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Document 2700139
ESCAP is the regional development arm of the United Nations and serves as the main economic and social development centre for the United Nations in Asia and the Pacific. Its mandate is to foster cooperation between its 53 members and 9 associate members. ESCAP provides the strategic link between global and country-level programmes and issues. It supports Governments of the region in consolidating regional positions and advocates regional approaches to meeting the region’s unique socio-economic challenges in a globalizing world. The ESCAP office is located in Bangkok, Thailand. Please visit our website at www.unescap.org for further information. The shaded areas of the map represent ESCAP members and associate members. Part Two ---- IV. Urban Transportation i REVIEW OF DEVELOPMENTS IN TRANSPORT IN ASIA AND THE PACIFIC 2011 New York, 2011 ii Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2005 REVIEW OF DEVELOPMENTS IN TRANSPORT IN ASIA AND THE PACIFIC 2011 United Nations publication Sales No. E.12.II.F.8 Copyright © United Nations 2011 All rights reserved Manufactured in Thailand ISBN: 978-92-1-120642-5 e-ISBN: 978-92-1-055352-0 ST/ESCAP/2623 Acknowledgements: This document was prepared by the Transport Division of ESCAP with data inputs, research and analysis contracted from GHD Pty., Limited. The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Mention of firm names and commercial products does not imply the endorsement of the United Nations. The term “ESCAP region” is used in the present document to include Afghanistan; American Samoa; Armenia; Australia; Azerbaijan; Bangladesh; Bhutan; Brunei Darussalam; Cambodia; China; Cook Islands; Democratic People’s Republic of Korea; Fiji; French Polynesia; Georgia; Guam; Hong Kong, China; India; Indonesia; Islamic Republic of Iran; Japan; Kazakhstan; Kiribati; Kyrgyzstan; Lao People’s Democratic Republic; Macao, China; Malaysia; Maldives; Marshall Islands; Micronesia (Federated States of); Mongolia; Myanmar; Nauru; Nepal; New Caledonia; New Zealand; Niue; Northern Mariana Islands; Pakistan; Palau; Papua New Guinea; Philippines; Republic of Korea; Russian Federation; Samoa; Singapore; Solomon Islands; Sri Lanka; Tajikistan; Thailand; Timor-Leste; Tonga; Turkey; Turkmenistan; Tuvalu; Uzbekistan; Vanuatu; and Viet Nam. The term “developing ESCAP region” excludes Australia, Japan and New Zealand. The term “Central Asia” in this publication refers to Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. The term “billion” signifies a thousand million. Unless otherwise stated, current United States dollars have been used throughout. This publication has been issued without formal editing. Contents iii CONTENTS Page ABBREVIATIONS ............................................................................................................................ I. II. III. IV. V. VI. INTRODUCTION: TRANSPORT DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS AGAINST A BACKDROP OF ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY ...................................................... 1 RAILWAYS .......................................................................................................................... 13 A. B. C. D. E. National Railway Sector Development ........................................................................ Railway Traffic Trends ................................................................................................. Rail Services ................................................................................................................. Trans-Asian Railway Network Development ............................................................... Selected Investment Projects in the Railway Sector .................................................... 13 15 19 23 29 ROADS AND HIGHWAYS ............................................................................................... 35 A. B. C. D. E. National Road Sector Development ............................................................................. Road Vehicle Fleets and Motorization Trends .............................................................. Road Freight ................................................................................................................. Asian Highway Network Development ....................................................................... Selected Investment Projects in the Road Sector ......................................................... 35 37 40 42 45 MARITIME PORTS AND DEVELOPMENTS IN SHIPPING .................................. 51 A. B. C. D. Trends in Maritime Trade ............................................................................................. Container Port Throughput ........................................................................................... Shipping Trends ............................................................................................................ Selected Investment Projects in Maritime Ports ........................................................... 51 54 57 62 DRY PORTS, INTERMODAL TERMINALS AND LOGISTICS DEVELOPMENT ............................................................................................................... 67 A. B. Development of Dry Ports and Intermodal Terminals in the ESCAP Region .............. Logistics Development in the ESCAP Region ............................................................. 67 74 FACILITATING TRANSPORT ACROSS BORDERS ................................................. 81 A. Implementation of International Conventions and Agreements Relating to Transport Facilitation and the Movement of Goods and Services across Borders ....................... Subregional Approaches to Transport Facilitation ....................................................... 81 85 SAFE AND SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORT ................................................................... 91 B. VII. vii A. B. Road Safety .................................................................................................................. Sustainable Transport Development ............................................................................. 91 103 iv Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 CONTENTS (continued) Page List of Tables I-1 I-2 I-3 II-1 II-2 II-3 II-4 II-5 II-6 II-7 II-8 II-9 II-10 III-1 III-2 III-3 IV-1 IV-2 IV-3 V-1 V-2 V-3 V-4 VI-1 VI-2 VII-1 VII-2 VII-3 VII-4 VII-5 VII-6 VII-7 VII-8 VII-9 Annual GDP growth rates (%) for ESCAP, 2002-2011 ........................................................ Direction of exports for selected economies and subregions (percentage share), 2000-2009 ............................................................................................................................. Number and value of PPI projects in the transport sector of ESCAP developing countries, by investment type, 1990-2010 ............................................................................ Railway route length (excluding branch lines) and most common track gauge in selected ESCAP countries .................................................................................................................. National rail route-kilometres-to-area ratio – top and bottom five countries ....................... National rail route-kilometres-to-population ratio – top and bottom five countries ............. Electrified route-kilometres in member countries ................................................................ Trends in railway freight tonnage in the ESCAP region....................................................... Trends in railway freight traffic task (tonne-km) in the ESCAP region ............................... Overview of the Trans-Asian Railway .................................................................................. Missing links in the Trans-Asian Railway network .............................................................. Breaks-of-gauge on the Trans-Asian Railway ...................................................................... Selected railway infrastructure development projects in the ESCAP region (as of 2011) ... Road lengths and road densities, various countries .............................................................. Growth of road freight task in selected ESCAP countries (per cent per annum) ................. Selected road and highway investment projects in the ESCAP region ................................ Port container throughput in selected ESCAP economies and ports, 1990-2010 ................. Capacity of merchant fleets registered in the ESCAP region, 1980-2010 ............................ Selected port infrastructure projects in the ESCAP region (as of end 2011) ........................ Inland container handling facilities in the Republic of Korea .............................................. Dry Ports in Malaysia ........................................................................................................... Change in ease of trade across borders, 2006-2011 .............................................................. Government regulations and industry self regulations for freight forwarders ...................... Status of accession of ESCAP Regional Members to the International Conventions listed in Commission resolution 48/11, as of 30 November 2011 .................................................. Summary of GATS progress on matters related to transport and logistics, 2011 ................. ESCAP Road Safety Goals, Targets and Indicators for the Decade of Action ..................... Overview of types of measures being implemented by ESCAP member states ................... Recent Road Safety Initiatives in ESCAP member States .................................................... Air Quality Standards – Selected ESCAP Economies (µg/m3) ............................................ Fuel standards in selected ESCAP countries ........................................................................ Measures to improve urban air quality ................................................................................. Selected recent rail mass transit developments in the ESCAP region .................................. Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) projects in the ESCAP region ...................................................... Urban Policies promoting the use of Bicycles ...................................................................... 2 3 7 13 14 14 15 16 17 25 25 28 30 36 42 45 55 58 63 72 72 79 80 82 84 97 100 100 107 109 111 112 114 117 Contents v CONTENTS (continued) Page List of Figures I-1 I-2 I-3 I-4 I-5 I-6 I-7 I-8 II-1 II-2 II-3 III-1 III-2 III-3 III-4 III-5 III-6 III-7 III-8 III-9 IV-1 IV-2 IV-3 IV-4 IV-5 IV-6 IV-7 IV-8 IV-9 V-1 V-2 V-3 V-4 V-5 V-6 VII-1 VII-2 Annual GDP growth rates for the selected regions and countries, 2000-2011 ..................... Comparison of movements in trade value with selected price indices, 2006-2011 .............. Principal regional trade agreements involving ESCAP member states ................................ Annual number of infrastructure projects with private participation in ESCAP developing countries, 1990-2010 ............................................................................................................ Value of Transport Sector PPI projects in ESCAP developing countries, million US$, 1990-2010 ............................................................................................................................. Value of transport PPI projects by subregion, 1990-2010 .................................................... Geographic location of transport sector PPI projects in developing ESCAP member countries (share of the investment from 1990 to 2010) ........................................................ Comparison of return on infrastructure investment and return on government bonds, selected Asian economies and the USA ................................................................................ Average freight haul distances (kilometres) in the ESCAP region ....................................... Commodity composition of rail freight, selection ESCAP economies ................................. Map of the Trans-Asian Railway Network (2011) ............................................................... Annual average growth in road length in selected ESCAP countries ................................... Average annual growth in the number of road vehicles, 1993-2008 .................................... Vehicle density in selected ESCAP economies, 2007-2008 ................................................. Motorization rates in selected economies of the ESCAP region, 2005-2008 ....................... Actual and forecast growth of road freight volumes in selected countries of the region, 2006-2015 ............................................................................................................................. Road freight task in selected ESCAP countries .................................................................... Map of the Asian Highway Network (2011) ......................................................................... Asian Highway network by country, 2010 ........................................................................... Quality improvement of Asian Highway, 2004-2008 ........................................................... Growth of world maritime trade (1985-2010) ...................................................................... D eveloping Asia’s share of global maritime volumes, 2009 ................................................ World and ESCAP Container Port Throughput Growth (1973-2010) .................................. Distribution of global port container volumes, 1973-2010 ................................................... Distribution of container port volumes within ESCAP, 1973-2010 ..................................... Increase in containership size (1980-2010) .......................................................................... Developments in the numbers of container vessel numbers and their average size, 1988-2010 ............................................................................................................................. Share of top twenty shipping lines (as of 28 September 2011) ............................................ Productivity of the world merchant fleet, 1980-2009 ........................................................... Existing and planned major intermodal terminals in China ................................................. Container throughput at ICDs operated by CONCOR 1995-2009 ....................................... Throughput of Indonesia’s major dry ports, 2008 ................................................................ Throughput at Birgunj Dry Port ............................................................................................ World Bank Logistics Performance Index – Selected ESCAP economies ........................... Relative ease of trading across borders, 2011 ....................................................................... Fatality rate per 100,000 population in selected ESCAP countries, 2007 ............................ Fatality rate per 10,000 vehicles in selected ESCAP countries, 2007 .................................. 1 4 5 6 7 8 8 10 18 19 24 35 38 39 40 41 41 43 44 45 51 52 52 53 54 59 60 61 62 69 70 71 73 76 77 92 93 vi Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 CONTENTS (continued) Page VII-3 Relationship between road fatalities and per capita income, selected ESCAP countries, 2007 ...................................................................................................................................... VII-4 Road fatalities by road user class, selected ESCAP countries, 2007 .................................... VII-5 Change in road fatalities in selected ESCAP countries, 2007-2009 ..................................... VII-6 Mean and variability of enforcement effectiveness, selected ESCAP countries, 2009 ........ VII-7 Sources of global greenhouse gas emissions in 2005 ........................................................... VII-8 Geographical distribution of urban air pollution .................................................................. VII-9 Air Quality in Asia: Average annual ambient AQ levels, 1993-2009 ................................... VII-10 Pedestrian mode share in Asian Cities .................................................................................. VII-11 “Attack points” in reducing the environmental impact of urban freight transport ............... 94 95 95 103 104 105 106 116 118 Contents Abbreviations vii ABBREVIATIONS ADB ADF AH ASEAN Asian Development Bank Agence Française de Développement Asian Highway Association of South East Asian Nations BOT build-operate-transfer (scheme) CAGR CAI-Asia CAREC CH4 compound annual growth rate Clean Air Initiative for Asian Cities Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation methane ECE ECO Economic Commission for Europe Economic Cooperation Organization GATS GATT GDP GMS GRSP General Agreement on Trade in Services General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade gross domestic product Greater Mekong Subregion Global Road Safety Partnership HFCs hydrofluorocarbons ICC ICD Import Commodity Clearance inland container depot km kilometre NMT N2O non-motorized transport nitrous oxide OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development ppm PPP parts per million public-private partnership RTAs Regional Trade Agreements SAARC SF6 SPM South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation sulphur hexafluoride suspended particulate matter TAR TEU TRACECA Trans-Asian Railway twenty-foot equivalent unit (container) Transport Corridor Europe-Caucasus-Asia UNCTAD United Nations Conference on Trade and Development WHO WTO World Health Organization World Trade Organization viii Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 I. Introduction: Transport Development Prospects Against a Backdrop of Economic Uncertainty 1 I. INTRODUCTION: TRANSPORT DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS AGAINST A BACKDROP OF ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY Changing growth prospects amidst dampening global demand for Asian exports The downturn in the global economy due to the global financial crisis of 2009 has had a significant impact on the transport sector across the Asia and Pacific region. Whereas prior to the global financial crisis, the world enjoyed a period of exceptionally strong economic growth (Figure I-1), by 2008 the slowdown that had begun in the USA had extended to all of the major economies. Developed countries were particularly hard hit, with growth turning negative in Japan and the USA, and falling to below 1 per cent in the European Union. In line with the downturn in the global economy, growth rates in the ESCAP region also began to decline in 2008 and slumped sharply in 2009, although most groups of countries rebounded in 2010. Figure I-1. Annual GDP growth rates for the selected regions and countries, 2000-2011 Per cent GDP Growth (constant prices) 20 15 10 5 0 -5 10 2000 World Japan China 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 USA Newly Industrialized Asian Economies India 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 European Union Emerging and developing economies Source: Derived from data in IMF, World Economic Outlook October database (http://www.imf.org), accessed on 22 September 2011. Notes: 2010 figures are estimates, 2011 figures forecasts. However, the impact has been uneven between subregions and across countries. As shown in Table I-1, the most severe decline was in the high income countries, with the contraction in Japan particularly sharp (6.3 per cent). By contrast, the group of low income countries maintained growth rates of 6 per cent throughout the crisis period, and China and India are among the few nations that continued to record positive growth. However, in line with global tends, growth is 2011 has been moderate, with the latest IMF forecast set at a below trend value of 6.0 per cent. Table I-1 also shows that there are significant differences between subregions. The strong performance of the East and North-East Asian subregion has been driven almost entirely by China, which continued to grow at around 10 per cent through the crisis and is forecast by the IMF to continue to grow at above 9 per cent through to 2016. On the other hand, North and Central Asia, which consists of many major commodity exporters, experienced very strong growth from 2005 through to 2007, but then began to 2 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table I-1. Annual GDP growth rates (%) for ESCAP, 2002-2011 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 5.1 5.9 6.8 6.9 7.7 8.6 4.9 2.6 7.7 6.0 East and North-East Asia 5.1 5.6 6.6 6.9 8.0 9.1 5.2 3.6 8.3 6.4 North and Central Asia 5.2 7.5 7.5 7.1 9.0 9.1 5.5 -5.8 4.5 4.5 Pacific 4.1 3.4 3.8 3.2 2.4 4.4 2.3 1.0 2.6 1.9 Total ESCAP region Subregions South and South-West Asia 5.1 6.4 7.4 8.1 8.1 8.8 4.4 4.3 8.4 6.5 South-East Asia 5.0 5.8 6.5 5.9 6.2 6.7 4.5 1.6 7.6 5.3 5.7 7.0 7.5 7.9 7.8 8.2 6.2 6.0 6.5 6.1 Income Group Low Middle 6.6 7.9 8.3 8.9 9.9 10.9 6.8 4.8 8.7 7.6 High 2.4 2.2 3.8 3.0 3.3 3.7 0.2 -3.5 5.4 1.7 Notes: 2010 figures are estimates, 2011 figures forecasts. Subregion growth and income category estimates derived from data in IMF, World Economic Outlook Database (http://www.imf.org), accessed 22 September 2011. decline in 2008 and fell further in 2009. Turkmenistan recovered very strongly in 2010 and maintained strong growth through 2011, while the Russian Federation recovered reasonably well, but economic growth remains well below pre-crisis levels while IMF forecasts suggest that this is likely to continue through to 2016. Despite the downturn in global demand, all of the economies in South-East Asia returned to positive growth in 2010, with the economy of Singapore – one of the ASEAN nations hardest hit in 2009 – achieving growth of 14.5 per cent. In the South and South-West Asian subregion, India’s economy has been the main driving force: the impact of the crisis on the Indian economy was comparatively mild, with growth remaining at over 6 per cent in 2008 and 2009, before recovering to over 10 per cent in 2010. However, other countries in both South-East and South and South-West Asia experienced severe natural disasters over the 2010-2011 period, most notably the flooding in Thailand and Pakistan, while the slowdown in the European and North American markets are expected to put further downward pressure on export growth from these subregions. Meanwhile, the economic growth patterns of the economies in the Pacific ranged from those which maintained fairly robust growth, such as Australia, Papua New Guinea (PNG), Solomon Islands and Vanuatu, to those which slowed or even contracted such as Fiji which grew by only 0.3 per cent in 2010 after contracting by 1.3 per cent in 2009. As in the case of North and Central Asian economies, the economic performance of several countries in the Pacific is tied to international trade patterns and volumes, which in turn is influenced global commodity prices. Figure I-2 compares the quarterly movements in trade value with quarterly movements in several indices maintained by IMF: an index of all commodities; and index of non-fuel commodities; and index of fuel commodities. The correlation between movements in trade value and price is clear. With the slowdown in exports for most merchandise trade exporters, it is expected that transport patterns will also shift markedly, with many countries in the region looking towards new markets in the Asia and Pacific region. The geography of trade is also changing due to the structural changes that are occurring in some economies; changes in trade and tariff policy; improvements in transport infrastructure; and changes in manufacturing and supply chain practice. As can be seen from Table I-2, the proportion of exports of developing countries in Asia sent to destinations within the region is about one-half, a figure which has only risen slightly since 2000, from 48.9 per cent to 50.4 per cent. What is significant, however, is the significant shift in the relative importance of the two major Asian importers: China and Japan. Historically, Japan has been a major importer of merchandise produced by the developing countries of Asia. However, between 2000 and 2009, the share of Asian exports destined for China increased between 2000 and 2009 from 8.4 per cent to 12.5 per cent, making China the single most important Asian destination, and raising it to a level of importance similar to the United States and the European Union as an export destination. During the same period, the share of exports headed for Japan declined from 11.3 per cent to I. Introduction: Transport Development Prospects Against a Backdrop of Economic Uncertainty 3 Table I-2. Direction of exports for selected economies and subregions (percentage share), 2000-2009 To From Central Asia Developing Asia China Japan United States European Union Others 2000 2009 2000 2009 2000 2009 2000 2009 2000 2009 2000 2009 9.2 11.2 4.1 10.5 0.5 0.6 1.7 5.5 28.1 34.0 56.4 38.3 Armenia 7.8 12.5 0.2 2.5 0.1 0.1 12.6 9.4 36.9 43.5 42.5 32.0 Azerbaijan 7.1 18.3 0.3 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 11.4 63.6 41.7 28.6 27.8 Georgia 16.2 28.4 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.4 2.2 3.2 24.0 20.8 57.2 46.6 Kazakhstan 5.4 4.5 6.8 15.6 0.1 0.8 2.1 4.0 23.0 36.6 62.6 38.5 Kyrgyzstan 29.0 45.3 8.8 4.6 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.6 37.6 4.0 23.9 45.5 Tajikistan 16.5 13.4 0.4 39.8 N/A 0.3 0.1 0.1 30.1 10.7 52.9 35.7 6.4 17.4 0.3 1.2 N/A 0.0 0.5 3.0 21.5 24.4 71.3 53.9 23.6 23.2 0.5 6.5 3.2 1.9 1.5 1.7 26.8 8.2 44.3 58.5 28.1 11.7 14.3 11.4 6.9 21.8 15.0 15.2 16.1 13.9 19.6 16.3 8.0 20.4 18.0 16.1 19.3 14.3 21.2 34.1 51.0 5.5 4.4 23.0 11.5 15.5 12.4 11.8 10.1 Turkmenistan Uzbekistan East Asia China 32.9 33.5 Hong Kong, China 10.2 10.6 Republic of Korea 23.8 21.7 10.2 22.6 11.3 5.7 20.9 9.9 13.7 12.2 20.2 28.0 4.0 1.3 49.8 73.9 1.5 0.2 24.3 0.7 7.7 11.9 12.6 12.0 38.2 34.9 2.9 26.6 11.2 7.1 23.6 11.6 15.2 10.4 8.8 9.4 20.8 1.6 5.4 3.6 1.7 24.2 12.6 26.3 23.7 26.9 35.8 46.0 58.0 3.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.9 24.9 35.3 4.3 13.1 12.5 5.4 5.8 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.8 31.7 20.2 40.1 47.9 21.5 24.6 19.2 22.4 1.8 6.1 4.1 1.9 21.1 11.0 24.1 20.9 29.8 37.7 Mongolia Taiwan, Province of China South Asia Afghanistan Bangladesh India Maldives 32.0 33.6 N/A 0.1 4.1 1.3 44.0 2.5 18.5 53.9 1.4 8.6 Nepal 44.5 66.2 N/A 0.7 1.4 1.6 27.4 8.2 23.0 14.2 3.7 9.2 Pakistan 18.5 19.3 2.6 5.5 2.6 0.5 24.9 18.0 27.7 24.3 23.6 32.3 Sri Lanka 8.6 11.1 0.1 0.9 4.2 2.3 40.1 20.5 28.2 38.7 18.9 26.6 South-East Asia 37.4 41.9 3.7 9.9 12.6 9.4 18.2 9.9 14.4 11.2 13.7 17.7 Brunei Darussalam 36.2 33.7 1.8 4.0 40.7 46.8 12.0 0.6 3.6 0.5 5.8 14.4 Cambodia 8.2 46.5 2.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 65.4 31.1 20.5 14.3 2.9 6.3 Indonesia 33.1 40.6 4.2 9.4 22.1 15.3 13.0 8.9 13.7 11.2 13.7 14.5 Lao People’s Dem. Rep. 43.4 44.3 1.5 20.0 2.8 1.6 2.2 2.7 26.0 11.4 24.1 20.0 Malaysia 40.3 41.6 2.9 11.8 12.3 9.6 19.5 10.7 13.3 10.6 11.7 15.8 Myanmar 35.2 71.0 5.6 9.8 5.4 5.2 22.0 0.0 16.4 3.3 15.5 10.7 Philippines 30.5 31.8 1.6 7.3 13.4 15.5 27.3 16.8 16.5 19.5 10.7 9.0 Singapore 44.1 52.1 3.8 9.6 7.3 4.5 16.7 6.4 13.5 9.4 14.7 18.0 Thailand 30.8 34.1 3.9 10.4 14.2 10.1 20.5 10.8 15.7 11.6 15.0 23.1 Viet Nam 25.8 22.7 10.3 8.5 17.2 10.8 4.9 19.6 20.0 16.2 21.9 22.3 The Pacific 11.2 12.5 5.2 5.2 10.3 7.3 5.3 2.7 11.1 8.5 56.9 63.8 Fiji 14.3 16.8 0.0 0.1 4.1 4.4 21.1 14.5 16.5 11.4 44.0 52.9 7.6 10.6 6.5 4.1 11.2 7.9 1.3 1.2 10.2 8.1 63.2 68.1 Papua New Guinea Samoa 18.1 11.5 0.1 5.4 0.3 0.6 10.6 3.8 3.0 1.0 67.9 77.7 Solomon Islands 43.3 17.7 12.0 52.9 20.7 2.0 0.7 0.3 10.6 8.9 13.6 18.2 0.4 48.5 12.8 30.0 23.8 6.5 1.9 8.7 18.4 Tonga 42.7 Tuvalu 6.3 Vanuatu 60.7 64.2 0.4 0.7 18.7 13.2 9.7 1.1 5.7 15.1 4.8 5.7 Developing Asia 29.2 30.8 8.4 12.5 11.3 7.1 20.3 13.3 15.6 15.7 15.1 20.6 Source: ADB, Asian Development Outlook 2011. 