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Document 2488635
I MORPHOLOGY OF IONOSPHERIC SCINTILLATION* .I 'N R. K. C r a n e Lincoln Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Lexington, Mas sachus e t t s Abstract s ' , I S m a l l s c a l e ionospheric i r r e g u l a r i t i e s in the F - r e g i o n can c a u s e fluctuations in the amplitude, phase, and angle of a r r i v a l of VHF. UHF, and SHF signals t r a v e r s i n g the ionosphere. Under s o m e conditions , t h e power level fluctuations o r scintillations a t VHF and UHF m a y become s e v e r e with 12 dB signal level i n c r e a s e s and fades in e x c e s s of 30 dB being observed. C u r r e n t information about the probabilities of o c c u r r e n c e of s e v e r e fades is derived f r o m a number of experiments using e i t h e r radio s t a r o r satellite borne sources. The m e a s u r e m e n t s a r e generally of signal level only and have been used to calculate scintillation indices to c h a r a c t e r i z e scintillation intensity. An examination of t h e global d i s t r i b u tion of scintillation indices show that scintillations a r e of importance to communication s y s t e m p e r formance p r i m a r i l y in the a u r o r a l and pola regions and at night n e a r t h e geomagnetic equator. 4 ,_ 'i L 3 . ., '. I. Introduction E a r l y radioastronomical observations of s o u r c e s of s m a l l angular extent exhibited significant intensity fluctuations. Spaced r e c e i v e r m e a s u r e m nts made at the J o d r e l l Bank Experiment f Station at 81.5 MHz showed that the intensity fluctuations originated in t h e F - r e g i o n of the ionos p h e r e , w e r e c o r r e l a t e d with the o c c u r r e n c e of s p r e a d - F , and formed a random intensity pattern on the ground with a c o r r e l a t i o n distance of approximately 4 km. This paper i s d i r e c t e d toward providing information to communication s y s t e m s d e s i g n e r s f i r s t about scintillation a s observed in a single e x p e r i ment, second about t h e adequacy of the existing models used t o i n t e r p r e t scintillation data, and finally about the variation of scintillation with geophysical p a r a m e t e r s . Scintillation due to elect r o n density fluctuations h a s been observed on line-of-sight paths through the ionosphere at f r e q uencies ranging f r o m 20 MHs to 6 GHz. F r e q uencies between 100 and 400 MHz a r e emphasized in this paper because of their immediate concern in s y s t e m design. An exhaustive literature exists on the subject of ionospheric scintillation. _ T h e r e f e r e n c e s cited in this paper a r e not complete and a r e only intended t o be illustrative. When possible the r e f e r e n c e s will be to m e a s u r e m e n t s made at frequencies in t h e LOO to 400 MHz range. Prediction of fading statistics for the design of communication s y s t e m s r e q u i r e s m o r e than a cataloging of data f r o m available observations. Most of the experimental data a r e f r o m observations of limited duration f o r path g e o m e t r i e s , frequencies, *This work has been sponsored by the Dept. of t h e Navy. 1 and locations d i f f e r e n t f r o m the s y s t e m to be d e signed. To obtain fading statistics f o r s y s t e m design, e i t h e r additional experiments m u s t be made using p r e c i s e l y the frequency and path geometry of the proposed s y s t e m o r one of the diffraction o r scintillation models m u s t be used to i n t e r p r e t available data. The recent discovery of scintillation at 4 and 6 GHz in the equatorial region' was a s u r p r i s e b e c a u s e it was not predicted using available data and the thin phase s c r e e n , Gaussian c o r r e l a tion function model. C u r r e n t knowledge of received signal fluctuations o r scintillation caused by the ionosphere h a s been derived f r o m a l a r g e number of observations of amplitude fluctuations made at m e t e r , decim e t e r and c e n t i m e t e r wavelepgths. The o b s e r v a tions have been made o v e r the past two decades at a n u m b e r of locations using radio s t a r s o r s a t e l l i t e borne sources. The data have generally been r e c o r d e d on s t r i p charts. Various scintillation indices have been used t o c h a r a c t e r i z e the a p p e a r ance of t h e recorded data on the charts. The scintillation indices w e r e often subjectively e s t i m a t e d o r , in r e c e n t y e a r s , calculated using the e x t r e m e values observed on s h o r t sections of the r e c o r d ing. Information about the dependence of s c i n tillation on geophysical p a r a m e t e r s such a s i n v a r iant latitude, magnetic activity index, and sunspot number h a s been published f r o m s u m m a r i e s of t h e behavior of the qualitative scintillation index values compiled f r o m available experimental data?-9 B o o k e r e t l " proposed that diffraction by fluctuations of electron density in the ionosphere could c a u s e the observed scintillation and that the effect of the e l e c t r o n density fluctuation could be modeled by a thin phase changing diffraction s c r e e n . Currently, scintillation phenomena a r e usually modeled a s being caused by a thin s c r e e n using the refinements to the original analysis made by M e r c i e r l l and Briggs and Parkin. l2 The r e finements included the introduction of a Gaussian spatial c o r r e l a t i o n function to d e s c r i b e the anisot r o p i c fluctuations in electron density at and above the s c r e e n , Measurements of the spatial and t e m p o r a l c o r r e l a t i o n p r o p e r t i e s of the fluctuations observed a t t h e ground a r e often c h a r a c t e r i z e d by t h e s c a l e s i z e o r c o r r e l a t i o n distance f o r the ionospheric diffraction s c r e e n using the Gaussian c o r r e l a t i o n function assumption. 13, 14 Recent observations have shown that the region of the ionos h e r e causing the fluctuations is often quite thick1' and the thin s c r e e n model may not be adequate. The effects of random fluctuations of r e f r a c t i v e index ( o r e l e c t r o n content) in a thick region m a y be analyzed using the Born (single scattering) approximation to the wave equation16 o r the Rytov method (method of smooth p e r t u r b a t i o n ~ when ) ~ ~ the scintillation index is not too large. In the limit of weak scintillation, a l l t h r e e approximate methods a r e identical. F o r strong scintillation, multiple s c a t t e r i n g m u s t be taken into account and none of t h e models are adequate. 11. Millstone Observations Experiment Description __ . 1 . . Observations of scintillation at 150 and 400 MHz w e r e m a d e during the period January1971 t o M a r c h 1973 using U. S. Navy Navigation System satellites and r e c e i v e r s at the Millstone Hill R a d a r Facility. l8 T h e satellites t r a n s m i t t e d " phase coherent signals which w e r e simultaneously recorded a t the r e c e i v e r site. T h e UHF (400 MHzj r e c e i v e r s y s t e m included t h e 84-foot Millstone Hill antenna equipped f o r elevation and azimuth tracking and simultaneous observations using right and left hand c i r c u l a r polarization; a phase lock tracking r e c e i v e r ; and analog t o digital conversion of t h e principal polarization channel AGC voltage, e r r o r channel signals, and the in-phase and q u a d r a t u r e orthogonal polarization channel voltages ( r e f e r e n c e d t o t h e principal polarization signal). T h e data w e r e s a m p l e s at 15 t i m e s p e r second together with time, antenna pointing angle, and the VHF data and recorded on digital magnetic tape f o r post m e a s u r e m e n t analysis. T h e VHF r e c e i v e r s y s t e m provided in-phase and quadrat u r e voltages f o r the 150 MHz signal referenced to the phase of the UHF signal divided down by the ratio of the frequencies. The VHF antenna was an eleven-element yagi mounted on one of the feed s t r u t s of the Millstone antenna. T h e s a t e l l i t e s w e r e in circumpolar o r b i t a t an approximate altitude of 1000 k m and w e r e tracked f r o m horizon-to-horizon. F o r each p a s s the average signal levels a t each frequency v a r i e d by about 10 dB. The VHF r e c e i v e r s y s t e m had a predetection bandwidth of approximately 250 Hz. The UHF predetection bandwidth was approximately 10 KHz and the AGC s y s t e m had an effective bandwidth (closed loop) of 250 Hz. T h e s i g nal to noise r a t i o f o r optimum observing conditions was approximately 35 dB a t UHF and 25 dB a t VHF. The r e c e i v e r s y s t e m was calibrated p r i o r to each satellite pass. Amplitude Fluctuations Sample observations of received signal level a t both frequencies a r e shown in Fig. 1. T h e data a r e f o r a p a s s during the m o s t s e v e r e magnetic disturbance that o c c u r r e d during the experiment (the planetary t h r e e hour magnetic activity index, Kp, equaled'8 a t the t i m e of the pass). T h e quiet conditions w e r e observed to the south, the disturbed conditions through the a u r o r a l region to t h e north. E a c h 1/15 s e c s a m p l e i s displayed. Under quiet conditions, s o m e fluctuations a r e .. , , .. . RELATIVE TlYE 1-1 QUIET CONDITIONS RELATIVE TlYEfuel , DISTURBED CONDITIONS .. ,. -,, F i g u r e 1. .. ." . < , 5fi .