Does Ownership Affect Performance: Evidence from China
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Does Ownership Affect Performance: Evidence from China
Does Ownership Affect Performance: Evidence from China BAI Jun Shihezi University, China,832000; Zhongnian University of Economics and Law, China,. Abstract This paper investigates the relationship between firm performance and corporate governance in China. Firm performance is measured by two accounting measures (ROA and ROE) and a market measure (Stock Return), while corporate governance is determined based on ownership structure and concentration. The paper reports the results of an empirical study of a sample of firms listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges in 2004. The results indicate that not only ownership concentration has explanatory power but ownership structure does matter also. The implications of the findings are then deliberate in the context of the current enterprise reform process in China. Keywords ownership structure, ownership concentration, firm performance, China 1.Introduction Ownership is a central and distinctive theme in the corporate governance literature. Many researchers have examined the effectiveness of corporate governance mechanisms using data from the developed economies such as the U.S. and the U.K.. China is an interesting country to study because of its enormous business potential and its transformation from a command system to a market economy. This transition is being accelerated by the accession of China to the World Trade Organization. China has an embryonic corporate governance system that makes use of the concept adopted in industrialized nations at the preliminary development stage. Whether these governance mechanisms are appropriate for China at this stage is open to question. The share ownership structure is far different in China compared with that in the west, which presents unique challenges for corporate governance practice as well as for corporate governance studies. A major distinctive feature of China’s economic landscape is that, despite moves towards a market economy, the government sector still has strong influence over the corporate sector, which is likely to be the case in the foreseeable future as well. This study examines whether ownership causes firm performance to differ at the individual firm level by using data of public companies listed on China’s stock market. It investigates the following issues: (1) the relationship between ownership structure and firm performance; and (2) the relationship between ownership concentration and firm performance. 2. Literature Ownership is a much debated topic and many researchers have investigated the relationship between firm performance and ownership structure and that between firm performance and ownership concentration. Since at least the 1930s, with the works of Berle and Means(1932) and Coase(1937), economists have been interested in the relationship between ownership and firm performance. Earlier studies focus on the direct relationship between ownership and firm performance but the finding are mixed. Cubbin and Leech (1983) find a positive relationship between ownership concentration and profitability, while Demsetz’s (1983) equilibrium theory suggests that there is no relationship between ownership and firm performance. This is further supported by Demsetz and Lehn (1985), which shows that the fraction of shares owned by the five largest shareholders is not correlated with accounting profitability rate. Heracleous (2001) concludes that previous studies have failed to find any convincing connection between the ‘best practices’ in ownership structure and organization performance. Approaches to investigating the association between ownership and performance vary and alternative views exist to offer different explanations. Amihud and Lev (1999) employ agency theory to explain the relationship among ownership structure and diversification; Lane et al. (1999) on the hand, adopt a strategic management perspective to explain the same relationship and they reach a different conclusion. 498 A number of recent studies take a contingent view of the firm. They have investigated the mutual relationships among corporate governance mechanisms and the relationship between these mechanisms and firm performance. Such research argues that examining governance mechanisms in an isolated context is not effective. For example, Coles et al. (2001) argue that firms have the ability to choose among different governance mechanisms and firms are able to create an appropriate structure given the environment in which they operate. 3. Hypotheses I assume that corporate performance, ownership structure, and corporate governance are interrelated. There is a trade-off between ownership patterns and governance control factors to achieve an optimal structure that reduces agency cost and increases firm value. Ownership Concentration High ownership has been advocated as a way to reduce agency costs and improve performance, although there are also arguments that very high ownership leads to so-called entrenchment where agency costs increase. The efficient monitoring hypothesis argues that large shareholders have an incentive to monitor, and are sufficiently informed to take up monitoring roles. In contrast, the strategic alliance hypothesis suggests that it is more effective for large shareholders to cooperate with the board on many issues. To reconcile the above two hypotheses, I propose that there is a non-linear relationship between ownership concentration and firm performance.” As ownership concentration increases from the lowest level of zero concentration, firm performance increases gradually. After ownership concentration reaches a certain level, firm performance commences to decrease as the fraction of the