Efficiency Evaluation of the Listed Corporations of Automobile
by user
Comments
Transcript
Efficiency Evaluation of the Listed Corporations of Automobile
Efficiency Evaluation of the Listed Corporations of Automobile Industry Based on DEA Li Yaosheng1, Wang Xiping2 1, Normal College of Dingzhou, P. R. China, 073000 2, School of Business Administration, North China Electric Power University, P. R. China, 071003 : Abstract Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is becoming an increasingly popular tool for assessing the relative efficiency. Compared to conventional methods, DEA shows several advantages and the evaluating results are more objective and systematic. So, by applying DEA theory to automobile industry, this paper analyzes the relative efficiency of twelve listed corporations. The results indicate that the performance of several listed corporations is sub-optimal, suggesting the potential for significant cost reductions. So, measures for improving the efficiency also discussed. Key words Automobile industry, Listed corporations, Data Envelopment Analysis, Efficiency : 1 Introduction Automobile industry, as one major part of national economy, has becoming rapid growth with the economic development and the improvement of people’s life. And the listed corporation of automobile industry therefore becomes a focus attaching much attention. So it is a meaningful work to evaluate the performance of listed corporations, which can help a corporation to identify performance targets and to acquire a strong competitive edge using the least possible resources. In the literature there has not been much discussion about the efficiency of the automobile listed corporations. The traditional method focused on financial ratio analysis, usually in the form of a single index to analyze the corporations’ capability of payment and profitability, however, the results cannot reflect the overall efficiency of the companies. More recently, principal components analysis (PCA) was introduced to analyze this problem, but it cannot provide indirection for improving efficiency because of without analyzing the structure transformation. Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), originally proposed by Charnes, Cooper and Rhodes [1978 and 1979], is a methodology for analyzing the relative efficiency and managerial performance of decision-making units (DMUs), having the same multiple inputs and multiple outputs. It allows us to compare the relative efficiency of corporations by determining the efficient DMUs as benchmarks and by measuring the inefficiencies input combinations (slack variables) to the benchmark. Compared to conventional methods, DEA shows several advantages. First, DEA allows handling multiple inputs and outputs (with different units) in a noncomplex way. Second, DEA does not require any initial assumption about a specific functional form linking inputs and outputs. Accordingly, this study applies DEA to analyze the relative efficiency of twelve automobile listed companies and further discusses the method for improving the management efficiency. The rest of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 gives a brief review of DEA method. Section 3 gives the DEA results and further discussion. Finally, our conclusions are presented in section 4. 2 Data Envelopment Analysis DEA is a multi-factor productivity analysis model for measuring the relative efficiencies of a homogenous set of decision making units (DMUs). The efficiency score in the presence of multiple input and output factors is defined as: Efficiency =weighted sum of outputs/weighted sum of inputs (1) Assuming that there are n decision-making units (DMUs) to be evaluated, each DMU uses m inputs to produce s outputs, the relative efficiency score of a test DMU0 can be calculated by solving the following mathematical programming problem: *The Project Sponsored by North China Electric Power University Scientific Research Fund for Doctoral Teachers 418 s ∑u y r r0 r =1 m max ∑v x i i0 i =1 subject to: s ∑u y r rj ≤ 1, j = 1,2,..., j0 ,..., n r =1 m ∑v x (2) i ij i =1 ur , vi ≥ 0, r = 1,2,..., s; i = 1,2,..., m where xij = the observed amount of input of the ith type of the jth DMU y rj = the observed amount of input of the rth type of the jth DMU ur = weight given to output r vi = weight given to input i The fractional programming problem shown as (2) can be converted to a linear program as shown in (3). For more details on model development see Charnes et al. (1978). s ∑u y Max r r0 r =1 subject to: s ∑u m r yrj − ∑ vi xij ≤ 0, j = 1, 2,..., n; r =1 i =1 m ∑v x i i0 (3) = 1, vi ≥ 