The Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources The University of Vermont
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The Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources The University of Vermont
The Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources The University of Vermont THIRTY-SECOND ANNUAL GRADUATE RESEARCH SYMPOSIUM Friday, October 9th, 2015 4:45 – 7:45 PM George D. Aiken Center Please recycle this program. 4:45pm Welcome by Dean Nancy E. Mathews in Aiken 103 5:00 pm Marcella Dent The Facilitative Role of Government and Science Communication in a Collaborative Conservation Network 5:15 pm Alison Adams Thirty Years of Forest Conversion in the Northeast: Historical Patterns, Carbon Storage Impacts and Future Projections 5:30 pm Jessica Griffen Connecting Guests to the Landscape at Kripalu: Ecological Inventory, Interpretation and Education 5:45 pm Alexandra Millar The Functionality of Metaphor Use in Motivating Behavioral Responses 6:00 pm Nathan Fry The Ala Archa Ecological Leadership Project: Evaluating the Efficacy of Outdoor Education in Operationalizing Ecology and Conservation in the Kyrgyz Republic 6:15 pm Break 6:30 pm Carrie Kozel Can Early Feeding in Lake Trout Fry Ameliorate Thiamine Deficiency? 6:45 pm Hana Aronowitz Investigating Cryptic Speciation among Allopatric Populations of Hemlock Woolly Adelgid, Adelges tsugae (Hemiptera: Adelgidae) 7:00 pm Choki Gyeltshen Fire Risks in Bhutan's Blue Pine Forests: Anticipating and Adapting to Climate Change 7:15 pm Aviva Gottesman Regeneration Responses to Management for Old-Growth Characteristics in Northern HardwoodConifer Forests 7:30 pm Sam Talbot Wildlife Habitat Linkages Surrounding Lake George and Southern Lake Champlain Thanks to Ariana Cano for moderating this session and Emma Sass for providing technical assistance. Reception to follow in the Aiken Solarium Oral Presenter Abstracts (in alphabetical order) Thirty Years of Forest Conversion in the Northeast: Historical Patterns, Carbon Storage Impacts and Future Projections By: Alison Adams Advisor: Dr. Jennifer Pontius The ability to monitor and assess changes in forest cover and the services they provide is critical to sustainably managing forested land in an era of unprecedented environmental change. However, current land cover products covering the northeastern United States provide neither the spatial, informational, or temporal resolution necessary to perform comprehensive longitudinal analyses of changes in forest cover and carbon stored in the region. Additionally, whether it is important to capture forest heterogeneity in landscape-scale carbon calculations is an empirical question that remains largely unexplored. Here I present 1) a novel method to quantify historical forest change in the Northern Forest region using maps of tree species basal area, 2) a method to predict future changes in forest cover and composition given historical changes mapped in (1), and 3) comparative regional-scale carbon storage calculation methods using varying levels of input data specificity. Investigating Cryptic Speciation among Allopatric Populations of Hemlock Woolly Adelgid, Adelges tsugae (Hemiptera: Adelgidae) By: Hana Aronowitz Advisor: Dr. Kimberly Wallin The hemlock woolly adelgid is one of the most devastating non-native invasive forest insects in the eastern U.S. because it threatens the long-term sustainability of two ecologically and economically important native trees species, eastern and Carolina hemlock. The adelgids introduced to the eastern U.S. originated from Japan, however, previous research has determined that there are genetic lineages of hemlock adelgids associated with hemlock species in China, Taiwan, Japan, and western North America. Currently, all adelgids that occur on the nine known species of hemlock around the world are classified as a single species, which does not accurately reflect this diversity. This project aims to use multivariate morphometrics to identify morphological differences in individuals from five allopatric populations of A. tsugae. We hypothesize that a cryptic subspecies exist for each of the different lineages of Tsuga, potentially co-evolving with the host. The findings of this project will provide taxonomic designation of Adelges linages. This will influence policies on regulation and biological control. The Facilitative Role of Government and Science Communication in a Collaborative Conservation Network By: Marcella Dent Advisor: Dr. Clare Ginger Natural resources rarely conform to social and political boundaries; ecosystems are often subject to many competing management goals and decisions. The goal of my research is to better understand the roles that government and science communication play in landscape-scale, collaborative conservation efforts that transcend political boundaries. The Landscape Conservation Cooperative Network is a facilitative branch of the U.S. Department of the Interior that provides science information and tools to natural resource managers to encourage local conservation decisions that contribute to regionally shared conservation goals. The networks