~ . , . ... * . .- .. observed a t each frequency. Some of the v a r i a - ; tion at 150 MHz is a l s o due to r e c e i v e r noise. . . F a r a d a y fading of the linearly polarized VHF s i g n a l is a l s o evident a s noted i n the figure. Under disturbed conditions, peak-to-peak level changes of 45 dB at 400 MHz and 4 0 dB at 150 MHz a r e evident-. ' T h e data displayed in Fig. 1 a r e f o r roughly the same elevation angles, the mid-point elevation angle f o r the one minute quiet period was 7. 6"; the mid-point elevation f o r the disturbed period was 8. I". F o r lines-of-sight to the satellite a t t h e s e elevation angles, the undisturbed signal levels should b e identical f o r observations t o the north and to t h e south of the r e c e i v e r site. T h e detailed F a r a d a y null s t r u c t u r e of the 150 MHz signal will change, however, due to differences i n the m e a n p r o p e r t i e s of the ionosphere. T h e sampled data w e r e analyzed in overlapping 8. 5 ~. second intervals. The mean and l i n e a r l e a s t s q u a r e fit line f o r the logarithm of the signal a m p litude a r e displayed between the v e r t i c a l lines f o r a l t e r n a t e analysis intervals. The s h o r t analysis intervals w e r e chosen to b e s t provide straight line fits to the variation in signal levels caused by the satellite, r e c e i v e r geometry and F a r a d a y fading a t 150 MHz. The rms variation of the observed values about the l e a s t s q u a r e lines w e r e computed t o c h a r a c t e r i z e the intensity of the fluctuations. F o r each analysis interval and frequency, the rms variation of received power about a l e a s t s q u a r e straight line fit to the observed power values was a l s o calculated. The l a t t e r rms value, when normalized by the m e a n value of received power f o r the analysis interval is the S4 index proposed by Briggs and Parkin. l2 The values of S4 f o r each analysis interval (with midpoints spaced by 4. 3 s e c ) a r e displayed in Fig. 2 f o r the s a m e satellite p a s s a s for F i g . 1. T h e satellite r o s e in the south and the relatively .I lo T Value for Royleigh I 1.4 ' - 1.2- .. . . -. .' <, -I .,' , ;. ,, . ._ - Figure 3 ,,.. . , ,. . . " . ,,.. .-. ...,. . :< .. , .. ) .>e;, , . ../ . . . 1I . . .:.. ._.,_ .. . ,. .: .. i .. .. . _... , ,). ! .II . .' 2 s i ":3.:V 1, ' : quiet conditions a r e evident f o r t h e first five minutes of the pass. Data f o r elevation angles below 2' a r e contaminated by t r o p o s p h e r i c s c i n t i l e i o n and s u r f a c e multipath and a r e not displayed. The analysis of Briggs and P a r k i n indicates that S = 1 4 is a limiting value f o r s t r o n g scintillations although values a s high a s 1.5 a r e possible f o r the right combination of s c a l e s i z e and distance f r o m the thin s c r e e n . Although s t r o n g scintillation r e q u i r e s a consideration of multiple s c a t t e r i n g , no analytical multiple s c a t t e r i n g model is available. E x p e r i m e n t a l data both f o r ionospheric scintillation and t r o p o s p h e r i c scintillation a t optical f r e q uenciesl9 show that f o r s t r o n g scintillation o r multiple s c a t t e r i n g a limiting value i s reached. . .. . . , . 10 . .. LEVEL RELATIVE TO MEAN LOG RECEIVED POWER (dB) ' - QUIET CONDITIONS F i g u r e 4a A n obvious limiting value is shown in Fig. 3. This figure i s a plot of the r m s variation of t h e -I logarithm of the received signal, , vs t i m e f o r the s a m e pass. In Fig. 3, the 95 o confidence limits f o r the e s t i m a t e d e r r o r in calculating u a r e a l s o depicted. The confidence l i m i t s a r e based upon t h e number of t i m e s different electron density i r r e g u l a r i t i e s a r e observed within the f i r s t F r e s n e l zone due to satellite motion. The data show that u r e a c h e s a limiting value of X approximately 5. 6 dB a t each frequency. The limiting values depicted in F i g s . 2 and 3 a r e calculated values f o r a Rayleigh received signal amplitude distribution. The s p r e a d of S4 values about the limiting value of 1 a t 150 MHz in Fig. 2 m a y be due e i t h e r t o sampling e r r o r o r to a different signal amplitude distribution. 7 - I . ,. . . --- 150 MHZ Ux=5.5dB LEVEL RELATIVE TO MEAN LOG RECEIVED POWER ( d e ) DISTURBED CONDITIONS The e m p i r i c a l signal amplitude distributions for the two minutes depicted in Fig. 1 a r e shown in Fig. 4. The data show n e a r l y identical d i s tributions f o r the two frequencies and disturbed conditions. The U H F e m p i r i c a l distribution function a p p e a r s to be l o g - n o r m a l f o r quiet conditions Tropospheric scintillation a t optical frequencies a l s o appear to have a l o g - n o r m a l distribution in the limit of s t r o n g scintillation. 2o The d i s t r i b u - F i g u r e 4b. tion functions a r e , however, definitely not logn o r m a l for ionospheric scintillation u n d e r - d i s turbed conditions. Bischoff and Chytil" proposed t h e u s e of the Nakagami-m distribution a s an approximation to the e m p i r i c a l distributions with 3 .. .-. .. . m = 11.5 2. Although the Nakagami-m distribution 4 i s not theoretically c o r r e c t f o r the thin s c r e e n diffraction problem, 2 2 it m a y provide a reasonable approximate distribution and h a s been used f o r the construction of long t e r m amplitude distribution functions. 23 The Nakagami-m distribution reduces to the Rayleigh distribution f o r S4 = 1 and approaches the log-normal-distribution f o r u l e s s than 1 dB. 24 The e m p i r i c a l distribution funcjions depicted in Fig. 4 w e r e test8d'ag&hit both the logn o r m a l and Nakagami-m distributipns for the caldistribuculated ax values. Using the P e a r s o n tion t e s t and a 0 . 0 5 significance level, the d i s t r i butions depicted i n Fig. 4 w e r e neither log-normal n o r Nakagami-m. The VHF diatribution for d i s turbed conditions had an m - p a r a m e t e r of 1.0 and t e s t e d to b e Nakagami-m (Rayleigh) a t a 0.01 significance level. The VHF distribution function for the minute preceding t h e disturbed minute (between 11 and 12 in Fig. 3) a l s o t e s t e d as being Rayleigh with a 0 . 0 5 significance level. The UHF distribution f o r disturbed condition had an m-value of 0.92 and t e s t e d to be different f r o m a Nakagami m distribution at reasonable significance levels. It was a l s o observed that the in-phase and quadrat u r e signals w e r e c o r r e l a t e d when m was not equal to one and w e r e uncorrelated when m = 1.0. 9 imately relating t h e various signal v a r i a n c e values proposed by Briggs and P a r k i n and for relating the e x t r e m e value indices to o t h e r m e a s u r e s of s c i n tillation is documented by Bischoff and Chytil. The V H F amplitude fluctuations depicted in Fig. 1 appear t o be m o r e rapid f o r disturbed than for quiet conditions. The t e m p o r a l behavior of scintillation can be quantitatively depicted by c o m puting distributions of the t i m e durations the signal i s below o r above p r e s e n t thresholds. E m p i r i c a l distribution ftirictions of duration below and above a l e v e l 3 dB below the mean log received power f o r each of the analysis intervals in the two minutes of data shown in Fig. 1 a r e presented in Fig. 6. The --- 150MHz, ux = 2.6dB Threshold The Nakagami-m distribution, although not identical to t h e observed distributions, does p r o vide a useful approximation for relating t h e various f o r m s of scintillation index used i n the reduction of experimental data. Calculated values of S4 and u f o r the satellite pass depicted in Figs. 2 and 3 X a r e shown in Fig. 5. The relationship between S and u calculated using both the Nakagami-m 4 X 1 2 3 TIME DURATION (set) TIME DURATION (sac) QUIET CONDITIONS $ 2.0 - I -L - 400MHz, ux --- 150MH2, ux E = 5.9dB = 5.5d0 1.5 =4 1.0 0.5 Distribution 8 0 2 4 6 a W m ex (dB1 2 Figure 5 0 1 2 3 . 0 1 2 3 . TIME DURATION ( s e d TIME DURATION (sec) DISTURBED CONDITIONS .. 