largest shareholder increase. I measure ownership concentration by CR as the percentage of shares owned by the largest shareholder in a firm and by Z as the percentage of shares owned by largest shareholder divided by the sum of percentage of shares owned by second to fifth largest shareholders. Ownership structure In addition to concentration, the impact of ownership structure on performance will also be examined. In China, the ownership of listed firms consists of state shares, legal person shares, and public individuals’ shares. A distinct characteristic of China’s listed firms is the large shareholding retained by the government. Government ownership tends to emphasize political objectives rather than economic efficiency, and have failed to confront the emerging competition from non-state enterprises. However, active government intervention may be necessary in the absence of any shareholder control, when managerial autonomy expands. It is impossible to oversee managerial activities without government intervention at this early stage of corporate governance evolution. In general, institutional shareholders are associated with higher performance. China does not have extensive institutional investors of the type seen in the U.K., but China does have legal person shares held in large blocks by organizations who may be deemed to be independent of government and who act to maximize wealth. Because these legal person shareholders have large ownership positions and have resources to analyze firms, they have potential to force firms to reduce agency costs and improve performance. I assume that the relationship between large shareholders and firm performance depends on who the large shareholders are. I therefore propose that concentration of ownership in legal person shareholders is associated with better performance than ownership concentrated by the government owners. According to who is the largest shareholder, four groups are identified. They are Ide-state, Ide-legal, Ide-public and Ide-foreign. 4. Model 499 Given the interdependencies between the ownership structure and firm performance and that between ownership concentration and firm performance discussed above, I estimate the following regression models to examine their relationships. Pi = α + βX i + γIde i + δYi + ξ i 2 where Pi is a measure of firm performance; Xi is a 3×1 vector of variables containing CRi, CRi and Zi, with CRi being the percent of the largest shareholder and Zi being the ratio of the percentage of the largest shareholder to the cumulative percentage of the second, third, forth, and fifth largest shareholders, of the ith firm; β is a 1×3 vector of coefficients mapping Xi; Idei is a 3×1 vector of ownership identity dummies of the largest shareholder of the ith firm; γ is a 1×3 vector of coefficients mapping Idei; Yi is an n×1 vector of control variables; δ is a 1×n vector of coefficients mapping Yi; and ξi is the residual. The ownership identity dummy variables are used to distinguish the effect on firm performance of ownership concentration when the largest shareholder is the state (Ide-state), the legal person (Ide-legal), general public individual investors (Ide-public) and foreign investors (Ide-foreign). Using Ide-state as a benchmark, Ide-legali is equal to 1 if the largest shareholder of the ith firm is a legal person, 0 otherwise; Ide-publici is 1 if the largest shareholder of the ith firm is individual investors, 0 otherwise; and Ide-legali is 1 if the largest shareholder of the ith firm is a legal person, 0 otherwise. The control variables include firm size, leverage, area, and industry dummies. Firm Size: Firm size is a moderating variable in the determination of the relation between ownership and performance. In particular, the proxies for agency costs are likely to be smaller for large firms. Note that large firms are politically more important in China and hence they may be more subject to government influence and monitoring. The government has a greater incentive to protect and assist large firms due to social matters, such as protecting employment. Size may therefore have an impact on performance in Chinese firms. Leverage: The agency literature suggests that debt can be useful in reducing agency conflicts. Therefore leverage can be an alternative to institutional ownership in monitoring agency cost. Area: Economic development, living expenses, and average wage costs in the east coastal cities and areas are much higher than in the interior of China, especially west of China. These differences in economic development will affect operating and administrative costs. Three dummy variables are coded A-east, A-middle and A-west if the firm is located in east, middle, and west of China. Industry: To cater for differences in competitive environments and differences in financial ratios across industries, I introduce twelve industry dummy variables. They are IND1 to IND12. I use two accounting measures (ROA and ROE) and a market measure (Stock Return) for firm performance. Accounting measures and market measures are the two primary measures of firm performance and so I include them, one at a time, in the regression model to compare their predictive abilities. The first measure is more dependent on and more under the control of managers, and maximizing profitability is the goal or target that the CEO strives for. Problems with accounting measures include the encouragement of a short term or myopic outlook at the expense of longer-term profitability, and the manipulation of accounting numbers by managers. The market measure, stock return, represents the benefits to stockholders. One characteristic of stock return is that they are harder to manipulate than earnings and they ostensibly measure longer-term profitability of the firm. One drawback of stock returns is that share prices are subject to the vagaries of the stock market and to changes in the macro-environment including interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates. Nevertheless, these factors are outside the control of managers. 