4 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Figure I-2. Comparison of movements in trade value with selected price indices, 2006-2011 300 250 Index 200 150 100 50 0 20 06 Q 1 20 06 Q 2 20 06 Q 3 20 06 Q 4 20 07 Q 1 20 07 Q Value of trade 2 20 07 Q 3 20 07 Q 4 20 08 Q 1 20 All index 08 Q 2 20 08 Q 3 20 08 Q 4 20 09 Q 1 20 09 Q 2 20 Non-Fuel index 09 Q 3 20 09 Q 4 20 10 Q 1 20 10 Q 2 20 10 Q 3 20 10 Q 4 20 11 Q 1 Energy index Source: Trade index created by Porthcawl Pty. Ltd. from WTO quarterly trade series, downloaded from WTO website; price indices from IMF, World Economic Outlook Database. Both downloaded 22 September 2011. 7.1 per cent. These trends underline the emergence of China as an engine for subregional and intraregional trade.1 Outside of the region, the diversification of trade destinations is the most marked feature of the change between 2000 and 2009. Exports to both the European Union and the USA declined, while the share of exports sent to other non-Asian countries increased sharply from 15.1 per cent to 20.6 per cent. The decline in the share of the USA over the 2000 to 2009 period is particularly sharp; in 2000, the United States was clearly the most important single trading partner for the developing economies of Asia, accounting for over 20 per cent of total exports. By 2009, this had fallen to 13.3 per cent – significantly lower than the share of the European Union. Given the sluggish growth and uncertain short- to mid-term prospects of most developed economies, further diversification of export destinations away from the traditional North American, Japanese and European markets will be the key to future export growth in the region. As noted in the Asian Development Bank’s Asian Development Outlook 2011, “Given their reversals in the recent crisis, industrial economies are unlikely to drive demand in the world economy any time soon. With their strong prospects for growth, the economies of the South should take up the slack. Potentially, the rising consumption of emerging economies and the new investment flows within the South can be new sources of growth for the world economy – but only if the economies of the South become more open to trade and capital flows.” The opening of these economies to trade and capital flows is supported by the rise of preferential trade agreements (PTAs) and regional trade agreements (RTAs) in the region, with most ESCAP member states now signatories to one or more PTAs. This approach of governments to trade agreements and the emerging new system of agreements has been referred to as “new regionalism”.2 The principal regional 1 Asian Development Bank, Asian Development Outlook 2011, Oxford University Press, Hong Kong, 2011. Ramkishen S. Rajan, “Trade Liberalization, New Regionalism and Poverty Reduction in Asia and the Pacific”, paper prepared for Expert Group Meeting on Regional Trade Agreements in Asia and the Pacific, Bangkok, 30-31 January 2003, ESCAP website, http://www.unescap.org/ 2 I. Introduction: Transport Development Prospects Against a Backdrop of Economic Uncertainty 5 trade agreements, and the overlapping membership of these agreements, are summarised in Figure I-3.3 Despite the number and breadth of RTAs in the region, however, the level of intra-subregional trade is relatively low, with much of the growth derived from trade with China. According to ESCAP, this may be because intraregional trade in the ESCAP region is more market driven than RTA driven.4 It also notes that while China has served as the region’s “trade locomotive” it will be difficult for it to sustain its role, given that the drop in demand for Chinese goods in its main export markets will also depress demand for the intermediate goods imported by China from the region. Trade and transport costs in the region, including non-physical barriers at border crossings, also remain high. The upgrading and development of transport infrastructure in the region will therefore have to be accompanied by the systematic removal of such barriers through trade and transport facilitation measures if the benefits of the RTAs are to be fully realized. Figure I-3. Principal regional trade agreements involving ESCAP member states Axes of Consolidation and Integration in Asia Source: ESCAP Private Participation in Infrastructure Development and Financing One of the strategies for addressing the current global downturn has been fiscal stimulus measures involving infrastructure investment. At the same time, however, governments face budget constraints. This has led to renewed interest in private sector involvement for financing infrastructure development and operations. Globally, estimates based on the World Bank’s Private Participation in Infrastructure (PPI) database showed that the aggregate value of transport projects in developing countries that have been completed with private participation between 1990 and 2010 was approximately US$ 1,669 billion, over half of which was in the ESCAP region.5 This was spread across 2,600 projects, including nearly 700 in the transport sector. 3 The Asia-Pacific Trade Agreement (APTA), which is the new name of the Bangkok Agreement that was concluded under the auspices of ESCAP in 1976, is one of the oldest PTAs in the region. Other RTAs include the Association of South-East Asian Nations (ASEAN) Free Trade Area, the Commonwealth of Independent States Free Trade Agreement (CISFTA) for North and Central Asia, the Pacific Island Countries Trade Agreement (PICTA) for the Pacific and the South Asian Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA) for South Asia. 4 ESCAP, Asia-Pacific Trade and Investment Report (Bangkok, 2011). 5 Based on analysis by Porthcawl Pty. Ltd. of data from the World Bank PPI database. 6 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 The 1997 Asian financial crisis then led significant drop in the number of PPI projects in all sectors, and the number of project continued to decline through to 2000. However, in the following years, confidence was gradually regained until, in 2006, total PPI projects again reached their 1993 level, with 207 PPI projects in all sectors, with a further increase to 219 in 2007. The recent global financial crisis saw a significant fall in all sector PPI projects, with the number of projects registered in ESCAP developing countries falling to 155 in 2008 and then to 144 in 2009, before a modest recovery to 159 in 2010. Projects in the energy sector dominated PPI projects in the early 1990s, but transport sector projects – and particularly road projects – became more prominent towards the end of that decade. After a surge in 2006, transport sector projects again declined from 2007 to 2009, with only 22 projects recorded in the last year of this period. However, 2010 saw a strong recovery, with 65 transport sector projects achieving financial conclusion (see Figure I-4). Figure I-4. Annual number of infrastructure projects with private participation in ESCAP developing countries, 1990-2010 250 Number of projects 200 150 100 50 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Transport Other Source: Based on data in World Bank Private Participation in Infrastructure Database, viewed at the PPI website http://ppi.worldbank.org/ website, 12 October 2011. Figure I-5 shows that the average size of PPI projects in the transport sector of ESCAP developing countries has fluctuated in the range of US$ 80-400 million from year to year. However, there does not appear to be any consistent trend over time in average project value, with average size of projects over the period 1990 to 2010 being a little over US$ 200 million. Table I-3 shows that, while concessions has been the most common form of private investment in the transport infrastructure of ESCAP developing countries (324 out of a total of 682 projects), the total value of greenfields projects was greater, accounting for over one-half of the total transport sector PPI. The focus of PPI activity in the region has clearly been on the provision of new infrastructure rather than privatization of existing facilities: divestitures and management and lease contracts together represented only a little over 10 per cent of the total value of transport sector PPIs between 1990 and 2010. I. Introduction: Transport Development Prospects Against a Backdrop of Economic Uncertainty 7 Figure I-5. Value of Transport Sector PPI projects in ESCAP developing countries, million US$, 1990-2010 25,000 US$ million 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 0 Source: Based on data in World Bank Private Participation in Infrastructure Database, viewed at the PPI website http://ppi.worldbank.org/ website, 12 October 2011. Table I-3. Number and value of PPI projects in the transport sector of ESCAP developing countries, by investment type, 1990-2010 Number of PPIs Value of PPIs (US$ millions) Concession 324 51,478 Divestiture 55 12,173 281 71,498 22 4,769 682 139,918 Type of PPI Greenfield project Management and lease contract Total Source: Based on data in World Bank Private Participation in Infrastructure Database, viewed at the PPI website http://ppi.worldbank.org/website, 12 October 2011. Meanwhile, Figure I-6 shows that there has been a significant change over time in the distribution of transport PPI activity within the ESCAP region. Prior to the 1997 financial crisis, PPI activity in South-East Asia was a major component of regional PPI activity; however, activity in this subregion decline sharply during the crisis, and has never returned to its earlier heights. From 2005 onwards, however, there was a rapid increase in PPI activity in South and South-West Asia. As PPI activity in East Asia fell away under the influence of the global financial crisis in 2007 and 2008, transport sector PPI activity in South and Central Asia held up comparatively well. In 2010, transport sector PPI activity in South and South-West Asia, and in North and Central Asia, was at an all-time high. China and India between them accounted for nearly two-thirds of total transport sector PPI activity in the region (Figure I-7). Six other countries – Malaysia, Turkey, Russian Federation, Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines – between them accounted for a further 30 per cent. In terms of subsector, during the period 1990-2010, 51.5 per cent of the total private investment in transport infrastructure (a total of US$ 72 billion) was in the road sector. The next largest tranche of private sector investment was in the seaports of the region, with a total investment over the period of over US$ 30 billion), or 21.7 per cent of the total. The remaining 26.8 per cent was split fairly evenly between investment in railroads (13.5%) and in airports (13.3%). 8 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Figure I-6. Value of transport PPI projects by subregion, 1990-2010 25,000 USD million 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 East and North-East Asia North and Central Asia South and South-West Asia South-East Asia Source: Based on data in World Bank Private Participation in Infrastructure Database, viewed at the PPI website http://ppi.worldbank.org/ website, 12 October 2011. Figure I-7. Geographic location of transport sector PPI projects in developing ESCAP member countries (share of the investment from 1990 to 2010) Source: Based on data in World Bank Private Participation in Infrastructure Database, viewed at the PPI website http://ppi.worldbank.org/ website, 12 October 2011. Note: Others include: Armenia, Bangladesh, Cambodia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Maldives, Myanmar, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Uzbekistan, and Viet Nam. I. Introduction: Transport Development Prospects Against a Backdrop of Economic Uncertainty 9 There is general agreement that private financing will continue to pay a vital role in the development of Asia’s transport infrastructure for the foreseeable future: “Experts agree that the opportunities for private capital investment into the regions infrastructure are set to rise exponentially over the next 10 years, and many governments are now actively courting private involvement. A recent report by global consultancy McKinsey estimated that, over the next 10 years, US$ 1 trillion of the projected 8 trillion in infrastructure projects in the region will be open to private investors under public-private partnerships (PPPs).”6 These developments have prompted renewed interest in initiatives to diversify sources of finance for future infrastructure investment and to provide additional support and encouragement to private sector investors. Some of these sources include foreign exchange reserves, pension funds, and private savings. For example, the region’s response to the Asian currency crisis of 1997 was comprised of domestic austerity measures combined with an export-driven recovery. This has led the foreign exchange reserves of Asian economies to increase at an annual average rate of 21.5 per cent per year since 2000. From around 21.9 per cent of regional GDP in 2000, reserves had increased to 40.5 per cent in 2008 – a massive US$ 3,371 billion.7 The scale of the accumulated reserves, which exceed by a considerable margin the liquidity needs of the region, has provided the capacity – and arguably the necessity – of using some of these reserves to fund investments in real assets: “Much of the research strongly indicated that at the margin, additional reserves were subtracting from rather than adding to national welfare in the region. Therefore, it would be logical to surmise that many reserve-rich Asian countries could improve their welfare by slowing down or even reversing their reserve build-up. The best way to have done this would have been not to accumulate so much reserves in the first place, for example by not running large and persistent current account surpluses or by liberalizing restrictions on capital outflows. However, given that there is a substantial amount of surplus reserves already accumulated and managed by regional central banks and monetary authorities, the second-best solution might be to manage at least a portion of such reserves more actively with the goal of maximizing returns rather than managing liquidity. The notion that developing Asia should reallocate some of its reserves from safe and liquid but low yielding assets to less safe and liquid but high-yielding assets is not only politically popular, but also economically sound”.8 One asset class that could provide such an alternative is regional infrastructure, including regional transport infrastructure, but this will require the development of suitable financial instruments and institutions. A significant step in this direction has recently been taken with the establishment of the ASEAN Infrastructure Fund. ASEAN countries hold over US$ 700 billion in reserves, an increasing share of which is held in sovereign wealth funds with a broad investment mandate, but these funds have largely been invested outside of ASEAN, and outside Asia. The ASEAN Infrastructure Fund is intended to direct at least part of these funds to financing ASEAN’s future infrastructure needs. Broadly modelled on the European Investment Bank, the Fund is being established with an initial equity contribution of US$ 485.2 million, of which US$ 335.2 million will come from nine ASEAN members. The remaining US$ 150 million is being provided by the Asian Development Bank. With projected 70 per cent co-financing by ADB, it is expected to leverage more than US$ 13 billion in infrastructure financing by 2020.9 A number of ESCAP countries also have very substantial public sector savings and investment funds intended to help meet the anticipated obligations of government to provide pensions for ageing populations. The Japan Government Pension Investment Fund (JGPIF), the largest in the world, currently controls assets estimated at US$ 1,400 billion (larger than the GDP of Canada). Historically, the investment practices of these funds have been extremely conservative – for instance, nearly two-thirds of the JGPIF’s 6 Nicholas Lord, “Infrastructure: Changing Lanes, Emerging Markets”, 5 May 2011. Available from website of Emerging Markets, http://www.emerging markets.org (accessed 8 October 2011). 7 Donghyun Park and Andrew Rozanov, “Asia’s Sovereign Wealth Funds and Reform of the Global Reserve System”. Available from Asian Development Bank website, http://aric.adb.org (accessed 20 October 2011). 8 Ibid, p. 6. 9 Asian Development Bank news release, “Innovative Fund to Pave Way for Infrastructure Boom”, 25 September 2011. 10 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 funds are invested in Japan Government Bonds.10 However, there is a good fit for the needs of these funds to generate sound, stable returns over the long term and requirements of infrastructure financing: “The idea of investing in infrastructure seems to strike a chord with many pension plan directors and members. Infrastructure feels more “tangible” and “real” than a lot of other complex products and derivative strategies presented to pension funds these days, where they find it difficult to detect the underlying value. In addition, infrastructure is made for the long term, and there seems to be a natural fit with the long-term liabilities of many pension plans. For some people there is also a connotation to sustainable or socially responsible investing, which is an increasingly popular route chosen in particular by public and industry-wide pension plans.”11 A rebalancing of pension fund portfolios to include a greater proportion of infrastructure assets could release significant amounts of capital for needed infrastructure development and at the same time increase the capacity of the funds to support future pension obligations. Recent research undertaken by RREEF Research estimated the 5-year annualised returns over a five year period that includes the Global Financial Crisis, and found that “On a five year basis, listed infrastructure produced a higher Sharpe ratio (a statistic used to measure the return per unit of risk) than many other asset classes”.12 RREEF estimates that for ‘pure play’ listed infrastructure funds (funds that typically own or operate infrastructure assets only) was 8.63 per cent per annum. Total return for these companies are typically driven by stable and long-term income derived from usage fees – that is, the returns mirror fairly closely the returns to direct investments in infrastructure made by unlisted private companies or special purpose vehicles. Figure I-8 shows that this return is considerably in excess of that which could be obtained from investments in government bonds in a range of Asian economies and the USA. Figure I-8. Comparison of return on infrastructure investment and return on government bonds, selected Asian economies and the USA Source: Return on infrastructure assets from RREEF Research A Compelling Investment Opportunity: The Case for Global Listed Infrastructure Revisited. 10-year bond rates from Asian Development Bank, Asian Bonds Online website, http://asianbondsonline.adb.org, accessed 17 October 2011. 10 Chikafumi Hodo, “Japan’s giant pension fund sees asset sales steady next year”, 21 June 2011. Available from Reuters website, http://www.reuters.com (accessed 17 October 2011). 11 G. Inderst, Pension Fund Investment in Infrastructure, OECD Working Papers on Insurance and Private Pensions, No. 32, OECD, 2009. 12 RREEF Research, “A Compelling Investment Opportunity: The Case for Global Listed Infrastructure Revisited”, July 2011, available at http://www.rreef.com (accessed 17 October 2011). I. Introduction: Transport Development Prospects Against a Backdrop of Economic Uncertainty 11 In the future, private savings may also play a much larger role in financing infrastructure in the region. The Asian Development Bank, amongst others, has remarked the magnitude of private savings in Asia, the potential to use these fund to fund future infrastructure, and the very limited extent to which this potential is, at present, realised. “The binding constraint for infrastructure development in Asia is not a lack of financing. On the contrary, Asia is flush with capital. The countries accounting for 95 per cent of Asia’s total investment needs – China, India, Japan, Republic of Korea, Malaysia, Thailand, and Viet Nam – all have high domestic savings rates. The real constraints include a lack of bankable projects; inadequate policy and institutional frameworks; weaknesses in the public sector that hamper its capacity to implement infrastructure projects (except in the China); weak support for PPPs (except in Republic of Korea, Malaysia, and, recently, India); and underdeveloped domestic and regional capital markets, especially bond markets.”13 However, the experience of two financial crises – the Asian currency crisis of 1997 and the more recent global financial crisis – have also demonstrated the sensitivity of the private sector’s appetite for funding infrastructure investments, and its ability to do so, to conditions in global financial markets. Perhaps more fundamentally, the mixed outcomes (from the private sector perspective) of PPI projects have prompted a re-assessment of the level and nature of the risks involved in infrastructure investments. One particular area in which governments are being called upon to bear more of the risk is demand risk. Toll road projects in which developers bear the full risk of demand shortfalls are now more difficult to finance. Strategies for sharing or transferring demand side risk include availability payments (adopted in the case of Peninsula Link road in Australia14 ); shadow tolls; capital subsidies (used for example in India and the Russian Federation)15 and minimum traffic or revenue guarantees. 13 Asian Development Bank/Asian Development Bank Institute, Infrastructure for a Seamless Asia (Tokyo, 2009). 14 Partnerships Victoria, “Peninsula Link: Project Study”, viewed on the Partnerships Victoria website, http:// www.partnerships.vic.gov.au (accessed on 17 October 2011). 15 Cesar Queiroz and Ada Karina Izaguirre, Worldwide trends in private participation in roads: growing activity, growing government support, Gridlines No. 37, available at http://www.worldbank.org (accessed on 17 October 2011). 12 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 II. Railways 13 II. RAILWAYS A. National Railway Sector Development While countries – especially developing ones – have been investing substantial amount of resources into funding the development of modern roads and highways, the enthusiasm for rail development has fluctuated over time. Since the late 1990s, concerns over issues such as greenhouse gases, fossil fuel dependency and energy efficiency have led to renewed interest in the inherent quality of rail. As a result, a number of governments are once again considering rail as a viable transport option and rail infrastructure development projects are once again on the agenda. However, the extent of rail infrastructure development and the utilization of the rail mode offer a contrasting picture across the region. Table II-1 below shows railway route-kilometres, defined as the sum of the distances (in kilometres) between the mid-points of all stations on the network, for a number of selected member countries in the ESCAP region as well as the most common track gauges in use in each country. Table II-1. Railway route length (excluding branch lines) and most common track gauge in selected ESCAP countries Country Route length Afghanistan1 2 Armenia 3 Australia Gauge (mm) Country Route length Gauge (mm) 75 km 1,520 Malaysia5 1,658 km 1,000 826 km 1,520 Mongolia4 1,810 km 1,520 7 New Zealand 7,791 km 1,067 Azerbaijan4 34,163 km 2,080 km 1,520 Myanmar5 5,460 km 1,000 Bangladesh5 2,835 km 1,000 1,676 Nepal5 53 km 1,676 602 km 1,000 Pakistan2 7,791 km 1,676 1,000 91,000 km 1,435 Russian Federation4 85,280 km 1,520 Cambodia6 China5 4 5 Georgia 1,570 km 1,520 Republic of Korea 3,557 km 1,435 DPR Korea4 5,235 km 1,435 Singapore5 23.5 km 1,000 7 1,463 km 1,676 616 km 1,520 5 63,974 km 1,676 Sri Lanka Indonesia5 6,535 km 1,067 Tajikistan4 Islamic Republic of Iran4 6,221 km 1,435 Thailand5 4,071 km 1,000 Japan3 20,035 km 1,067 1,435 Turkey2 9,594 km 1,435 Kazakhstan4 14,210 km 1,520 Turkmenistan4 3,110 km 1,520 4,230 km 1,520 2,350 km 1,000 India Kyrgyzstan 4 Lao People’s Democratic Republic5 417 km 1,520 Uzbekistan 3.5 km 1,000 Viet Nam4 4 1 Asian Development Bank; 2 International Union of Railways, statistics (2010); 3 Consultant; 4 OSJD bulletin of statistical data on railway transport for 2009 (published 2010); 5 Government sources; 6 Toll Co. Ltd.; 7 Railway Directory, 2011. In 2009, the assessed total route length of railway networks across the ESCAP region was estimated at slightly over 388,500 route-kilometres. However, while most countries – except Pacific Island countries or countries with excessively high mountainous terrain such as Bhutan – operate a rail network, just five out of these 30 countries (Australia, China, India, Japan and the Russian Federation) account for 76 per cent of this route length. Given its recent fast-pace development of high-speed lines, China – with 91,000 route-kilometres – has now the most extensive rail network in the ESCAP region, slightly over the Russian Federation’s network of 85,290 route-kilometres and ahead of India’s network of nearly 64,000 route-kilometres. Other large networks in the region are also to be found in Australia, Japan and Kazakhstan with 34,000 route-kilometres, 20,000 route-kilometres and 14,200 route-kilometres, respectively. At the other extreme, 14 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 a number of ESCAP countries have very small networks. These include Armenia, Cambodia, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan, all of which have under 1,000 km of railway routes. For obvious reasons, countries with vast land areas tend to have most rail track while those with high-density population will have a greater penetration of the rail network. It is therefore useful to post overall route-kilometres indicated in Table II-1 against countries’ land area and population. Table II-2 shows the top and bottom five countries in terms of national network-to-area ratio, while Table II-3 shows the top and bottom five countries in terms of rail network route-kilometres by population. Table II-2. National rail route-kilometres-to-area ratio16 – top and bottom five countries Top five Ratio Bottom five Ratio Japan 52.9 km Kyrgyzstan Democratic People’s Repubic of Korea 43.3 km Mongolia 2.1 km 1.2 km Singapore 36.7 km Nepal 0.3 km Republic of Korea 34.0 km Afghanistan 0.11 km New Zealand 28.7 km Lao People’s Democratic Republic 0.02 km Table II-3. National rail route-kilometres-to-population ratio17 – top and bottom five countries Top five Ratio Bottom five Ratio New Zealand 1.90 km Indonesia 0.022 km Kazakhstan 0.97 km Bangladesh 0.019 km Russian Federation 0.60 km Singapore 0.005 km Georgia 0.36 km Afghanistan Armenia 0.28 km Lao People’s Democratic Republic 0.002 km 0.0006 km The greatest density of rail networks is observed in Japan, with nearly 53 kilometres of rail route per thousand square kilometres (km/’000 km2). Other smaller countries such as Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, New Zealand, Singapore and Sri Lanka also have densities in excess of 20 km/’000 km 2 . Apart from Japan, of the five countries with the longest route-kilometres, only India stands out against the other large networks with a density of just under 20 km/’000 km2 compared to China’s 9.5 km/’000 km2, Russia’s 5 km/’000 km2 and Australia’s 4.4 km/’000 km2. The adoption of electric traction by the railway organizations of the region has long been considered as a measure of their preparedness to accept cost-saving advanced technology and an indication of their preference for environmentally friendly methods of operation. However, the development of new-generation diesel-operated locomotives and closer scrutiny as to how the electricity that feeds the power grid of individual rail networks is produced may lead to a revision of this thinking. Table II-4 shows the total electrified route-kilometres in those countries and their share in each individual network. So far only sixteen, i.e. under half, of the railways in Table II-1 have embraced electric operation. Together they total 137,000 km of electrified route-kilometres, i.e. slightly over 35 per cent of the region’s overall railway route-kilometres. The figures show that ESCAP member countries vary greatly in the level of rail network electrification. In terms of electrification to route-length, Georgia and Armenia top the table with 94.6 per cent and 87 per cent of their networks being under electric traction, respectively. They are followed by the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea with 81 per cent of its network electrified and Japan, the Republic of Korea and Azerbaijan which each have 60 per cent of their networks under wire. In terms of overall electrified route-kilometres, the Russian Federation has the most extensive electrified 16 17 Per thousand square kilometres of area. Per thousand inhabitants. II. Railways 15 Table II-4. Electrified route-kilometres in member countries Country Electrified % of route-km network Armenia1 719 km 87 Japan2 2 Australia 2,649 km 7.8 Kazakhstan3 Azerbaijan3 1,251 km 60 42,000 km 46 4 China 4 India Islamic Republic of Iran3 1,486 km 12,230 km 61 4,054 km 28.5 Malaysia4 330 km 20 Pakistan1 305 km 4 3 81 Russian Federation 43,165 km 50.6 94.6 Republic of Korea4 2,150 km 60.4 Democratic People’s Republic of Korea 4,220 km Georgia3 1 18,927 km 30 Turkey 148 km 2.4 Uzbekistan3 Sources: 1 International Union of Railways, statistics (2010); (published 2010); 4 Government sources. Electrified % of route-km network Country 2 Consultant; 3 2,791 km 29 589 km 14 OSJD bulletin of statistical data on railway transport for 2009 network, with over 43,000 kilometres of electrified routes, i.e. over 50 per cent of the country’s total network. It is followed by China and India with 42,000 km and 18,900 km of electrified routes, respectively. Although the rail network in Australia is the fourth largest in the region at 34,163 kilometres, only 7.8 per cent of it is electrified. From a subregional perspective, the Caucasus region and South-East Asia are the subregions with, respectively, the most and least electrified networks. In Central Asia, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan are not electrified at all. In South Asia, the railways of Sri Lanka and Bangladesh are not electrified at all and the railways of Pakistan only marginally so. In North and North-East Asia, the railways of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea and Mongolia are also not electrified. In Western Asia, only 2.4 per cent of the railways of the Islamic Republic of Iran are electrified and a sizeable 29 per cent of the railways in Turkey. B. Railway Traffic Trends This section contains an assessment of the trends in the freight tonnage, tonne-kilometre, and average freight haul as well as the passenger numbers and kilometres for a selection of countries in the region. This data has been sourced from rail industry publications and databases, country statistical yearbooks and other government publications. 