4 ~ Figure 6 and log-normal distributions together with a weak s c a t t e r approximation a r e a l s o shown. Of the distribution functions shown, t h e Nakagami-m p r o vides the b e s t e s t i m a t e of t h e S -9( relationship f o r t h e e n t i r e range of observe%values. T h e usefulness of t h e Nakagami-m distribution f o r a p p r a - data show that the duration distribution functions a r e approximately exponential with different slopes for t i m e s above and below the - 3 dB threshold. The a v e r a g e f a d e duration i s given by t h e value of t i m e duration required to reduce the number of ><. - .I - I o6servations by l/e. F o r t h e -3 dB threshold and disturbed conditions, the a v e r a g e fade'duration Was 0.08 s e c at 400 MHz and 0.05 s e c a t 150 h4Hz. The fade r a t e i s t h e r e c i p r o c a l of the a v e r a g e fade duration f o r a 0 dB threshold. F o r t h e quiet conditions depicted in Figs. 1 and 4, the fade r a t e s w e r e 3.8 Hz a t UHF-and 6.2 Hz a t VHF. F o r d i s turbed conditions, t5k fade r a t e s w e r e higher being 7.2 Hz a t UHF and 9,Z,&Lz at VHF, s p e c t r a approximates a power law f o r frequencies g r e a t e r than 1 Hz. Power law power s p e c t r a have been reported by Rufenach" and the power law f o r m is eviden in t h e data reported by Elkin and Papagiaxmis. A line with a slope of - 3 i s drawn on t h e f i g u r e but t h e b e s t f i t slope f o r the power s p e c t r a - m a y lie between - 2 and -3. The fluctuations of_the power s p e c t r a with frequency a r e due to &he l i m i t e d s t a t i s t i c a l a c c u r a c y of the 'reported values. h e - m i n u t e s a m p l e s i z e s w e r e chosen b e c a u s e t h e p r o c e s s i s obviously not s t a t i o n a r y o v e r longer t i m e i n t e r v a l s (except perhaps when the s t r o n g scintillation l i m i t is reached a s shown in Fig. 3) and m a y well not be stationary even o v e r a minute. S h o r t e r s a m p l e lengths w e r e not chosen b e c a u s e the s t a t i s t i c a l e r r o r would become signi- " The tempbra1 b e h a v i o r - o f Btintillation m a y a l s o be c h a r a c t e r i z e d by e m p i r i c a I c o r r e l a t i o n functbns o r power spectra. Power s p e c t r a f o r selected t i m e periods f r o m the p a s s depicted in Fig. 3 a r e displayed in Figs. 7 and 8. The power s p e c t r a w e r e calculated using detrended log received power data f r o m each analysis interval. T h e data for each i n t e r v a l w e r e parabolically weighted p r i o r to calculating the F o u r i e r t r a n s f o r m and t h e resultant power s p e c t r a w e r e averaged o v e r 13 analysis i n t e r v a l s within a minute. T h e Esultant confidence limits f o r the power s p e c t r a e s t i m a t e s a r e shown in the figures. The s p e c t r a r e p r e s e n t signal plus noise. T h e r e c e i v e r noise levels a r e a l s o depicted on each figure. The r e c e i v e r bandwidths p r i o r to sampling a r e approximately 250 Hz and witsampling r a t e of only 15 p e r second (Nyquist f r e q uency of 7. 5 Hz) considerable aliasing i s possible in t h e reported s p e c t r a . . . ficantly l a r g e r . > ' - Loq (Received Power1 150MHz 95% Confidence Limits .-. I- tii . . 4 L - . d ' - 0 06-Hz Bondwidth lo=, N Log (Received Power) 400 MHz 95% Confidencs Limits 0.06-HZ Bondwidth I I I I I , , I 1 I I I I I Ill1 7-0 and 12-I4rnm The s p e c t r a f o r disturbed o r s t r o n g scintillation l i m i t fluctuations a r e r e p r e s e n t e d by solid lines. T h e s e data show little change of l e v e l with frequency implying that s e v e r e aliasing i s p r e s e n t in the d a t a and the sampling r a t e was not high enough to adequately r e p r e s e n t the strong s c a t t e r ing case. The data w e r e obtained a s a p a r t of a g e n e r a l propagation study and higher sampling r a t e s would have compromised the other e l e m e n t s of the program. What i s evident i n the data is r e l atively little change i n the low frequency v a r i a n c e energy and significant i n c r e a s e s a t higher frequencies. The c o r r e l a t i o n t i m e t h e r e f o r e d e c r e a s e s and t h e s p e c t r u m s p r e a d s (fade r a t e i n c r e a s e s ) a s the s t r o n g scintillation limit is reached. This r e s u l t h a s been predicted h e u r i s t i c a l l y by many w o r k e r s , l2 FREOUENCY (Hz) Figure 7 The UHF s p e c t r a f o r the quiet and disturbed t i m e s a r e identified on the figure. T h e dashed s p e c t r a a r e for minute i n t e r v a l s between 2 and 5 minutes as shown in Fig. 3. The horizontal lines with u values i n Fig. 3 r e p r e s e n t the d u r a tion spanne3by the s p e c t r a displayed in Fig. 7. The dashed lines a r e f o r quiet o r weak scintillation conditions. The quiet data a r e b a r e l y above r e c e i v e r noise and a r e not useful in describing scintillation phenomena. T h e dot-dashed s p e c t r u m , f o r minute 9-10, is f o r a period when the s t r o n g scintillation limit was not reached. The The VHF spectra. f o r the disturbed period a r e a l s o flat spectra. F o r quiet conditions, the 9( value i s approximately the s a m e a s f o r the dotdashed c u r v e in Fig. 7. As in Fig. 7, the s p e c t r a at lower frequencies have a l m o s t the, s a m e levels a s f o r t h e s t r o n g scintillation limit. F o r quiet conditions and frequencies above 1 Hz, t h e signal 5 c v a r i a n c e to noise v a r i a n c e ratios a r e not l a r g e enough to provide an adequate m e a s u r e of t h e shape of each spectrum. conditions m a y be due to actual changes in total e l e c t r o n content o r to random inclusions of.2n radian phase ambiguities. P h a s e Fluctuations The r m s variation in differential doppler and phase a r e depicted in Fig. 10 for the e n t i r e pass. The differential doppler values a p p e a r to show a s t r o n g scintillation limit a t 4. 3 Hz cor.responding to the n/d3 r m s value for phase change between s u c c e s s i v e obs'erv-ations of a Rayleigh.process. The..r.ms variations in differential phase show m o r e uqc.ertainty f o r s t r o n g scintillation due.-ta possible phase ambiguities. - The phase of t h e signals f r o m the satellite fluctuates when scintillation occurs. The differential phase path length was m e a s u r e d using the VHF in-phase and q u a d r a t u r e voltage values. The p h a s e ' r e f e r e n c e f o r t h e VHF signal was the phase o{ the. UHF signal divided down b y t h e ratio of the We.frequencies. The differential phase path length values, reported in t e r m s of phase change at 150 MHz r e f e r e n c e the initially reported phase value, a r e shown i n Fig. 9. T h e differential phase value a t a s a m p l e instant i s computed f r o m the r e p o r t e d in-phase and q u a d r a t u r e voltage values and can only be determined modulo 2n. In processing t h e data, t h e assumption i s made that the phase cannot change by m o r e than r radians between s u c c e s s i v e samples. This assumption i s adequate only i f the d a t a a r e s a m p l e s at a sufficiently high rate. The in-phase and q u a d r a t u r e channel bandwidths w e r e 250 Hz p r i o r to sampling and it i s possible that phase shifts g r e a t e r than 2n can o c c u r between sampling times. Power s p e c t r a for the differential phase fluctuation observations a r e shown in Fig. 11. The dashed c u r v e s correspond to weak scintillation and a sampling r a t e adequate to unambiguously m e a s u r e differential phase. These power s p e c t r a show a region of generally l i n e a r (power law) d e c r e a s e until the data a r e contaminated by r e c e i v e r noise.. F o r frequencies below 3 Hz the s p e c t r a a r e increasing with d e c r e a s i n g frequency though at a ' _ lower r a t e than f o r frequencies f r o m . 3-. 6 Hz. ..The data a t the low frequencies a r e , however, . contaminated by the c u r v e fitting, detrending p r o c e d u r e used to p r e p a r e t h e data f o r t r a n s f o r m . analysis. P h a s e difference power s p e c t r a o b s e r vations reported by P o r c e l l o and HughesZ8 show reasonably convincing power law power s p e c t r a o v e r a range f r o m . 1 to 10 Hz f o r satellites in orbits s i m i l a r to those used f o r the Millstone measurements. The slopes of t h e power s p e c t r a observed by P o r c e l l o and Hughes ranged f r o m -2. 8 to -3. 0. The s t r o n g scintillation data a l s o show a power law behavior caused by t h e low frequency fluctuations evident in Fig. 9. This behavior however may be due to phase ambiguities and a higher sampling rate is r e q u i r e d to adequately d e s c r i b e strong scintillation effects. . 