links regional decision-makers across scales of governance from local to international and tribal, both public and non-profit. I will explore the North Atlantic LCC as a case study, and ask how the Department of the Interior and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service facilitates collaboration across scales and sectors of governance in this network. I will ask what challenges exist in facilitating natural resource management collaboration across the network and how the agency addresses these challenges. I will also explore the roles that science communication plays in network collaborations. I expect my results to provide insights into how government agencies can facilitate collaboration across political boundaries, and how science communication can support these efforts. The Ala Archa Ecological Leadership Project: Evaluating the Efficacy of Outdoor Education in Operationalizing Ecology and Conservation in the Kyrgyz Republic By: Nathan Fry Advisor: Dr. Joshua Farley In 2012, the Kyrgyz Republic formed a National Council for Sustainable Development that shortly thereafter issued a strategic plan on Sustainable Development for the next five years – 2013-2017. Although the plan met general praise, critics noted that the plan’s flaws included a failure to inspire specific projects to meet the country’s sustainable development goals. The Ala Archa Ecological Leadership Project (ELP) attempts to address this issue by using an applied, interdisciplinary approach to teaching the concepts of Social-Ecological Systems, ecosystem services, leadership, and strategic planning to Kyrgyz student-ecologists in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan. In partnership with the American University of Central Asia (AUCA), the ELP will combine best practices from experiential leadership programs in the United States with current research on human-environment interactions into a two-week long experiential education program in the Tian Shan Mountains of Ala Archa National Park, Kyrgyzstan. In addition to examining the educational methods by which to best “operationalize” ecological education, the project also aims to inspire a practical vision in its Kyrgyz students for how they can each use their postgraduation career fields to practically address the issues highlighted in the Kyrgyz National Sustainable Development Strategy towards a progressive, ecologically balanced future in the Kyrgyz Republic. Regeneration Responses to Management for Old-Growth Characteristics in Northern Hardwood-Conifer Forests By: Aviva Gottesman Advisor: Dr. William S. Keeton. Multiple sources of variability interact with forest management to influence regeneration trends in northern hardwood forests. The Vermont Forest Ecosystem Management Demonstration Project is a long-term study testing the hypothesis that a silvicultural approach called “Structural Complexity Enhancement”(SCE) can promote accelerated development of late-successional forest structure and function, sustaining a broader array of ecological functions and biodiversity. However, there is uncertainty whether such low-intensity selection harvesting techniques, will result in adequate and desirable tree regeneration. Therefore our objective is to understand the regeneration dynamics following three uneven-aged forestry treatments modified to increase postharvest structural retention: single-tree selection, group selection, and SCE. Research questions include: 1) what are the effects of treatment on regeneration densities and composition; and 2) how do other factors such as light availability, competition, substrate, and herbivory interact with treatment effects? Statistical analyses will include generalized linear modeling and multivariate tests evaluating the relative predictive strength of multiple controls on regeneration. SCE results in overall high seedling densities diversity (H-index) based on preliminary analyses, but prolific beech sprouting dominates the understory in patches. Variants of uneven-aged systems that retain or enhance stand structural complexity, including old-growth characteristics, generally show resilience to regeneration limitations depending on site conditions. Connecting Guests to the Landscape at Kripalu: Ecological Inventory, Interpretation and Education By: Jessica Griffen Advisors: Dr. Marla Emery and Dr. Deane Wang Sweeping views of the Berkshires and miles of trails await guests at Kripalu Center for Yoga and Health in western Massachusetts, yet surprisingly few visitors venture outside. I am collaborating with Mass Audubon to transform Kripalu's grounds from a beautiful backdrop viewed through the windows to an essential part of the guest experience. This summer, I conducted an ecological inventory of the 125-acre property and mapped the trails. I also developed and piloted natural history programs, including sunrise birding and a pollinator citizen science project. My inventory will serve as a basis for ecologically-informed management decisions. I am creating trail maps to enable guests to easily navigate the extensive trail network, and interpretive materials that Kripalu will use to share