5. Sample Characteristics In order to test the research hypotheses developed above, my analysis uses a panel data of all nonfinancial corporations that were listed on the stock exchanges of Shanghai and Shenzhen in 2004. The analysis is based on information from annual reports and the data are obtained from the CMSAR Database. To be consistent with other studies, I exclude those companies that are ST Special ( 500 ) Treatment , PT(Particular Transfer), and IPO(Initial Public Offering) in 2004. The sample consists of 1111 companies. Table 1 provides the summary statistics of the list of variables. Table 1. Variable Definitions and Selected Statistics (Dummy variables are not included but available if enquired.) Selected Statistics Variables Definitions Max Mean Max Stadev CR percent of the largest shareholder 85 40.29344 0.26 16.9303 Z the ratio of the percent of largest shareholders to the total percent of the 339.4 16.35897 0.305905 37.40519 second, third, forth, and fifth largest shareholders ROA the ratio of asset 0.313807 0.019348 -0.61295 0.072638 ROE the ratio of equity 0.750155 0.037135 -5.02019 0.262608 Return market return (stock return) 0.795989 -0.14542 -1.65415 0.282273 Debt/Asset the ratio of debt to asset 1.191336 0.509847 0.008143 0.177593 Asset the total asset 4.25E+11 3.07E+09 0.431605 1.41E+10 Performance statistics of the firms shows that, the mean ROA is 2.21%, while the mean market return 1.00%. It is interesting to note that on average, the market returns are negative whatever in different group, while ROAs are almost positive except for IND10 & Ide-public groups. The accounting measures are better. In contrast, however, stock returns are poorer. Accounting returns and stock returns give very different indicators of performance for a number of reasons. One is that stock returns are forward looking and incorporate investors’ expectations for the future; in contrast, ROA is a historical number. Such is the potential risk of Chinese companies that stock prices often give a more pessimistic picture of a firm’s financial standing than does ROA. The statistics also indicate that on average, west group has the best performance measured by either ROA or market return. For the ownership identity, the Ide-state group (companies whose largest shareholder is GOV) has highest ownership concentration, which is 44.86%. Meanwhile, this group’s performance is a little bit better than other groups. 6. Empirical Results The following discussion outlines the key findings. The regression results of the equation are shown in Table 2. Independent Variables Table 2 Regression Results Dependent Variable: ROA Dependent Variable: ROE Beta (Constant) CR CR2 Z Ide-legal Ide-public Ide-foreign Debt/Asset Asset IND1 IND2 IND3 IND4 IND5 -.410 .693 -.198 1.033 -.145 -.016 -.366 .046 -.178 -.095 -.373 -.121 -.188 T 7.469*** -2.766*** 4.520*** -5.988*** 1.681* -1.247 -.128 -13.416*** 1.705* -1.342 -.768 -.491 -.621 -1.558 Beta -.107 .267 -.126 1.095 -.065 .037 -.290 .046 -.206 -.043 -0905 -.099 -.066 501 t 4.082*** -.677 1.639* -3.603*** 1.675* -.522 .278 -9.995*** 1.593* -1.461* -.327 -1.122 -.479 -.515 Dependent Variable: Market Return Beta T -.819 -.142 -.891 .245 1.463 -.115 -3.147*** .253 .413 -.153 -1.076 .092 .647 -.056 -1.885* -.007 -.206 -.185 -1.240 -.007 -.055 -1.065 -1.291 .107 .467 .022 .176 IND6 -.159 -.825 -.173 -.844 IND7 -.170 -.733 -.205 -.831 IND8 -.281 -1.314 -.286 -1.258 IND9 -.120 -.690 -.146 -.790 IND10 -.296 -2.035** -.189 -1.217 IND11 .034 .443 .037 .457 IND12 .015 .056 .100 .342 A-middle .658 1.563* .764 1.705* A-west .380 .818 .337 .682 N 1111 1111 Adj.R2 .203 .099 F-Ratio 13.875*** 6.544*** *,**,*** refer to 10%,5% and 1% levels of significance, respectively. .060 .077 -.241 -.087 .332 .017 -.204 .254 .730 1111 .006 1.291 .290 .254 -1.006 -.441 2.038** .171 -.700 .528 1.439 The regressions based on the equation are estimated at two levels: using two accounting measures (ROA and ROE) and a market measure (stock return) for firm performance. However, the results are different. Generally, the regression Results using accounting measure for performance are more significant than using market measure. It is interesting to ask why different proxies for firm performance (accounting and market measure) produce different relationships with ownership concentration and ownership structure. One explanation, as I stated, is that while ROA and ROE measure the past and current performance of the firm, market return, in addition that, captures the expected future performance of firm. Consequently, rapidly growing firms might have large market return with relatively smaller accounting performance measures, vice versa. This is one of reasons that result in substantial differences between the impact of concentration and structure on ROA & ROE and stock return. A second explanation or implication is that the efficiency of capital market in China is wake-form. The relevance of stock market in determining firm value is very miniscule in China’s stock market, in the sense that there is no contemporaneous association between stock return and the market value of firm. In generally, we can see from table 2 that firm performance is correlated with ownership concentration and ownership structure, which confirm my expectation. In particular, I find that the impact of Z is negative and significant at one percent level on both accounting measures (ROA and ROE) and market measure (stock RETURN). The effect of CR is negative and significant at one per cent level on ROA, while CR2 is positive and significant at one per cent level on ROA. That also largely