100 -2 1 RCLATIVL TlYL Ir) M U A M TIM (rrl W E T COIQlTlONS MSTURBEO C M I T I O N S * Figure 9 The differential doppler values for quite conditions ( s a m e observation t i m e s as f o r Fig. 1) show a relatively n a r r o w s p r e a d of values-about-the o r i gin suggesting that no phase ambiguity problems occurred. The differential phase values showed a smoothly changing t r e n d caused by the change in integrated electron content along t h e path ( s e e G a r r i o t t etal, 1970). The data show an i n c r e a s e in phase flucutations at the F a r a d a y null cuased by a d e c r e a s e in signal to noise ratio. The differential doppler data for disturbed conditions show a nearly uniform distribution of points between 27. 5 Hz kn change between s u c c e s s i v e samples). F o r this data, occasional phase ambiguities a r e quite likely which introduce e r r o r s into the differential phase values. The low frequency differential p h a s e f l u c t u a t i o n s a p p a r e n t i n Fig. 9 f o r disturbed 6 - j 100 - - - w - - - e- w 0 z w K LL 1' - k 0 In In Differential Doppler Differential Phase 1 - 11 0.1 0 ' I I I I I I I 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 TIME (min) F i g u r e 10 -0.1 16 H ,.I - . ! with the scintillation in the principal polarization channel. T h e data t h e r e f o r e show no uncorrelated fluctuations. Phose Path Length Difference 150-400 MHz I 1.0, ., . .+. . . 5 OBw E 06- I LL LL . 8 04- ... :.. .... .. . . ... . . . . . . . i . I F i g u r e 11 F Depolarization -0.4' 0 Simultaneous observations w e r e made on both left and right hand c i r c u l a r polarizations at UHF. T h e t r a n s m i s s i o n s w e r e nominally right hand c i r c u l a r but in p r a c t i c e w e r e elliptically polarized. The polarization s t a t e changed slpwly with changes in satellite, r e c e i v e r station geometry. The o r t h ogonal polarization r e c e i v e r was gain controlled by the p r i m a r y polarization AGC signal. The AGC control s y s t e m was effective i n removing fluctuations of limited dynamic range that o c c u r r e d simultaneously on both channels a t frequencies up to 250 Hz. F o r strong fluctuations with peak-to-peak s p r e a d s of m o r e than 20 dB. the AGC s y s t e m did not remove a l l of the simultaneous fluctuations f r o m t h e orthogonal channel output and the residual fluctuations w e r e detected. F o r weak s c i n tillation, only fluctuations on t h e orthogonal channel that w e r e not c o r r e l a t e d with the principal polarization fluctuations would b e detected. F o r strong scintillation, the residual fluctuations had t o be c o r r e l a t e d with t h e principal polarization fluctuations t o detect the p r e s e n c e o r absence of uncorrelated fluctuations i n the orthogonal polarization channel. T h e signal to noise ratio f o r uncorrelated fluctuations was i n e x c e s s of 20 dB ' ' ' 2 4 6 ' 8 ' ' ' ' I IO 12 14 16 18 TIME (min) F i g u r e 12 ',, T h e s e observations show that the fluctuations on both polarizations a r e c o r r e l a t e d and polarization diversity s y s t e m s will not be useful in combating ionospheric scintillation a t UHF. If significant uncorrelated orthogonal polarization fluctuations w e r e p r e s e n t they would have a u value n e a r those in Fig. 3 which obviously w e r e not o b s e w ed in t h e data presented i n Fig. 12 even for the s t r o n g e s t scintillation levels. S i m i l a r conclusions have been drawn by Whitney and Ring29 f r o m observations made a t 137 MHz f o r scintillation levels below the strong scintillation limit and by Koster3O f o r s t r o n g scintillation at 137 MHz i n the equatorial region. Observations a t frequencies lower than 54 MHz show that orthogonal c i r c u l a r polarization channels m a y fade independently3' and diversity is possible. At frequencies below about 50 MHz, the ordinary and extraordinary r a y s may b e s e p a r a t e d by m o r e than the radius of the f i r s t F x e s n e l zone and the electron density fluctuations causing scintillation will not b e c o r r e l a t e d f o r two orthegonal polarizations. 32 Sufficient separation between o r d i n a r y and e x t r a o r d i n a r y r a y paths- for-the.f luctuations t o become independent is not possible a t frequencies above 100 MHz. f o r typical satellite, r e c e i v e r geometries. T h e rms variation of the log of the orthogonal channel amplitude and the correlation coefficient between the log of the orthogonal channel output and the log of the principal channel output is shown in Fig. 12 f o r the e n t i r e p a s s ( s e e Fig. 3 f o r principal polarization variation). F o r weak scintillation, the output is n e a r r e c e i v e r noise and no correlation is evident. After seven minutes, the scintillation is much s t r o n g e r and a low level v a r iation is evident in the orthogonal channel data. This residual output is however highly correlated 7 ! 5 111. C a r r i e r Frequency Dependence of the UHF, VHF Observations Frequency Dependence of the Scintillation Index The data presented above a r e provided to illust r a t e the c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of scintillation a s observed a t UHF and VHF. These data cna be used to provide information about scintillation at other locations, frequencies, and path geometries only if a model i s available f o r t h e i r interpretation. In t h e limit of weak scintillation, the available models d i s c u s s e d above a l l r e l a t e the power spect r u m of amplitude (or log amplitude) a s observed on the ground to the power s p e c t r u m of the e l e c t r o n density fluctuations modified by the effects of t h e s c a t t e r i n g p r o c e s s ( F r e s n e l filtering). The power s p e c t r u m of t e m p o r a l changes observed on a line-of-sight path to a low orbiting satellite may be related to the power s p e c t r u m of spatial fluctuations of e l e c t r o n density by assuming that the e l e c t r o n density fluctuations do not change during t h e t i m e the line-of-sight sweeps through the d i s turbed region of the ionosphere. E a r l y models of scintillation a s s u m e d that the spatial c o r r e l a t i o n function f o r e l e c t r o n density fluctuations was approximately Gaussian with diff e r e n t s c a l e s i z e s along and perpendicular to the magnetic field lines. The Gaussian model i m plies a Gaussian power s p e c t r u m with power spectral densities d e c r e a s i n g rapidly f o r spatial f r e q uencies above o r below t h e r e c i p r o c a l of the s c a l e size. In .the l i m i t of high frequencies corresponding to spatial frequencies l a r g e r than the r e c i p r o c a l of the F r e s n e l zone size, the s p e c t r u m observed on the ground should be identical to the two dimensional s p e c t r u m of electron density fluctuations observed i n a plane n o r m a l to the direction of the propagation path. F o r a Gaussian model, the high frequency limit should have a parabolic shape with increasing negative slopes f o r i n c r e a s ing frequency when observed f o r weak scintillation. The dot-dashed c u r v e in Fig. 7 has sufficient signal variation to noise variance ratio to show the slopes of the s p e c t r u m to be n e a r l y l i n e a r shape f o r high frequencies is indicative of a power-law power s p e c t r u m r a t h e r than a Gaussian power spectrum. 25 Power s p e c t r a at both UHF and VHF with a reasonably high signal v a r i a n c e to noise variance ratio and f o r weak scintillation a r e shown in Fig. 13. These s p e c t r a a r e f o r the s a m e one minute observation periods and f o r a t i m e period wh?n the individual r m s log amplitude values f o r e-b analysis i n t e r v a l changed little a t both f r e q uencies (the p r o c e s s was n e a r l y stationary). Both s p e c t r a show power-law high f r e q u t n c y regions.. T h e scintillation models predict that. the power s p e c t r a l density values should i q c r e a s e by the s q u a r e of the ratio of the c a r r i e r wavelength. The b e s t fit s t r a i g h t lines to both observed s p e c t r a having a wavelength s q u a r e d s e p a r a t i o n a r e shown on the figure. The slope of t h e s e lines 8 is approximately -3. This c o r r e s p o n d s to a power law dependence f o r the t h r e e dimensional spatial power s p e c t r u m of e l e c t r o n density fluctuations with an index of 4 (Scuk-P, S = power s p e c t r a l density, k = wavenumber, p = index) and a one dimensional s p e c t r u m with an index of 2 . The data presented i n Fig. 13 a r e f o r observations to the northwest at an elevation angle of 18". F o r the satellite, r e c e i v e r station geometry, the F r e s n e l zone s i z e at a height of 300 k m was 0. 7 k m at 400 MHz and 1.1 k m a t 150 MHz. The r a y moved a t approximately 1. 0 k m / s e c through the ionos p h e r e (velocity perpendicular to the line-of-sight at 300 km). The frequency at which each of the s p e c t r a flatten (1. 5 Hz at 400 MHz: 0. 