1. Railway freight traffic: net tonnes Table II-5 illustrates trends in railway freight tonnage (net tonnes) for a selection of ESCAP member countries over the period 1995-2010. Of the selection of countries represented, the highest absolute total growth in railway freight tonnage for the period occurred in China: between 1995 and 2009, its railway freight tonnage increased by 1,740 million tonnes. Australia and India recorded the second and third highest growth in freight rail tonnage over this period, with an increase of 474.6 and 468.4 million tonnes respectively. In the case of Australia the key factor that contributed to the relatively high growth in rail freight tonnes is the boom in iron ore and coal exports. Kazakhstan’s growth in absolute terms was the next highest at 160.4 million tonnes. A nearly 200 per cent growth in volumes occurred in Cambodia but this from a tiny base of 56 million tonnes and is only measured over a two year period. Aside from Cambodia’s experience, however, in percentage terms, the Region’s most impressive rate of growth over the period from 1995 to 2009 occurred in two Central Asian countries, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan with compound average growth rates of 14.5 and 11.4 per cent respectively. Annual average growth rates in three other countries in North and Central Asia, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia, were also relatively high for the region, ranging from about 6 per cent to 10 per cent. Either no growth or negative growth occurred in five countries in the region. In the Philippines, for example, in the four years from 1995 to 1999 for which there is data, rail freight volumes fell at an average annual rate of 73 per cent to the extent that it virtually ceased to exist in 1999. Negative growth rates, albeit 16 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table II-5. Trends in railway freight tonnage in the ESCAP region Subregion East and North-East Asia Growth Country Freight traffic (’000 tonne) CAGR From To First Year Last Year China 5.4% 1995 2009 1,593,460.0 3,333,480.0 Japan -3.6% 1995 2009 52,103.0 31,058.0 5.1% 1996 2009 7,458.0 14,172.0 39,218.0 Mongolia -2.4% 1995 2010 56,073.0 North and Republic of Korea Armenia 5.7% 1995 2006 1,625.0 3,000.0 Central Asia Azerbaijan 6.1% 1995 2009 9,073.0 20,800.0 Georgia 9.8% 1995 2009 4,656.0 17,131.0 Kazakhstan 3.9% 1995 2010 207,320.0 367,735.0 Kyrgyzstan 14.5% 1995 2009 899.0 5,981.6 Tajikistan 11.4% 1995 2009 3,199.0 14,546.0 Thailand 3.2% 1995 2007 8,100.0 11,881.0 Turkmenistan 1.1% 1995 2009 22,164.0 25,925.0 Uzbekistan 1.4% 1995 2009 66,599.0 80,893.0 Australia 5.9% 1995 2000 381,900.0 852,540.0 New Zealand 8.9% 1995 2000 9,600.0 14,700.0 South and Bangladesh 1.8% 1995 2008 2,600.0 3,280.0 South-West Asia India 6.1% 1995 2009 364,955.0 833,383.0 Pacific Islamic Republic of Iran South-East Asia 3.1% 1995 2009 21,401.0 32,817.0 Pakistan -0.1% 1995 2008 7,356.0 7,234.0 Sri Lanka 4.3% 1995 2007 1,200.0 2,000.0 Cambodia 188.2% 1996 1998 56.0 465.0 0.0% 1995 2009 5,249.0 5,231.0 Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Viet Nam 8.7% 1990 1999 1,600.0 3,400.0 -73.4% 1995 1999 20.0 0.1 4.3% 1995 2009 4,500.0 8,159.0 Source: Porthcawl Pty. Ltd. estimates, based on data from the Railisa database maintained by UIC, available at http://www.uic.org less dramatic than in the Philippines, also occurred in Japan (-3.6 per cent) and the Republic of Korea (-2.4 per cent), while rail freight volumes in Malaysia remained virtually static during the period from 1995 to 2009. 2. Railway freight traffic: net tonne-kilometres A net tonne-kilometre (tonne-km) represents one net tonne of freight transported for one kilometre. A “net-tonne”, as distinct from a “gross tonne”, includes the weight of the freight consignment and its packaging, but excludes the weight of the railway wagon. When aggregated across a railway system, “net tonne-kilometre” provides a measure of the work done by the system, or the task of the railway system, in moving freight traffic. Table II-6 compares the freight traffic task (tonne-km) across a selection of ESCAP countries. It shows a substantial difference in total freight task and growth in freight task, within and between ESCAP subregions. For example, in 2009, China recorded a freight traffic task approximately 1,240.3 billion tonne-kilometre greater than in 1995, representing a 4.9 per cent annual increase. In terms of freight traffic, China’s publicly owned and operated Chinese Railways network is the world’s second largest behind that of the United States of America. Apart from China, in aggregate tonne-km terms, India, Australia and Kazakhstan handled the highest freight volumes and recorded the largest absolute increases in the total freight task, with increases of 301.9, 157.6 and 88.7 billion tonne-kilometres respectively. II. Railways 17 Table II-6. Trends in railway freight traffic task (tonne-km) in the ESCAP region Subregion East and North-East Asia CAGR From To First Year Last Year 4.9% 1995 2009 1,283,601.0 2,523,917.0 Japan -1.4% 1995 2009 24,747.0 20,432.0 9.1% 1996 2009 2,541.0 7,852.0 Republic of Korea Central Asia Armenia -2.4% 1995 2010 13,712.0 9,452.0 5.0% 1995 2005 403.0 654.1 10,021.4 Azerbaijan 11.6% 1995 2008 2,409.0 Georgia 11.1% 1995 2009 1,246.0 5,433.0 3.7% 1995 2010 124,502.0 213,174.0 Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Pacific Freight traffic (m tonne-km) China Mongolia North and Growth Country 4.5% 1995 2009 403.0 744.5 Tajikistan -3.5% 1995 2009 2,115.0 1,282.0 Thailand -0.2% 1995 2007 3,242.0 3,161.0 Turkmenistan 2.3% 1995 2009 8,568.0 11,765.0 Uzbekistan 2.0% 1995 2009 16,800.0 22,227.0 Australia 6.1% 1995 2000 99,700.0 257,320.0 4,078.0 New Zealand 5.0% 1995 2000 3,202.0 South and Bangladesh 1.8% 1995 2008 689.0 870.0 South-West Asia India 5.8% 1995 2009 249,564.0 551,448.0 Pakistan 0.7% 1995 2008 5,661.0 6,187.0 Sri Lanka -0.1% 1995 2007 137.0 135.0 Cambodia 17.5% 1997 2003 35.0 92.0 3.9% 1995 2009 11,865.0 20,247.0 South-East Asia Islamic Republic of Iran Malaysia -0.2% 1995 2009 1,416.0 1,384.0 Myanmar 3.3% 1995 2004 659.0 885.0 -20.5% 1995 2004 6.0 0.8 6.3% 1995 2009 1,751.0 4,139.0 Philippines Viet Nam Source: Porthcawl Pty. Ltd. estimates, based on data from the Railisa database maintained by UIC, available at http://www.uic.org While a number of countries have achieved, to varying degrees, an increase in freight task between 1995 and 2009, a number have experienced decreases. As Table II-6 above details, these countries include Japan, Republic of Korea, Tajikistan, Thailand, Sri Lanka, Malaysia and the Philippines. 3. Railway freight traffic: average freight haul distances The average distance over which rail freight traffic moves is one of the indicators of the financial viability of the rail freight business. It is widely accepted that average freight hauls of less than about 300 kilometres are unlikely to generate sufficient net revenue to be able to offset fixed costs, unless they involve regular high tonnage shipments (of the type which can be generated in the region by container feeder train movement between ports and inland terminals). When a railway carries freight between 500 and 5,000 kilometres, it is thought to be able to compete against road and air transport: road transport is better suited to distances below 500 kilometres, while sea transport is usually more economical for the transport of freight over journeys over 5,000 kilometres.18 Figure II-1 compares average freight-haul distances across a selection of countries in the ESCAP region. As with other rail data presented in this section of the Review, the latest date for which information is available differs between countries. The size and the shape of the country strongly influences the average haulage distance. It is therefore not surprising that the average distance over which rail freight is carried varies widely between ESCAP countries. According to the most recently available rail data, the average 18 World Bank, World Development Indicators 2005 (Washington, D.C., 2005). 18 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Figure II-1. Average freight haul distances (kilometres) in the ESCAP region Russian Federation (2008) Pakistan (2008) Kazakhstan (2009) China (2009) India (2009) Japan (2009) Islamic Republic of Iran (2009) Mongolia (2009) Viet Nam (2009) Turkmenistan (2009) Azerbaijan (2009) Philippines (1998) Myanmar (1999) Georgia (2009) New Zealand (2000) Uzbekistan (2009) Thailand (2007) Bangladesh (2008) Malaysia (2009) Australia (2000) Republic of Korea (2009) Cambodia (1998) Kyrgyzstan (2009) Armenia (2006) Tajikistan (2009) Sri Lanka (2007) 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 Kilometres Source: Porthcawl Pty. Ltd. estimates, based on data from the Railisa database maintained by UIC, available at http://www.uic.org haulage distance in seventeen of the twenty-six countries for which data is available is less than the 500-kilometre distance, below which road transport is likely to be more economical than rail. Among this group of countries, haulage distances are under 200 kilometres in Sri Lanka, Tajikistan, Armenia, Kyrgyzstan, and Cambodia. At the other end of the spectrum, the average haulage distance in the Russian Federation is exceptionally long, i.e. almost 1,600 kilometres. In terms of average haulage distance, Pakistan ranks second at 855.3 kilometres. In seven other countries, i.e. China, India, Islamic Republic of Iran, Japan, Kazakhstan, Mongolia and Viet Nam, the average haulage distance lies between 500 and 800 kilometres. 4. Composition of the rail freight task Comprehensive and consistent data on what cargoes are hauled by rail is not readily available. However, information available on the composition of the rail freight task on a selection of the region’s largest rail networks can provide some insight into the nature and composition of the freight rail task. The mix of commodities carried on four of the region’s major rail systems is shown in Figure II-2. It is clear that bulk commodities dominate the freight carried by each of the selected railway systems. Fuels are particularly important in all cases, contributing between approximately 30 per cent (Pakistan) and nearly 50 per cent (India and Russian Federation) of the total freight task. Construction materials are also important on all systems, as are agricultural products and inputs to agriculture. Only in India and Pakistan is container traffic explicitly recorded as an important element of the freight task. II. Railways 19 Figure II-2. Commodity composition of rail freight, selection ESCAP economies Pakistan Russian Federation Coal and coke Oil and petroleum Ores and minerals Iron and steel Grain and flour Chemicals and fertilizer Cement Lumber Other Coal and minerals Building materials Fertilizer Agriculture Petroleum Containers Goods in transit Other 0 10 20 30 40 50 Share of total net-tonne kilometres (%) 0 10 20 30 40 50 Share of total net-tonne kilometres (%) China India Coal Iron ore Cement Foodgrain Fertilizers Iron and Steel Mineral oils Limestone and Dolomite Sugar Salt Stone (inc gypsum) Other Coal Petroleum Minerals Iron and steel Building materials Agriculture Other 0 10 20 30 40 50 Share of total net-tonne kilometres (%) 0 10 20 30 40 50 Share of total net-tonne kilometres (%) Source: Data for Pakistan, China and Russian Federation from Paul Amos, Freight Transport for Development Toolkit: Freight Transport, World Bank (Washington, D.C. 2009). Data from India from Indian Railways Statistical Report for 2009-2010. C. Rail Services Recognizing early on that intermodal transport using rail for the main leg of a journey between origin and destination provided an opportunity to facilitate intra and inter-regional trade, ESCAP has worked closely with concerned member countries to organize demonstration runs of container block trains, particularly along the Trans-Asian Railway Northern Corridor. Other organizations such as the Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO), have also been active in the same area. In 2009, ECO collaborated with the railway concerned to organize demonstration runs of container trains between Istanbul (Turkey) and Almaty (Kazakhstan) and more recently container trains ran both ways on the 6,500-km route between Islamabad and Istanbul via Tehran in slightly over fourteen days, it carried 20 containers with 750 tonnes of freight.19 The Almaty-Istanbul and Islamabad-Tehran-Istanbul trains have now been turned into regular commercial services. By and large, efforts to develop intermodal traffic have mostly been confined to three countries, namely: China, India and the Russian Federation. With its manufacturing base and millions of containers passing through its ports every year, China, more than any country, has a vital economic interest in developing efficient intermodal interfaces along its major rail routes. In 2010, containerized cargo was still estimated to account for only 2.4 per cent of Chinese Railways’ overall cargo transport20. Yet, this low figure should not hide that the fact that the Government of China and Chinese Railways have for a number of years recognized the growing importance of this specific business segment and allocated substantial resources to its development. For example, Chinese Railways has introduced double-stack container services on a number of domestic routes together with the introduction of new specialized wagons and the development of more powerful locomotives. Recently, Chinese Railways rolled out the newly-engineered JT56ACe diesel-electric locomotive with a speed of 120 km/h, a tractive force of 620 kN and the capability to run in multiple units of up to three locomotives.21 19 Christopher Jackson, “A long way to go”, Railway Gazette International, 29 August 2009, viewed on Railway Gazette International website, http://www.railwaygazette.com (accessed 31 December 2009). 20 “Linked up?”, Containerization International, March 2011. 21 “EMD unveils 4.47 MW Chinese diesel”, International Railway Journal, September 2008. 20 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 China is a major transit country for intermodal operation to/from landlocked countries of the region, in particular Mongolia and the landlocked republics of Central Asia. As of July 2011, Chinese Railways was operating an average 3.5 trains per week and per direction between the port of Tianjin and Ulaanbaatar through the Erenhot/Zamyn Uud border point. Meanwhile, it was operating 7 trains per week to Central Asia through the Alanshankou/Dostyk border point and another 2.5 and 1.5 trains per week to Central Asia from Qingdao and Tianjin, respectively. In 2010, 229,104 TEUs were handled at the Alanshankou/Dostyk border crossing point, up 25 per cent over 2009.22 Chinese Railways are also continuing to introduce new landbridge services to European destinations. In particular, in May 2011, a 5-days-a-week direct rail freight service was launched the Belgium Port of Antwerp and Chongqing, the latest industrial hub to develop in the south-west region of China. As compared to the 36 days it takes for maritime transport from east China’s ports to west Europe, the Antwerp-Chongqing Rail Freight service takes 20 to 25 days with the objective of further reducing transit times to 15 to 20 days in future. While westbound cargo largely includes automotive and technological goods, eastbound shipments are mostly chemicals. The service, run by Swiss inter-modal logistics provider Hupac, their Russian partner Russkaya Troyka and Eurasia Good Transport, runs over 10,000 km from the port of Antwerp through Germany, Poland, Ukraine, the Russian Federation and Mongolia before reaching Chongqing in China. In July 2011, another service was launched between Chongqing and Duisburg (Germany). Hauling laptops and LCD screens, the train was routed through Kazakhstan, the Russian Federation, Belarus and Poland and covered the distance of over 11,000 km in less than 16 days. The above developments in the area of services would be of little impact if they were not supported by the emergence of modern intermodal facilities at strategic locations across china’s vast geographical area. Here too, Chinese Railways has taken action to integrate its major freight corridors via a network of 18 logistics hubs. Such hubs have already started operation at Kunming, Shanghai, Chongqing, Chengdu, Zhengzhou, Wuhan, X’ian, Qingdao and Dalian, and nine more are due to be commissioned in 2012 at Tianjin, Harbin, Beijing, Guangzhou, Lanzhou, Ningbo, Shenyang, Shenzhen, and Urumqi.23 Given its east-west distances and its unique position for transit between Asia and Europe, the railways of the Russian Federation are also implementing a number of policies and projects to attract international intermodal traffic onto their network, in particular along the Trans-Siberian (TSR) main line. Intermodal operation along the TSR is nothing new as container block-trains were already routinely operated along the line in the days of the Soviet Union. However, the market potential of the line has expanded with the growth in international trade that came after the break-up of the Soviet Union. Aware of this potential, Russian Railways have already implemented a series of infrastructure projects aiming at increasing capacity along the route by completing double-tracking and electrification along the entire line. Other projects have involved the upgrading and double-tracking of the KarimskayaZabaikalsk line section linking the border crossing point between the Chinese and Russian networks to the TSR, upgrading of installations at border stations, including Naushki at the border with Mongolia and Zabaikalsk at the border with China, the lengthening of passing loops to accommodate longer trains, the construction of new lines to remove bottlenecks around the cities of Perm and Chita, installation of modern IT systems and improvement of the interface between railway and shipping in the ports of Vostochny and Nakhodka. Altogether Russian Railways are planning investment in the order of US$ 5.5 billion in the period to 2015 for railway development along the TSR between Nizhniy-Novgorod and Nakhodka.24 The above projects aim at fulfilling the realization of the Transsib-7 project by which Russian Railways expect to cut transit time between the port of Nakhodka in the Russian Far-East region and locations on the western border of the country, i.e. Krasnoe and Saint Petersburg, from fourteen days in 2008 to under 7 days by 2015. Russian Railways expect that these projects and policies will result in a five-time increase of rail-carried containers between Asia and Europe. 22 23 24 KAZTRANSSERVICE JSC, June 2011. “Linked up?”, Containerization International, March 2011. Russian Railways JSC, December 2009. II. Railways 21 Box II-1. Trial run for Chongqing-Duisburg service New test train from Chongqing, with 16 days journey time, is the attractive forerunner for planned regular services from the Chinese hinterland. A container train from Chongqing in China arrived yesterday night in Duisburg after travelling for scarcely 16 days. For the 10,300-kilometer journey along the so-called Southern route, the DB Schenker train, which was commissioned by a global company, completed the journey in about half the time that would have been necessary taking the sea route. The route taken by the train went south of Mongolia, through Kazakhstan, Russian Federation, Belarus and Poland to Germany. Previous test trains on several occasions have followed the entire route north of Mongolia taken by the Trans-Siberian Railway, which is 2,000 kilometres longer, but involves less customs formalities. Chongqing, the “city of lights“ on the Yangtze Kiang, with a population of just under 30 million, is one of the largest and fastest growing cities in the world. Located in Sichuan Province in the Chinese hinterland, the city has developed into an important production centre for various industries. Quite a few global companies of different industries operate in Chongqing. The majority of goods exported to Europe currently take the sea route, some are sent by air freight. Transporting the containers to a Chinese seaport alone takes around three days. By the time they get there, the train to Duisburg will have already covered half of its journey through China along the Eurasian Land Bridge. Dr. Karl-Friedrich Rausch, Member of the Management Board of DB ML AG responsible for Transportation and Logistics, commenting on the arrival of the train in the Port of Duisburg, said: “Most important of all, the time taken for the journey from China’s interior, the train’s arrival in the middle of Germany and the possibility of delivering the containers from here to their destinations quickly and safely, demonstrate the attractiveness of our service. We hope that, with the journey now completed, we have once again convinced our customers of the advantages of such a train. According to our planning schedule regular services between China and Germany could begin within this year upon sufficient demand.” Source: Trans-Europe-Logistics, Press release dated 5 April 2011, from website, http://www.trans-europe-logistics.com (accessed 26 September 2011) In addition to the above, to increase the penetration of the TSR into the heartland of Europe, Russian Railways are collaborating with the railways concerned to extend the 1,520-mm-gauge line from Kosice (Ukraine) to Vienna via the Slovak capital at Bratislava25. According to Russian Railways, completion of the US$ 4.3-billion project could increase freight volumes from the Russian Federation to Europe by 60 per cent.26 Finally, Russian Railways is also a major force behind the development of the North-South corridor that will eventually link the Baltic sea to the Persian Gulf via a line that travel from Saint Petersburg to Moscow, down to the border with Azerbaijan and along the western shore of the Caspian sea to the border between Azerbaijan and the Islamic Republic of Iran. However, commission of the corridor requires the completion of the line section between Astara, the Azeri-Iranian border point and Rasht in the Islamic Republic of Iran. In anticipation, Russian Railways have undertaken a series of infrastructure projects along concerned line sections on their territory. Such projects have involved the double-tracking and electrification of the Trubnaya-Aksaraiskaya line section, construction of a new track to facilitate operation around the city of Saratov, reconstruction of the Akhtuba railway bridge near Astrakhan station, the development of a new cross-border station at Verhny Baskunchak as well as upgrading of stations along the route with extension of passing loops.27 Intermodal transport is not new to Indian Railways which inaugurated its first container terminal in 1981 and started to focus more specifically on this market segment in 1988 with the establishment of the Container Corporation of India (CONCOR) to provide efficient and reliable multi-modal logistics support for the country’s domestic as well as international trade. From its original 8 terminals, CONCOR has expanded its network of facilities to include thirty-two terminals dedicated to both international and 25 26 27 JSC Russian Railways, June 2011. “Yakunin reacts swiftly to economic crisis”, International Railway Journal, July 2009. JSC Russian Railways, December 2009. 