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Document 2248082
Table of Contents Executive Summary .................................................................................................................................... 6 1 Introduction ......................................................................................................................................... 11 2 Calgary Sub-Region Overview .......................................................................................................... 12 2.1 2.2 2.3 Description of Calgary Sub-Region .......................................................................................................... 12 Existing Transmission System ................................................................................................................. 14 Existing Constraints in System ................................................................................................................. 16 3 Study Assumptions and Methodology ............................................................................................. 17 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 Load Assumptions.................................................................................................................................... 17 Generation Assumptions .......................................................................................................................... 20 Future Transmission Project Assumptions ............................................................................................... 21 Community Consultation .......................................................................................................................... 23 Summary of Study Case Assumptions ..................................................................................................... 23 4 Need Assessment ............................................................................................................................... 24 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 Near-term Need Assessment Results ...................................................................................................... 24 4.1.1 Near-term Category A Analysis .................................................................................................... 24 4.1.2 Near-term Category B Analysis .................................................................................................... 24 4.1.3 Near-term Category C Analysis .................................................................................................... 27 Medium-term Need Assessment Results ................................................................................................. 27 4.2.1 Medium-term Category A Analysis ............................................................................................... 27 4.2.2 Medium-term Category B Analysis ............................................................................................... 28 4.2.3 Medium-term Category C Analysis ............................................................................................... 31 Long-term Need Assessment Results ...................................................................................................... 32 4.3.1 Long-term Category A Analysis .................................................................................................... 32 4.3.2 Long-term Category B Analysis .................................................................................................... 33 Need Assessment by Area ....................................................................................................................... 37 4.4.1 Calgary Area ................................................................................................................................. 37 4.4.2 Airdrie Area ................................................................................................................................... 41 Need Assessment Summary .................................................................................................................... 43 5 Alternative Development and Screening ......................................................................................... 45 5.1 5.2 5.3 Calgary Area Alternatives ........................................................................................................................ 45 5.1.1 Calgary Area Alternative 1 ............................................................................................................ 47 5.1.2 Calgary Area Alternative 2 ............................................................................................................ 49 5.1.3 Calgary Area Alternative 3 ............................................................................................................ 51 5.1.4 Calgary Area Alternative 4 ............................................................................................................ 53 5.1.5 Calgary Area Alternative 5 ............................................................................................................ 55 5.1.6 Calgary Area Alternative 6 ............................................................................................................ 57 Airdrie Area Alternatives .......................................................................................................................... 59 5.2.1 Airdrie Area Alternative 1 .............................................................................................................. 59 5.2.2 Airdrie Area Alternative 2 .............................................................................................................. 61 5.2.3 Airdrie Area Alternative 3 .............................................................................................................. 63 5.2.4 Airdrie Area Alternative 4 .............................................................................................................. 65 Alternative Screening ............................................................................................................................... 67 5.3.1 Calgary Area Alternative Screening .............................................................................................. 67 5.3.2 Airdrie Area Alternative Screening ................................................................................................ 68 6 Alternative Evaluation ........................................................................................................................ 69 6.1 6.2 March 2014 Technical Evaluation ................................................................................................................................ 69 Calgary Area Alternatives ........................................................................................................................ 69 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 2 Proprietary 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.2.1 Category A - System Normal (N-0) ............................................................................................... 69 6.2.2 Category B - Single Element Outage (N-1) ................................................................................... 69 6.2.3 Category C5 - Select Double Circuit Tower Outage (N-2) ............................................................ 70 Airdrie Area Alternatives .......................................................................................................................... 75 6.3.1 Category A - System Normal (N-0) ............................................................................................... 75 6.3.2 Category B - Single Element Outage (N-1) ................................................................................... 75 6.3.3 Category C5 - Selected Double Circuit Tower Outage (N-2) ........................................................ 75 Staging of Alternatives ............................................................................................................................. 75 6.4.1 Near-term Staging ........................................................................................................................ 75 6.4.2 Medium-term Staging ................................................................................................................... 85 System Losses ......................................................................................................................................... 95 High Level Land Impact Assessment ....................................................................................................... 95 TFO Assessment ..................................................................................................................................... 96 7 Selection of Preferred Plan................................................................................................................ 97 7.1 7.2 Calgary Area Preferred Alternative .......................................................................................................... 97 Airdrie Area Preferred Alternative ............................................................................................................ 97 8 Detailed Analysis for Preferred Plan ................................................................................................ 99 8.1 8.2 8.3 Near-term Assessment ............................................................................................................................ 99 8.1.1 Power Flow Studies ...................................................................................................................... 99 8.1.2 Maintenance Condition Studies .................................................................................................... 99 8.1.3 Category C7 Power Flow Studies ............................................................................................... 100 8.1.4 Dynamic Stability Studies ........................................................................................................... 100 8.1.5 Voltage Stability Studies ............................................................................................................. 100 8.1.6 Short Circuit Studies ................................................................................................................... 101 Medium-term Assessment ..................................................................................................................... 101 8.2.1 Power Flow Studies .................................................................................................................... 101 8.2.2 Category C7 Power Flow Studies ............................................................................................... 101 8.2.3 Dynamic Stability Studies ........................................................................................................... 102 8.2.4 Voltage Stability Studies ............................................................................................................. 102 8.2.5 Short Circuit Studies ................................................................................................................... 102 Long-term Assessment .......................................................................................................................... 103 8.3.1 Power Flow Studies .................................................................................................................... 103 8.3.2 Short Circuit Studies ................................................................................................................... 103 9 Impact of Preferred Plan on System Performance........................................................................ 104 9.1 9.2 Impact on Remedial Action Schemes .................................................................................................... 104 Nodal Capacity ....................................................................................................................................... 104 10 Summary of Preferred Plan ............................................................................................................. 106 10.1 10.2 Calgary Area Preferred Alternative ........................................................................................................ 106 Airdrie Area Preferred Alternative .......................................................................................................... 108 List of Tables Table E-1: Calgary Area Preferred Alternative ........................................................................................................ 7 Table E-2: Airdrie Area Preferred Alternative .......................................................................................................... 9 Table 2.3-1: Existing Remedial Action Schemes in Calgary Sub-Region ............................................................. 16 Table 3.1-1: Forecast Calgary / Airdrie Areas and South Region Load ................................................................ 18 Table 3.1-2: Calgary Sub-Region Customer Projects ........................................................................................... 20 Table 3.2-1: Calgary Sub-Region Existing Generation ......................................................................................... 20 Table 3.2-2: Calgary Sub-Region Proposed Generation and Customer Projects ................................................. 21 Table 3.5-1: Summary of Study Scenarios............................................................................................................ 23 Table 4.1-1: Near-term Category B Need Assessment Thermal Results .............................................................. 25 March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 3 Proprietary Table 4.1-2: Near-term Category C5 Need Assessment Thermal Results ............................................................ 27 Table 4.2-1: Medium-term Category A Need Assessment Thermal Results ......................................................... 28 Table 4.2-2: Medium-term Category B Need Assessment Thermal Results ......................................................... 28 Table 4.2-3: Medium-term Category C5 Need Assessment Thermal Results ....................................................... 31 Table 4.3-1: Long-term Category A Need Assessment Thermal Results .............................................................. 32 Table 4.3-2: Long-term Category A Need Assessment Voltage Results ............................................................... 33 Table 4.3-3: Long-term Category B Need Assessment Thermal Results .............................................................. 34 Table 4.3-4: Long-term Category B Need Assessment Voltage Deviation Results ............................................... 35 Table 4.3-5: Long-term Category B Need Assessment Voltage Results ............................................................... 35 Table 4.4-1: Calgary Area Category A Thermal Violations ................................................................................... 37 Table 4.4-2: Calgary Area Category A Voltage Violations .................................................................................... 37 Table 4.4-3: Calgary Area Category B Thermal Violations ................................................................................... 38 Table 4.4-4: Calgary Area Category C5 Thermal Violations ................................................................................. 40 Table 4.4-5: Airdrie Area Category A Thermal Violations ..................................................................................... 41 Table 4.4-6: Airdrie Area Category A Voltage Violations ...................................................................................... 41 Table 4.4-7: Airdrie Area Category B Thermal Violations ..................................................................................... 42 Table 4.4-8: Airdrie Area Category C5 Thermal Violations ................................................................................... 42 Table 4.5-1: Summary of Need Assessment......................................................................................................... 43 Table 5.1-1: Calgary Area System Issues and Conceptual Solutions ................................................................... 46 Table 5.2-1: Airdrie Area System Issues and Conceptual Solutions ..................................................................... 59 Table 5.3-1: Comparison of Alternatives - Calgary Area ....................................................................................... 67 Table 5.3-2: Comparison of the Alternatives - Airdrie Area ................................................................................... 68 Table 6.2-1: Long-term Category B Thermal Violations for Calgary Alternatives .................................................. 70 Table 6.2-2: Long-term Category C5 Thermal Violations for Calgary Alternative 1............................................... 71 Table 6.2-3: Long-term Category C5 Thermal Violations for Calgary Alternative 2............................................... 72 Table 6.2-4: Long-term Category C5 Thermal Violations for Calgary Alternative 3............................................... 73 Table 6.2-5: Long-term Category C5 Thermal Violations for Calgary Alternative 4............................................... 74 Table 6.4-1: Calgary Area Development Sequence in Near-term- Alternatives 1, 2, 3 and 4 ............................... 76 Table 6.4-2: Airdrie Area Development Sequence in Near-term - Alt 1, 2 and 4 ................................................... 77 Table 6.4-3: Near-term Category B Results for Calgary Alternative 1 ................................................................... 79 Table 6.4-4: Near-term Category B Results for Calgary Alternative 2 ................................................................... 79 Table 6.4-5: Near-term Category B Results for Alternative 3A.............................................................................. 79 Table 6.4-6: Near-term Category B Results for Alternative 4A.............................................................................. 79 Table 6.4-7: Near-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 1 .............................................................................. 80 Table 6.4-8: Near-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 2A ........................................................................... 81 Table 6.4-9: Near-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 2B ........................................................................... 82 Table 6.4-10: Near-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 3A ......................................................................... 83 Table 6.4-11: Near-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 4A ......................................................................... 84 Table 6.4-12: Calgary Area Development Sequence - Alt 1, 2, 3 and 4................................................................ 85 Table 6.4-13: Medium-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 1 ....................................................................... 86 Table 6.4-14: Medium-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 2A .................................................................... 86 Table 6.4-15: Medium-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 2B .................................................................... 86 Table 6.4-16: Medium-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 3A .................................................................... 86 Table 6.4-17: Medium-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 4A .................................................................... 86 Table 6.5-1: Relative System Losses for Calgary Area Alternatives ..................................................................... 95 Table 6.5-2: Relative System Losses for Airdrie Area Alternatives ....................................................................... 95 Table 7.1-1: Comparison of Calgary Area Alternatives ......................................................................................... 97 Table 7.2-1: Comparison of Airdrie Area Alternatives ........................................................................................... 98 Table 8.1-1: Near-term Maintenance Condition Results ..................................................................................... 100 Table 8.1-2: P-V Analysis Summary – Near-term Winter Peak - Calgary Area .................................................. 101 Table 8.1-3: P-V Analysis Summary – Near-term Winter Peak - Airdrie Area .................................................... 101 March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 4 Proprietary Table 8.2-1: P-V Analysis Summary – Medium-term Winter Peak- Calgary Area .............................................. 102 Table 8.2-2: P-V Analysis Summary – Medium-term Winter Peak- Airdrie Area ................................................ 102 Table 9.1-1: Remedial Action Scheme Changes ................................................................................................ 104 Table 9.2-1: Estimated Available Capacity for Additional Generation ................................................................. 105 Table 10.1-1: Calgary Area Preferred Alternative ............................................................................................... 106 Table 10.2-1: Airdrie Area Preferred Alternative ................................................................................................. 108 List of Figures Figure E-1: Calgary Area Proposed Development .................................................................................................. 8 Figure E-2: Airdrie Area Proposed Development .................................................................................................. 10 Figure 2.1-1: Geographical Map of Alberta ........................................................................................................... 13 Figure 2.2-1: Calgary Sub-Region Transmission Configuration ............................................................................ 15 Figure 3.1-1: Forecast Calgary / Airdrie Areas and South Region Load ............................................................... 19 Figure 4.1-1: Calgary Sub-Region Near-term Thermal Overloads (Category A and B) ........................................ 26 Figure 4.2-1: Calgary Sub-Region Medium-term Thermal Overloads (Category A and B) ................................... 30 Figure 4.3-1: Calgary Sub-Region Long-term Thermal Overloads (Category A and B) ....................................... 36 Figure 4.5-1: Calgary Sub-Region Need Assessment Summary (Near-term to Long-term) ................................. 44 Figure 5.1-1: Calgary Area – Alternative 1 ............................................................................................................ 