Canadian Banks 2014 How strong are the Canadian banks?
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Canadian Banks 2014 How strong are the Canadian banks?
Canadian Banks 2014 How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry www.pwc.com/ca/canadianbanks Contents 02 How strong are the Canadian banks? 24 Capital management 28 Credit losses 30 Snapshot of the Big Six 45Appendices 58 Financial Services publications 60 Financial Services leadership team Preface In the 2014 edition of Canadian Banks, we take an in depth look at the strength of Canadian banks compared to their global peer group. The Canadian banking industry is held in high regard by our global counterparts, due to stability during the financial crisis. We’ve also seen strong growth with overall profits for Canada’s Big Six banks exceeding CA$30 billion for the first time in history. But new economic, regulatory and competitive challenges have affected the industry and many global banks have improved their position and profitability over the past few years. So how do we compare to our global peers? Can Canadian banks maintain their position globally? Read on to find out the answers to these and other questions. With this edition, we also celebrate 31 years as a leading banking publication in Canada in providing key industry trends and insightful analysis. Diane Kazarian Bill McFarland National Financial Services Leader CEO and Senior Partner Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 1 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Canadian banks have been held in very high regard by their global peers in light of their strength and stability during the financial crisis. Buoyed by a calm domestic market and a benign credit environment, they saw year-over-year revenues rise and overall profits for the Big Six1 exceeding a combined CA$30 billion for the first time in history. 1. Big Six in this report refers to Canada’s six major banks: National Bank of Canada (NBC), Royal Bank of Canada (RBC), The Bank of Montreal (BMO), Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC), The Bank of Nova Scotia (Scotiabank) and Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD). 2 Canadian Banks 2014 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Canadian banks enjoyed relatively smooth, steady sailing in 2013. But risks and challenges loom under the surface, with downward pressure on return on equity and an ever changing regulatory environment. The strength of the Canadian banks is undeniable, but how strong are they when compared to their global peers? After the global credit crisis, the Canadian banks were seen by many to be global leaders. New economic, regulatory and competitive challenges have since emerged creating new obstacles for all industry participants. It’s a testament to the quality and leadership of Canada’s Big Six banks that despite these significant challenges, the banks continue to enjoy a high degree of success. However, over the past few years in particular, many global banks have also improved their capital positions and their profits are further demonstrating a true turnaround. So as we move further away from the credit crisis are the Canadian banks still in the same dominant position? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 3 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Canadian banks in a global context ROE 17.4% Efficiency 57.2% ROE 12% Efficiency 67.6% ROE 16.2% Efficiency 43.3% The respect that Canadian banks have received from their global peers is supported by consistently strong return on equity (ROE), at levels far exceeding those of their US counterparts. Data points such as total shareholder returns (TSR) and limited credit losses help demonstrate this positive competitive position. Beyond the data, the positive perception held by Canadians about their banks and banking system adds further depth to the assessment. Over the past year, the average Big Six TSR was a very strong 23.1%. With the global equity markets producing convincing returns, other global banks also experienced healthy yields (Figure 1). This past year was not an anomaly, as the Canadian banks have averaged an approximate 22% annual return over the last five years. Emerging from the financial crisis, the Canadian banks have outperformed their US peers in TSR by a healthy margin. However, similar results have also been produced by the Australian banks showing similar strength exists in other parts of the globe. A key contributor to these returns has been the resiliency of the housing markets in Canada and Australia, avoiding the large scale write-offs experienced by the US banks. That being said, the US banks have recovered from the losses experienced in 2008 and have produced solid results surfacing from the depths of the financial crisis. How does the productivity of the Big Six compare to that of their global counterparts? It depends. US banks compared poorly as they delivered lesser income per employee (CA$90,000 on average) than the Big Six (CA$120,000 on average), a worse efficiency ratio (67.6%) than the Big Six (57%) and an average ROE that was decidedly lower than the Canadian average. However, Australia’s banks continue to set the standard when it comes to productivity. Australia’s major banks posted considerably lower efficiency ratios (44.9% on average) and higher revenue per employee (CA$240,000 on average) than their counterparts around the globe. This productivity performance can be linked to several factors: a higher net interest margin environment, lower headcounts, a smaller branch network, an emphasis on digital and alternative banking channels, differences in business mix, and a retrenching of international operations. 4 Canadian Banks 2014 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Figure 1: Canadian banks compared with global banks Canadian banks1 Key metrics Net income before tax ($ millions) BMO BNS CIBC NBC Australian banks2 RBC TD Canadian banks average ANZ CBA NAB US banks3 WESTPAC Australian banks average BOFA CITI JPMC WELLS US banks average 5,377 8,460 4,048 1,817 10,617 10,658 8,945 10,658 8,472 10,276 16,172 19,857 25,914 21,900 45,631 83,645 43,278 16,736 74,812 78,896 47,512 44,844 42,164 35,597 257,158 253,000 254,063 274,300 Net income/ FTE 0.12 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.19 0.24 0.20 0.29 0.23 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.08 0.09 Net income/ FTE in CAD5 0.12 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.19 0.25 0.21 0.30 0.24 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.08 0.09 23.97% 19.77% 17.93% 28.47% 19.46% 22.79% 22.07% 25.66% 32.44% 21.34% 24.31% 26.03% 2.45% -4.83% 15.43% 11.33% 13.38% FTE (absolute numbers)4 5 year TSR (Reuters) Notes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Canadian banks’ values are in CA$ and include The Bank of Montreal (BMO), Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC), The Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) National Bank of Canada (NBC), Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) and Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD). Australian banks’ values are in AU$ and include Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Limited (ANZ), Commonwealth Bank (CBA), National Australia Bank (NAB) and Westpac Bank (WESTPAC). US banks’ values are in US$ and include Bank of America (BOFA), Citibank (CITI), JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPMC) and Wells Fargo (WELLS). Headcount for US taken from mid-year results as year-end not yet available. Conversion into CAD used average exchange rate for the year. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 5 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Continued compression of return on equity (ROE) As we discussed in last year’s publication, one challenge that Canadian banks are facing is compression of their ROE. Overall, the weighted average of the Big Six banks’ ROE fell from 17.07% to 16.24% this year. Strong performances in lending segments led to improvements in the ROE by 1.62% year over year. Other income was also a positive contributor adding another 1.05% year over year. However, banks continue to add to their capital base as a result of Basel III and other regulatory requirements. The capital additions reduced average ROE by 1.59%. 6 Canadian Banks 2014 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Operating costs: A key contributor to ROE compression Surprisingly, despite significant efficiency projects underway, the largest change resulted from operating costs. Expenses in this area chewed away 2.04% from the average ROE. This highlights the impact expenses can have on returns, and why the banks have made this one of their priority areas. Additional costs have been incurred by the banks adopting various new regulatory requirements and the impact is illustrated through the pressure that is placing on earnings (Figure 2). Figure 2: Factors affecting Canadian banks’ ROE 19.00% 18.50% 18.15% 18.00% 17.50% 17.00% 17.07% 16.50% 16.00% 15.48% 17.10% -1.59% 1.62% Capital Net interest income 15.50% 15.00% 14.50% 1.05% 18.44% 0.29% Credit losses 16.40% -2.04% Other income 16.24% Operating costs 16.24% -0.16% Other 14.00% 13.50% 13.00% 12.50% 12.00% 11.50% 11.00% 10.50% 10.00% 2012 ROE 2013 ROE Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 7 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Other risks Besides ROE compression, Canadian banks face some other challenges in the near future. Low interest rate environment The low interest rate environment is showing no signs of easing, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicting no movement in rates until early 2015.2 The low interest rate environment limits the amount banks can charge on loans and earn on investments. With the banks funding a large portion of their lending through deposits, increasing rates are often seen benefiting the top line before any changes are made to deposit pricing. However, given recent focus on liquidity we believe certain new deposit products may emerge with tiered repricing. Mortgage and housing changes The low interest rate environment has allowed Canadians to take out record levels of debt. Average Canadian household debt reached a record high level of 163.7% of income, but the rate of growth has slowed likely due to Canadians’ reduced appetite for new lending.3 These debt levels make it harder for the banks to continue to find new growth in a market where consumers have their own vulnerabilities. At the same time, the federal government’s efforts to tighten mortgage lending rules and reduce the role of the Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) are beginning to have an impact on this traditionally sizable and lucrative area of banks’ business. This will create further difficulties for the banks to find growth in their portfolios. The Canadian housing market didn’t experience the same level of contraction that the United States did during the most recent recession. Continued pricing gains have led many parties to call the Canadian housing market overvalued. Rather than simply hoping to grow on the back of the economy, banking & capital markets organizations will need to make sure their strategies reflect the new realities of a market where customer expectations are being set by developments outside the sector and where customers are better informed, less loyal and readier to switch than ever. —17th Annual Global CEO Survey: Banking & Capital markets industry summary, PwC 8 Canadian Banks 2014 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry While only the market will reveal if these predictions are accurate, it does add another layer of risk for banks. The benign credit market cannot last forever which is a risk the banks need to manage. Expanding commercial lending is another strategy being used by the banks to improve net interest margin. While commercial lending has greater risks, it generally provides higher yields and is a growing market. The Bank of Canada recently expressed that “the recent depreciation of the Canadian dollar should help to boost exports. This, in turn, should lead to stronger business confidence and investment here in Canada.”4 An improvement in the manufacturing and export sector in Canada would open up additional commercial lending opportunities for the Canadian banks and help them close the gap created by a slowing retail market. Changing competitive landscape Finally, the confines of the banking industry aren’t as clear as they used to be. New competitors are entering the landscape and have the potential to be a changing force in the marketplace. For example, a large telecommunications company is now an Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) licensed bank and is looking to tie together telecommunications and banking services.5 The way that we pay for goods and services is also evolving, as concepts such as virtual wallets become reality. Other technology companies may look at the financial services space as a way to sell other services, and potentially offer them as a loss leader to benefit their higher margin products. The end result is that new players offering new services are on the banks’ radar. At the same time, banks can see this as a whole new area of opportunity to create additional revenue streams and improve the customer experience in the process. 2. Egan, Louise. IMF sees limited room for Bank of Canada rate cut. Reuters. February 3, 2014. http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/02/03/ canada-economy-imf-idUSL2N0L80J620140203. Retrieved: February 10, 2014. 3. Ljunggren, David. Canada household debt-to-income ratio hit record high. Reuters. December 13, 2013. http://ca.reuters.com/article/ businessNews/idCABRE9BC0HY20131213. Retrieved: December 15, 2013. 4. Investment Executive. Trade deficit widens in December. February 6, 2014. http://www.investmentexecutive.com/-/trade-deficit-widens-indecember. Retrieved: February 17, 2014. 5. Schedule I Banks. http://www.cba.ca/en/banks-in-canada/61-banks-operating-in-canada/110-schedule-i-banks. Retrieved: February 8, 2014. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 9 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry The impact of a changing Canadian credit market Canada’s banks benefited greatly from a generally calm, even benign, credit environment in 2013. However, ongoing government efforts to rein in mortgage lending and forestall the sort of housing crisis experienced in the US, UK and other countries will begin to have a more significant impact on banks’ business in the year to come. The federal government is scaling back the role and size of CMHC in an effort to reduce Canadian taxpayers’ exposure to housing-sector risk. Eventually, CMHC may only insure low-ratio mortgages to those used in CMHC-backed securitization programs and prohibit the use of any taxpayerbacked mortgages as collateral in non-CMHC securitized vehicles. As Finance Minister Jim Flaherty expressed recently, “Regrettably, CMHC became something rather more grand I think than it was intended to be.” This scaling back can already be seen as CMHC insurance in force sat at CA$559.8 billion as at September 30, 2013, down from CA$575.8 billion a year earlier.6 This change, along with prior adjustments to mortgage lending rules, will change both the way Canadians obtain mortgages and the way their banks fund those mortgages. At the moment, roughly half of the Big Six banks’ loan books are made up of CMHC-insured mortgages. Banks will need to decide if they wish to underwrite more non-insured mortgages, increasing their credit risk, or lose the business to non-bank lenders. The shifting of risk away from CMHC back to the banks could have the potential to increase interest rates for some borrowers, even if long-term rates remain flat. While banks experienced lower than anticipated loan losses in 2013, it may prove to be a temporary respite only. Looking closer at the household debt-to-income ratio demonstrates the challenge faced by the Canadian banks from a global perspective. As shown in Figure 3, Canada now has the highest household debt–to-income ratio as compared to Australia, US and the UK. We can’t simply conclude that Canadians have the highest debt levels from this graphic as there are differences in the method used by each country to calculate this figure. These differences relate to the treatment of interest paid on non-mortgage loans, the types of groups included or excluded such as non-profit institutions and how health spending is accounted for. However, what we can take away is that the trend in the other three jurisdictions is stable to declining, while Canada is still on an upward trajectory. 