9 Hz at 150 MHz) i s approximately the ratio of the ray motion to F r e s n e l zone s i z e and higher f r e q uencies c o r r e s p o n d t o s c a l e s i z e s s m a l l e r than the F r e s n e l zone size. 102 Log(Received Power) I 0.1 I I I I ,,Ill 95% Confidence Limits 0.06 Hz Bandwidlh I 1 I I 1 1 1 1 1 1.0 FREQUENCY (Hz) F i g u r e 13 The weak scintillation theory f o r a power-law s p e c t r u m predicts a scintillation index (S o r u ) frequency dependence given by33 4 x where A i s wavelength, the s u b s c r i p t s r e f e r to the c a r r i e r frequencies, and T\ is the s p e c t r a l index. F o r a t h r e e dimensional power-law index of 4, the s p e c t r a l index is 1. 5. Using this s p e c t r a l index, S( at 150 MHz should be 4. 4 t i m e s at 400 M H z . F o r the data displayed in Fig. 7 3 , u a t 400 MHz was 0. 5 dB, 0 at 150 MHz was 2.4% 2 . 4 dB, and the predicted Xvalue using = 1. 5 i s 2. 3 dB, well within the measurem'ent- e r r o r of the observed value. The relationship between (5 a t ea150 MHz and % a t 400 MHz for a pass with r X sonably high signal variance to noise v a r i a n c e ratios i s shown on Fig. 14. T h e w e a k s c i n - . .3 -, I tillation limit c u r v e corresponding to a s p e c t r a l K index of 1. 5 is shown together with the s t r o n g scintillation limit. T h e data appear to lie along the weak scintillation e s t i m a t e c u r v e until the s t r o n g scintillatio'n l i m i t is reached, then u X r e m a i n s a t the l a t t e r value. ,I , /-.- eL, , I I , I , I I I i , , I I I I I I I I I 1 I 4 I '4 1 Weak Scinlillolin - %" 4 c Aarons et38 and ~ l l e n 3 9argue, for o b s e r v a tions made above 63 MHz f r o m the S a g a m o r e Hill Radio Observatory, t h a t a s p e c t r a l index of 2. 0 b e s t fits t h e i r data in the l i m i t of weak s c a t t e r curve although the plots of scintillation index vs have a median value of 1. 6 as long as the scintillation index a t 113 MHz is between 5 and 25% (S 4 at 63 MHz l e s s than 0. 6 and m e a s u r a b l e scintillation a t 113 MHz). Recently reported observations f r o m the s a m e o b s e r v a t o r y at frequencies of 137 and show, f o r s i m i l a r weak 412 MHz by Whitney et29 but m e a s u r a b l e scintillation conditions, a d i s t r i bution of 'ilvalues between 1. 2 and 1. 8 with a m e a n value of 1. 49 f 0. 05. cX (dB) AT 400MHZ F i g u r e 14 t o r y , l e s s than 100 k m i r o m Millstone. Aarons 36 reported observations a t frequencies between 22 and 39 MHz f r o m Arecibo, P u e r t o Rico under weak scintillation conditions and found a median s p e c t r a l index of 1. 6. Amplitude scintillations observed by Lawrence et5 at 53 and 108 MHz show, f o r S values at 53 MHz below 0. 01 (-S = 0. 7). a me&an s p e c t r a l index value of 1. 5. E a A y observations r e p o r t e d by C h i ~ e r m s a~d e~ at J o d r e l l Band Experimental Station a t s e v e r a l frequencies between 36 and 408 MHz using radio stars had m e a n s p e c t r a l indices ranging f r o m 1. 9 to 2.1. Observations a l s o m a d e at J o d r e l l Bank at 79 and 1390 MHz and r e p o r t e d by Chivers and D a ~ i e showed s ~ ~ in the limit of weak s c a t t e r a t 79MHz and just detectable fluctuations at 1390 MHz, a value of q n e a r 1. 5. . T h e frequency dependence of ionospheric scintillation has received considerably attention in the literature. The thin phase s c r e e n , Gaussian correlation function model predicted a s p e c t r a l index of two when the scale s i z e w a s l a r g e r than the first F r e s n e l zone radius ( n e a r field limit) and of one when the s c a l e s i z e was s m a l l e r (far field limit)!' T h e power-law power s p e c t r a model predicts a single value f o r all c a s e s (provided the power law holds o v e r all s c a l e sizes). Experimental verification of the frequency dependence predictions is difficult because the scintillation index m u s t be l e s s than the saturation limit value at both the high and low frequency. F o r strong scintillation at both frequencies, the empirically determined s p e c t r a l index would be zero. F o r a random selection of observations, the e m p i r i c a l s p e c t r a l index should lie between 0 and 1. 5. Sign a l to noise and m e a s u r e m e n t dynamic range problems inherent in many of the e a r l y m e a s u r e ments could f u r t h e r d e g r a d e t h e estimates of spect r a l index. F r o m Fig. 3 f o r the period between two and five minutes the r a t i o of u values is X approximately 10 implying a s p e c t r a l index of 2. 3. As shown i n Fig. 8, the lower frequency was contaminated by r e c e i v e r noise causing a fictitiously high s p e c t r a l index estimate. Only a limited number of s p e c t r a l index e s t i - . mations have been m a d e f o r equatorial regions. , Blank and Golden40 r e p o r t I)- 0. 2 to 0. 3 f o r f r e q uencies between 137 and 400 MHz. They comment that the r e s u l t s pertain, in p a r t , to s t r o n g s c a t t e r . T a u r 4 l reported a value of I)- 2 f o r equatorial m e a s u r e m e n t s at 4 and 6 GHz. T h e l a t t e r o b s e r vations w e r e f o r weak scintillation and m a y indic a t e e i t h e r the existance of an inner s c a l e where the power law region ends and a different power s p e c t r u m shape o c c u r s or the problems of detecting s m a l l fluctuations i n noise. C o r r e l a t i o n of Amplitude Fluctuations a t T w o Freeuencies The r m s amplitude fluctuations d e c r e a s e with i n c r e a s i n g frequency f o r weak scatter. They a r e a l s o c o r r e l a t e d o v e r a wide frequency range. Calculations of the expected c o r r e l a t i o n coefficient f o r power-law indices ranging f r o m 3 to 4 a r e shown in Fig, 15. S i m i l a r calculations f o r Gaussian s p e c t r a have been made by Budden4'. Since the available power s p e c t r a and frequency dependence data support the power law model, the Gaussian model predictions will not be presented. Meas u r e d c o r r e l a t i o n coefficients f o r the Millstone data and f r o m available p a p e r s a r e a l s o presented. T h e p = 4 c u r v e provides the b e s t e s t i m a t e based upon the above analysis and should r e p r e s e n t t h e upper bound f o r m e a s u r e m e n t s f o r each A f value. T h e lower frequencies used i n the two frequency observations a r e listed in the figure. F o r strong Simultaneous observations of radio s t a r scinshowed a spectillation reported b y Basu t r a l index value of approximately I. 5 f o r frequenc i e s at 112 and 224 MHz and a lower value for the 63, 112 M H z frequency pair. The lower value f o r t h e lower frequency presumably is caused by s t r o n g scintillation data. T h e s e observations w e r e made at t h e S a g a m o r e Hill Radio Observa- et34 9 I scintillation, the c o r r e l a t i o n coefficient should be upon the elevation angle of the line-of-sight t o the lower than the calculated values. F o r low f r e q satellite, t i m e of day, s e a s o n of the y e a r , the uency observations, the f i r s t F r e s n e l zones a t degree of magnetic disturbance. and sunspot numeach frequency m a y not overlap due to different ber. In m o s t of the observations, the exact n a t u r e ionospheric refraction at each frequency. F o r an of t h e dependance could not be determined due t o elevation angle of 10". r a y s at 150 and 400 MHz the limited duration of the observations and possia r e s e p a r a t e d by m o r e than 30 k m at a height of ble correlations between s o m e of the geophysical 300 km. The Millstone observations depicted i n and geographical p a r a m e t e r s . F o r observations of Fig. 1 show no correlation between the two f r e q a radio s t a r , the elevation angle and t i m e of day uencies. Since t h e elevation angles a r e less than a r e c o r r e l a t e d f o r each s e a s o n and the diurnal, 10" f o r the data depicted in Fig. 1 and the f i r s t .elevation angle dependances cannot be separated. F r e s n e l zone r a d i i a r e l e s s than I. 3 km. no c o r F o r observations of satellites in low circumpolar relation was expected. orbits, the effects of elevation angle and geo-magnetic latitude cannot be s e p a r a t e d without making simultaneous observations f r o m a number of locations. 43 . Scintillations m a y be caused by electron density fluctuations anywhere in the ionosphere. E a r l y studies showed strong correlation with the occurrence of s p r e a d - F and v e r y weak c o r r e l a t i o n with sporadic E and s p r e a d E. This implies that the majority of scintillation o c c u r r e n c e s a r e caused by F region i r r e g u l a r i t i e s . Studies of the heights of regions causing scintillation deduced f r o m t h e r a t e s of change of fluctuations observed using low orbiting satellites or f r o m simultaneous observations at m o r e than one station on t h e ground show that the electron density i r r e g u l a r i t i e s m a y o c c u r o v e r a wide range of heights, 200-600 k m both in the a u r o r a l and equatorial regions. 