control rising cost of prescription drugs 35% 31% Address racial/ethnic disparities in care Malpractice reform 30% 27% Administrative simplification and standardization Medicaid reforms to improve coverage 24% Improve quality of nursing homes and LTC Control Medicaid costs 21% 6% Source: The Commonwealth Fund Health Care Opinion Leaders Survey, November–December 2004. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-3. Number Uninsured Rose 5.8 Million from 2000 to 2004, with Adults Accounting for All of the Increase Under age 18 2004 8.3 2000 8.6 0 Ages 18–64 45.8 million 37.5 40 million 30.9 10 20 13 30 40 50 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Source: U.S. Census, March 2001 and March 2005 Current Population Surveys. Chart I-4. Uninsured Rates Increasing Most Sharply for Working Middle Class 14 Percent of working adults uninsured, by household income quintile 1987-2003 60% 52% 48% 50% 47% 44% 48% Second 39% 40% Lowest quintile 33% 35% 25% Third 21% 20% Fourth 15% 18% 9% 6% 8% 5% 5% 2% 4% 0% 1987 11% 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999* * In 1999, CPS added a follow-up verification question for health coverage. Source: Analysis of the March 1988–2004 Current Population Surveys by Danielle Ferry, Columbia University, for The Commonwealth Fund. 2001 Highest quintile 2003 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-5. Two-Thirds of Nonelderly Uninsured Are Low-Income, 2003 Low-income children 15% 15 Low-income parents 17% Other children 5% Other parents 7% Other adults without children 22% Low-income adults without children 34% Total = 44.7 million Note: Low-income is defined as below 200% of the federal poverty level ($29,360 for a family of three in 2003). Source: Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and Uninsured and Urban Institute analysis of the March 2004 Current Population Survey. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-6. Percent of Nonelderly Uninsured Population Varies Widely by State, 2001–2003 16 WA VT MT ND WI SD NY RI PA IA IL UT CO KS MO CT NJ OH NE CA MA MI WY NV ME MN OR ID NH DE IN MD WV VA DC KY NC TN OK AZ NM AR SC MS TX AL GA LA FL AK HI 18% or more 15%–17.9% 12%–14.9% Less than 12% Source: Health Insurance Coverage in America: 2003 Data Update Highlights, Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and Uninsured/Urban Institute, September 27, 2004. Uninsured rates are two year averages, 2001–2003. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-7. Job-Based Premium Increases Greater than Wage Increases 17 Percent change from previous year 20% Premiums 18% 18% 14% Workers' earnings 14% 16% 13% 12% 14% 11% 12% 8% 9% 10% 11% 8% 5% 6% 4% 2% 1% 2% 0% 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 Source: "Employer Health Benefits 2004 Annual Survey," Kaiser Family Foundation/ Health Research and Educational Trust, September 2004. 2002 2004 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-8. Significant Percentage of Underinsured Adults Indicates Access to Care Not Just Issue for Uninsured 18 Uninsured all year 13% Insured all year, not underinsured 65% Uninsured part year 13% Underinsured 9% Uninsured is defined as uninsured for some time during the past year. Source: C. Schoen et al., "Insured But Not Protected: How Many Adults Are Underinsured?" Health Affairs, June 2005, based on The Commonwealth Fund 2003 Biennial Health Insurance Survey. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-9. Gaps in Insurance Coverage Hinder Access to Care 19 Percent of adults ages 19–64 reporting the following problems because of cost: Insured all year Insured now, time uninsured in past year Uninsured now 75 57 51 50 25 40 37 18 9 18 35 27 40 12 39 61 29 13 0 Did not fill a Did not see Skipped medical Had medical Any of the four prescription specialist when test, treatment, or problem, did not access problems needed follow-up see doctor or clinic Source: S. R. Collins, M. M. Doty, K. Davis et al., The Affordability Crisis in U.S. Health Care: Findings From The Commonwealth Fund Biennial Health Insurance Survey, The Commonwealth Fund, March 2004. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-10. Being Uninsured Is a Leading Cause of Death 20 Deaths of Adults Ages 25–64, 1999 1. Cancer — 156,485 2. Heart disease — 115,827 3. Injuries — 46,045 4. Suicide — 19,549 5. Cerebrovascular disease — 18,369 6. Uninsured — 18,000 7. Diabetes — 16,156 8. Respiratory disease — 15,809 9. Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis — 15,714 10. HIV/AIDS — 14,017 Sources: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, National Center for Health Statistics, Health, United States, 2002, Table 33, p. 132 — deaths for causes other than uninsured; Institute of Medicine, Care Without Coverage, Appendix D, p. 162, deaths attributable to higher risks of uninsured adults 25–54. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-11. Underinsured and Uninsured Adults at High Risk of Access Problems and Financial Stress 21 Percent of adults ages 19–64 75 Insured, not underinsured 54 Underinsured 59 46 44 50 25 Uninsured during year 35 25 11 28 7 0 Went without care Contacted by collection Changed way of life because of costs* agency about medical bills significantly to pay medical bills * Did not fill a prescription; did not see a specialist; skipped recommended care; or did not see doctor when sick because of costs. Source: C. Schoen et al., "Insured But Not Protected: How Many Adults Are Underinsured?" Health Affairs Web Exclusive, June 14, 2005. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-12. Adults with Low and Moderate Incomes Spend Greatest Share of Income on Out-of-Pocket Costs 22 Percent of adults ages 19–64 insured all year with private insurance who spent 5 percent or more of income on out-of-pocket costs 40 29 30 20 23 11 10 10 2 0 Total Less than $20,000– $35,000– $60,000 or $20,000 $34,999 $59,999 more Note: Income groups based on 2002 household income. Source: S. R. Collins, M. M. Doty, K. Davis et al., The Affordability Crisis in U.S. Health Care: Findings From The Commonwealth Fund Biennial Health Insurance Survey, The Commonwealth Fund, March 2004. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-13. Low-Income Adults, Especially Hispanics, Have High Uninsured Rates over Four Years; Disparities Persist Across Income Levels 23 Percent of population 19–64 uninsured, 1996–1999 Any time uninsured 100 Uninsured more than one year 80 75 50 68 66 63 47 42 64 46 41 26 25 31 23 12 10 23 16 0 Total White African Hispanic Total White American Under 200% poverty African Hispanic American 200% or more of poverty Source: M. M. Doty and A. L. Holmgren, Unequal Access: Insurance Instability Among Low-Income Workers and Minorities, The Commonwealth Fund, April 2004. Data: 1996 panel of the Survey of Income and Program Participation. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-14. Percent of Population Uninsured All Year or Part-Year Varies by Race and Ethnicity, 2000 24 Percent of population uninsured all year or part-year, 2000 75 Uninsured part year Uninsured all year 50 50 37 25 23 14 0 20 13 23 20 14 9 7 9 Total White African 28 13 17 15 Hispanic Total American Children ages 0–18 16 35 14 22 34 11 21 11 White African Hispanic American Adults ages 19–64 Source: M. M. Doty. Insurance, Access, and Quality of Care Among Hispanic Populations: 2003 Chartpack, The Commonwealth Fund, October 2003. Data: MEPS 2000. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-15. Preventive and Primary Care Varies by Workers' Job Compensation Levels Lowest compensated 100 74 80 Higher compensated 91 89 90 70 Midcompensated 25 85 84 74 66 64 54 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Regular doctor (ages 19–64) Blood pressure check in Cholesterol check in past past year (ages 19–64) five years (ages 19–64) Note: Lowest compensated are all workers with wage rate <$10/hr; mid-compensated are workers with wage rate $10-$15/hour and those >$15/hour but no employer-sponsored insurance; higher compensated are workers with wage rate >$15/hour and employer-sponsored insurance. Source: The Commonwealth Fund Biennial Health Insurance Survey (2003). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-16. Majority of Employers Believe That Health Benefits Improve Employee Health and Morale 26 Employers who say health benefits contribute a great deal or quite a bit Percent of firms offering coverage 80 67 60 60 39 40 20 0 Improves employee Improves employee Increases employee health morale productivity Source: S. R. Collins et al., Job-Based Health Insurance in the Balance: Employer Views of Coverage in the Workplace, The Commonwealth Fund, March 2004; Commonwealth Fund Supplement to the 2003 National Organization Study. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart I-17. Majority of Americans Experience Health Problems, Sick Loss, or Reduced Productivity (all adults ages 19–64) 27 Working with no sick days or reduced-productivity days Working with 6 or more sick days or reducedproductivity days 27% 18% Working with 1 to 5 sick days or reducedproductivity days 21% Not working for other non-health reasons 21% Not working because of disability or other health reasons 12% Note: Numbers may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Excludes self-employed adults and workers with undesignated wage rate. Sick-loss days are days of work missed because self or family member was sick. Reduced-productivity days are days unable to concentrate fully at work because not feeling well or worried about sick family member. Source: K. Davis et al., Health and Productivity Among U.S. Workers, The Commonwealth Fund, August 2005; The Commonwealth Fund Biennial Health Insurance Survey (2003). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 28 II. Need for Quality Enhancements Quality and cost of health care vary widely across the United States. There are significant variations in the quality and cost of health care, both within the United States and internationally (Davis et al. 2004; Fisher et al. 2003). U.S. adults often do not receive the level of care that is recommended for a particular condition. One study indicates that overall, individuals received only 55 percent of recommended care, a proportion that varies based on the condition, as detailed below (McGlynn et al. 2003). – Individuals being treated for breast cancer went without nearly onefourth of recommended care, while those undergoing treatment for hypertension went without more than one-third of recommended care (Chart II-1). – The figures for individuals being treated for asthma reflect even lower quality, with individuals receiving approximately half of the recommended care (Chart II-1). – For those undergoing treatment for diabetes, pneumonia, or a hip fracture, the percentages of recommended care attained were even lower (Chart II-1). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 29 The provision of appropriate care varies across the United States (Chart II-2). In a study examining the quality of care provided to Medicare beneficiaries, the authors ranked the states on 22 quality indicators. Substantial discrepancies exist among states ranked in the first quartile and those ranked in the fourth quartile, with northern states and less-populous states performing better (Jencks, Huff, and Cuerdon 2003). Preventive care is often overlooked. The 2004 Commonwealth Fund International Health Policy Survey indicates that 49 percent of respondents in the United States do not receive reminders for preventive care (Chart II-3). The proportions of young children and their families who receive preventive and developmental services are relatively low: only 30 to 40 percent of parents of young children reported receiving services such as anticipatory guidance, parental education, psychosocial assessment, or screening for tobacco and substance use (Chart II-4). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 30 Medication errors and medical mistakes compromise quality of care. Medication errors and medical mistakes also compromise quality of care. A 2002 Commonwealth Fund survey indicates that nearly one-fifth of sicker adults in the United States reported a serious medical mistake or medication error in the past two years (Chart II-5). A 2004 Fund survey found that 15 percent of contacted individuals had received incorrect test results or had experienced delays in receiving notification about abnormal results (Chart II-6). The United States compares unfavorably with other industrialized countries. Communication affects quality of care. Communication plays a critical role in quality of care. The 2004 Commonwealth Fund International Health Survey reveals missed opportunities by physicians to communicate effectively, involve patients in treatment decisions, and recognize patients' concerns or preferences (Schoen et al. 2004). In the United States, more than 50 percent of individuals did not feel that their doctor always spends adequate time with them. Approximately 40 percent of U.S. respondents indicated that their doctor does not always listen carefully and does not always explain things clearly (Chart II-7). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 31 The 2002 International Health Policy Survey examined the views of sicker adults and found that nearly one-third of those surveyed in the United States had in the past two years left a doctor's office without getting an important question answered. An even larger percentage of U.S respondents reported not adhering to a doctor's advice (Chart II-8). Research indicates that minorities face greater difficulty in communicating with physicians (Chart II-9). Studies point to a link between patient-physician communication and a patient's acceptance of advice, adherence to treatment regimens, and satisfaction. Moreover, the quality of communication may also affect outcomes of care (Stewart 1995; Stewart et al. 2000). In an examination of interpersonal quality of care, middle-age adults gave lower rankings than seniors on the following measures: health providers listened carefully, health providers showed respect, and health providers spent enough time. When asked if the health provider always explained things clearly, only about 60 percent of seniors and middle-aged adults answered affirmatively (Chart II-10*). * To access Leatherman and McCarthy's Chartbook on the Quality of Care for Medicare Beneficiaries, please visit http://www.cmwf.org/usr_doc/MedicareChartbk.pdf. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 32 Expanding the use of information technology could facilitate communication and benefit both patients and physicians. The health care sector, however, has been slow to implement information technology, with the percentages of physician groups using electronic medical records remaining low (Chart II-11). Physicians not as readily accessible as patients would hope. In the 2004 Commonwealth Fund International Health Policy Survey, only a third of U.S. adults reported they were able to schedule a same-day appointment when sick or in need of medical attention (Chart II-12). Use of the emergency department (ED) as a substitute for regular physician care is a problem: 16 percent of U.S. respondents reported visiting the ED for a nonemergent condition (Chart II-12). Overall ED use in the United States was significant, with approximately one-third of respondents indicating they had used it in the past two years (Chart II-13). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 33 Having a regular physician is important for quality. When a patient builds a relationship with a physician, the result is enhanced care, increased trust, and patient adherence to treatment regimens (Parchman, M. and S. Burge 2004; Hall et al. 2001). Yet, only 37 percent of individuals in the United States surveyed in a 2004 Commonwealth Fund survey had a physician whom they had seen for more than five years (Chart II-14). Debates continue regarding disclosure of quality information. Around the world, there is debate about whether and how to disclose quality-of-care information to the public. The percentage of U.S. hospital CEOs who do not wish to disseminate certain information to the public varies according to the type of information under consideration (Chart II-15). Among consumers, it is apparent that more information is desired. The majority of Americans would like information pertaining to their health and the care they receive (Chart II-16). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 34 Life expectancy and survival rates for certain medical conditions indicate need for improvement. The United States spends more on health care than most countries, but its results lag behind. – Five-year survival rates for kidney transplant and colorectal cancer in the United States are relatively low (Charts II-17 and II-18). – The five-year survival rate for patients diagnosed with cancer varies based on race and ethnicity. Even greater variations exist based on socioeconomic status (Charts II-19 and II-20). – The United States ranks below a number of other industrialized nations for life expectancy at birth and at age 65 (Charts II-21 and II-22). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart II-1. U.S. Adults Receive Half of Recommended Care, and Quality Varies Significantly by Medical Condition 35 Percent of recommended care received 76 80 60 65 55 54 45 40 39 23 20 0 Overall Breast Hypertension Asthma Diabetes Pneumonia Hip fracture cancer Source: E. McGlynn et al., "The Quality of Health Care Delivered to Adults in the United States," The New England Journal of Medicine (June 26, 2003): 2635–2645. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart II-2. Provision of Appropriate Care Varies by State 36 Performance on Medicare Quality Indicators, 2000–2001 WA VT MT ND WI SD NY RI PA IA OH NE IL UT CA CO MA MI WY NV ME MN OR ID NH KS MO CT NJ DE IN MD WV VA DC KY NC TN OK AZ NM AR SC MS TX AK AL GA LA Quartile Rank FL HI First Second Third Fourth Note: State ranking based on 22 Medicare performance measures. Source: S. F. Jencks, E. D. Huff, and T. Cuerdon, "Change in the Quality of Care Delivered to Medicare Beneficiaries, 1998–1999 to 2000–2001," Journal of the American Medical Association 289 (Jan. 15, 2003): 305–312. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart II-3. U.S. Performs Relatively Well But Emphasis on Prevention is Still Lacking 37 Percent who DID NOT receive reminders for preventive care 75 62 61 55 50 50 49 United United States 25 0 Australia Canada New Zealand Kingdom THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Source: 2004 Commonwealth Fund International Health Policy Survey. Chart II-4. Gaps Exist in Provision of Preventive and Developmental Services 38 Percent 100 69 80 60 50 71 60 48 40 20 0 Parental anticipatory guidance Parental Parental screen Family-centered Follow-up for assessment for for tobacco and care children at risk psychosocial substance issues abuse Source: C. Bethell et al., Analysis of FAACT Surveys PHDS-Plus of Parents of Medicaid Children in Seven States. Unpublished data 2004. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart II-5. Medication or Medical Mistake Caused Serious Health Consequences in Past Two Years 39 Percent of sicker adults reporting a serious error in past two years 30 20 13 15 18 14 9 10 0 Australia Canada New Zealand United United States Kingdom THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Source: The Commonwealth Fund 2002 International Health Policy Survey of Sicker Adults. Chart II-6. Incorrect Test Results and Delays in Notification of Abnormal Results Raise Safety Concerns 40 Percent of adults with test in past two years 30 20 10 9 12 15 14 8 0 Australia Canada New Zealand United United States Kingdom THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Source: 2004 Commonwealth Fund International Health Policy Survey. Chart II-7. Opportunities Exist for Enhanced Doctor–Patient Communication and Interactions Percent saying doctor: 41 AUS CAN NZ UK US Always listens carefully 71 66 74 68 58 Always explains things so you can understand 73 70 73 69 58 Always spends enough time with you 63 55 66 58 44 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Source: 2004 Commonwealth Fund International Health Policy Survey. Chart II-8. Significant Share of Adults Report Nonadherence, Questions Left Unanswered 42 Views of Sicker Adults* In the past two years: AUS CAN NZ UK US Left a doctor's office without getting important questions answered 21 25 20 19 31 Did not follow a doctor's advice 31 31 27 21 39 * Sicker adults are individuals who met at least one of four criteria: reported their health as fair or poor; or in the past two years had a serious illness that required intensive medical care, major surgery, or hospitalization for something other than a normal birth. Source: 2002 Commonwealth Fund International Health Policy Survey. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart II-9. Minorities Face Greater Difficulty in Communicating with Physicians 43 Percent of adults with one or more communication problems* 40% 20% 33% 19% 27% 23% 16% 0% Total White African American Hispanic Asian American Base: Adults with health care visit in past two years. * Problems include understanding doctor, feeling doctor listened, had questions but did not ask. Source: Commonwealth Fund 2001 Health Care Quality Survey. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart II-10. Interpersonal Quality of Care Lacking for a Number of Patients 44 Percent of community-dwelling adults in 2001 who visited doctor’s office in past year Ages 45–64 100 80 60 56 65 59 59 Age 65+ 59 66 46 54 40 20 0 Health providers Health providers Health providers Health providers always listened always explained always showed always spent carefully things clearly respect enough time Source: S. Leatherman and D. McCarthy, Quality of Health Care for Medicare Beneficiaries: A Chartbook, 2005, The Commonwealth Fund. www.cmwf.org; Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (AHRQ 2005). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart II-11. Physician Use of Electronic Technology Could Be Expanded Percent indicating "routine/occasional" use 79% All Physicians 1 Physician 87% 85% 84% 77% 45 2–9 Physicians 10–49 Physicians 68% 66% 50+ Physicians 61% 59% 57% 46% 37% 36% 27% 35% 27% 25% 13% 14% Electronic billing* Access to test results* Ordering of tests* 23% Electronic medical records* * p < .01, Cuzick's test for trend Base: All respondents (N=1837) Source: Commonwealth Fund 2003 National Survey of Physicians and Quality of Care. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart II-12. Substituting Emergency Department (ED) for Regular Care More Likely in U.S. and Canada 46 Percent of adults who were sick or needed medical attention 75 60 54 50 41 33 27 18 25 9 16 7 6 NZ UK 0 AUS CAN NZ UK US Same-day appointment available AUS CAN US Went to ED for condition that could have been treated by regular physician if available THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Source: 2004 Commonwealth Fund International Health Policy Survey. Chart II-13. Emergency Department Use Rates Higher in the U.S. and Canada 47 Percent with any visits 50 38 29 29 27 34 25 0 Australia Canada New Zealand United Kingdom United States THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Source: 2004 Commonwealth Fund International Health Policy Survey. Chart II-14. Continuity of Care with Same Physician Lacking Percent: 48 AUS CAN NZ UK US 94 95 97 99 91 2 years or less 22 20 21 18 29 3 to 5 years 22 21 20 17 25 More than 5 years 50 53 56 63 37 5 5 3 1 9 Has regular doctor/place No regular doctor/place THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Source: 2004 Commonwealth Fund International Health Policy Survey. Chart II-15. Type of Information Influences Hospital CEOs’ Opinions Regarding Public Dissemination 49 Percent saying should NOT be released to the public: AUS CAN NZ UK US Mortality rates for specific conditions 34% 26% 18% 16% 31% Frequency of specific procedures 16 5 4 13 15 Medical error rate 31 18 25 15 40 Patient satisfaction ratings 5 2 0 1 17 Average waiting times for elective procedures 6 1 0 1 29 25 10 25 9 29 Nosocomial infection rates THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Source: 2003 Commonwealth Fund International Health Policy Survey of Hospital Executives. Chart II-16. Majority of Americans Want Information About Their Health and the Care They Receive 50 Percent lacking access to own medical records but would like access 100 Percent with access to own medical records 80 82 80 75 40 50 25 48 40 34 Australia Canada 88 70 35 37 42 45 51 28 0 New United United Zealand Kingdom States Source: 2004 Commonwealth Fund International Health Policy Survey. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart II-17. U.S. Performs Poorly on Kidney Transplant Five-Year Relative Survival Rate 51 Standardized performance on quality indicator 100 = Worst result; Higher score = Better results 120 100 104 104 106 United United New Australia States Kingdom Zealand 100 113 80 60 40 20 0 Source: P. S. Hussey, G. F. Anderson, R. Osborn et al., "How Does the Quality of Care Compare in Five Countries?" Health Affairs 23 (May/June 2004): 89–99. Canada THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart II-18. U.S. Lags on Colorectal Cancer Five-Year Relative Survival Rate 52 Standardized performance on quality indicator 100 = Worst result; Higher score = Better results 140 120 100 100 108 113 116 Canada Australia 123 80 60 40 20 0 United United Kingdom States Source: P. S. Hussey, G. F. Anderson, R. Osborn et al., "How Does the Quality of Care Compare in Five Countries?" Health Affairs 23 (May/June 2004): 89–99. New Zealand THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart II-19. Five-Year Survival Rates for Cancer Patients Vary by Race/Ethnicity and Census Poverty Tract 53 Percent of male patients diagnosed with cancer, 1988–1994 Low poverty, <10% 80 62 61 49 52 High poverty, 20%+ 60 58 54 46 40 0 All races White Black Source: G. Singh et al., "Area Socioeconomic Variations in U.S. Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Stage, Treatment and Survival, 1975–1999," NCI, 2003. Figures 6.3 and 6.4. Hispanic THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart II-20. Five-Year Survival Rates for Cancer Patients Vary by Race/Ethnicity and Census Poverty Tract 54 Percent of female patients diagnosed with cancer, 1988–1994 Low poverty, <10% 80 63 63 53 55 High poverty, 20%+ 65 59 60 48 40 0 All races White Black Source: G. Singh et al., "Area Socioeconomic Variations in U.S. Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Stage, Treatment and Survival, 1975–1999," NCI, 2003. Figures 6.3 and 6.4. Hispanic THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 55 Chart II-21. Life Expectancy at Birth Lower in the United States Female 90 80 Male 85.3 82.9 82.8 82.1 81.3 78.4 77.8 75.8 77.2 75.5 81 75.5 81.1 80.7 79.9 76.2 76.3 74.5 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 d te ni U d te ni U S 00 (2 2) ) 02 ) 3 00 (2 0 (2 2 00 (2 ) om s te ta gd in K n ia 3 00 (2 3) ) 02 nd la ea y 0 (2 ed M Z D C ew N E O an m er G a ad ) 03 ) 00 (2 0 (2 3 00 (2 ia al tr an C us A n ce an Fr pa Ja ) THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Source: OECD Health Data, 2005. 56 Chart II-22. United States Performs Poorly on Life Expectancy at Age 65 Female 25 21.3 16.9 20.6 17.6 17.2 an C 18 21 us A 20 23 Male 19.6 20 16.7 19.6 19.5 16 16.1 19.1 16.6 16.1 15 10 5 0 d te ni U d te ni U 2) 2 00 (2 00 (2 om s te ta ) ) ) 02 2 00 (2 1 00 (2 n ia 0 (2 3) ) 02 gd in K S y ed M 0 (2 nd la ea an D C Z m er G E O ew N a ad ) 01 ) 00 (2 0 (2 3 00 (2 ia al tr n ce an Fr pa Ja ) THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Source: OECD Health Data, 2005. III. Need for Greater Efficiency 57 After a period of relatively stable growth in the 1990s, health care spending has exploded in recent years. Health care costs are concentrated among the sickest and most vulnerable Americans and are borne by those with private as well as public coverage. – In 2002, U.S. health expenditures totaled 14.6 percent of gross domestic product, substantially higher than other developed nations. This percentage is projected to rise in the next decade (Charts III-1 and III-2). – Ten percent of patients account for 69 percent of health expenditures (Chart III-3). – Closer examination of the continued acceleration of health care spending indicates that private insurance premiums have historically outpaced Medicare spending per beneficiary (Chart III-4). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 58 The United States far outpaces other countries in health care spending per capita (Chart III-5). Per capita out-of-pocket health spending in 2002 was more than double the OECD median (Chart III-6). Yet, the United States does not consistently use more services. In international comparisons of hospital discharges and average annual physician visits per capita, the United States sits on the lower end of the spectrum (Charts III-7 and III-8). Still, U.S. hospital expenditures exceed those in France, Canada, and Australia (Chart III-9), and use of expensive specialty services is much higher (Chart III-10). Administrative costs are rising rapidly. Health care coordination and administration are two areas that may greatly benefit from initiatives to raise efficiency. Growth in administrative costs has exceeded growth in national health expenditures (Chart III-11). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 59 Enhancements in care coordination could foster cost savings. A study examining elderly adults hospitalized for heart failure determined that transitional care provided by an advanced practice nurse reduced rehospitalization rates and lowered overall health care costs. Through discharge planning and home follow-up visits, the advanced practice nurse provided needs assessment, care planning, patient education, and therapeutic support. The average cost of care for the intervention group was 39 percent lower than for the group receiving usual care (Chart III-12). Lack of care coordination can lead to the unavailability of test results or records at the time of the patient's appointment; duplication of testing; or provision of conflicting information by the patient's various physicians. The 2004 Commonwealth Fund International Health Policy Survey found that 31 percent of those surveyed in the United States had experienced at least one of the aforementioned issues (Chart III-13). Individuals lacking insurance are more likely to experience a care coordination problem (Chart III-14). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 60 Substantial variations indicate a need for standardization of practices based on individual patient characteristics and conditions, not on geographic location. Standardization of practices can create more effective care while decreasing costs. Currently, there are substantial variations within the health care system, including quantity of services and prices. – Across large Pennsylvania hospitals, charges for medical management of acute myocardial infarction vary eightfold (Chart III-15). – Medicare spending varies across the states; higher Medicare spending per beneficiary does not necessarily correlate with higher-quality care (Chart III-16). – Quality and cost vary greatly across hospitals (Chart III-17). – Drug prices are between 34 to 59 percent lower in Canada, France, and the United Kingdom than in the United States (Chart III-18). – Doctors who practice more evidence-based medicine can be the ones whose costs per case are lowest, but they can also be the highest (Chart III-19). Strategies are needed to foster high-quality, highefficiency practices. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-1. U.S. Spends Greater Percentage of GDP on Health Care Than Other Nations 61 Percent of gross domestic product (GDP) spent on health care, 2002 16.0 14.6 14.0 10.9 12.0 10.0 9.7 9.6 9.1 8.5 8.5 Australia OECD (2001) Median 7.8 7.7 New Japan United Zealand (2001) Kingdom 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 United States Germany France Canada Source: G. F. Anderson and P. S. Hussey, Multinational Comparisons of Health Systems Data 2004, The Commonwealth Fund, October 2004. OECD data. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-2. U.S. Health Expenditures as Share of GDP Expected to Rise Through Next Decade 62 Expenditures as percent of gross domestic product (GDP) 20 18 19 15 11 11 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 13 14 16 16 15 15 10 5 0 8 8 19 0 9 19 2 9 19 4 9 19 6 9 19 8 9 19 0 0 20 2 0 20 4 0 20 6 0 20 8 0 20 0 1 20 2 1 20 4 1 20 Projected Source: Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, 1998–2003 from CMS Health Accounts data file nhegdp03.zip available at http://www.cms.hhs.gov/statistics/nhe/default.asp; 2004–2014 published in Heffler et al., "U.S. Health Spending Projections for 2004–2014," Health Affairs Web Exclusive (February 23, 2005): W5-74–W5-85. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-3. Health Care Costs Concentrated in Sick Few 63 Distribution of health expenditures for the U.S. population, by magnitude of expenditure, 1997 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Expenditure Threshold (1997 Dollars) 1% 5% 10% 50% U.S. population 27% $27,914 55% $7,995 69% $4,115 97% $351 Health expenditures Source: A. C. Monheit, "Persistence in Health Expenditures in the Short Run: Prevalence and Consequences," Medical Care 41, supplement 7 (2003): III53–III64. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-4. Private Insurance Premiums Have Historically Outpaced Medicare Spending per Beneficiary 64 Percent annual growth in per-enrollee spending Medicare 12 10 9.0 10.1 Private health insurance 10.7 9.6 8 FEHBP* 8.8 5.9 6 4 2 0 1969–2003 1999–2003 * FEHBP estimates are for 1969–2002 and 1999–2002 from Levit et al., “Health Spending Rebound Continues in 2002,” Health Affairs 23 (Jan/Feb 2004). Source: Analysis by Office of the Actuary, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, January 2005. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-5. Health Care Spending Per Capita in 2002 Illustrates Higher U.S. Spending 65 Adjusted for differences in cost of living $6,000 5,267 $5,000 $4,000 $3,446 $2,931 $3,000 $2,817 $2,736 $2,643$2,517 $2,000 $2,504 $2,193 $2,160 $2,077 $1,857 $1,000 $553 $0 e M x w o la ) d 1 m 1) do n 00 g an di 0 s 0 (2 s d te d in a K (2 e Z n ic a ed it e ap n a li n e M ra st e D C E N J U O u A ed y an rl e e c th n n ta an rl S a a ad rm w S e e n ze it ed it ra N F G a C n w S U Source: G. F. Anderson et al., "Health Spending in the United States and the Rest of the Industrialized World," Health Affairs 24 (July/August 2005): 903. OECD Health Data. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-6. Out-of-Pocket Health Care Spending Per Capita in 2002 Highest in United States 66 Adjusted for differences in cost of living $800 $737 $700 $600 $483 $500 $445 $400 $347 $342 $298 $300 $292 $288 $268 $266 $200 $100 $0 N s 1) 1) ) d 00 (2 y n la d an rl ce he et an Fr an a Ze 1 00 (2 es 00 (2 t ta n ia ed M o ic ew m er ex M G N n D EC a ad pa Ja O an C S ia al tr d te ni us A U Source: OECD Health Data. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-7. United States on Lower End of Spectrum for Hospital Discharges per 1,000 Population in 2002 67 300 252 250 247 206 201 200 159 156 150 112 100 98 91 50 0 France United New Germany OECD (2001) Kingdom Zealand (2001) Median Australia Source: OECD Health Data, 2004, from G. F. Anderson et al., "Multinational Comparisons of Health Systems Data, 2004" (forthcoming). Japan United Canada States (2001) THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-8. United States on Lower End of Spectrum for Average Annual Number of Physician Visits Per Capita 16.0 68 14.5 14.0 12.0 10.0 7.3 8.0 6.9 6.2 6.2 6.0 6.2 4.9 4.4 3.6 4.0 2.9 2.5 2.0 ) xi co (2 00 2 1) (2 00 M e S w e de n (2 0 S ta te s (2 nd ni te d la U Z ea 01 ) ) 00 1 00 ) (2 0 ew ni te d U Source: OECD Health Data. N K in gd D om M e di an 1) E C O an C us tr al ia ad a (2 (2 00 00 2 ) 01 ) (2 0 A Fr an ce ny a er m G Ja pa n (2 00 (2 00 0 ) 1) 0.0 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-9. Per-Day Hospital Expenditures High in the United States 69 Adjusted for differences in cost of living $3,000 $2,500 $2,434 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $902 $870 $848 France (2001) Canada (2001) Australia (2001) $500 $0 United States (2002) THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Source: OECD Health Data. Chart III-10. United States Uses More Expensive Specialty Services 70 Percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) interventions per 100,000 population in 2002 500 416 400 300 158 200 157 130 100 94 86 73 OECD New United Median Zealand Kingdom 0 United Canada France States (2001) (2001) Australia Source: OECD Health Data 2004, from G. F. Anderson et al., "Multinational Comparisons of Health Systems Data, 2004" (forthcoming). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-11. Administrative Cost Growth Outpaces Total Medical Expenditure Growth Annual growth 1997–2000 Percent Annual growth 2000–2001 20 Annual growth 2001–2002 16.3 Annual growth 2002–2003 15 10 71 12.5 8.5 6.2 9.3 7.7 13.2 9.7 5 0 National health expenditure Administrative costs of private and public insurance * Administrative costs totaled $119.7 billion in 2003, nearly double that of 1997. Source: Smith et al., "Health Spending Growth Slows in 2003," Health Affairs 24 (Jan/Feb 2005). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-12. Transitional Care Reduces Rehospitalization for Heart Failure Patients 72 Resource use among congestive heart failure patients ages 65+ treated at six Philadelphia hospitals during 1997–2001 who were randomly assigned to receive a three-month transitional care intervention or usual care Usual care group 100 200 $16,000 162 80 $12,481 150 61 60 Intervention group 48 $12,000 104 100 $8,000 50 $4,000 0 $0 40 20 0 Percentage of patients who were rehospitalized or died Number of hospital readmissions $7,636 Average cost of care Source: Medical records and patient interviews (N=239) (Naylor et al. 2004), S. Leatherman and D. McCarthy, Quality of Health Care for Medicare Beneficiaries: A Chartbook, 2005, The Commonwealth Fund. www.cmwf.org/usr_doc/MedicareChartbk.pdf. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-13. Care Coordination Concerns Abound 73 Base: Have seen a doctor in past two years Percent saying in the past two years: AUS CAN NZ UK US Test results or records not available at time of appointment 12 14 13 13 17 Duplicate tests: doctor ordered test that had already been done 7 6 7 4 14 Received conflicting information from different doctors 18 14 14 14 18 Percent who experienced at least one of the above 28 26 25 24 31 THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Source: 2004 Commonwealth Fund International Health Policy Survey. Chart III-14. Uninsured in U.S. at Highest Risk for Care Coordination Problem 74 Percent ages 19–64 reporting any of three coordination problems* 60 44 40 30 33 26 26 26 Canada New Zealand United Kingdom 28 20 0 Australia Total Insured all year Uninsured anytime United States *Coordination problems include duplication of tests, conflicting views, and medical record not available at time of appointment. Source: 2004 Commonwealth Fund International Health Policy Survey. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 75 Chart III-15. Charges for Medical Management of Acute Myocardial Infarction Vary Eightfold Across Large Pennsylvania Hospitals $100,000 88,457 $80,000 $60,000 Lowest mortality hospital $21,846* $40,000 14,020 14,871 $20,000 10,592 18,596 19,294 24,012 64,627 43,636 29,672 $0 * This hospital demonstrated significantly lower than expected in-hospital mortality rates. Note: Hospital charge equals patient total charge excluding professional fees; all hospitals shown provided advanced cardiac services (angioplasty/stent procedures), had >100 cases, and <5% of cases transferred to another acute care facility. Source: Pennsylvania Health Care Cost Containment Council, Hospital Performance Results, Hospital discharges between January 1, 2003 and December 31, 2003, www.phc4.org. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-16. Quality and Medicare Spending Vary Across States, 2000–2001 76 Quality Expressed by Percent of Beneficiaries with Atrial Fibrillation Sources: K. Baicker and A. Chandra, "Medicare Spending, The Physician Workforce, and Beneficiaries' Quality of Care," Health Affairs Web Exclusive (April 7, 2004). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-17. Cost and Quality Vary Widely Across U.S. Hospitals 77 Coronary Artery Bypass Graft: Observed/Expected Cost vs. Observed/Expected Quality Outcomes by Hospital 2.0 Cost per Case - Observed/Expected High Cost 1.5 1.0 0.5 Low Cost Low Quality High Quality 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 Poor Outcomes - Observed/Expected Source: S. Grossbart, "The Business Case for Safety and Quality: What Can Our Databases Tell Us," 5th Annual NPSF Patient Safety Congress, March 15, 2003. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-18. Pharmaceutical Prices in U.S. Exceed Those in Other Countries 78 Relative Prices of Thirty Pharmaceuticals in Four Countries, 2003 Price index 120 20% U.S. discount No U.S. discount 100 100 100 80 66 60 48 60 41 52 53 40 20 0 United States Canada France Note: Analysis of IMS health data. Source: G. F. Anderson, D. Shea, P. S. Hussey et al., "Doughnut Holes and Price Controls," Health Affairs Web Exclusive (July 21, 2004). United Kingdom THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart III-19. High Longitudinal Efficiency and Quality Are Compatible 79 (Applies to selections of providers and treatment options) MD Quality Index (outcomes or % adherence to EBM) Lower Higher 50th %ile High Quality Low TCO (Dream Suppliers) High Quality High TCO 50th %ile Low Quality High TCO (Nightmare Suppliers) Low Quality Low TCO Higher Lower MD Longitudinal Efficiency Index (total cost per case mix-adjusted treatment episode) TCO is total cost of ownership. It refers to the average stream of total health care spending over the course of a longitudinal episode of care, adjusted for case mix/severity of illness incurred for a particular provider's patients. Source: A. Milstein, "Restorers, Skin-grafters & Calibrators: A Five-Year Forecast for Large Employer Cost Sharing," data from Regence Blue Shield; Health System Change Patient Cost Sharing Conference, 12/3/2003. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Conclusion. The Time Is Ripe for Improvement 80 Although there are numerous challenges facing the U.S. health care system, transformation is possible. In the minds of health care opinion leaders,* enhanced performance is not unrealistic, and viable policies for improving access, quality, and efficiency are attainable. Currently, 18 percent of the under-65 population is without health insurance. According to a Commonwealth Fund Health Care Opinion Leaders survey released in March 2005, the proportion of uninsured can and should be reduced by more than half in 10 years (Chart IV-1). Respondents to the survey believe that health expenditures will need to increase somewhat as a percentage of GDP (Chart IV-1). But they also believe that there are effective ways to cut health care costs. According to a survey released in May 2005, these leaders consider pay-for-performance to be the most effective means to reduce health care costs. * Health care opinion leaders answering the Fund's survey include widely recognized U.S. experts in health care policy, finance, and delivery with a variety of perspectives and expertise. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 81 In addition, a majority of respondents believe enhanced disease management and primary care case management would effectively reduce unnecessary utilization of health care services. Respondents were also enthusiastic about use of evidence-based guidelines, and nearly half rated expanding the use of information technology as an extremely or very effective means of controlling use of unnecessary services (Chart IV-2). Promising strategies for improving affordability and achieving savings also include the following: – Management of high-cost care – Selection of medical home and improved access to primary care and preventive services – Better information on provider quality and total costs of care – Development of networks of high-performing providers under Medicare, Medicaid, and private insurance – Limits on family premium and out-of-pocket costs as a percent of income (e.g., 5 percent of income for low-income individuals) – Expanded group coverage and reinsurance THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 82 Medicare, which comprised one-fifth of all personal health care spending in 2003 (MedPAC 2004), is a major payer and therefore an important driver of change. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) conducts and sponsors demonstration projects in order to evaluate the effect of new interventions and to inform policy decisions. Large majorities of respondents who participated in an online survey of U.S. health care experts favor leveraging Medicare to speed the adoption of electronic medical records and health information technology (Chart IV-3). Innovations in the private sector are also important for promoting high-quality, high-efficiency, and cost-effective care. The Commission on a High Performance Health System will seek opportunities to change the delivery and financing of health care to improve system performance and will identify public and private policies and practices that would lead to those improvements. It will explore mechanisms for financing improved health insurance coverage and investments in the nation's capacity for quality improvement, including reinvesting savings from efficiency gains. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart IV-1. Transformation Is Possible 83 "What you would see as both an achievable and a desirable target or goal for policy action for the next 10 years?" 80% Current Goal 63% 65% 60% Asked as a current target, not a ten-year goal 40% 20% 18% 15% 16% 9% 8% 0% Proportion of under-65 Total cost of health care population that has no as a percentage of GDP health insurance Percent of under-65 population with employer-provided insurance Note: Goal percentages represent median responses. Source: Commonwealth Fund Health Care Opinion Leaders Survey, February 2005. Maximum % of income a consumer should spend for out-of-pocket expenses and premiums THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart IV-2. Health Care Leaders: Pay-for-Performance Is Most Effective Way to Reduce Health Care Costs 84 "How effective do you think each of these possible actions would be to reduce health care costs?" (Percent saying extremely or very effective) Reward more efficient and high-quality medical-care providers 57% Improve disease management and primary care case management 56% Use evidence-based guidelines to determine when a test or procedure should be done 52% Expand the use of information technology 46% Have all payers, including private insurers, Medicare, and Medicaid, adopt common payment methods and rates Have patients pay a substantially higher share of their health care costs Source: Commonwealth Fund Health Care Opinion Leaders Survey, April 2005. 44% 31% THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Chart IV-3. Health Policy Experts Suggest Various Changes to Medicare 85 "Do you favor or oppose changing Medicare in the following ways?" (Percent who favor…) Using Medicare leverage to accelerate adoption of electronic medical records and health information technology 89% Using Medicare’s leverage to reward providers for performance on quality and efficiency 87% Allowing those under age 65 to contribute to a Medicare savings account 67% Raising taxes to ensure Medicare’s long-term solvency 67% Having Medicare offer its own comprehensive benefit package as an alternative to Medigap or Medicare Advantage 67% Eliminating the two-year waiting period for coverage of the disabled 67% Source: Commonwealth Fund Health Care Opinion Leaders Survey, July 2005. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 86 References Baile, W. and J. Aaron. “Patient–Physician Communication in Oncology: Past, Present, and Future.” Current Opinion in Oncology. 17(4). (July 2005): 331. Collins, S. et al. “Opinion: Proposals for Health Policy.” Inquiry. 42. (Spring 2005): 6. Cutler, D. and M. McClellan. “Is Technological Change in Medicine Worth It?” Health Affairs. 20(5). (Sept/Oct 2001): 11. Davis, K. et al. Health and Productivity Among U.S. Workers. (New York, The Commonwealth Fund, August 2005). Davis, K. et al. Mirror, Mirror on the Wall: Looking at the Quality of American Health Care Through the Patient’s Lens. (New York, The Commonwealth Fund, Jan. 2004). Fisher, E. et al. “The Implications of Regional Variations in Medicare Spending: Part I. The Context, Quality, and Accessibility of Care.” Annals of Internal Medicine. 138. (Feb 18, 2003): 273. Gilmer, T. and R. Kronick. “It's the Premiums, Stupid: Projections of the Uninsured Through 2013.” Health Affairs Web Exclusive. April 5, 2005. Glied, S. and S. Little. “The Uninsured and the Benefits of Medical Progress.” Health Affairs. 22(4). (July/Aug 2003): 210. Hall, M. et al. “Trust in Physicians and Medical Institutions: What Is It, Can It Be Measured, and Does It Matter?” The Milbank Quarterly. 79(4). (2001): 613. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 87 References (cont.) Institute of Medicine. Hidden Costs, Value Lost: Uninsurance in America. (Washington, DC: National Academies Press, 2003). Jencks, S., Huff, E. and T. Cuerdon. "Change in the Quality of Care Delivered to Medicare Beneficiaries, 1998–1999 to 2000–2001. JAMA. 289(3). (January 15, 2005): 305. Kohn, L., Corrigan, J. and M. Donaldson (eds). To Err Is Human: Building a Safer Health System. Washington, DC: National Academy Press; 1999. Leatherman, S. and D. McCarthy. Quality of Health Care for Medicare Beneficiaries: A Chartbook, 2005. The Commonwealth Fund. MedPAC. June 2004. "National Health Care and Medicare Spending." In A Data Book: Health Care Spending and the Medicare Program. Washington, DC: MedPAC. www.medpac.gov. McGlynn et al. "The Quality of Health Care Delivered to Adults in the United States." The New England Journal of Medicine. (June 26, 2003): 2635. Parchman, M. and S. Burge. "The Patient-Physician Relationship, Primary Care Attributes, and Preventive Services." Family Medicine. 36(1). (January 2004): 22. Reinhardt, U., Hussey, P. and G. Anderson. "U.S. Health Care Spending in an International Context." Health Affairs. 23(3). (May/June 2004): 10. THE COMMONWEALTH FUND 88 References (cont.) Schoen, C. et al. "Insured But Not Protected: How Many Adults Are Underinsured?" Health Affairs Web Exclusive. June 14, 2005. Schoen, C. et al. "Primary Care and Health System Performance: Adults' Experiences in Five Countries." Health Affairs Web Exclusive. October 28, 2004. Stewart, M. et al. "The Influence of Older Patient-Physician Communication on Health and Health-Related Outcomes. Clinical Geriatric Medicine. 16(1). (2000): 25. Stewart, M. "Effective Physician-Patient Communication and Health Outcomes: A Review." CMAJ. 152(9):1,423. U.S. Census Bureau. Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2004. (Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 2005). THE COMMONWEALTH FUND Visit the Fund at www.cmwf.org 89 Publications: • Chartbooks on quality of care • International surveys (annual) • Other publications on coverage, access, and quality THE COMMONWEALTH FUND