10 Canadian Banks 2014 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Equifax reported that consumer debt, excluding mortgages, climbed 4.2% year over year but the delinquency rate hit a record low of 1.12%, down from 1.19% a year earlier.7 How long can this trend continue and at what point do Canadians finally stop adding to their debt levels is a critical question for the banking sector in Canada. This directly impacts the ability for banks to grow their loan portfolio, and as the ratio continues to climb additional credit risk is generally added to the market. It’s fair to say that not all Canadians with high household debt-toincome-ratios will have a hard time paying off their debt. Nevertheless, the trend is showing a unique situation in Canada that cannot be ignored. It may have implications from a wider macro-economic perspective, so it is not simply an issue for a few of the banks but could potentially impact GDP growth, consumer business confidence and the broader economy. Figure 3: Household debt-to-income ratio 6. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation. Quarterly Financial Report. September 30, 2013. http://www.cmhc.ca/en/corp/about/core/upload/2013_Q3_QFR_Publication_English_Final.pdf. Retreived: February 7, 2014 7. Market Wired. Equifax Canada Reports Consumer Debt Grows to Over $1.4 Trillion. February 9, 2014. http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/equifax-canada-reports-consumerdebt-grows-to-over-14-trillion-nyse-efx-1877093.htm. Retrieved: February 10, 2014. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 11 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Operating costs and productivity Bank productivity changed little in 2013. The Big Six banks’ overall efficiency ratio was 57%, negative slightly to 56% the previous year, as non-interest expenses grew a shade faster than revenues. Revenue per employee edged up 2.7% over the year, to CA$317,000, as overall headcount grew 1%. However, ROE fell from an average of 17.07% to 16.24% (Figure 2).8 The efficiency ratio is driven by a numerator and a denominator. By virtue of expenses growing at a faster rate than revenue, we see a deteriorating trend in productivity from 2012 to 2013. This is a reversal of the trend where banks saw an improvement in efficiency from 2009 to 2012. RBC continues to lead in Canadian banking productivity, boasting not only the lowest efficiency ratio (53%) but the highest revenue per employee (CA$375,000) and highest ROE (19.1%) among peers. Scotiabank also delivered a 53% efficiency ratio, but lagged in terms of revenue per employee. And while BMO’s efficiency ratio trails that of its peers, it achieved the second-highest revenue per employee. Not surprisingly, while banks generally reported improved results from their US operations, international operations taken as a whole, continue to act as a drag on banks’ overall productivity. 8. The Big Six banks’ reported ROE and this publication’s calculated basic ROE differ, please refer to Appendix 1 for the numbers used. With Canadian banks facing ROE compression due to challenges with operating leverage, productivity becomes a key issue. 12 Canadian Banks 2014 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Responding to the challenges It’s clear that Canadian banks face numerous challenges as they chart their path forward in 2014 and beyond: slowing growth, downward pressure on ROE, and an ever more complex and costly web of regulatory requirements. In response, we’ll see banks take action—and continue initiatives already begun—to reduce costs and improve productivity. Today’s hyper-connected customers now expect the intuitiveness and responsiveness of digital retail from their banks and want to do business when they want and on the channel of their choice. —17th Annual Global CEO Survey: Banking & Capital markets industry summary, PwC Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 13 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Cutting non-essential costs Most efforts will begin by cutting non-essential costs. Here we’ll see banks continue to target the low-hanging fruit, identifying and eliminating redundancies. Ultimately, however, these quick wins have limited impact on the overall cost structure. Figure 4: Cost restructuring options Focus of activities Savings levers Opportunities Restructure the cost base ‘Do different’ Closures and exits Closure or divestment, sub-scale lines of business, customer segments and/or product offerings. Strategic sourcing Consolidate sourcing of activities and vendors, create shared services, outsource non-core processes and platforms, off-shoring, and core systems replacements. Reduce infrastructure ‘Do with less’ IT consolidation Consolidate IT platforms, hardware, infrastructure and data centres. (15–20% savings) Property improvement Review property demand to maximize space utilization, identify asset disposal opportunities and reduce all property related spend via sourcing and vendor reviews. Create efficiencies ‘Do better’ Process improvement End to end process improvement to reduce complexity, errors and rework and standardise around key processes, applying Lean and Straight Through Processing. Business simplification Simplification and de-duplication of roles and activities; consolidation and rationalization of similar functions and activities. Activity and headcount reduction Review and challenge of team activities, workload capacity and line management structures and reporting lines leading to headcount reduction. Spend reduction and demand management Demand challenge and discretionary spend reduction, and policy compliance • Reduce/eliminate discretionary spend • Reduce contractor spend • Re-negotiate vendor contracts (20%+ savings) Improving efficiency Other initiatives will target efficiencies. Uncovering and eliminating inefficient or duplicative processes and unravelling unnecessary complexity can help banks free time and resources and redirect them to improving revenues or customer service. Reducing infrastructure Moving to a larger scale, banks will also look to reduce infrastructure, especially in the areas of real estate and IT. Significant savings can be had by reducing branches and corporate office space and moving to new IT solutions that are less expensive to operate and maintain. (10–15% savings) Cut costs ‘Do without’ (5–10% savings) 14 Canadian Banks 2014 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Identifying core businesses Finally, many banks will be exploring significant, strategic decisions about their organization’s core businesses and competencies. Banks may choose to exit businesses or markets entirely, deciding the risks and returns no longer justify the investments and in some cases the increasing capital burden. They may also turn their attention inward, rightsourcing non-core or non-strategic functions. Understandably, these are large, complex decisions with long-term implication for the business, and banks won’t make these choices lightly. To achieve the maximum benefit from these efforts to reduce costs and improve productivity, it’ll be essential that banks apply them across the entire organization. • Distribution, home to the majority of channel, property and staff costs, typically yields the largest amounts of savings. We’ve already seen banks focus on this area, moving from a traditional branch network in favour of more self-service channels and increasing sales capacity. • Operations is commonly where banks’ complex administrative functions (and costs) reside. Over the last few years, banks have looked to other industries for best practices on how to simplify and improve these processes. • Information technology can yield sizeable savings, and banks around the world are taking a long look at their IT portfolios, improving applications, consolidating infrastructure and outsourcing ‘commodity’ work and skills to reduce expenses. • Real estate, tax and third-party spending can easily consume a significant proportion of bank spending, and a close look at these areas will likely identify areas where costs can be cut. Figure 5: Catalogue of banking cost restructuring hypotheses Front office Operations IT Branch network improvement & rationalization Back office outsourcing Application rationalization Channel shift – leveraging digital channels Processing digitization & automation Data centre consolidation Cross business Indirect taxes 3rd party spend Workforce improvement Front to back office operations alignment Process simplification Data quality management Product/customer rationalization Operations demand management IT workforce improvement Contact centre improvement Processing centre rationalization Function effectiveness e.g. finance, HR Shared services IT supplier management Corporate real estate improvement Data quality management Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 15 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry It’s not just about costs, it’s also about the customer Cost-containing efforts such as those described above are a significant part of any bank’s efforts to improve productivity. But cost cutting alone doesn’t guarantee productivity gains. This is why banks will need to concentrate on initiatives that drive efficient usage of the resources and funds available. In some instances, using resources more efficiently will translate into desired cost savings. Yet in other cases, this newfound efficiency can be seen as a means to generate more revenue and create additional sales capacity. Figure 6: Customer-centric approach to achieving productivity objectives FTE Banks will likely see the biggest impact as they tackle their distribution channels. Here, it’s absolutely vital that banks approach any overhaul of their distribution methods by putting the needs and wants of their customers first. By all means, banks should improve their distribution functions—they should do it for their customers and improve their customer experience. Customer experience Cost reduction Revenue growth Finding the balance between three productivity levers to improve the customer experience 16 Canadian Banks 2014 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Fewer branches, smarter service Is the traditional branch banking model still viable? It depends on customer needs in local markets. We expect to see Canada’s banks reassess their geographic footprint, especially in low-density rural areas, closing and consolidating branches and championing digital, direct channels in their place. Understanding the needs and behaviours of customers in these markets will be essential to helping banks find the right balance between branch, digital and direct channels. Simply pulling up stakes and leaving will potentially push their customers into the arms of competitors. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 17 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Branches that reflect local needs and character The traditional branch, with its emphasis on transactions as well as advice, may no longer work in every market, as consumers grow ever more mobile, digital and self-service savvy. And although Canadians still see the branches as a main distribution hub, they will soon catch up with their global counterparts’ views on the value of branches (Figure 7). What a branch offers, and the experience it delivers, will need to adapt to the needs of local markets. • In high net worth areas where customers are very digitally savvy, branches may focus on showcasing technology, delivering financial advice and helping customers with certain, major financial transactions such as mortgages. For the rest, ATMs and kiosks may suffice. • In more commercial or industrial areas where deposit volumes are high, more automated facilities may be required. Where small businesses concentrate, banks will want to align their branches with customer needs by ensuring they have more business banking and mobile advisors on hand. • In areas where community identity is strong, there’s a strong community element to banks’ operations. Banks should seize the opportunity to be a part of that community—delivering a highly local experience, with products tailored to the unique needs of the local community. This rethink of the traditional branch is already well underway in some areas of the US. Canadian banks such as BMO and RBC are experimenting as well. BMO is testing micro branches in neighbourhoods that can’t accommodate a full-sized branch and RBC has investment advisors who will go to the customer whether it is at their office, home or a Starbucks.9 Bank of America remodelled over one third of their branches last year, adopting Figure 7: Future outlook for branch banking Global Branch banking and its heavy fixed expense will become a liability, limiting the ability of banks to invest in servicing customers Canada Branch banking will change significantly as banks start to compete more with specialized providers of individual products Branch banking importance will diminish as consumers migrate to online and mobile channels Branch banking will remain the main distribution hub for the foreseeable future Source: Banking 2020 Survey, PwC 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 9. The Canadian Press. Banks are changing with the times to compete for new clients, keep old ones. http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/news/the-canadian-press/130929/banks-are-changing-the-times-compete-new-clients-keep-old-on. September 9, 2013. Retrieved: February 7, 2014. 18 Canadian Banks 2014 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry a flagship layout in key centres and emphasizing advice and conversation over simple transactions. Wells Fargo is also experimenting with a mini-branch concept in areas where the population is particularly young. TD, promoting itself as the most convenient bank is opening 34 new branches in the northeast US, each having approximately a 25% smaller footprint.10 Day-to-day banking continues to go digital and mobile The costs of maintaining an extensive branch network and call centres can be significant. As more customers choose to do their day-to-day banking via the web or their smartphone, we’ll see banks continue to invest in online and mobile services. The day when these digital channels handle the majority of customers’ banking needs isn’t far off. Already CIBC, ING and the majority of US banks allow cheque deposits via smartphone camera and RBC, CIBC, and BMO Investorline provide service and advice via online chat. We expect to see banks encourage customers to migrate their simple banking needs to digital channels, by levying additional fees on transactions done through branches. 