the property’s natural history with guests. Finally, my pilot natural history programs will serve as a basis for continued collaboration between Mass Audubon and Kripalu. Fire Risks in Bhutan’s Blue Pine Forests: Anticipating and Adapting to Climate Change By: Choki Gyeltshen Advisor: Dr. William Keeton Forest fire risks are increasing in many parts of the world, often in conjunction with increased drought related to climate change. In the central Himalayan Mountain region, anecdotal evidence suggests similar trends, but no empirical research is available. Climate data indicate that timing and dynamics of the summer monsoon season, as well as intensification of the winter dry season, may already be occurring. In Bhutan, alteration of fire dynamics poses direct threats to human life and property, as well as ecosystem services, such as flood control, landslide prevention, and carbon sequestration. The most fire-prone system – Himalayan blue pine (Pinus wallichiana) – occupies the Wildland-Urban-Interface at mid-elevational zones surrounding major towns and villages in the northwestern part of the country. Our study investigates relationships between intra and inter-annual climate variability and forest fire intensity and extent in Bhutan’s blue pine forests. Field data on fuel profile, burn intensity, vegetation impacts, and other variables were collected at 12 study sites. The design paired areas burned within the last 5 years with adjacent, unburned areas indicative of pre-burn conditions. Detecting a climate signal is challenging because fire activity is strongly affected by human land-use and ignition, as well as structure, age, management history, and site-variability within the forest ecosystem. Consequently, we are building a multivariate model predictive of fire risks that includes all of these sources of variation. The results will help inform adaptive management, including urban growth planning, fire management, and conservation efforts. Can Early Feeding in Lake Trout Fry Ameliorate Thiamine Deficiency? By: Carrie L. Kozel Advisors: Dr. Jacques Rinchard, Dr. Allison Evans, Dr. J. Ellen Marsden Recruitment failure of lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) in the Great Lakes has been attributed to the consumption of alewife (Alosa pseudoharengus) by adult lake trout, eventually leading to Thiamine Deficiency Complex (TDC) in alevins. Thiamine deficiency results in early mortality and is likely hindering successful restoration. Prior studies found that wild fry begin feeding before yolk-sac absorption but in hatchery-reared fry first feeding does not occur until after yolksac absorption. We postulated that wild-hatched alevins could mitigate thiamine deficiency through early feeding on natural prey. Eggs were collected from 53 adult lake trout from Lake Champlain. Upon fertilization each family was split in half; one group was treated with thiamine and the other was untreated. Eggs were reared until hatching; then each group was split again into fed and unfed groups. Fry groups were kept under similar conditions; the fed group was fed a mixture of zooplankton daily. Fry were sampled weekly and thiamine levels were quantified using HPLC in summer 2015. To date, thiamine analysis has only been run on samples from weeks one and six, but no evident trends in thiamine concentration over the experimental period emerged from the four treatment groups. The Functionality of Metaphor Use in Motivating Behavioral Responses By: Alexandra Millar-House Advisor: Dr. Adrian Ivakhiv and Dr. Christine Vatovec Mitigation and adaptation efforts for environmental problems are increasingly reliant on the voluntary actions of individuals. Success, therefore, requires communication strategies that effectively motivate environmentally-desirable behavior. While metaphors are commonly applied in environmental discourse to guide perceptions and actions towards the environment, recent research suggests that the utility of metaphor use is dependent on whether a concept is construed as psychologically distant or close to the self. As a result, there is a need to assess whether situationally introducing a metaphor affects the construed psychological distance of a concept, or the perceived psychological approachability of a concept. From a communication perspective, the former suggests the possibility of using metaphor to frame behavior, while the latter implies the potential to raise awareness without immediate behavioral implications. Therefore, the central question of this research is: can situational metaphor use affect the construed psychological distance of a concept, thereby impacting behavioral responses? To answer this question, this research will apply a mixed-methods approach, focusing on two objectives: 1) to compare the role of values in guiding intentions toward a psychologically distant situation with and without metaphor use, 2) to determine if feasibility concerns are equally predictive of an individual’s intentions towards a distant situation with and without metaphor use. The results of this study will provide necessary insights into the functionality of metaphor use as a