0; u r ≥ 0 i =1 For the above linear programming problem, the dual can be written (for the given DMU0) as: m s m in θ − ε ( ∑ S i− + ∑ S r+ i =1 r =1 Subject to n ∑λ j x ij + S i− = θ x i 0 , i = 1, 2, ..., m j =1 n ∑λ j (4) y rj − S r+ = y r 0 , r = 1, 2 , ...s j =1 λ j , S i− , S r+ ≥ , j = 1, 2, ..., n where Si− and Sr+ are the slacks in the system, and ε is a small non-Archimedean value ( ε = 10−6 ) The above problem is run n times in identifying the relative efficiency scores of all the DMUs, and values of θ (efficiency score), and λj (weights for the inputs and outputs) are computed. The optimal value of the variable θ indicates the proportional reduction of all inputs for DMU0 that will move it onto the frontier, which is the envelopment surface defined by the efficient DMUs in the sample. A * DMU is termed efficient if and only if the optimal value θ is equal to 1 and all the slack variables are zero. In the case of inefficient DMUs, data envelopment analysis models also identify target input-output levels, which would render them efficient and efficient peers; they could emulate to improve their * 419 performance. For inefficient DMUs the optimal inputs and output values are calculated as follows: x *ij =θ * x ij -s*-i (5) y*rj =yrj +s*+ r (6) 3. Empirical Research 3.1 Specification of the data Twelve listed corporations of automobile industry were chosen from Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges as our decision-making units (DMUs). As a statistical basis for evaluation, the end-of-year 2005 annual reports were used. Table 1 DMUs Input and Output variables for CCR Model Input factors X1 X2 Output factors Y1 Y2 Y3 Jiangling Auto 466327.0 490041.1 628063.6 49543.1 0.574 Ankai Auto 127419.9 91765.36 105454.2 1564.11 0.071 ST Zhongqi 538682.8 595583.5 650632.2 15064 0.59 Xiamen Auto 384321.3 670316.7 0.68 1865149.8 154235.4 771714.8 1916854.9 10310.2 Changan Auto 23675 0.15 Yutong Auto 278749.6 373037.4 45764.36 18567.8 0.7 Zhongtong Auto 122427.6 74044.87 85567.9 961.02 0.04 Shanghai Auto 1459484.9 520974.8 638868.91 110462.2 0.337 Jianghuai Auto 481772.04 771910.9 939465.88 49775.3 0.55 Dongfeng Auto 974612.5 748153.9 880105.8 39388.5 0.197 Yiqi Auto 795797.9 795665.09 1032711.9 33762.5 0.207 Anhui heli 146823.04 131544.5 174703.2 1447.98 0.47 Source: data taken from http:// hexun.news.com After the units of assessment are identified, we need to define potential input and output variables. Selection of input and output variables is one of the important tasks of performance analysis and the choice of variables depends on not just the choice of methodology and technical requirements of the chosen model, but also on data availability and its quality. No universally applicable rational template is available for selection of variables. However, in general, the inputs should capture resources, which are required to be minimized. The outputs should reflect all useful outcomes on which is wished to assess the decision-making units. This study uses two input and three output measures for evaluating these companies’ performance. Two inputs selected for the DEA analysis are: Total Assets (X1), Operating Costs (X2). Three outputs include Prime operating revenue (Y1), Net Profit (Y2) and Earnings per share of common stock (Y3). Total Assets, Operating Costs, Prime operating revenue, and Net Profit are measured in billions of RMB. All input and output data of these variables are listed in table 1. 3.2 Mathematical Solutions Using the data listed in Table 1, a CCR input oriented DEA model was used to analyze the relative efficiency of the 12 listed automobile corporations. The results are presented in table 2. According to the results, the twelve auto corporations can be divided into two groups: the efficient and the inefficient. And for the inefficient corporations, the new input and output values are calculated by using (5) and (6), and the results of the calculation are presented in Table 3. 420 Table 2 DMU θ Jiangling Auto Ankai Auto ST Zhongqi Xiamen Auto Changan Auto Yutong Auto Zhongtong Auto Shanghai Auto Jianghuai Auto Dongfeng Auto Yiqi Auto Anhui heli 1 0.8653 0.8532 1 0.9358 0.7845 0.8701 1 1 0.8858 0.9969 1 * the Results of CCR Model − 1 S 2− S S1+ 2163.4 13442.6 9671.6 3462.05 12362 21443.6 S 2+ S3+ 717.58 3090.6 0.2127 0.6003 13519.8 299.77 613.04 5.007 3355.62 4502.65 2.1707 2.0922 ∑λ * i 0.1902 1 0.6036 2.4841 1 1.9720 1.4890 0.4897 1 1 5.0377 4.8486 1 3.3 Result Analysis 3.3.1 Efficiency Analysis It is evident from table 2 that DMU1, DMU4, DMU8, DMU9, DMU12 are efficient. Since the optimal value θ * is equal to 1 and all the slack variables are zero. This means that 5 corporations, namely Jiangling Auto, Xiamen Auto, Shanghai Auto, Jianghuai Auto and Anhui heli are operating on the CRS frontier, While the remaining 7 DMUs exhibited varying degrees of inefficiencies, which implies that some latent and enterprise special resources are still not being penetrated and not being fully utilized. This indicates its competitiveness cannot be taped effectively. So they need to rearrange input to improve their performance. 