10. The New York Times. With Technology’s Aid, Banks Squeeze Their Branches Into Smaller Locations. http://www.nytimes.com/2014/02/05/realestate/commercial/banks-squeezebranches-into-smaller-spots-with-help-from-technology.html?_r=1. February 4, 2012. Retrieved: February 24, 2014. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 19 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Will mobile sales forces become more common—and effective? Customer sales channel preference is changing. In the mortgage domain, the broker channel currently represents 28% of market share.11 To counteract this trend, the banks are looking at ways to engage their customer and prospects outside of the branch network (Figure 8). Several Canadian banks got out of the broker business some time ago, opting instead to invest in their own mobile sales forces in order to lower commission expenses and open the door to cross-selling opportunities. We also expect continued investment in mobile investment sales force and partnering with third parties for mobile distribution. Figure 8: Five year plans for customer channel distribution changes Global Look to other industries for leading distribution practices in sales and servicing Canada Understand evolving customer channel preferences Use emerging channels like social media Investigate alternate ways to reach customers through unique partnerships or marketing campaigns Transition more customers to self-service channels Redesign digital distribution Update the branch and ATM network 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Source: Banking 2020 Survey, PwC 11. Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals. Annual State of the Residential Mortgage Market in Canada. http://www.wdunning.com/docs/CAAMP-2013-Fall-Facts.pdf. Retrieved: February 10, 2014. 20 Canadian Banks 2014 Analytics: The holy grail? We’ll see banks continue to pour significant funds into data analytics in order to reap the value of the vast amount of data they possess about customers’ banking, purchasing and investing habits. Analytics will enable banks to better understand their customers to deliver much more tailored offers and services, improving the overall customer experience while reducing the cost of sales and service in the process. The majority of credit cards issued by Canadian banks are sold through their branch network, in contrast to the growing global trend of digital and direct acquisitions. Leveraging data-driven insights into customer behaviours, purchasing patterns and channel usage can enable banks to target credit card customers at key decision points with targeted offers and identify cross-selling opportunities. Banks can also use their analytics-derived insights to identify increasingly micro market segments, tailoring their message based not only on demographics, but existing client relationships and potential lifetime value. For example, banks can identify the right mix of self-service and assisted banking solutions for a mass affluent market. 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Making it simple Banking is a highly complex business—even more complex today than ever before in many ways. Inefficient onboarding and document management processes drive up administration costs and cause revenue delays. Client on-boarding and document management processes should be made simpler, clearer and faster—and some banks are doing just that (Figure 9), by rolling out sales and client origination transformation programs to automate and replace outdated, inefficient manual processes still in use today. It’s better for banks and customers: customers get improved service, while banks get more efficient and cost-effective processes. Figure 9: Focus areas to achieve simplification Global Middle office Canada Front office Back office Process Technology 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Canada’s banks are up to the challenge There’s no shortage of challenges facing Canada’s major banks. Yet time and again, these institutions have proven their resilience, flexibility and adaptability in a changing business environment. As new leaders take the helm at many of the Big Six banks, we’re confident that they and their teams will seize opportunities to drive out costs, improve productivity and achieve the best results possible in a slow growth market. The demands being placed on business leaders to adapt to the changing environment are increasing exponentially; CEOs are having to become hybrid leaders who can successfully run the business of today while creating the business of tomorrow. Source: Banking 2020 Survey, PwC —17th Annual Global CEO Survey: Banking & Capital markets industry summary, PwC Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 21 01 | How strong are the Canadian banks? banks?:Perspectives Perspectiveson onthe theCanadian Canadianbanking bankingindustry Regulatory pressures continue to weigh on operations With banks facing an influx of new requirements, regulatory compliance continues to tie up more and more bank capital and other resources. Costs continue to rise as banks hire additional staff into their compliance teams, while management finds itself spending more time on navigating the complex regulatory environment than it does on charting a path to grow the business. In 2013, the Big Six adopted the initial stage of Basel III with little fanfare, as they easily surpassed the minimum capital requirements set out by both OSFI and the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS). However, the year ahead will see banks devote considerable resources to several regulatory developments. Basel III leverage standard While Canadian banks have followed OSFI’s asset-capital multiple (ACM) since the 1980s, they’ll need to adopt the new Basel III leverage ratio instead. The new Basel III requirements are similar to the ACM, but define capital more closely, capture more off-balance-sheet assets, and eliminate differences that could potentially arise when different accounting methods are used. The base leverage ratio for Canada’s banks is set at 3% and is to be reached by 2018; however, Canadian banks are required to publicly disclose their leverage ratio beginning in 2015. 22 Canadian Banks 2014 01 01 ||How Howstrong strongare arethe theCanadian Canadianbanks?: banks? Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry Basel III liquidity standard FATCA implementation In November 2013, OSFI released draft guidance regarding the Basel III liquidity coverage ratio (LCR), which is designed to ensure banks have sufficient liquidity to withstand liquidity disruptions for up to 30 days. OSFI’s draft guidance also included outlined how its net cumulative cash flow supervisory tool will be used. The comment period for this draft guidance expired in January 2014; the new rules will come into effect in 2015. One of the largest regulatory projects occupying the Big Six banks is creating the infrastructure needed to meet the requirements of the US Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA). As of July 1, 2014, the US law will require non-US banks to report any accounts with a US connection to the Internal Revenue Service. Considering the immense number of transactions banks process each year on behalf of a vast number of banking customers, addressing FATCA has proven to be a major undertaking for Canada’s banks. The BCBS is also in the process of finalizing guidance for the net stable funding ratio, which addressed longer-term liquidity events. This ratio examines banks’ funding sources, and the extent to which they rely on short-term sources versus long-term sources. OSFI will adopt this standard effective 2018. Enhanced Disclosure Task Force recommendations The Financial Stability Board’s Enhanced Disclosure Task Force (EDTF), established in 2012, had developed 32 recommendations covering risk exposures, management and disclosures. Canada’s Big Six banks adopted many of the EDTF’s recommendations in 2013, and will adopt the balance in 2014. One recommendation that had come under scrutiny recently involves disclosures relating to how bank risk models are influenced by data inputs, modelling assumptions, mathematical formulas, manual overrides and point-intime versus through-the-cycle assumptions. This scrutiny is notable: Questions have been raised about the reliability of some of the models banks use to calculate risk weights in the Basel III capital ratio. The risk and regulatory environment for banks is continually evolving and growing ever more complex. The scope of compliance activities is far broader— and the impact of those activities far greater—than ever before. In response, banks are exploring a variety of strategies to help cope with the regulatory burden. Some are looking to integrate operational and compliance risk functions to close gaps in risk coverage. Others are looking at big data technologies, data analytics and standardized testing processes to achieve desired results. While it may not be clear how banks will alleviate the demands of regulatory compliance, it’s certain that regulatory concerns will be a management focus for years to come. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 23 02 | Capital management Globally, Basel III is being phased in gradually between 2013 and 2019. In Canada, OSFI has required early adoption of aspects of the rules, given their opinion that the banks were already well capitalized (Figure 10). In addition, all Big Six banks have been designated as domestic systemically important financial institutions (D-SIFIs), requiring a 1% increase to their CET1 ratio beginning 2016. Basel III hopes to address the shortfalls in capital management that led to the financial crisis of the late 2000s, bringing parts of the global banking industry to its knees. Among its developments, Basel III introduces a minimum leverage ratio, new liquidity management standards and changes to the counterparty risk capital. With respect to capital ratio, Basel III prescribes a more restrictive common equity Tier 1 ratio, in addition to the Tier 1 and total capital ratios. This more restrictive definition of capital only includes common shares issued, share premiums, retained earnings, accumulated other comprehensive income and other disclosed reserves, less dividends. 24 Canadian Banks 2014 02 | Capital management A look at the Big Six Tier 1 capital ratio of the Big Six banks showed slight declines with an average of 11.38% in 2013 and 12.96% in 2012 (Figure 11). A slight deterioration was expected due to the more stringent risk weighted assets calculation introduced under Basel III, designed to steer banks away from assets which contributed to the financial crisis. That said, all Big Six banks are well capitalized, with buffers ranging from 2.52% (TD) to 3.20% (RBC) over the 8.5% Tier 1 capital ratio required as of January 1, 2014. Comparison with US banks Seven US banks have been identified as Global SIFIs, and are required to comply with an additional CET1 charge, effective January 1, 2016 (Figure 12). Currently, no Canadian banks have been—or are expected to be—designated in the near future. US banks are required to begin adopting Basel III requirements as of January 1, 2014, with phase-in provisions. They’ve however issued estimated Basel III calculations in advance. As at September 30, 2013, the US banks reported CET1 ratios of between 9.3% and 10.8%, with an average buffer of 1.4% over the fully phased-in requirements. That said, the banks have actively undertaken strategic shifts to de-risk their businesses in order to meet these requirements. Those changes need to also consider the additional leverage and liquidity phases of Basel III. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 25 02 | Capital management Looking forward While policy makers, economists and banks worldwide have been wary of the stricter Basel III accord and its potentially detrimental impact on the wider recovering economy, Canadian banks have had little to worry about. The conservative approach of the Canadian banks meant that they were already well capitalized and would not require significant strategic or operational changes to their business model in order to comply. Given that global banks, especially SIFIs, will likely continue to de-risk their balance sheets, it provides Canadian banks the unique opportunity to utilize their strong balance sheets and actively pursue growth prospects with fewer competitors. OSFIs early adoption of the fully phased-in Basel III requirements may potentially hinder Canadian bank growth as they are now held to a higher standard than their global competition. But then again, Canadian banks do not have to hold stress level capital against stringent Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) Stress Test requirements like their US1 peers. The more significant change relevant to Canadian banks that came into effect as a result of Basel III is the requirement that all non-common Tier 1 capital instruments (such as preferred shares) and Tier 2 capital instruments (such as subordinated debt) must have, in their contractual terms and conditions, a clause requiring a full and permanent conversion (the Non-Viability Contingent Conversion) into common shares of the bank upon the occurrence of a trigger event at the point of non-viability determined by OSFI. Accordingly, all non-qualifying Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital will now have to be phased-out at 10% per year until 2022 and replaced with more expensive NVCC capital. 1. Similar CCAR-like Stress Test requirements are being proposed or formalized in the UK and EU. 26 Canadian Banks 2014 Regardless, Canadian banks will continue to be wary as, beginning 2016, banks that do not meet the required capital ratios and are unable to demonstrate a remedial plan, will have limitations placed on their discretionary distributions of earnings. Figure 10: Summary of capital requirements Ratio Common equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio * Jan 1, 2013 * Jan 1, 2014 * Jan 1, 2016 (Domestic SIFIs) * 7% 7% 8% Tier 1 capital ratio – 8.5% 8.5% Total capital ratio – 10.5% 10.5% All-in methodology includes the fully phased-in capital conservation buffer (2.5%), but retains the phase-out period for non‑qualifying equity. 02 | Capital management Figure 11: Tier 1 capital ratio** Bank Figure 12: US SIFI CET1 requirements Oct 31, 2013 (Basel III) Oct 31, 2012 (Basel II) Oct 31, 2011 (Basel II) BMO 11.44% 12.62% 12.01% BNS 11.07% 13.59% 12.17% CIBC 11.62% 13.83% 14.74% NBC 11.43% 12.01% 13.59% RBC 11.70% 13.10% 13.30% TD 11.02% 12.60% 13.03% Base CET1 Additional Total BoA 7.00% 1.50% 8.50% CET1 – Estimated Q3 9.94% Citigroup 7.00% 2.00% 9.00% 10.50% BNYM 7.00% 1.00% 8.00% 10.10% Goldman 7.00% 1.50% 8.50% 9.80% JP Morgan 7.00% 2.50% 9.50% 9.33% Morgan Stanley 7.00% 1.50% 8.50% 10.80% Wells Fargo 7.00% 1.00% 8.00% 9.54% ** Tier 1 capital ratios used due lack of comparatives for CET1 ratio. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 27 03 | Credit losses The good fortune of the big Canadian banks has continued with respect to the trends in credit losses. Despite average household debt hitting highs of 163.7% of disposable income1, sustained strength in the housing market and no significant changes in the unemployment rate2 have meant that Canadians have been able to service their debt level. Figure 13: Big Six average credit losses 0.80% 0.70% 0.60% 2013 2012 2011 0.68% 0.65% 0.59% 0.56% 0.69% 0.59% 0.50% 0.40% 0.30% 0.31% 0.31% 0.33% 0.20% 0.10% 0.00% 1. Source: Statistics Canada 2. 2012: 7.2%; 2013: 7.1%. Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, January 2014. 