confirms the expectation that there is a non-linear relationship between ownership concentration and firm performance. Surprisingly, I find that debt-to-asset ratio is negative and significant at one percent on both ROA and ROE rather than positive and significant. The reason might be that the role of debt as a controlling mechanism is different in China as compared with the developed economies. The four largest commercial banks are mainly agents of the state, and their lending policy is driven by government policy. Banks as outside monitors do not exercise strong discipline on China’s state-owned enterprise. Otherwise, corporate debt levels are comparatively higher in China than in developed economies. Furthermore, I find that large-size firms are more likely to achieve better performance as indicated by the positive and significant of Asset. This might be due to competition effects, whereby the market power of large-size firms enables them to outperform small-size firms in China. Surprisingly, the IND dummy coefficients are not significant except IND10 is negative and significant at five percent level on ROA while it is positive and significant at five percent level on stock return, suggesting that firm performance is not affected by different industry. After controlling for firm size, industry and debt dummies, I find legal ownership concentration has a positive and significant impact on ROA and ROE at ten percent level. Surprisingly, I fail to find any significant impact of either public ownership concentration or foreign ownership concentration on firm performance. A-middle (Firms in middle area in China) has positive impact on firm performance, significant with both ROA and ROE at the ten percent level. 502 The results, however, still support my previous exception in that ownership structure and ownership concentration have a significant with firm performance. 7. Conclusion Using a sample of 1111firms listed in China in 2004, the paper studied the determinants of ownership structure and concentration, and the effect of this and other aspects of ownership structure on firm performance. The following conclusion and policy recommendations could be summed up from the analysis: (1)Ownership concentration in China seems significant with firm performance. And there is a non-linear relationship between ownership concentration and firm performance. I would expect that there is an optimal amount of concentration to maximize firm performance. (2)Z ( the ratio of the percent of largest shareholders to the total percent of the second, third, forth, and fifth large shareholders) has a negative and significant impact on firm performance, from which one implication is that the largest shareholders are so much more powerful than other shareholders that they tend to do the entrenchment behaviour in China’s companies. I contend that institutional investors are long term investors with significant incentives to monitor largest shareholders. So institution investor should be encouraged or improved and to be strong enough to monitor the largest one. The trade-off between the largest shareholders and second or other shareholders leads to an appropriate ownership structure in the firm, and this enhances firm value. (3)As far as identity of owners is concerned, I find no evidence that state shareholding is more effective in enhancing firm performance. In the Chinese context, governmental influence is significant. As government has either the overall dominance as the major shareholder or to exercise the ultimate influence of other shareholders controlling the firm; the state shareholder would not be a positive and significant factor in firm performance. However, I argue that private ownership is neither a necessary nor a sufficient condition for superior performance in current context of China. There are much debates going on in China as to reduce the government shareholding in the listed firms. Following this, as I pointed out, I argue that China’s government should encourage, or even mandate, better and improve institutional investor first. (4)Large-size firms have higher profitability and performance measures than other firms. This could be the result of favourable advantages seized by monopoly power, not advantages gained through more efficiency. As a result, efforts that aim at better corporate practices should be coupled with reforms of product markets, competition policy, and the overall operating environment for firms. References: [1]Amihud, Y. and B. Lev “Does corporate ownership structure affect its strategy towards diversification?”, Strategic Management Journal,1999, 20: 1063-1069. [2]Anderson, C. W., Jandik, T. and Mahija, A. “Determinants of Foreign Ownership in Newly Privatized Companies in Transitional Economies”. The Financial Review, 2001(37):161-176 [3]Coles, J. W., McWilliams, Victoria B. & Sen, Nilanjan “An Examination of the Relationship of Governance Mechanisms to Performance”, Elsevier Journal of Management ,2001, 27: 23-50 [4]Cubbin, J. And Leech, D. “The Effect of Shareholding Dispersion on the Degree of Control in British Companies: Theory and Measurement”, The Economic Journal, 1983.vol 93, June, p. 351-369. [5]Demsetz. H. “The Structure of Ownership and The Theory of the Firm”, Journal of Law and Economics, 1983, 26, p. 375-390. [6]Demsetz, H. and Lehn, K. “The structure of corporate ownership: Causes and consequences”, Journal of Political Economy, 1985,vol. 93 no. 6. [7]Lane, P.J., A.A. Cannella and M.H. Lubatkin “Ownership structure and corporate strategy: one question viewed from two different worlds”, Strategic Management Journal ,1999,20: 1077-86. [8]Leech, Dennis “Corporate Ownership And Control: A New Look At The Evidence Of Berle and Means”. Oxford Economic Papers, 1987, 39:534-551 The author can be contacted from e-mail : [email protected] 503