22 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 domestic trade, eighteen dedicated solely to international trade and nine dedicated solely to domestic trade. Over the years CONCOR has gradually developed into a full logistics provider. In fiscal year 2010-2011, the company handled 2,562,000 TEU, including 2,018,000 in international traffic and 544,000 domestic TEUs.28 It currently operates forty-five international and fifteen domestic trains per day.29 The growing traffic task of CONCOR reflects the growth in India’s international trade and occurs mostly on routes between New Delhi and ports in the western and north-western parts of the country. These ports account for more than 70 per cent of India’s container traffic while 75 per cent of container trains are for Inland Container Depots located in Delhi or the neighbouring states of Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Punjab.30 Although Indian Railways’ freight remains primarily dependent on bulk commodities which until recently accounted for 88 per cent tonnage, most growth potential is in non bulk with container traffic expected to rise from 25 million tonnes a year to 210 millions by 2020.31 In anticipation of this forecast, the Government of India and Indian Railways have supported intermodal development through a series of technical innovations and the introduction of new services, including double-stack operation to Pipavav and Mundra ports. Other initiatives have seen the establishment of new ports and terminals with private sector participation with the objective of adding extra capacity of 10 million TEUs in the period to 2014. ICDs and dry ports providing complete logistics solutions are also being established as an alternative to port-side Container Freight Stations. In an attempt to create a healthier container business, the Government of India launched in 1994 a policy to facilitate the entry of private parties in container train operation. However, the policy got off to a slow start and needed to be revived in January 2006. The rationale behind a revision was spurred by the fact that CONCOR could not cover the domestic sector adequately and that private operators would bring in more rolling-stock and establish more ICDs in hinterland areas. The revised policy created a more conducive environment for private operators resulting in agreements having so far been signed with sixteen operators of which thirteen have started active operation. Together these operators have supplied an additional 115 rakes of container wagons and eight privately-owned ICDs are now in operation with land already procured for more ICDs at other locations. In fiscal year 2010-2011, these private operators handled 580,000 TEUs, i.e. about 17 per cent of India’s rail-carried container traffic. To further encourage private sector investment in rail freight capacity, Indian Railways have launched schemes by which investors can apply for 20-year agreements to establish freight terminals providing added-value logistics services to third parties. The Agreements are based on 50 per cent revenue sharing with Indian Railways with grace period of two and five years in specific cases. The Special Freight Train Operator Scheme enables investors to procure specialized wagons with a minimum investment of three rakes of wagons and an extension of the 20-year Agreement to the vehicle life-cycle.32 The vision of the Government of India and Indian Railways to develop intermodal transport is best illustrated by the planned construction of the 1,483-km western dedicated freight corridor (DFC) that will join Delhi to the port of Mumbai. The US$ 90 billion project incorporates nine Mega Industrial zones of about 200-250 sq. km., high speed freight line, three ports, and six air ports; a six-lane intersection-free expressway connecting the country’s political and financial capitals and a 4,000 MW power plant. Several industrial estates and clusters, industrial hubs, with top-of-the-line infrastructure would be developed along this corridor to attract foreign investment.33 Although the railways of China, India and the Russian Federation handle the largest volumes of TEU, other countries have also taken steps to develop intermodal services. In 2010, the railways of Kazakhstan (KTZ) operated 1,126 container block-trains, up 12 per cent over 2007 and handled 410,860 TEUs, up 10 per cent over 2007.34 In addition to running container block-trains serving its own international trade, especially with Germany and China, KTZ cooperates with railways of neighbouring countries to organize 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 Website of CONCOR at www.concorindia.com Indian Railways, June 2011. Indian Railways, June 2011. “Doubts persist over IR vision”, Railway Gazette International, February 2010. “Private funds sought for freight”, Railway Gazette International, July 2010. Website http://delhimumbaiindustrialcorridor.com Kazakhtransservice JSC, 2011. II. Railways 23 the transit of Asia-Europe land-bridge services through its network, in particular from China to Germany and Russian ports to Uzbekistan. In 2010, KTZ dispatched 195 trains carrying Chinese goods to Western Europe35 with capacity for more. In South-East Asia, Malaysian Railways (KTMB) has also been successful in developing its intermodal operation. Outside of the international scene, KTMB provides 20 container block-trains a day along five main corridors geared mostly to moving Malaysian imports and exports from/to the main ports. Each train can load up to 60 TEUs and operate along the following core routes: Padang Besar to Penang Port (180 km), Penang Port to Port Klang (500 km), Padang Besar to Port Klang (350 km), Pasir Gudang to Port Klang (350 km) and Ipoh to Port Klang (240 km). However, enhancing traffic volumes is proving arduous due to the short distances over which trucking services are proving flexible and cost-effective. While countries in north and north-east Asia have reported progress in boosting their intermodal operation, in other parts of the region – with the exception of India – development has been slower, often due to a lack of investment resources. In south-east Asia even, the once successful container landbridge jointly operated by the railways of Malaysia and Thailand has suffered a drop in popularity amongst shippers. Established in 1999 to provide local shippers with an alternative option to shipping and road services between Port Klang, Malaysia’s largest container port, and destinations in Cambodia, Lao PDR and Thailand, the service gained instant popularity with a number of private logistics providers and saw several years of steady growth in the early 2000s to reach a peak of 60,000 TEUs.36 Yet, few of these providers now book cargo on the 54-TEU-capacity trains. Transit times that took 2.5 days when the service was inaugurated now take 7 days and a provider that used to run eight trains a week in each direction is now operating only two trains.37 In attracting intermodal services, railways need to gain the trust of industry. While good infrastructure will obviously not guarantee that railways provide services matching shippers’ requirements, perception of poor infrastructure will definitely keep them away. In this respect, the Global Competitiveness Report published by the World Economic Forum provides an indication of how rail systems are assessed across the region. On a scale of 1 for extremely underdeveloped to 7 extensive and efficient by international standards, railways were assessed as follows: Highest scores Lowest score Japan (6.5) Pakistan (2.8) Republic of Korea (5.7) Turkey (2.7) Malaysia (5) Kyrgyzstan (2.7) China (4.6) Mongolia (2.6) India (4.4) Thailand (2.6) Australia (4.3) Armenia (2.5) Russian Federation (4.2) Bangladesh (2.5) Azerbaijan (3.9) Viet Nam (2.5) Georgia (3.9) Cambodia (1.8) Kazakhstan (3.9) Philippines (1.7) Source: World Economic Forum, Executive Opinion Survey in The Global Competitiveness Report 2011-2012. D. Trans-Asian Railway Network Development The original TAR concept was to provide a continuous, 14,000 kilometre rail link between Singapore and Istanbul, with the potential to reduce transit times and costs between countries in the region and possibly extending into Europe and Africa. The Trans-Asian Railway network comprises approximately 117,000 kilometres of rail routes (see Map of the Trans-Asian Railway). Table II-7 below outlines the regions and countries along the TAR. 35 36 37 “On the tracks of the silk road”, Railway Gazette International, December 2011. “Neighbours prioritise home improvements”, Railway Gazette International, December 2011. “Intermodal Revolution”, Containerization International, April 2010. R. F. Izmir Toprakkale Khorramshahr Khaneghein Khosravi Jolfa Yerevan ARMENIA Kapikoy Tatvan Van Razi Malatya FERRY CROSSING POTENTIAL TAR LINK TO BE CONSIDERED BREAK-OF-GAUGE TAR LINK - PLANNED/UNDER CONSTRUCTION POTENTIAL TAR LINK 1,000 mm 1,000/1,435 mm 1,435 mm 1,067 mm Aktau Sangan Gwadar Bishkek Karachi Mumbai Khokropar Hyderabad Rohri Lodhran Khanewal Multan Alataw Pass Sitarampur Jolarpettai UNITED NATIONS 2011 MALDIVES Male Colombo SRI LANKA Sri Jayewardenepura Kataragama Kotte Matara Madurai Rameswaram Talaimannar Trincomalee Tuticorin Bangalore BHUTAN KakarvittaThimphu Shiveekhuren Ruili Mandalay Lashio Lao Cai Kunming Hanoi Xian Boten Banda Aceh THAILAND Vientiane Nong Khai Suvannakhet Changsha Hengyang Zhengzhou Beijing Johor Bahru Singapore Merak Bandung Panjang Jakarta INDONESIA Kertapati Banyuangi Surabaya Kalimantan INDONESIA Borneo MALAYSIA Bandar Seri Begawan DEMOCRATIC Grodekovo Suifenhe Ussurijsk Vostochny Khasan Tumangang Nakhodka Rajin Vladivostok Chongjin Khabarovsk PHILIPPINES Shanghai Manila Busan REPUBLIC OF KOREA TIMOR-LESTE Dili Mokpo Gwangyang Daejeon Iksan Seoul OF KOREA Pyongyang PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC Qingdao Dalian Dandong Shenyang Changchun Harbin Lianyungang Nanjing Jinan Tianjin Numrug BRUNEI DARUSSALAM Ho Chi Minh City SINGAPORE Lubuklinggau Muaro Teluk Bayur Naras Kuala Port Lumpur Klang Ipoh MALAYSIA Rantauprapat Belawan Medan Hat Yai Sungai Kolok Tumpat Sihanouk Ville Nakhon Bangkok ratchasima Lamchabang Poipet Port CAMBODIA Sattahip Phnom Port Penh Padang Besar Butterworth Namtok Nakhonsawan Mukdahan Mae Sod Chiang Mai Thanphyuzayat Yangon Erenhot Bichigt Khuut Zabaykalsk Manzhouli Guangzhou Nanning QuanTrieu Shenzhen Hong Kong, China Dong Dang Halong Hai Phong LAO PEOPLE'S Baoshang Yuxi Baoji Naypyitaw Chiang Rai DEMOCRATIC VIET NAM REPUBLIC MYANMAR Kalay Lanzhou Gashuun Sukhait Ereen tsav Choibalsan Zamyn Uud Sainshand Chita Karimskaya Ulaanbaatar Ulan-Ude Tavantolgoi Dali Kachang c Chinese Line Indian Line CHINA Naushki Sukhbaatar MONGOLIA Irkutsk Nariin Sukhait Tayshet Mahisasan Jiribam Tamu Kolkata Chittagong Darsana Dhaka BANGLADESH Shahbazpur Patna Birol Birgunj Chennai Nagpur Vijayawada INDIA Wardha Raxaul Mughalsarai Kanpur Turpan Urumqi Kathmandu NEPAL Brahma Mandi Indian Line Chinese Line Bhopal Mathura New Delhi Attari Wagah Jammu and Kashmir Kashi KYRGYZSTAN Dostyk Aktogai Lokot Novosibirsk RUSSIAN FEDERATION Islamabad Peshawar PAKISTAN Chaman Quetta Spezand Kabul Hairaton Tube Koh-i-Taftan Dalbandin Mirjaveh Bandar-e-Abbas Mointy Astana Lugovaya Arys Tashkent AFGHANISTAN Herat Mashhad Sarakhs Kashmar Fariman Torbat Heidarieh Bandar-eAmirabad Garmsar ISLAMIC Arak Badrud REPUBLIC OF IRAN Chadormalu Esfahan Ardakan Ahvaz Bafq Bandar Emam Zahedan Qom Tehran Qazvin Ashgabat Turkmenabad Bukhara Omsk Petropavlovsk Osh Yangi Bazar Dushanbe TAJIKISTAN Yavan Kulyab Kurgan KAZAKHSTAN UZBEKISTAN TURKMENISTAN Dashowuz Tobol Yekaterinburg Kandagach Beyneu Turkmenbashy annd Bandar-e-Anzali raa Astara Baku Poti GEORGIA m mu Samur Tbilisi Yalama Batumi Dogukapi AZERBAIJAN Cetinkaya Iskenderun Track Gauges Mersin Makat Uralsk Ganushkino Ozinki Kotelnich Astrakhan Olya Volgograd Krasnodar Novorossiisk Veseloe Rostov Likhaya Moscow Kavkaz Samsun TURKEY Ankara Eskisehir Istanbul 1,676 mm 1,520 mm Kapikule Syzemka Krasnoe St. Petersburg Buslovskaya TRANS-ASIAN RAILWAY NETWORK Figure II-3. Map of the Trans-Asian Railway Network (2011) Tokyo JAPAN PAPUA NEW GUINEA 24 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 II. Railways 25 1. Missing links A “missing link” is an absence of physical connection between the railway networks of neighbouring countries, or an absence of continuous railway infrastructure within one country. Local geography such as lakes and seas may cause interruptions to railways, as is the case with Lake Van and the Bosphorus in, respectively, the eastern and western parts of Turkey. Missing links between networks of neighbouring countries occur either because the link was never there in the first place (for example, between China and Myanmar) or because it ceased to exist due to political events – for example, between the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea and the Republic of Korea. In total, the TAR network still includes 10,500 kilometres of missing links. While continuous rail infrastructure already connects North-East Asia38 and Europe, the infrastructure is somewhat less coherent in other subregions when it comes to cross-border rail connections. Table II-7. Overview of the Trans-Asian Railway Region Network length (kilometres) Countries 1. Existing lines South-East Asia Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Malaysia, Myanmar, Singapore, Thailand, Viet Nam 13,900 North-East Asia China, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Mongolia, Republic of Korea, Russian Federation 45,000 Central Asia, Caucasus, Islamic Republic of Iran, and Turkey Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Islamic Republic of Iran, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Turkey, Uzbekistan 29,750 South Asia Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 17,650 Sub-total: 106,300 Total TAR network: 116,800 2. Missing links 10,500 Source: ESCAP, Priority Investment Needs for the Development of the Trans-Asia Railway Network, ST/ESCAP/2557, 2009. Table II-8 below summarizes the missing links in the TAR network as well as the countries concerned and the status of the link. Such elements as the importance of the link in regional economic development or trade may influence the decision to support a particular project. However, the trafficgenerating potential of each route compared with the cost of constructing the necessary infrastructure will no doubt be a crucial factor, especially if private sector investments are to be sought. Table II-8. Missing links in the Trans-Asian Railway network Link Countries Concerned Distance (km) Estimated Cost (US$ million) Central Asia and the Caucasus region, including the Islamic Republic of Iran and Turkey Gagarin-Meghri Armenia-Islamic Republic of Iran 469.6 2,000 Tatvan-Van Turkey 240 N/A Qazvin-Rasht-Anzali-Astara Islamic Republic of Iran 370 969 Azerbaijan Kars-Akhalkalaki Balykchi-Arpa Uzgen-Arpa-Torugart-Kashi 12.4 981.4 Turkey 76 Georgia 29 105 420 Kyrgyzstan 357 2,000 Kyrgyzstan 270 2,000 China 38 8.2 378.2 China, Kazakhstan, Korean Peninsula, Mongolia, Russian Federation. 26 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table II-8. (continued) Link Countries Concerned Arak-Khosravi-Khaneghein Islamic Republic of Iran-Iraq Sangan-Herat Islamic Republic of Iran Afghanistan Distance (km) Estimated Cost (US$ million) 566 (up to border) 820 77 78 114 (61 + 53) 75 (for 61-km) 191 153 570 1,000 China/North/North-East Asia Thannaleng-Kunming Lao People’s Democratic Republic China Lashio-Dali Denchai-Tachilek-Jinghong 599 2,980 1,169 3,980 Myanmar 142 480 China 350 2,162 492 2,642 Thailand 326 Myanmar 195 China 141 589 2,138 South-East Asia Sisophon-Aranyaprathet Cambodia 48 80 Thailand 6 0.5 54 80.5 257 480 Bat Deng-Trapeang Se/ Cambodia Loc Ninh-Hanoi Viet Nam Vientiane-Mu Gia-Vung An Lao People’s Democratic Republic Viet Nam Bua Yai-Savannakhet Thailand Lao People’s Democratic Republic Ubonratchatani-Pakse-Savannakhet- Thailand Devsavanh-Dong Ha Lao People’s Democratic Republic Viet Nam Namtok-Thanpyuzayat 129 949 385 1,429 450 2,342 119 143 569 2,485 283 908 4 6.3 287 914 90 288 415 710 84 226 589 1,224 Thailand 153 491 Myanmar 110 246 263 737 South Asia Dalbandin-Gwadar Pakistan 515 1,250 Dohazari-Gundum Bangladesh 129 300 Kalay-Jiribam Myanmar 127 98 India 219 649 346 747 II. Railways 27 Over the period 2009-2011, heightened interest has been expressed to put in place the missing links and a number of initiatives are being implemented. Through a tripartite agreement between the governments of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Azerbaijan and the Russian Federation, the Iranian Islamic Republic Railways is constructing the 380-kilometre Qazvin – Astara line section that will complete the North-South Corridor and offer direct rail movement between the Baltic Sea and the Persian Gulf through the Russian Federation and Azerbaijan with connection to Western Europe and the Indian subcontinent. The first phase of this rail linkage, between Qazvin and Rasht is nearing completion. In another development, the Governments of Azerbaijan, Georgia and Turkey are cooperating to construct a 105-kilometre rail section between Kars (Turkey) and Akhalkalaki (Georgia). Costing an estimated US$ 420 million, the project is part of the Kars-Tbilisi-Baku project with additional investment aiming at double-tracking and electrifying the entire corridor. The Government of Azerbaijan has committed US$ 775 million to the project, while the Government of Georgia has committed to build the Tbilisi by-pass to ease movement around the capital. Yet, if the required funding is allocated to planned projects, no progress will be more impressive than in South-East Asia which, to date, has the longest route-kilometres of missing links on the TAR network. In the period 2009-2011, a number of feasibility studies have been finalized on all missing links and pledges of financial support have been expressed from governments under national plans or bilateral assistance, in particular under the drive of the Ministry of Railways of China regarding rail infrastructure development between the province of Yunnan and neighbouring countries, i.e. Lao People’s Democratic Republic and Myanmar. Related projects form an integral part of the transport plan developed by the ASEAN secretariat under its “Brunei Action Plan” of November 2010 that recognizes that “an efficient, secure transport network is vital for realizing the full potential of regional economic integration as well as further enhancing the attractiveness of the region as a single production, tourism and investment destination”.39 While recognizing that, due to financial constraints, the Singapore-Kunming Rail Link (SKRL) project has progressed slowly, the Plan lists as one of its goals the establishment of “efficient integrated, safe and environmentally sustainable regional road and rail corridors linking all members and regional trading partners”.40 Further the Plan stipulates that the “political motivation to complete the SKRL is significantly high” and sets 2020 as the year by which the eight missing links shown below will be completed, thereby rail-connecting all ASEAN countries.41 In many countries, the construction of the missing links is part of wider national programmes to enhance rail transport infrastructure. In Cambodia, network rehabilitation is driven under a 30-year concession agreement to Toll Holdings Ltd. to operate and maintain the existing railways. The Agreement became operative in October 2009. In Viet Nam, rail development projects follow the Railway Law of 2008 establishing the country’s Railway Development Strategy to 2020.42 Countries Links Distance (km) Target year for completion Cambodia Poipet-Sisophon 48 2013 Cambodia Phnom Penh-Loc Ninh 255 2015 Lao People’s Democratic Republic Vientiane-Thakek-Mu Gia 466 2020 Myanmar Thanbyuzayat-Three Pagoda Pass 111 2020 Thailand Aranyaprathet-Klongluk 6 2014 Thailand Three Pagoda Pass-Namtok 153 2020 Viet Nam Loc Ninh-Ho Chi Minh 129 2020 Viet Nam Mu Gia-Tan Ap-Vung Ang 119 2020 39 ASEAN secretariat, Brunei Action Plan, I. Introduction. ASEAN secretariat, Brunei Action Plan, II. ASEAN Transport Sector: Accomplishments and Challenges. 41 ASEAN secretariat, Brunei Action Plan, III. Strategic Goals, Actions and Milestones for 2011-2015. 42 Report of the 13th Special Working Group Meeting on Singapore-Kunming Rail Link, Nay Pyi Taw, Myanmar, 18 October 2011. Progress report by Cambodia. 40 28 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 China for its part has continued over the period to channel resources into upgrading its existing links and further extending them to their ASEAN neighbours. Towards Viet Nam, the Yuxi-Mengzi (141 km) and Mengzi-Hekou (141.4 km) line sections are expected to be completed in 2012 and 2013, respectively. Towards Lao People’s Democratic Republic, capacity expansion on the Kunyang-Yuxi line section (49 km) is ongoing and expected to be completed in 2012, while a feasibility study on the extension of the line from Yuxi to Mohan at the border with Lao People’s Democratic Republic is in progress. Finally, towards Myanmar, capacity expansion of the Kunming-Guangtong line section (94 km) is due for completion in 2013, while similar work on the Guangtong-Dali section (175 km) started in 2011. As regards the missing link, construction is in progress on the first section from Dali to Baoshan (133.6 km) with 2013 targeted for completion. The remaining section to the border point at Ruili is under preliminary design.43 Other missing links have been earmarked as priority projects by concerned countries such as the 219-kilometre Jiribam-Moreh line section that will extend India’s rail system to the border with Myanmar. However, in early December 2011, following political disagreement between the local government of the north-eastern state of Manipur and the central government in Delhi, construction was halted on the first section between Jiribam and Tupul.44 Overall, according to ESCAP estimates, building the 10,500 km of missing links in the TAR network will require up from US$ 25 billion, with this figure likely to be revised upwards as past studies are updated. 2. Break-of-gauge As the TAR network traverses an extensive geographical area, it is understandable that its constituent countries have different standards and levels of development. In their most visual form – albeit not the most constraining one – different standards have resulted in the adoption of different track gauges45 by national railways. The mainline railway networks that make up the TAR are comprised of five different track gauges: 1,676 mm, 1,520 mm, 1,435 mm, 1,067 mm and 1,000 mm.46 A break-of-gauge occurs when the railways of neighbouring countries with different track gauges meet at the border. Table II-9 below sums up break-of-gauge points on the TAR network. Discontinuity of track gauge also occurs within individual domestic railway networks47 as in, for example, Bangladesh, India and Pakistan. However, the routes nominated by India and Pakistan as part of the TAR network are all of 1,676 mm configuration. Australia, which due to its geographical location is not a member of the TAR network, also uses different track gauges. Table II-9. Breaks-of-gauge on the Trans-Asian Railway China China China China Russian Federation Turkmenistan Pakistan Armenia Countries concerned Gauge transition Viet Nam 1,435 mm 1,000 mm Russian Federation 1,435 mm 1,520 mm Kazakhstan 1,435 mm 1,520 mm Mongolia 1,435 mm 1,520 mm Democratic People’s Republic of Korea 1,520 mm 1,435 mm Islamic Republic of Iran 1,520 mm 1,435 mm Islamic Republic of Iran 1,676 mm 1,435 mm Turkey 1,520 mm 1,435 mm Bangladesh East Zone West Zone 1,000 mm 1,676 mm 43 Report of the 13th Special Working Group Meeting on Singapore-Kunming Rail Link, Nay Pyi Taw, Myanmar, 18 October 2011. Progress report by China. 44 Source: The Times of India, 10 December 2011. 45 The track gauge is the distance in millimetres between the inner surfaces of each rail. 46 Table 1 in Part A of this chapter indicates the track gauges predominantly used on the region’s individual rail networks. 47 Various techniques exist to overcome these discontinuities. They include transshipment (manual or mechanical), bogie exchange and the use of variable gauge bogies. II. Railways 29 In a number of other countries, gauges different from the predominant one exist on spur lines located in the vicinity of territorial limits to facilitate cross-border movements. Thus China, which operates a mostly standard gauge (1,435 mm) network, has a metre gauge line section from the border with Viet Nam to Kunming and Viet Nam which operates a mostly metre-gauge network has a number of short standard gauge or dual gauge48 lines in the north of the country to facilitate traffic with China. In other cases, the railways of the Russian Federation have extended a broad gauge line (1,520 mm) over 54 km into the territory of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea to reach the port of Rajin and the broad gauge utilized by Pakistan (1,676 mm) extends into the territory of the Islamic Republic of Iran to Zahedan. Recognizing that break-of-gauge points can be an obstacle to smooth operation, a number of railways have invested resources to enhance the efficiency of cross-border stations where a break-of-gauge occurs. Thus, modernization of yard infrastructure has been implemented by Russian Railways at Zabaykalsk and Kazakh Railways at Dostyk to facilitate cross-border movements to and from China. In 2011, Russian Railways completed the rehabilitation of the 54 km line section from Khasan at the border with the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea to its port of Rajin and initiated collaboration with the railways of Austria, Slovakia and Ukraine on a US$ 4.3 billion project to construct a broad gauge line from Kosice (Ukraine) to Vienna via the Slovak capital at Bratislava to reach deeper into the heart of Europe.49 While it is unlikely that individual railway organizations will envisage re-gauging their entire network in the near term, Bangladesh and India have adopted policies to convert their existing metre-gauge and narrow gauge line sections to broad-gauge. In Bangladesh, where the policy is relatively new, Bangladesh Railway has started to ‘dual-gauge’ a number of line sections to facilitate movement between the East Zone, which operates on metre-gauge, and the West Zone, which operates predominantly on broad gauge. As of 2010, 375 km of routes had been dual-gauged.50 In India, “Project Unigauge” was launched in fiscal year 1990-1991 with the conversion to broad gauge of Jaipur-Sawai Madhopur, Delhi-Rewari, Mahesana-Viramgam and Chhapra-Aunrihar. Since then, Indian Railways has allocated part of its annual budgets to the project. 1,516 kilometres and 837 kilometres of track were converted during 2009-2010 and 2010-2011, respectively, and a target of 1,017 km has been fixed for 2011-2012.51 Finally, it must be noted that additional break-of-gauge points will appear on the TAR network when some of the missing links are in place. This will be the case in 2013 when the Kars (Turkey) – Akhalkalaki (Georgia) section is completed. Although not yet designated to be part of the TAR network, the soon-to-be-completed new 677-km corridor from Uzen in Kazakhstan to Gorgan in the Islamic Republic of Iran via Turkmenistan will also create a break-of-gauge at the border between the Islamic Republic of Iran and Turkmenistan. E. Selected Investment Projects in the Railway Sector Table II-10 summarizes selected railway investment projects in the ESCAP region completed during the past five years, currently committed to or in progress, or planned for commencement within the next five years. As with the table of selected road infrastructure projects, the list is not intended to be comprehensive, but presents a sample of some of the more significant construction undertakings in the region. 48 Dual gauge involves the provision of two track gauges on a single track foundation through the insertion of a third rail. Ukraine operates on a broad gauge line similar to the one in the Russian Federation, while the railways of Austria and Slovakia operated on standard gauge. 50 Bangladesh Railway, Information Book, 2010. 