3.3.2 Scale returns analysis By solving CCR model, the value of λ j also can be calculated. According to the value of * we can judge the scale returns of DMUj. If ∑λ * i ∑λ * i ∑λ * i =1 means the DMUj CRS (constant returns scale), if <1 in CCR model indicates IRS (increasing returns scale), while ∑λ * i >1 indicates DRS (decreasing returns scale). It is observed from Table 2 that the 5 efficient corporations also have constant returns-to-scale (CRS), which means that at present output level, the inputs have reached the optimal value. While the inefficient corporations, only two corporations, namely, Zhongtong and Ankai, exhibit IRS, the remaining of the inefficient corporations exhibited decreasing returns to scale, indicating that further expansion of services may not be productive. 3.3.3 Process improvement The analysis of the previous section indicated which automobile corporations are efficient and which are inefficient. Those inefficient corporations are able to improve their performance and the DEA projections provide a prescription for improvement. For example, DMU2 (Ankai Auto) is inefficient, however, it can move its performance to best practice by either decreasing its inputs or increasing its outputs. Concretely, the input values should be decreased to: X1=0.8653*127419.9-2163.4=108093 X2=0.8653*91765.36=79404.57. Or the output values of Y2 and Y3 should be increased to 2281.69, 0.2837 respectively. , 421 Table 3 Adjusted Inputs and Outputs Adjusted inputs DMU Adjusted outputs X1 X2 Y1 Y2 Y3 Ankai Auto 108093 79404.57 105454.2 2281.69 0.2837 ST Zhongqi 459604 508151 650632.2 18154.6 1.1903 1731964.4 144333 1916854.9 37194.8 5.157 218679 282976 67207.96 18867.6 0.7 Changan Auto Yutong Auto Zhongtong Auto 103062 64426.4 85567.9 1574.06 0.2302 Dongfeng Auto 850949.8 662714.7 880105.8 42744 2.3677 Yiqi Auto 793330.9 793198.5 1032711.9 38265.15 2.2992 It is noted that reducing input or increasing output is usually used to improve inefficient DMUs. But in fact, not every kind of inputs and outputs can be varied freely. For instance, when labor force is taken as input, we cannot downsize the work force freely in order to achieve efficiency in a country like China, which has an abundant supply of labor force. Likewise, the area of workshops and factories cannot be reduced arbitrarily when they are taken as input variables. 4 Conclusions This paper uses DEA to evaluate the performance of 12 listed corporations of the automobile industry. The estimated results show that only 5 corporations, namely Jiangling Auto, Xiamen Auto, Shanghai Auto, Jianghuai Auto and Anhui heli are efficient, while the remaining 7 corporations exhibited varying degrees of inefficiencies. And further study indicates that the majority of the inefficient corporations except two corporations, exhibited decreasing returns to scale. Therefore we should strengthen the internal management and decrease the capital cost to improve the performance. References [1] Charnes, A., Cooper, W.W., Rhodes, E.. Measuring the Efficiency of Decision Making Units. European Journal of Operational Research 1978, 2 (6) : 429~444 [2] Chavas, J. P., Cox, T.. A Primal-dual Approach to Nonparametric Productivity Analysis: The Case of US Agriculture. The Journal of Productivity Analysis, 1994, 5, 359~373 [3] Carsten Homburg. Using Data Envelopment Analysis to Benchmark Activities. International Journal Production Economics 71, 2001:51~58 [4] QIN Shoukang. Comprehensive Evaluation Theory and Application. Publishing House of Electronics Industry, 2003 In Chinese [5] WU Yuying, HE Xijun. The Evaluation of Beijing Sustainable Development Based on DEA Model, Systems Engineering-theory & Practice2006 (3): 117~123 In Chinese [6] Mette Asmild, Joseph C. Paradi, David N. Reese c, Fai Tam. Measuring Overall Efficiency and Effectiveness Using DEA. European Journal of Operating Research, 2006, 1~17 [7] Sherman, H.D., Ladino, G., Managing Bank Productivity Using DEA. Interfaces 1995, 25 (2): 60~73 [8] Wade D. Cook, Joe Zhu. Rank Order Data in DEA: A General Framework. European Journal of Operational Research 174 (2006) 1021~1038 ( ) ( 422 )