tool in environmental communication. Wildlife Habitat Linkages Surrounding Lake George and Southern Lake Champlain By: Sam Talbot Co-Advisors: Dr. Matthew Kolan and Dr. Jennifer Pontius Not all land is created equal for wildlife on the move. Furthermore, wide ranging species, such as black bear, bobcat, and fisher, don’t always give us concrete information on where they live and travel. Since habitat connectivity is an important feature of the landscape, Sam Talbot used computer modeling to reveal potential wildlife corridors. His two ArcGIS toolkits of choice include Corridor Design and Linkage Mapper. His study focused on the region surrounding Lake George and southern Lake Champlain – an area rich in rolling forests, prime agricultural soil, and recreational opportunities. Given this landscape’s value to both wildlife and humans, modeling habitat connectivity will guide future land conservation decisions that allow wildlife to move unencumbered by barriers, such as roads and high-density development. Sam will employ sensitivity analysis and model validation to be as transparent as possible of how well this model depicts potential movement across the landscape. PhD Poster Abstracts (in alphabetical order) Poster presenters will be on hand to discuss their research in Aiken 103 at the noon hour on Friday, October 9th. Machine Learning Methods for Acoustic Monitoring and Wildlife Occupancy Modeling By: Cathleen Balantic Advisor: Dr. Therese Donovan Landscapes are shifting rapidly due to climate and land use change, requiring efficient methods for monitoring and modeling wildlife species responses across vast spatial scales. Automated detection methods using an acoustic monitoring system for vocal species can improve detection probabilities and subsequent inferences about occupancy, enhancing understanding of wildlife responses to land use patterns within the context of climate change. The efficacy of an automated detection method varies based on vocalization habits and properties of any given focal species. This early-stage research uses a U.S. Bureau of Land Management Solar Energy Zone in the southeastern California desert as a pilot acoustic monitoring effort to develop the following methodology: 1. Multi-species, multi-season occupancy models that account for false positive and false negative acoustic detections, 2. Sampling schedules that maximize acoustic detection probability of weather-driven, seasonally active desert amphibians, and 3. Effective automated detection and occupancy modeling of the acoustically diverse and wide-ranging Common Raven. Machine learning tools currently under investigation for these purposes include artificial neural networks and template-based matching algorithms embedded within a Bayesian update system. This research will contribute to wildlife monitoring knowledge and provide decision-making tools for land management entities. Agricultural Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Vermont: Assessing the Impacts of Field Management Strategies and Environmental Conditions By: Lindsay Barbieri Advisor: Dr. E. Carol Adair Agricultural greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions contribute to ~10-12% of global anthropogenic emissions. Accurately quantifying and understanding emission rates from agricultural landscapes is crucial to develop optimal mitigation strategies. This study assesses soil emission rates from various field management strategies, and examines environmental conditions to better understand how emission rates may be altered considering a changing climate. This study combines field GHG emissions monitoring from May-September with soil cores emissions monitoring during a week-long laboratory simulation of potential spring thaw conditions in April. A No Till corn field in Alburgh, Vermont was managed with varying manure incorporation methods. This study monitored three Injected plots, three Broadcast plots, and three Plow plots weekly using in-field static chambers. Incubation study: four 10cm frozen soil cores were extracted from nine plots. Three soil cores from each plot were subjected to simulated environmental conditions; one frozen, one freeze-thaw and one core warming. Carbon dioxide and nitrous oxide emissions were measured using a Photoacoustic Gas Sensor. This study shows that management strategies and environmental conditions have important implications for GHG emissions, and with climate change imminent, closely examining and assessing the effects and benefits of fertilization strategies is a crucial next step in agricultural management. A Novel Approach to Mapping Forest Cover: Coupling Spectral Unmixing and Objectbased Classification of Multitemporal Landsat TM Imagery across the Northern Forest By: David Gudex-Cross Advisor: Dr. Jennifer Pontius Developing rapid, cost-effective methods to accurately classify forest cover is essential for sustainable forest management. Spatially-explicit distribution maps of individual tree species are increasingly valuable to forest managers and researchers, particularly in light of the anticipated effects of climate change and invasive pests on forest