Connection Process Performance Metrics Quarterly Report (Q4 2013) Date:
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Connection Process Performance Metrics Quarterly Report (Q4 2013) Date:
Connection Process Performance Metrics Quarterly Report (Q4 2013) Date: March 5, 2014 Table of Contents Executive Summary .................................................................................................................................... 1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................................. 2 Background ................................................................................................................................................ 2 About the Connection Process Performance Metrics Quarterly Report ...................................................... 2 Definitions................................................................................................................................................... 2 A note about the Connection Queue Business Practices and cancelling projects ...................................... 3 The Q4 2013 Report ................................................................................................................................... 3 Connection Process Results from July 2012 to December 2013 ........................................................... 4 Projects that have reached the end of Stage 5 (energization) during the reporting period ..................................... 4 Greenfield Projects ..................................................................................................................................... 4 Brownfield Projects ..................................................................................................................................... 5 Project stage durations and stages completed ....................................................................................................... 6 Individual Average Stage Durations ........................................................................................................... 6 Cumulative average stage durations....................................................................................................................... 7 In-depth Analysis: Stage 2 durations for Studies Work and Alternative Selection and Approval ..... 9 1. 2. 3. 4. iDev and Base Case Development ................................................................................................. 9 Studies Work .................................................................................................................................. 9 Connection Proposal Review and Approval.................................................................................... 9 Market Participant Impact on Durations ........................................................................................ 10 Tips and Tricks .......................................................................................................................................... 10 Innovation Update ..................................................................................................................................... 11 Activities aimed at improving the Connection Process.......................................................................................... 11 Conclusion ................................................................................................................................................. 11 Table of Charts Chart 1: Stage Durations and Stages Completed During Q4 2013 Reporting Period .................................. 6 Chart 2: Average Individual Stage Durations ................................................................................................ 7 Table of Tables Table 1: Greenfield Energizations to end of Q4 2013 ................................................................................... 4 Table 2: Brownfield Energizations to end of Q4 2013 .................................................................................. 5 Executive Summary This report presents data about projects that were in the Connection Process between July 2012 and December 2013. Twenty-seven projects energized during this period. Eight greenfield projects energized during the reporting period. The average duration from application to connection was 34 months. Nineteen brownfield projects energized during the reporting period. The average duration from application to connection was 27 months. The greenfield projects that energized in the reporting period spent 21 weeks less in the Connection Process than the cumulative average of all greenfield projects during the reporting period. Nineteen brownfield projects energized during the reporting period. These projects spent 15 weeks less time than the cumulative average of brownfield projects that were in the Connection Process during the reporting period. Data from the reporting period shows that project durations vary considerably within each stage. Cumulative stage duration data shows that during the reporting period, greenfield and brownfield projects consistently exceeded stage targets (but kept within stage maximums) with the exception of greenfield projects in