47,48,49 - The r a d a r data of Pomalaza e l 5show that the i r r e g u l a r i t y region is usually s e v e r a l hundred kilometers thick. The data displayed on Fig. 15 show reasonable agreement with the 'calculations. The data reported by Taur41 are the only data f o r weak scintillation only. T h e s e data with a lower frequency a t 1550 MHz f o r a n equatorial station shows b e t t e r agreement f o r p between 3 and 3. 5 than a t 4. This again m a y indicate a change in the power s p e c t r u m of electron density fluctuations a t s m a l l s c a l e s i z e s i n the equatorial region. The o b s e r vations reported above f o r a u r o r a l and mid-latitude s i t e s a r e a l l in reasonable agreement with a power-law power s p e c t r u m model with an index of 4 f o r the t h r e e dimensional fluctuations of elect r o n density. T h e situation f o r equatorial regions is not as convincing and m o r e data a r e required. It is, however, evident that the correlation coeffients a r e reasonably high over a wide frequency range. This implies that extremely wide frequency separations (-10 to I) are required to provide adequate frequency diversity operation and f r e q uency diversity is not useful in combating the effects of scintillation. Using the Rytov method t o analyze weak scinthe tillation due to a thick i r r e g u l a r i t variance of the log amplitude ((5 T~g~~~60rtional to the integral of the product of the variance of the electron density fluctuations (intensity) and d i s tance f r o m the i r r e g u l a r i t i e s to the r e c e i v e r over the thickness of the i r r e g u l a r i t y region f o r plane waves incident on the ionosphere and a t h r e e dimensional power law power s p e c t r u m with a n index p = 4. T h e scintillation i n d e x , t h e r e f o r e , depends both upon the s q u a r e root of thc extent of 3-of-sight path the i r r e g u l a r i t y region along the and to t h e s q u a r e root of the dista..de f r o m the r e c e i v e r to the i r r e g u l a r i t y region. Both the d i s tance to the i r r e g u l a r i t y region and the extent of the region along the r a y v a r y with elevatir angle. If the s i z e intensity and location of the i r r - g u l a r i t y region a r e known, the scintillation index m a y be computed f r o m the model f o r any combination of frequency and path geometry f o r u < 2 - 3 dB (weak X scintillation). It i s difficult however to deduce the intensity of the i r r e g u l a r i t i e s f r o m observations using low orbiting satellites because the scintillation index value changes m a y be due to a change i n s i z e , a change of intensity, or a change i n elevation angle. ,I) IV Dependence of Scintillation on Geo phy s ic a1 P a r a m e t e r s Morphological studies of the dependence of scintillation on geophysical p a r a m e t e r s have shown that scintillation is m o s t s e v e r e and prevelent in and north of the ariroral zone and n e a r the geomagnetic equator (equatorial region within t 15" to 2 0 " of the geomagnetic equator). T h e s e studies of available scintillation observations show that the s e v e r i t y of scintillation a l s o depends T h e Millstone data f o r the satellite p a s s r e p o r t e d i n Figs. 3 and 10 w e r e replotted vs the invariant latitude of the line-of-sight to the to ., I satellite at a height of 300 k m and a e presented in Fig. 16. T h e s e d a t a show a relatipely rapid change f r o m weak t o s t r o n g scintillation a s t h e variant latitude, A, changes f r o m 56 to 59". This sudden change m a y be d e s c r i b e d a s a scintillation boundary in analogy with the boundary observed by Aarons T h e scintillation boundary cons i d e r e d by Aarons & is defined a s the latitude where their. e x t r e m e value scintillation index, SI, exceeds 50% a t 40 MHz. This t r a n s l a t e s to a n S4 value of 0.02 (a = 0. 08 dB) a t 400 IhHz using 1 s p e c t i a l index 1. 5 and t h e relationship between SI and S4 reported by Bischoff and Chytil. 21 The 400 MHz observations made a t Millstone do not have sufficient sensitivity to o b s e r v e t h e boundary defined at 40 M H z although an apparent boundary is sometimes evident in the data. The abrupt changes in a and the apparent differences in ax X values to the north and south of Millstone ( A = 56") shown i n Fig. 16 indicate changes in e i t h e r t h e intensity o r extent of e l e c t r o n density fluctuations with invariant latitude, the elevation angles being approximately the s a m e f o r latitudes equispaced above and below 57" f o r the p a s s depicted in the figure. The data reported i n Figs. 1 and 9 c o r r e s pond to 51" and 64' f o r quiet and disturbe&onditions to the n o r t h and south of t h e boundary, respectively. et? 03 - - 0.1!5 55 I 50 I 60 I 65 I 70 I 7 INVARIANT LATITUDE (deg) ,: .. F i g u r e 16 -.> i . A u r o r a l and mid-latitude scintillation regions a r e s e p a r a t e d by the scintillation boundary. The position of the boundary changes with t i m e of day. magnetic activity, and possibly sunspot number. Aarons5'reported that t h e position of t h e bounchry defined using the m e a n SI values f o r a number of observations ranged f r o m 54" to 76" depending upon t i m e of day and magnetic activity. The d i u r n a l variation of S4 at 400 MHz tabulated f r o m Millstone data f o r detrended three-second o b s e r vation periods51 a r e shown in Fig. 17 Two invariant latitude bands w e r e analyzed, 44 to 46" corresponding to positions always within the midlatitude region (south of the boundary) and 64 to 66" corresponding to locations within the night t i m e a u r o r a l region. Data f r o m a total of 2471 p a s s e s w e r e analyzed. F o r t h e two-invariant latitude bands used, t h e elevation angles ranged f r o m 3" to 14". The elevation angle values f o r each p a s s however w e r e generally different in each band. Over the range of elevation angles, t h e S4 or aX value m a y change by a f a c t o r of 2. The elevation angles should have n e a r l y the s a m e o c c u r r e n c e distribution f o r each band and no elevation angle bias i s expected. .. - LQY RE I*) F i g u r e 17 The o c c u r r e n c e percentages of S i values above 0. 2, 0.4, 0. 6 and 0. 8 (a values of 0. 9, 1. 4 X 2. 8 and 4. 2 dB, respectively) w e r e c h o s e n t o c h a r a c t e r i z e t h e observations. F o r S4 > 0.8, the 64-66' data show a morning minimum and an afternoon maximum. Data reported by Aarons5' f o r N a r s s a r s s u a q having an invariant latitude of 63" and an elevation angle of 18" show, at 136 MHz, a morning minimum i n mean SI and a nighttime maximum o c c u r r i n g between 2100 and 0500 hours. It T h e Millstone afternoon maximum is not evident in reported occurthe 136 MHz data. Aarons et4 r e n c e percentages f o r SI > 60% at 136 MHz (equivalent t o S4 > 0.15 at 400 MHz) that displayed a morning minimum and a nighttime maximum. Although the N a r s s a r s s u a q data a r e f o r n e a r l y t h e s a m e invariant latitude a s t h e Millstone d a t a - a n d t h e elevation angles d i f f e r slightly, the l a t t e r data show an afternoon maximum not p r e s e n t i n the f o r m e r . The Millstone data a r e f o r observations to the north, t h e N a r s s a r s s u a q data f o r observations toward t h e south and differences i n propagation d i r e c t i o n relative t o t h e field lines mi ht be impoltant. 113 M H z d a t a reported by AaronsS O f o r radio s t a r observations toward the North at an invariant latitude of 66' at t h e s a m e elevation angles a s f o r Millstone show relatively higher m e a n SI values in t h e afternoon than i n the morning displaying t h e s a m e g e n e r a l t r e n d a s t h e Millstone data. T h e 113 MHz data a l s o showed a lower m e a n SI value averaged o v e r all t i m e s of day than the 136 M H z data. The lower SI values a r e presumably due t o d i f f e r e n c e s in sunspot number, the 113 M H z d a t a w e r e taken at the minimum of the sunspot c y c l e ; the 136 MHz and Millstone data n e a r t h e maximum. The shape of the d i u r n a l variation curvek. m a y b e affected by differences in t h e intensity and extent of t h e i r r e g u l a r i t i e s along and n o r m a l t o the field lines. have only shown that scintillation tends t o be both .' m o r e prevalent and m o r e intense on a v e r a g e during y e a r s of high sunspot n*.mber. T h e mid-latitude region observations show significantly s m a l l e r percentages of o c c u r r e n c e f o r each of t h e t h r e e hour intervals. The number of satellite p a s s e s associate& with t h e observed o c c u r r e n c e s with S4 .