28 Canadian Banks 2014 PCLs Loans LLPs Loans Gross Impaired Loans Loans 03 | Credit losses There have been some movements in credit loss trends for the banks. This is displayed by the trends seen in Figure 13, which shows average provision for credit losses (PCL) as a percentage of loans, loan loss provisions (LLP) as a percentage of loans and the level of gross impaired loans within each bank’s portfolio for all six banks. Although there’s been a slight uptick in the latter two measures, it’s relatively small and hasn’t exceeded the levels seen in 2011. RBC achieved the distinction of being the first Canadian bank to attain market capitalization of $100 billion. recoveries (up by CA$107 million or 37%) compared to 2012. This was attributed to “improved credit quality in the Canadian and US commercial portfolios” by TD in their annual report. Looking at the underlying performance of each bank, Scotiabank in particular saw an increase in PCL of 3.5% from the prior year and a 10.2% increase in their year-end LLP. This has been attributed to higher commercial provisions required in respect of their portfolios in Colombia and the Caribbean, although analysts have noted that they expect this to be a temporary elevation. The banks are fortunate that the credit environment is relatively benign currently, but this may not last forever. The question is where deterioration could potentially come from—will it be in geographies other than Canada, or will it be in particular lines of business? Secured personal lending, at least in Canada, appears to be stable relatively speaking. A proportion of the banks’ portfolios are insured and the loan-to-value ratios (LTVs) average 65%.3 With respect to the insured portfolios, as we noted in our publication, The Tide Turns: Canadians, Debt and Retail Lending, significant restrictions have been placed on the use of government backed insured mortgage lending. Coupled with the tightened results under OSFI’s B-20 guideline, this may have the impact of increasing risk as fewer mortgages may qualify for insurance. Vulnerability also remains in the unsecured lending portfolios, which will be much more sensitive to any deterioration in the economy, particularly in unemployment rates. TD also saw an increase in some credit loss measures, and had a 8.0% increase in LLP. This has partly been attributed to the full year impact of the acquisition of the MBNA credit card portfolio in 2012, which caused an increase in the collectively assessed allowance for individually insignificant impaired loans by CA$48 million. In addition, the other major credit card portfolio acquisition, Target, was a major cause of the CA$233 million (or 12%) increase in the collectively assessed allowance for incurred, but not identified, credit losses. The PCL however benefitted from higher The following table shows a reduction in PCL and LLP across the remaining banks (National Bank was the exception that basically remained flat). Similar themes have emerged from analyst reports on the cause of this positive trend—good credit quality, low delinquencies and bankruptcies that remain low and manageable for them. 3. Calculated from the banks’ management discussions and analyses, and supplementary information. TD did not have the information available in those sources. Figure 14: Credit losses (CA$ millions) BMO BNS CIBC NBC RBC TD 2013 2012 Change 2013 2012 Change 2013 2012 Change 2013 2012 Change 2013 2012 Change 2013 2012 Change PCL 589 765 -23.0% 1,296 1,252 3.5% 1,121 1,291 -13.2% 181 180 0.6% 1,239 1,301 -4.8% 1,631 1,795 -9.1% LLP 1,665 1,706 -2.4% 3,273 2,969 10.2% 1,698 1,860 -8.7% 578 577 0.2% 1,959 1,997 -1.9% 2,855 2,644 8.0% Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 29 04 | Snapshot of the Big Six When compared to other banks globally, Canadian banks remain well regarded. For the sixth year in a row Canada’s banks have been ranked the world’s soundest by the World Economic Forum1. Now let’s look a little deeper into their results for 2013. 1. “Canadian banks win top marks from World Economic Forum”. Financial Post. September 6, 2013. http://business. financialpost.com/2013/09/04/canadian-banks-win-top-marks-from-world-economic-forum/. Retrieved February 10, 2014. 30 Canadian Banks 2014 04 | Snapshot of the Big Six BMO highlights BMO’s net income grew 1.4% to CA$4,248 million in 2013 (4.5% to CA$4,276 million on an adjusted basis). This was due to 0.8% revenue growth (3.4% on an adjusted basis), particularly from the Wealth Management segment, controlled expense growth, and a reduction in provision for credit losses (PCLs) in all segments. Return on equity (ROE)1 slipped from 15.9% (15.5% on an adjusted basis) to 14.9% (15.0% on an adjusted basis), but still within the medium-term target of 15% to 18%. Capital positions grew however to a Basel III Tier 1 capital ratio of 11.4%, up from the 10.5% pro-forma comparative. The nature of adjusted items was similar to the prior year, including Marshall and Ilsley Corporation’s (M&I’s) performance, along with integration costs and run-off of structured credit activities. Annual dividends were 46% of net income and adjusted net income, or CA$2.94 per share, up 4.3% from last year. A further additional quarterly increase of $0.02 to $0.76 per share was announced in December 2013. Other capital developments in 2013 to enhance shareholder returns included BMO initiating its common share repurchase program via normal course issuer bids, buying back 10.7 million common shares for CA$675.3 million. BMO plans to continue this program in 2014, subject to regulatory approval. There were also preferred share redemptions of CA$200 million and US$250 million during the year. CA$4,248 million Net income grew ROE down from 2012 Dividends 2013 are up... CA$2.94 per share 2012 compared CA$2.80 to 2012 per share 2013 14.9% 2012 15.9% 1. As reported by the bank in their annual report. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 31 04 | Snapshot of the Big Six BMO’s largest segment, Canadian Personal and Commercial (P&C) banking, achieved revenue growth of 2.1% and net income growth of 4.5% to CA$1,854 million. This was thanks to strong 9.8% average loan growth and related fees, and a 6.7% reduction in PCLs, which outweighed margin pressures. Net interest margin was 2.59%, down 20 bps from the prior year but compression was contained more in the second half of the year due to mix changes. PCLs improved due to improving credit quality in the consumer portfolio. US P&C on the other hand had an adjusted net earnings decline of 1.2% to US$633 million and a revenue decline of 4.8%. This segment was negatively impacted by margin pressures and tepid 1.6% average loan growth and 0.5% average deposits growth. Growth was impacted by BMO continuing its lower-cost funding strategy in response to the lowrate environment. Similar to Canadian P&C, PCLs were lower as a result of improving credit quality for the consumer portfolio, with a 20.5% improvement over the prior year. Wealth Management, comprised of wealth management and insurance platforms, led the way in terms of growth for BMO, particularly in the second half of the year. Adjusted net income increased 58.0% to CA$861 million, or 35.8% excluding a security gain of CA$121 million. Revenue growth was 18.9%. Wealth management growth was driven by growth in client assets and synergies from previous acquisitions, particularly the Marshall and Ilsely Corporation acquisition in 2011. Insurance results improvement was attributable to prior year unfavourable movements in long-term interest rates, along with continued growth in creditor and life insurance. Assets under management and administration grew 13.6% to CA$552.9 billion, driven by market appreciation, growth in new client assets and the stronger US dollar. BMO Capital Markets grew net income by 7.1% to CA$1,094 million and revenues by 4.6%. Despite lower North American M&A activity, growth was still achieved through increased trading revenues and investment banking fees and the strong US dollar, offset to some degree by growth in non-interest expenses to support growth and higher technology and support costs to manage regulatory changes. BMO had two acquisitions in the year, Aver Media LP (which specializes in Canadian-based film and television lending) for CA$260 million and an Asia-based wealth management business for CA$34 million. While the two had a neutral earnings impact in 2013, BMO views them as additional growth opportunities for commercial lending and high net worth service offerings. Similar to other institutions, BMO expects stronger economic growth in Canada and the US for 2014, but it also expects challenges due to the continued low-rate environment, competitive pricing for loans and deposits and the complex regulatory environment. Improving the customer experience and customer loyalty through targeted market share growth and tailored offerings, along with productivity, are central themes across all segments. Market share growth in US P&C will be focused on commercial banking in particular. The return of investor confidence in equity markets in 2013, as well as BMO’s growing presence in Asia, is expected to continue to benefit Wealth Management. 32 Canadian Banks 2014 04 | Snapshot of the Big Six Scotiabank highlights Scotiabank is Canada’s third largest bank by total assets and market capitalization, and is also Canada’s most internationally diversified bank. About 48% of its net income comes from business conducted outside of Canada, with the US, Caribbean, Central and Latin America being the largest contributors. Net income increased 3.6% to CA$6,697 million (2012: 21.3%), or 15% if adjusted to exclude CA$90 million one off items in the current year and real estate valuation gains of CA$708 million in the prior year. Return on equity (ROE) remained strong at 16.4%, albeit down compared to prior year (2012: 19.7%) due to the one off items noted above. Dividends paid totaled CA$2.39 per share, compared to CA$2.19 in 2012—an increase of 9% (2012: 7%), representing an increase in the dividend payout ratio from 41.2% to 47.1%. The Canadian Banking business, contributing CA$2,304 million of net income saw a 19% increase in net income, with a combination of volume growth and the acquisition of ING Direct Canada being key drivers. Net interest income, which makes up 78% of total revenue, increased 17% with the 21% increase in average earning assets more than offsetting slightly lower margins (2.10% vs 2.16%), with margins on the existing business being relatively flat year on year and a slightly lower margin on the acquired ING Direct portfolio. Excluding the ING Direct portfolio, average earning assets increased 7%. Deposits increased 27% to CA$186.5 billion, with the ING Direct acquisition being the largest driver. Despite the volume growth, provisions for credit losses decreased 5.7% to CA$477 million. Scotiabank drew attention to lower provisions in their commercial portfolio, but in light of the strong volume growth the improved credit performance in the retail portfolios is also noteworthy, with the allowance for credit losses on the retail portfolio also down from CA$462 million to CA$460 million. CA$6,697 million Net income grew ROE down from 2012 Dividends 2013 are up... CA$2.39 per share 2012 compared CA$2.19 to 2012 per share 2013 16.4% 2012 19.6% Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 33 04 | Snapshot of the Big Six Global Wealth and Insurance’s net income increased 12% (2012: -7%) to CA$1,311 million, driven by strong results in both the Wealth Management and Insurance businesses. Assets under administration and assets under management both saw solid growth (up 15% to CA$326 billion and 26% to CA$145 billion), which along with new fees contributed to a 14% increase to CA$3,415 million in total revenues for the Wealth Management business. The Insurance business which contributes about 16% of the Global Wealth and Insurance business revenues also had solid growth with revenues up 14%, attributed largely to higher premiums. Global Banking and Markets’ net income was effectively flat year on year at CA$1,491 million (2012: CA$1,492 million), with higher revenues— up 1.8% to CA$3,645 million—offset by operating expenses increasing 5.1% to CA$1,596 million. Scotiabank attributed the expense growth to increases in salaries and benefits as well as volume related expenses. Higher revenues from the Fixed Income business was offset by declines in revenues from other parts of the Global Capital Markets business, while in the Corporate and Investment Banking business, revenue growth in the Lending business was offset by lower Investment Banking revenues. Average earning assets saw strong growth, up 21% to CA$222 billion, with growth in the Fixed Income business a key driver. International Banking’s net income increased 12% to CA$1,944 million, or 6% excluding CA$90 million of non-recurring items. Volume and acquisition related growth were the primary drivers with average earning assets up 11% to CA$119 billion, while margins were relatively flat at 4.12% (2012: 4.14%). The increase in the provision for credit losses (up 27% to CA$781 million) was primarily driven by acquisitions and volume growth, with acquired portfolios also lowering the average credit quality slightly with the PCL as a percentage of loans and acceptances up from 0.75% to 0.86%. Excluding the effect of acquisitions, one-off items and the effect of foreign currency translation, expense growth of approximately 3% was broadly in line with inflation in the regions in which the International Banking business operates. 34 Canadian Banks 2014 Results were impacted by a number of acquisitions, with acquisitions contributing CA$528 million to net income, or 7.9% of total net income, and CA$523 million of the CA$1,184 million increase in operating expenses. Notable acquisitions during the year included: • acquisition of ING Direct Canada, contributing CA$28 billion of assets (3.8% of total) and CA$30 billion of deposits • acquisition of Crédito Familiar in Mexico • acquisition of 51% of Colfondos AFP in Columbia and 50% of AFP Horizonte in Peru, two of the largest pension companies in their respective countries Scotiabank expects moderate economic growth in each region it operates in, to drive growth in 2014. Credit quality is expected to remain strong, and moderate asset growth is expected to drive higher revenues while margins are expected to remain relatively stable in what is expected to remain a challenging interest rate environment. 