resources. Yet, our ability to predict changes in carbon dynamics, timber stocks, and other ecosystem services is limited by the coarse detail of current regional and national forest cover maps. Thus a clear need exists to develop more accurate methods of classifying forests to species-level. Advanced remote sensing techniques such as spectral unmixing and object-based image analysis (OBIA) enable more precise forest cover mapping. Spectral unmixing outperforms traditional pixel-based classifiers by decomposing (“unmixing”) mixed pixels and assigning tree species classifications at the subpixel level. This is particularly useful in northern forests where species composition is often mixed. Here, we develop an integrated pixel-based and OBIA method for classifying tree species using multitemporal Landsat TM imagery. Spectral unmixing is used to map and quantify perpixel basal area for 12 key tree species. This information is then included in an OBIA workflow incorporating multitemporal spectral data, vegetation indices, and ancillary environmental data to refine each classification. Comparative Growth of Five Northern Hardwood and Montane Tree Species Reveal Differing Trends and Responses to Weather and Deposition By: Alexandra Kosiba Advisors: Dr. Paul Schaberg and Dr. E. Carol Adair Two notable tree species in the northeastern US have undergone decline in the 20th century: red spruce (Picea rubens Sarg.) and sugar maple (Acer saccharum Marsh.). Recently, red spruce has shown a dramatic and synchronous increase in growth. However, it is unclear how co-occurring species have responded to both the declines of sugar maple and red spruce, and the latter’s recent increase. We examined the growth of five key tree species in Mt. Mansfield State Forest, Vermont: sugar maple, red spruce, red maple (Acer rubrum L.), yellow birch (Betula alleghaniensis, Britton), and balsam fir (Abies balsamea, [L.] Mill.). We found baseline differences in growth; with red maple and yellow birch having the highest mean basal area increment growth, balsam fir the lowest, and sugar maple and red spruce intermediate. When growth was converted into a Z-score that compares recent growth (2008-2012) to mean growth since 1925 for each species, red spruce, at both mid and high elevations, had growth above their respective means, while for the other species recent growth was indistinguishable from the mean. Although many year-to-year declines in growth were likely associated with specific stress events, protracted patterns in growth may be associated with climate and/or deposition trends. Reconsidering Assumptions about Diel Vertical Migration Using an Omnivorous Macroinvertebrate By: Brian O’Malley Advisor: Dr. Jason Stockwell Diel vertical migration (DVM) is a widespread behavior among aquatic organisms whereby individuals migrate between deep and shallow habitats from day to night, respectively. DVM theory predicts this strategy to be optimal when predation risk (µ) and growth potential (g) are high priorities. While a substantial body of evidence suggests DVM evolved to minimize the “µ/g” ratio in holoplanktonic species (pelagic-only life history), few studies have attempted to evaluate DVM theory using species which can use both benthic and pelagic habitats (i.e. meroplanktonic). Objectives of this study were to quantify diel habitat use by Mysis diluviana, a native benthic-pelagic omnivore, across seasons in Lake Champlain using standard pelagic net tows, benthic sled tows, and continuous video monitoring day and night. As expected, day/night comparisons of pelagic sampling generally revealed higher abundance at night, consistent with DVM behavior. Contrary to prior assumptions about Mysis DVM behavior, however, both benthic sled sampling and video monitoring recorded a substantial portion of the mysid population on or near bottom during night. Comparisons using benthic sled tows revealed little difference in day/night catches. Our results point to further evaluation of DVM theory to compare benthic and pelagic tradeoffs when considering optimal migration strategies. Forest Regeneration and Biodiversity Following Wind Disturbance and Salvage Harvest in Northern Mixed Deciduous Forests By: Sarah Pears Advisor: Dr. Kimberly Wallin Stand-replacing disturbances due to severe weather have historically been rare in northern mixed deciduous forests; however, the frequency of extreme storms in the region is projected to increase. A 2010 windstorm severely damaged trees in northwestern Vermont. Forest managers salvage harvested storm-impacted stands, removing trees blown over or otherwise injured. This proposed research will quantify cumulative impacts of windstorm and salvage harvest on ecosystem services in northern mixed deciduous forests. Across a range of disturbance intensities I will quantify regeneration and factors that influence tree recruitment including coarse woody debris abundance and remnant canopy tree species, size and density. I will also quantify disturbance impacts to species richness and diversity of herbaceous plants and ground-dwelling invertebrates along a gradient of disturbance intensity. This biodiversity