51 Rail Business, “Gauge Conversion and Execution of New Route Kilometers on Indian Railways”, 28 August 2011 through www.railbizindia.com 49 30 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table II-10. Selected railway infrastructure development projects in the ESCAP region (as of 2011) Country/Region Afghanistan Selected railway investment projects Hairatan to Mazar-e-Sharif Railway Project Status Completed Overview: The Project involved the construction of a new 75-kilometre (km) railway line between Hairatan at the border with Uzbekistan and Mazar-e-Sharif in Afghanistan. The Project represents a first phase of a larger rail network planned across the north and other parts of the country, including links to Herat, Tajikistan, and Pakistan. It forms part of the Transport Strategy and Action Plan agreed under the Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation (CAREC) Programme. Funding: US$ 170 million, ADB, Government of Afghanistan. Status: Construction of the railway line and related facilities has been completed, and preparations are progressing to establish commercial operations of the new line. Completion date: September 2011. Armenia-Islamic Republic of Iran Sevan to Meghri Railway Project In Progress Overview: Islamic Republic of Iran and Armenia agreed on the joint construction of a 470-kilometre railway, passing through Armenian territory and including the missing link Vanadzor – Fioletovo/Dilijan). The project will connect Armenia’s rail network to the Islamic Republic of Iran’s Persian Gulf ports. It also has economic significance for Armenia’s Syunik region, for its mining, agricultural and construction sectors. Funding: US$ 1.5 billion. In 2009, Russia announced its intention to participate in the railway and committed part of the $ 100 million required for the first 31 km section of the rail line. Completion date: 2014-2015. Australia 2009-2018 Hunter Valley ARTC Nation Building Programme In Progress Overview: A package of projects aimed at increasing rail capacity along a key commodity supply corridor in New South Wales. Notable features include additional (duplication and/or triplication) tracks, new signalling systems and higher-capacity passing loops. Funding: AU$ 508 million. Completion date: 2012, in phases. Azerbaijan, Georgia, Turkey Rehabilitation and construction of Marabda-Kartsakhi Baku-Tbilisi-Kars TAR and linkage Overview: As part of a programme to establish a railway connection between Azerbaijan, Georgia and Turkey, the project involves the construction and rehabilitation of the Marabda-Kartsakhi Baku-Tbilisi-Kars section of the TAR network in these three countries. As part of the Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway a new 105 km branch will be built. About 76 kms of this branch will stretch via Turkey and the remaining 29 kms will go through Georgia. Funding: Azerbaijan government loan of USD 575 million to Georgia, with the first tranche of USD 138 million for the rehabilitation and construction of the section between Tetritskaro and Akhalkalaki. The Azerbaijani government is also extending a loan of USD 775 million for construction and rehabilitation of the Marabda border with Turkey (Kartsakhi) section of the TAR. Status: Construction has begun on the linkages in each country. Completion date: 2012. In Progress II. Railways 31 Table II-10. (continued) Country/Region Bangladesh Selected railway investment projects Proposed Multi-tranche Financing Facility and Technical Assistance Grant: Railway Sector Investment Programme Status In Progress Overview: The investment will support two broad programmes: railway sector policy and capacity building reform of Bangladesh Railway (BR) and infrastructure and rolling stock capacity improvement projects to overcome capacity bottlenecks in sectors where such investments are both economically and financially viable, e.g., the Dhaka-Chittagong and the Dhaka-Darsana-Khulna corridors where it can support major direct investment. Status: In April 2010, the ADB called for tenders for the first project: the construction of Double Line Track from Tongi to Bhairab Bazar including Signalling on DhakaChittagong Main Line. Funding: US$ 924 million, ADB, Government of Bangladesh. Completion date: 2013. Bangladesh Construction of Dohazari-Ramu-Cox’s Bazar and Ramu-Gundum metre-gauge line sections of Bangladesh railway network In Progress Overview: First planned in 1890, the 100 km line will start from the current railhead at Dohazari, south-east of Chittagong, and run to Satkania, Dulahazra, Chakarin, Edgaon, Ramu and Cox’s Bazar, with four major river bridges. A 28 km branch will also run from Ramu to the border with Myanmar at Gundum. In effect this will close one of the missing links in the Trans-Asian Railway network, and provide a rail connection between South and South-East Asia. Funding: The estimated cost is about US$ 300 million, which is being co-funded by the Asian Development Bank and the government of Bangladesh. Status: Construction began in April 2011. Completion date: 2013. China Lanzhou-Chongqing Railway Project In Progress Overview: The proposed project is the construction of the Lanzhou-Chongqing Railway starting from the east Lanzhou station and ending at the North Beibei station in Chongqing (Figure I-1). The new line consists of 832.94 kilometre of mainline of which, 799 kilometre is new line. The double-track electrified line will be constructed to MOR’s Class I standards. Its carrying capacity is designed to provide high speed, 200 kilometre/hr passenger trains, as well as lower speed express passenger train service (160 kilometre/hr) and double stack container freight trains at 120 kilometre/hr. Funding: US$ 8.2 billion, ADB, Ministry of Railways (MOR), Sichuan and Gansu Provinces. Completion date: 2015. China Third National Railway Project Overview: Expansion of the capacity of the railway system between Guizhou and Yunnan provinces. The two basic components of the project includes: (1) the electrified railway line between the city of Liupanshui in Guizhou Province and the city of Zhanyi in Yunnan Province will be upgraded to increase its capacity and allow for higher operating speeds of trains; and (2) the capacity of the Ministry of Railways on railway planning, management and technology will be strengthened, through studies, technical assistance and training. Funding: World Bank, US$ 1,165.6 million. Completion date: 2012. In Progress 32 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table II-10. (continued) Country/Region China Selected railway investment projects Guiyang-Guangzhou Railway Status In Progress Overview: The project will provide additional capacity and reduce transport time between south-west China and the Pearl River delta region. The project is the construction of a new double track electrified railway line of about 857 kilometre and railway stations between Guiyang in Guizhou province and Guangzhou in Guangdong province (GuiGuang line). Funding: World Bank, ADB, US$ 12,527 million. Completion date: 2015. China Taiyuan-Zhongwei Railway In Progress Overview: In 2006, the Asian Development Bank approved a loan for the development of the Taiyuan-Zhongwei Railway. The project is designed to promote sustainable economic growth by constructing 944 kilometres of railway between Taiyuan (Shanxi) to Zhongwei and Yinchuan (Ningxia). 520 kilometres of this will be double track (from Dingbian to Yinchuan) and the remaining 424 kilometres will be single track. In 2008, China Railway Electrification Bureau (Group) Co., Ltd. won the construction contract for project at a bidding price of RMB 1.17 billion. Funding: ADB, US$ 300 million. Completion date: 2012. China Dali-Lijiang (Yunnan Province) Railway Project In Progress Overview: Construction of 167 kilometres of single-track, standard gauge, Class I railway, reserved for electrification, between Dali and Lijiang, and expand the capacity of the existing Guangtong-Dali line (Guangda line) to accommodate additional traffic. The new line comprises 11 passenger stations, as well as freight yards. Funding: US$ 548 million, ADB, AFD, Province of Yunnan. Completion date: December 2011. India Dedicated freight corridor projects (Phase I) Overview: In March 2007, the first two (of six) dedicated freight corridors were approved in principle by the Indian government – the Eastern Corridor (RewariVadodara-JNPT), and the Western Corridor (Sonenagar-Ludhiana). They are intended to form the first phase of a freight network totalling around 10,000 kilometres, which is to be developed over the next decade at a cost of approximately US$ 18 billion. The six corridors are aimed at easing capacity constraints on the routes linking the metropolitan regions of New Delhi, Kolkata, Mumbai and Chennai, which at present carry around 80 per cent of India’s rail freight traffic. Funding: Approximately one-third of the initial phase is to be funded through equity and two-thirds from debt. The Eastern Corridor is estimated to cost approximately US$ 3,928 million and the Western Corridor is estimated to cost approximately US$ 3,687 million. Negotiations are underway for loans from the Japan Bank for International Cooperation, World Bank and Asian Development Bank. Status: In June 2011, the Dedicated Freight Corridor Corporation of India (DFCCIL) began a bidding process to select Indian and Japanese joint venture partners to finance and build the 1,490-km western corridor. The construction will occur in two phases. The first will be a 1,000 km stretch between Rewari in Haryana and Vadodara in Gujarat. Completion date: 2016 for 1st phase, 2017 for entire network of 3 phases of two corridors. In Progress II. Railways 33 Table II-10. (continued) Country/Region India Selected railway investment projects Construction of Jiribam-Moreh (India)/Tamu (Myanmar)-Kalay section of rail connection between the two countries. Status In Progress Overview: Ministry of Railways sanctioned the construction of rail link in 2004. This project will extend a linkage between Jiribam – Tupul, which has been under construction since 2004, from Tupul to Imphal, and from there to Moreh. When completed, the railway will connect India’s north-eastern state of Manipur with Myanmar. This is a missing link in the southern corridor of the Trans-Asian Railway and its construction will progress the establishment of a rail link between India and China via northern Myanmar. On the Indian side of the border the total length of the link between Jiribam and Moreh is 219 km and the section between Jiribam and Imphal is 98 km. Funding: The estimated cost of building the section between Jiribam and Imphal is US$ 589 million which is being funded by Manipur state and federal governments of India. Status: The project has been designated as a ‘national project’ to reflect its importance and the need for it to be quickly implemented. Construction has begun. Completion dates: Jiribam-Tupul: 2014; Tupul-Imphal: 2016. Indonesia Indonesia High-Speed Rail Jakarta Bandung Surabaya Announced Overview: In 2008, it was announced that the Department of Transportation was seeking investors for a 683-kilometre high speed line between Jakarta and Surabaya. Funding: US$ 6.14 billion. The intention of the Indonesian Government was to finance the project through public private partnerships. Status: In 2010 the Directorate of Railways of the Ministry of Transportation called for expressions of interest from Consortia interested in participating in a public private partnership to develop the railway. In August 2010, feasibility studies were conducted by consortia, and proposals were reported to have been submitted by Chinese, French, and German firms. Completion date: No completion date available yet. Islamic Republic of Iran-KazakhstanTurkmenistan Islamic Republic of Iran-Turkmenistan-Kazakhstan Railway Project Planned Overview: The total route of the railway is 1,000 kilometres, of which 90 kilometres would be in the Islamic Republic of Iran, 700 kilometres in Turkmenistan and 210 kilometres in Kazakhstan. Funding: US$ 650 million, Islamic Development Bank. Completion date: 2012. Mongolia South Gobi-People’s Republic of China Railway Development Programme Overview: The Project will construct and operate approximately 225 kilometres of railway located in Mongolia’s South Gobi Desert from Ukhaa Khudag (UHG) coal mine to Gashuun Sukhait on the Mongolia – PRC border in the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region of the PRC. The principal needs for the railway are to export coking coal, copper, and other mineral resources originating from various mines in South Gobi to PRC. Funding: US$ 243 million, ADB, private sector (undisclosed). Completion date: No completion date available yet. Planned 34 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table II-10. (continued) Country/Region Sri Lanka Selected railway investment projects Upgrading of Colombo-Matara railway line Status In Progress Overview: The upgrade/construction of a railway line linking Colombo-Matara is split into two stages. During the first stage, the existing rail line will be strengthened by adding new rails and sleepers. During the second stage, a dual railway line will be constructed from Kalutara South to Matara. Funding: Sri Lankan Government, US$ 34 million and foreign funding (by way of loan or grant) of US$ 137 million. Completion date: Stages 1 and 2 of the project are due for completion by 2012. Sri Lanka Matara-Kataragama Railway line Extension (Stage 1 and 2) In Progress Overview: The construction of a 110-kilometre railway line between Matara and Kataragama is aimed at benefitting commuters who travel to the remote areas of Matara by promoting economic development and inter-regional connectivity. The first stage of the project involves the construction of 27 kilometres of track between Matara and Beliatta. The second stage of the project involves the construction of 83 kilometres of railway between Beliatta and Kataragama. Construction is due to begin late 2007. Funding: US$ 54 million Sri Lankan Government, and foreign funding (by way of loan or grant) of US$ 217 million. Completion date: Stages 1 and 2 of the project are due for completion by 2014. Turkey Ankara-Istanbul High-Speed Train Project In Progress Overview: A new 409-kilometre double-line track will be built between Ankara and Istanbul. The project aims to cut rail travel time between the two cities from 6 hours 30 minutes to 3 hours. The project is split into two phases: the construction of a 251-kilometre railway between Sincan and Inonu, and the construction of a 158-kilometre railway between Inonu and Kosekoy. High speed trains coming from Anatolia will use the Marmaray tunnel, which is being built under the Bosphorus between the two sections of Istanbul, to approach downtown Istanbul. Funding: US$ 2.01 billion, US$ 4,500 million including Marmaray Project. Completion date: 1st phase (Ankara to Eskisehir) completed in March 2009, 2nd phase including Marmaray Project expected to be completed in 2013. Uzbekistan Railways Development Project Planned Overview: The project consists of the rehabilitation of 137 kilometres of track and roadbed between Marokand and Karshi. This single track line is located in the south of Uzbekistan and is linked to both Afghanistan via a rail bridge over the Amudarya River and to Turkmenistan and Tajikistan. Funding: US$ 72 million, ADB, Government of Uzbekistan. Completion date: 2012. Viet Nam Greater Mekong Subregion, Kunming-Haiphong Transport Corridor: Yen VienLao Cai Railway Upgrading Project Overview: The Government of Viet Nam is preparing the Kunming-Haiphong Transport Corridor project to upgrade and rehabilitate transport infrastructure from the Haiphong Port in Viet Nam to Kunming City in China. This component of the corridor project is aimed at upgrading 285 kilometres of railway from Yen Vien to Lao Cai (near the border with China). Funding: US$ 64 million, ADB. Completion date: 2012. In Progress III. Roads and Highways 35 III. ROADS AND HIGHWAYS A. National Road Sector Development Over the past two decades, road length in the ESCAP region has grown at a faster pace than in any other parts of the world. Figure III-1. Annual average growth in road length in selected ESCAP countries China (1990-2010) Lao People’s Democratic Republic (1990-2010) Afghanistan (1990-2006) India (1990-2008) Indonesia (1990-2006) Kyrgyzstan (1990-2006) Malaysia (1990-2006) Republic of Korea (1990-2010) Bangladesh (1990-2010) Pakistan (1990-2010) Armenia (1990-2009) Islamic Republic of Iran (1990-2006) Philippines (1990-2003) Hong Kong, China (1990-2010) Russian Federation (1990-2010) Solomon Islands (1990-2001) Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (1990-2000) Fiji (1990-2001) Turkmenistan (1990-2001) Uzbekistan (1990-2001) Singapore (1990-2010) Azerbaijan (1990-2004) Turkey (1990-2010) Mongolia (1990-2010) Macao, China (1999-2010) Papua New Guinea (1990-2001) Vanuatu (1993-2001) Myanmar (1990-2005) Cambodia (1990-2010) Japan (1990-2006) Sri Lanka (1990-2007) New Zealand (1990-2010) Australia (1990-2010) 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% Average annual rate of growth in road length Source: ESCAP Statistics database 7 September 2011. 6% 7% 36 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 In fact, during this period many Asian countries have doubled their road network length52, which is an enormous achievement by historical standards. Figure III-1 shows the annual average growth in road length for selected ESCAP countries between 1990 and the latest year for which data is available for each country. In this period, the highest rate of road length growth was in China (more than six per cent per year). The growth of road lengths in some other developing countries such as Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India, Indonesia, Kyrgyzstan, Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Malaysia, and Pakistan, was also solid, ranging from about 2.2 to 5.4 per cent year. Table III-1 shows the total road network length in selected ESCAP countries. India and China have the largest road networks in the ESCAP region, each comprising about 4 million kilometres of road. There are now 12 Asian countries with national road length larger than 100,000 kilometres. Table III-1 also lists road density: that is, road length per land area. Road density is a function of both the maturity of an economy’s road network and the geography of a country. Rich countries with a high population density, such as Japan, Singapore, and Macao, China have the highest road density. But poorer countries with high population density can also have quite high road density, as illustrated by the case of Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. Order of magnitude differences in road density between countries with otherwise similar population density show the high potential for increases in road length in many ESCAP developing countries, including India and China. Table III-1 also shows that the sparsely populated developed countries of Australia and New Zealand have the highest road network length per capita in the ESCAP region, whereas Hong Kong, China; Macao, China; and Myanmar have the lowest road length per capita, albeit for different reasons. Table III-1. Road lengths and road densities, various countries Country Road Length (km) Road length (km) per capita (1,000 people) Road length (km) per square km of land area Afghanistan (2006) 42,150 1.34 0.06 Armenia (2009) 10,818 3.50 0.36 Australia (2010) 812,972 36.51 0.11 Azerbaijan (2004) 59,141 6.44 0.68 Bangladesh (2010) 311,065 2.09 2.16 Cambodia (2010) 39,600 2.80 0.22 4,008,200 2.99 0.42 31,200 1.28 0.26 3,440 4.00 0.19 China (2010) Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (2000) Fiji (2001) Georgia (2006) Hong Kong, China (2010) India (2008) Indonesia (2006) Islamic Republic of Iran (2006) Japan (2006) Kazakhstan (2006) Kiribati (2001) 20,329 4.67 0.29 1,987 0.28 1.81 4,110,000 3.36 1.25 506,444 2.11 0.27 172,927 2.34 0.10 1,196,999 9.46 3.17 91,563 5.71 0.03 670 6.70 0.82 Kyrgyzstan (2007) 34,000 6.37 0.17 Lao People’s Democratic Republic (2010) 39,585 6.38 0.17 362 0.67 12.92 90,127 3.17 0.27 Macao, China (2010) Malaysia (2006) Micronesia (Federated State of) (2001) 240 2.16 0.34 Mongolia (2010) 49,250 17.87 0.04 Myanmar (2005) 27,000 0.56 0.04 New Zealand (2010) 94,016 21.52 0.34 52 UNESCAP, 2007, Statistical Yearbook. III. Roads and Highways 37 Table III-1. (continued) Country Pakistan (2010) Papua New Guinea (2001) Road Length (km) Road length (km) per capita (1,000 people) Road length (km) per square km of land area 260,420 1.50 0.33 0.04 19,600 2.86 Philippines (2003) 205,497 2.32 0.72 Republic of Korea (2010) 105,565 2.19 1.06 Russian Federation (2010) Singapore (2010) Solomon Islands (2001) 1,145,000 8.01 0.06 3,377 0.66 4.78 1,391 2.59 0.05 Sri Lanka (2007) 97,286 4.66 1.48 Tajikistan (2001) 31,800 4.62 0.22 680 6.54 0.91 426,951 5.87 0.55 Tonga (2001) Turkey (2010) Turkmenistan (2001) 24,000 4.76 0.05 Uzbekistan (2001) 81,600 2.97 0.18 1,070 4.46 0.09 Vanuatu (2001) Source: Based on data compiled from different sources including ESCAP Statistical database (accessed on 7 September 2011). B. Road Vehicle Fleets and Motorization Trends 1. Road vehicle fleets and vehicle density Despite inconsistencies in data measurement and definition, motorization rates and vehicle density are often used as indicators of a country’s development. Figure III-2 compares the average annual growth in the number of road vehicles in selected ESCAP countries over the period 1993-2008. For the whole ESCAP region, the number of vehicles grew at an average 5 per cent per year, from 128 million in 1993 to roughly 263.5 million in 2008. These estimates include both passenger and commercial registered vehicles, but do not include two-wheelers. The most outstanding growth in road vehicle numbers has occurred in China and Indonesia, with annual average rates of 13 and 11.4 per cent respectively. In addition, at 49 million, the Chinese vehicle fleet was the second largest in the region (after Japan), while Indonesia had the fourth largest at 17 million. The Russian Federation has the third largest vehicle fleet with 35 million vehicles. At the other extreme, road vehicle fleets in Nepal, Japan, and Papua New Guinea grew less than two per cent per year from 1993 to 2008. While the annual rate of growth of road vehicles in Japan was very low, it has the highest number of motor vehicles (75.5 million) in the region. By contrast, Nepal and Papua New Guinea both have very low numbers of motor vehicles, with 139,000 in Nepal and about 56,000 in Papua New Guinea. Australia, Singapore, New Zealand, and Fiji had growth rates between two and four per cent, below the regional average. Among these countries, however, the total number of vehicles in Australia was the 7th highest in the region. With 14 million road vehicles in 2008, this was only 3 million lower than the road vehicle fleet size of the far more populous India. Figure III-3 illustrates the wide range of vehicle densities in the ESCAP region. Vehicle density is the number of road vehicles in a country divided by the length of roads. The variable length of roads is simply the route length and not the lane length, as the latter is not available for most countries. Thus, vehicle density provides only limited information on possible under-provision of road infrastructure or the potential for traffic jams. The average vehicle density in the ESCAP region is roughly 73 road vehicles per road kilometre, comparable to that of Japan. Among the selected economies for which data is available, five stand out with very high vehicle densities of between 240 and 342 motor vehicles per kilometre of road. Not surprisingly in three of these, Hong Kong, China; Singapore; and Brunei Darussalam the road networks are relatively 38 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Figure III-2. Average annual growth in the number of road vehicles, 1993-2008 China (1993-2008) Indonesia (1993-2008) Sri Lanka (1993-2008) Turkey (1993-2008) Republic of Korea (1993-2008) Russian Federation (1993-2007) India (1993-2006) Bangladesh (1993-2008) Kazakhstan (1993-2008) Pakistan (1993-2007) Azerbaijan (1993-2007) Philippines (1993-2007) Brunei Darussalam (1993-2007) Myanmar (1993-2008) Fiji (1993-2008) New Zealand (1993-2008) Singapore (1993-2008) Australia (1993-2008) Papua New Guinea (1993-2007) Hong Kong, China (1993-2008) Japan (1993-2008) Nepal (1993-2007) 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% Average annual increase in number of reigstered motor vehicles (excluding two-wheelers) Source: ESCAP Statistical database (accessed on 7 September 2011). small (between 1,500 and 2,800 kilometres) and passenger vehicle numbers per head of population are very high by comparison with those in other member countries. As another point of comparison, vehicle density in Fiji is 48.12 in a road network that is about 3,000 kilometres, comparable to the size of the road networks in Hong Kong, China; Singapore; and Brunei Darussalam. By contrast with these countries, vehicle densities in Bangladesh, Papua New Guinea, Cambodia, and India range from 1.68 to 8.5 motor vehicles per kilometre of road. 2. Level of motorization Figure III-4 illustrates the level of motorization in selected ESCAP economies, measured as the number of private cars per 1,000 people in a country. At lower levels of development, motorization is a reasonable proxy for GDP per capita, though such correlation would be best if the total number of passenger vehicles (private, public and commercial) with at least four wheels was used in the definition of motorization. As such, it may not be a good indicator of personal mobility. This is particularly the case for the developing economies of South, South-East and East Asia where the share of two and three-wheelers in the national vehicle fleet is often more than 60 per cent, in contrast to other world regions and the developed countries. III. Roads and Highways 39 Figure III-3. Vehicle density in selected ESCAP economies, 2007-2008 Hong Kong, China (2008) 341.77 Republic of Korea (2008) 292.60 Brunei Darussalam (2007) 260.07 Singapore (2008) 240.42 Malaysia (2008) 164.30 Japan (2008) 67.77 Indonesia (2008) 59.92 Fiji (2008) 48.12 China (2008) 41.64 Russian Federation (2007) 39.50 New Zealand (2008) 33.16 Turkey (2008) 27.42 Nepal (2007) 20.29 Kazakhstan (2008) 19.17 Philippines (2007) 17.90 Australia (2008) 17.68 Azerbaijan (2007) 14.50 Myanmar (2008) 13.76 Sri Lanka (2008) 13.04 Pakistan (2007) 11.02 India (2006) 8.48 Cambodia (2005) 7.62 Papua New Guinea (2007) 3.05 Bangladesh (2008) 1.68 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Motor vehicles per km of road Source: ESCAP Statistical database (accessed on 7 September 2011). The overall motorization level of the ESCAP region is estimated at 119 private cars per 1,000 persons, which is slightly higher than motorization in Singapore and Fiji (Figure III-4). Three countries in the region have motorization levels greater than 500 private cars per 1,000 persons: Australia, New Zealand and Brunei Darussalam, with Brunei Darussalam having the region’s highest motorization level at 649 private cars per 1,000 persons. Motorization levels are also comparatively high in Japan and Malaysia at 319 and 298 private cars per 1,000 persons respectively. A number of very populous ESCAP economies still have motorization levels that are one to two orders of magnitude lower than that in developed countries. For example, motorization in Pakistan, India, China, and Indonesia was still as low as 9, 10, 27, and 43 private cars per 1,000 persons, respectively. In other words, current numbers of road vehicles are only a fraction of what they will be in two to three decades, as these populous and rapidly growing economies are expected to continue to experience rapid rates of motorization. 