> 0.2 range between 0 and 2 for all i n t e r v a l s except 2100-2400 h o u r s implying that insufficient data w e r e available to deduce a diurnal trend. Mid-latitude ~ b e r v a t i g n sby Aarons et52 a t 54 MHz show mean SI values to have relative maxima at noon and midnight. Equatorial region observations show scintillation to b e a nighttime phenomena with Occurrences r a r e ' between s u n r i s e and sunset? Observations reported by Aarons et4 f o r Huancayo, P e r u (equatorial) show that a t 136 M H z t h e scintillations w e r e m o s t prevelent at 2200 h. l o c a l time with a 60% o c c u r r e n c e f o r SI > 60. This t r a n s l a t e s to a 60% o c c u r r e n c e of S4 > 0.15 at 400 MHz. The data in Fig. 17 show l e s s than 10% o c c u r r e n c e f o r S4 P 0. 2 indicating that equatorial scintillations tend to be m o r e prevalent than a u r o r a l zone s c i n tillations. .L I MONTH F i g u r e 18 I 64' < A < 6 6 O (Auroral) The s e a s o n a l dependence of scintillation is shown for the Millstone mid-latitude and a u r o r a l region observations in Fig. 18. T h e s e data show a s p r i n g minimum and a fall maximum for the a u r o r a l data a t S4 > 0. 2. The August peak is caused by a t h r e e day i n t e r v a l associated with the highest magnetic activity indices observed during the January 1971 to March 1973 t i m e period. The August event b i a s e s the observations. The s e a sonal variation of m e a n SI at 54 MHz reported by Aarons et52 show a minimum i n the number of o c c u r r e n c e s i n Winter a s compared to other s e a sons f o r a l l observations to the north and south of the Sagamore Hill Observatory. The 54 M H z data a r e however for the minimum of the sunspot cycle. The data,therefore, show little r e a l seasonal variation. Equatorial region observations tend to show relatively higher percentage o c c u r r e n c e s at the t i m e s of the equinoxes and a minimum at the n o r t h e r n solstice. s4 0-1' 2-3+ >4- Observations of scintillation in the a u r o r a l region generally show a c o r r e l a t i o n between mean SI values and magnetic activity, Kp. F i g u r e 19 shows t h e i n c r e a s e i n t h e o c c u r r e n c e of scintillation with increasing Kp f o r t h e a u r o r a l region. Little change in percentage o c c u r r e n c e s of S a.2 i s noted f o r the mid-latitude region. noted that the position of the scintillation boundary is c o r r e l a t e d with Kp, moving south a s Kp i n c r e a s e s . In'contrast to the apparent dependence of scintillation on magnetic activity in the a u r o r a l region, Koster9 notes that scintillation in the equatorial region is s u p p r e s s e d during periods of enhanced magnetic activity. These r e s u l t s m a y v a r y with t h e sunspot cycle but insufficient data a r e available to t e s t dependences on sunspot numbers. Available long t e r m observations of s c i n tillation over a significant p a r t of the sunspot cycle .. KP Figure. 19 12 0-1' 2-3' KP >4- . . I V. Conclusions /M. The s t a t i s t i c a l s u m m a r y of the Millstone data show a c l e a r dependence upon-magnetic activity although diurnal and seasonal variations a r e not well defined. The data a r s h o w e v e r . f o r a r e l a tively s h o r t t i m e period when compared with the .sunspot cycle and are,therefore,not complete enough t o provide an empirical mudel-for t h e p r e 'diction of scintillation s t a t i s t i c s f o r use in communication s y s t e m design. To provi'de the iequired statistics, data f r o m a l a r g e number of observations s p r e a d over a t l e a s t half a sunspot cycle a r e required. Other available observations have generally been made a t frequencies below 137 MHz and a r e only useful f o r the prediction of scintillation at lower frequencies due to the limiting effect of strong scintillation. * The a u r o r a l region obs ervations c l e a r l y show that scintillation will affect s y s t e m design at f r e q uencies up t o at l e a s t 400 MHz. The equatorial region observations of Taur' show frequencies up t o 6 GHz a r e affected. Since scintillation is a fact of life a t UHF and VHF what methods can be used to mitigate its effects ? While the d m a r e somewhat inadequate, s o m e recommendations can be made. F i r s t , s o m e negative recommendations: The two frequency correlation function analysis showed that scintillation i s a wideband phenomena and frequency diversity is not practical,- The c r o s s polarization observations showed that scintillations on the principal and orthogonal c i r c u l a r polarizations w e r e c o r r e l a t e d implying that polarization diversity will not work a t UHF. While t h e s e analyses and m e a s u r e m e n t s w e r e p e r formed f o r a u r o r a l region observations, we believe the r e s u l t s a160 apply i n t h e equatorial region. F o r the a u r o r a l region, the weak scintillation data showed power law power s p e c t r a f o r electron density i r r e g u l a r i t i e s Preliminary analysis of 254 MHz data reported f o r the equat o r i a l region4' a l s o show power law s p e c t r a (with a three-dimensional index p = 4). This suggests that although the mechanisms causing equatorial region i r r e g u l a r i t i e s may be different f r o m those active in the a u r o r a l region, the resultant effects of the i r r e g u l a r i t i e s on propagation a r e the s a m e and the r e s u l t s obtained f r o m the Millstone data apply in the equatorial region. . One possible solution is space diversity: The Millstone observations w e r e taken using a low orbiting satellite. The t e m p o r a l variation of the signal level is caused by the motion of the lineof-sight throughthe irregularities. The satellite motion is known,hence the t e m p o r a l variations may be interpreted in t e r m s of the spatial v a r i a tion of electron density. The frequency s c a l e on Fig. 13 may be interpreted a s a wavenumber s c a l e with, f o r the satellite, r e c e i v e r geometry pertinent to Fig. 13, the 1 Hz value equivalent to 2rr km-' (scale s i z e of 1 km). Since the width of each power s p e c t r u m i s approximately the reciprocal of the correlation distance, the correlation 13 distance is approximately 0.5 k m a t UHF and 0. 8 k m at VHF. This implies that the scintillation o b s e r v e d a t r e c e i v e r s spaced by m o r e than the correlation distance (- F r g s n e l zone eize) should be uncorrelated and could be combined to get diversity. F o r strong scin+illai+oh, the power s p e c t r u m broadened implying that s m a l l e r -diversity distances m a y be useful in that limit. Another possjble solution i s t i m e diversity: The fade duration s t a t i s t i c s reported above reflect the motion of the line-of-sight through the medium and, * f o r weak scintillation the duration values should be inversely proportional to the translation velocity of the r a y a t the height of the i r r e g u l a r i t i e s . F o r geostationary satellites, the line-of-sight i s fixed and the i r r e g u l a r i t i e s drift by. The fade duration values then should be inversely proportional to the drift rate. Using a 100 m / s e c drift r a t e a s typical4 the fade durations should be an o r d e r of magnitude l a r g e r than those shown in Fig. 6.. F o r strong scintillation, the fade durations should be s h o r t e r than f o r weak scintillation a s shown in the discussion of Fig. 6 The power s p e c t r a shown in Fig. 13 imply a correlation time the o r d e r of 0.5 s e c at UHF and 0. 8 s e c a t VHF. As with the fade duration values, the correlation t i m e is dependent upon the velocity of the i r r e g u l a r i t i e s perpendicular to the line-of-sight. Since the signal becomes uncorrelated in time, t i m e diversity i s a l s o possible. F o r geostationary satellites, correlation t i m e depends both on t'he F r e s n e l zone s i z e and the d r i f t velocity of the i r r e g u l a r i t i e s . The l a t t e r i s a random variable that has to be observed a t many locations over a long period of t i m e t o provide an adequate s t a t i s t i c a l description. Since the fade rate o r correlation t i m e is different f o r strong scintillation, observations m u s t be made in the weak scintillation regime to define drift velocities. VI. Recommendations The only solutions we have recommended a r e the use of space of time diversity. Some guidelines f o r t h e i r application may be obtained f r o m Millstone and other available data. However, to optimize s y s t e m deisgn, m o r e information i s required, We recommend: 1. Additional available weak scintillation data should be p r o c e s s e d t o determine the s t r u c t u r e of the power s p e c t r u m to establish if the power law f o r m r e p r e s e n t s a l l observations. 