Stage 2. The AESO has defined some measures within Stage 2 that will be tracked and reported on to help the industry improve the Stage 2 durations. Stage 2 activities include the studies work, alternative selection (and approval) for greenfield and brownfield connections. iDevs and Base Cases. The AESO has documented the various steps that lead up to the approval of iDevs and base cases by the studies consultant to ensure that the process flow is crisp and inefficiencies are eliminated. Analysis and reporting of the results of this tracking will be released in the Q3 2014 report. Studies work: The work required by the studies consultant to complete the studies and write the Engineering Study Report and Connection Proposal is currently being measured from the beginning of Stage 2 to the delivery of the Connection Proposal. This data will be included in the Q3 2014 report. Connection Proposal: The AESO is tracking the durations from receipt to approval to actively monitor progress and ensure that efficient progress is made towards connection proposal approval. Analysis and reporting of the results of this tracking will be released in the Q3 2014 report. Market Participant impacts on duration: The AESO is reviewing how to report the impact of the deliberations on alternatives and a Market Participant’s “pause” on the average stage durations (typically seen in Stage 2). The report also suggests ways to reduce stage durations by optimizing the efforts of project team members. Completing team assignments adequately and on time, and performing document reviews collectively in person are effective ways to reduce cycle times. A variety of actions items aimed improving Connection Process durations are underway. These initiatives include Market Participant Choice, an alternative to the standard option for connecting customers’ projects, and the Abbreviated Needs Identification Approval Process, which is aimed at streamlining the regulatory review of connection NIDs. These are currently awaiting Transmission Regulation amendments. The AESO is also striking a Connections Process Working Group to collaborate with industry on finding opportunities to improve the Connection Process. We also continue to host workshops about the Connection Process with our stakeholders. Page 1 Public Introduction Background In the summary report about the AESO’s Innovation Workshop, held October 2012, the AESO committed to reporting quarterly on the length of time that projects which are in the AESO Connection Process spend in each of the six process stages. By analyzing how much time projects are spending in Connection Process Stages, stages where projects are taking longer than expected can be identified and studied to determine the causes for delays. This analysis would then lead to recommendations for resolving those delays. About the Connection Process Performance Metrics Quarterly Report The Connection Process Performance Metrics Quarterly Report tracks the average length of time that projects in the Connection Process spent in each Stage of the Connection Process during the reporting window, and compares that average with: 1. Connection process targets shown in the Connection Process overview 2. Stage maximum targets 3. New project duration targets, adopted by the AESO after consulting with industry stakeholders during the Innovation Workshop These reports track projects that have entered the AESO Connection Process since April 1, 2010 and measures the advancement of these projects, as well as new projects that enter the Connection Process from one stage to another for an 18-month rolling period of time or “window.” The 18-month window allows us to gather enough meaningful data to support analysis of how long projects are spending in the process. The metrics reports aim to provide readers with a deeper understanding of what the pace of projects moving through the Connection Process is and what factors influence this pace. So far, the analyses (and the awareness generated by sharing these results in the metrics reports) have yielded important insights about what is causing project delays. For example, the analysis in the Q2–Q3 2013 report of Stage 0 durations showed that if connection applications (and associated documentation) are thoroughly reviewed for completeness before initiating the project kickoff meetings, then total of average Stage 0 and 1 1 durations times could be reduced by two to three weeks. The metrics reports allow the AESO and its Connection Process partners [e.g., transmission facility owners (TFOs), distribution facility owners (DFOs), customers and consultants] to focus their efforts on the factors that most affect stage durations. Definitions Two categories of connection projects are used for this report: • Greenfield projects are connection projects that include new transmission facilities that are built where there are no existing structures. • Brownfield projects are connection projects that involve additions or modifications to existing transmission facilities. This report also uses average stage durations as a unit of measurement. A stage duration is a measure of the length of time that projects spend in a Connection Process stage. An average stage duration is the 1 