40 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Figure III-4. Motorization rates in selected economies of the ESCAP region, 2005-2008 Brunei Darussalam (2007) New Zealand (2008) Australia (2008) Japan (2008) Malaysia (2008) Republic of Korea (2008) Russian Federation (2007) Kazakhstan (2008) Macao SAR, China (2008) Fiji (2008) Singapore (2008) Kiribati (2007) Armenia (2007) Georgia (2007) Turkey (2008) Turkmenistan (2008) Azerbaijan (2007) Hong Kong, China (2008) Thailand (2003) Mongolia (2008) Samoa (2005) Kyrgyzstan (2007) Indonesia (2008) Bhutan (2008) Tajikistan (2007) China (2008) Sri Lanka (2008) Afghanistan (2008) Cambodia (2005) Micronesia (Federated State of) (2007) Viet Nam (2007) Philippines (2007) Maldives (2008) India (2006) Pakistan (2007) Papua New Guinea (2007) Myanmar (2008) Nepal (2007) Lao People’s Democratic Republic (2007) Bangladesh (2008) 649 616 551 319 298 257 206 164 144 115 114 99 96 95 92 80 72 55 54 48 45 44 43 38 29 27 19 19 18 16 13 11 11 10 9 6 5 3 2 1 0 100 200 300 400 500 Passenger car vehicles per 000 population 600 700 Source: ESCAP Statistical database (accessed on 7 September 2011). C. Road Freight Data on road freight activity in the ESCAP region is extremely limited. Based on available data, Datamonitor has compiled the total road freight task for China; Taiwan, Province of China; India; Republic of Korea; Singapore; Australia and Japan. It estimates that the total road freight for these countries in 2010 was 3.4 billion freight tonne kilometres.53 Figure III-5 shows their estimated growth of the road freight sector over the last five years using a compound annual growth rate has been 6.3 per cent over the four years 2006-2010, with an expected growth of 7.5 per cent through the forecast period. Figure III-6 shows the road freight task in those countries of the region for which this data is available. The task in China, which is in excess of 1 trillion freight tonne kilometres, is clearly the largest in the region. There is no data in the World Development Indicators database for India, but the report on which Figure III-5 is based indicates that, in value terms, the revenue generated by India’s road freight industry is approximately 60 per cent of the revenue generated by the road freight industry of China.54 Using this ratio 53 54 Datamonitor, Road Freight in Asia-Pacific, March 2011. ibid. III. Roads and Highways 41 Figure III-5. Actual and forecast growth of road freight volumes in selected countries of the region, 2006-2015 6,000 Actual Estimated Forecast billion freight tonne kilometres 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: Datamonitor Road Freight in Asia-Pacific, March 2011. Figure III-6. Road freight task in selected ESCAP countries Source: World Development Indicators Database, accessed 21 September 2011. Notes: The WDI database does have a 2008 entry for China, but the value is anomalous and inconsistent with information available from other sources. The 2007 value has therefore been used in the figure. as an estimator of the relative scale of the transport task suggests that the road freight in India would be in the order of 600 to 700 billion tonne-kilometres, making India the second largest road freight market in the region, followed by Japan, the Russian Federation, Australia, Turkey and Pakistan. Table III-2 shows the rate of growth of the road freight task in selected ESCAP countries for which the data required to make this estimation is available. The table shows that road freight in Mongolia grew exceptionally quickly over the period 2003-2008, averaging over 26 per cent per annum. For similar periods, in Viet Nam, Armenia and China the road freight task grew at a rate in excess of 10 per cent per 42 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table III-2. Growth of road freight task in selected ESCAP countries (per cent per annum) Country (period) Australia (2003-2008) China (2002-2007) Kazakhstan (2003-2008) Annual average growth rate 4.4 10.9 9.6 Mongolia (2003-2008) 26.4 Viet Nam (2003-2007) 14.8 Armenia (2003-2008) 17.7 Azerbaijan (2003-2008) 9.8 Georgia (2001-2006) 2.4 Kyrgyzstan (2003-2007) 2.5 Lao People’s Democratic Republic (2003-2008) 3.4 Turkey (2003-2008) 3.6 Source: World Development Indicators database, accessed 21 September 2011. annum, while growth Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan were only slightly lower than 10 per cent. Growth rates in the other countries for which data is available were more modest, ranging from 2.4 per cent per annum in Georgia to 4.4 per cent per annum in Australia. D. Asian Highway Network Development The Asian Highway spans over 142,000 km of roads and is comprised of 55 routes (see Figure III-7. Map of the Asian Highway Network). The extent of the Asian Highway network varies with the geographical location and size of the country. As can be seen from Figure III-7, China accounts for the longest national portion of the Asian Highway Network of any ESCAP country, with 26,707 kilometres. Four other countries have more than 10,000 kilometres of Asian Highway network: the Russian Federation (16,848 km); Kazakhstan (12,958 km); India (11,810 km); and the Islamic Republic of Iran (11,134 km). At the other end of the scale, there are two participating countries with less than 200 kilometres of Asian Highway network: Singapore (19 km) and Bhutan (165 km). The average quality of the network also differs significantly between countries. Some ESCAP members have developed their portions of the Asian Highway to the minimum standard (Class III) specified in the Intergovernmental Agreement on the Asian Highway Network. For example, all of Japan’s AH network is of Primary Class; all of Singapore’s and 79 per cent of the AH network roads in the Republic of Korea are either Primary Class or Class I. In the case of China, 63 per cent of the AH network consists of either Primary Class or Class I roads, while these two categories account for 60 per cent of the AH network roads in Malaysia. However, road network quality is still a substantial challenge for a number of countries. For example, at least 40 per cent of the AH network in Afghanistan, Bhutan, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Mongolia, Myanmar and Tajikistan do not meet Class III standards, while in Kyrgyzstan, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka, about 20 per cent of the AH network does not meet Class III standards. The change in status of the quality of the network as a whole is given in Figure III-9 (for classification, please refer to Box 1). Based on data received from 20 countries, between 2004 and 2008 improvements to the quality of the network were achieved, with an additional 10,000 kilometres of the Highway being upgraded to higher standards and around 1,000 kilometres upgraded to meet minimum standards.55 More specifically, as shown in Figure III-8, while only 9,300 of the 142,000 kilometres or 7 per cent of the Highway network met primary road standards in 2004, by 2008, these standards applied to about 20,700 kilometres or 15 per cent of the network. Similarly, while only 8,100 kilometres or 6 per cent 55 UNESCAP, 2011 Statistical Yearbook for Asia and the Pacific, page 140. Poti AH5 AH84 Kazakh Eraskh AH 82 Yerevan ARMENIA AH 1 Julfa Aghband Baku Bekdash 63 Beyneu AH AH5 Qom Bushehr Bandar Emam Anar Yazd Ferry to Turkmenistan Ferry to Kazakhstan ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF IRAN AH1 TehranShabzevar Qazvin Serdar 63 AH75 AH 1 Mashhad Chabahar Bandar Abbas AH2 AH77 Mazar-i-Sharif AH76 Termez 62 AH 71 Dilaram Zahedan AH2 Dashtak Yi'erkeshitan Polekhumri AH66 AH 2 AH Semipalatinsk AH60 Ucharal Kashi Turgat Attari Jammu and Kashmir Honqiraf AH5 AH5 Alashankou Taskesken Bakhty Baketu Agra Dhule 47 45 AH AH 4 Male Zhangmu AH42 Takeshkan Uliastay 6 BHUTAN Lhasa Indian Line Golmud AH46 Barhi AH 5 Visakhapatnam Chennai Vijayawada 3 AH 3 5 AH16 AH 14 Hekou Zabaykalsk Beijing Sumber Xinyang AH1 AH16 Tak Nakhon Sawan Bangkok Bang Pa-in Medan AH16 A Phnom Penh H11 1 CAMBODIA AH Khon Kaen Kabin Buri Hoi An AH1 Hat Yai Jambi 25 Jakarta Bakauheni Cikampek Merak Bandung Semarang Palembang AH 3 Laoag AH2 AH7 AH75 Denpasar AH 2 Surabaya Kalimantan INDONESIA Borneo Bandar Seri Begawan AH6 Quanhe AH32 Vladivostok & Nahodka Sonbong Suifenhe Ussuriysk A 1 AH Payagyi Naypyitaw Yangon 4 Ruili Tong Mongla 3 AH 1 Bang Pa-in Nakhon Sawan Mae Sot Tak Udonthani AH16 AH19 1 Chumphon 11 Sino 11 Da Nang Hoi An Port Moresby Ho Chi Minh Vung Tau Bien Hoa Kratie Bavet Moc Bai AH1 PAPUA NEW GUINEA Sihanoukville AH 1 Stung Treng AH Lao Bao Dong Ha Ban Lao Densavanh Pakse Veunkham Trapeangkreal Phnom Penh 1 Cambodia AH AH16 Thakhek Savannakhet Khon Kaen Poipet Vinh AH1 Nanning Youyiguan Hai Phong Viet Nam AH15 Mukdahan AH16 AH15 A AH14 Hoa Binh Hanoi H1 Huu Nghi Keoneua Cau Treo Nakhon Phanom Kabin Buri Aranyaprathet AH Hin Kong AH12 Nakhon Ratchasima Laem Chabang Bangkok Myawadi Thaton Nong Khai Vientiane Lao P.D.R. AH Lao Cai Hekou AH 13 Qudomxai Mohan Boten Phitsanulok Kon Thailand Uttaradit 2 3 Kunming Houayxay Chang Khong Muang Ngeon AH Nateuy Chiang Rai Huai AH AH AH3 Jinghong Daluo AH14 Tokyo JAPAN Tachilek Mae Sai AH2 Kyaing 1 AH Meiktila Mandalay TIMOR-LESTE Dili General Santos Davao Muse Myanmar Fukuoka Busan AH1 REPUBLIC OF KOREA 1 Matnog Allen Tacloban Cebu Lioan Zamboanga H6 Khabarovsk DEMOCRATIC PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF OF KOREA AH6 AH Shanghai 33 Sungao Cagayan de Oro Manila AH Seoul Lianyungang H3 0 Tongjiang Harbin Dandong Pyongyang PHILIPPINES MALAYSIA INDONESIA SINGAPORE Singapore Serembang AH Johor Bahru 2 Kuala Lumpur MALAYSIA Changchun BRUNEI DARUSSALAM Moc Bai Sihanoukville Vung Tau Ho Chi Minh Dumai Banda Aceh 1 9 AH1 AH THAILAND Shenzhen Qiqihar AH32 Hangzhou Nanchang Changsha Nanjing AH5 Zhengzhou AH34 Guangzhou Xianglan AH5 AH34 1 6 Belogorsk Heihe Blagoveshchensk A Shenyang AH Dalian Tanggu AH Arshan Manzhouli AH3 6 AH30 Shijiazhuang Youyiguan AH14 AH Eranhot Nanning AH3 CHINA Xi'an AH AH32 Ondorhaan 3 Zamin-uud Kunming Lao Cai 3 AH Sayanshand Lanzhou AH Chita LAO PEOPLE'S Hanoi DEMOCRATIC AH15 REPUBLICVientianeVinh VIET NAM AH1 Pitsanulok AH15 Seno Dong Ha AH2 AH AH 2011 Ruili Jinghong Mongla 4 AH1 Payagyi Yangon MYANMAR UNITED NATIONS Matara SRI LANKA Meiktila Mandalay AH1 AH6 Ulaanbaatar Nalayh AH14 Xining Chinese Line Tamu Muse Imphal Naypyitaw Kharagpur Teknaf 4 AH Dhaka 1 BANGLADESH Katchpur 1 Kolkata AH1 AH42 MONGOLIA AH32 Kyahta Ulan-Ude Altanbulag Irkutsk 18 MALDIVES 1 Hovd Yarantai Tulufan Talaimannar Trincomalee Colombo Dhanushkodi Madurai Bangalore Krishnagiri AH AH Nagpur INDIA Hyderabad Thane AH46 Gwalior AH2 NEPAL 4 Urumqi Takeshkan AH Tashanta Ulaanbaishint AH Kathmandu Narayanghat Thimphu AH2 Pathlaiya AH48 Birganj Siliguri Dispur Raxual Phulbari Jaigaon AH Kanpur 1 AH2 Indian Line Chinese Line Sri Jayawardhanapura-Kotte Mumbai New Delhi Lahore Hyderabad Karachi Rohri PAKISTAN 51 Islamabad1 Kabul AH1 AH4 TAJIKISTAN Quetta Kandahar Barnaul Veseloyarskyj KYRGYZSTAN AH61 Bishkek AH65 AH65 AH7 Dushanbe AH AH5 0 60 AH Novosibirsk Jinghe Kuitun AH5 Horgos AH61 AH5 Merke Almaty AH4 AH6 Karaganda AH7 Tashkent Osh AFGHANISTAN 1 AH1 Herat 63 AH Bukhara 5 Alat AH Farap Tejen Mary Ashgabat Kerman ISLAMIC Esfahan REPUBLIC OF IRAN Alat Astara Saveh AH2 1 Salafchegan AH 61 AH Kyzylorda 7 AH64 Burubaital AH67 Cherlak AH6 Shiderty AH64 Pavlodar Pnirtyshskoe Zhezkazgan UZBEKISTAN Shymkent AH Aralsk 64 AH Astana AH AH7 AH6 AH The designations employed and the presentation of material on this map do not imply the expressing of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Dotted line represents approximately the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir agreed upon by India and Pakistan. The final status of Jammu and Kashmir has not been agreed upon by the parties. Tabriz 1 Bilasuvar AH8 AH 81 AH AH5 Sumgayit Baku Gazi Mammed AH5 Goradiz Nakhchivan 1 Samur Khosravi AZERBAIJAN Ganja AH5 Aktau Kotyaevka Atyrau Arkalyk KAZAKHSTAN AH7 Kaerak Turkemenbashi ARMENIA Yerevan AZERBAIJAN TURKMENISTAN 1 Kazmalyarskiy 8 Agarak Jolfa Nour Douz Mengri AH 81 Eyvoghli AH84 Toprakkale AH84 Tbilisi Astrakhan 0 AH7 Aktobe Troitsk Isilkul Petropavlovsk Omsk 43 AH AH11 Asian Highway Route Potential Asian Highway Route Ferry Link Capital City AH84 AH Bazargan AH 86 Refahiye AH85 Mahachkala Uzungala Paravakar Volgograd GEORGIA AH5 AH 82 AH70 Ozinki Kurlin Ural'sk Borysoglebsk Kamenka Zhaisan AH61 AH61 Samara AH6 Chelyabinsk AH43 Bitlis 81 AH6 Tambov AH6 Yekaterinburg 11 TURKEY AH Red Bridge Tbilisi Mtskheta 8 Poti AH5 Batumi AH5 AH82 Leselidze Donetsk Iskenderun Hasavjurt Gumri Vanadjon 81 Sadarak Dogubayazit Gurbulak Goris AH1 5 Sadakhlo Bagratashen Ashtarak Akurik Vale AH Larsi Khashuri Akhaltsikhe 82 AH Horasan Batumi Senaki Erzurum Askale Icel AH Voronezh AH61 TURKEY Ankara AH AH1 Legend AH1 AH5 GEORGIA Sukhumi AH82 AH86 Trabzon AH87 Izmir AH1 RUSSIAN FEDERATION Sarpi Sarp AH 82 Ferry to Bulgaria, Romania, Ukraine Leselidze Kapikule AH1 Krupets Krasnoe Istanbul Gerede AH5 Merzifon UKRAINE ROMANIA BULGARIA R.F Moscow AH 70 2 AH6 62 AH AH6 RUSSIAN FEDERATION AH 5 AH8 1 AH AH 78 5 AH 67 AH AH7 64 AH St. Petersburg AH 47 3 AH ASIAN HIGHWAY ROUTE MAP AH47 AH31 Vyborg 83 AH5 82 AH AH 45 AH AH 31 Torpynovka AH81 8 AH1 44 AH A AH8 AH12 AH72 AH43 H2 AH2 AH70 1 AH 26 AH AH 1 AH2 81 75 AH 1 AH AH70 AH7 AH4 AH AH8 78 AH AH2 AH43 AH19 1 1 AH AH A H3 1 8 AH77 AH 26 AH6 8 AH 62 7 1 8 AH70 AH AH AH43 AH AH 3 AH7 AH1 AH41 AH11 AH A AH6 AH7 1 42 AH1 1 AH63 61 AH AH5 A AH AH2 AH41 AH AH 2 7 H4 AH AH14 A H1 11 H2 6 AH AH 68 AH1 1 13 AH63 60 AH AH AH AH6 67 AH 1 1 AH 2 60 4 5 AH 1 AH AH AH AH 1 AH12 7 AH4 AH3 AH AH1 AH AH12 AH AH AH31 6 AH1 AH12 30 AH AH AH19 AH AH30 14 AH AH1 Figure III-7. Map of the Asian Highway Network (2011) III. Roads and Highways 43 25 44 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Figure III-8. Asian Highway network by country, 2010 Source: ESCAP Statistical database (accessed on 12 September 2011). of the network met Class I standards in 2004, by 2008 about 24,000 kilometres or 17 per cent reached these standards. The biggest improvement, however, was in the number of kilometres of the network that were upgraded from Class III to Class II. In 2008, 56,490 kilometres representing 40 per cent of the network met Class II standards, up from 34,600 kilometres or 25 per cent of the network four years earlier. Another reflection of these improvements is the reduction in the length of network that still only meets or falls below Class III standards. Whereas 49,700 kilometres or 35 per cent of the network was Class III roads and another 16 per cent fell below this category in 2004, these figures had fallen to 20 per cent and 8 per cent respectively by 2008. The number of kilometres of roads that are categorised as ‘other’ also fell between 2004 and 2008 from just over 17,000 kilometres to just under 1,200 kilometres. III. Roads and Highways 45 Figure III-9. Quality improvement of Asian Highway, 2004-2008 100% Other Lower than Class III 90% Class III Class II Class I Primary Share of total network 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2004 2006 2008 Source: Based on data from ESCAP Asian Highway database (accessed on 12 September 2011). E. Selected Investment Projects in the Road Sector Table III-3 summarizes selected road and highway investment projects in the ESCAP region. It includes projects in progress or that are planned for commencement within the next five years. The list is not comprehensive, but rather indicative of major road construction projects in the region. In making a selection, priority has been given to Asian Highway road developments. Table III-3. Selected road and highway investment projects in the ESCAP region Country Afghanistan Selected road and highway investment projects Ring Road project Overview: The Ring Road project is Afghanistan’s most important highway project, designed to rehabilitate and complete the ring road joining Kabul, Kandahar, Herat and Mazar-i-Sharif. Funding: The total cost of the ring road is estimated at US$ 2.5 billion. The project was funded by the international community, with the cost of this project was funded by different donors. According to Ministry of Public Work, the percentage paid by USAID was 30 per cent; Asian Development Bank 24 per cent, World Bank 12 per cent, Pakistan 6 per cent and Islamic Republic of Iran 6 per cent. In addition the Japanese Government has contributed US$ 23.4 million to construct 31 km of the Ring road near Mazar-e-Sharif as well as extending the existing road from Ferdousi Park. Status: The project was expected to be completed in early 2009, but due to insecurity the expected completion has been delayed. In June 2009, the Afghan government reported that the project was 90 per cent complete. In April 2011, the ring road was reported to be nearly completed. Completion date: December 2011. Status In Progress 46 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table III-3. (continued) Country Afghanistan Selected road and highway investment projects Kunduz-Khulm Highway reconstruction Status In Progress Overview: The project includes reconstruction and upgrading of the first 27.5 km long section at the Khulm end of the Kunduz-Khulm Highway in north Afghanistan to provide a direct connection between Mazar and Kunduz. Funding: The project is being funded by KfW Entwicklungsbank at a cost of US$ 14.3 million. Status: KfW called for tenders for project management at the end of 2010. Completion date: construction to be completed in February 2015. Australia Great Eastern Highway Roe Highway Interchange In Progress Overview: This project is designed to improve traffic flow, reduce congestion and create grade separation for heavy vehicles and general traffic through the busy intersection of the Great Eastern Highway and Roe Highway in Midland, Western Australia. One of Western Australia’s top 10 metropolitan road network black spot locations, the interchange has predicted traffic counts of 90,000 vehicles a day by 2021. The project will involve design and construction of four new bridges, three underpasses and associated pathways, and modifications to two existing bridges. Funding: In principle agreement for 50/50 sharing of AU$ 74 m funding by Australian Federal Government and Western Australian Government. Completion date: September 2012. Azerbaijan Upgrading Yevlax-Ganja Road east-west corridor and related local roads Overview: The Yevlax-Ganja road is part of the east-west road corridor between Baku and the Georgian border, which is one of Azerbaijan’s main routes for external trade and forms part of the Asian highway network. The project aims to improve the efficiency of transport on the project sections of the east-west road corridor by rebuilding 127 km of the two-lane paved road on the Yevlakh-Ganja and the QazakhGeorgian border sections of the road, improving 65 km of local roads connecting to Yevlax-Ganja Road. It also includes institutional strengthening for the road sector reform, and cross-border facilitation at the border with Georgia at Red Bridge. Nearly Completed Funding: US$ 3 m from the Asian Development Bank and US$ 49 m from ordinary capital resources. Completion date: delay on target date of August 2009; Yevlax-Ganja Road upgrade completed in early 2010, at which time local road upgrade tender was on hold. Bangladesh Sub-Regional Transport Project Preparatory Facility Overview: Involves the upgrade or construction of 2,000 km of land transport network to enhance cross-border trade and establish greater connectivity across South Asia, and in particular between Bangladesh and India and Myanmar as well as China. The facility includes 14 road projects as well as 8 railway projects. The road projects include: Chittagong-Cox’s Bazar-Teknaf road, 374-km Petrapole (India)-Benapole-JessoreMagura-Daulatdia-Paturia-Dharkar-Akhaura-Agartala (India), 664-km Phulbari (India)-Banglabandha-Hatikumrul-Mongla, 286-km Dawki/Tamabil-Sylhet-Dhaka, 215-km Akhaura-Dharkar-Comilla-Chittagong, 138-km Burimari-Rangpur, 60-km Dhaka-Mawa-Bhanga and 219-km Sonamasjid-Rajshahi-Jamuna Bridge roads. In addition a number of national highways and other roads will be upgraded to four lanes. These include 222-km Doulatdia-Magura-Jhenaidah-Jessore-Khulna National Highway, 157-km Hatikamrul-Rangpur National Highway, 48-km Khulna-Mongla road with link to Dhigraj to Mongla Ferry Ghat, 286-km Dhaka (Katchpur)-BhairabJagadishpur-Shaistaganj-Sylhet-Tamabil, 138-km Rangpur-Teesta-Burimari (Lalmonirhat) and 204-km Sonamasjid-Rajshahi-Hatikamrul. Funding: The estimated cost of the projects is US$ 6.45 billion. Completion date: 300 kms of the network will be completed by 2012, and the rest by 2013. Planned/ In Progress III. Roads and Highways 47 Table III-3. (continued) Country China Selected road and highway investment projects Second Heilongjiang Road Network Development Project Status In Progress Overview: Heilongjiang province needs more efficient transportation to support economic growth, foster domestic and international trade, facilitate interregional integration, and reduce poverty. The project will complete an important missing link between the north-east and north-west of Heilongjiang province, as well as improve the systems used for road asset maintenance including planning and budgeting, and execution of road maintenance works, including the introduction of more effective methods of maintenance contracting. Funding: US$ 200.00 million. Status: Loan contract signed 20 April 2010; by September 2011, 90 per cent of funds had been committed as contracts and disbursements and 40 per cent of the project had been completed. Completion date: 30 June 2015. Georgia First East-West Highway Improvement Project In Progress Overview: The First East-West Highway Improvement Project involves upgrading 90 kilometres of the local road network covering 10 roads.56 The project aims to contribute to the gradual reduction of road transport costs and improve access, ease of transit, and safety along the central part of Georgia’s East-West corridor, by upgrading a segment of the East-West Highway from Tbilisi to Rikoti, including construction of the Rikoti Bypass Road and the rehabilitation of the Rikoti Tunnel.57 As well as upgrading the roads from two to four lanes the project aims to strengthen the capacity of the government, Roads Department and the local road construction industry to plan and better manage the road network. Funding: Funded by the Government of Georgia and a US$ 48 million loan from the World Bank, as well as funding from other agencies. Status: The World Bank loan was approved in November 2009. The Rikoti Bypass Road was completed in April 2010. In August 2011, the Georgian Government called for tenders for consulting services to develop detailed designs of the upgraded roads. The tunnel is targeted for completion in December 2011. India Chhattisgarh State Road Development Project Overview: The primary task is the improvement of 1,700 km of state roads to provide improved connectivity and access to development opportunities and social services, including health and education facilities. The work is being carried out in two phases. Phase I includes rehabilitation of 810 km of roads (Rajnandgaon-Mohla-Maharashtra Border, Rajnandgaon-Kukamera-Kaeardha, Bilaspur-Mungeli-Pondi, AbbikapurRamanujganj, Gariyaband-Bardula, Kumhari-Berla-Bemetara-Mungeli, KapasaraHatidad, rajkheda-Dhanwar, Ramanujganj-Wadrafnagar and BhanupratappurNarayanpur Kondagaon), Phase II rehabilitation of 439 km of roads (Hasaud-SarsiwaSaraipali, Nandghat-Mungeli, Balodabazar-Hathband-Simga, Amleshwar-Funda, Abhanpur-Rajim-Gariyaband, Rajim-Mahasamund, Basna-Bilaigarh, Dhamtari-Nagri, Dhamtari-Gunderdehi). Funding: The project is part financed through the ADB (US$ 180 million) and is estimated to cost US$ 285 million. Status: A total of 21 civil works contracts and three consulting contracts have been awarded. Phase I of the project is 83 per cent complete, Phase II 53 per cent. Completion date: The project was due for completion in July 2011; in September 2011, 99 per cent of contract funding and 87 per cent of disbursements had been utilized. 56 57 http://www.georoad.ge/index.php?que=eng/projects http://siteresources.worldbank.org/GEORGIAEXTN/Resources/East.pdf In Progress 48 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table III-3. (continued) Country Islamic Republic of Iran Selected road and highway investment projects Persian Gulf Bridge Status In Progress Overview: The 2.2 km-long bridge will link Qeshm, an economic free zone in the Persian Gulf, to the port city of Bandar Abbas in Hormozgan province, south of the country. Funding: The project is estimated to have a price tag of US$ 906 million, of which 15 per cent will be state funding and the remaining 85 per cent from domestic and foreign investment. The Austrian Government is contributing to the construction on a 10 year Build, Own and Transfer ownership basis. Completion date: Construction has commenced in March 2011; expected completion date is 2015.58 Kazakhstan Development of various highways In Progress Overview: The Government of Kazakhstan, through the State Programme on the Development of Highways for 2006-2012, is reconstructing 2,259 kilometres of highways. The reconstruction will take place on highway passes that lead from the border of the Russian Federation, Aktobe, Kyzylorda, Skymkent, Taraz, Almaty and Khorgos up to the border of China. The objective of the project is to upgrade the technical standards of the road to international standards and reduce transportation costs. Funding: Government of Kazakhstan at a cost of approximately US$ 1,320 million. Completion date: The project is due for completion in 2012. Kazakhstan Astana-Karaganda Road Rehabilitation In Progress Overview: The 238 kilometre Astana-Karaganda Road is part of the major trunk road between Almaty and Astana and also part of the CAREC Transport corridor. Expanded capacity and increased efficiency are required to support a rapid increase in traffic on the road between Astana and Almaty. The project includes construction of a bypass past Karaganda. Funding: The project is estimated to cost US$ 1 billion and is to be financed through a concession. Completion date: The project is due for completion in 2012. Kyrgyzstan Carec Transport Corridor (ADB Project 42399) In Progress Overview: The Bishkek-Torugartr Road is part of the corridor linking the Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, the Russian Federation and China, where more than 70 per cent of Kyrgyzstan’s trade is regional, with 50 per cent moved by road. The corridor is in poor condition with rehabilitation to facilitate an increase speed and reliability of passenger and freight flows and create business opportunities. The project includes the improvement of approximately 75 kilometres of road. Funding: The project is being financed by way of loan by the Asian Development Bank. The estimated value of the loan is US$ 22 million. Status: Implementation of highway rehabilitation is on schedule with the progress of civil works of about 60 per cent. Completion date: December 2013. 58 Payvan Iran News, January 4th 2008, Pilot study for Qeshm Island’s Persian Gulf Bridge started; http://www.payvand.com/ news/08/jan/1034.html III. Roads and Highways 49 Table III-3. (continued) Country Mongolia Selected road and highway investment projects Western Regional Road Corridor Development Project – Phase 1 Status In Progress Overview: As part of Asian Highway 4, the new road will help link Mongolia to the rest of Asia. It is being built in the Western Region of Mongolia and will link the Hovd and Bayan-Olgiy areas of Western Mongolia with Xinjiang Autonomous Region in the China and Siberia Province of the Russian Federation. The Project supports ADB’s strategy for Mongolia – and for the Central Asian region, to promote sustainable economic growth and social development by allowing for more market integration and movement of people. The Project also supports Mongolia’s priority development plan of building roads for the Asian Highway under the national development strategy, which is based on the Millennium Development Goals. Funding: US$ 37.6 million from ADB. Status: Package 1 contract was awarded in December 2010. Construction has begun on the Temeen Huzuu-Baga Ulaan davaa direction and is progressing satisfactorily.59 Completion: 1 October 2013. Myanmar Monywa-Yagyi-Kalewa road upgrade and rehabilitation60 In Progress Overview: The 185 km Monywa-Yagyi-Kalewa road located in Sagaing Region links Kani, Minkin and Kalewa townships. Up to 31 May 2011, 117.8 km is sealed, 26.5 km is gravel road, 36 km is hard road and 5.6 km is earth road. The purpose of the project is to pave a section of the road between Kalewa and Yagyi village which cannot be used in the rainy season. Although previously paved by the Government of Myanmar, landslides have since damaged the road. Funding: The estimated cost of the project US$ 40 million, financed by the Government of Myanmar. Status: Preliminary works have been carried out on the road surface and bridges by Monywa Group Construction Co., Ltd. under a BOT system and in August 2011 the project was handed back to the Ministry of Works, which plans to work together with Thai-based NEDA to complete repair of the road section between Monywa and Kalewa. Pakistan Flood Emergency Reconstruction Project In Progress Overview: In direct response to a request from the Government of Pakistan, in March 2011 the ADB approved loan assistance and a supporting technical assistance grant. As well as upgrading flood protection to agricultural lands, the emergency loan will reconstruct over 790 km of national highways and 800 km of provincial roads and bridges to safer, higher standards. Funding: The assistance will include US$ 600 million to be taken from Ordinary Capital Resources with a 32-year term, an eight-year grace period and interest set in accordance with ADB’s LIBOR-based lending facility. Another US$ 50 million equivalent will be tapped from ADB’s concessional Asian Development Fund, which will have a repayment term of 40 years, with a 10-year grace period, and interest charges at 1 per cent per annum. Completion date: March 2014. 