48 Figure 5.1-2: Calgary Area – Alternative 2 ............................................................................................................ 50 Figure 5.1-3: Calgary Area – Alternative 3 ............................................................................................................ 52 Figure 5.1-4: Calgary Area – Alternative 4 ............................................................................................................ 54 Figure 5.1-5: Calgary Area – Alternative 5 ............................................................................................................ 56 Figure 5.1-6: Calgary Area – Alternative 6 ............................................................................................................ 58 Figure 5.2-1: Airdrie Area – Alternative 1 .............................................................................................................. 60 Figure 5.2-2: Airdrie Area – Alternative 2 .............................................................................................................. 62 Figure 5.2-3: Airdrie Area – Alternative 3 .............................................................................................................. 64 Figure 5.2-4: Airdrie Area – Alternative 4 .............................................................................................................. 66 Figure 6.4-1: Calgary Area Alternative 1 ............................................................................................................... 87 Figure 6.4-2: Calgary Area Alternative 2A (Near-term and Medium-term) ............................................................ 88 Figure 6.4-3: Calgary Area Alternative 2B ............................................................................................................ 89 Figure 6.4-4: Calgary Area Alternative 3A ............................................................................................................ 90 Figure 6.4-5: Calgary Area Alternative 4A ............................................................................................................ 91 Figure 6.4-6: Airdrie Area Alternative 1 ................................................................................................................. 92 Figure 6.4-7: Airdrie Area Alternative 2 ................................................................................................................. 93 Figure 6.4-8: Airdrie Area Alternative 4 ................................................................................................................. 94 Figure 10.1-1: Calgary Area Preferred Alternative .............................................................................................. 107 Figure 10.2-1: Airdrie Area Preferred Alternative ................................................................................................ 109 List of Appendices APPENDIX A – Community Consultation Summary APPENDIX B – Detailed Study Scenarios APPENDIX C – 2017, 2022, 2032 Need Assessment Results APPENDIX D – Power Flow Single Line Diagram for 2017, 2022 & 2032 Need Assessment APPENDIX E – Power Flow Single Line Diagram for 2032 Alternative Development APPENDIX F – Power Flow Single Line Diagram for Staging of the Preferred Plan APPENDIX G – Dynamic Study Results for the Preferred Plan APPENDIX H – Voltage Stability Results for the Preferred Plan APPENDIX I – High Level Land Impact Assessment APPENDIX J – Short Circuit Results for the Preferred Plan March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 5 Proprietary Executive Summary The AESO Calgary Sub-Region Plan (CARP) is comprehensive 20-year transmission study and plan that identifies the enhancements required in the Calgary and Airdrie transmission systems for years 2017, 2022 and 2032 planning horizons: Near-term (1-5 years): Medium-term (6-10 years): Long-term (11-20 years): 2012 - 2017 2018 - 2022 2023 - 2032 The CARP is one of six regional plans that collectively cover the entire province of Alberta, all of which are integrated into the AESO Long-term Plan (LTP). The CARP satisfies the AESO’s legislated mandate to develop transmission system plans to enable the long-term development of the transmission system in a timely and efficient manner. The regional plans are intended to be used as the basis for specific needs identification documents that result from the regional plan. In addition, the regional plans also provide evidence for compliance with some of the required Alberta Reliability Standards1. The Calgary Sub-Region planning studies were conducted using the AESO’s 2012 Long Term Outlook2 (2012 LTO). The Calgary Sub-Region (AESO planning areas 6 and 57) is expected to experience several reliability issues over the 20 year planning horizon (to 2032) primarily related to thermal overload issues under contingency situations. The Need Assessment performed as part of the CARP identified the reliability violations expected in the near-term, medium-term and long-term. In the near-term, there were no voltage violations observed in the Calgary or Airdrie planning areas. However, the results showed that there were overloads in the north Calgary 69 kV system (NW Calgary) and the 138 kV lines emanating from Beddington SS-162 and Janet 74S. An emerging issue was associated with the Calgary downtown network load where the outage of a 138 kV circuit (e.g. 2.82L or 2.83L) overloaded the opposite circuit. For the Airdrie area, overloads on 138 kV circuits were also observed due to existing low line ratings as well as load and generation conditions in the area. In the medium-term, there were no voltage violations observed in the Calgary or Airdrie planning areas. However, with the increased load levels, the overload issues observed in the near-term have now become more severe in addition to more overloaded lines in the same general areas. Further, some Category A overloads were observed under certain scenarios. In the long-term, under no contingency conditions (Category A), some voltage issues are observed where main bus voltages are slightly below nominal voltage. In addition, there are several overloaded transmission lines, some greater than 150% under Category A conditions. Under first outage conditions (Category B), more overloaded transmission facilities are observed beyond those identified in the medium-term with overloads extending to the south part of Calgary. The Calgary area preferred plan is summarized in Table E-1 below. 1 Some of the Requirements in the TPL-001-AB, TPL-002-AB, TPL-003-AB, FAC-002 and FAC-014 Differences between the 2012 Long-term Outlook (2012 LTO) and 2012 Long-term Outlook Update (2012 LTOU) are considered relatively small for the south region. 2 March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 6 Proprietary Table E-1: Calgary Area Preferred Alternative Horizon Development Downtown load supply Convert SS-8 to 240 kV substation with 2 new 240/138 kV 400 MVA transformers and a new 240 kV line from East Calgary 5S to SS-8 240 kV New 138 kV line from SS-47 to SS-36 Near-term North Calgary 69 kV network upgrade to 138kV 929L connected to Beddington SS-162 in an in-out configuration New 138 kV line from SS-22 to SS-23 (maintenance flexibility) New 240/138 kV NW Calgary substation and associated 138 kV lines Medium-term FATD West double circuit 240 kV line from Foothills 237S to Sarcee 42S New 240 kV lines from Beddington SS-162 to SS-8 240kV New 138 kV line from SS-27 to SS-3 and Normally open 3.82L from SS-3 to SS-8 Long-term New 138 kV line from Janet 74S to SS-37 Add Var support devices in north Calgary Figure E-1 below shows the proposed development for the Calgary area. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 7 Proprietary Figure E-1: Calgary Area Proposed Development March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 8 Proprietary The Airdrie area preferred plan is summarized in Table E-2 below. Table E-2: Airdrie Area Preferred Alternative Horizon Development East Crossfield 64S Upgrade 901L Tap converted to In-Out configuration at East Crossfield 64S One new 240/138 kV 200 MVA transformer at East Crossfield 64S Upgrade the existing 138 kV lines 752L from East Crossfield 64S to Airdrie Tap to Summit 653S to higher capacity line Upgrade the existing 138 kV line 688L from Summit 653S to Summit tap to East Airdrie 199S to higher capacity line Near-term Upgrade the existing 138 kV line 611L from Drycreek 186S to Balzac with higher capacity line New 138 kV line from East Crossfield 64S to East Airdrie 199S3 New 138 kV line from Beddington 162S to Dry Creek 186S4 Normally open (N.O.) 138 kV line from East Airdrie 199S Dry Creek 186S Upgrade /install protection systems as necessary to facilitate the above system reinforcements Medium-term Long-term New 138 kV D/C line from new POD5 to the new 138kV line between Beddington 162S and Dry Creek 186S No transmission developments proposed. Figure E-2 below shows the proposed development for the Airdrie area. 3 As per the feedback from TFO, this development could be built as double circuit with existing transmission lines. As per the feedback from TFO, this development could be built as double circuit with existing transmission lines. 5 The connection of new PoD depends on the timing and location of this new substation. 4 March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 9 Proprietary Figure E-2: Airdrie Area Proposed Development To Red Deer 63S West Crossfield 316S 901AL 752L East Crossfield 64S 653S Nose Creek 284S 688L East Airdrie 199S N.O. 631L DryCreek 186S New PoD Legend N.O. Future Circuit Existing Circuit Future Substation Existing Substation 69 kV Circuit 138 kV Circuit 240 kV Circuit 500 kV Circuit HVDC line Normally Open Circuit 69 kV Substation 611L Balzac 391S 918L Beddington 162S 932L 138 kV Substation 240 kV Substation 500 kV Substation Near-term Development Medium-term Development Long-term Development Disclaimer: This diagram is a simplified representation of the physical system configuration. Technical details have been simplified for illustration purposes. It does not accurately display the geographical location of facilities. To Janet 74S The existing Remedial Action Schemes (RAS) in Calgary and Airdrie areas were also reviewed. The results of the studies showed that a number of RASs would no longer be required after the proposed facilities in the CARP are energized as identified in the mitigation plan. The AESO will undertake detailed operational studies prior to energization of planned transmission facilities and make decision on either removal or disabling the specific RAS associated with the energized facility. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 10 Proprietary 1 Introduction The primary purpose of the long-term regional plans is to provide overall direction and focus for transmission development in the province of Alberta for each planning region over the 20-year planning horizon. The regional plans are intended to be used as the basis for specific needs identification documents that result from the regional plan. In addition, the regional plan also provides evidence for compliance with some of the required Alberta Reliability Standards6. The AESO intends to update the Long-term regional plans bi-annually to take into account changes in projects, forecast, and policy and thereby provide a reference document for overall Alberta transmission development over the planning horizon on a continuing basis. This AESO 2013 Calgary Sub-Region Long-term Plan (CARP) was developed using AESO’s twenty year Long-term load and generation forecast, also known as the AESO 2012 Long-term Outlook (2012 LTO) 7. The need assessment and alternative evaluation studies were conducted in accordance with the Alberta Reliability Standards and AESO Transmission Reliability Criteria. Other important considerations in identifying the twenty year southern Alberta regional transmission developments include relative economic assessments, potential environmental, societal and land use impact, existing utility corridors, major municipal plans, Alberta Land Stewardship Act (ALSA) regional plans, and stakeholder feedback. Stakeholder engagement provides meaningful information to the AESO system planning process and is an essential component of the CARP. The AESO has conducted preliminary stakeholder consultation in the form of discussions with municipalities. Further consultation with landowners, industry and various agencies will occur at the Need Identification Document (NID) stage where the AESO will look to filing a NID with the AUC for approval of a particular transmission enhancement. This CARP includes a preliminary implementation schedule and milestones for the identified transmission system expansion and enhancements that are anticipated to occur within the next five years. To ensure timely implementation of these needed system developments, the AESO will file a NID for AUC approval in advance of the scheduled need. Future requests from market participants for transmission system access will be filed with the AUC in standalone NIDs, as required, and will assume the various CARP components to be in-service for the date specified, unless new information indicates otherwise. 6 7 Some of the Requirements in the TPL-001-AB, TPL-002-AB, TPL-003-AB, FAC-002, FAC-014 and VAR-001-AB R11 http://www.aeso.ca/downloads/AESO_2012_Long-term_Outlook_bookmarked.pdf March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 11 Proprietary 2 Calgary Sub-Region Overview The section provides an overview of the Calgary Sub-Region, including a description of the existing transmission system and its corresponding constraints. 2.1 Description of Calgary Sub-Region The Calgary Sub-Region is part of the South Region and is comprised of AESO planning areas 6 (Calgary) and 57 (Airdrie). The City of Calgary is situated on the Bow River in the south of the province, in an area of foothills and prairie, approximately 80 km east of the front ranges of the Canadian Rockies. The city is located in the grassland and parkland natural regions of Alberta. As of the 2011 census, the City of Calgary had a population of about 1.1 million making it the largest city in Alberta, and the third largest municipality and fifth largest metropolitan area in Canada. Located about 294 km south of Edmonton, Statistics Canada defines the area between these cities as the Calgary–Edmonton corridor. Economic activity in Calgary is mostly centered on the petroleum industry and agriculture. In 1988, Calgary became the first Canadian city to host the Olympic Winter Games. The City of Airdrie is located about 15 km north of the City of Calgary with a population of about 50,000, and is located within the Calgary–Edmonton corridor. The Calgary area is a major load center for the south region and the province with close to 15% of Alberta’s total load requirement. The City of Calgary and the surrounding area continue to see increased demand as the population continues to grow. The Calgary Sub-Region economy is driven in large part by the energy sector resulting in gradual population growth with associated commercial and residential demand growth. The forecasted annual peak load growth in the sub-region is on the order of 40 to 50 MW per year. Major sources of generation in and around the Calgary Sub-Region are the ENMAX Calgary Energy Centre, Balzac, Summit, Cavalier, and Carseland gas fired generating stations, and hydro plants on the Bow River west of the city. The ENMAX Shepard combined cycle power station (~850 MW) is expected to be online in early 2015, and the ENMAX Bonnybrook power station (~170 MW) is expected to be online in the 2015/2016 time frame. Figure 2.1-1 below shows a geographic map of Alberta, which includes the Calgary Sub-Region March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 12 Proprietary Figure 2.1-1: Geographical Map of Alberta March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 13 Proprietary 2.2 Existing Transmission System The existing regional Calgary/Airdrie transmission system has six main 240 kV source substations; Sarcee 42S, East Calgary 5S, Janet 74S, SS-65, Beddington SS-162, and East Crossfield 64S. The underlying transmission system within the cities of Calgary and Airdrie is composed of 138 kV and 69 kV circuits delivering power to load stations. Langdon 102S (Bennett) is also a main substation located in Area 6 as the termination point of the 500 kV line to Cranbrook, BC. The existing transmission system in the Airdrie area is comprised of single circuit 138 kV lines fed from 240 kV source stations Beddington SS-162 and East Crossfield 64S from the south and north respectively. This configuration creates a large single 138 kV loop in the Airdrie area. Figure 2.2-1 below shows the existing transmission system in the Calgary Sub-Region. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 14 Proprietary Figure 2.2-1: Calgary Sub-Region Transmission Configuration Note: The Calgary Sub-Region only includes Areas 6 and 57. Calgary Sub-Region Plan March 2014 Page 15 Proprietary The largest intertie in Alberta is the 500 kV 1201L that connects the BC Hydro system at Cranbrook to the AIES at Langdon 102S. This 500 kV circuit and two 138 kV circuits between Alberta and British Columbia (BC) are collectively defined by the Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) to be Path 1. The Path 1 rating in export and import modes is 1000 MW and 1200 MW respectively. However, the actual operating limit is lower due to system constraints. The AESO’s recommendation for restoring the Path 1 rating to its design value forms part of the South region plan (SRP). In the near future, the Western Alberta Transmission Line (WATL) will terminate at Crossings station (near Langdon). WATL is a HVDC transmission line from Sunnybrook station (near Genesee station) west of Edmonton with a capacity 2000 MW in bi-pole operation and may be expanded further if required. 2.3 Existing Constraints in System The existing Calgary Sub-Region transmission system is inadequate to support existing and forecast load and generation requirements in the area. One of the AESO’s objectives in conducting the CARP is to eliminate existing constraints, which are currently managed by operational procedures, including the following Remedial Action Schemes (RAS) shown in Table 2.3-1 below. Table 2.3-1: Existing Remedial Action Schemes in Calgary Sub-Region Number March 2014 Name Function Type 11 Temporary Bennet 520s Underfrequency - Overpower RAS U/F Trip to protect AB System from external disturbance WECC RAS 12 Temporary Bennet 520s undervoltage – overpower RAS U/V Trip to protect AB System from internal and external disturbance WECC RAS 15 Temporary 520s overvoltage protection scheme Over voltage protection to protect equipment from damage WECC RAS 24 Calgary Area UVLS Program Protect area load from voltage collapse 44 South Calgary transmission load relief scheme Protect line from overload by tripping load LAPS 49 ENMAX Crossfield 752L RAS Protect line from overload by runback and/or trip generation LAPS 50 ENMAX Crossfield 688L RAS Protect line from overload by runback and/or trip generation LAPS 133 Beddington 162S overload mitigation scheme Mitigate potential overload and other reliability concerns in the area LAPS Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 16 Safety Net Proprietary 3 Study Assumptions and Methodology This section summarizes the load, generation and transmission assumptions made in this CARP as well as the AESO’s community consultation process. The study years selected to develop the long-term regional plan are 2017, 2022 and 2032 which correspond to 5 years, 10 years and 20 years from 2012. The 2012 LTO forecast (load and generation) was used to develop the cases for each of the study years. The 2017, 2022 and 2032 study years represent the near-term, medium-term and long-term planning horizons respectively: Near-term (1-5 years): Medium-term (6-10 years): Long-term (11-20 years): 2012 - 2017 2018 - 2022 2023 - 2032 For each of the study years, the existing system performance was evaluated and summarized under various system and contingency conditions as detailed in Section 4. This evaluation is referred to as the Need Assessment and consisted of a power flow analysis of the specified study scenarios. Based on the results of the Need Assessment, various improvement alternatives were developed and screened. The selected alternatives were compared on the basis of the technical evaluation, system losses and high level impact assessment. A preferred plan was selected based on the comparison and detailed dynamic stability and voltage stability analyses were conducted for the selected study years. 3.1 Load Assumptions The Calgary Sub-Region planning studies were conducted using the AESO’s 2012 Long Term Outlook8 (2012 LTO), which was the most current AESO corporate load forecast at the commencement of the studies. Table 3.1-1 below provides the Calgary (area 6) and Airdrie (area 57) load forecast at planning area extrema (peak/light) as well as the coincident South region extrema load for each study year. Subsequent to the initiation of the analysis, the AESO published the AESO 2012 Long Term Outlook Update (2012 LTOU), which is the update of the 2012 LTO. 2012 LTOU predicts average annual growth rate 0.2% higher than 2012 LTO in next 20 years, with the increase due to acceleration of oil sands production in the later years of the 2012 LTOU. The change is insignificant for Calgary Sub-Region. Therefore there is no need to test the study results using 2012 LTOU. For the dynamic studies, all loads that were not modeled as motors in the base cases were modeled using the WECC default model of 20% induction motor load, 100% constant current and 100% constant impedance load for the real and reactive components of the remainder of the Alberta Interconnected Electric System (AIES) load, respectively. 8 Differences between the 2012 Long-term Outlook (2012 LTO) and 2012 Long-term Outlook Update (2012 LTOU) are considered relatively small for the south region. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 17 Proprietary Table 3.1-1: Forecast Calgary / Airdrie Areas and South Region Load 2017 (MW) Planning Area Description 6 57 2022 (MW) 2032 (MW) SP SL WP SP SL WP Peak Light Calgary 1816 925 1917 2004 1021 2125 2566 1344 Airdrie 102 52 111 123 62 132 168 90 3387 1890 3511 3785 2109 3935 4423 2733 Southern Alberta Figure 3.1-1 below illustrates the trend of the forecast by year and area/region. As can be seen in Table 3.1-1 and Figure 3.1-1, the Calgary area is approximately 50% of the total South Region load. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 18 Proprietary Figure 3.1-1: Forecast Calgary / Airdrie Areas and South Region Load Calgary Sub-Region Plan March 2014 Page 19 Proprietary Table 3.1-2 shows the customer projects in the Calgary Sub-Region. Table 3.1-2: Calgary Sub-Region Customer Projects Project No. 3.2 Project Name Project Type In Service Date 1276 ENMAX No. 21 Substation Breaker Addition Connection Q1 2014 1314 1314 ENMAX 138/25kV POD Addition Connection Q1 2015 859 ENMAX No. 5 Sub Capacity Upgrades Connection Q3 2015 1107 ENMAX No. 47 Substation Transformer Addition Connection Q1 2014 1480 Enmax No.11 Substation-25kV Breaker Addition Connection Q1 2016 Generation Assumptions Generation assumptions in the CARP study are based on the 2012 LTO. The WATL and EATL HVDC lines, which are expected to be in service by 2017 or earlier, were dispatched according to the HVDC dispatch methodology. Ongoing work with AltaLink and ATCO Electric will result in a refined dispatch practice intended for the actual operation of the HVDC Lines. These changes will be taken into account on a go forward basis from a planning perspective. As shown in Table 3.2-1, there is approximately 602 MW of existing generation capacity connected in the Calgary Sub-Region. Proposed new generation in the region, as indicated by the AESO project list (as of October 2013) is provided in Table 3.2-2. The generation project list includes all active projects, including connection, contract capacity and behind the fence projects, for which the AESO has received a system access service request. Table 3.2-1: Calgary Sub-Region Existing Generation Machine Name Area Generation (MW) Generation Type Balzac 6-Calgary 2 GT x 47 1 ST x 26 Combined Cycle Gas Turbine Bearspaw 6-Calgary 1 x 18 Hydro CEC 6-Calgary 1 GT x 170 1 ST x 150 Combined Cycle Gas Turbine Crossfield Energy Centre 57-Airdrie 3 x 48 Simple Cycle Gas Turbine Total Generation March 2014 602 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 20 Proprietary Table 3.2-2: Calgary Sub-Region Proposed Generation and Customer Projects Project No. Project Name Project Type In Service Date 719 ENMAX Shepard Energy Centre Connection Q1 2015 921 ENMAX Bonnybrook Energy Centre Connection Q4 2015 The AESO is currently working on an Intertie Restoration Program9 in coordination with number of stakeholders for the purpose of the CARP. In the CARP, the existing intertie capability was assumed for 2017. However, for the 2022 and 2032 study years, increased intertie capability was assumed to be available up to 1200 MW import and 1000 MW export in order to assess the capability of the system. 3.3 Future Transmission Project Assumptions The list of future transmission projects in Alberta is provided in Table 3.1-1 below. Note that this list is based on information available at the commencement of the planning study for the purpose of modeling. 9 Alberta – WECC Intertie Restoration Program March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 21 Proprietary Table 3.1-1: Future Transmission Projects System Addition No 1 2 Project Number West HVDC CTI East HVDC CTI In-Service Date (ISD) Genesee – Langdon HVDC 2015 Heartland – West Brooks HVDC 2014 SATR (Southern Alberta Transmission Reinforcement) 2015 Foothills Area Transmission Development (FATD) 2015 1 3 # 787 4 # 1117, # 1354 5 # 813 Red Deer Region Transmission Development 2015 6 # 786 Edmonton Region 240 kV Line Upgrades 2015 7 # 811 Central East Region Transmission Development 2017 8 # 812 Hanna Region Transmission Development 2017 9 # 850 South & West of Edmonton Area Development 2015 10 # 719 East Calgary 240 kV and 138 kV transmission system Upgrades and the Shepard Energy Centre Connection 2014 11 # 1266 LTP-KEG Sundance 500 kV 2020 12 # 1270 LTP-Otauwau-Slave Lake 2015 13 Reactors at Hotchkiss 2015 14 SVC at Fort Nelson 2015 15 # 1262 # 838 16 CTI Grande Prairie – Little Smoky – Bicker dike Transmission Development Fort McMurray Area Bulk Transmission System Reinforcement Genesee-Livock –Thickwood 500 kV 2015/2016 Phase 1: 2016 2018-19 2013 – 2015 various stages 17 # 1101 Christina Lake Area Development 18 # 1186 Fort McMurray 240 kV Transmission Development 2015 19 # 949 20 21 # 1267 Athabasca Area Transmission Development 2014 9L15 (Wesley Creek – Brintnell 240 kV) rerouting from Brintnell to Livock 2014 Algar Area System Reinforcement 2015 22 942L in and out at Josephburg station 2015 23 9L930 in and out at Heart Lake station 2014 South Calgary 69 kV Reinforcement 2014 24 1. Name # 626 SATR Stage III not included The following previously proposed system projects were not included in the studies to allow system deficiencies to be identified considering the 2012 LTO and then alternative solutions to be reviewed or identified. No system applications to the Alberta Utilities Commission (AUC) have been made for the specific projects noted below. 1. P1118 FATD West. 2. P905 North Calgary system upgrade. 3. P947 Airdrie area transmission development. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 22 Proprietary 3.4 Community Consultation During the course of developing the CARP, the AESO engaged several municipalities and counties in all of the regions to gather an understanding of area plans for growth and development as well as concerns and issues specific to the community. Appendix A provides the consultation summary. 3.5 Summary of Study Case Assumptions The primary study scenarios were based on the 2012 LTO. To assess the impact of forecast variation on the plan, the study also included the Environmental and High Co-generation forecast scenarios, as well as some sensitivity scenarios10. A summary of the study scenarios is provided in Table 3.5-1 and a complete set of the load and generation study scenarios is presented in Appendix B. The 2017, 2022 and 2032 study models created represent the near-term, medium-term and long-term planning horizons. Table 3.5-1: Summary of Study Scenarios 10 Year Load Scenarios 2017 Summer peak, Winter peak Summer Light load 2022 Summer peak, Winter peak Summer Light load 2032 Peak load and Light load Generation Scenarios 2012 LTO, Environmental and sensitivity scenarios 2012 LTO, High Cogeneration, Environmental and sensitivity scenarios 2012 LTO, High Cogeneration, Environmental and sensitivity scenarios Total Conditions 17 20 9 2012 LTO, Section 8. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 23 Proprietary 4 Need Assessment The purpose of the Need Assessment is to identify transmission constraints in the study area. This analysis is based on the Alberta Reliability Standards to test for capacity, security, performance, operability and maintenance management under forecasted future load and generation conditions. The analysis identifies the time, location and the type of criteria violations that are expected to occur, and the implications if there is inadequate transmission. The Need Assessment included a power flow analysis of the planned system under Category A, B and C events to identify the need for transmission reinforcement in the near-term, medium-term and long-term planning horizons. The power flow analysis was performed using the study scenarios outlined in Section 3.5. Category D events (extreme contingencies) as part of the TPL Compliance requirement will be performed in accordance with the TPL-004 standard for selected major stations in Alberta. The sections below present the highest observed loading for each monitored system element across the various scenarios and the worst observed loading violations for each major contingency event across the various scenarios. The detail results of the analysis are provided in Appendix C with corresponding single line diagrams in Appendix D. 4.1 Near-term Need Assessment Results This section summarizes the results of the power flow studies performed using the near-term study scenarios as outlined in Section 3.5 and identifies existing system reliability criteria violations for the 2017 planning horizon. The following sections present the results of the system evaluation under Category A, B and C5 conditions. The tabulated detailed need assessment results are provided in Appendix C and single line power flow diagrams for system normal and the critical outages discussed in this section are provided in Appendix D. 4.1.1 Near-term Category A Analysis The steady-state performance of the near-term transmission system under Category A conditions was analyzed, and the results show that the transmission line loadings and bus voltages were within acceptable limits for all of the study scenarios for Calgary area. In the Airdrie area, the 138 kV line 688L from Summit 653S to Summit Tap was loaded above 97% of its summer rating under Scenario SC3. 4.1.2 Near-term Category B Analysis The steady-state performance of the near-term transmission system was analyzed under Category B conditions. The results summarized in Table 4.1-1 below list the highest overloaded system elements identified under first outage (Category B) conditions. There were no voltage violations in the Calgary Sub-Region under Category B conditions. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 24 Proprietary Table 4.1-1: Near-term Category B Need Assessment Thermal Results Area Calgary Overloaded Element Contingency Case Rating (MVA) Maximum Thermal Loading (%) 1109L or 1080L from SS-25 to SS65 1080L or 1109L from SS-25 to SS65 SC6 489 96 11.83L from Beddington 162S to SS-11 39.82L from Beddington 162S to SS-39 SC6 313 99 39.82L from Beddington 162S to SS-39 11.83L from Beddington 162S to SS-11 SC12 287 108 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 932L from Janet 74S to Beddington 162S SC7 287 105 SC17 318 133 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 2.83L from SS-2 to SS-5 to SS-13 SC8 392 (W) 108 SC17 318 135 SC8 286 (W) 137 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L Tap Airdrie 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 21.61L from SS-21 to SS-34 15.60L from SS-15 to SS-21 SC3 37 118 36ST4 21.4TR SC2 50 102 1.82L or 1.84L from SS-1 to SS-5 1.84L or 1.82L from SS-1 to SS-5 SC8 287 99 688L from East Airdrie 199S to Nosecreek Tap 752L from East Crossfield 64S to West Crossfield 316S to Summit 653S SC3 121 106 611L from Drycreek 186S to Balzac 391S 901L from Janet 74S to East Crossfield 64S to Red Deer 63S SC2 106 107 SC7 117 (W) 108 752L from East Crossfield 64S to West Crossfield Tap 162.81L from Beddington 162S to Balzac 391S SC6 119 131 SC12 136 (W) 111 688L from Summit 653S to Summit Tap 752L from East Crossfield 64S to West Crossfield 316S to Summit 653S SC3 121 118 SC12 142 (W) 99 752L from Summit 653S to West Crossfield Tap 162.81L from Beddington 162S to Balzac 391S SC6 121 139 SC12 142 (W) 117 Note: It is assumed that the 138 kV line 9.80L (from SS-9 to SS-31) line rating can be increased to 287MVA by adjusting the CT limit ratio to 1200A. Figure 4.1-1 below highlights the thermal overload results under Category B conditions across all study scenarios for the near-term. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 25 Proprietary Figure 4.1-1: Calgary Sub-Region Near-term Thermal Overloads (Category A and B) To Red Deer 63S To Benalto 17S West Crossfield 316S 901AL East Crossfield 64S 752L 653S 929L/ 925L 906L/ 928L Nose Creek 284S 57 Airdrie 901L 688L East Airdrie 199S 631L DryCreek 186S 611L Balzac 391S Beddington 162S 918L 932L SS-47 44 Seebee 11.83L SS-14 14.83L 36.81L SS-11 11.82L 39.82L SS-36 16.63L SS-16 BEARSPAW 15.62L 7.84L SS-15 50L SS-7 11.81L 16.61L 16.60L SS-27 SS-34 3.84L 21.61L SS-13 SS-3 15.60L SS-21 SS-22 3.82L 7.82L SS-8 SS-28 Sarcee 28.80L 42S 38.83L 2.83L 1.85L 1.83L SS-5 2.83L 1.84L 1.81L SS-1 1.82L 2.82L 1.80L 3L SS-39 13.82L 1.82LSS-20 150L 22.81L 13.60L SS-38 Bonnybrook East Calgary 5S 693L SS-10 916L 832L 2.81L 37.82L SS-43 To Strathmore 151S SS-25 Shepard 24.81L SS-24 936L/937L SS-32 SS-33 765L 24.83L SS-31 L 80 9. 9.83L Janet 74S 23.80L SS-23 SS-9 SS-30 SS-37 2.80L 833L SS-12 45 Strathmore / Blackie 37.81L 936L / 937L SS-2 Crossings Langdon 102S 1065L/1064L 6.82L SS-6 40.81L SS-41 SS-40 26.81L SS-26 26.83L 924L/927L To Milo 356S SS-65 Legend N.O. Future Circuit Existing Circuit Future Substation Existing Substation 69 kV Circuit 138 kV Circuit 240 kV Circuit 500 kV Circuit HVDC line Normally Open Circuit 69 kV Substation 850L 41.84L 46 High River 54.81L SS-54 Black Diamond 392S 158L Hartell 512S 138 kV Substation 240 kV Substation 500 kV Substation Near-term Identified Issues Medium-term Identified Issues Long-term Identified Issues March 2014 Okotoks 678S To Carseland 525S Magcan 142S 812L 434L High River 65S Foothills 237S Disclaimer: This diagram is a simplified representation of the physical system configuration. Technical details have been simplified for illustration purposes. It does not accurately display the geographical location of facilities. To Chappel Rock 491S Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 26 1201L To Windy Flats 138S Proprietary 4.1.3 Near-term Category C Analysis The steady-state performance of the near-term transmission system was analyzed under Category C5 conditions. The results summarized in Table 4.1-2 below list the highest overloaded system elements identified under double-circuit tower outage (Category C5) conditions. There were no voltage violations in the Calgary Sub-Region under Category C5 conditions. Table 4.1-2: Near-term Category C5 Need Assessment Thermal Results Sub-Region Contingency Case Rating (MVA) Maximum Thermal Loading (%) 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS25 SC17 287 99 SC17 318 99 SC16 255 110 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 SC17 260 175 26.81L from SS-26 to SS-32 SC17 260 104 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 SC17 260 118 Overloaded Element 2.81L from SS-2 to SS-9 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 23.80L from Janet 74S to SS-23 54.81L from SS-65 to SS-54 Calgary 936L-937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS25 SC17 267 96 65ST1 SC17 400 128 65ST2 SC17 400 128 916L from Sarcee 42S to East Calgary 5S SC1 408 104 SC1 489 96 SC1 489 96 1109L-1080L from SS-25 to SS-65 SC3 121 101 906L-928L from Sarcee 42S to Benalto SC3 121 102 936L-937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S SC3 121 104 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 1064L-1065L from Langdon 102S to Janet 74S 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 688L from Summit 653S to Summit Tap Airdrie Note: It is assumed that the 138 kV line 9.80L (from SS-9 to SS-31) line rating can be increased to 287MVA by adjusting the CT limit ratio to 1200A. 4.2 Medium-term Need Assessment Results This section summarizes the results of the power flow studies performed using the medium-term study scenarios as outlined in Section 3.5 and identifies existing system reliability criteria violations for the medium-term planning horizon. The following sections present the results of the system evaluation under Category A, B and C5 conditions. The tabulated detailed need assessment results are provided in Appendix C and single line power flow diagrams for system normal and the critical outages discussed in this section are provided in Appendix D. 4.2.1 Medium-term Category A Analysis The steady-state performance of the medium-term transmission system was analyzed under Category A conditions. The results show that there were some transmission overloads in the Calgary Sub-Region as provided in Table 4.2-1 below. All transmission voltages were within acceptable limits. The power flow diagrams for Category A conditions for all the study scenarios are provided in Appendix D. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 27 Proprietary Table 4.2-1: Medium-term Category A Need Assessment Thermal Results Area Overloaded Element Contingency Case Rating (MVA) Maximum Thermal Loading (%) Calgary 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 N-0 SC17 318 106 Airdrie 688L from Summit 653S to the Tap N-0 SC16 121 104 4.2.2 Medium-term Category B Analysis The steady-state performance of the medium-term transmission system was analyzed under Category B conditions. The results summarized in Table 4.2-2 below show the overloaded system elements identified under first outage (Category B) conditions. The power flow diagrams for these Category B contingencies are provided in Appendix D. There were no voltage violations in the Calgary Sub-Region under Category B conditions. Table 4.2-2: Medium-term Category B Need Assessment Thermal Results Area Airdrie Overloaded Element Case Rating (MVA) Maximum Thermal Loading (%) 688L from East Airdrie 199S to Nosecreek Tap 752L from East Crossfield 64S to West Crossfield 316S to Summit 653S SC16 120 107 631L from East Airdrie 199S to Balzac 391S 901L from Janet 74S to East Crossfield 64S to Red Deer 63S SC4 106 100 SC4 106 123 611L from Drycreek 186S to Balzac 391S 901L from Janet 74S to East Crossfield 64S to Red Deer 63S SC7 117 (W) 140 162.81L from Beddington 162S to Balzac 391S SC18 119 108 752L from East Crossfield 64S to West Crossfield 316S to Summit 653S SC16 121 120 932L from Janet 74S to Beddington 162S SC9 142 (W) 100 SC18 121 120 SC9 142 (W) 97 752L from East Crossfield 64S to West Crossfield Tap 688L from Summit 653S to Summit Tap 752L from Summit 653S to West Crossfield Tap March 2014 Contingency 688L/688AL Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 28 Proprietary Table 4.2-2 Continued Area Overloaded Element Contingency Case Rating (MVA) Maximum Thermal Loading (%) 11.83L from Beddington 162S to SS-11 39.82L from Beddington 162S to SS-39 SC18 313 107 39.82L from Beddington 162S to SS-39 11.83L from Beddington 162S to SS-11 SC18 287 109 936L or 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 937L or 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S SC1 489 102 1003L or 985L from Janet 74S to SS-25 985L or 1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 SC17 977 95 916L from East Calgary 5S to Sarcee 42S 320PGT3 SC14 408 102 765L from Janet 74S to Strathmore 151S 1106L from SS-65 to Foothills 237S SC1 85 110 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 932L from Janet 74S to Beddington 162S SC17 287 124 23.80L from Janet 74S to SS-23 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 SC17 255 104 SC17 318 155 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 2.83L from SS-2 to SS-5 to SS-13 SC8 392 (W) 126 SC19 287 156 SC7 287 (W) 163 Calgary 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L Tap 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 1109L or1080L from SS-25 to SS65 1080L or 1109L from SS-25 to SS65 SC16 489 98 50L from SS-21 to Bearspaw 44S 7.82L from Sarcee 42S to SS-7 SC7 96 (W) 96 21.61L from SS-21 to SS-34 15.60L from SS-15 to SS-21 SC6 37 143 37 128 21.61L from SS-21 to SS-34 SC6 55 101 49 99 50 102 16.60L from SS-16 to SS-34 15.60L from SS-21 to SS-15 16.63L from SS-36 to SS-16 21.4TR SC6 36ST4 1.82L or 1.84L from SS-1 to SS-5 1.84L or 1.82L from SS-1 to SS-5 SC17 287 121 3.82L from SS-3 to SS-8 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 SC7 101 123 37.81L from SS-37 to SS-38 932L from Janet 74S to Beddington 162S SC17 287 101 24.81L from SS-24 to SS-31 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 SC17 287 94 Note: It is assumed that the 138 kV line 9.80L (from SS-9 to SS-31) line rating can be increased to 287MVA by adjusting the CT limit ratio to 1200A. Figure 4.2-1 below highlights the thermal overload results under Category A and B conditions across all study scenarios for the medium-year study year; the bubbles identify overloaded lines. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 29 Proprietary Figure 4.2-1: Calgary Sub-Region Medium-term Thermal Overloads (Category A and B) March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 30 Proprietary 4.2.3 Medium-term Category C Analysis The steady-state performance of the medium-term transmission system was analyzed under Category C5 conditions. The results summarized in Table 4.2-3 below show the overloaded system elements identified under Category C5 conditions. There were no voltage violations in the Calgary Sub-Region under Category C5 conditions. Table 4.2-3: Medium-term Category C5 Need Assessment Thermal Results Sub-Region Overloaded Element 2.80L from SS-2 to SS-23 2.81L from SS-2 to SS-9 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 23.80L from Janet 74S to SS-23 Contingency 936L-937L 985L-1003L 1.80L-1.81L 1037L-1038L 1064L-1065L 1106L-1107L 1109L-1080L 901L-929L 924L-927L 925L-929L 985L-1003L 936L-937L 24.81L from SS-24 to SS-31 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 Calgary 26.81L from SS-26 to SS-32 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 54.81L from SS-65 to SS-54 6.82L from SS-6 to SS-41 65.1TR 65.2TR 765L from Janet 74S to Strathmore 151S 985L-1003L 936L-937L 985L-1003L 1106L-1107L 985L-1003L 916L from East Calgary 5S to Sarcee 42S March 2014 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 1064L-1065L Langdon 102S 500/240kV transformer 1037L-1038L 1106L-1107L Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 31 Case Rating (MVA) Maximum Thermal Loading (%) SC14 SC17 SC2 SC19 SC6 SC17 SC17 SC17 SC19 SC17 SC17 SC14 SC7 SC1 SC8 SC7 SC17 SC7 SC17 SC17 SC7 SC8 SC17 SC17 SC17 SC17 SC17 SC17 SC8 SC17 SC1 SC8 260 287 318 318 318 318 318 318 318 318 318 255 287 (W) 255 287 (W) 287 260 321 (W) 260 260 287 287 287 267 159 400 400 85 90 (W) 85 408 494 (W) 106 115 105 105 110 105 107 110 105 108 118 126 111 122 110 105 189 122 113 132 109 101 100 107 103 141 141 170 121 126 131 106 SC1 489 113 SC1 489 113 SC1 SC14 1200 1200 105 103 Proprietary Table 4.2-3 Continued Sub-Region Overloaded Element 688L from East Airdrie 199S to Nosecreek Tap Airdrie 688L from Summit 653S to Summit Tap Contingency Maximum Thermal Loading (%) Rating (MVA) Case SC16 121 112 SC16 120 113 1109L-1080L SC16 121 110 901L-929L SC16 121 127 906L-928L SC16 121 112 925L-929L SC16 121 108 901L-929L 936L-937L SC3 121 112 Note: It is assumed that the 138 kV line 9.80L(from SS-9 to SS-31) line rating can be increased to 287MVA by adjusting the CT limit ratio to 1200A. 4.3 Long-term Need Assessment Results This section summarizes the results of the power flow studies performed using the long-term study scenarios as outlined in Section 3.5 and identifies existing system reliability criteria violations for the longterm planning horizon. The following sections present the results of the system evaluation under Category A and B conditions. The tabulated detailed need assessment results are provided in Appendix C and single line power flow diagrams for system normal and the critical outages discussed in this section are provided in Appendix D. 4.3.1 Long-term Category A Analysis The steady-state performance of the long-term transmission system was analyzed under Category A conditions. The results show that there were numerous overloads as listed in Table 4.3-1 below, some of which were greater than 150%. The power flow diagrams for Category A conditions for all the study scenarios are provided in Appendix D. In Scenario SC2, where Path 1 is approximately 1200 MW import, wind is high and Calgary load at peak, the 500kV line 1235L from Chapel Rock 491S to Langdon 102S and/or Langdon 500/240kV transformer reached their capacities. Table 4.3-1: Long-term Category A Need Assessment Thermal Results Area Calgary Airdrie Overloaded Element Case Rating (MVA) Maximum Thermal Loading (%) 96 936L or 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 916L from East Calgary 5S to Sarcee 42S SC9 489 SC2 408 95 765L from Janet 74S to Strathmore 151S SC3 85 161 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 SC2 287 123 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 SC2 318 150 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L Tap SC2 287 108 Langdon 500/240kV transformer SC2 1200 101 688L from East Airdrie 199S to Nose creek Tap SC4 121 100 688L from Summit 653S to Summit Tap SC4 121 115 Note: It is assumed that the 138 kV line 9.80L (from SS-9 to SS-31) line rating can be increased to 287MVA by adjusting the CT limit ratio to 1200A. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 32 Proprietary In addition, the normal system voltage in the Calgary area was slightly below the desired minimum operating limit per AESO Transmission Reliability Criteria. Table 4.3-2 below presents some of the low voltages observed in the Calgary and Airdrie areas. Table 4.3-2: Long-term Category A Need Assessment Voltage Results Area Calgary Bus and Substation Case V max (pu) V min (pu) Observed Voltage (pu) 555 (ENMX14S7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.97 588 (ENMX8S 7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.96 564 (ENMX36S7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.97 596 (ENMX7S7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.97 548 (ENMX10S7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.97 569 (ENMX3S 7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.96 581 (ENMX12S7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.97 561 (ENMX11S7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.97 550 (ENMX22S7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.96 592 (ENMX41S7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.97 568 (ENMX5S 7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.96 567 (ENMX1S 7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.96 559 (ENMX13S7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.96 571 (ENMX43S7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.97 187 (BEDDING1 240.0 kV) SC9 1.05 0.98 0.96 591 (ENMX40S7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.97 566 (ENMX20S7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.96 585 (ENMX9S 7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.97 594 (ENMX33S7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.97 552 (ENMX21S7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.97 587 (ENMX6S7 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.97 601 (2.83 TAP 138.0 kV) SC2 1.05 0.98 0.97 4.3.2 Long-term Category B Analysis The steady-state performance of the long-term transmission system was analyzed under Category B conditions. The results summarized in Table 4.3-3 below show the overloaded system elements identified under first outage (Category B) conditions. The power flow diagrams for Category B contingencies listed in Table 4.3-3 below are provided in Appendix D. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 33 Proprietary Table 4.3-3: Long-term Category B Need Assessment Thermal Results Area Overloaded Element Rating (MVA) Maximum Thermal Loading (%) 39.82L from Beddington 162S to SS-39 11.83L from Beddington 162S to SS-11 937Lor 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S SC8 313 118 SC8 287 118 SC9 489 143 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 SC9 481 108 SC7 977 105 SC8 400 117 74ST1 or 74ST2 916L from East Calgary 5S to Sarcee 42S 5ST1a or 5ST2 74ST2 or 74ST1 SC2 400 110 5ST1a (or T2) SC2 408 117 5ST2 or 5ST1a SC9 400 117 21.80L from Sarcee 42S to SS-21 SC2 230 95 SC2 287 166 23.80L from Janet 74S to SS-23 7.82L from Sarcee 42S to SS-7 932L from Janet 74S to Beddington 162S 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 SC2 255 124 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 2.83L from SS-2 to SS-5 to SS-13 SC2 318 220 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L Tap 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 SC2 287 222 2.80L from SS-2 to SS-23 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 SC2 260 99 65.1TR or 65.2TR 65.2TR or 65.1TR SC2 400 114 54.81L from SS-65 to SS-54 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 SC2 267 97 13.82L from SS-13 to SS-22 SC2 171 105 SC8 260 116 50L from SS-21 to Bearspaw 44S Langdon 102S 500/240kV transformer 21.61L from SS-21 to SS-34 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 11.83L from Beddington 162S to SS-11 7.82L from Sarcee 42S to SS-7 1037L or 1038L from Foothills 237S to SC1 16.60L from SS-16 to SS-34 SC2 96 100 SC2 1200 111 SC2 37 161 16.60L from SS-16 to SS-34 21.61L from SS-21 to SS-34 SC2 37 160 15.60L from SS-15 to SS-21 21.61L from SS-21 to SS-34 SC2 55 105 16.63L from SS-16 to SS-36 21.4TR SC2 49 139 13.60L from SS-13 to SS-27 21.4TR SC2 63 97 36ST4 21.4TR SC9 50 133 1.81L from SS-1 to SS-20 21.80L from Sarcee 42S to SS-21 SC2 155 100 1.82L or 1.84L from SS-1 to SS-5 1.84L or 1.82L from SS-1 to SS-5 SC2 287 152 3.82L from SS-3 to SS-8 37.82L from SS-37 to SS-38 SC2 101 138 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 54.81L from SS-65 to SS-54 SC2 260 116 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 SC2 260 114 SC2 287 110 SC2 287 128 24.81L from SS-24 to SS-31 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 932L from Janet 74S to Beddington 162S 932L from Janet 74S to Beddington 162S 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 SC2 287 119 32.83L from SS-32 to SS-40 54.81L from SS-65 to SS-54 SC2 159 100 22.81L from SS-22 to SS-39 38.83L from SS-38 to SS-39 37.81L from SS-37 to SS-38 March 2014 Case 11.83L from Beddington 162S to SS-11 39.82L from Beddington 162S to SS-39 936L or 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 932L from Janet 74S to Beddington 162S 985L or1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 162.1TR or 162.2TR 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 Calgary Contingency 1003L or 985L from Janet 74S to SS-25 162.2TR or 162.1TR Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 34 Proprietary Table 4.3-3 Continued Area Overloaded Element Contingency Maximum Thermal Loading (%) Rating (MVA) Case 688L from East Airdrie 199S to 932L from Janet 74S to SC4 121 118 Nose creek Tap Beddington 162S 631L from East Airdrie 199S to 64ST2 SC1 106 141 Balzac 391S 611L from Drycreek 186S to 901L from Janet 74S to East SC1 106 170 Balzac 391S Crossfield 64S to Red Deer 63S Airdrie 752L from East Crossfield 64S to 611L from Drycreek 186S to SC1 119 125 West Crossfield Tap Balzac 391S 688L from Summit 653S to 932L from Janet 74S to SC4 121 134 Summit Tap Beddington 162S 752L from Summit 653S to West 688L/688AL SC3 121 115 Crossfield Tap Note: It is assumed that the 138 kV line 9.80L (from SS-9 to SS-31) line rating can be increased to 287MVA by adjusting the CT limit ratio to 1200A. Table 4.3-4 and Table 4.3-5 below present the voltage violations in the Calgary and Airdrie areas. Table 4.3-4: Long-term Category B Need Assessment Voltage Deviation Results Area Contingency Airdrie 901L East Crossfield 240/138kV transformer Airdrie Case and Voltage Dip Bus Number SC1 SC7 SC9 4312 (E CROSS9 25.0 kV) -13% -12% -12% 4312 (E CROSS9 25.0 kV) -13% -12% -11% Table 4.3-5: Long-term Category B Need Assessment Voltage Results Area Contingency Bus and Substation Case V max (pu) V min (pu) Observed Voltage (pu) Airdrie 901L 156 (E CROSS4 240.0 kV) SC2 1.1 0.9 0.89 Some immediate post contingency low voltage issues are noted in Table 4.3-4 above in the Airdrie area. With the loss of the existing single auto-transformer at East Crossfield 64S or 901L with capacitor banks in the Airdrie area in service, the voltage dip at East Crossfield 25kV exceeds 10%. With the outage of 901L, the voltage at East Crossfield 240 kV bus fell below 90%. This voltage issue was considered in addition to the numerous thermal overload conditions observed and summarized in Table 4.3-3 above. Figure 4.3-1 below highlights the thermal overload results under Category A and B conditions across all study scenarios for the long-term study year; the bubbles identify overloaded lines. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 35 Proprietary Figure 4.3-1: Calgary Sub-Region Long-term Thermal Overloads (Category A and B) March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 36 Proprietary 4.4 Need Assessment by Area The need for transmission system development is driven primarily by Category A and B contingency violations. The following sections summarize the reliability violations in the Calgary Sub-Region as observed in each of the planning areas. 4.4.1 Calgary Area The results of the power flow analysis for the Calgary Area to assess the performance of the system under Category A, B and C are summarized in this section. There were no thermal or voltage violations in the Calgary Area under Category A conditions in nearterm. However, there were several overloads on the 138 kV circuits in the medium-term and long-term as shown in Table 4.4-1 below. The loading on the 500 kV line 1235L from Chapel Rock 491S to Langdon 102S and/or Langdon 500/240 kV transformer will be addressed by the AESO’s Intertie Restoration Program which is currently in progress. Table 4.4-1: Calgary Area Category A Thermal Violations Rating (MVA) Overloaded Element Near-Term Maximum Thermal loading (%) Medium-Term Maximum Thermal loading (%) 106 Long-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) 150 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 318 936L or 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 489 916L from East Calgary 5S to Sarcee 42S 408 95 765L from Janet 74S to Strathmore 151S 85 161 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 287 123 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L Tap 287 106 Langdon 500/240kV transformer 1200 101 96 There were also low voltage violations observed in the long-term study year as shown in Table 4.4-2 below. Table 4.4-2: Calgary Area Category A Voltage Violations Bus and Substation 127 (BEDDING2 138.0 kV) V max (pu) V min (pu) Near-term Worst Observed Voltage (pu) Medium-term Worst Observed Voltage (pu) 1.05 0.98 Long-term Worst Observed Voltage (pu) 0.98 0.98 158 (LANGDON2 500.0 kV) 1.05 1 162 (E CALGAR 240.0 kV) 1.05 0.98 0.98 187 (BEDDING1 240.0 kV) 1.05 0.98 0.97 187 (BEDDING1 240.0 kV) 1.05 0.98 0.96 198 (BALZAC 7 138.0 kV) 1.05 0.98 0.98 202 (SARCEE 7 138.0 kV) 1.05 0.98 0.97 552 (ENMX21S7 138.0 kV) 1.05 0.98 0.96 559 (ENMX13S7 138.0 kV) 1.05 0.98 0.96 579 (ENMX31S7 138.0 kV) 1.05 0.98 0.97 585 (ENMX9S 7 138.0 kV) 1.05 0.98 0.97 592 (ENMX41S7 138.0 kV) 1.05 0.98 0.97 March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 37 Proprietary There were no voltage violations in the Calgary Area under Category B conditions in near-term, mediumterm study years. However, there were several overloads observed in the near-term, medium-term and long-term as shown in Table 4.4-3 below. The results show a progressive increase in overload level and number of overloaded elements in the area from the near-term planning horizon to the long-term planning horizon. Table 4.4-3: Calgary Area Category B Thermal Violations Overloaded Element Contingency Rating (MVA) Near-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) Medium-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) Long-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) 100 99 121 152 95 105 118 1.81L from SS-1 to SS-20 21.80L from Sarcee 42S to SS-21 155 1.82L or 1.84L from SS-1 to SS-5 1.84L or 1.82L from SS-1 to SS-5 287 1003L or 985L from Janet 74S to SS-25 985L or 1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 977 11.83L from Beddington 162S to SS-11 39.82L from Beddington 162S to SS-39 313 99 107 1109L or 1080L from SS-25 to SS65 1080L or 1109L from SS-25 to SS65 489 96 98 13.60L from SS-13 to SS-27 21.4TR 63 97 13.82L from SS-13 to SS-22 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 171 105 15.60L from SS-15 to SS-21 21.61L from SS-21 to SS-34 55 101 105 16.60L from SS-16 to SS-34 21.61L from SS-21 to SS-34 37 128 160 16.63L from SS-16 to SS-36 21.4TR 49 99 139 162.1TR or 162.2TR 162.2TR or 162.1TR 400 2.80L from SS-2 to SS-23 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 2.83L from SS-2 to SS-5 to SS-13 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L Tap 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 117 260 99 318 133 155 392 (W) 108 126 287 135 156 287 (W) 137 163 118 143 220 222 15.60L from SS-15 to SS-21 37 16.60L from SS-16 to SS-34 37 161 21.80L from Sarcee 42S to SS-21 7.82L from Sarcee 42S to SS-7 230 95 22.81L from SS-22 to SS-39 11.83L from Beddington 162S to SS-11 260 116 23.80L from Janet 74S to SS-23 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 255 104 124 24.81L from SS-24 to SS-31 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 287 94 119 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 260 114 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 54.81L from SS-65 to SS-54 260 116 3.82L from SS-3 to SS-8 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 101 32.83L from SS-32 to SS-40 54.81L from SS-65 to SS-54 159 36ST4 21.4TR 50 37.81L from SS-37 to SS-38 932L from Janet 74S to Beddington 162S 287 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 932L from Janet 74S to Beddington 162S 287 21.61L from SS-21 to SS-34 March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 38 123 138 102 133 101 128 124 166 100 102 105 Proprietary Table 4.4-3 Continued Overloaded Element Contingency Rating (MVA) Near-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) Medium-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) Long-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) 38.83L from SS-38 to SS-39 932L from Janet 74S to Beddington 162S 287 39.82L from Beddington 162S to SS-39 11.83L from Beddington 162S to SS-11 287 50L from SS-21 to Bearspaw 44S 7.82L from Sarcee 42S to SS-7 96 54.81L from SS-65 to SS-54 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 267 97 5ST1a or 5ST2 5ST2 or 5ST1a 400 117 110 108 109 118 96 100 65.1TR or 65.2TR 65.2TR or 65.1TR 400 114 74ST1 / 74ST2 74ST2 / 74ST1 400 110 765L from Janet 74S to Strathmore 151S 1106L from SS-65 to Foothills 237S 85 110 916L from East Calgary 5S to Sarcee 42S 320PGT3 408 102 5ST1a (or T2) 408 117 932L from Janet 74S to Beddington 162S 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS-37 481 108 936L or 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 937Lor 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 489 Langdon 102S 500/240kV transformer 1037L or 1038L from Foothills 237S to SC1 1200 102 143 111 Note: It is assumed that the 138 kV line 9.80L (from SS-9 to SS-31) line rating can be increased to 287MVA by adjusting the CT limit ratio to 1200A. Category C5 contingency analysis was performed for the near-term and medium-term study years only. There were no voltage violations in the Calgary area under Category C5 conditions in near-term and medium-term study years. However, there were several overloads observed in the near-term and medium-term study years as shown in Table 4.4-4 below. The results show a progressive increase in overload level and number of overloaded elements in the area from the near-term study year to the medium-term study year. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 39 Proprietary Table 4.4-4: Calgary Area Category C5 Thermal Violations Overloaded Element Contingency Rating (MVA) Near-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) 2.80L from SS-2 to SS-23 936L-937L 2.81L from SS-2 to SS-9 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 287 1.80L-1.81L 318 105 1037L-1038L 318 105 1064L-1065L 318 110 1106L-1107L 318 105 1109L-1080L 318 107 901L-929L 318 110 924L-927L 318 105 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 260 Medium-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) 106 318 985L-1003L 318 99 118 255 110 126 936L-937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 24.81L from SS-24 to SS-31 936L-937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 24.83L from SS-65 to SS-24 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 260 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 260 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 37.82L from Janet 74S to SS37 54.81L from SS-65 to SS-54 115 925L-929L 23.80L from Janet 74S to SS23 26.81L from SS-26 to SS-32 99 108 287 (W) 111 287 105 260 189 321 (W) 122 175 113 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 260 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 260 104 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 936L-937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 260 287 287 100 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 267 107 132 118 109 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 267 6.82L from SS-6 to SS-41 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 159 103 65.1TR 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 400 141 65.2TR 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 400 65ST1 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 400 128 65ST2 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 400 128 765L from Janet 74S to Strathmore 151S 1106L-1107L 96 141 85 170 90 (W) 121 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 85 916L from East Calgary 5S to Sarcee 42S 1064L-1065L from Langdon 102S to Janet 74S 408 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 1064L-1065L from Langdon 102S to Janet 74S 1064L-1065L from Langdon 102S to Janet 74S 1037L-1038L 1200 105 1106L-1107L 1200 103 Langdon 102S 500/240kV transformer March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 40 126 104 494 (W) 131 106 489 96 113 489 96 113 Proprietary 4.4.2 Airdrie Area The results of the power flow analysis for the Airdrie Area to assess the performance of the system under Category A, B and C are summarized in this section. There were no thermal or voltage violations in the Airdrie Area under Category A conditions in near-term study year. However, there were overloads on the 138 kV circuits in the medium-term and long-term study year as shown in Table 4.4-5 below. Table 4.4-5: Airdrie Area Category A Thermal Violations Rating (MVA) Overloaded Element 688L from Summit 653S to Summit Tap 121 688L from East Airdrie 199S to Nosecreek Tap 121 Near-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) Medium-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) 104 Long-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) 115 100 There were also low voltage violations observed in the long-term study year as shown in Table 4.4-6 below. Table 4.4-6: Airdrie Area Category A Voltage Violations Bus and Substation 177 (AIRDRIE 138.0 kV) V max (pu) V min (pu) 1.05 0.98 Near-term Worst Observed Voltage (pu) Mediumterm Worst Observed Voltage (pu) Long-term Worst Observed Voltage (pu) 0.98 There were several overloads observed in the near-term, medium-term and long-term study years under Category B conditions as shown in Table 4.4-7 below. The results show a progressive increase in overload level and number of overloaded elements in the area from near-term to long-term. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 41 Proprietary Table 4.4-7: Airdrie Area Category B Thermal Violations Overloaded Element Contingency 611L from Drycreek 186S to Balzac 391S 901L from Janet 74S to East Crossfield 64S to Red Deer 63S 631L from East Airdrie 199S to Balzac 391S 688L from East Airdrie 199S to Nosecreek Tap 688L from Summit 653S to Summit Tap 117 (W) 108 117 121 118 142 (W) 99 932L from Janet 74S to Beddington 162S 142 (W) 611L from Drycreek 186S to Balzac 391S 162.81L from Beddington 162S to Balzac 391S 752L from Summit 653S to West Crossfield Tap Medium-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) 123 64ST2 901L from Janet 74S to East Crossfield 64S to Red Deer 63S 752L from East Crossfield 64S to West Crossfield 316S to Summit 653S 932L from Janet 74S to Beddington 162S 752L from East Crossfield 64S to West Crossfield 316S to Summit 653S 162.81L from Beddington 162S to Balzac 391S 752L from East Crossfield 64S to West Crossfield Tap 106 Near-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) 107 Rating (MVA) 688L/688AL Long-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) 170 106 141 106 100 120 106 107 121 118 120 121 134 100 119 129 136 (W) 111 108 119 125 121 139 142 (W) 117 121 120 142 (W) 97 115 There are no existing double circuit transmission towers connection stations in the Airdrie area except for a short section of double circuit 138 kV monopoles leading to Dry Creek 186S. Table 4.4-8 shows the Category C5 thermal violations observed in the Airdrie area. Table 4.4-8: Airdrie Area Category C5 Thermal Violations Overloaded Element Contingency 688L from East Airdrie 199S to Nose Creek Tap 901L-929L 688L from Summit 653S to Summit Tap 1109L-1080L from SS-25 to SS-65 901L-929L 906L-928L from Sarcee 42S to Benalto 925L-929L 936L-937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S March 2014 Rating (MVA) Near-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) 121 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 42 121 112 101 121 121 110 127 102 121 121 Medium-term Maximum Thermal loading (%) 112 108 104 112 Proprietary 4.5 Need Assessment Summary Table 4.5-1 below summarizes the need for transmission reinforcement in the Calgary Sub-Region. Figure 4.5-1 below shows areas with criteria violations under Category A and Category B outages for the near-term, medium-term, and long-term study years. Table 4.5-1: Summary of Need Assessment Area Need Summary Limited transmission capacity on the existing 138 kV system to transfer generation into the area and to accommodate forecasted load growth. Need Period Near through long-term Calgary (Area 6) Limited transmission capability on the existing 69 kV system to accommodate forecasted load growth. Airdrie (Area 57) Limited transmission capacity on the existing 138 kV system due to low capacity of existing transmission lines. Near through long-term Near through long-term In addition, the Need Assessment results also showed that the 500 kV line from Chapel Rock 491S to Langdon 102S and the Langdon 102S 500/240 kV transformer overloaded under high import (Path 1, approximately 1200 MW) and high wind scenario. This intertie issue will be studied as part of AESO’s Intertie Restoration Program, which is currently in progress. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 43 Proprietary Figure 4.5-1: Calgary Sub-Region Need Assessment Summary (Near-term to Long-term) To Red Deer 63S To Benalto 17S West Crossfield 316S 901AL East Crossfield 64S 752L 901L 929L/925L 653S 906L/ 928L Nose Creek 284S 57 Airdrie 688L East Airdrie 199S 631L DryCreek 186S 611L Balzac 391S YY Beddington 162S 918L 44 Seebee 932L SS-47 SS-49 11.83L SS-14 14.83L 36.81L SS-11 11.82L 39.82L SS-36 16.63L SS-16 BEARSPAW 15.62L 7.84L 50L SS-15 SS-7 11.81L 16.61L 16.60L SS-27 21.61L 6 Calgary SS-13 SS-3 SS-22 3.82L 1.82LSS-20 1.80L 3L 3.84L 15.60L 7.82L 150L SS-39 13.82L SS-34 SS-21 22.81L 13.60L 1.85L 1.83L SS-5 2.83L 1.84L 1.81L SS-1 1.82L 2.82L SS-28 Sarcee 28.80L 42S 693L 38.83L 2.83L SS-8 SS-38 Bonnybrook East Calgary 5S SS-10 916L 832L 2.80L 833L 37.82L Janet 74S 765L To Strathmore 151S 24.83L SS-25 Shepard SS-31 8 9. 