http://www.aeso.ca/downloads/20131127_Q2_Q3_2013_Metrics_Report_(final).pdf .p 7 Page 2 Public sum of the durations of all projects that were in a given stage during the reporting period, divided by the number of projects. Finally, the report provides the number of new projects that entered the Connection Process during the reporting period, along with the number of projects that reached energization (Stage 5), and the number of gates between stages that were past during the reporting period. A note about the Connection Queue Business Practices and cancelling projects The AESO’s Connection Queue Business Practices sets out the guidelines for how the AESO manages the connection queue. These practices are intended to ensure: • Efficient progression of projects through the Connection Process • Fair and non-discriminatory treatment of market participants • Fair and efficient management of work resources • Fair assignment of connection remedial action schemes in constrained areas The practices provide stage duration maximums for projects moving through the Connection Process. These stage maximums are a direct means for the AESO to help ensure that connection projects do not linger in Connection Process stages. Under the AESO’s Connection Queue Business Practices, market participants are notified five weeks before each stage maximum will be reached. In cases where the project is likely to exceed the stage maximum, the market participant must request a stage extension in advance in order to keep the application active. While not encouraged, some projects have been allowed to continue past the Stage maximum with the approval of an extension request granted by the AESO. Under specific circumstances, the AESO considers the reason for the extension, the stage of the project, the impact of cancelling the application, and the status of market participant security with the TFO before making a decision to approve an extension request. When projects are allowed to proceed past the stage maximum, the average stage duration reported in these charts is negatively impacted. The Q4 2013 Report The Q4 2103 report covers the period between July 1, 2012 and December 31, 2013. This report provides an explanation of how results are measured and an analysis of results including: • Projects in Stage 5 (projects that energized during the reporting period) • Projects in Stages 0–4 (projects that entered the Connection Process and were moving through its stages during the reporting period) • Stage duration charts that show the pace of greenfield and brownfield connection projects • Updates about a number of initiatives underway to optimize the Connection Process • A “Tips and Tricks” section providing advice about how factors known to cause delays can be avoided or how their impact can be reduced. Page 3 Public Connection Process Results from July 2012 to December 2013 Projects that have reached the end of Stage 5 (energization) during the reporting period Below are the actual stage durations of 27 projects that have energized during the reporting period. The results indicate that project performance is trending closer to the new targets of 24 months for greenfield projects and 20 months for brownfield projects than is represented in Chart 3 Cumulative Stage Durations. Greenfield Projects In the reporting period (July 2012 to December 2013), eight greenfield projects were energized. The actual durations from application to energization are presented in Table 2 below. Table 1: Greenfield Energizations to end of Q4 2013 Greenfield Stages Project 0 1 2 3 4 5 Weeks Months 2 1 1 17 23 45 19 35 139 32 2 1 26 39 28 28 20 142 33 3 2 24 9 72 35 30 172 40 4 1 8 17 37 54 20 137 32 5 1 25 32 43 36 25 162 37 6 1 25 38 29 45 29 167 39 7 0 9 24 53 28 24 138 32 8 2 15 14 23 26 34 114 26 Average 1 19 24 41 34 27 146 34 These actual durations on energized projects are better than the cumulative average durations by 22 weeks (see Chart 3, page 8). The difference in durations is largely realized in Stages 2 and 3 where scope of project and number of alternatives impact Stage 2 and 3 activities. There is room for improvement in this area on greenfield projects and the activities underway to address opportunities to improve these durations are discussed further on in this report. 2 Weeks are converted into months using a standard of 4.33 weeks per month. Page 4 Public Brownfield Projects In the reporting period (July 2012 to December 2013), 19 brownfield projects have energized. The actual durations from application to energization are presented below: Table 2: Brownfield Energizations to end of Q4 2013 Brownfield Stages Project 0 1 2 3 4 5 Weeks Months 1 1 7 9 9 65 9 100 23 2 2 14 6 18 68 1 109 25 3 1 12 7 17 58 14 109 25 4 2 14 8 16 65 10 115 27 5 2 11 9 47 39 15 123 28 6 1 8 13 26 23 29 100 23 7 1 27 30 26 7 26 117 27 8 2 31 6 59 12 11 121 28 9 1 15 16 53 24 30 139 32 10 1 11 5 72 21 6 116 27 11 3 13 23 36 23 21 119 27 12 1 14 12 28 65 21 141 33 13 1 10 24 35 46 18 134 31 14 1 20 17 33 44 24 139 32 15 4 17 15 31 17 36 120 28 16 1 16 18 30 24 32 121 28 17 1 11 6 34 43 0 95 22 18 1 12 6 18 18 26 81 19 19 2 31 6 59 12 11 121 28 Average 1 15 12 35 36 18 118 27 The average result of 118 weeks is better than the cumulative average duration of 133 weeks by 15 weeks (see Chart 3, page 8). The primary reason is the difference in Stage 2 average. The actual duration of Stage 2 as depicted above is an average of 12 weeks, which is less than the rolling 18 month average of 25 weeks. It can be seen in Table 2 that the Stage 2 durations range from five weeks to 30 weeks. Some brownfield projects need no study work to assess the connection, and others require a large study effort because of the number of alternatives that need to be considered. These actuals reflect the impact project scope has on Stage 2 durations. Page 5 Public Project stage durations and stages completed In Chart 1 below, the green and brown bars represent the number of projects that passed through the gates of the Connection Process (greenfield projects are green bars and brownfield projects are brown bars) during the reporting period (July 2012 to December 2013). For example, 31 greenfield projects passed Stage 0, whereas 30 brownfield projects passed Stage 0. Chart 1 also shows how many Stages were completed by connection projects, as well as how many new projects entered the Connection Process and how many were energized. Chart 1: Stage Durations and Stages Completed During Q4 2013 Reporting Period 253 stages completed 45 applications cancelled 61 projects entered the process since the beginning of the reporting July 2012 30 projects energized* *includes a second energization for 3 projects that required staged energizations Individual Average Stage Durations The Average Individual Stage Durations Chart (Chart 2) on the following page presents the average number of weeks spent in that stage by projects during the reporting period. Average stage durations for greenfield projects are show by a green bar and average stage durations for brownfield projects are shown by a brown bar. Each bar in the chart also contains a number. The number and the height of the green and brown bars for each stage relates to the number of weeks shown on the y-axis. For example, the green bar with the number 53 shows that greenfield projects spend an average of 53 weeks in Stage 3 for the reporting period (i.e., the period of 18 months between July 2012 and December 2013). Chart 2 also provides the range of project durations tracked during the reporting period. These ranges are presented by a transparent grey bar that overlays the green and brown bars in the chart. For example, the grey bar overlaying the green bar aligned to Stage 0 on chart 2 stretches from 0 to 15 weeks. This shows that of the greenfield projects that were in Stage 0 during the reporting period, at least one spent less than a week in the stage and at least one other project spent 15 weeks. (The green bar shows that average duration of all greenfield projects in Stage 0 was 3 weeks for the reporting period.) Chart 2 also shows the maximums durations set for each stage in pink, and stage duration targets in grey. Page 6 Public Chart 2: Average Individual Stage Durations Chart 2 shows that greenfield projects have, on average, taken 53 weeks to complete the work of Stage 3 which includes the preparation of the Functional Specification, the provision of Directions to the Transmission Facility Owner, and the preparation of the documents required for the regulatory process. Stage durations for projects of both types (greenfield and brownfield) were greater than the target stage durations but less than maximum stage durations except for Stage 2 of greenfield projects. Chart 2 also shows that during the reporting period, the average durations for projects varied widely within stages (see transparent grey bar showing range of durations for individual projects within the Stage), both relative to each project in that stage and relative to the stage target and the stage maximum. Among the factors that influence how long it takes a project to move through Connection Process stages, a project’s scope, location, and the number of connection alternatives for it, among other factors, can influence the amount of time that project may spend in any of the stages. Stages where individual and average durations are exceeding stage targets and stage maximums are the best places to look for improvements. Further discussion on the results for this reporting period is provided later on in this report. Cumulative average stage durations In Chart 3 below, individual average stage durations from Chart 2 are added together to create cumulative stage durations stage by stage. Similar to Chart 2, the stage durations are shown in vertical bars that align with the number of weeks shown on the vertical axis to show how long each duration was, and the number weeks is placed inside each bar. The black horizontal lines on the green and brown bars in Stage 5 represent the new target for the amount of time it should take for projects to reach energization, which occurs at the end of Stage 5. The energization targets introduced in early 2013 are 20 months (87 weeks) for brownfield projects and 24 months (104 weeks) for greenfield projects. However, for the purposes of this report, the analysis of performance data for the period covered by this report uses the standard stage targets shown in the Connection Process overview (see top row of process overview diagram for stage targets