59 http://pid.adb.org/pid/LoanView.htm?projNo=39265&seqNo=02&typeCd=2&projType=GRNT MRTV_3 Program, Second regular session of First Amyotha Hluttaw continues for 12th day, 6th September, 2011; Uhttp:// www.mrtv3.net.mm/open8/070911iss1.html 60 50 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table III-3. (continued) Country Sri Lanka Selected road and highway investment projects National Highway Sector Project Status In Progress Overview: The project will upgrade 270 kilometres of national highways consisting of the Puttalam-Anuradhapura Highway, hilly roads and south highway links. A land acquisition and resettlement of approximately 80 kilometres is also funded by this project. Funding: The World Bank has provided funding by way of loan to the Sri Lankan Government for approximately US$ 150 million. Completion date: The expected completion date was September 30, 2011. Tajikistan Dushanbe-Kyrgyz Border Road Rehabilitation Project (Phase II) In Progress Overview: The Project will rehabilitate central and border sections of Dushanbe to Kyrgyz Border road. Key project outputs are rehabilitating 89 km of two-lane highway; improving 60 km of rural roads in the project area; procuring road maintenance equipment for routine and periodic maintenance and vehicle weighing equipment for axle load control; and institutional strengthening of MOTC’s accounting department and auditing functions through training and procurement of computers; Funding: The ADB has provided funding by way of loan a total of US$ 29.5 million to the Government of Tajikistan for the project. Status: The Phase II Project Implementation Unit is set up in the Ministry of Transport and Communications (MOTC) to supervise the daily implementation progress of the project. Completion date: December 2012. Thailand World Bank Highways Management Project Overview: Under the Royal Government of Thailand (RGT)’s four-lane Second Phase Highway Widening Project (Phase II), five national highway sections are being widened from two lanes to four lanes (totalling 216 kilometres). Two sections are located in the North-East Region of the country, two in the South, and one in the Eastern Seaboard. The widening of these sections aims to accommodate the growing traffic and improve road safety, with an expected outcome in the reduction of road user costs (including vehicle operating costs, travel time costs and traffic accident costs) by at least 10 per cent on the improved sections. The existing loan for the Highways Management Project was approved on December 9, 2003, and became effective on March 15, 2004. The implementing agency is the Department of Highways (DOH). There was a one-year extension of the loan closing date from June 30, 2008 to June 30, 2009. This was followed by an extension to September 30, 2009 for the processing of a second order restructuring, and another extension to June 30, 2010 as part of the completed restructuring. Funding: Two separate World Bank loans with an accumulative value of US$ 158.4 million have underpinned this project. Status: In February 2010, 92.4 per cent of the first loan commitment of US$ 84.29 million had been utilized. Completion date: June 2012. Sources: ESCAP meeting notes, World Bank and ADB project databases and country websites. In Progress IV. Maritime Ports and Developments in Shipping 51 IV. MARITIME PORTS AND DEVELOPMENTS IN SHIPPING A. Trends in Maritime Trade Figure IV-1 shows worldwide growth in maritime and container trade volumes over the period 1985 to 2010. In both cases, volumes dropped sharply in 2009 as the impact of the Global Financial Crisis made itself felt in the real economy, but recovered in 2010 to pre-crisis levels. Total international maritime trade volumes grew at an average of 3.3 per cent per annum over the period 1985 to 2010, with the result that by 2010 total seaborne trade more than doubled 1985 volumes. Containerized cargoes have grown at an annual average rate of 8.8 per cent over that same period, resulting in more than an eight-fold increase in containerized cargo movements. Data compiled by UNCTAD suggests that in 2009, the developing economies of Asia accounted for 39 per cent of the total volume of maritime cargo loaded, and 40 per cent of the maritime cargo discharged (Figure IV-2). Figure IV-1. Growth of world maritime trade (1985-2010) 900 Index of maritime trade volume (1985 =100) 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 Total Maritime Trade 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 0 Container Trade Source: Clarksons in-line database; UNCTAD Review of Maritime Transport 2010; Clarkson’s Container Intelligence monthly. The role that manufacturing exports have played in the economic development of Asia – and especially of Asia east of the Bay of Bengal – and the high level of dependence on maritime transport make container shipping a particular important element of the transport system for Asian. Conversely, Asia has increasingly become the heart of the global container shipping system. Figure IV-3 shows that, after a period of extremely high growth in the early years of containerization, the average rate of growth in the number of containers handled in the world’s container ports remained around 10 per cent between 1983 to 2008. The growth in container port volumes in the ESCAP region comfortably exceeded world growth levels throughout this period. When world container volumes suffered an unprecedented slump in 2009, volumes in the ESCAP region fell slightly less than global volumes; and in 2010 the recovery in ESCAP ports has been slightly stronger. 52 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Figure IV-2. Developing Asia’s share of global maritime volumes, 200961 Source: Based on data presented in UNCTAD Review of Maritime Transport 2010. Figure IV-3. World and ESCAP Container Port Throughput Growth (1973-2010) 1973-1978 1978-1983 1983-1988 1988-1993 1993-1998 1998-2003 2003-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% ESCAP 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% World Source: Based on data from Containerization International on-line database, http://www.ci-online.co.uk Along with the rapid growth of the global container trade over the last three decades has come a fundamental structural shift in the balance of container handling activity. Figure IV-4 shows the shift in the distribution of the global container handling task over the 1973-2010 period. The most striking feature of the graph is the rise in the relative importance of the ESCAP region over this period: the proportion of ESCAP ports in the global total has risen from around 23 per cent in 1973 to 59 per cent in 2010. This rise has been largely at the expense of the ports of the developed economies in Europe and North America; the share of the ports of these two continents in the global total has fallen from 45 per cent to 17 per cent and from 30 per cent to 9 per cent respectively. 61 This volume includes several high income ESCAP economies, including the Republic of Korea; Hong Kong, China; Macao, China; Taiwan Province of China; Singapore; and Brunei Darussalam, but excludes Japan, Australia and New Zealand. IV. Maritime Ports and Developments in Shipping 53 Figure IV-4. Distribution of global port container volumes, 1973-2010 Share of global container port handling activity 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1973 ESCAP 1978 1983 North America 1988 Europe 1993 1998 2003 Latin America and Caribbean 2008 2009 Africa 2010 Middle East Source: Based on data from Containerization International on-line database, http://www.ci-online.co.uk There have also been complex structural changes in the geographical balance of container port activity within the ESCAP region. In the early 1970’s, the East and North-East Asia and Pacific subregions accounted for almost 96 per cent of Asia’s container trade and were essentially confined to Japan and Hong Kong, China, which were the focal points for both the Europe-Asia and trans-Pacific trades, and Australia. Singapore had just entered the container trade market. By 1993 this had changed dramatically, as diversification of Asian container trade entered a more mature phase. Singapore was by then the second largest container port in the world, with only Hong Kong, China handling greater volumes. Other ports in South-East Asia, such as Bangkok, Tanjung Priok and Port Klang, were also handling substantial volumes. As a result, South-East ports by 1993 handled nearly 30 per cent of the ESCAP total. On the other hand, the share of the ports of the Pacific subregion had declined dramatically to around 6 per cent – a share that was by then matched by the ports of South and South-West Asia. During the next decade, the principal change was the emergence of the China market. The number of containers handled by ports in China (including Hong Kong, China) increased from 2 million TEU in 1983 to 55 million TEU in 2003 – a remarkable sustained growth rate of approximately 18 per cent a year over twenty years. As a result of this spectacular growth, the Chinese container market had overtaken Japan and the United States of America as the world’s largest container market. Since 2003, the East and North-East Asian share of the total ESCAP volumes increased further to 66 per cent (from 62 per cent in 2003), while the North Asian share had declined from over 40 per cent in 1978 to just 13 per cent. The once significant share of Pacific subregion had dwindled to around 2 per cent by 2010. The South-East Asian share, after rising rapidly to 29 per cent in 1998, has subsequently declined to around 24 per cent. 54 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Figure IV-5. Distribution of container port volumes within ESCAP, 1973-2010 Share of ESCAP container port handling activity 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1973 1978 1983 Pacific 1988 1993 1998 East and North-East Asia South and South-West Asia 2003 2008 2009 2010 South-East Asia North and Central Asia Source: Based on data from Containerization International on-line database, http://www.ci-online.co.uk B. Container Port Throughput The world’s top 20 container ports handled 254 million TEU in 2010, which accounted for 48.4 per cent of the world’s container port total. The concentration of container port traffic is even more pronounced in Asia and Pacific, where the 20 busiest container ports handled 227 million TEU, or 73 per cent of the region’s total throughput in 2010. The world’s eight busiest container ports are located in the ESCAP region. These eight ports alone handle 30 per cent of world container throughput, or 60 per cent of the ESCAP region’s total.62 The world’s top two container ports in terms of container throughput were Shanghai, China and Singapore, which between them handled approximately 57.5 million TEU in 2010. However, in each case the mega-port’s dominance of its subregion has faced competition from new ports in recent years, resulting in a struggle to maintain market share. 1. North and North-East Asia Container throughput for ports in China63 increased from 19.4 million TEU in 2000 to 118.3 million TEU in 2008, equivalent to an average annual growth of 25.4 per cent for this period. This rapid growth consolidated the position of China as the world’s most important container shipping market. Chinese container port throughput (excluding Hong Kong, China) is now more than six times as large as that of Japan. The most dramatic growth in terms of container throughput units has occurred in the port of Ningbo in China, with a recorded throughput of 13.1 million TEU in 2010. The container throughput of the Taiwan, Province of China increased rapidly during the first half of the 1990s, but has subsequently slowed significantly. Total throughput at 12.2 million TEU in 2010, was slightly lower than in 2005. 62 Based on analysis of data from Containerization International on-line database, http://www.ci-online.co.uk, downloaded 15 October 2011. 63 Excluding container throughput for ports in Hong Kong, China and Taiwan, Province of China. IV. Maritime Ports and Developments in Shipping 55 Table IV-1. Port container throughput in selected ESCAP economies and ports, 1990-2010 Economy/Port China Guangzhou 1990 1995 2000 2005 2009 2010 1,248,121 4,966,262 22,884,361 67,499,063 106,330,920 127,049,185 1,429,900 4,685,000 11,190,000 12,550,000 80,744 Ningbo 160,000 902,000 5,208,000 10,502,800 13,144,000 Qingdao 135,419 600,000 2,120,000 6,307,000 10,260,000 12,012,000 Shanghai 456,123 1,527,000 5,613,000 18,084,000 25,002,000 29,069,000 284,000 3,993,714 16,197,173 18,250,100 22,509,700 Shenzhen Tianjin 320,000 702,051 1,708,423 4,801,000 8,700,000 10,080,000 Hong Kong, China 5,100,637 12,549,746 18,098,000 22,601,630 21,040,096 23,532,000 Taiwan, Province of China 5,450,912 7,848,695 10,510,762 12,791,429 11,352,097 12,230,414 Kaohsiung 3,494,631 5,232,000 7,425,832 9,471,056 8,581,273 9,181,211 Keelung 1,828,143 2,169,893 1,954,573 2,091,458 1,577,824 1,763,900 Japan 7,896,365 10,604,124 13,222,734 17,055,082 16,285,918 18,518,824 Kobe 2,595,940 1,463,515 2,265,991 2,262,066 2,247,024 2,556,291 897,781 1,477,359 1,911,919 2,491,198 2,112,743 2,548,853 Tokyo 1,555,138 2,177,407 2,899,452 3,819,294 3,810,769 4,203,000 Yokohama 1,647,891 2,756,811 2,317,489 2,873,277 2,798,002 3,280,000 Nagoya Republic of Korea 2,348,475 4,502,596 9,111,099 14,885,942 15,676,118 18,510,479 Busan 2,348,475 4,502,596 7,540,387 11,843,151 11,954,861 14,157,291 Gwangyang 677,747 1,441,261 1,810,438 2,073,196 Incheon 611,261 1,153,465 1,578,003 1,887,000 1,804,410 1,994,523 2,537,584 Russian Federation 83,456 167,098 306,010 105,946 181,613 336,272 Bangladesh 107,348 245,417 474,935 808,924 1,182,121 1,352,605 India 666,933 1,360,393 2,460,593 4,945,247 7,888,990 8,811,301 54,643 339,136 1,189,780 2,666,703 4,061,343 4,270,000 298,336 862,074 1,148,854 Islamic Republic of Iran 173,769 427,747 1,325,643 2,206,476 2,592,522 Shahid Rajaee 167,167 415,382 1,292,962 2,206,476 2,592,522 Georgia Jawaharlal Nehru Mundra Pakistan 390,391 550,650 812,234 1,686,355 2,058,056 2,157,258 Sri Lanka 583,811 1,028,746 1,732,855 2,455,297 3,464,297 4,000,000 Turkey 219,222 738,583 1,594,157 Ambarli Mersin 147,617 298,597 Brunei Darussalam 107,517 71,050 26,337 Cambodia 22,000 3,207,862 4,521,713 5,650,381 1,185,768 1,836,030 2,540,353 596,289 843,917 1,024,171 85,577 211,141 207,577 224,206 Indonesia 923,663 2,035,344 3,797,948 5,738,407 6,718,396 8,565,381 Tianjung Priok 643,963 1,300,126 2,476,152 3,277,868 3,804,805 4,714,857 Malaysia 901,131 2,100,863 4,642,428 12,197,750 15,859,938 18,319,504 Port Klang 496,526 1,133,811 3,206,753 5,715,855 7,309,779 8,870,000 418,218 4,177,121 6,016,452 6,530,000 Philippines 1,408,090 1,891,639 3,031,548 4,134,899 4,305,867 5,120,584 Manila 1,038,905 1,668,031 2,291,704 2,665,015 2,815,004 3,257,372 Singapore 5,223,500 11,845,600 17,096,036 24,104,200 26,592,800 29,178,200 Thailand 1,078,290 1,961,916 3,177,950 5,115,213 5,897,935 6,648,532 Bangkok 1,018,290 Tanjung Pelepas 1,432,843 1,073,000 1,349,246 1,222,048 1,452,829 Laem Chabang 529,073 2,104,950 3,765,967 4,537,833 5,068,076 Viet Nam 129,500 263,685 626,471 Ho Chi Minh City 4,936,598 5,719,648 3,563,246 3,788,000 56 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table IV-1. (continued) Economy/Port Australia 1990 1995 2000 2005 2009 2010 1,599,793 2,279,684 4,828,175 5,299,783 6,196,745 5,289,954 Melbourne 622,983 852,282 2,550,053 1,862,878 2,203,480 2,334,000 Sydney 477,395 695,312 990,654 1,445,318 1,927,507 1,531,000 25,423 44,077 Fiji French Polynesia Guam New Caledonia 32,451 41,299 62,288 69,025 63,807 115,860 157,036 132,689 150,960 157,096 27,799 40,568 72,106 119,147 183,214 New Zealand 414,442 732,464 1,355,767 1,660,339 2,218,308 1,294,657 Auckland 221,103 405,092 454,661 664,787 843,590 453,498 Tauranga 31,140 555,284 423,138 511,343 Papua New Guinea 90,361 154,982 80,257 262,209 114,919 Source: Containerization International ci-online database. Notes: (a) The year refers to calendar or fiscal year; (b) Identified economies only – includes estimates for identified economies for which figures were not available in a particular year. Growth of container throughput at Japanese ports has also been more moderate in recent years. From 7.8 million TEU in 1990, container throughput grew at nearly 6 per cent per annum to reach 10.6 million TEU in 1995. From 1995-2000, growth slowed to an annual average rate of 4.6 per cent, and has since slowed further reaching 18.5 million TEU in 2008. Unlike most other ESCAP member countries (with the notable exception of China), where container shipping is concentrated in one or two major ports, the container business in Japan is relatively diverse. Four ports – Kobe, Nagoya, Tokyo and Yokohama – all had throughputs in the excess of 2 million TEU in 2010, with the highest volume being Tokyo, at to 4.2 million TEU. Container throughput for the Republic of Korea continued to grow strongly from 2000 to 2010, rising from 9.1 million to 18.5 million TEU, an average growth rate of 7.3 per cent per year. Development of a large transhipment business at the major container port of Busan has contributed significantly to this growth. In the past few years, the port of Gwangyang has made a substantial contribution to the national total, with throughput a total throughput of 1.9 million TEU in 2010. Meanwhile, container throughput in Russian ports totalled around 2.5 million TEU in 2010. 2. South-East Asia In several ASEAN countries, the second half of the 1990s witnessed a major shift in trade balance, with imports declining sharply while exports grew strongly, due to lower exchange rates and government efforts. This changed trading pattern has in most cases persisted through the 2000s. Amongst the countries with a longer history in the container trades, the highest sustained growth rates in South-East Asia were achieved by the ports of Malaysia, with an average compound rate of 14.7 per cent per year between 2000 and 2010. Container port traffic in Malaysia grew strongly from a base of 4.6 million TEU in 2000 to 16.8 million TEU in 2010. Meanwhile, Viet Nam was late in entering the container trades, but volumes have grown very rapidly over the last decade, reaching nearly 6 million TEU in 2010 – an impressive growth of 36 per cent per annum (albeit from a very low base) over the decade. Indonesia’s container trade volume has more than doubled since 2000, increasing from 3.8 million TEU in that year to 8.6 million TEU in 2010. More than half of this national total passed through the port of Jakarta, Tanjung Priok. Thailand’s container trade grew only slightly more slowly, with the total volume of containers handled increasing from 3.2 million TEU to 6.6 million TEU in 2010. A salient feature of the development of Thailand’s container traffic is the rise of Laem Chabang as the country’s premier container port. With the advantage of high productivity terminals and deep water berths, and backed by a policy decision to cap the throughput of the congested Bangkok port at or near one million TEU, Laem Chabang’s total throughput grew from 2.1 million TEU in 2000 and 5.1 million TEU in 2010. Laem Chabang now handles over three-quarters of Thailand’s total international container trade. IV. Maritime Ports and Developments in Shipping 57 The rate of growth in Singapore was more moderate, with an average annual increase of 5.5 per cent over the last decade. Although Singapore handled over 29 million TEU in 2010, it was overtaken by Shanghai in that year, losing its title as the world’s busiest container port. 3. South and South-West Asia The Islamic Republic of Iran has registered the fastest growth in port container throughput, at an average 20 per cent per year from 2000 to 2010, reaching 2.6 million TEU. In fact, the growth in container port throughput was almost as rapid as in China over this period. In India, the growth of container port throughput accelerated from an average of 11 per cent per year in the second half of the 1990s to 13.5 per cent per year from 2000 to 2010. Indian container port throughput was estimated at 8.8 million TEU in 2010. The modern, largely privatized Jawaharlal Nehru port is India’s premier container port, and handled approximately 48 per cent of India’s container volumes in 2010. In Bangladesh, container port throughput continues to be strong, as it grew by an average 11 per cent per year from 2000 to 2010, reaching 1.4 million TEU in 2010. In Pakistan, container port throughput grew at just over 10 per cent per year from 2000 to 2010, reaching 2.2 million TEU in 2010. In Sri Lanka, container port throughput grew at approximately 9 per cent per year from 2000 to 2010, reaching 4.0 million TEU in 2010. C. Shipping Trends 1. Registered merchant fleet capacities In 2010, the total capacity of the world maritime fleet stood at 883 million gross tonnes (gt) (Table IV-2). Whereas the fleet capacity increased on average by just 0.1 per cent a year from 1980 to 1990, this growth accelerated to 3.1 per cent from 1990 to 2000, and increased further to 4.4 per cent per year over the decade 2000-2010. Despite a severe deterioration in shipping market conditions in the latter half of 2008 and 2009 bringing new orders virtually grind to a halt, delivery of ships already on order meant that fleet growth continued, with the global fleet increasing at the beginning of 2010 nearly 7 per cent larger than at the beginning of 2009. The capacity of the merchant fleet registered in the ESCAP region as a whole expanded on average by 0.8 per cent per year during the 1990-2000 period, which was considerably slower than the world average (Table IV-2). The slow growth in the ESCAP region during the second half of the 1990s was mainly due to the reduction in the tonnage registered under two of the major flags of the region: Japan and the Russian Federation. Tonnage sailing under the Japanese flag fell from over 40 million tonnes in 1980 to 16.2 million tonnes in 2000. In 1990, tonnage under the flag of the Soviet Union was around 22.6 million, whereas Russian-registered vessels totalled 10.0 million tonnes in 2006. Some of this reduction resulted from the assignment of some vessels formerly registered in the Soviet Union to the flags of other members of the former Union, but an overall decline in fleet numbers played the major part. However, the flagging out of the Japanese fleet and the reduction in Russian tonnage slowed after 2000, and Asian trade accelerated as economies recovered from the effects of the 1997 Asian financial crisis and the full effects of long boom in China began to be felt. The Chinese and Korean fleets grew rapidly, as did the smaller fleets of Indonesia and Malaysia. As the same time, several Pacific Island open registers – most notably the register of the Marshall Islands, but also the registers of Vanuatu and Tuvalu – grew quickly. The tonnage of vessels registered under the flags of Pacific Island economies increased more than five-fold from 10 million tonnes in 2000 to over 52.0 million tonnes by 2010. As a result, the capacity of the merchant fleet registered in the ESCAP region expanded on average 6.9 per cent per year from 2000 to 2010, which was well in excess of the world average of 4.4 per cent over the same period. There are significant differences between the share of global tonnage that is domiciled in a country and the share that is registered in that country. UNCTAD defines domiciled vessels as follows: “the country of domicile indicates where the controlling interest (for example, the parent company) of the fleet is 58 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table IV-2. Capacity of merchant fleets registered in the ESCAP region, 1980-2010 Subregion, country or economy China Democratic People’s Republic of Korea Hong Kong, China Japan Republic of Korea Taiwan, Province of China East and North-East Asia Azerbaijan Georgia Kazakhstan Russian Federation Turkmenistan North and Central Asia Capacity (’000 GT) 1990 2000 2010 6,874 0 13,899 0 16,266 655 30,077 871 7.3% 1.6% 6.3% 2.9% 1,717 40,960 4,344 6,565 27,078 7,783 8,587 16,193 5,655 14.4% -4.1% 6.0% 2.7% -5.0% -3.1% 18.1% -0.9% 8.6% 53,895 55,325 47,356 45,338 14,725 12,893 2,636 106,540 0.3% -1.5% 8.4% 1980 0 0 280 23,444 22,629 9,967 23,444 22,629 10,247 1,643 15 2,512 56 1,944 29 Australia Fiji French Polynesia Kiribati Marshall Islands Micronesia (Federated State of) New Caledonia New Zealand Papua New Guinea Samoa Solomon Islands Tonga Tuvalu Vanuatu Pacific 1 0 0 4 0 0 4 8,439 10 264 25 5 3 15 0 0 1,971 260 37 27 8 40 1 2,164 5,109 Bangladesh India Islamic Republic of Iran Maldives Pakistan Sri Lanka Turkey South and South-West Asia 354 5,911 1,284 136 478 94 1,455 9,712 Brunei Darussalam Cambodia Indonesia Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Timor-Leste Viet Nam South-East Asia Total ESCAP region World total 743 798 77 7,650 63 9,331 Average Annual Growth 1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2010 11.1% -0.4% -7.9% -2.6% -0.4% -7.6% -0.9% 4.3% 14.1% -2.5% -6.5% -0.5% 2.1% 14.9% -0.7% 64.7% 19.3% 1.6% -0.2% 4.0% 18.4% 10.3% 10.3% 4.2% 2.2% 16.6% 3.7% 4.5% 35.3% 4.9% 16.3% 241 79 2 9 44 53 1,328 12,182 1,847 35 1 547 49,088 12 2 363 98 10 13 68 1,098 2,145 55,327 10.0% -0.7% 7.9% -22.3% 1.3% 0.9% 48.9% -4.8% 9.1% 464 6,476 4,738 78 354 350 4,029 16,489 380 6,839 3,730 86 285 183 6,262 17,764 645 9,027 988 141 295 168 5,451 16,715 2.7% 0.9% 13.9% -5.4% -3.0% 14.0% 10.7% 5.4% -2.0% 0.5% -2.4% 1.0% -2.2% -6.3% 4.5% 0.7% 5.4% 2.8% -12.4% 5.0% 0.4% -0.8% -1.4% -0.6% 1 0 1,412 702 88 1,928 7,664 392 358 0 2,179 1,718 827 8,515 7,928 615 361 1,792 3,387 5,665 512 7,191 23,414 1,962 80.0% 0.1% 4.4% 9.4% 25.1% 16.0% 0.3% 4.6% 4.5% 12.7% -4.7% -1.7% 11.4% 12.3% 3.3% 0.9% 9.1% 3.1% -9.8% -3.2% 5.8% 2.6% 241 12,428 470 22,610 929 45,212 500 1,964 8,093 7,718 183 5,219 41,047 2,526 1 3,451 70,702 6.9% 6.2% 7.1% 7.2% 14.0% 4.6% 101,450 419,911 122,162 423,627 132,762 573,121 258,615 882,635 1.9% 0.1% 0.8% 3.1% 6.9% 4.4% Source: UNCTAD Review of Maritime Transport, UNCTAD, New York and Geneva, various issues; Clarkson’s Shipping Intelligence Network, http://www.clarksons.net, accessed 31 December 2009. Notes: Data refers to merchant ships of 100 tonnes gross and above, excluding wooden and non-propelled craft. 1980 and 1990 data shown for the Russian Federation are for the former Soviet Union. IV. Maritime Ports and Developments in Shipping 59 located”.64 Ship owners in many countries – especially, but not exclusively, countries with relatively high incomes – have increasingly chosen to register their vessels in other countries in which registration of vessels by non-residents is permitted. 