data will serve as a test of the Intermediate Disturbance Hypothesis, which predicts that highest biodiversity results from moderate intensity or frequency ecosystem disruptions. I expect to find forest recovery rates highest at sites subjected to wind disturbance and moderately intense salvage harvest, and biodiversity highest in sites where salvage harvest was moderate. I will share results and conclusions via peer-reviewed publications, professional and academic conference presentations, press releases, and public workshops for Vermont forestland managers. Cityscape Connections: Assessing the Relationships among Urban Populations and National Park Service Parks, Partnerships, and Programs By: Elizabeth E. Perry Advisor: Dr. Robert E. Manning The National Park Service (NPS) protects vital natural, cultural, historic, and recreational resources and uses these resources to tell many of America’s most iconic stories. Although all NPS sites provide engagement opportunities, the ability to engage large, diverse, and proximate communities is unique to urban NPS sites. The NPS has responded innovatively to this opportunity for enhanced park-people connections, such as with its landmark Urban Agenda. This initiative aims to expand the NPS’ relevancy to all Americans, emphasize its entire portfolio, and deepen its collaborative culture. A program of research to elicit perceptions about the NPS’ urban presence is currently underway. The intent is to understand community and NPS (1) park perspectives; (2) partnership networks; (3) programmatic interactions; and (4) evaluations of areas of impact for the Urban Agenda in these complex systems. A multi-method, developmental evaluation approach is being used, combining qualitative interviews with quantitative social network analysis. Case study sites span the NPS-identified cityscape typology: embedded parks (Boston), proximate parks (Tucson), and programmatic-only presence (Detroit). Results will aid in site-specific and overall successful implementation of the Urban Agenda, contribute to enhanced NPS management coordination across cityscapes, and highlight means by which park-people relevancy and resiliency may be strengthened. A Socio-Ecological Analysis of Salvage Logging in Vermont: Landowner Motivations, Forest Succession Modeling, and Ecosystem Service Trade-Offs By: Eduardo Rodriguez Advisor: Dr. Jon Erickson Forests provide us with countless benefits, from carbon storage, to timber products, wildlife habitat, water filtration, and recreational opportunities. Given that the vast majority of Vermont forestland is held by private landowners (80%), their management decisions have significant effects on the ability of Vermont’s forests to continue providing these essential ecosystem services. This research uses methods from both social and natural sciences to investigate how salvage logging that follows severe wind events affects the long-term provision of ecosystem services in the northern forest. I employ a mixed methods approach that marries quantitative and qualitative data to identify determinants of forest management decisions, and describe motivations for salvage logging. I simulate forest succession that follows disturbances and salvage logging using a forest landscape model (LANDIS II). Finally, I analyze trade-offs in ecosystem service provision depending on salvage logging intensity. This multi-faceted approach combines socio-ecological tools and methods to enhance our understanding of the current state of Vermont forests, and to demonstrate how different management paths may affect their ability to provide us with valuable ecosystem services in the future. Understanding Sediment Sourcing and Erosion Controls from 10Be Measurements in Fluvial Sediments from Yunnan, China By: Veronica Sosa-Gonzalez Advisor: Dr. Paul R. Bierman Widespread deforestation in southwestern China is thought to have increased short-term erosion rates, but sediment yield data do not reflect this. We tested anthropogenic effects on denudation by comparing long-term erosion rates derived from in-situ 10Be concentration and modern sediment yield of 22 watersheds in Yunnan. We found that in most watersheds, the modern sediment yield is 2-3X higher than long-term. We examined the relationship between erosion and topography for 39 watersheds. We found a statistically significant, positive relationship between erosion rates and both area (R2 = 0.653, p < 0.0001) and mean basin slope (R2 = 0.324, p = 0.0003). We found a significant, negative relationship between erosion and rainfall (R2 = 0.564, p < 0.0001). We tested two assumptions of the method that uses in-situ 10Be to quantify background erosion rates: 1) erosion is constant over different integration times and 2) sediment sourcing is steady throughout the watershed. To test the first assumption, we re-sampled sites previously analyzed for 10Be, and found that in most sites the concentration is lower. To test the second assumption, we compared isotopic concentration of active channel and overbank material. We found no significant concentration differences, implying no seasonal bias in sediment sourcing.