shown in grey boxes). Page 7 Public As described above, cumulative average durations are the average durations for each stage added to one another and shown incrementally by stage, from Stage 0 to Stage 5, for the reporting period. For example, in Chart 3 below, the average duration for greenfield projects in Stage 0 was 3 weeks (shown by the green bar). In the next stage, the average stage duration of 13 weeks for Stage 1 (see Chart 2) is added to the previous stage for a cumulative average duration of 16 weeks. This means that when added together, the cumulative average duration that projects spent in the Connection Process up to and including Stage 1 was 16 weeks for the reporting period. This is the Stage 0 average duration (3 weeks) and the Stage 1 average duration (13 weeks) added together. Similarly, the cumulative average duration of Stage 2 for the reporting period was 58 weeks, which is the sum of average durations for Stage 0 (3 weeks), Stage 1 (13 weeks) and Stage 2 (42 weeks). Presenting cumulative average durations helps to illustrate the dramatic effect that a long stage duration can have on the overall length of time a project takes to get to energization. Chart 3: Cumulative Stage Durations Revised Target Chart 3 shows that during the reporting period, greenfield and brownfield projects consistently exceeded Stage targets (but kept within stage maximums) with the exception of greenfield projects in Stage 2. The next section provides a more detailed discussion about the drivers of Stage 2 durations. Page 8 Public In-depth Analysis: Stage 2 durations for Studies Work and Alternative Selection and Approval The previous section showed that greenfield projects in Stage 2 provide opportunities to improve. Stage 2 activities include: • Completing Technical Studies (by the studies engineer – AESO, Market Participant or Consultant) • Completing the Connection Proposal (studies engineer) • Completing Stage 2 Construction Contribution Decision (CCD) (AESO) • Submitting Stage 2 Project Data Update Package (PDUP) (Market Participant) • Providing security to cover estimated TFO costs for Stage 3 and 4 (Market Participant to TFO) Stage 2 Gate Requirements (i.e., what must happen before a project can move into Stage 3): • The AESO must accept: o The Connection Proposal (or Market Participant accepts if AESO completes) o The Stage 2 Project Data Update Package and; The Market Participant must provide security for estimated TFO Stage 3 and 4 costs. A strategy for managing the length of time it takes to complete these activities is to break down these activities into identifiable pieces of work that the members of a connection project team can control. To that end, the AESO has defined some measures within Stage 2 that will be tracked and reported on to help the industry collectively improve the Stage 2 durations. Four new control points are described below. 1. iDev and Base Case Development The AESO will start reporting on the durations for creating, submitting and approving iDevs and base cases as these are critical activities which are required before the studies can begin. Significant work has occurred within the AESO to optimize this process with the creation of the iDev library in 2013. The AESO has documented the various steps that lead up to the approval of iDevs and base cases by the studies consultant to ensure that the process flow is crisp and inefficiencies are eliminated. Analysis and reporting of the results of this tracking will be released in the Q3 2014 report. 2. Studies Work The work required by the studies consultant to complete the studies and write the Engineering Study Report and Connection Proposal will be measured from the beginning of Stage 2 to the delivery of the Connection Proposal. This data will be included in the Q3 2014 report. 3. Connection Proposal Review and Approval The turnaround time from Connection Proposal submission to approval is also a critical activity in the Connection Process. For complex projects with a large scope of work, or where many alternatives have been considered, or where the project is in an area of congestion, the review and approval process can require many reviews. The AESO will report the duration from receipt to approval to actively monitor Page 9 Public progress and ensure that efficient progress is made towards connection proposal approval. Analysis and reporting of the results of this tracking will be released in the Q3 2014 report. 4. Market Participant Impact on Durations The last steps to complete Stage 2 are driven by the Market Participant. One of the major steps is the provision of financial security for the work required to prepare and file the facilities application with the AUC by the TFO, as directed by the AESO. The AESO directs the TFO to conduct work based on the Functional Specification. The financial security from the Market Participant must be in place in order for the TFO to be able to conduct that work. The final steps to close Stage 2 can take some time because Market Participants will often pause in their organization at this time to revisit the business drivers for their project now that the connection alternative is agreed upon and an estimate of the cost has been presented to the Market Participant. Some