04 | Snapshot of the Big Six CIBC highlights CIBC, Canada’s fifth largest bank by assets and market capitalization, saw a net income increase of 1.8% to CA$3,400 million (2012: 16.0%). Return on equity remained strong at 20.9%, albeit down slightly compared to prior year (2012: 22.0%)2. Dividends paid totaled CA$3.80 per share compared to CA$3.64 in 2012, up 4.4% (2012: 3.7%), with the dividend payout ratio relatively stable at 46.1% (2012: 46.3%). Retail and Business Banking’s net income increased 7.7% to CA$2,463 million. The drivers were: a CA$150 million or 13.9% reduction in the provision for credit losses • higher fees with non-interest income up CA$57 million or 2.8% • an improvement in the margin on average interest earning assets from 2.56% to 2.64%, which was enough to off-set a 0.8% decrease in average interest earning assets from CA$145.6 billion to CA$144.4 billion, leaving net interest income up 1.1% to CA$5,855 million The increased margin and lower average interest earning assets sets CIBC apart from its peers, which all had higher volumes and lower margins. This implies a slightly different strategy in balancing margins against volume growth on CIBC’s part. CIBC’s deposits also increased as a proportion of loans, which would have provided a favorable variance in cost of funds. The 14% reduction in the provision for credit losses was largely driven by improved credit performance in the credit card and personal lending portfolios. Non-interest expenses increased 2% to CA$4,147 million, leaving the efficiency ratio flat at 49.8%. Deposits grew 2% to CA$156.1 billion. CA$3,400 million Dividends 2013 are up... CA$3.80 per share Net income grew 2012 compared CA$3.64 to 2012 per share • ROE down from 2012 2013 20.9% 2012 22.0% 2. As reported by the bank in their annual report Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 35 04 | Snapshot of the Big Six Wholesale Banking had a strong year with net income up 16.8% to CA$716 million, with revenues in both the Capital Markets and Corporate and Investment Banking businesses seeing strong growth, with increases of 6% to CA$1,268 million and 16% to CA$931 million respectively. Non-interest expenses increased 18% to CA$1,319 million, resulting in the efficiency ratio deteriorating from 54.1% to 58.3%, with the increase in expenses attributed to losses in the structured credit run-off business, including a settlement payment to the estate of Lehman Brothers and increased employee compensation. Wealth Management had a another year of strong growth. Net income was up 14.5% to CA$388 million, with strong performance within each line of business. Revenues were up CA$46 million or 4.5% in the Retail Brokerage business, CA$61 million or 10.9% in Asset Management and CA$22 million or 22.0% in Private Wealth Management. Assets under administration and assets under management were both up 8%, to CA$234 billion and CA$96 billion respectively. Non-interest expenses increased 5% to CA$1,297 million, with the efficiency ratio improving from 73.6% to 72.0%. To understand the overall results, it’s worth noting CIBC’s Corporate and Other segment had a CA$266 million decrease in net income from CA$101 million net income in prior year to a CA$167 million loss in 2013. The segment includes, in addition to various cost centers supporting the other business units, CIBC’s international banking operations, including CIBC FirstCaribbean, the CIBC Mellon JV results and the Bermuda based Butterfield Bank. The result was impacted by lower revenues and increased credit losses in CIBC FirstCaribbean, and some Alberta flooding related credit losses which have been reported in this segment. 36 Canadian Banks 2014 In terms of geographic segments, CIBC is largely focused on its Canadian operations, with 89% of assets based in Canada and 83% of net income derived in Canada. Canadian operations outperformed international operations on average, with Canadian derived net income up 2.2% to CA$2,838 million, compared to no net income growth from international operations at CA$562 million (2012: $562 million). Performance varied between regions, with an increase in net income from the US offset by a decrease in net income from Caribbean operations. Except for the sale of its Hong Kong and Singapore based wealth management business, which did not significantly impact CIBC’s geographic footprint, CIBC did not complete any notable acquisitions or divestments during the year. It announced plans to acquire Atlantic Trust, a US-based wealth management firm with roughly US$23 billion in assets under management, and this transaction was completed in January 2014. The bank also announced that an agreement had been reached with TD and Aimia to sell half of its Aerogold credit card portfolio, equating to roughly CA$3 billion, to TD. CIBC expects stronger economic growth in 2014, particularly in the US and Canada, to have a favorable impact on its businesses—especially in provisions for credit losses, business lending, wholesale banking and demand in the wealth management business. Lending volume growth in the retail business is however expected to remain subdued due to existing high consumer debt levels and the impact of changes in CMHC rules for mortgage portfolio insurance. 04 | Snapshot of the Big Six NBC highlights NBC’s net income excluding specified items grew 6.8% to CA$1,4913 million (reported net income declined 4.9% or CA$80 million to CA$1,554 million). Revenues excluding specified items grew 3.0% to CA$5,242 million (reported revenues fell 2.1% to CA$5,372 million). Growth came from all segments, particularly Wealth Management. Similar to the prior year, cost containment and efficiency also contributed to earnings growth, as noninterest expenses excluding specified items only rose 1.8%. There were no significant specified items in the current year, but prior year results included the partial year results of Natcan Investment Management Inc before disposition, as well as the related gain of CA$212 million. These have been excluded for greater comparability. Although ROE fell 20.6% from 24.5% (excluding specified items, ROE fell to 19.7% from 20.7%), earnings growth increased NBC’s Basel III Tier 1 capital ratio to 11.4% in 2013, up from 10.1% in 2012 (proforma comparative estimate). Further capital changes in the year included redeeming CA$285 million in preferred shares, and CA$500 million in medium-term notes subsequent to year end. Subject to regulatory approval, NBC has also announced a further CA$104 million in preferred shares will be redeemed in 2014. 3 CA$1,491 million Net income grew ROE down from 2012 Dividends 2013 are up... CA$3.40 per share 2012 compared CA$3.08 to 2012 per share 2013 20.6% 2012 24.5% 3. Taken from NBC’s annual report calculated using the variable equivalent basis. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 37 04 | Snapshot of the Big Six NBC had another strong year of dividends increases, rising from $3.08 per share to $3.40 per share in 2013, or 10.4%, and were 40% (2012 – 39%) of net income excluding specified items, within their 40% to 50% target. A further quarterly increase of 5.8% from $0.87 per share to $0.92 per share will take effect in February 2014. A two-for-one stock split will also occur in February 2014. As noted by NBC, they see confidence in their ability for future growth and capital management to facilitate these increases. There were no acquisition or dispositions in the year, but NBC’s acquisition of TD Waterhouse Institutional Services (TDWI) for CA$250 million closed subsequent to year end. TDWI is expected to further contribute to the expansion of NBC’s wealth management offerings across the country. In addition to Wealth Management, NBC’s other operating segments are Personal and Commercial banking (P&C) and Financial Markets. P&C net income, excluding specified items, increased by 3.9% to CA$713 million and related revenues grew 2.7% to CA$2,599 million. Both personal and commercial divisions contributed to this growth, with 8.8% average loan growth and related volumes, which helped offset the net interest margin decline to 2.21% in 2013 versus 2.42% in 2012. The personal division also benefited from 6% revenue growth in insurance and MasterCard businesses due to higher volumes. Wealth Management showed the largest growth, with revenue growing 5.8% to CA$1,143 million and net income, excluding specified items, growing 25.5% to CA$188 million. All categories showed revenue growth and growth in volumes outside of Quebec and for the Private Wealth 1859 division, NBC’s service offering to high-net worth clients, were particular factors. This, combined with the rise in stock markets, resulted in assets under administration and management rising 11.2% to CA$258 million. Earnings benefited further from flat non-interest expenses compared to 2012, thanks to cost containment and synergies from past recent acquisitions. For the Financial Markets segment, net income, excluding specified items, increased by 17.4% to CA$541 million, with related revenues growing 5.8% to CA$1,379 million. Revenues grew in all areas due to higher trading activity and financing needs, except for financial market fees due to slowdowns in M&A activity and capital issuances. The segment also benefited from slight reductions in PCL and operating expenses. PCL for NBC was comparable to the prior year (CA$181 million versus CA$180 million), slightly up for consumer loans (up CA$13 million) and energy sector commercial loans (up CA$5 million), offset by a CA$17 million decrease for corporate banking loans due to recoveries in the year. In 2014, while NBC’s strong presence in Quebec is a primary source of revenue growth, NBC indicated they’ll also continue to explore opportunities to grow and diversify outside of Quebec, where they’re less established. This is a priority for all of its segments. The integration of TDWI will also be a key priority for 2014. 38 Canadian Banks 2014 04 | Snapshot of the Big Six RBC highlights RBC, Canada’s largest bank by assets and market capitalization, achieved record results in fiscal 2013. Net income of CA$8.3 billion was up 12% over the prior year, and dividends were increased twice during the year to CA$2.53 per share, representing dividend growth of 12% in 2013. ROE for the year came in strong at 19.4%4. The stock price responded accordingly and increased 23% from the year ended October 31, 2012. RBC achieved the distinction of being the first Canadian bank to attain market capitalization of $100 billion. Results were consistently strong in RBC’s key business segments, with strong earnings growth achieved in Personal & Commercial Banking, Wealth Management, Capital Markets and Investor and Treasury Services. Volume growth across RBC’s Canadian Banking businesses, partially offset by spread compression, along with growth in corporate and investment banking business and higher average fee-based client assets in Wealth Management, contributed to the growth. RBC also benefited from favourable income tax adjustments during the year of CA$214 million related to prior years; lower provision for credit losses reflecting improved credit quality; improved business performance in Investor Services; and further benefits from ongoing efficiencies. This was partially offset by lower trading revenue in Capital Markets and a charge in Insurance resulting from proposed legislation in Canada (Bill C-4) impacting policyholders’ tax treatment of certain individual life insurance policies. On February 1, 2013, RBC completed its acquisition of Ally Financial Inc for CA$3.7 billion. Ally’s business provides financial services directly to auto dealers and offers financing for consumers through auto dealerships. The acquisition contributed to the growth in Personal & Commercial operations. While there was only one acquisition completed in 2013, RBC has maintained its focus on growth in the US and select international markets. CA$8.3 billion Net income grew ROE down from 2012 Dividends 2013 are up... CA$2.53 per share 2012 compared CA$2.28 to 2012 per share 2013 19.4% 2012 21.1% Personal & Commercial business operations continued to grow, primarily in the Canadian Banking segment. Growth in earnings of 9% was achieved through increased volumes (despite spread compression) and reduced provisions for credit losses of CA$170 million or 7 bps. Average loans and acceptances increased CA$22 billion or 7%, mainly due to growth in Canadian home equity products, personal loans and business loans, while average deposits increased 4. As reported by the bank in their annual report. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 39 04 | Snapshot of the Big Six CA$18 billion or 8%, reflecting solid growth in both business and personal deposits. By contrast, average loans in the US and Caribbean declined 3% due to weak economic conditions in the Caribbean while deposits increased 4% due to improved liquidity in the Caribbean. RBC also launched a co-branded Target RBC MasterCard in 2013. Gross impaired loans as a percentage of average net loans and acceptances (0.55%) and the provision for credit losses on impaired loans as a percentage of average net loans and acceptances (0.30%) fell to their lowest levels in three years, reflecting an improvement in overall credit quality. During the year, RBC’s credit card revenue also increased by 7%, a combination of increased average credit card balances (5%) and net purchase volumes (8%). RBC continues to innovate by introducing the first cloud-based mobile payments service in Canada, allowing clients to more safely and securely pay for purchases using their mobile devices. Mobile payments is a significant growth area for financial institutions as smartphones are increasingly becoming an indispensable tool in daily life and the number of mobile payments continues to increase sharply. As mobile payments and the adoption of the digital wallet are expected to surge over the next three years, there’s potential for Canadian banks to gain a competitive advantage in this area. Wealth Management business operations produced strong results in 2013. Net income increased by CA$136 million or 18% from a year ago to CA$899 million. Revenues grew mainly due to higher average fee-based client assets across all business lines and higher transaction volumes reflecting improved market conditions. Assets under administration and assets under management have increased steadily in Canada, the US and globally over the past few years. Similarly, non-interest expense increased due to higher variable compensation driven by higher revenue and increased staffing and infrastructure investments to support the business growth. Provision for credit losses increased by CA$52 million, partially offsetting the growth in revenue, as a result of provisions on a few accounts. Wealth management is expected to be an area of growth as the lending market becomes more saturated. RBC’s Capital Markets focus includes: striving to maintain its leadership position in Canada, having been ranked the top investment banking advisor on Canadian M&A deals for the third straight year in 2013, expanding and strengthening client relationships in the US, building on core strengths and capabilities in Europe and Asia and optimizing capital used to earn high risk-adjusted returns 40 Canadian Banks 2014 on assets and equity. Capital Markets revenues represent 21% of earnings in 2013 with net income increasing by $129 million over 2012. Results were driven by strong growth in Corporate and Investment Banking business driven by higher lending, loan syndication and debt origination mainly in the US and increased volumes from cash equities business across most geographies combined with lower variable compensation and continued benefits from efficiency management initiatives. These factors were partially offset by lower fixed income trading businesses largely in Europe, higher provisions for credit losses and non-interest expenses such as higher litigation provisions and higher infrastructure support costs. The Insurance segment’s net income decreased by CA$117 million or 16%, mainly due to a CA$118 million after tax charge resulting from proposed legislation in Canada. Excluding this charge, net income was relatively flat over prior year as favourable actuarial adjustments and continued improvements in efficiency offset higher net claims costs. RBC’s Investor and Treasury Services segment experienced growth as a result of the acquisition of the remaining 50% ownership in RBC Dexia in the prior year. Excluding a prior year loss of CA$224 million due to this acquisition, net income increased by 15% mainly due to improved business performance in Investor Services partially offset by lower funding and liquidity revenue and a CA$44 million restructuring charge mostly related to the integration of Investor Services in Europe. The prior year was unfavourably impacted by an impairment charge and other acquisition costs of $188 million and a loss representing RBC’s proportionate share of the securities exchange and trading loss recorded by RBC Dexia. RBC has identified the regulatory environment, high levels of Canadian household debt and cybersecurity as key and emerging risks. These risks will have broad implications for all financial institutions, beyond simply raising capital levels and slowing retail growth. Kathleen Taylor was appointed Chair of the Board of Directors on January 1, 2014, replacing David O’Brien who served as Chair for 10 years. President and Chief Executive Officer, Gordon Nixon, announced his intention to retire effective August 1, 2014, after 13 years in this role. Dave McKay, group head for Personal & Commercial Banking will be appointed as President at the annual meeting on February 26, 2014 and President and Chief Executive Officer effective August 1, 2014. 