9.83L 23.80L SS-23 SS-9 0L SS-43 SS-30 SS-37 2.81L SS-12 45 Strathmore / Blackie 37.81L 936L / 937L SS-2 24.81L SS-24 SS-32 SS-33 Crossings Langdon 102S 936L/937L 1065L/1064L 6.82L SS-6 40.81L SS-41 SS-40 26.81L 924L/927L To Milo 356S SS-65 SS-26 26.83L 850L N.O. 54.81L SS-54 Future Circuit Existing Circuit Future Substation Existing Substation 69 kV Circuit 138 kV Circuit 240 kV Circuit 500 kV Circuit HVDC line Normally Open Circuit 69 kV Substation 46 High River Black Diamond 392S 158L Hartell 512S 240 kV Substation March 2014 Okotoks 678S Magcan 142S 812L 434L High River 65S Foothills 237S 138 kV Substation 500 kV Substation Near-term Identified Issues Medium-term Identified Issues Long-term Identified Issues To Carseland 525S 41.84L Legend Disclaimer: This diagram is a simplified representation of the physical system configuration. Technical details have been simplified for illustration purposes. It does not accurately display the geographical location of facilities. To Chappel Rock 491S Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 44 1201L To Windy Flats 138S Proprietary 5 Alternative Development and Screening Alternatives were formulated with consideration to the type of violations, the geographic location of transmission constraints, projected in-service dates of need, the long term load and generation forecasts, and the geography of the study area. The basic guidelines adopted in devising the alternatives include: Facilities that are 138 kV and 240 kV voltage levels. It was not necessary to investigate 500 kV facilities because the load and generation forecasts are well below the transfer capabilities of the 500 kV facilities. Rebuilding of existing facilities to higher capacities. Build new facilities to alleviate existing constraints. Reactive support devices to improve system voltages. Line lengths were estimated based upon review of geographic maps including Google Earth and knowledge of local area and allowance was made for uncertainty in actual routing. The alternatives development assumed existing substations could be expanded; however, TFOs will validate this assumption in their high level assessment of the proposed alternatives. The sections below describe the proposed alternatives for each area. It should be noted that the proposed alternatives serve the system needs over the 20 year planning horizon and beyond and thus are considered to be ultimate transmission development for the 20 years planning horizon. 5.1 Calgary Area Alternatives The existing transmission system issues identified in the Calgary Area are summarized in Table 5.1-1 below. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 45 Proprietary Table 5.1-1: Calgary Area System Issues and Conceptual Solutions Issues Identified Conceptual Solutions Rationale 1. New 138 kV cables from SS-2 to SS-1 or SS-8 OR Downtown load supply: significant overloads identified on the 138 kV cables to supply load at SS-1, SS-5, and SS-8 in near through long term 2. Convert existing SS-8 to a new 240/138 kV source substation. New 240 kV lines from East Calgary, Beddington SS-162 or Sarcee 42S. OR 1. Additional capacity at 138 kV. 2. Additional capacity at 240 kV bypass 138 kV circuits. 3. Flow control increase flow from other source and decrease flow on overloaded circuits. 3. Power flow control device (e.g. phase shifting transformer or FACTs device). North 69 kV load supply: overloads on the 69 kV network in near through long term. Partial or full conversion of 69 kV network to 138 kV. Address capacity and equipment condition. 1. New 240/138 kV station in north west Calgary and associated new 138 kV lines. Other north Calgary issues: overload on 138 kV lines in north Calgary network as well as 240/138kV transformers at Beddington SS-162 and Janet 74S OR 1. Additional capacity in north Calgary 2. Convert SS-36 to 240 kV and upgrade associated 138 kV lines 2. Similar to 1. AND 3. Address overloads on the 138 kV lines between Janet 74S and Beddington SS-162. 3. In-out 929L at Beddington SS162. Overloads on 138 kV lines in south Calgary network including the 138 kV lines coming out of SS-65 as well as the 240/138 kV transformer at SS-65. Overloads on 240kV lines between Sarcee 42S, Janet 74S and SS-25 1. FATD West lines from Foothills 237S to Sarcee 42S OR 2. FATD West lines terminated at SS-6 or SS-41 with upgrades of local 138 kV lines coming 11 out of SS-6 / SS-41 . 1. Evacuate high local generation in south east Calgary and wind power in southern Alberta. 2. Similar to 1. Six alternatives were evaluated for the Calgary area, which include both 240 kV and 138 kV level facilities. The descriptions of these alternatives are presented in the following sections. 11 This option was examined and was viewed as less desirable than completing the 240kV loop to Sarcee. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 46 Proprietary 5.1.1 Calgary Area Alternative 1 Alternative 1 includes the following developments: 1. Downtown supply a. Two new 138 kV circuits approximately 5 km with minimum rating of approximately 300 MVA each to connect SS-2 to SS-1 (or SS-8) b. New 2 x 54 MVAr capacitor banks at SS-1 (or SS-8) 2. North 69 kV network upgrade to 138 kV system 3. New 240/138 kV Lochend 75S substation and new 138 kV lines from Lochend 75S to SS-49 (or SS-47), SS-14, and SS-36 4. 929L connected to Beddington in an in-out configuration 5. New 138 kV line from SS-23 to SS-22 6. New 138 kV line from Janet to SS-37 7. New capacitor banks: 54 MVAr at SS-22; 54 MVAr at SS-13 8. FATD West double circuit 240 kV lines from Foothills 237S to Sarcee 42S The simplified diagram for Alternative 1 is shown in Figure 5.1-1 below. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 47 Proprietary Figure 5.1-1: Calgary Area – Alternative 1 March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 48 Proprietary 5.1.2 Calgary Area Alternative 2 Alternative 2 includes the following developments: 1. Downtown supply: convert the existing SS-8 to 240/138 kV substation to be completed with: a. Two 240/138 kV 400 MVA transformers b. New 240 kV circuit from East Calgary 5S to SS-8 240 kV c. New 240 kV circuit from Beddington SS-162 to SS-8 240 kV d. New 2 x 54 MVAr capacitor banks at SS-1 2. North 69 kV network upgrade to 138 kV system 3. New 240/138 kV Lochend 75S substation in northwest and new 138kV lines from Lochend 75S to SS-49 (or SS-47), SS-14, and SS-36 4. 929L connected to Beddington SS-162 in an in-out configuration 5. Normally open (N.O.) 3.82L and new 138 kV line from SS-27 to SS-3 6. New 138 kV line from SS-23 to SS-22 7. New 138 kV line from Janet to SS-37 8. New capacitor banks: 54 MVAr at SS-22 and 54 MVAr at SS-13 9. FATD West double circuit 240 kV lines from Foothills 237S to Sarcee 42S The simplified diagram for Alternative 2 is shown in Figure 5.1-2 below. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 49 Proprietary WATL To Sunnybrook Figure 5.1-2: Calgary Area – Alternative 2 985L/1003L 32.83L 24.82L 33.84L 33.83L 31.84L 30.81L 1109L/1080L 6.80L L 80 9. 1107L 1106L 850L 646L March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 50 Proprietary 5.1.3 Calgary Area Alternative 3 Alternative 3 includes the following developments: 1. Downtown supply: convert the existing SS-8 to 240/138kV substation to be completed with a. Two 240/138 kV 400 MVA transformers b. New 240 kV circuit from East Calgary to SS-8 240 kV c. New 240 kV 400 MVA phase shifting transformer (PST) at Beddington is assumed although a solid state flow control device may also be considered. d. New 240 kV circuit from Beddington PST to SS-8 240 kV e. New 2 x 54 MVAr capacitor banks at SS-1 2. North 69kV network upgrade to 138kV system 3. New 240/138 kV Lochend 75S substation and new 138 kV lines from Lochend 75S to SS-49 (or SS-47), SS-14, and SS-36 4. 929L connected to Beddington in an in-out configuration 5. Rebuild 3.82L underground cable with higher capacity cable (~300 MVA). 6. New 138kV line from SS-23 to SS-22 7. New 138kV line from Janet 74S to SS-37 8. New capacitor banks: 54 MVAr at SS-22; 54 MVAr at SS-13 9. FATD West double circuit 240 kV lines from Foothills 237S to Sarcee 42S The simplified diagram for Alternative 3 is shown in Figure 5.1-3 below. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 51 Proprietary WATL To Sunnybrook Figure 5.1-3: Calgary Area – Alternative 3 985L/1003L 32.83L 24.82L 33.84L 33.83L 31.84L 30.81L 1109L/1080L 6.80L L 80 9. 1107L 1106L 850L 646L March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 52 Proprietary 5.1.4 Calgary Area Alternative 4 Alternative 4 includes the following developments: 1. Downtown supply: convert the existing SS-8 to 240/138 kV substation to be completed with: a. Two 240/138 kV 400 MVA transformers b. New 240 kV circuit from Sarcee to SS-8 240 kV c. New 240 kV circuit from Beddington to SS-8 240 kV d. New 2 x 54 MVAr capacitor banks at SS-1 2. North 69 kV network upgrade to 138 kV system 3. New 240/138 kV Lochend 75S substation and new 138 kV lines from Lochend 75S to SS-49 (or SS-47), SS-14, and SS-36 4. 929L connected to Beddington in an in and out configuration 5. Normally open (N.O.) 3.82L and new 138kV line from SS-27 to SS-3 6. Normally open (N.O.) 2.83L from SS-13 to the tap 7. New 138 kV line from SS-23 to SS-22 8. New 138 kV line from Janet 74S to SS-37 9. New capacitor banks: 54 MVAr at SS-22 and 54 MVAr at SS-13 10. FATD West double circuit 240 kV lines from Foothills 237S to Sarcee 42S The simplified diagram for Alternative 4 is shown in Figure 5.1-4 below. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 53 Proprietary Figure 5.1-4: Calgary Area – Alternative 4 To Benalto 17S To Red Deer 63S 901L 611L 906L/ 928L 929L/ 925L YY Beddington 162S 918L 75S 932L 44 Seebee SS-49 SS-47 SS-14 11.83L SS-11 11.82L 14.83L SS-36 SS-16 36.81L 39.82L 11.81L SS-27 BEARSPAW 50L SS-15 SS-34 3.84L 21.61L SS-7 SS-39 13.82L SS-13 SS-3 SS-22 3.82L SS-21 N.O. 1.82L 7.82L SS-28 150L 28.80L Sarcee 42S 38.83L 2.83L SS-8 1.80L 3L 22.81L 16.60L 7.84L N.O. SS-20 1.85L 1.83L SS-5 2.83L 1.84L 1.81L 1.82L SS-1 2.82L N.O. East Calgary 5S Bonnybrook 693L 916L SS-10 833L 832L SS-12 To Foothills 237S SS-37 2.80L 2.81L SS-43 Janet 74S 37.82L 23.80L SS-23 765L SS-25 Shepard 24.81L SS-24 SS-32 SS-33 To Strathmore 151S 24.83L SS-31 L 80 9. 9.83L 45 Strathmore / Blackie 37.81L 936L / 937L SS-2 SS-9 SS-30 SS-38 936L/937L Crossing Langdon 102S 1065L/1064L 6.82L SS-6 40.81L SS-41 SS-40 26.81L SS-26 To Milo 356S SS-65 26.83L Legend N.O. Future Circuit Existing Circuit Future Substation Existing Substation 69 kV Circuit 138 kV Circuit 240 kV Circuit 500 kV Circuit HVDC line Normally Open Circuit 69 kV Substation 924L/927L 850L 41.84L 46 High River SS-54 Black Diamond 392S To Carseland 525S 54.81L 158L Bigrock Okotoks 678S Magcan 142S Hartell 512S 812L 138 kV Substation 240 kV Substation 500 kV Substation Proposed Development March 2014 Disclaimer: This diagram is a simplified representation of the physical system configuration. Technical details have been simplified for illustration purposes. It does not accurately display the geographical location of facilities. Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 54 To Chappel Rock 491S High River 434L 65S To Sarcee 42S Foothills 237S 1201L Proprietary 5.1.5 Calgary Area Alternative 5 Alternative 5 includes the following developments: 1. Downtown supply: convert the existing SS-8 to 240/138 kV substation to be completed with a. Two 240/138 kV 400 MVA transformers b. New 240 kV circuit from East Calgary 5S to SS-8 240 kV c. New 240 kV circuit from Sarcee 42S to SS-8 240 kV d. New 2 x 54 MVAr capacitor banks at SS-1 2. North 69 kV network upgrade to 138 kV system 3. New 240/138 kV Lochend 75S substation and new 138 kV lines from Lochend 75S to SS-49 (or SS-47), SS-14, and SS-36 4. 929L connected to Beddington SS-162 in an in and out configuration 5. Normally open (N.O.) 3.82L and new 138 kV line from SS-27 to SS-3 6. New 138 kV line from SS-23 to SS-22 7. New 138 kV line from Janet to SS-37 8. New capacitor banks: 54 MVAr at SS-22; 54 MVAr at SS-13 9. FATD West double circuit 240 kV lines from Foothills 237S to Sarcee 42S The simplified diagram for Alternative 5 is shown in Figure 5.1-5 below. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 55 Proprietary Figure 5.1-5: Calgary Area – Alternative 5 March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 56 Proprietary 5.1.6 Calgary Area Alternative 6 Alternative 6 includes the following developments: 1. Downtown supply: convert existing SS-8 to 240/138 kV station completed with a. Two 240/138 kV 400 MVA transformers b. New 240 kV circuit from East Calgary 5S to SS-8 240 kV c. New 240 kV circuit from Beddington SS-162 to SS-8 240 kV d. New 2 x 54 MVAr capacitor banks at SS-1 2. North 69 kV network upgrade to 138 kV 3. Convert SS-36 to 240 kV and new line from SS-36 to SS-49 (or SS-47); rebuild the line from SS36 to SS-14 4. 929L connected to Beddington SS-162 in an in and out configuration 5. Normally open (N.O.) 3.82L and new 138 kV line from SS-27 to SS-3 6. New 138 kV line from SS-23 to SS-22 7. New 138 kV line from Janet 74S to SS-37 8. New capacitor banks: 54 MVAr at SS-22 and 54 MVAr at SS-13 9. FATD West double circuit 240 kV lines from Foothills 237S to Sarcee 42S The simplified diagram for Alternative 6 is shown in Figure 5.1-6 below. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 57 Proprietary Figure 5.1-6: Calgary Area – Alternative 6 March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 58 Proprietary 5.2 Airdrie Area Alternatives The existing transmission system issues identified in the Calgary Area are summarized in Table 5.2-1 below. Table 5.2-1: Airdrie Area System Issues and Conceptual Solutions Area Issues Identified Conceptual Solutions 1. Upgrade the overloaded existing lines with higher capacity lines. Airdrie Overload on the 138 kV line due to load and generation condition and low capacity of the existing transmission lines. OR 2. Breakup the existing single big 138 kV loop system to small looped systems. OR 3. New 240/138 kV source substation. Rationale 1. Additional 138 kV capacity on same system topology. 2. Reduce flow through after outage thereby relieving 138 kV overloads. 3. Provides additional power injection in middle of 138 kV Airdrie system to reduce 138 kV flows from SS-162 and East Crossfield 64S while allowing for provision of future POD east of Airdrie. Based on the AESO’s pre-consultation, a new point of delivery (POD) was assumed in the long-term and possibly located in the southeast area of Airdrie. The load level at this POD in long-term was assumed to be 30 MW (p.f. of 0.9) in addition to the forecasted area peak load in order to assess the impact of this potential new POD. The proposed option to connect the new POD was dependent on the assumed location of the new POD. If the location of the new POD changes, there may be other connection alternatives for the new POD. Four alternatives were evaluated for the Airdrie area, one of which includes both 240 kV and 138 kV level facilities. The descriptions of these alternatives are presented in the following sections. 5.2.1 Airdrie Area Alternative 1 In Alternative 1, existing 138 kV lines were rebuilt with higher capacity conductor. Alternative 1 includes the following developments: 1. 901L tap converted to in-out configuration at East Crossfield 64S 2. One new 240/138kV 200 MVA transformer at East Crossfield 64S 3. Upgrade existing 138 kV lines 752L from East Crossfield 64S to Airdrie tap to Summit 653S to higher thermal capacity line (260MVA) 4. Upgrade existing 138 kV line 688L from Summit 653S to Nose Creek tap to East Airdrie 199S to higher capacity line (260MVA) 5. Upgrade existing 138 kV line 631L from East Airdrie 199S to DryCreek 186S to higher capacity line (260MVA) 6. Upgrade existing 138 kV line 611L from Drycreek 186S to Balzac with higher capacity line (260MVA) 7. New 138 kV lines to connect New POD (approximately 5 km) to 611L. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 59 Proprietary 8. Upgrade /install protection systems as necessary to facilitate the above system reinforcements The simplified diagram for Alternative 1 is shown in Figure 5.2-1 below. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 60 901L 925L/ 929L Figure 5.2-1: Airdrie Area – Alternative 1 Proprietary 5.2.2 Airdrie Area Alternative 2 Alternative 2 breaks up the existing 138 kV network into two smaller 138 kV loops to prevent the cross flows. Alternative 2 includes the following developments: 1. 901L tap converted to in and out configuration at East Crossfield 64S 2. One new 240/138 kV 200 MVA transformer at East Crossfield 64S 3. Upgrade existing 138 kV lines 752L from East Crossfield 64S to Airdrie tap to Summit 653S to higher capacity line (177 MVA) 4. Upgrade the existing 138 kV line 688L from Summit 653S to Summit tap to East Airdrie 199S to higher capacity line (177 MVA) 5. Upgrade the existing 138 kV line 611L from Drycreek 186S to Balzac with higher capacity line (177 MVA) 6. Build a new 138 kV line from East Airdrie 199S to East Crossfield 64S (approximately 30 km, 177 MVA) 7. Normally open (N.O.) 631L from East Airdrie 199S to Drycreek 186S 8. New 138 kV line from Beddington to DryCreek 186S (approximately 13 km, 177 MVA) 9. New 138 kV lines to connect the New POD to the newly proposed 138 kV line between Beddington 162S and DryCreek 186S (approximately 5 km, 177 MVA) in an in/out configuration 10. Upgrade /install protection systems as necessary to facilitate the above system reinforcements The simplified diagram for Alternative 2 is shown in Figure 5.2-2 below. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 61 Proprietary March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 62 901L 929L 925L Figure 5.2-2: Airdrie Area – Alternative 2 Proprietary 5.2.3 Airdrie Area Alternative 3 Similar to Alternative 2, Alternative 3 also breaks up the existing 138 kV network into two smaller 138 kV loops to prevent cross flows. Alternative 3 includes the following developments: 1. 901L tap converted to in and out configuration at East Crossfield 64S 2. One new 240/138 kV 200 MVA transformer at East Crossfield 64S 3. Upgrade the existing 138 kV lines 752L from East Crossfield 64S to Airdrie tap to Summit 653S to higher capacity line (177 MVA) 4. Upgrade the existing 138 kV line 688L from Summit 653S to Nosecreek tap and from Nose Creek tap to the joint to higher capacity line (177 MVA) 5. Build a new 138 kV line from 688L joint to East Crossfield 64S (approximately 20 km, 177 MVA) 6. Normally open (N.O.) 688L from the joint to East Airdrie 199S 7. Upgrade the existing 138 kV line 611L from Drycreek 186S to Balzac with higher capacity line (177 MVA) 8. New 138 kV line from Beddington 162S to DryCreek 186S (approximately 13 km, 177 MVA) 9. New 138 kV lines from New POD to the newly proposed 138kV line between Beddington 162S and DryCreek 186S (approximately 5 km, 177 MVA) in an in/out configuration 10. Upgrade /install protection systems as necessary to facilitate the above system reinforcements The simplified diagram for Alternative 3 is shown in Figure 5.1-3. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 63 Proprietary Figure 5.2-3: Airdrie Area – Alternative 3 To Red Deer 63S West Crossfield 316S 901AL 752L East Crossfield 64S 653S Nose Creek 284S N.O. 688L East Airdrie 199S 631L DryCreek 186S Legend N.O. Future Circuit Existing Circuit Future Substation Existing Substation 69 kV Circuit 138 kV Circuit 240 kV Circuit 500 kV Circuit HVDC line Normally Open Circuit 69 kV Substation New PoD 611L Balzac 391S Beddington 162S 932L 138 kV Substation 240 kV Substation 500 kV Substation Proposed Development March 2014 Disclaimer: This diagram is a simplified representation of the physical system configuration. Technical details have been simplified for illustration purposes. It does not accurately display the geographical location of facilities. Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 64 To Janet 74S Proprietary 5.2.4 Airdrie Area Alternative 4 Alternative 4 adds a new 240/138 kV source station to provide supply to the load growth in the Airdrie area. Alternative 4 includes the following developments: 1. 901L tap converted to In-Out configuration at East Crossfield 64S 2. Upgrade the existing 138 kV lines 752L from East Crossfield 64S to Airdrie tap to Summit 653S to higher capacity line (177 MVA) 3. Upgrade the existing 138 kV line 688L from Summit 653S to Nosecreek tap and from Nose Creek tap to the joint to higher capacity line (177 MVA) 4. One new 240/138 kV station assumed to be approximately 12 km east of Dry Creek 186S station including one 240/138 kV 200 MVA transformer 5. Approximately 300 metres of new double circuit 240 kV line to connect 929L to new source station in an in and out configuration 6. Approximately 12 km of new double circuit 138 kV line to loop in and out connection between the new station and 631L south of East Airdrie 199S. 7. Upgrade the existing 631L from East Airdrie 199S to the north circuit of D/C to new source station with higher capacity line (177 MVA) 8. Upgrade the existing 611L from Dry Creek 186S to Balzac with high capacity line (177 MVA). 9. Approximately 2 km of new double circuit 138 kV line to connect the south circuit at new POD in an in and out configuration. 10. Upgrade /install protection systems as necessary to facilitate the above system reinforcements The simplified diagram for Alternative 4 is shown in Figure 5.2-4 below. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 65 Proprietary March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 66 901L 925L/ 929L Figure 5.2-4: Airdrie Area – Alternative 4 Proprietary 5.3 Alternative Screening As part of the Alternative Screening process, the six Calgary Area alternatives and the four Airdrie Area alternatives were evaluated. 4 Calgary alternatives and 3 Airdrie alternatives are shortlisted for detailed evaluation.. 5.3.1 Calgary Area Alternative Screening Table 5.3-1 below summarizes the alternatives considered for the Calgary area. Table 5.3-1: Comparison of Alternatives - Calgary Area Alternative Advantages Alt-1 Provides geographic diversity for the downtown load supply. Addition of flow control device at Beddington provides flexibility in controlling power flow in north Calgary 240 kV system. Alt-3 Alt-4 Downtown Calgary load mainly supplied from East Calgary 5S / SS-2 via 138 kV; less geographic diversity than other alternatives. Potential overload of existing transformers at East Calgary, requiring reinforcement – either replacing the transformer with higher capacity ones, or 3rd transformer at East Calgary 5S / SS-2 with limited space for further expansion after ECTP. Potentially high cost of U/G cables. SS-2 has limited expansion space/terminations. Potential high cost of U/G cables and 240 kV development in downtown area. Additional cost for flow controller device in short to medium term. Introduces additional control complexity in real time operations. Potential higher cost than Alt-2. Limited space and accessibility at Sarcee station. Higher cost than Alt2. Limited space and accessibility at Sarcee station. Higher cost of rebuilding SS-36 to 240 kV (GIS station) than Lochend 75S substation as proposed in other alternatives Limited future expandability for connecting new generation and/or load at SS-36. Includes fewer transmission equipment in the downtown stations Alt-2 Alt-5 Disadvantages Provides geographic diversity for the downtown load supply. Provides geographic diversity for the downtown load supply. Alt-6 All the proposed alternatives satisfy the Alberta Reliability Standards. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 67 Proprietary Alternative 5 provides geographic diversity for the downtown load supply, but with potentially higher cost and limited space and accessibility at Sarcee 42S and also has a less desirable routing. Alternative 6 is similar to developing Lochend 75S substation, but with less flexibility to connect future load or generation due to the existing location of SS-36. Based on the relative advantages and disadvantages of each of the Calgary area alternatives described in Table 5.3-1 above, Alternatives 1, 2, 3 and 4 were selected for further studies. 