2. Available weak scintillation data f r o m geostationary satellite observations should be analyzed t o d e t e r m i n e d r i f t r a t e statistics. 3. N,ew observations using both low-orbiting and geostationary satellites with s e v e r a l cbherently related c a r r i e r frequencies widely s p r e a d in the U H F , SHF band at and above the frequencies of i n t e r e s t should be made.to provide adequate statist i c s of amplitude, phase, and drift velocity, The - I -, I frequencies should be chosen such that weak s c i n tillation is always observed a t one of t h e f r e q uencies. . . . . . . . . ..... References 1. . L I . .;' ..''.-.: ... . . . ., = . .I.j , - B. H. Briggs and I. A. P a r k i n , "On t h e Variation of Radio S t a r and Satellite Scintillations with Zenith Angle, J. Atmosph. and T e r r . 1 . Phys. 339-365 (1963). _. i \ .. ! , ' 12. . The author acknowledges t h e help and support Qf Drs. J. V. Evans and R. H. Wand of the Millstone Hill r a d a r s i t e in making t h e i r data available for'analysis and of T. M. Turbett f o r the data processing. The percentage o c c u r r a n c e d a t a , . . used in p r e p a r i n g Figs. 17 to.19 w e r e provided by Dr. Wand. ",, . . . ... . R. P. M e r c i e r , "Diffraction by a S c r e e n Causing L a r g e Random P h a s e Fluctuations, I t P r o c . Camb. Phil. SOC. 382-400 (1962). . Acknowledgment .... 11. , ' I - 2 13. 1 -. -' . . - 2. 14. 1 .,./.... . . .. ..:. % _-. . 15. H. E. Whitney, J. Aarons. and C. Malik. "A Proposed Index for Measuring Ionospheric Scintillations, ' I Planet. Space Sci. 11 10691073 (1969). .. .' .. . . , . . . . J. Aarons, H. E. Whitney. and R. S. Allen, "Global Morphology of Ionospheric Scintillations, Proc. LEEE 9 159-172 (1971). 1 4. 5. R. S. Lawrence, J. L. J e s p e r s e n , and R. C. Lamb, "Amplitude and Angular Scintillations of the Radio Source Cygnus-A Observed a t Boulder, Colorado, J. of Res. N B S ' E 333-350 (1961). 6. G. S. Kent, "High Frequency Fading of the 108 M c / s Wave Radiated F r o m a n A r t i f i c i a l E a r t h Satellite a s Observed a t an Equatorial Station, J. Atmosph. T e r r . Phys. 22.255-269 (1961). 7. C. G. Little, G. F. Reid, E. Stiltner. and R. P. M e r r i t t , "An Experimental Investigation of the Scintillation of Radio S t a r s Observed at Frequencies of 223 and 456 Mega cycles p e r Second f r o m a Location Close t o the A u r o r a l Zone,It J. Geophys. Res. 67 1763-1784 (1962). J. Pomalaza. R. F. Woodman, J. Tisnado. . . and E. Nakasone, ' S t u d y of Equatorial Scin- . . tillations, A P r o g r e s s Report, NASA/GSFC . X-750-73-244. NASA Goddard Space Flight :-?, Center, Greenbelt, Md. (December 1972). , . 16. K. G. Budden, "The Amplitude Fluctuations of the Radio Wave S c a t t e r e d f r o m a Thick Ionos p h e r i c L a y e r with Weak I r r e g u l a r i t i e s , " J. Atmosph. and T e r r . Phys. 2 155-172 (1965). 17. V. I. 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E a r l y Bird' Synchrono u r Satellite, Ann, d e Ceophys. 103-107 - .- . (1966). S i \ > 1 .. ' . . . . . . . 'j,." . C'. .. . \ . . . . . . . .. .. '. .. . . . . . . ,. C. G. Little and A. Maxwell, "Fluctuations ' 7 in the Intensity of Radio Waves f r o m Galactic S a u r c e s , Phil. Mag. 267-278 (1951). ._ - 23. H. E. Whitney, J. Aarons, R. S. Allen and D. R. Seemann, "Estimation of t h e Cumulative Amplitude Probability Distribution Function of Ionospheric Scintillation, ( I Radio Sci. 1 1095-1104 (1972). % 4 . ** \ d 24. M, Nakagami, "The m - d i s t r i b tion--A Gene r a 1 F o r m u l a of Intensity Distribution of Rapid Fading, I t in S t a t i s t i c a l Methods on Radio Wave Propagation, ed. W. C. Hoffman, '(Pergamon P r e s s , New York, 1960). 25. C. L. Rufenach, "Power-Law Wavenumber S p e c t r u m Deduced f r o m Ionospheric Scintillation Observations, J. Geophys. Res. 77 4761-4772 (1972). 37. H. J. A. Chivers and R. D. Davies, "A Comparison of Radio S t a r Scintillations at 1390 and 79 M c / s a t Low Angles of Elevation, I' J. Atmosph. and T e r r . Phys. 24 573-584 (1962). 38. J. Aarons. R. S. Allen, and T. J. Elkins. "Frequency Dependence of Radio S t a r Scintillations, J. Geophys. Res. 14.2891-2902 (1967). - 39. R. S. Allen, "Comparison of Scintillation Depths of Radio S t a r and Satellite Scintillations, J. Atmosph. and T e r r . Phys. 3 289-297 (1969). 26. T. J. Elkins and M. D. Papagiannis, "Meas u r e m e n t and Interpretation of Power Spect r u m s of Ionospheric Scintillation at a Suba u r o r a l Location, J. Geophys. Res. 4105-4115 (1969). 14 .- 27. 0. K. Garriott. A. V. daRosa, "Electron Content Obtained f r o m F a r a d a y Rotation with P h a s e Length Variations, J. Atmosph. and T e r r . Phys. 2 705-727 (1970). 40. H. A. Blank and T. S. 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Atmosph. and T e r r . Phys. 2 1619-1624 (1967). 49. 36. H. J. A. Chivers, "The Simultaneous O b s e r vation of Radio S t a r Scintillations on Different Radio-Frequencies, ( 1 J. Atmosph. and T e r r . Phys. 1 7 181-187 (1960). 15 R. F. Kelleher and J. Sinclair, ' S o m e P r o p e r t i e s of Ionospheric I r r e g u l a r i t i e s a s Deduced f r o m Recordings of the San Marco I1 and BE-B Satellites, ' I J. Atmosph. and T e r r . Phys. 2 1259-1271 (1970). *) 50. J. Aarons, "A Descriptive Model of F - L a y e r High-Latitude I r r e g u l a r i t i e s a s Shown by Scintillation Observations, (I J. Geophys. Res. 78 7441-7450 (1973). Fig. 12 R m s variation in the output f r o m the orthogonally polarized channel and c o r relation coefficients between t h e princip a l and orthogonal channel outputs f o r p a s s of Object #3133 rising a t 0411 GMT on 4 August 1972 (Kp = . )'8 . Fig. 13 P o w e r s p e c t r a f o r log received power fluctuations a t both UHF and VHF f o r the s a m e one minute observation period of the p a s s of Object #3133, 5 August 1972 at 0334 GMT (Kp = 8'). Fig. 14 R m s variation of log received power a t VHF vs simultaneously observed value a t UHF f r o m p a s s of Object #3133 rising a t 2342 GMT on 4 August 1972 )'8 (Kp = . Fig. 1 UHF and VHF amplitude m e a s u r e m e n t s obtained f r o m a p a s s of Object #3133 on 4 August 1972. Fig. 15 Two frequency c o r r e l a t i o n functions f o r amplitude fluctuations. Fig. 2. S4 $8 t i m e f o r p a s s of Object #3133 ris' - ing a t 0411 GMT on 4 August 1972 (Kp = 8'). Fig. 16 Latitude dependence of scintillation f o r p a s s of Object #3133 rising a t 0411 GMT 4 August 1972 (Kp = 8'). Fig. 17 Diurnal variation of scintillation a t 400 MHz f o r a u r o r a l and mid-latitudes f o r 2471 s a t e l l i t e p a s s e s observed between January 1971 and M a r c h 1973. Fig. 18 Seasonal variation of scintillation a t 400 MHz f o r a u r o r a l and mid-latitudes f o r 2471 satellite p a s s e s observed between J a n u a r y 1971 and M a r c h 1973. Fig. 19 Magnetic activity dependence of scintillation a t 400 M H z f o r a u r o r a l and midlatitude f o r 2471 satellite p a s s e s o b s e r v ed between J a n u a r y 1971 and March 1973. - . J. V. Evans, ed., IIMillstone R a d a r P r o p a - 51. . gation Study: Scientific Results ,Ig Technical Report 509, Lincoln Laboratory, MIT (In p r e s s , 1973). 52. J. A. Aarons, J. Mullan, a n d S . Basu, ''The S t a t i s t i c s of Satellite Scintillations a t a S u b a u r o r a l Latitude, J. Geophys. Res. . . 69 1785-1794 (1964).-. - . .) L i s t of Y .. . . . . lust rations . ., . , ..<.' .;: . :: .. ' q ;: . '. .* I .. . ,, . . , ... e., *..: i .. . . ? -. . .,, ', 7 .i ' Fig. 3 % v s t i m e f o r p a s s of Object #3133 rising a t 0411 GMT on 4 August 1972 (Kp= 8'). Fig. 4 E m p i r i c a l amplitude distribution functions f o r data shown in Fig. 1. - _ - Fig. 5 S4 vs u f o r p a s s of Object #3133 rising a t $411 GMT on 4 August 1972 ( K p = 8'). Fig. 6 E m p i r i c a l distribution functions f o r d u r a tions below and above a - 3 dB threshold relative t o the mean log received power f o r the data shown in Fig. 1. Fig. 7 UHF log amplitude power s p e c t r a f o r selected minutes f r o m the p a s s of Object #3133 rising a t 0411 GMT on 4 August 1972 (Kp = 8'). Fig. 8 VHF log amplitude power s p e c t r a f o r selected minutes f r o m the p a s s of Object #3133 rising at 0411 GMT on 4 August 1972 (Kp = .)'8 Fig. 9 Differential phase and differential dopp l e r m e a s u r e m e n t s obtained f r o m a p a s s of Object #3133 on 4 Aug. 1972. Fig. 10 Rms variations in differential phase and differential doppler f o r p a s s of Object #3233 rising a t 0411 GMT on 4 August 1972 (Kp = . )'8 Fig. 11 Differential phase power s p e c t r a f o r s e l e c t e d minutes f r o m the p a s s of Object #3133 rising at 0411 GMT on 4 August 1972 (Kp = 8'). 16 , . - . ' . I