04 | Snapshot of the Big Six TD highlights TD continues to see solid growth in top line and bottom line results. Net income increased by 3% or CA$191 million over 2012 to CA$6.7 billion, or a 1% increase in net income on an adjusted basis to CA$7.2 billion. Higher earnings resulted from better performance in the Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking and US Personal and Commercial Banking segments, partially offset by lower earnings in the Wealth and Insurance and Wholesale Banking segments. Adjusted ROE was down slightly from 2012 16.3% to 15.0%5 in 2013. Earnings per share (EPS) grew by 2% to CA$6.93 in 2013 but remained flat at CA$7.45 on an adjusted basis. Cash dividends declared and paid in 2013 of CA$3.24 per common share was up 12% from CA$2.89 in 2012. During the year, the share price increased 17.7% from CA$81.23 at October 31, 2012 to CA$95.64 at October 31, 2013 and the bank repurchased nine million shares under its normal course issuer bid. TD has been relatively active in terms of acquisitions and disposals this year compared to its Canadian Banking counterparts. Some of the most significant transactions are identified below: • Acquisition of Target Corporation’s US Credit Card Portfolio: On March 13, 2013, TD acquired substantially all of Target Corporation’s existing US Visa and private label credit card portfolios with a gross outstanding balance of CA$5.8 billion. Results of the acquisition are recorded in the US Personal and Commercial Banking segment. CA$6.7 billion Net income grew ROE down from 2012 Dividends 2013 are up... CA$3.24 per share 2012 compared CA$2.89 to 2012 per share 2013 15.0% 2012 16.3% 5. As reported by the bank in their annual report. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 41 04 | Snapshot of the Big Six • Acquisition of Epoch Investment Partners Inc: On March 27, 2013, the bank acquired 100% of the outstanding equity of Epoch Holding Corporation and its wholly-owned subsidiary, a New York-based asset management firm. The acquisition was made for cash consideration of CA$674 million. The results of the acquisition are recorded in the Wealth and Insurance segment. For the year ended October 31, 2013, the acquisition contributed CA$96 million to revenue and CA$2 million to net income. • Agreement with Aimia Inc and acquisition of certain CIBC Aeroplan credit card accounts: On August 12, 2013, TD and Aimia announced that the bank will become the primary credit card issuer for Aeroplan, a loyalty program owned by Aimia, starting on January 1, 2014. TD has an agreement to acquire approximately 50% of CIBC’s existing Aeroplan credit card portfolio. It expects to acquire approximately 550,000 cardholder accounts representing approximately CA$3 billion in card balances and CA$20 billion in annual retail spend. TD will pay a purchase price of par plus CA$50 million for the CIBC Aeroplan accounts with an additional CA$112.5 million plus HST payable over three years. Further payments may be made or received depending on the migration of the accounts over the next five years. In addition, TD will make a CA$100 million upfront payment to Aimia and will undertake a joint marketing spend of approximately CA$140 million in the first four years of the program. The CIBC portfolio acquisition is expected to close in the first quarter of fiscal 2014. • Sale of TD Waterhouse Institutional Services: On November 12, 2013, TD completed the sale of its institutional services business to a subsidiary of National Bank of Canada for a price of CA$250 million. The sale will be recorded in fiscal 2014. These acquisitions have supported TD’s US growth strategy and a growth in credit card spending which may make up for the anticipated slowdown in real estate lending. 42 Canadian Banks 2014 The Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking segment reported a record net income of CA$3.7 billion for the year, an increase of 11% over the prior year. Growth was driven by volume, lower credit losses and effective expense management. Compared to the prior year, personal lending volume growth slowed during the year due to lower growth in the housing market, moderation in household borrowing and regulatory changes in Canada which tightened mortgage eligibility criteria, while business lending growth was strong and market share increased. Average real estate secured lending volume increased by 4%, auto lending increased by 2% and other personal lending volumes remained flat. Business loans and acceptances average volumes increased by 13%. Personal deposit volumes increased by 4% and business deposit volumes increased by 8%. Provisions for credit losses declined 19% compared with the prior year. The decrease was primarily experienced in personal banking where better credit performance, enhanced collection strategies and lower bankruptcies occurred. Wealth and Insurance net income for the year was CA$1.2 billion, a decrease of 16% compared with the prior year. This reflects lower earnings in the Insurance business, partially offset by higher earnings in Wealth and TD Ameritrade. Insurance continues to be negatively impacted by unfavourable prior years’ claims development related to the Ontario auto insurance market and higher claims from weather-related events. Wealth revenues increased mainly from higher fee-based revenue from asset growth and TD Ameritrade’s net income was up 18% to CA$246 million in the year, including revenue growth from the addition of Epoch. Assets under administration grew 14% to CA$293 billion and assets under management grew 24% to CA$257 billion during the year. 04 | Snapshot of the Big Six The US Personal and Commercial Banking segment earned CA$1.5 billion in 2013, an increase of 35% from the prior year. This segment includes the results of activity related to the credit card program agreement with Target Corporation subsequent to the acquisition of the CA$6 billion portfolio of credit card receivables. Results reflect strong loan and deposit volume, higher fee-based revenue and increased gains on securities and debt securities classified as loans, partially offset by higher expenses to support growth and lower margins. Excluding Target, average loans increased by 13% (personal 19%; business 8%) and average deposits, excluding Ameritrade, increased by 7% compared to the prior year. Provisions for credit losses decreased by 2% overall, comprised of an increase of 63% in personal banking primarily due to the Target acquisition and increased provisions in auto loans and a decrease of 52% in business banking which reflects improved credit quality in commercial loans. During 2013, CEO Ed Clark announced his retirement. Bharat Masrani, the head of US retail operations was appointed to Chief Operating Officer on July 1, 2013 and will be appointed CEO on November 1, 2014 upon Ed Clark’s retirement. Bharat Masrani has announced that he doesn’t expect any major change in what TD stands for. He steered TD’s successful expansion into the US over the past seven years and was previously the bank’s chief risk officer. Having worked in almost every part of the bank over many years, he also brings a breadth of experience as well as diversity, being the first visible minority to reach the top of a major Canadian bank. Wholesale Banking net income for the year fell 26% to CA$648 million due to lower revenue and a higher effective tax rate, partially offset by lower non-interest expenses. Revenues fell 9% due to lower security gains in the investment portfolio, lower trading-related revenue and lower M&A and advisory fees, partially offset by higher underwriting and loan fees. Provision for credit losses fell CA$21 million or 45%. Non-interest expenses fell 2% due to lower variable compensation, in line with revenue. TD has identified top and emerging risks as: • • • • general business and economic conditions technology and information security risk evolution of fraud business infrastructure and third party service providers. While economic conditions can impact the bank’s financial results, the risk of information security, fraud and reliance on third party service providers can cause both financial and reputational risk. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 43 44 Canadian Banks 2014 Appendices 46 Shareholder value summary 48 Regulatory capital 50 Balance sheet highlights 52 Income statement highlights 54 Credit risk summary Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 45 Appendix 1: Shareholder value summary in millions of Canadian dollars BMO BNS CIBC 2013 Change 2012 IFRS CGAAP 2011 2013 Change 2012 IFRS CGAAP 2011 2013 Change 2012 IFRS CGAAP 72.62 23.0% 59.02 58.89 63.39 16.8% 54.25 52.53 88.70 12.9% 78.56 75.10 IFRS IFRS IFRS 2011 Stock performance Common share price as at October 31 Book value of outstanding common shares 43.70 8.6% 40.23 39.53 33.56 12.7% 29.77 26.06 41.47 10.5% 37.52 36.41 Trading premium above book value 28.92 53.9% 18.79 19.36 29.83 21.9% 24.48 26.47 47.23 15.1% 41.04 38.69 1.47 1.49 1.89 1.82 2.02 2.14 2.09 2.06 2,902 Market price to book value 1.66 Earnings 4,183 1.7% 4,115 3,122 6,205 3.0% 6,023 4,959 3,304 4.1% 3,173 Basic earnings per share as reported Net income attributable to common shareholders 6.27 1.5% 6.18 5.28 5.19 -2.3% 5.31 4.62 8.24 4.8% 7.86 7.32 Price / earnings ratio 11.8 23.0% 9.6 11.2 11.9 16.8% 10.2 11.4 11.3 13.0% 10.0 10.3 Returns 15.4% 16.6% 14.0% 16.4% 19.6% 19.1% 20.8% 22.4% 21.3% Return on assets 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% Return on risk-weighted assets2 1.9% 2.0% 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 2.1% 2.4% 2.8% 2.6% 28.0% 5.0% 2.4% 21.3% 7.4% -0.2% 17.7% 9.5% 0.5% Return on basic equity 1 Total market return3 Dividends Dividend paid 2.94 4.3% 2.80 2.80 2.39 9.1% 2.19 2.05 3.80 4.4% 3.64 3.51 Dividend yield4 4.0% -14.9% 4.7% 4.8% 3.8% -6.6% 4.0% 3.9% 4.3% -7.5% 4.6% 4.7% Dividend payout ratio5 48% 6.6% 45% 53% 45% 9.1% 41% 44% 48% 4.4% 46% 48% Shares outstanding at end of year (millions) 644 -1.1% 651 639 1,209 2.1% 1,184 1,089 399 -1.2% 404 401 Market capitalization at October 31 (billions) 46.8 21.7% 38.4 37.6 76.6 19.2% 64.3 57.2 35.4 11.3% 31.8 30.1 13.68 12.69 9.71 10.39 10.06 11.26 12.37 11.64 Total assets per dollar of market capitalization 11.49 Notes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Return on equity has been calculated as net income attributable to common shareholders divided by average common shareholders’ capital. For 2011 the average common shareholders’ capital is calculated under CGAAP. Return on risk weighted assets has been calculated as net income attributable to common shareholders divided by risk weighted assets. Total market return has been calculated as [change in share price + dividends paid] divided by opening share price and does not include the assumed rate of return on the investment of dividends. Dividend yield has been calculated as dividends paid divided by the common share price at the fiscal year end. Dividend payout ratio has been calculated as dividends paid divided by earnings per share 46 Canadian Banks 2014 Appendix 1: Shareholder value summary in millions of Canadian dollars NBC 2013 IFRS Change RBC 2012 IFRS 2011 CGAAP 2013 IFRS Change TD 2012 IFRS 2011 CGAAP 2013 Change IFRS 2012 IFRS 2011 CGAAP Stock performance Common share price as at October 31 90.48 18.0% 76.66 71.14 70.02 23.0% 56.94 48.62 95.64 17.7% 81.23 75.23 Book value of outstanding common shares 45.80 14.2% 40.11 40.97 30.49 11.7% 27.30 24.26 51.10 6.1% 48.18 48.16 Trading premium above book value 44.68 22.2% 36.55 30.17 39.53 33.4% 29.64 24.36 44.54 34.7% 33.05 27.07 1.91 1.74 2.30 2.09 2.00 1.87 1.69 1.56 -5.2% 1,518 1,126 8,331 7,442 6,343 6,372 6,171 5,709 8.87 -5.6% 9.40 6.93 5.6 12.4% 4.98 3.21 6.93 1.8% 6.81 6.45 9.6 18.0% 8.2 10.3 14.1 23.0% 11.4 15.1 14.0 17.7% 11.9 11.7 20.7% 24.9% 17.7% 21.0% 21.1% 12.9% 14.0% 14.8% 13.9% Return on assets 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% Return on risk-weighted assets2 2.7% 2.7% 2.2% 2.6% 2.7% 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 2.6% 12.1% 12.17% 10.1% 27.4% 21.8% -6.8% 21.7% 11.8% 5.7% Market price to book value 1.98 Earnings Net income attributable to common shareholders Basic earnings per share as reported Price / earnings ratio 1,439 11.9% 3.3% Returns Return on basic equity 1 Total market return3 Dividends Dividend paid 3.40 10.4% 3.08 2.74 2.53 11.0% 2.28 2.08 3.24 12.1% 2.89 2.61 Dividend yield4 3.8% -6.5% 4.0% 3.9% 3.6% -9.8% 4.0% 4.3% 3.4% -4.8% 3.6% 3.5% 36.2% 10.4% 32.8% 39.5% 50.8% 11.0% 45.8% 64.8% 47.6% 12.1% 42.4% 40.5% Dividend payout ratio5 Shares outstanding at end of year (millions) 163 1.2% 161 160 1,441 -0.3% 1,445 1,438 921 0.6% 916 902 Market capitalization at October 31 (billions) 12.5 0.0% 12.5 11.4 100.9 22.6% 82.3 69.9 88.1 18.4% 74.4 67.9 14.23 13.69 8.53 10.03 10.75 9.79 10.90 10.11 Total assets per dollar of market capitalization 15.06 Notes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Return on equity has been calculated as net income attributable to common shareholders divided by average common shareholders’ capital. For 2011, the average common shareholders’ capital is calculated under CGAAP. Return on risk weighted assets has been calculated as net income attributable to common shareholders divided by risk weighted assets. Total market return has been calculated as [change in share price + dividends paid] divided by opening share price and does not include the assumed rate of return on the investment of dividends. Dividend yield has been calculated as dividends paid divided by the common share price at the fiscal year end. Dividend payout ratio has been calculated as dividends paid divided by earnings per share. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 47 Appendix 2: Regulatory capital1 in millions of Canadian dollars BMO BNS CIBC 2013 Change 2012 2011 2013 Change 2012 2011 2013 Change 2012 2011 24,599 -5.0% 25,896 25,071 31,914 -7.3% 34,436 28,489 15,888 -0.3% 15,940 16,208 Tier 1 capital Total Tier 1 capital Tier 2 capital Total Tier 2 capital Total regulatory capital 4,901 2.7% 4,773 5,921 6,927 -10.7% 7,757 4,044 4,073 2.2% 3,984 4,079 29,500 -3.8% 30,669 30,992 38,841 -7.9% 42,193 32,533 19,961 0.2% 19,924 20,287 Risk-weighted capital ratio Tier 1 11.4% 12.6% 12.0% 11.1% 13.6% 12.2% 11.6% 13.8% 14.7% Total capital ratio 13.7% 14.9% 14.9% 13.5% 16.7% 13.9% 14.6% 17.3% 18.4% 179,289 171,955 179,092 240,900 210,000 200,800 115,101 93,360 90,110 9,154 7,598 4,971 15,400 13,800 5,900 3,460 3,033 1,646 Risk-weighted assets Credit risk Market risk Operational risk Total risk-weighted assets Assets to capital multiple Tangible common equity to risk-weighted assets Total assets to risk-weighted assets Total general allowance as a percentage of risk adjusted assets Total general allowance 25,677 24,609 31,900 29,500 27,300 18,186 18,836 18,212 215,094 26,651 4.8% 205,230 208,672 288,200 13.8% 253,300 234,000 136,747 18.7% 115,229 109,968 15.6 2.7% 15.2 13.7 17.1 14.0% 15.0 16.6 18.0 3.4% 17.4 16.0 11.4% 4.3% 10.9% 10.0% 10.7% -9.3% 11.8% 10.1% 11.9% 3.9% 11.4% 12.0% 249.8% -2.4% 256.0% 228.8% 258.1% -2.1% 263.7% 245.8% 291.3% -14.7% 341.4% 318.3% 0.69% 0.71% 0.63% 0.94% 0.99% 0.58% 1.05% 1.25% 0.93% 1,485 1,460 1,318 2,712 2,508 1,352 1,438 1,441 1,018 Notes 1. Regulatory capital and risk weighted assets are calculated under Basel III guidelines for 2013 and Basel II guidelines for 2012 and 2011. There were no restatement of 2011 comparatives as a result of transition to IFRS. 48 Canadian Banks 2014 Appendix 2: Regulatory capital1 continued in millions of Canadian dollars NBC RBC TD 2013 Change 2012 2011 2013 Change 2012 2011 2013 Change 2012 2011 7,002 4.4% 6,710 6,854 37,196 1.1% 36,807 35,713 31,546 1.8% 30,989 28,503 Tier 1 capital Total Tier 1 capital Tier 2 capital Total Tier 2 capital 2,184 1.7% 2,148 1,645 7,520 35.7% 5,540 5,308 9,144 20.2% 7,606 6,475 Total regulatory capital 9,186 3.7% 8,858 8,499 44,716 5.6% 42,347 41,021 40,690 5.4% 38,595 34,978 Risk-weighted capital ratio Tier 1 11.4% 12.0% 13.6% 11.7% 13.1% 13.3% 11.0% 12.6% 13.0% Total capital ratio 15.0% 15.9% 16.9% 14.0% 15.1% 15.3% 14.2% 15.7% 16.0% Credit risk 49,451 45,181 40,277 232,641 209,559 206,151 239,552 201,280 183,405 Market risk 3,382 2,631 2,478 42,184 30,109 21,346 11,734 12,033 5,083 Risk-weighted assets Operational risk Total risk-weighted assets Assets to capital multiple Tangible common equity to risk-weighted assets Total assets to risk-weighted assets Total general allowance as a percentage of risk adjusted assets Total general allowance 8,057 7,665 44,156 40,941 40,283 35,069 32,562 30,291 61,251 8,418 9.6% 55,869 50,420 318,981 13.7% 280,609 267,780 286,355 16.5% 245,875 218,779 18.4 0.5% 18.3 17.1 16.6 -0.6% 16.7 16.1 18.2 1.1% 18.0 17.2 11.8% 24.5% 9.5% 10.8% 12.9% 15.9% 11.1% 11.5% 9.0% -21.7% 11.5% 13.0% 307.3% -3.5% 318.4% 310.0% 269.9% -8.2% 294.0% 280.7% 301.2% -8.7% 329.9% 313.7% 0.63% 0.70% 0.63% 0.57% 0.64% 0.49% 0.88% 0.92% 0.75% 388 390 318 1,810 1,790 1,312 2,507 2,260 1,643 Notes 1. Regulatory capital and risk weighted assets are calculated under Basel III guidelines for 2013 and Basel II guidelines for 2012 and 2011. There were no restatement of 2011 comparatives as a result of transition to IFRS. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 49 Appendix 3: Balance sheet highlights in millions of Canadian dollars BMO BNS CIBC 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 2011 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 2011 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 26,282 25,656 62,218 -7.4% 67,191 54,471 6,379 34.9% 4,727 5,142 IFRS IFRS IFRS 2011 Assets Cash resources (including deposits with banks) Securities Available-for-sale (including loan substitutes) 32,601 24.0% 53,067 -5.9% 56,382 51,426 34,303 2.8% 33,361 30,176 27,627 11.9% 24,700 27,118 Held-for-trading Other 75,159 6,755 7.2% 268.5% 70,109 1,833 69,925 764 96,489 106 10.2% -46.2% 87,596 197 75,799 375 44,068 3,704 9.3% 2.5% 40,330 3,615 32,713 2,302 Total cash resources and securities Securities purchased under resale agreements Loans Residential mortgages 167,582 39,799 8.4% -10.0% 154,606 44,238 147,771 37,970 193,116 82,533 2.5% 74.3% 188,345 47,354 160,821 34,582 81,778 25,311 11.5% 0.6% 73,372 25,163 67,275 25,641 99,328 13.0% 87,870 81,075 209,865 19.5% 175,630 161,685 150,938 0.6% 150,056 150,509 Personal and credit card loans Business and government loans Allowance for credit losses 71,510 101,450 -1,665 3.3% 8.9% -2.4% 69,250 93,175 -1,706 67,483 84,883 -1,783 76,008 119,550 -3,273 11.3% -3.5% 10.2% 68,277 123,828 -2,969 63,317 105,260 -2,689 49,213 48,201 -1,698 -2.5% 10.5% -8.7% 50,476 43,624 -1,860 50,586 39,663 -1,803 Total loans Customers' liability under acceptances Derivatives Other assets 270,623 8,472 30,259 20,564 8.9% 5.6% -37.1% -6.2% 248,589 8,019 48,071 21,926 231,658 7,227 55,113 20,836 402,150 10,556 24,503 30,930 10.2% 18.2% -19.2% 327,573 8,172 37,322 25,953 246,654 9,720 19,947 14,979 1.8% -6.9% -26.2% -0.7% 242,296 10,436 27,039 15,079 238,955 9,454 28,270 14,163 Total assets Liabilities Deposits Individuals 537,299 2.3% 525,449 500,575 743,788 9.2% 11.3% 364,766 8,932 30,327 28,320 668,044 594,423 398,389 1.3% 393,385 383,758 125,432 3.5% 121,230 122,287 171,048 23.9% 138,051 133,025 125,034 5.8% 118,153 116,592 Business and government Banks 220,798 20,591 19.2% 19.1% 185,182 17,290 159,209 20,877 312,487 33,019 5.7% 10.2% 295,588 29,970 266,965 21,345 133,100 5,592 6.4% 18.4% 125,055 4,723 117,143 4,177 Total deposits Other Acceptances 366,821 13.3% 323,702 302,373 516,554 11.4% 463,609 421,335 263,726 6.4% 247,931 237,912 Securities – short sales Securities – repos Derivatives Other liabilities (including non-controlling interests) Subordinated debt Preferred share liability Trust securities Total liabilities and debt Shareholder’s equity Preferred share capital Common share capital Contributed surplus Retained earnings Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) Total equity Total liabilities and shareholders' equity 50 Canadian Banks 2014 8,472 5.6% 8,019 7,227 10,556 18.2% 8,932 8,172 9,721 -7.3% 10,481 9,489 22,446 28,884 31,974 43,834 3,996 -4.2% -27.3% -34.4% -9.8% -2.4% 23,439 39,737 48,736 48,606 4,093 20,207 32,078 50,934 55,234 5,348 24,977 77,508 29,255 34,444 5,841 34.1% 36.1% -17.1% -1.2% -42.4% 18,622 56,949 35,299 34,854 10,143 15,450 38,216 40,236 33,351 6,923 13,327 4,887 19,724 62,886 2.2% -26.3% -27.2% -3.0% -12.3% 13,035 6,631 27,091 64,849 4,823 10,316 8,564 28,792 66,026 5,138 – 463 0.2% – 462 – 821 474,222 – – 563,683 – 1,594 496,794 – – 628,408 – 1,678 2.0% – – 11.3% – -2.4% 506,890 – – 699,135 1.0% 376,519 367,831 4,228 – 1,638 380,137 2,265 -8.1% 2,465 2,861 4,084 -6.8% 4,384 4,384 1,706 0.0% 1,706 2,756 12,003 315 15,224 602 0.4% 47.9% 12.4% 25.4% 11,957 213 13,540 480 11,332 113 11,381 666 14,516 10.5% 13,139 8,336 – 25,508 545 – 15.2% -1,858.1% – 22,144 -31 – 18,517 -497 7,753 82 8,402 309 -0.2% -3.5% 19.3% 17.0% 7,769 85 7,042 264 7,376 93 5,457 245 30,409 537,299 6.1% 2.3% 28,655 525,449 26,353 500,575 44,653 743,788 12.7% 11.3% 39,636 668,044 30,740 594,423 18,252 398,389 8.2% 1.3% 16,866 393,385 15,927 383,758 Appendix 3: Balance sheet highlights in millions of Canadian dollars NBC Held-for-trading Other TD 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 2011 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 2011 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 3,596 10.7% 3,249 2,851 24,931 9.0% 22,872 18,888 32,436 29.1% 25,128 24,112 IFRS Assets Cash resources (including deposits with banks) Securities Available-for-sale (including loan substitutes) RBC IFRS IFRS 2011 9,744 -6.1% 10,374 9,142 38,695 -5.2% 40,828 38,894 79,541 -19.3% 98,576 93,520 44,000 -1.2% 44,524 47,450 19.2% 120,783 128,128 – 57,340 21,449 – -1.4% 38.1% – 58,147 15,529 – 59,443 12,507 144,023 513 0.0% 12.6% 4.7% 383 184,866 112,257 – 185,910 84,947 101,928 36,493 7.8% 491.2% 94,531 6,173 73,353 4,236 250,398 64,283 11.6% -7.1% 224,408 69,198 195,221 56,981 Total cash resources and securities Securities purchased under resale agreements Loans Residential mortgages 36,573 9.0% 33,538 28,921 209,238 5.5% 198,324 188,406 185,820 7.9% 172,172 155,471 Personal and credit card loans Business and government loans Allowance for credit losses 27,989 24,400 -578 5.5% 5.3% 0.2% 26,529 23,182 -577 24,274 20,777 -608 108,453 92,934 -1,959 8.1% 13.9% -1.9% 100,358 81,559 -1,997 93,858 67,233 -1,967 141,414 120,543 -2,855 6.1% 13.7% 8.0% 133,285 106,035 -2,644 124,375 99,655 -2,314 Total loans Customers' liability under acceptances Derivatives Other assets 88,384 8,954 5,904 6,173 6.9% 8.5% -11.8% -6.6% 82,672 8,250 6,696 6,609 73,364 7,394 8,224 5,922 408,666 9,953 74,822 41,699 8.0% 6.1% -18.0% -15.0% 378,244 9,385 91,293 49,055 347,530 7,689 99,650 68,107 444,922 6,399 49,461 47,069 8.8% -11.4% -18.8% 16.2% 408,848 7,223 60,919 40,510 377,187 7,815 59,845 38,444 188,204 5.8% 177,903 166,854 860,819 4.3% 825,100 793,833 862,532 6.3% 811,106 735,493 Total assets Liabilities Deposits Individuals Business and government Banks Total deposits Other Acceptances Securities – short sales Securities – repos Derivatives Other liabilities (including non-controlling interests) Subordinated debt Preferred share liability Trust securities Total liabilities and debt Shareholder’s equity Preferred share capital Common share capital Contributed surplus Retained earnings Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) Total equity Total liabilities and shareholders' equity 208,162 117,517 42,652 -2.9% 43,905 40,433 194,297 8.2% 179,502 166,030 319,749 9.6% 291,759 268,703 56,878 2,356 23.1% -24.5% 46,223 3,121 40,524 4,605 350,640 13,543 12.1% -14.5% 312,882 15,835 297,511 15,561 203,204 20,523 12.2% 37.2% 181,038 14,957 169,066 11,659 101,886 9.3% 93,249 85,562 558,480 9.9% 508,219 479,102 543,476 11.4% 487,754 449,428 8,954 8.5% 8,250 7,394 9,953 6.1% 9,385 7,689 6,399 -11.4% 7,223 7,815 18,909 19,746 4,858 23,282 2,426 4.3% 1.1% -13.3% -0.7% -1.8% 18,124 19,539 5,600 23,451 2,470 18,146 20,268 7,470 19,533 2,000 47,128 60,416 76,745 51,214 7,443 15.6% -5.6% -20.7% -3.7% -2.3% 40,756 64,032 96,761 53,165 7,615 44,284 42,735 100,522 70,156 8,749 – – 180,061 – – 5.5% – – 170,683 – – 160,373 – 900 – 0.0% – 900 – 894 41,829 34,414 49,471 126,729 7,982 27 1,740 25.1% -11.3% -23.9% 7.6% -29.5% 3.8% -21.8% 33,435 38,816 64,997 117,790 11,318 26 2,224 23,617 25,991 61,715 110,602 11,543 32 2,229 812,279 4.0% 780,833 754,131 812,067 6.3% 763,583 692,972 677 -11.2% 762 762 4,601 -4.4% 4,814 4,813 3,393 0.0% 3,394 3,395 2,160 58 5,034 214 5.2% 0.0% 23.1% -16.1% 2,054 58 4,091 255 1,970 46 3,366 337 14,418 0.5% 14,353 14,018 – 28,314 1,207 – 16.7% 45.4% – 24,270 830 – 20,381 490 19,171 170 24,565 3,166 3.5% -13.3% 12.9% -13.1% 18,525 196 21,763 3,645 17,375 212 18,213 3,326 8,143 188,204 12.8% 5.8% 7,220 177,903 6,481 166,854 48,540 860,819 9.7% 4.3% 44,267 825,100 39,702 793,833 50,465 862,532 6.2% 6.3% 47,523 811,106 42,521 735,493 Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 51 Appendix 4: Income statement highlights in millions of Canadian dollars BMO Securities Deposits with banks Total interest income Interest expense Deposits CIBC 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 2011 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 2011 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 10,746 -3.5% 11,141 10,203 17,358 11.2% 15,608 14,376 9,795 -2.2% 10,020 10,184 2,143 244 -5.4% 2.1% 2,265 239 2,176 145 1,185 279 -6.0% -2.1% 1,261 285 1,206 273 1,978 38 -1.7% -9.5% 2,013 42 1,786 63 13,133 -3.8% 13,645 12,524 18,822 9.7% 17,154 15,855 11,811 -2.2% 12,075 12,033 IFRS Interest and dividend income Loans BNS IFRS IFRS 2011 2,633 2.1% 2,578 2,693 6,282 5.6% 5,947 5,589 3,541 -2.5% 3,630 3,843 Subordinated debt Other1 145 1,810 -12.1% -13.6% 165 2,094 157 2,200 339 835 -11.0% 1.5% 381 823 369 883 193 622 -7.2% -16.3% 208 743 215 913 Total interest expense Net interest income Provision for credit losses 4,588 8,545 589 -5.1% -3.0% -23.0% 4,837 8,808 765 5,050 7,474 1,212 7,456 11,366 1,296 4.3% 13.6% 3.5% 7,151 10,003 1,252 6,841 9,014 1,076 4,356 7,455 1,121 -4.9% -0.5% -13.2% 4,581 7,494 1,291 4,971 7,062 1,144 Net interest income after provision for credit losses Other income Capital market fees 7,956 -1.1% 8,043 6,262 10,070 15.1% 8,751 7,938 6,334 2.1% 6,203 5,918 1,670 5.2% 1,588 1,727 503 2.0% 493 492 801 -4.6% 840 1,010 724 172 445 726 285 715 799 2.3% 689 130 283 496 189 593 633 816 6.3% 768 608 404 448 365 375 943 1,280 10.7% 15.5% 12.7% 102.7% 5.1% 13.8% 365 388 324 185 897 1,125 349 294 295 285 856 940 599 44 358 474 212 462 1,014 -3.2% 12.4% 32.8% 0.1% 87.5% 11.5% 23.5% 708 153 335 725 152 641 647 -51.6% 6.9% 11.8% -8.6% 10.5% 15.2% 619 91 335 424 232 418 880 609 204 320 411 390 379 849 916 849 417 -1.4% -17.2% -0.5% 929 1,025 419 – 834 549 346 1,122 1,300 2,421 3.6% -1.2% -12.1% – 1,083 1,316 2,754 – 973 830 2,374 824 33 507 6.3% -128.7% -8.8% – 775 -115 556 – 756 44 401 Total other income Non-interest expenses Employee compensation and benefits 7,718 5.4% 7,322 6,469 9,977 2.9% 9,698 8,296 5,328 5.4% 5,055 5,373 5,827 3.5% 5,628 4,827 6,313 9.8% 5,749 5,358 4,253 5.2% 4,044 4,052 Premises and equipment costs Other expenses 1,877 2,593 -2.0% -3.7% 1,916 2,694 1,578 2,336 1,815 12.9% 1,607 1,446 8,741 3,990 876 73 1,580 223 7,215 4,043 704 8 7,486 3,805 927 11 – 4,183 – 1.7% – 4,115 – 3,041 11.6% 23.3% – 2.9% 7,614 4,048 648 -3 5.5% 0.1% 1,763 275 2,677 9,481 6,753 1,423 149 1,656 1,778 10,238 5,127 938 74 3,047 10,403 8,046 1,719 1,452 0.6% 4.9% 20.4% -12.2% 13.5% 11.4% 5.1% 1.9% 10.8% 10,297 5,377 1,129 65 3,459 11,587 8,460 1,752 1,609 – 1.7% – 4,115 – 3,041 – 5,181 216 – 3,403 99 – 2.2% – 4,183 – 6,243 220 – 3,331 158 – 2,867 177 3.0% 6,023 4,965 3,304 4.1% 3,173 2,690 Card service fees Foreign exchange other than trading Insurance income (net) Investment management fees AFS/investment securities gains (losses) Lending fees Mutual fund revenues Securitization revenues Service charges Trading income (loss) Other revenues Total other expenses Income (loss) before income taxes and non-controlling interest in subsidiaries Provision for (recovery of) income taxes Non-controlling interest Discontinued operations Net income (loss) Less: Preferred dividends Net income (loss) attributable to common shareholders Notes 1. Includes interest on preferred share liabilities, trust securities and other liabilities. 52 Canadian Banks 2014 – 6,422 217 6,205 -8.0% -137.5% Appendix 4: Income statement highlights continued in millions of Canadian dollars NBC RBC 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 2011 2013 Interest and dividend income Loans 3,247 6.9% 3,037 2,917 Securities Deposits with banks 1,143 20 6.5% 17.6% 1,073 17 1,037 15 Total interest income Interest expense Deposits 4,410 6.9% 4,127 1,003 24.6% 102 856 17.2% -4.6% Total interest expense Net interest income Provision for credit losses 1,961 2,449 181 Net interest income after provision for credit losses Other income Capital market fees TD Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 2011 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 16,357 2.4% 15,972 15,236 4,720 73 -2.1% 19.7% 4,819 61 5,486 91 18,514 3.1% 17,951 17,010 4,013 89 -4.4% 1.1% 4,199 88 3,530 369 3,969 21,150 1.4% 20,852 20,813 22,616 1.7% 22,238 20,909 805 627 5,642 -6.2% 87 897 92 920 336 1,921 -6.7% -2.8% 6,017 6,334 4,310 -7.7% 4,670 4,466 360 1,977 399 2,723 447 1,781 -27.0% -7.7% 612 1,930 663 2,119 9.6% 4.7% 0.6% 1,789 2,338 180 1,639 2,330 184 7,899 13,251 1,239 -5.4% 6.0% -4.8% 8,354 12,498 1,301 9,456 11,357 1,133 6,538 16,078 1,631 -9.3% 7.0% -9.1% 7,212 15,026 1,795 7,248 13,661 1,490 2,268 5.1% 2,158 2,146 12,012 7.3% 11,197 10,224 14,447 9.2% 13,231 12,171 636 -3.8% 661 121 90 118 7.1% -4.3% 6.3% 113 94 111 635 2,906 9.8% 2,647 2,816 1,364 -1.4% 1,383 1,468 116 105 111 967 5.1% 920 882 29.5% – 105 335 426 748 1,127 2,514 188 1,092 2,557 14.2% -11.7% 21.2% 56.7% 28.8% 22.5% 684 1,116 1,999 104 707 1,975 18.7% -39.1% 35.3% -18.5% 5.4% 14.4% 1,039 187 1,113 241 373 745 997 959 166 1,167 215 393 671 941 – 229 233 562 – 228 -25 300 1,437 867 429 4.4% -33.2% 21.9% 655 1,276 2,074 120 848 2,088 -1 1,376 1,298 352 1,345 222 678 326 304 785 1,141 82 391 533 -33.3% 6.0% 11.0% – 123 369 480 235 186 322 2.6% -20.2% -42.7% – 1,323 655 662 1,863 (281 653 5.0% 585.4% 26.1% – 1,775 -41 518 1,602 -127 792 Total other income Non-interest expenses Employee compensation and benefits 2,714 -8.8% 2,975 2,336 14,832 8.6% 13,653 12,923 8,400 0.8% 8,330 8,247 Premises and equipment costs Other expenses 1,858 -4.9% 1,953 1,729 10,190 9.7% 9,287 8,661 7,622 5.3% 7,241 6,729 237 1,070 15.6% 5.4% 205 1,015 190 992 2,381 8.7% 2,190 2,036 2,911 1,571 275 72 4.2% 1.0% 2,100 97 15,042 7,805 1,143 105 7.5% 3.2% 2,188 98 3,470 14,167 8,980 2,010 101 2,086 4,232 3,173 1,960 326 73 3,683 15,160 9,690 2,199 4,558 -0.3% -7.3% -19.3% 2.7% -0.7% 7.0% 9.6% 4.7% 12.3% 3,165 1,817 263 75 3,656 16,227 10,617 2,303 5,117 Total other expenses Income (loss) before income taxes and non-controlling interest in subsidiaries Provision for (recovery of) income taxes Non-controlling interest Discontinued operations 13,998 7,563 1,092 104 13,047 7,371 1,326 104 Net income (loss) Less: Preferred dividends – 1,479 40 – -5.3% – 1,561 43 – 1,224 87 – 8,331 – 11.9% -51 7,442 – -526 6,343 – 6,557 185 3.0% 6,367 196 5,941 180 Net income (loss) attributable to common shareholders 1,439 -5.2% 1,518 1,137 8,331 11.9% 7,442 6,343 6,372 3.3% 6,171 5,761 IFRS Subordinated debt Other1 Card service fees Foreign exchange other than trading Insurance income (net) Investment management fees AFS/investment securities gains (losses) Lending fees Mutual fund revenues Securitization revenues Service charges Trading income (loss) Other revenues IFRS IFRS 4.7% 1.0% 2011 Notes 1. Includes interest on preferred share liabilities, trust securities and other liabilities. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 53 Appendix 5: Credit risk summary in millions of Canadian dollars BMO BNS1,2 CIBC2 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 2011 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 2011 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated Residential mortgages 99,328 13.0% 87,870 81,075 209,865 19.5% 175,630 161,685 150,938 0.6% 150,056 150,509 Personal loans 63,640 3.6% 61,436 59,445 76,008 36.4% 55,736 52,291 34,441 -2.5% 35,323 34,842 7,870 0.7% 7,814 8,038 12,541 11,076 14,772 -2.5% 15,153 15,744 101,450 8.9% 93,175 84,883 123,828 105,260 48,201 10.5% 43,624 39,663 IFRS IFRS IFRS 2011 Balance sheet credit risk Consumer loans Credit cards1 Corporate loans Business and government loans Customers' liability under acceptances Securities purchased under resale agreement Total loans 119,550 -3.5% 8,472 5.6% 8,019 7,227 10,556 18.2% 8,932 8,172 9,720 -6.9% 10,436 9,454 39,799 -10.0% 44,238 37,970 82,533 74.3% 47,354 34,582 25,311 0.6% 25,163 25,641 320,559 6.0% 302,552 278,638 498,512 17.6% 424,021 373,066 283,383 1.3% 279,755 275,853 Allowance for credit losses Specific provision Collective provision 485 1.9% 476 559 561 21.7% 461 484 320 -32.6% 475 366 1,485 1.7% 1,460 1,452 2,712 8.1% 2,508 2,205 1,438 -0.2% 1,441 1,485 1.8% 10.2% -8.2% Total allowance for losses 1,970 1,936 2,011 3,273 2,969 2,689 1,758 1,916 1,851 Gross impaired loans 2,544 2,976 2,685 3,701 3,582 3,355 1,547 1,867 1,917 Impaired loans net of specific allowance 2,059 2,500 2,126 3,140 3,121 2,871 1,227 1,392 1,551 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 82.9% 80.1% 113.6% 0.84% 0.90% 0.55% Credit related ratios Allowance for loan losses as a percentage of: Total loans Gross impaired loans 77.4% Gross impaired loans as a percentage of total loans 0.79% -19.3% 65.1% 74.9% 88.4% 0.98% 0.96% 0.74% -12.1% 102.6% 96.6% 0.67% 0.69% -18.2% Notes 1. BNS did not disclose credit card balances in 2013 and NBC included credit card balances in personal loans in 2011, 2012, and 2013. 2. General allowance includes amount recorded in other liabilities (BMO: $305 in 2013; $230 in 2012 and $228 in 2011 (IFRS); BNS: $8 in 2011 (CGAAP); CIBC: $60 in 2013; $56 in 2012; $48 in 2011 (IFRS) and $56 in 2011 (CGAAP); RBC: $91 in 2013; $91 in 2012 and $91 in 2011 (IFRS)). 54 Canadian Banks 2014 Appendix 5: Credit risk summary continued in millions of Canadian dollars NBC1 RBC2 TD 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 2011 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated 2011 2013 Change 2012 IFRS IFRS restated Residential mortgages 36,573 9.0% 33,538 28,921 209,238 5.5% 198,324 188,406 185,820 7.9% 172,172 155,471 Personal loans 27,989 5.5% 26,529 24,274 94,311 8.8% 86,697 80,921 119,192 1.1% 117,927 115,389 – – – – 14,142 3.5% 13,661 12,937 22,222 44.7% 15,358 8,986 24,400 5.3% 23,182 20,777 92,934 13.9% 81,559 67,233 120,543 13.7% 106,035 99,655 IFRS IFRS IFRS 2011 Balance sheet credit risk Consumer loans Credit cards1 Corporate loans Business and government loans Customers' liability under acceptances Securities purchased under resale agreement Total loans 8,954 8.5% 8,250 7,394 9,953 6.1% 9,385 7,689 6,399 -11.4% 7,223 7,815 21,449 38.1% 15,529 12,507 117,517 4.7% 112,257 84,947 64,283 -7.1% 69,198 56,981 119,365 11.5% 107,028 93,873 538,095 7.2% 501,883 442,133 518,459 6.3% 487,913 444,297 Allowance for credit losses Specific provision 190 1.6% 187 215 240 -19.5% 298 252 348 -9.4% 384 395 Collective provision 388 -0.5% 390 393 1,810 1.1% 1,790 1,806 2,507 10.9% 2,260 1,919 Total allowance for losses 578 0.2% 577 608 2,050 -1.8% 2,088 2,058 2,855 8.0% 2,644 2,314 Gross impaired loans 395 387 407 2,201 2,250 2,327 2,692 2,518 2,493 Impaired loans net of specific allowance 205 200 192 1,961 1,952 2,075 2,344 2,134 2,098 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 149.1% 149.4% 93.1% 92.8% 88.4% 106.1% 0.36% 0.43% 0.41% 0.45% 0.53% 0.52% Credit related ratios Allowance for loan losses as a percentage of: Total loans Gross impaired loans Gross impaired loans as a percentage of total loans 146.3% 0.33% -8.5% -8.8% 0.6% 105.0% 92.8% 0.52% 0.56% Notes 1. BNS included credit card balances in personal loans in 2013 and NBC included credit card balances in personal loans in 2011, 2012, and 2013. 2. General allowance includes amount recorded in other liabilities (BMO: $305 in 2013; $230 in 2012 and $228 in 2011 (IFRS); BNS: $8 in 2011 (CGAAP); CIBC: $60 in 2013; $56 in 2012; $48 in 2011 (IFRS) and $56 in 2011 (CGAAP); RBC: $91 in 2013; $91 in 2012 and $91 in 2011 (IFRS)). Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 55 56 Canadian Banks 2014 Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 57 Hot off the press Recent PwC Financial Services publications Key industry findings from the 17th Annual Global CEO Survey Priming your business for market transformation Banking & capital markets industry summary 133 banking & capital markets CEOs in 50 countries across the world 56% of banking & capital Markets CEOs believe the global economy will improve over the coming 12 months, compared to 19% last year 86% of banking and capital markets CEOs believe that technological advances will transform their businesses over the next five years www.pwc.com/ceosurvey 17th Annual Global CEO Survey Priming your business for market transformation Banking & capital markets industry summary Return to spender: How financial institutions can better understand their IT investments and get more out of them Banking Capital Markets CEOs recognize the impact of a rapidly changing competitive landscape. But the vast majority have yet to set in train initiatives to capitalize on the transformation in key areas including talent, technology, distribution, data analytics and capacity to innovate. Financial institutions spend a fortune on IT but have trouble measuring the value they get from their investment. Isn’t it time to know? Success in this market demands leaders who can manage through uncertainty and complexity as they seek to deal with regulatory change while preparing for the future. This in turn demands a clear sense of who their key customers and markets are going to be in five years’ time and what investments and changes will be needed to respond. It also requires a forward looking view on how regulation will interact with the other transformational trends in areas such as cost, returns and the ability to meet customer expectations. 58 Canadian Banks 2014 From culture and accountability, to metrics and service levels, we explore why IT value is so hard to manage, and how leaders are overcoming these obstacles. Find out how you can better understand the value of IT investments, and create a trusted partnership between IT and the business. Global Innovation Survey Financial Services Insights Breakthrough innovation and growth Where have you been all my life? How the financial services industry can unlock the value in Big Data For the first time ever, Canadian companies took part in PwC’s Global Innovation Survey. More than 1,707 executives from around the globe agree that innovation isn’t just important, it’s essential to staying relevant and competitive in an evolving global market. Although Canadian companies express a very eager appetite for innovation, they lag behind the world in having some key components necessary for staying ahead of the curve. Big Data is a big deal. Processing increasingly large volumes of enterprise and third-party data in a timely manner—combined with the exponential advancement of social media, mobile, and cloud—is pressuring financial institutions to rethink the way that they do business and how fast they can respond to business needs. For Canadian companies in the financial services sector, the differences fell into the four key areas of: challenges, support, priorities and investment. Before they can succeed in gaining a competitive edge in today’s dynamic, digital global marketplace, financial institutions need to evolve into datacentric organizations. fs viewpoint www.pwc.com/fsi 02 13 15 21 23 Point of view Competitive intelligence A framework for response How PwC can help Appendix Significant others: How financial institutions can effectively manage the risks of third-party relationships Forward Significant others: How financial institutions can effectively manage the risks of third-party relationships Are third parties more trouble than they’re worth? In today’s environment, it would be nearly impossible to find a financial institution that doesn’t contract with a third party. But the convenience and flexibility of outsourcing to third parties comes with significant risks, including the potential for regulatory penalties related to third-party incidents: penalties that have soared in recent years. In our view, stratification, a risk-based methodology for analyzing the third-party population and identifying those services that present the greatest risk, helps financial institutions quickly prioritize their efforts to address initial and ongoing effectiveness and efficiencies. Let’s make a difference: Managing compliance and operational risk in the new environment Compliance has been around since the first loan application was signed. But compliance expectations are on a collision course with banks’ capabilities. Banks are facing expanding compliance expectations that are pushing compliance programs to the brink. The scope and nature of compliance have evolved and are no longer limited to rules-based banking regulations. Operational and compliance risks have become more complex and entwined, increasing the potential for failed processes that cause customer confusion and compliance control breakdowns. Without a new approach to compliance and operational risk management, many banks will continue to face high costs and losses in the form of escalating litigation, penalties, and staffing needs. Global Private Banking and Wealth Management Survey This survey gathered insights and perspectives on critical aspects of the challenges confronting participants, with a host of different operating models and businesses across all segments of global wealth management. In our analysis, trusted adviser status has not been fully restored and culture and ethics have now come to the forefront of the trust agenda. Existing challenges round operations, technology and next generation wealth transfer need to be addressed, but in our view, achieving excellence in client experience and executing effective transformational change now need to be the priority areas of focus for the industry. banking review Mobile payments: Is trust the key to consumer uptake? Our Banking Review shares a Canadian perspective on the challenges and opportunities facing the banking and capital markets sector. This edition features the rise of mobile payments, and the vital role of Canadian banks in keeping consumer data secure – a key concern for many. It also discusses the CBA’s mobile guidelines development, how the US is dealing with the issue of mobile security, an outline of the North American Trust Services Principles, and the part merchants play in adoption. Perspectives on the Canadian banking industry 59 Financial Services leadership team PwC Canada Financial Services Banking and Capital Markets Diane Kazarian 416 365 8228 [email protected] Banking and Capital Markets Global and National Assurance Rahoul Chowdry 416 815 5059 [email protected] 60 Consulting & Deals John MacKinlay 416 815 5117 [email protected] Tax Services Emma Purdy 416 941 8433 [email protected] Asset Management Montréal Raj Kothari 416 869 8678 [email protected] Alain Dugal 514 205 5091 [email protected] Insurance Calgary Chris Couture 416 687 8232 [email protected] Michael Godwin 403 509 7322 [email protected] Private Equity Vancouver Dominic Ricketts 416 687 8408 [email protected] Paul Challinor 604 806 7218 [email protected] Canadian Banks 2014 Editor Sarah Mitchell Contributors Michael Black, Anand Borawake, Sheena Bunbury, Ryan Grey, Rebecca Hoang, Tamara Jones, Bryan Lee, Ryan Leopold, Jill Lising, Naveli Thomas, Yair Weisblum. Publication design Wendy Strandt If you would like to receive additional copies of this publication, please email [email protected] This publication can be viewed on our website at www.pwc.com/ca/canadianbanks Transforming or growing your organization? Cultivating innovation? Navigating risk and regulatory complexity? Getting to grips with technical or behavioural concerns? No matter where you are or when you need it, our Financial Services team is here to help. We’re focused on building deeper relationships. So we’ll start by getting to know your issues in more detail. What you tell us will shape how we use our 500 dedicated Canadian Financial Services professionals backed by their 36,500 global counterparts—and their connections, contacts and expertise—to help create the value you’re looking for. Basis of preparation The data, charts and figures included in this publication are based on the banks’ 2013 annual reports and supplementary financial information, including press releases, which are available on the banks’ websites. Certain statistics or ratios included in this publication may differ from those disclosed by the banks, as banks may apply other computational formulas, sources of input or calculate ratios differently. If specific data was not readily available in the banks’ annual reports or supplementary information, assumptions have been made to provide reasonable comparative numbers. To ensure that the findings in this analysis are as objective as possible, and that meaningful, relevant and reasonable comparisons have been made, all items have been calculated consistently for each of the banks. This publication has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest only, and does not constitute professional advice. You should not act upon the information contained in this publication without obtaining specific professional advice. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this publication, and, to the extent permitted by law, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, its members, employees and agents do not accept or assume any liability, responsibility or duty of care for any consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining to act, in reliance on the information contained in this publication or for any decision based on it. © 2014 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. All rights reserved. “PwC” refers to PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, an Ontario limited liability partnership, which is a member firm of PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited, each member firm of which is a separate legal entity. 3854-03 0214 www.pwc.com/ca/canadianbanks