of the longest durations in Stage 2 are due to this pause. Further analysis of the Stage 2 durations for greenfield projects revealed that six projects were approved for gate extensions for Stage 2 work. These projects were delayed in Stage 2 because of a need for further discussion on the connection alternative selected between the AESO, the TFO, and the Market Participant and, in some cases, subsequent to those conversations, the Market Participant reviewed the project within their own business unit. These discussions take time, and in these six cases, that time negatively impacted Stage 2 durations by a 11 weeks. The Stage 2 average durations alone were 71 weeks. The AESO is reviewing how to show the impact of the deliberations on alternatives and the financial security “pause” on the average stage durations. Tips and Tricks The main Connection Process stakeholders such as the Market Participant, the TFO and the AESO have individuals who represent them on individual project teams. Input from these team members (e.g., review of key documents) accounts for substantial amount of time in the life of a project. While the quality of the documents and the actual connection itself is enhanced by this effort, it comes at a cost of time. Using best practices for providing input effectively by all team members will assist in actively moving projects forward and connecting customers faster. To that end, here are a couple of ways to optimize the efforts of project team members: • Completing team assignments, adequately and on time: At each project meeting, there are always deliverables captured in meeting minutes (i.e., next steps or actions) that must be completed in order to move the project forward according to its schedule. The deliverables indicate precisely what action needs to be done, by whom and by when. Documenting these accurately and honoring the commitments (performing the task adequately and, just as important, performing it on time) significantly improves the likelihood that a project will energized according to its schedule. • Scheduling time for document reviews, avoiding email: Scheduling time to review documents that team members know they will be required to review will help those team members manage their time more effectively. When a review is completed, the Project Manager should arrange for team meetings to review comments as a group rather than individual emails sent back and forth to complete the reviews. This will allow issues arising from the document reviews to be resolved faster than if the same discussion was held using email. Team members should actively take opportunities to speak with each other (e.g., in person or over the phone) to clarify points of information during their document reviews rather than using email. Page 10 Public Innovation Update Activities aimed at improving the Connection Process The AESO continues to move forward with a number of action items. We are currently participating in two initiatives that have been designed to improve the Connection Process: • Market Participant Choice: Starting March 1, 2014, the AESO will begin accepting connection applications for Market Participant Choice, a new connection option that provides customers with greater control over the time and cost of their connecting their projects. Only certain projects are eligible for this option. The Market Participant Choice option requires amendments to the Transmission Regulation which are currently with the government and expected to be approved in 2014. For more information, please visit http://www.aeso.ca/29205.html or contact Customer Connections at 403-539-2793 or [email protected]. • Abbreviated Needs Identification Approval: The AESO is undertaking a review of the AESO’s business practices relating to the NID approval process and the opportunities that an abbreviated NID would provide to the customer Connection Process. The results of the review and resulting activities will be reported in future quarterly reports. AESO actions items include: • Connection Process Working Group: Market participants have contacted Barb Reimer to participate in the Working Group, but there is room for more involvement. Please call her at 403-539-2859 if you are interested. • Continuous Education: The AESO continues to host ongoing stakeholder sessions, training and workshops at the request of stakeholders. Conclusion There are many participants in the Connection Process who play an important role in representing their interests in the connection itself. Coordinating them is a complex process and requires clear and accurate description of business needs, roles and responsibilities, consistent updating by all parties at project meetings, diligence in managing the review and approval of documents, and concise decision making to ensure timely delivery of the project deliverables and, ultimately, project itself. The AESO believes that reporting on the additional control points mentioned earlier in this report will raise the visibility of some of the smaller pieces of work and provide opportunities for parties to review their participation in these activities and find efficiencies. We are looking forward to working with the industry to drive further continuous improvements. Page 11 Public