5.3.2 Airdrie Area Alternative Screening Table 5.3-2 below summarizes the alternatives considered for the Airdrie area. Table 5.3-2: Comparison of the Alternatives - Airdrie Area Alternative Alt-1 Alt-2 Alt-3 Alt-4 Advantages Disadvantages Potential cross flow on the Airdrie 138 kV system. Meets reliability criteria Eliminate cross flow Meets reliability criteria. Eliminate cross flow Meets reliability criteria. Provide a new source substation Meets reliability criteria. More 138 kV transmission development from East Crossfield 64S to East Airdrie 199S. More 138 kV transmission development from East Crossfield 64S to Nose Creek 284S Higher cost than Alt-2. Higher cost than other alternatives. Potentially higher land impact with longer new ROW Based on the advantages and disadvantages of each of the Airdrie area alternatives described in Table 5.3-2 above, Alternatives 1, 2 and 4 were selected for further studies. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 68 Proprietary 6 Alternative Evaluation This section summarizes the technical evaluation of the selected Calgary and Airdrie area alternatives, the system losses and high level land impact associated with each alternative. 6.1 Technical Evaluation The proposed alternatives described in Section 5 above for both Calgary and Airdrie areas were evaluated in the near-term, medium-term and long-term horizons. The steady state system performance was simulated for each alternative and the system performance was tested for compliance with the ARS. Power flow diagrams for all the proposed alternatives are provided in Appendix E. The evaluation begins with the long-term. Here the proposed developments in each Alternative were modeled in the long-term study year and the steady state performance of this ultimate development was investigated to determine they meet reliability criteria. In the subsequent sections, the AESO investigated and determined the proper timing of facilities required for the near-term and medium-term. The following sections show the power flow results for each of the Calgary and Airdrie area alternatives in the long-term. 6.2 Calgary Area Alternatives The following sections show the power flow results for the four Calgary area alternatives. 6.2.1 Category A - System Normal (N-0) No thermal and no voltage violations were observed under system normal conditions across all the study scenarios in the long-term for all four Calgary alternatives. 6.2.2 Category B - Single Element Outage (N-1) In the Calgary area, no voltage violations were observed under Category B contingencies, but thermal violations or near thermal violations were observed under single element outages in the long-term horizon and are summarized in Table 6.2-1 below. These thermal violations (except for Alternative 1) were related to 240 kV lines and could be alleviated by re-dispatching HVDC flows. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 69 Proprietary Table 6.2-1: Long-term Category B Thermal Violations for Calgary Alternatives Overloaded Element 936L or 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S Contingency 937L or 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S Case Alternative Rating (MVA) Observed Thermal Loading (%) Observed Loading MVA SC2 Alt1 489 97 486 SC2 Alt2 489 103 521 SC2 Alt3 489 97 488 SC2 Alt4 489 94 474 SC9 Alt2 489 99 498 East Calgary 5S 240/138kV transformer T1 or T2 East Calgary 5S 240/138kV transformer T2 or T1 SC2 Alt1 400 102 409 SC7 Alt1 400 100 400 SC9 Alt1 400 95 381 SC8 Alt1 489 104 528 1109L or 1080L from SS-65 to SS25 1080L or 1109L from SS-65 to SS25 SC8 Alt2 489 98 500 SC8 Alt3 489 96 490 SC8 Alt4 489 100 505 In all four Calgary alternatives, 936L and 937L were overloaded / highly loaded with the outage of the other line in Case 2 (high wind, high import). Due to the low north-south SOK flow in this case, the WATL HVDC was not dispatched in this case. The overload on 936L and 937L can be alleviated by redispatching WATL HVDC line. Similarly, 1080L and 1109L were overloaded with the outage the other line in Case 8 in all four alternatives. Since 1080L and 1109L are existing transmission lines with a summer rating of 489 MVA, the observed overloads can be alleviated by re-dispatching the WATL/EATL HVDC lines or upgrading the lines with a higher capacity conductor. 765L from Janet 74S to Strathmore 151S was observed to be overloaded under various cases for all four alternatives. This overload issue is outside the Calgary/Airdrie areas and the reliability issue will be addressed as part of the south regional plan for High River/Strathmore areas. For Alternative 1 only, since the 240/138 kV 400 MVA transformers at East Calgary 5S serve as the main source to supply the downtown load, each transformer was overloaded with the outage of the other. This violation can be mitigated by upgrading both 400 MVA transformers (e.g. 600 MVA) or by installing a third 400 MVA transformer at East Calgary 5S. 6.2.3 Category C5 - Select Double Circuit Tower Outage (N-2) All double circuit tower outages in the Calgary area were simulated12 across all scenarios over the longterm planning horizon. The thermal violations observed in the four Calgary area alternatives under Category C5 outage conditions are provided in Table 6.2-2 through Table 6.2-5 with corresponding mitigation measures. The mitigation option illustrate that the Category C5 events can be relieved using appropriate operational measures. However, other mitigation options may exist for the same Category C5 events and detailed operational studies will be completed as proposed facilities get constructed to specify any requited operating procedures. 12 Accepted practice in the WECC is double circuit tower circuits less than approximately 1.6 km do not need to be examined although individual regions may elect to do so to evaluate potential system impacts. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 70 Proprietary Table 6.2-2: Long-term Category C5 Thermal Violations for Calgary Alternative 1 Event name Overloaded Element Rating (MVA) Case 1 (%) Case 2 (%) 489 105 126 111 489 104 125 111 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 916L from Sarcee 42S to East Calgary 5S East Calgary 5S 240/138kV transformer T1 East Calgary 5S 240/138kV transformer T2 1064L1065L 408 113 400 108 400 108 Case 7 (%) Case 9 (%) Re-dispatch WATL depending on the flow direction Potential Mitigation Measures 985L1003L - If the flow is from north to south, then reducing the flow to Langdon 102S If the flow is from south to north, then increasing the flow SS-65 240/138kV transformer T1 400 113 101 SS-65 240/138kV transformer T2 400 113 101 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 260 111 101 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 260 141 120 Potential Mitigation Measures 112 113 Option 1: Trip two 240/138kV auto-transformers at SS-65 Option 2 (for case 7 – worst case. The other cases are less severe): Trip / Run back Shepard gen to ~350MW (original gen output was ~850MW) and also increase EATL flow (south to north) as much as possible Option 3: Trip 1106L/1107L and trip / run back Shepard gen as appropriate Note: It is assumed that the 138 kV line 9.80L CT limitation was removed and the line rating was restored to its thermal rating. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 71 Proprietary Table 6.2-3: Long-term Category C5 Thermal Violations for Calgary Alternative 2 Event name 1064L1065L Rating (MVA) Case 1 (%) Case 2 (%) Case 4 (%) 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 489 109 130 100 116 9367 from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 489 108 130 100 115 New 240kV line from East Calgary 5S to SS-8 240kV 520 Overloaded Element 116 Case 9 (%) 102 Re-dispatch WATL depending on the flow direction If the flow is from north to south, then reducing the flow to Langdon 102S Potential Mitigation Measures - 985L1003L Case 7 (%) If the flow is from south to north, then increasing the flow SS-65 240/138 kV transformer T1 400 111 SS-65 240/138 kV transformer T2 400 111 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 260 107 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 260 110 110 138 118 Option 1: Trip two 240/138kV auto-transformers at SS-65 Option 2 (for case 7 – worst case. The other cases are less severe): Trip / run back Shepard gen to ~350 MW (original gen Potential Mitigation Measures output was ~850 MW) and also increase EATL flow (south to north) as much as possible Option 3: Trip 1106L/1107L and trip / run back Shepard gen as appropriate Note: It is assumed that the 138 kV line 9.80L (from SS-9 to SS-31) line rating can be increased to 287MVA by adjusting the CT limit ratio to 1200A. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 72 Proprietary Table 6.2-4: Long-term Category C5 Thermal Violations for Calgary Alternative 3 Event name 1064L 1065L Rating (MVA) Case 1 (%) Case 2 (%) 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 489 107 128 114 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 489 106 128 113 Overloaded Element Case 7 (%) Case 9 (%) Re-dispatch WATL depending on the flow direction - Potential Mitigation Measures 985L 1003L If the flow is from north to south, then reducing the flow to Langdon 102S If the flow is from south to north, then increasing the flow 65ST1 400 111 65ST2 400 111 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 260 107 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 260 110 111 139 119 Option 1: Trip two 240/138kV auto-transformers at SS-65 Option 2 (for case 7 – worst case. The other cases are less severe): Trip / run back Shepard gen to ~350 MW (original gen Potential Mitigation Measures output was ~850 MW) and also increase EATL flow (south to north) as much as possible Option 3: Trip 1106L/1107L and trip / run back Shepard gen as appropriate Note: It is assumed that the 138 kV line 9.80L (from SS-9 to SS-31) line rating can be increased to 287MVA by adjusting the CT limit ratio to 1200A. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 73 Proprietary Table 6.2-5: Long-term Category C5 Thermal Violations for Calgary Alternative 4 Event name 1066L1067L Overloaded Element 916L from Sarcee 42S to East Calgary 5S Rating (MVA) Case2 (%) 408 Potential Mitigation Measures 1064L1065L Case1 (%) Case4 (%) Case7 (%) Case9 (%) 104 Re-dispatch WATL to -100MW (original dispatch was 0MW) 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 489 104 124 111 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 489 103 123 110 916L from Sarcee 42S to East Calgary 5S 408 117 145 104 117 Re-dispatch WATL depending on the flow direction - Potential Mitigation Measures 985L-1003L If the flow is from north to south, then reducing the flow to Langdon 102S If the flow is from south to north, then increasing the flow 65ST1 400 109 65ST2 400 109 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 260 106 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 260 108 107 136 116 Option 1: Trip two 240/138 kV auto-transformers at SS-65 Option 2 (for case 7 – worst case. The other cases are less severe): Trip / run back Shepard gen to ~350 MW (original Potential Mitigation Measures gen output was ~850 MW) and also increase EATL flow (south to north) as much as possible Option 3: Trip 1106L/1107L and trip / run back Shepard gen as appropriate Note: It is assumed that the 138 kV line 9.80L (from SS-9 to SS-31) line rating can be increased to 287MVA by adjusting the CT limit ratio to 1200A. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 74 Proprietary 6.3 Airdrie Area Alternatives The following sections show the power flow results for the three Airdrie area alternatives. 6.3.1 Category A - System Normal (N-0) No thermal and no voltage violations were observed under system normal conditions across all the study scenarios in the long-term horizon for all three Airdrie alternatives. 6.3.2 Category B - Single Element Outage (N-1) In the Airdrie area, no thermal and no voltage criteria violations were observed under Category B contingencies for any of the alternatives in the long-term horizon across all study scenarios. 6.3.3 Category C5 - Selected Double Circuit Tower Outage (N-2) There are no existing double circuit transmission towers connection stations in the Airdrie area except for a short section of double circuit 138 kV monopoles leading to Dry Creek 186S. If the proposed development in the Airdrie area was built as double circuit, some load and/or generation could be dropped depending on the fault location. Note that any potential load/generation shedding would meet the Category C system performance requirements.. 6.4 Staging of Alternatives As described in Section 5.3 above, Alternatives 1, 2, 3 and 4 for the Calgary area and Alternatives 1, 2 and 4 were selected for further detailed analysis. The above sections confirmed that the short listed alternatives satisfy the ARS in the long-term horizon. The timing of the reinforcements in the near-term and medium-term was determined by performing a staging analysis. This analysis was an iterative process that included numerous combinations of developments required to meet the need. The resulting staged reinforcements in each alternative satisfied the ARS. The following sections summarize the staging sequences for the Calgary and Airdrie area alternatives in the near-term and medium-term planning horizons and the corresponding power flow study results. 6.4.1 Near-term Staging The development sequence in the near-term for each Calgary alternative is summarized in Table 6.4-1 below. For the Calgary downtown developments, two options were considered in each of the alternatives. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 75 Proprietary Table 6.4-1: Calgary Area Development Sequence in Near-term- Alternatives 1, 2, 3 and 4 System Need Downtown supply: overload on 2.82L, 2.83L, 1.82L, and 1.84L North 69 kV lines and 138/69 kV transformer overload Alt 1 Alt 2 Option 2A: New 240 kV cable energized at 138 kV from SS-2 to SS-8 initially. New 138kV cable from SS-2 to SS-1 Option 2B: Convert SS8 to 240 kV: 2 new 240/138 kV 400 MVA transformers and a new 240 kV cable from East Calgary to SS-8 Alt 3 Alt 4 Option 3A: Convert SS-8 to 240 kV: 1 new 240/138 kV transformer; assume 240/240 kV 600 MVA phase shifting transformer (PST) as flow control device at Beddington; a new 240 kV line from Beddington to SS-8 Option 4A: Convert SS8 to 240 kV: 2 new 240/138 kV 400 MVA transformers and a new 240 kV cable from Sarcee to SS-8 Option 3B: Similar to Alt 2B Option 4B: Similar to Alt 2B Upgrade 69 kV system to 138 kV Upgrade 69 kV system to 138 kV Upgrade 69 kV system to 138 kV Upgrade 69 kV system to 138 kV Overloads on 138 kV lines out of Beddington: 11.83L, 39.82L New 138 kV line from SS-47 to SS36 New 138 kV line from SS-47 to SS-36 New 138 kV line from SS47 to SS-36 New 138 kV line from SS-47 to SS-36 Overload on 138 kV line 37.82L 929L connected to Beddington in-out configuration 929L connected to Beddington in-out configuration 929L connected to Beddington in-out configuration 929L connected to Beddington in-out configuration For the Airdrie area, the development sequences for Alternative 1, 2 and 4 in the near-term are summarized in Table 6.4-2 below. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 76 Proprietary Table 6.4-2: Airdrie Area Development Sequence in Near-term - Alt 1, 2 and 4 Alternative Proposed developments in the Near-term 901L Tap converted to In-Out configuration at East Crossfield 64S One new 240/138kV 200MVA transformer at East Crossfield 64S Upgrade the existing 138kV lines 752L from East Crossfield 64S to Airdrie Tap to Summit 653S to higher capacity line 1 Upgrade the existing 138kV line 688L from Summit 653S to Summit tap to East Airdrie 199S to higher capacity line Upgrade the existing 138kV line 611L from Drycreek 186S to Balzac with higher capacity line Upgrade the existing 138kV line 631L from East Airdrie 199S to Dry Creek 186S with higher capacity line Upgrade / install protection systems as necessary to facilitate the above system reinforcements 901L Tap converted to In-Out configuration at East Crossfield 64S One new 240/138kV 200MVA transformer at East Crossfield 64S Upgrade the existing 138kV lines 752L from East Crossfield 64S to Airdrie Tap to Summit 653S to higher capacity line 2 Upgrade the existing 138kV line 688L from Summit 653S to Summit tap to East Airdrie 199S to higher capacity line Upgrade the existing 138kV line 611L from Drycreek 186S to Balzac with higher capacity line Build new 138 kV line from East Crossfield 64S to East Airdrie 199S Build new 138 kV line from Beddington 162S to Dry Creek 186S N.O. 138 kV line 631L from East Airdrie 199S to Dry Creek 186S Upgrade / install protection systems as necessary to facilitate the above system reinforcements 901L tap converted to In-Out configuration at East Crossfield 64S Upgrade the existing 138 kV lines 752L from East Crossfield 64S to Airdrie tap to Summit 653S to higher capacity line Upgrade the existing 138 kV line 688L from Summit 653S to Nosecreek tap and from Nose Creek tap to the joint to higher capacity line One new 240/138 kV station assumed to be approximately 12 km east of Dry Creek 186S station including one 240/138 kV 200 MVA transformer 4 Approximately 300 metres of new double circuit 240 kV line to connect 929L to new source station in an in and out configuration Approximately 12 km of new double circuit 138 kV line to loop in and out connection between the new station and 631L south of East Airdrie 199S. Upgrade the existing 631L from East Airdrie 199S to the north circuit of D/C to new source station with higher capacity line Upgrade the existing 611L from Dry Creek 186S to Balzac with high capacity line Upgrade / install protection systems as necessary to facilitate the above system reinforcements March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 77 Proprietary Power flow studies were performed to determine the development sequence for the four Calgary and three Airdrie area alternatives. Power flow plots for each alternative are provided in Appendix E. There were no Category A (system normal or N-0) and / or Category B (N-1) overloads observed for all three Airdrie area alternatives and transmission voltages remained within acceptable limits across all study cases. There were no Category A (system normal or N-0) overloads observed for all four Calgary area alternatives and the transmission voltages remained within acceptable limits across all study cases. The Category B study results for the Calgary area are shown in Table 6.4-3 through Table 6.4-6 below. The Category C5 study results are shown in Table 6.4-7 through Table 6.4-11 below including potential mitigation options. The mitigation option illustrate that the Category C5 events can be relieved using appropriate operational measures. However, other mitigation options may exist for the same Category C5 events and detailed operational studies will be completed as proposed facilities get constructed to specify any requited operating procedures. Based on the results summarized in Table 6.4-3 through Table 6.4-6, the follow items are noted: 1. For Alternative 1 (Table 6.4-3), the 240 kV lines 1080L/1109L from SS-25 to SS-65 were highly loaded in Case 6 (zero wind, high north to south SOK flow – 2000 MW, high Calgary local generatio). The flow could be reduced by re-dispatching WATL and EATL flow. 2. For Alternative 2 (Table 6.4-4), For Alternative 2A, 240 kV lines 1080L/1109L from SS-25 to SS-65 were highly loaded in Case 6. The flow on these lines could be reduced by re-dispatching WATL and EATL flows. For Alternative 2B, 240kV line 985L/1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 was highly loaded in Case 17 (environmental scenario). The flow on these lines could be reduced by re-dispatching WATL and EATL flows. 3. For Alternative 3 (Table 6.4-5), with the angle of the phase shifting transformer at Beddington set to 5 degrees: Downtown 138 kV lines 2.82L and 2.83L were still overloaded or highly loaded under different system conditions. These overloads could be alleviated by further adjusting the angle of the phase shifting transformer. 240 kV lines 985L and 1003L were highly loaded in Case 17 (environmental scenario). The flow on these lines could be reduced by re-dispatching WATL and EATL flows. 4. For Alternative 4 (Table 6.4-6): March 2014 240 kV lines 985L/1003L were highly loaded in Case 17 (environmental scenario). The flow on these lines could be reduced by re-dispatching HVDC flows. 240 kV line 916L from Sarcee to East Calgary was highly loaded in Case 1 (High wind, high import) with the loss of a large unit in the Wabamun area. 240 kV lines 1080L and 1109L from SS-25 to SS-65 were highly loaded in Case 6 (zero wind, high north-south SOK flow – 2000 MW, high Calgary local generation). The loading on these lines could be reduced by re-dispatching WATL and EATL flow. Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 78 Proprietary Table 6.4-3: Near-term Category B Results for Calgary Alternative 1 Contingency Overloaded Element Rating (MVA) Thermal Loading (%) Case 1080L / 1109L from SS-25 to SS-65 1109L / 1080L from SS-25 to SS-65 489 96 06 Table 6.4-4: Near-term Category B Results for Calgary Alternative 2 Contingency 1080L / 1109L from SS-25 to SS-65 985L / 1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 Overloaded Element 1109L / 1080L from SS-25 to SS-65 1003L / 985L from Janet 74S to SS-25 Rating (MVA) Thermal Loading (%) Alt 2A Alt2B 489 Case 96 06 977 95 17 Table 6.4-5: Near-term Category B Results for Alternative 3A Contingency Overloaded Element Rating (MVA) Thermal Loading (%) Case 985L / 1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 2.83L from SS-2 to SS5 to SS-13 1003L / 985L from Janet 74S to SS-25 977 96 17 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 318 95 17 2.82L from SS-2 to SS5 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L tap 286 97 05 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L tap 286 96 04 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L tap 286 95 02 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L tap 286 97 11 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L tap 286 97 15 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L tap 286 100 08 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L tap 286 96 01 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L tap 286 96 07 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L tap 286 100 10 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L tap 286 98 17 2.83L from SS-2 to 2.83L tap 286 96 09 Table 6.4-6: Near-term Category B Results for Alternative 4A Contingency 985L / 1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 Keephills 3 1214L Genesee 3 2.83L from SS-2 to SS-5 to SS-13 Overloaded Element 985L / 1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 916L from Sarcee 42S to East Calgary 5S 916L from Sarcee 42S to East Calgary 5S 916L from Sarcee 42S to East Calgary 5S 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 Rating (MVA) Thermal Loading (%) Case 977 94 17 408 96 01 408 96 01 408 96 01 318 95 17 2.83L from SS-2 to tap 286 95 08 2.83L from SS-2 to tap 286 96 17 1109L / 1080L from SS-25 to SS-65 489 94 06 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 1080L / 1109L from SS-25 to SS-65 March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 79 Proprietary Table 6.4-7: Near-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 1 Event name 936L-937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S Overloaded Element 23.80L from Janet 74S to SS-23 Rating (MVA) Case 1 (%) Case 15 (%) 255 1064L-1065L from Langdon 102S to Janet 74S 489 102 489 102 408 109 102 65ST1 400 122 108 128 65ST2 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 26.81L from SS-26 to SS-32 400 122 108 128 260 112 102 118 260 164 143 175 Potential Mitigation Measures March 2014 105 Re-dispatch WATL to 100MW (original dispatch was 250MW) Potential Mitigation Measures 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS25 Case 17 (%) Re-dispatch WATL to 100MW (original dispatch was 300MW) Potential Mitigation Measures 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 916S from Sarcee 42S to East Calgary 5S Case 16 (%) 260 103 Option 1: Trip two auto transformers at SS-65; and Trip 138kV line 876L Option 2 (for case 17 – worst case. The other cases are less severe): Trip/run back Shepard gen to ~400MW (original output was ~850MW; Trip 138kV line 24.81L from SS-24 to SS-31; and increase flow on EATL (south to north) as much as possible Option 3: Trip 1106L/1107L and trip / run back Shepard gen as appropriate Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 80 Proprietary Table 6.4-8: Near-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 2A Event name Overloaded Element 936L-937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 23.80L from Janet 74S to SS-23 Rating (MVA) Case 1 (%) Case 15 (%) 255 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 916L from Sarcee 42S to East Calgary 5S Re-dispatch WATL to 100MW (original dispatch was 300MW) 489 102 489 102 408 65ST1 400 122 108 128 65ST2 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 26.81L from SS-26 to SS-32 400 122 108 128 260 112 102 118 260 164 143 175 Potential Mitigation Measures March 2014 109 Re-dispatch WATL to 100MW (original dispatch was 250MW) Potential Mitigation Measures 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 Case 17 (%) 104 Potential Mitigation Measures 1064L-1065L from Janet 74S to Langdon 102S Case 16 (%) 260 103 Option 1: Trip two auto transformers at SS-65; and Trip 138kV line 876L Option 2 (for case 17 – worst case. The other cases are less severe): Trip/run back Shepard gen to ~400 MW (original output was ~850 MW; Trip 138 kV line 24.81L from SS-24 to SS-31; and increase flow on EATL (south to north) as much as possible Option 3: Trip 1106L/1107L and trip / run back Shepard gen as appropriate Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 81 Proprietary Table 6.4-9: Near-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 2B Event name 1064L1065L from Janet 74S to Langdon 102S Overloaded Element Rating (MVA) Case 1 (%) 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 489 106 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 489 106 Case 17 (%) 65ST1 400 121 108 128 65ST2 400 121 108 128 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 260 111 101 117 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 260 164 143 174 26.81L from SS-26 to SS-32 260 102 Option 1: Trip two auto transformers at SS-65; and Trip 138kV line 876L Option 2 (for case 17 – worst case. The other cases are less severe): Trip/run back Shepard gen to ~400MW (original output was ~850 MW; Trip 138 kV line 24.81L from SS-24 to SS-31; and increase flow on EATL (south to north) as much as possible Option 3: Trip 1106L/1107L and trip / run back Shepard gen as appropriate Potential Mitigation Measures March 2014 Case 16 (%) Re-dispatch WATL to 150 MW (original dispatch was 250 MW) Potential Mitigation Measures 985L1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 Case 15 (%) Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 82 Proprietary Table 6.4-10: Near-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 3A Event name 1064L-1065L from Janet 74S to Langdon 102S Overloaded Element 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 916L from Sarcee 42S to East Calgary 5S Rating (MVA) Case 1 (%) 489 101 489 101 408 111 Case 17 (%) 65ST1 400 121 108 127 65ST2 400 121 108 127 260 111 101 117 260 164 143 175 26.83L from SS-65 to SS-26 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 26.81L from SS-26 to SS-32 Potential Mitigation Measures March 2014 Case 16 (%) Re-dispatch WATL to 125 MW (original dispatch was 250 MW) Potential Mitigation Measures 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS25 Case 15 (%) 260 102 Option 1: Trip two auto transformers at SS-65; and Trip 138 kV line 876L, Option 2 (for case 17 – worst case. The other cases are less severe): Trip/run back Shepard gen to ~300MW (original output was ~850 MW; Trip 138 kV line 24.81L from SS-24 to SS-31; and increase flow on EATL (south to north) as much as possible Option 3: Trip 1106L/1107L and trip / run back Shepard gen as appropriate Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 83 Proprietary Table 6.4-11: Near-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 4A Event name 936L-937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S Overloaded Element Rating (MVA) 23.80L from Janet 74S to SS-23 Case 1 (%) Case 8 (%) Case 15 (%) 255 1064L-1065L from Janet 74S to Langdon 102S Re-dispatch WATL to 200 MW (original dispatch was 300 MW) 489 103 489 103 408 130 494 116 Re-dispatch WATL to 0 MW (original dispatch was 250 MW) Potential Mitigation Measures 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 Re-dispatch WATL to 0MW (original dispatch was 250 MW) 65ST1 400 121 108 128 65ST2 400 121 108 128 26.83L from SS65 to SS-26 260 112 102 117 24.82L from SS65 to SS-24 260 164 143 174 26.81L from SS26 to SS-32 260 103 Option 1: Trip two auto transformers at SS-65, and trip 138 kV line 876L Option 2 (for case 17 – worst case. The other cases are less severe): Trip/run back Shepard gen to ~300MW (original output was ~850 MW; Trip 138 kV line 24.81L from SS-24 to SS-31; and increase flow on EATL (south to north) as much as possible Option 3: Trip 1106L/1107L and trip / run back Shepard gen as appropriate Potential Mitigation Measures March 2014 Case 17 (%) 102 Potential Mitigation Measures 936L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 916L from Sarcee 42S to East Calgary 5S Case 16 (%) Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 84 Proprietary 6.4.2 Medium-term Staging For the Airdrie area, the development sequence for medium-term is similar to the proposed development in near-term. Please note that the connection of the new POD depends on the timing and location for this new substation. For the Calgary area, the staging sequences in medium-term for each alternative are summarized in Table 6.4-12. The staging shows the portions of each alternative that are needed in near-term and the additional pieces of each alternative that are required in medium-term. Table 6.4-12: Calgary Area Development Sequence - Alt 1, 2, 3 and 4 Medium-term System Additional Need Additional Development Needed in Mediumterm Alternative Beddington 240/138 kV 400 MVA transformer reaching its capacity under the outage of the other transformer 1, 2A, 2B, 4A 2.82L from SS-2 to SS-5 reaching its capacity / overloaded under 2.83L outage 1, 2A, 2B, 3A,4A 23.80L from Janet to SS-23 overloaded 1, 2A 37.82L from Janet to SS-37 reaching its capacity New 240/138 kV substation to be designated Lochend for all alternatives New 138 kV line from SS-22 to SS-23 for all Alternatives 1, 2A,3A Rebuild 3.82L with higher capacity conductor for 3A, 3.82L from SS-3 to SS-8 overloaded 1, 2A, 2B,3A,4A FATD West lines for all the alternatives 240 kV lines such as 936L/937L, 985L/1003L, 1109L/1080L, etc. overloaded or highly loaded 1, 2A, 2B,3A,4A Power flow studies were performed for the development sequence for all four Calgary alternatives in the 2022 study year. There were no Category A (N-0) or Category B (N-1) overloads observed for all the Calgary and Airdrie area alternatives and transmission voltages remained within acceptable limits across all study cases. Power flow diagrams for Category A and Category B conditions/contingencies are provided in Appendix F. The Category C5 study results are summarized and provided in Table 6.4-13 through Table 6.4-17 below with potential mitigation options. The mitigation option illustrate that the Category C5 events can be relieved using appropriate operational measures. However, other mitigation options may exist for the same Category C5 events and detailed operational studies will be completed as proposed facilities get constructed to specify any requited operating procedures. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 85 Proprietary Table 6.4-13: Medium-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 1 Event name 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 Overloaded Element Rating Case 17 (%) Case 19 (%) 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 260 125 123 Option 1: Trip two auto transformers at SS-65; and Trip 138 kV line 876L Option 2: Trip / run back Shepard gen by ~300 MW (original output at 800-850 MW) and increase the EATL flow (south to north) Option 3: Trip 1106L/1107L and trip/run back Shepard gen as appropriate Potential Mitigation Measures Table 6.4-14: Medium-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 2A Event name 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 Overloaded Element Rating Case 17 (%) Case 19 (%) 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 260 126 124 Option 1: Trip two auto transformers at SS-65; and Trip 138 kV line 876L Option 2: Trip/run back Shepard gen by ~300 MW (original output at 800-850 MW) and increase the EATL flow (south to north) Option 3: Trip 1106L/1107L and trip/run back Shepard gen as appropriate Potential Mitigation Measures Table 6.4-15: Medium-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 2B Event name 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 Overloaded Element Rating Case 17 (%) Case 19 (%) 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 260 124 122 Option 1: Trip two auto transformers at SS-65; and Trip 138kV line 876L Option 2: Trip/run back Shepard gen by ~300 MW (original output at 800-850 MW) and increase the EATL flow (south to north) Option 3: Trip 1106L/1107L and trip/run back Shepard gen as appropriate Potential Mitigation Measures Table 6.4-16: Medium-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 3A Event name 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 Overloaded Element 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 Rating Case 17 (%) Case 19 (%) 260 126 123 Option 1: Trip two auto transformers at SS-65; and Trip 138 kV line 876L Option 2: Trip/run back Shepard gen by ~300 MW (original output at 800-850 MW) and increase the EATL flow (south to north) Option 3: Trip 1106L/1107L and trip/run back Shepard gen as appropriate Mitigation Measures Table 6.4-17: Medium-term Category C5 Results for Alternative 4A Event name Overloaded Element Rating Case 1 (%) Case 6 (%) Case 14 (%) 1064L-1065L from Janet 74S to Langdon 102S 916L from Sarcee 42S to East Calgary 5S 408 101 108 100 24.82L from SS-65 to SS-24 260 122 120 Option 1: Trip two auto transformers at SS-65; and Trip 138 kV line 876L Option 2: Trip/run back Shepard gen by ~300 MW (original output at 800-850 MW) Option 3: Trip 1106L/1107L and trip/run back Shepard gen as appropriate Mitigation Measures March 2014 Case 19 (%) Re-dispatch WATL (reduce north-south flow) Mitigation Measures 985L-1003L from Janet 74S to SS-25 Case 17 (%) Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 86 Proprietary 6.4.3 Summary of Staging The timing of the reinforcement for the near-term, medium-term and long-term for the Calgary area alternatives are shown in Figure 6.4-1 through Figure 6.4-5 while Figure 6.4-6 through Figure 6.4-8 show the timing for the Airdrie area alternatives. Figure 6.4-1: Calgary Area Alternative 1 To Red Deer 63S To Benalto 17S 901L 611L 906L/ 928L 929L/ 925L YY Beddington 162S 918L 75S 932L 44 Seebee SS-47 SS-49 SS-14 11.83L SS-11 11.82L SS-36 14.83L 36.81L 39.82L SS-16 11.81L SS-27 BEARSPAW 22.81L 16.60L 7.84L 50L SS-15 3.84L 21.61L SS-7 SS-13 SS-3 SS-22 3.82L SS-21 1.82L SS-20 1.85L 1.83L SS-5 2.83L 1.84L 1.81L 1.82L SS-1 2.82L 7.82L 28.80L Sarcee 42S SS-38 Bonnybrook East Calgary 5S SS-28 150L 38.83L 2.83L SS-8 1.80L 3L SS-39 13.82L SS-34 693L 916L SS-10 833L 832L SS-12 2.80L SS-43 Janet 74S 37.82L 23.80L SS-23 To Strathmore 151S SS-25 Shepard 24.81L SS-24 SS-32 SS-33 765L 24.83L SS-31 L 80 9. 9.83L SS-30 SS-37 2.81L SS-9 To Foothills 237S 45 Strathmore / Blackie 37.81L 936L / 937L SS-2 936L/937L Crossings Langdon 102S 1065L/1064L 6.82L SS-6 40.81L SS-41 SS-40 26.81L SS-26 924L/927L To Milo 356S SS-65 26.83L Legend N.O. Future Circuit Existing Circuit Future Substation Existing Substation 69 kV Circuit 138 kV Circuit 240 kV Circuit 500 kV Circuit HVDC line Normally Open Circuit 69 kV Substation 850L 41.84L 46 High River SS-54 Black Diamond 392S 138 kV Substation 54.81L 158L March 2014 Disclaimer: This diagram is a simplified representation of the physical system configuration. Technical details have been simplified for illustration purposes. It does not accurately display the geographical location of facilities. Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 87 Okotoks 678S Magcan 142S Hartell 512S 812L 240 kV Substation 500 kV Substation Near-term Development Medium-term Development Long-term Development Bigrock To Carseland 525S To Chappel Rock 491S High River 434L 65S To Sarcee 42S 1201L Foothills 237S To Windy Flats 138S Proprietary Figure 6.4-2: Calgary Area Alternative 2A (Near-term and Medium-term) To Red Deer 901L 63S To Benalto 17S 611L 906L/ 928L 929L/ 925L YY Beddington 162S 918L 75S 932L SS-47 SS-49 SS-14 11.83L SS-11 11.82L 14.83L SS-36 SS-16 39.82L 11.81L SS-27 BEARSPAW SS-34 3.84L 21.61L SS-7 SS-22 3.82L 1.82L SS-20 1.85L 1.83L SS-5 2.83L 1.84L 1.81L 1.82L SS-1 2.82L 7.82L Sarcee 42S SS-38 Bonnybrook East Calgary 5S SS-28 28.80L 693L 916L SS-10 833L 832L SS-12 37.82L 33.84L 30.81L 24.82L 40.81L SS-41 SS-40 26.81L SS-26 765L SS-25 Shepard 26.83L 1065L/1064L 924L/927L To Milo 356S SS-65 850L 46 High River SS-54 Black Diamond 392S 54.81L 158L Bigrock Okotoks 678S Magcan 142S 646L Hartell 512S 812L To Carseland 525S 1107L 1106L 41.84L 850L N.O. Crossing Langdon 102S 936L/937L Legend Future Circuit Existing Circuit Future Substation Existing Substation 69 kV Circuit 138 kV Circuit 240 kV Circuit 500 kV Circuit HVDC line Normally Open Circuit 69 kV Substation To Strathmore 151S SS-24 32.83L 33.83L 6.80L 24.81L Janet 74S 1109L/1080L SS-6 24.83L SS-31 SS-32 SS-33 6.82L 23.80L SS-23 985L/1003L SS-30 SS-43 SS-37 2.80L 2.81L L 80 9. 9.83L 45 Strathmore / Blackie 37.81L 936L / 937L SS-2 SS-9 To Foothills 237S 38.83L 2.83L SS-8 1.80L 3L SS-13 SS-3 SS-21 150L SS-39 13.82L 31.84L SS-15 50L 22.81L 16.60L 7.84L To Sunnybrook 36.81L WATL 44 Seebee 138 kV Substation 240 kV Substation 500 kV Substation Near-term Development Medium-term Development Long-term Development March 2014 Disclaimer: This diagram is a simplified representation of the physical system configuration. Technical details have been simplified for illustration purposes. It does not accurately display the geographical location of facilities. Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 88 High River 434L 65S To Chappel Rock 491S To Sarcee 42S 1201L Foothills 237S To Windy Flats 138S Proprietary Figure 6.4-3: Calgary Area Alternative 2B To Red Deer 63S To Benalto 17S 611L 906L/ 928L 929L/ 925L 918L YY Beddington 162S 918L 75S 901L 932L 44 Seebee SS-47 SS-49 SS-14 11.83L SS-11 11.82L 14.83L SS-36 SS-16 36.81L 39.82L 11.81L SS-27 BEARSPAW 7.84L 50L SS-15 SS-34 3.84L N.O. 38.83L 2.83L SS-20 1.85L 1.83L SS-5 2.83L 1.84L 1.81L 1.82L SS-1 2.82L 1.80L 7.82L SS-28 Sarcee 42S SS-22 3.82L SS-8 1.82L 28.80L SS-13 SS-3 SS-21 150L SS-39 13.82L 21.61L SS-7 3L 22.81L 16.60L SS-38 Bonnybrook East Calgary 5S 693L 916L SS-10 833L 832L SS-12 37.82L SS-43 23.80L SS-23 Janet 74S To Strathmore 151S SS-25 Shepard 24.81L SS-24 SS-32 SS-33 765L 24.83L SS-31 L 80 9. 9.83L SS-30 SS-37 2.80L 2.81L SS-9 To Foothills 237S 45 Strathmore / Blackie 37.81L 936L / 937L SS-2 Crossing Langdon 102S 936L/937L 1065L/1064L 6.82L Legend N.O. Future Circuit Existing Circuit Future Substation Existing Substation 69 kV Circuit 138 kV Circuit 240 kV Circuit 500 kV Circuit HVDC line Normally Open Circuit 69 kV Substation SS-6 40.81L SS-41 SS-40 26.81L 500 kV Substation Near-term Development Medium-term Development Long-term Development March 2014 26.83L To Milo 356S SS-65 850L 41.84L 46 High River SS-54 Black Diamond 392S 138 kV Substation 240 kV Substation SS-26 924L/927L 54.81L 158L Bigrock Okotoks 678S Magcan 142S Hartell 512S 812L Disclaimer: This diagram is a simplified representation of the physical system configuration. Technical details have been simplified for illustration purposes. It does not accurately display the geographical location of facilities. To Chappel Rock 491S Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 89 To Carseland 525S High River 434L 65S To Sarcee 42S 1201L Foothills 237S To WindyFlats 138S Proprietary Figure 6.4-4: Calgary Area Alternative 3A To Red Deer 901L 63S To Benalto 17S 611L 906L/ 928L 929L/ 925L YY Beddington 162S 918L 75S 932L SS-47 SS-14 SS-11 11.82L 14.83L SS-36 SS-16 36.81L PST 11.83L 39.82L 11.81L SS-27 BEARSPAW SS-15 SS-34 3.84L 21.61L 1.82L SS-20 1.85L 1.83L SS-5 2.83L 1.84L 1.81L 1.82L SS-1 2.82L 7.82L 28.80L Sarcee 42S SS-38 Bonnybrook East Calgary 5S SS-28 150L 693L 916L SS-10 833L 832L SS-12 33.84L 30.81L 40.81L SS-41 SS-40 26.81L To Milo 356S Black Diamond 392S Disclaimer: This diagram is a simplified representation of the physical system configuration. Technical details have been simplified for illustration purposes. It does not accurately display the geographical location of facilities. 54.81L 158L Okotoks 678S Hartell 512S 812L Magcan 142S High River 434L 65S To Chappel Rock 491S Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 90 Bigrock To Carseland 525S 646L March 2014 924L/927L SS-65 26.83L 1107L 1106L 46 High River SS-54 138 kV Substation Near-term Development Medium-term Development Long-term Development 1065L/1064L 850L 41.84L 69 kV Substation 500 kV Substation SS-26 Crossing Langdon 102S 936L/937L 850L Existing Substation 69 kV Circuit 138 kV Circuit 240 kV Circuit 240 kV Substation SS-24 24.82L 33.83L 6.80L SS-6 To Strathmore 151S SS-25 Shepard 1109L/1080L 6.82L Legend 24.81L 765L 985L/1003L SS-32 SS-33 24.83L SS-31 L 80 9. SS-43 Janet 74S 37.82L 23.80L SS-23 SS-9 SS-30 SS-37 2.80L 2.81L 9.83L 45 Strathmore / Blackie 37.81L 936L / 937L SS-2 To Foothills 237S 500 kV Circuit HVDC line 38.83L 2.83L SS-8 1.80L Phase Shifting Transformer Future Circuit Existing Circuit Future Substation SS-22 3.82L SS-21 3L SS-13 SS-3 31.84L SS-7 SS-39 13.82L 32.83L 50L 22.81L 16.60L 7.84L To Sunnybrook SS-49 WATL 44 Seebee Foothills 237S To Sarcee 42S 1201L Proprietary Figure 6.4-5: Calgary Area Alternative 4A To Benalto 17S To Red Deer 63S 901L 611L 906L/ 928L 929L/ 925L YY Beddington 162S 918L 75S 932L 44 Seebee SS-49 SS-47 SS-14 11.83L SS-11 11.82L 14.83L SS-36 SS-16 36.81L 39.82L 11.81L SS-27 BEARSPAW 50L SS-15 SS-39 13.82L SS-34 3.84L 21.61L SS-7 SS-13 SS-3 SS-22 3.82L SS-21 N.O. 1.82L 7.82L SS-28 150L 28.80L Sarcee 42S 38.83L 2.83L SS-8 1.80L 3L 22.81L 16.60L 7.84L N.O. SS-20 1.85L 1.83L SS-5 2.83L 1.84L 1.81L 1.82L SS-1 2.82L N.O. East Calgary 5S Bonnybrook 693L 916L SS-10 833L 832L SS-12 To Foothills 237S SS-37 2.80L 2.81L 765L SS-25 Shepard 24.81L SS-24 SS-32 SS-33 To Strathmore 151S 24.83L SS-31 L 80 SS-43 Janet 74S 37.82L 23.80L SS-23 9. 9.83L 45 Strathmore / Blackie 37.81L 936L / 937L SS-2 SS-9 SS-30 SS-38 936L/937L Crossing Langdon 102S 1065L/1064L 6.82L SS-6 40.81L SS-41 SS-40 26.81L SS-26 To Milo 356S SS-65 26.83L Legend N.O. Future Circuit Existing Circuit Future Substation Existing Substation 69 kV Circuit 138 kV Circuit 240 kV Circuit 500 kV Circuit HVDC line Normally Open Circuit 69 kV Substation 924L/927L 850L 41.84L 46 High River SS-54 Black Diamond 392S To Carseland 525S 54.81L 158L Bigrock Okotoks 678S Magcan 142S Hartell 512S 812L 138 kV Substation 240 kV Substation 500 kV Substation Near-term Development Medium-term Development Long-term Development March 2014 Disclaimer: This diagram is a simplified representation of the physical system configuration. Technical details have been simplified for illustration purposes. It does not accurately display the geographical location of facilities. Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 91 To Chappel Rock 491S High River 434L 65S To Sarcee 42S Foothills 237S 1201L Proprietary Figure 6.4-6: Airdrie Area Alternative 1 To Red Deer 63S West Crossfield 316S 901AL 752L 925L/ 929L 653S Nose Creek 284S 901L East Crossfield 64S 688L East Airdrie 199S 631L DryCreek 186S Legend N.O. Future Circuit Existing Circuit Future Substation Existing Substation 69 kV Circuit 138 kV Circuit 240 kV Circuit 500 kV Circuit HVDC line Normally Open Circuit 69 kV Substation 611L Balzac 391S 918L New PoD Beddington 162S 932L 138 kV Substation 240 kV Substation 500 kV Substation Near-term Development Medium-term Development Long-term Development March 2014 Disclaimer: This diagram is a simplified representation of the physical system configuration. Technical details have been simplified for illustration purposes. It does not accurately display the geographical location of facilities. To Janet 74S Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 92 Proprietary Figure 6.4-7: Airdrie Area Alternative 2 To Red Deer 63S 901AL 752L East Crossfield 64S 929L 925L 653S Nose Creek 284S 901L West Crossfield 316S 688L East Airdrie 199S N.O. 631L DryCreek 186S New PoD Legend N.O. Future Circuit Existing Circuit Future Substation Existing Substation 69 kV Circuit 138 kV Circuit 240 kV Circuit 500 kV Circuit HVDC line Normally Open Circuit 69 kV Substation 611L Balzac 391S 918L Beddington 162S 932L 138 kV Substation 240 kV Substation 500 kV Substation Near-term Development Medium-term Development Long-term Development March 2014 Disclaimer: This diagram is a simplified representation of the physical system configuration. Technical details have been simplified for illustration purposes. It does not accurately display the geographical location of facilities. To Janet 74S Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 93 Proprietary Figure 6.4-8: Airdrie Area Alternative 4 To Red Deer 63S 901AL 752L East Crossfield 64S 925L/ 929L 653S Nose Creek 284S 901L West Crossfield 316S 688L East Airdrie 199S 631L DryCreek 186S New Substation Legend N.O. Future Circuit Existing Circuit Future Substation Existing Substation 69 kV Circuit 138 kV Circuit 240 kV Circuit 500 kV Circuit HVDC line Normally Open Circuit 69 kV Substation New PoD 611L Balzac 391S 918L Beddington 162S 932L 138 kV Substation 240 kV Substation 500 kV Substation Near-term Development Medium-term Development Long-term Development March 2014 Disclaimer: This diagram is a simplified representation of the physical system configuration. Technical details have been simplified for illustration purposes. It does not accurately display the geographical location of facilities. Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 94 To Janet 74S Proprietary 6.5 System Losses The AESO employed a simulation tool that utilizes PTI/Siemens PSS/E software package for calculating the transmission system losses for a given system topology. Further, this tool also adopted AESO‘s guidelines for dispatching WATL and EATL for every hour. System losses are calculated for every hour using hourly load and generation dispatch conditions over the given year. These hourly losses are then averaged over 8760 simulated hours to arrive at annual average MW losses. This process was repeated for the near-term, medium-term and long-term study years. Then for each alternative, a liner equation was fitted through regression analysis for use in interpolating losses for intermediate years. Losses of one Alternative was chosen arbitrarily as base value and the relative losses of other alternatives in a given study region/area were calculated by subtracting base loss value from the estimated loss values of other Alternatives for each year. The relative losses thus derived would provide a measure of efficiency of other Alternatives compared to the reference Alternative. The annual loss savings (or increased costs) could be estimated based on energy prices and will be used in calculating relative net present value of alternatives. The system losses for the corresponding alternatives for Calgary and Airdrie areas are summarized in Table 6.5-1 and Table 6.5-2 below. Alternative 1 was selected as the base for comparing losses of all the Calgary area Alternatives Table 6.5-1: Relative System Losses for Calgary Area Alternatives 2017 (MW) 2022 (MW) 2032 (MW) Alt 1 0 0 Alt 2a +0.1 +0.1 Alt 2b 0 -0.4 Alt 3 +0.5 +3.3 -17 Alt 4 +0.7 +0.1 -8.4 0 -15.2 Alternative 1 was selected as the base for comparing losses of all the Airdrie area Alternatives. Table 6.5-2: Relative System Losses for Airdrie Area Alternatives 2017 (MW) 2022 (MW) 2032 (MW) Alt 1 0 0 0 Alt 2 -0.1 -0.3 +0.1 Alt 4 -0.1 +1.1 +0.8 The results show that the relative losses among the alternatives are close. 6.6 High Level Land Impact Assessment A qualitative approach was employed for identifying the potential land impacts(LIA) at the landscape level since the LIA focuses on planning regions, rather than project alternatives within a region (i.e., transmission lines and substations). The AESO has reviewed the results of this qualitative analysis and ensured the proposed Alternatives could be developed outside the existing environmentally sensitive areas. Since no routing and siting work is part of this planning process, all the aspects (e.g. agricultural impact, residential and visual impacts, electrical requirements) will be evaluated while developing the NID March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 95 Proprietary applications in order to comply with AUC Rule 007. Details of the scope of work, assumptions and methodology adopted for LIA are provided in Appendix I. 6.7 TFO Assessment Both Transmission Facility Owners (TFOs), namely AltaLink (AML) and ENMAX Power, reviewed the proposed alternatives and conducted a feasibility assessment of the alternatives. The feasibility assessment included line and substation development, siting, land acquisition, environmental and operational cycles. The feasibility assessment is based on available data and maps but did not include any field visits. The TFOs concluded that the alternatives are feasible and recommended that detailed siting, routing, and LIA including environmental impact assessment prior to filing the NID applications. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 96 Proprietary 7 Selection of Preferred Plan The selection of the preferred plan for the Calgary Sub-Region is summarized in the following sections. 7.1 Calgary Area Preferred Alternative While all the four proposed alternatives in the Calgary area were technically feasible and satisfy Alberta Reliability Standards, Alternative 2 was selected as the preferred alternative for the Calgary area due to favorable geographic diversification for load supply and provision for long-term load growth. Table 7.1-1 below summarizes the factors included in the selection of preferred alternative for the Calgary area. Table 7.1-1: Comparison of Calgary Area Alternatives Measure Alternative 2 (Preferred) Alternative 1 Alternative 3 Alternative 4 Technical Factors Alberta Reliability Standards Satisfied (Category C mitigation required) Satisfied (Category C mitigation required) Satisfied with potential operator involvement (Category C mitigation required) Satisfied (Category C mitigation required) Capacity Low High High High Diversity Lowest High High High Economic Factors System Losses Medium Low Low Low Capital Cost Lowest** Medium High Highest Environmental / Societal Factors Land Impact Assessment Medium Medium Medium Medium TFO Feedback Feasible More Feasible Feasible Feasible ** The cost for Calgary area alternative 1 could be significantly higher due to the potential siting issue at 5S / SS-2. 7.2 Airdrie Area Preferred Alternative While all the three proposed alternatives in the Airdrie area were technically feasible and satisfy Alberta Reliability Standards, Alternative 2 was selected as the preferred alternative for the Airdrie area. Table 7.2-1 below summarizes the factors included in the selection of preferred alternative for the Airdrie area. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 97 Proprietary Table 7.2-1: Comparison of Airdrie Area Alternatives Measure Alternative 1 Alternative 2 (Preferred) Alternative 4 Technical Factors Alberta Reliability Standards Satisfied Satisfied Satisfied Capacity Similar Similar Similar Diversity Low Medium High Similar Economic Factors System Losses Similar Similar Capital Cost Medium Medium 13 High Environmental / Societal Factors Land Impact Assessment Medium Medium High TFO Feedback Feasible Feasible Feasible 13 As per the feedback from TFO, this development could be built as double circuit with existing transmission lines. The cost is based on this assumption. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 98 Proprietary 8 Detailed Analysis for Preferred Plan The Calgary Sub-Region Preferred Plan consists of the selected Calgary area Alternative 2 and Airdrie area Alternative 2 (see Sections 7.1 and 7.2 above). Further analysis including transient stability, voltage stability, system performance under maintenance conditions and short circuit studies were carried out to identify additional potential system issues for the preferred alternative identified above. Detailed study results are summarized in the following sections. Comprehensive dynamic studies were performed using the 2017 and 2022 study cases for the preferred alternative. Generator rotor angles, generator MW outputs, bus voltages and frequencies were monitored. Actual fault clearing times for transmission lines or standard clearing time when actual clearing time is not available were used in the dynamic studies. Detailed study results are described below. Voltage stability analysis was also performed for the Calgary and Airdrie areas. P-V analysis was conducted to determine the system voltage stability margin with the proposed preferred alternatives inservice for the near-term and medium-term study years. The AESO’s Transmission Reliability Criteria requires a minimum of 5% operating margin for system normal conditions (Category A) and for single contingencies (Category B). A minimum of 2.5% operating margin is required for Category C contingencies (N-2). The operating limit for each critical contingency was compared to the forecasted system load level to determine whether the voltage stability criteria were met. The results confirm that after implementation of the CARP, the system meets the voltage stability criteria; detailed PV plots are given in Appendix H. 8.1 Near-term Assessment This section summarizes the results of the power flow, dynamic stability, voltage stability and short circuit analyses performed for the Calgary and Airdrie preferred alternatives in the near-term study year. 8.1.1 Power Flow Studies The Category A, B and C5 power flow studies for the preferred Calgary and Airdrie alternatives (Alternatives 2 for both), are discussed in Section 6.2 and 6.3 respectively. 8.1.2 Maintenance Condition Studies The near-term system performance was assessed under Category B maintenance conditions. To achieve this, a near-term summer study case was developed with an overall system load at approximately 75% of the expected system peak load. The base system representation at this reduced load level was expected to give a representative view of potential reliability issues under planned maintenance conditions. The system performance was evaluated with major system elements (138kV and above) out of service for maintenance reasons. The system elements included 240 kV and 138 kV transmission lines. The following system conditions were assumed for the near-term maintenance case: 1. Load: approximately 75% of summer peak load 2. Generation dispatch: In merit March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 99 Proprietary 3. Wind: Average (approximately 30% of total maximum) 4. Intertie: Economic The Category B maintenance condition results for the proposed development sequence for the preferred Calgary alternative are shown in Table 8.1-1 below. Table 8.1-1: Near-term Maintenance Condition Results Contingency 37.81L - 39.82L Overloaded Element Rating (MVA) 13.82L 171 Thermal Loading (%) Alt 2A Alt 2B 98 98 39. 82L - 37.81L 13.82L 171 95 94 39.82L – 37.82L 13.82L 171 114 113 37.82L – 39.82L 13.82L 171 114 114 The results indicate a potential overload condition on 13.82L under maintenance conditions. The development of a new 138 kV line from SS-23 to SS-22 can address this potential overload condition by providing additional 138 kV capacity to cover the maintenance outage and subsequent contingencies. 8.1.3 Category C7 Power Flow Studies No thermal or voltage violations were observed under select Category C7 contingencies in the near-term with the preferred Calgary and Airdrie alternatives in service. 8.1.4 Dynamic Stability Studies Dynamic stability studies were performed for the preferred alternatives using the following three near-term scenarios: 1. SC15 – High Wind and high local gen 2. SC16 – High import and high local gen 3. SC13 – High export and high local gen The results confirm that the system remained stable during the simulated Category B and select Category C contingencies with the preferred alternatives in service. The results of the dynamic stability analysis as well as the simulation plots for critical contingencies are provided in Appendix G. 8.1.5 Voltage Stability Studies The near-term P-V analysis results for N-0, N-1, and N-2 contingencies were performed using the winter peak cases developed for the Calgary and Airdrie areas. The results for each of the areas are provided in Table 8.1-2 and Table 8.1-3 below. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 100 Proprietary Table 8.1-2: P-V Analysis Summary – Near-term Winter Peak - Calgary Area System Normal and Category B Contingencies Forecasted 2017 Winter Peak (MW) 105% Margin (MW) Nose Point (MW) Meets Voltage Criteria? Normal operation condition 1917 2013 2697 YES Langdon 500/240kV transformer / 1201L 1917 2013 2615 YES Category C5 Contingencies Forecasted 2017 Winter Peak (MW) 102.5% Margin (MW) Nose Point (MW) Meets Voltage Criteria? 936L&937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 1917 1965 2577 YES Table 8.1-3: P-V Analysis Summary – Near-term Winter Peak - Airdrie Area System Normal and Category B Contingencies Forecasted 2017 Winter Peak (MW) 105% Margin (MW) Nose Point (MW) Meets Voltage Criteria? Normal operation condition 111 117 328 YES 901L from Janet 74S to East Crossfield 64S 111 117 253 YES The results showed that the Calgary and Airdrie 2017 system loads met the voltage stability criteria with the preferred alternatives in place. 8.1.6 Short Circuit Studies A short circuit analysis was performed based on system data14 available for the Calgary Sub-Region in the near-term. The objective of short circuit analysis is to estimate fault levels for the existing system and planned system. Detailed near-term short circuit levels are provided in Appendix J. 8.2 Medium-term Assessment This section summarizes the results of the power flow, dynamic stability, voltage stability and short circuit analyses performed for the Calgary and Airdrie preferred alternatives in the medium-term. 8.2.1 Power Flow Studies The Category A, B and C5 power flow studies for the preferred Calgary and Airdrie alternatives (Alternatives 2 for both), are discussed in Section 6.2 and 6.3 respectively. 8.2.2 Category C7 Power Flow Studies No thermal or voltage violations were observed under select Category C7 contingencies in the mediumterm with the preferred Calgary and Airdrie alternatives in service. 14 Short circuit current calculation is based on modeling information provided to the AESO by third parties. Short circuit estimation is subject to change. The information provided in this study is not intended to be used as the sole source of information for electrical equipment specification and the design of public or worker safety-grounding systems. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 101 Proprietary 8.2.3 Dynamic Stability Studies Dynamic stability studies were performed for the preferred alternatives using the following three mediumterm scenarios: 1. SC17 – High Wind and high local gen 2. SC6 – High import and high local gen 3. SC12 – High export and high local gen The results confirm that the system remained stable during the simulated Category B and select Category C5 and C7 contingencies with the preferred alternatives in service. The results of the dynamic stability analysis as well as the simulation plots for critical contingencies are provided in Appendix G. 8.2.4 Voltage Stability Studies The medium-term PV analysis results for N-0, N-1, and N-2 contingencies were performed using the winter peak cases developed for the Calgary and Airdrie areas. The results for each of the areas are provided in Table 8.2-1 and Table 8.2-2 below. Table 8.2-1: P-V Analysis Summary – Medium-term Winter Peak- Calgary Area System Normal and Category B Contingencies Forecasted 2022 Winter Peak (MW) 105% Margin (MW) Nose Point (MW) Meets Voltage Criteria? Normal operation condition 2125 2232 3070 YES Langdon 500/240kV transformer / 1201L 2125 2232 2890 YES Category C5 Contingencies Forecasted 2022 Winter Peak (MW) 102.5% Margin (MW) Nose Point (MW) Meets Voltage Criteria? 936L&937L from Langdon 102S to East Calgary 5S 2125 2179 2920 YES Table 8.2-2: P-V Analysis Summary – Medium-term Winter Peak- Airdrie Area System Normal and Category B Contingencies Forecasted 2022 Winter Peak (MW) 105% Margin (MW) Nose Point (MW) Meets Voltage Criteria? Normal operation condition 132 139 335 YES 901L from Janet 74S to East Crossfield 64S 132 139 252 YES The results showed that the Calgary and Airdrie medium-term system loads met the voltage stability criteria with the preferred alternatives in place. 8.2.5 Short Circuit Studies A short circuit analysis was performed based on system data15 available for the Calgary Sub-Region in the medium-term. The objective of short circuit analysis is to estimate fault levels for the existing system and planned system. Detailed medium-term short circuit levels are provided in Appendix J. 15 Short circuit current calculation is based on modeling information provided to the AESO by third parties. Short circuit estimation is subject to change. The information provided in this study is not intended to be used as the sole source of information for electrical equipment specification and the design of public or worker safety-grounding systems. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 102 Proprietary 8.3 Long-term Assessment This section summarizes the results of the power flow analysis performed for the Calgary and Airdrie preferred alternatives in the long-term study year. 8.3.1 Power Flow Studies The Category A, B and C5 power flow studies for the preferred Calgary and Airdrie alternatives (Alternatives 2 for both), are discussed in Section 6.2 and 6.3 respectively. 8.3.2 Short Circuit Studies A short circuit analysis was performed based on system data16 available for the Calgary Sub-Region in the long-term. The objective of short circuit analysis is to estimate fault levels for the existing system and planned system. Detailed long-term short circuit levels are provided in Appendix J. 16 Short circuit current calculation is based on modeling information provided to the AESO by third parties. Short circuit estimation is subject to change. The information provided in this study is not intended to be used as the sole source of information for electrical equipment specification and the design of public or worker safety-grounding systems. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 103 Proprietary 9 Impact of Preferred Plan on System Performance The following sections summarize the impact of the Preferred Plan on the need for Remedial Action Schemes and the generation connection capacity of the transmission system. 9.1 Impact on Remedial Action Schemes Table 9.1-1 shows the list of RASs in Calgary Sub-region post implementation of CARP. The mitigation plan identifies those facilities that would eliminate the need for each RAS listed in this Table. A number of RASs would no longer be required after the proposed facilities in the CARP are energized as identified in the mitigation plan. The AESO will undertake detailed operational studies prior to energization of planned transmission facilities and make decision on either removal or disabling the specific RAS associated with the energized facility. Table 9.1-1: Remedial Action Scheme Changes Number 9.2 Name Function Type Mitigation Plan 11 Temporary Bennet 520s Underfrequency Overpower RAS U/F Trip to protect AB System from external disturbance WECC RAS Still needed 12 Temporary Bennet 520s undervoltage – overpower RAS U/V Trip to protect AB System from internal and external disturbance WECC RAS FATD East project 15 Temporary 520s overvoltage protection scheme Over voltage protection to protect equipment from damage WECC RAS Still needed 24 Calgary Area UVLS Program Protect area load from voltage collapse 44 South Calgary transmission load relief scheme 49 Safety Net FATD East project Protect line from overload by tripping load LAPS Addition of SS-65 substation ENMAX Crossfield 752L RAS Protect line from overload by runback and/or trip generation LAPS Airdrie area plan 50 ENMAX Crossfield 688L RAS Protect line from overload by runback and/or trip generation LAPS Airdrie area plan 133 Beddington 162S overload mitigation scheme Mitigate potential overload and other reliability concerns in the area LAPS Calgary area plan Nodal Capacity An assessment of existing transmission system with preferred plan in service for facilitating connection of loads or generations at several locations (nodes) in the Calgary area was performed for the near-term, medium-term, long-term. The estimated capacities are based on only steady state system performance that respect thermal or voltage limits of transmission facilities for Category A and B contingencies. The estimated available capacities are provided in Table 9.2-1. These estimated capacities represent the additional generation that can be injected at each node. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 104 Proprietary Note that the estimated capacities will also change over time as new loads and/or generations are connected to the grid or retired from the transmission system. Table 9.2-1: Estimated Available Capacity for Additional Generation Area Voltage Level (kV) 6 Sarcee 42S 240 Generation 400 800 800 6 Janet 74S 240 Generation 0 0 0 6 SS-65 240 Generation 400 400 200 6 Lochend 75S 240 Generation - 600 600 March 2014 Connection Type Estimated Available Capacity (MW) MediumLongNear-term term term Transmission Connection Point (Line or Substation) Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 105 Proprietary 10 Summary of Preferred Plan Sections 10.1 and 10.2 below summarize the preferred transmission development for the CARP. Transmission projects are needed in the near-term for both the Calgary and Airdrie planning areas. The recommended development sequences for the Preferred Plan are presented in the following sections. 10.1 Calgary Area Preferred Alternative The development sequence for the preferred Calgary area alternative is summarized in Table 10.1-1 below. Table 10.1-1: Calgary Area Preferred Alternative Horizon Development Downtown load supply Convert SS-8 to 240 kV substation with 2 new 240/138 kV 400 MVA transformers and a new 240 kV cable from East Calgary 5S to SS-8 240 kV New 138 kV line from SS-47 to SS-36 Near-term North Calgary 69 kV network upgrade to 138kV 929L connected to Beddington SS-162 in an in-out configuration New 138 kV line from SS-22 to SS-23 (maintenance flexibility) New 240/138 kV NW Calgary substation and associated 138 kV lines Medium-term FATD West double circuit 240 kV line from Foothills 237S to Sarcee 42S New 240 kV lines from Beddington SS-162 to SS-8 240kV New 138 kV line from SS-27 to SS-3 and Normally Open 3.82L from SS-3 to SS-8 Long-term New 138 kV line from Janet 74S to SS-37 Add Var support devices in north Calgary Figure 10.1-1 below shows the preferred alternative for the Calgary area. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 106 Proprietary Figure 10.1-1: Calgary Area Preferred Alternative March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 107 Proprietary 10.2 Airdrie Area Preferred Alternative The development sequence for the preferred Airdrie area alternative is summarized in Table 10.2-1 below. Table 10.2-1: Airdrie Area Preferred Alternative Horizon Development East Crossfield 64S Upgrade 901L Tap converted to In-Out configuration at East Crossfield 64S One new 240/138 kV 200 MVA transformer at East Crossfield 64S Upgrade the existing 138 kV lines 752L from East Crossfield 64S to Airdrie Tap to Summit 653S to higher capacity line Upgrade the existing 138 kV line 688L from Summit 653S to Summit tap to East Airdrie 199S to higher capacity line Near-term Upgrade the existing 138 kV line 611L from Drycreek 186S to Balzac with higher capacity line New 138 kV line from East Crossfield 64S to East Airdrie 199S17 New 138 kV line from Beddington 162S to Dry Creek 186S18 Normally open (N.O.) 138 kV line from East Airdrie 199S Dry Creek 186S Upgrade /install protection systems as necessary to facilitate the above system reinforcements Medium-term Long-term New 138 kV D/C line from new POD to the new 138kV line between Beddington 162S and Dry Creek 186S No transmission developments proposed. Figure 10.2-1 below shows the preferred alternative for the Airdrie area. 17 18 As per the feedback from TFO, this development could be built as double circuit with existing transmission lines. As per the feedback from TFO, this development could be built as double circuit with existing transmission lines. March 2014 Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 108 Proprietary Figure 10.2-1: Airdrie Area Preferred Alternative To Red Deer 63S 901AL 752L East Crossfield 64S 929L 925L 653S Nose Creek 284S 901L West Crossfield 316S 688L East Airdrie 199S N.O. 631L DryCreek 186S New PoD Legend N.O. Future Circuit Existing Circuit Future Substation Existing Substation 69 kV Circuit 138 kV Circuit 240 kV Circuit 500 kV Circuit HVDC line Normally Open Circuit 69 kV Substation 611L Balzac 391S 918L Beddington 162S 932L 138 kV Substation 240 kV Substation 500 kV Substation Near-term Development Medium-term Development Long-term Development March 2014 Disclaimer: This diagram is a simplified representation of the physical system configuration. Technical details have been simplified for illustration purposes. It does not accurately display the geographical location of facilities. To Janet 74S Calgary Sub-Region Plan Page 109 Proprietary