2. Trends in container slot capacity and ship size Globally, the size of mainline container ships has increased steadily over the past three decades. From 3,000 TEU in 1975, the size of the largest vessel in operation rose to 4,000 TEU in 1991, to 6,800 TEU in early 2000. The largest containerships currently in operation is given by Containerization International at 15,550 TEU (Figure IV-6). In February 2011, Maersk Line announced an order for 10 new ‘Triple-E’ megaships, with an estimated capacity of 18,000 TEU – 16 per cent larger than the largest ships now in service. These vessels will be 400 metres long, 59 metres wide and 73 metres tall, and will cost US$ 190 million each. Figure IV-6. Increase in containership size (1980-2010) 20,000 Size of largest container vessel-TEU 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2007 2009 2010 on order Source: Historical series compiled from Containerization International, various years. These developments are especially significant for the countries of the ESCAP region, as almost all vessels in the world fleet in excess of 6,000 TEU, and all of the vessels in excess of 8,000 TEU, currently operate on two routes: the Trans-Pacific route between Asia and North America and the Asia-Europe route. The other trade in which very large vessels are now being employed is the trade between Asia and South America, where vessels of up to 7,500 TEU are now being used. As the size of mainline vessels has been increasing, so has the size of feeder vessels and vessels deployed in regional and services. Feeder vessels of up to 2,000 TEU are now common, whereas in the mid-1990s vessels 1,200 to 1,300 TEU marked the top end of the feeder range. Similar trends are evident on some of the major intra-regional trade routes: between Australia and South-East Asia, for example, the size of the largest vessel deployed rose from 1,250 TEU in 1992 and 2,900 TEU in 1997 to 4,700 TEU by 2010.65 Similarly, vessels of up to 5,000 TEU are operating between South-East Asia and China.66 64 UNCTAD Review of Maritime Transport 2007. UNCTAD further notes that in practice it is difficult to clearly separate the “domiciled” and “registered” categories due to insufficient transparency. 65 Containerization International Yearbook, various issues, and Containerization International online database, http://www.cionline.co.uk, accessed 28 September 2011. 66 Containerization International, Well Stacked, May 2011. 60 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 The containership order book is now dominated by large vessels: container ships of over 7,000 TEU accounting for 69 per cent of the capacity currently on order. Planned investment seems to be particularly strong for ships with a capacity of 12,000 TEU and above: the 128 vessels in this size class that are currently on order comprise over 42 per cent of the total order book capacity. Figure IV-7 shows the evolution of the global container fleet from 1988 through to 2011. By the beginning of 2011, a total of 4,883 cellular container ships in service offered a total capacity of 14.1 million slots: this is up from 2,623 ships offering a total of 4.4 million TEU slots a decade earlier in 2000, and up from 1,239 vessels offering a total of 1.7 million TEU slots almost two decades earlier in 1990. The increase in the average size of container ships, measured in terms of slot capacity, is from 1,378 TEU in 1988 to 2,892 TEU in 2011. Figure IV-7. Developments in the numbers of container vessel numbers and their average size, 1988-2010 6,000 3,500 Average TEU Capacity 2,500 4,000 2,000 3,000 1,500 2,000 1,000 1,000 Number of cellular vessels 3,000 5,000 500 0 Average TEU capacity 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 0 Number of vessels Notes: Shipbuilding Markets 2007 (1999 to 1995); Clarksons Shipping Intelligence Network www.clarksons.net (1996-2008); Containerization International (2009-2011). 3. Consolidation in world container shipping Between 1 January 2000 and late 2011, the share of global container shipping capacity controlled by the top ten container lines increased substantially, from 49 per cent to 65 per cent. But perhaps more striking is the change in the share of fleet capacity of the top five lines. In 2000, the share of the top five lines stood at 32.8 per cent. By late 2011, this had risen to 47.4 per cent.67 In other words, all of the increase in the share of the top ten lines over the decade was accounted for by the gains made by the top five lines; in aggregate, the share of the global total held by the next five largest lines (that is, the lines ranked six to ten) did not change. The majority of the increase in concentration can be accounted for by the growth of the very largest lines: in particular Maersk, MSC, and CMA-CGM, which between them now account for almost 40 per cent of global capacity. The increased prominence of CMA-CGM is particularly striking: the line increased its capacity from 123,000 TEU in 2000 to 1,350,000 TEU by late 2011, improving its global ranking from twelfth to third. As can be seen from Figure IV-8, the share of total cellular fleet capacity controlled by the top twenty global lines as at 28 September 2011 was approximately 88 per cent of global capacity. 67 Data on market shares as at 1 January 2000 is taken from AXS-Alphaliner Liner Shipping Report January 2007; data on market shares as at 28 September 2011 is taken from AXS-Alphaliner Top 100 Report, accessed on the Alphaliner’s website: http://www.alphaliner.com, 28 September 2011. IV. Maritime Ports and Developments in Shipping 61 Figure IV-8. Share of top twenty shipping lines (as of 28 September 2011) Source: Based on data from AXS-Alphaliner Top 100 Report downloaded from Alphaliner website http://www.alphaliner.com, 28 September 2011. Although all of the three largest lines are European, economies of the ESCAP region are well represented in the mix of major container lines. Twelve of the world’s top twenty container shipping operators are based in the ESCAP region, and they control 35 per cent of the world’s container shipping capacity. The growing importance of intra-Asian trade is illustrated by the inclusion of regional specialists Pacific International Line in this group, which is otherwise dominated by global carriers. From 2000 to 2010, the container shipping fleet registered in the ESCAP region has also grown 12.4 per cent per year, which is in excess of the world average of 9.2 per cent per year. A significant part of this growth is the rapid increase in registrations on the open registry of the Marshall Islands, but major contributions also come from Singapore, followed by Hong Kong, China and China. 4. Productivity trends in the world merchant shipping fleet Figure IV-9 illustrates the productivity trends of the world merchant fleet between 1980 and 2009. The operational productivity of the world fleet, measured in tonnes of cargo per deadweight tonne of capacity, peaked in or around 2006, at which time productivity of the dry bulk fleet was nearly 25 per cent higher than in 1980; productivity of the tanker fleer 38 per cent above 1980 levels; and productivity of the container fleet an impressive 65 per cent greater than in 1980. Since 2006, the productivity of all sectors has declined: 6 per cent in the dry bulk sector; 17 per cent in the liquid bulk sector; and 28 per cent in the container and general cargo sector. The primary driver of both the productivity improvement to 2006 and the subsequently slide appears to be the supply-demand balance in the shipping industry. There was a strong surge in world seaborne trade in the early 2000s, when the demand for shipping far outstripped the expansion in capacity. The subsequent reduction in productivity reflects a large influx of new vessels in 2005, which has continued right through to the present, combined with the sharp slowdown in world trade that began in 2008. Ship owners have responded by accelerating scrapping, laying vessels up or operating them at reduced speeds. The second and third responses have the effect of driving down productivity (when this is measured by cargo carried per tonne of ship capacity). 62 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Figure IV-9. Productivity of the world merchant fleet, 1980-2009 Tonnes carried per dwt of shipping capacity 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1980 1990 Tankers 2000 2006 Dry Bulk Carriers 2007 2008 2009 Container and general cargo ships Source: Based on data in UNCTAD, Review of Maritime Transport 2010. D. Selected Investment Projects in Maritime Ports The sharp downturn in international maritime trade that followed the global financial crisis led to as deferral of many port projects throughout the world. Commenting specifically on plans for container terminal development, Drewry Shipping Consultants note that: “The downturn has led to a widespread retrenchment in terms of terminal expansion and investment. Many projects have been slowed down, or put on hold, while others have been cancelled. While projecting capacity plans is extremely difficult at present, it is clear that a much smaller number of investment initiatives are now being taken forward by global operators as many companies review their strategic direction in view of the changed economic circumstances”.68 More broadly, UNCTAD also comments that “Many port development projects under way in 2009 experienced a slowdown in activity, due to uncertainty about the effects of the global economic crisis and a fear of creating ports without customers, or so-called ‘white elephants’.”69 While the ESCAP region was not immune from this trend, the dynamism of the leading developing economies of the region meant that it enjoyed some protection from it. In particular, port development continued at a comparatively rapid pace in China and India, and in the resource-exporting countries, such as Australia and Indonesia. Table IV-3 below lists selected port infrastructure in the ESCAP region that are either in the planning stage, in progress or recently completed. The list is not comprehensive; it is intended simply to provide a broad indication of the physical scale of the included projects. The information is compiled from Thomson project finance international and other information gathered by the secretariat. 68 69 Drewry Shipping Consultants, Global Container Terminal Operators: Annual Review and Forecast 2010. UNCTAD Review of Maritime Transport 2010, UNCTAD Geneva December 2010. IV. Maritime Ports and Developments in Shipping 63 Table IV-3. Selected port infrastructure projects in the ESCAP region (as of end 2011) Country Australia Selected port infrastructure projects Port Botany Expansion Project The Botany expansion is one of the largest port redevelopments undertaken in Australia. The expansion entails: O O O O O O O O O Status Under Construction 1,850 metres of additional wharf face for five extra shipping berths 60 hectares of reclaimed terminal land deep water berths with depths of up to 16.5 metres dredging of approximately 7.8 million cubic metres of fill material to create shipping channels and berth boxes dedicated road access to the new terminal area additional rail sidings to provide rail access to the new terminal area additional tug berths and facilities rehabilitation and expansion of Penrhyn Estuary to create a secure estuarine environment community facilities including boat ramp, look outs, pathways Construction is now well advanced and the first berths are expected to be available in 2012.70 Australia Wiggins Island Coal Export Terminal Committed The Wiggins Island Coal Export Terminal (WICET) is major coal export terminal intended to serve future exports from the Surat and Bowen basins. These coal fields are situated to the west and south-west of Gladstone in Queensland. The ultimate capacity of the development is 80 million tonnes per annum. Stage 1, expected to cost US$AUS 2 billion and provide an export capacity of around 27 million tonnes, is expected to come online in 2014. Australia Port of Gladstone Western Basin Development The Western Basin at the port of Gladstone has been identified by the Queensland government as the site at which port facilities for the State’s emerging Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) industry will be located. The Basin development involves large scale dredging and disposal works estimated to cost a total of US$AUD 1.3 billion (US$ 1.2 billion). Joint venture partners Van Oord and Dredging International Australia were awarded the first stage of the dredging project, worth an estimated US$AUD 387 million, in March 2011. China Yangshan Port Construction Under Construction In Progress Due to the difficulty of maintaining water depth of port in Huangpu River, the Mother River of Shanghai, and rapid growth of container volume, the construction of a mega-deepwater port became a must for Shanghai. Phase I-III have been completed, while the fourth phase is expected to be finished in 2015. This will add 4 million TEUs capacity to the port’s current designed capacity of 9.3 million TEUs. Yangshan’s target is to have a throughput volume of 15 million TEUs by 2020. By this time, there will be capacity for 50 container berths and a channel depth of 16 m. The port will also have an annual handling capacity of 25 million TEU.71 China Chongqing Container Terminal Chongqing East Port Container Terminal opened in April 2011 with a forecast annual throughput of 200,000-250,000 TEU. It is among three container terminals on the Yangtze River that the municipality wants to develop. Once all phases are completed, the currently building phase three of its terminal, which will see overall annual capacity jump to 1.6 million TEU in 2013. 70 71 Sydney Ports Corporation website, www.sydneyports.com.au accessed 14 September 2011. Yangshan adds depth to planned Shanghai hub, China Daily 4 March 2011. Planned 64 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table IV-3. (continued) Country India Selected port infrastructure projects Expansion plan for Chennai Status Planned Chennai Port Trust is progressing plans of constructing a mega 4 million TEU container terminal on BOT basis. The terminal is likely to cost Rs. 36,860 million out of which the private developer is expected to invest Rs. 31,250 million while ChPT will spend Rs. 5,700 million on supporting infrastructure like channel deepening up to 18 m., providing tugs, floating crafts etc.. The port trust plans to commission the terminal in phases beginning from the 12th Plan period (2012-2017). Tenders for the project were issued in January 2008. However, concerns about a range of environmental issues, the quality of road access and over-capacity in the greater Chennai region have dampened enthusiasm for the project, and none of the seven short-listed bidders lodged financial proposals by the closing date of January 2011.72 However, the Government has re-affirmed its commitment to the development of Chennai as a hub port. India Kattupali Container Terminal The Kattupalli Container Terminal (KCT) (25 km north of Chennai) will be operated and managed by Manila-based International Container Terminal Services Inc. and will be ready for operations by early 2012. The project has been funded by a joint venture between Indian construction firm Larsen & Toubro and Tamil Nadu Industrial Development Corporation. This facility will initially have two berths on a 700 m quay wall dredged to a depth to 14 m at a cost of US$ 400 million. In the first phase, it is expected to have capacity to handle over one million TEU a year.73 India Gopalpur Port Project The master plan envisages 15-20 berths with three separate harbours to enable segregation of cargo as needed. The later stages of development would see a 3,500 m. breakwater for protection of all the harbours. The port will also be able to reclaim land south of the breakwater and use it for bulk storage.74 Under Construction Under Construction The first phase of development of Gopalpur Port involved the development of two dry bulk cargo berths and a break bulk cargo berth. Although the port has been operational since 2007, it has operated only as a seasonal port. Approval to deepen the approaches and expand the port to allow year-round operations was obtained in March 2011. The company has planned to invest Rs. 12.5 million (US$ 265 million). The port will have an installed capacity of handling at least 12 millions tonnes cargo by 2013 and aims to increase the capacity to handle 54-60 million tonnes per annum by 2022. Indonesia Karawang Port Project Planned State owned port operator PT Pelabuhan Indonesia (Pelindo) II has announced plans for a new port and container terminal to be built in Karawang, West Java. The project is due to be completed by 2020, and would ease pressure on Tanjung Priok, the country’s largest port. The Karawang port proposal supersedes earlier plans to build a new container terminal at Bojonegoro. Islamic Republic of Iran Expansion of Shahid Rejaiee Port In October 2009, the Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran delegated the third stage of the development of the container terminal at Shahid Rajaiee Port to Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Line (IRISL). The first two phases of the project have provided an estimated capacity of 5.7 million TEU at the port. The third phase will involve the construction of 1,450 meters of berth with a draught of 16 metres for the reception of Post Panamax vessels, dredging of 72 73 74 “No takers for mega container terminal at Chennai port”, Hindu Times, 29 January 2011. “Wheels in motion”, Containerization International, August 2011. Gopalpur port website, http://gopalpurports.com l, accessed 18 December 2009. In Progress IV. Maritime Ports and Developments in Shipping 65 Table IV-3. (continued) Country Islamic Republic of Iran (continued) Selected port infrastructure projects Status 2.5 million cubic metres and preparation of over 83 hectares of storage area, When completed, the third phase would increase the container capacity of the Shahid Rajaee Port Complex further to 7.6 million TEUs. IRISL has committed US$ 500 million to the project.75 Malaysia Penang Channel Deepening76 In Progress Penang Port Sdn Bhd is currently deepening its main shipping channel to accommodate mainline container ships. The RM (MYR) 322 million project was included in the Ninth Malaysian Plan review, and will increase the depth of the North Channel to 14.5 metres. The project has suffered significant delays in securing finance and environmental approvals. However, clearance to proceed was received in June 2011 and the project is now expected to be completed by end 2012. Pakistan FAP terminal, Qasim Completed Fauji Akbar Portia Marine Terminals (Pvt.) Ltd. was awarded a concession to construct a grain and fertilizer terminal on a greenfields site in the port of Qasim. The terminal was officially opened in October 2010. At present, draft at the terminal is limited to 11.5 metres, but the Port of Qasim Authority has made a commitment to deepen the port to 14 metres, allowing Panamax vessels to be accommodated.77 Singapore Expansion of Pasir Panjang Terminal In Progress Expansion of the port of Singapore is currently centred on the further development of the Pasir Panjang container terminal. The terminal is currently undergoing a US$ 714 million (US$ 580 million) expansion. The expansion will add 16 berths with an additional capacity of 14 million twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs). It will increase the total capacity of the port to around 50 million TEUs. The expansion is scheduled to be complete by 2013.78 Sri Lanka Colombo Port Expansion Project The Project will expand the container-handling capacity of Colombo Port by 7.2 million TEU in three increments of 2.4 million TEU each. The major project elements are dredging an approach channel and inner harbour basin west of the existing harbour, and constructing a breakwater to the west of the existing harbour sufficient to accommodate three new terminals, which will be constructed sequentially. In addition the Project includes the establishment of a new marine operations centre, relocation of an existing submarine oil pipeline near the entrance to the new terminal, provision of navigational aids, and construction of shore utilities including an electrical power plant, water mains and storage tanks and a sewage treatment plant.79 Under Construction The common user port works are being funded jointly by the Asian Development Bank and the Sri Lanka Ports Authority, and it is expected that the terminals will be developed by private operators under a PPP arrangement. However, early attempts to attract private sector interest, undertaken at the height of the Global Financial Crisis, were not successful. 75 “IRISL invests US$ 500 M in Shahid Rajaee port development project”, PMO News (supplement to Ports & Maritime magazine), Sept-Oct 2009, downloaded from website of Ports and Maritime Organization of Iran, http://www.pmo.ir, 16 September 2011. 76 “Dredging works back on track”, The Sun Daily, 27 June 2011. Viewed on The Sun Daily website http:// www.thesundaily.com.my, 17 September 2011. 77 “Pakistan’s first grain, fertilizer terminal to start operations soon”, Daily Post, 24 October 2010, viewed at http:// www.highbeam.com, 17 September 2011. 78 Port of Singapore, Singapore, viewed at the Ship-Technology website, http://www.ship-technology.com, 17 September 2011. 79 Asian Development Bank (ADB) 2007, Proposed Loan: Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka: Colombo Port Expansion Project, Report and Recommendation to President and Board of Directors. 66 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table IV-3. (continued) Country Selected port infrastructure projects Sri Lanka (continued) The dredging and breakwater works were substantially completed prior to the beginning of the 2011 monsoon season.80 A BOT agreement has been signed with China Merchants Holdings (International) Company to develop a 1,200 metres terminal with a land area of 58 hectares and water depth of 18 metres. The project is expected to take two phases, with Phase I to be ready for operation by early 2013, and the entire facility completed by 2016. Turkey Yarimca Container Terminal The Yarimca Container Terminal is being developed by DP World as a greenfield 1.3 m TEU capacity container terminal near Istanbul. The terminal will have 895 m of berth on a 45 ha site. The project is being developed in a single phase. DP World has appointed Haskoning for design consultancy services, and contracts for the civil works have been awarded to local Turkish companies. The port is expected to open in 2012.81 Viet Nam Van Phong Port Status Under Construction Suspended The Vietnam National Shipping Lines (Vinalines) commenced the construction of the Van Phong international transhipment port in the central province of Khanh Hoa in October 2008. As part of a general plan for Vietnam’s seaport system by 2020, Van Phong port will constitute the only international transhipment port in the country. Construction of the port will require an investment of more than US$ 3.6 billion. The project has struck technical and financing difficulties, and work on the project was suspended in May 2011. However, major investor Vinalines remains committed to the project.82 Viet Nam Lach Huyen Container Terminal Planned Japanese companies MOL, NYK and Itochu, in a joint venture with Vietnamese shipping line Vinalines – which is meant to take a 51 per cent stake – to develop the container terminal in Lach Huyen near Haiphong. The first phase of the terminal will cost approximately US$ 350 million and will be finished by 2015 and will have an annual capacity of 850,000 TEU, which is almost half of north Viet Nam’s current container volumes. Lach Huyen will have a 14 m draft and be able to handle ships of up to 8,000 TEU. Currently, draft restrictions in North Viet Nam mean that ports cannot handle vessel of over 1,200 TEU.83 Papua New Guinea Lae Port Development The Project is expected to catalyze industrial and commercial development and promote trade for PNG by relieving a binding constraint of key port infrastructure in Lae. The core of the Project will be the construction of a tidal basin located at the north-west of the existing port facilities; construction of a 240 m long wharf capable of accommodating post-Panamax container vessels; and terminal works including all buildings, storage, area, roads, drainage, water, electrics, and sewerage services. Under Construction A loan agreement for funding of the project was signed with the Asian Development Bank in June 2008.84 Tenders were called for the construction of the Tidal Basin, the wharf and related facilities in early 2011. 80 “Sri Lanka: Colombo Port Expansion Project Makes Progress”, Dredging Today, 28 March 2011, viewed on http:// www.dredgingtoday.com, 17 September 2011. 81 UK Trade and Investment, Sector Briefing: Port Opportunities in Turkey, 2010, dowmloaded from Ministry website www.ukti.gov.uk, 17 September 2011. 82 “Van Phong Port Construction Halted”, Dredging Today, 25 May 2011, viewed on http://www.dredgingtoday.com, 17 September 2011. 83 “NYK and MOL to ‘invest’ in new Viet Nam port”, Containerization International, August 2010. 84 Loan agreement between the Independent State of Papua New Guinea and the Asian Development Bank, 12 June 2008, viewed on www.adb.org, 20 December 2009. V. Dry ports, Intermodal Terminals and Logistics Development 67 V. DRY PORTS, INTERMODAL TERMINALS AND LOGISTICS DEVELOPMENT A. Development of Dry Ports and Intermodal Terminals in the ESCAP Region For many decades, national transport plans and programmes have tried to address transport demand by building roads, railway lines and maritime ports that function within individual mode-based frameworks. However, unimodal approaches sometimes result in lower levels of technical and economic efficiency than more holistic approaches to transport planning. Today, national and global economic and trade development policies must consider not only the way in which productive sectors operate but also how their outputs are distributed rapidly and efficiently to international markets. Given the significant growth expected in trade to, from and within the ESCAP region, it is imperative not only that all transport links (including railway, road and waterway) be developed but that the interfaces between these links – including both seaports and dry ports – be well-located, appropriately equipped and efficiently operated. At present, countries in Asia are at different stages in developing their dry ports. Some countries such as China, India, Malaysia, Republic of Korea, Russian Federation and Thailand have established well functioning dry ports while other countries are still in the early stages of development. However, even in those countries where dry port development is relatively advanced, significant further development is likely. Further efforts could be expended to identify intermodal corridors along the Asian Highway and Trans-Asian Railway networks offering high intermodal potential. The implementation of these efforts present a particular challenge born from the fact that in most countries the responsibilities for the development and implementation of intermodal policies and projects are distributed over many ministries or agencies dealing each with one specific aspect. A consequence is that related transport policy and resource allocations are modally oriented with narrowly focused programmes and projects lacking a coherent whole. Intermodal transport therefore requires a high degree of coordination and cooperation across all stakeholders, including government agencies and institutions, the private sector of shippers and modal carriers and the public and various interest groups. Recognizing the key role of dry ports in facilitating a coordinated approach to an international integrated intermodal transport and logistics system, the Forum of Asian Ministers of Transport, at its first session, held in Bangkok in December 2009, requested the secretariat to work towards developing an intergovernmental agreement on dry ports. Formalizing the development of dry ports through an intergovernmental agreement would: (a) promote international recognition of dry ports, (b) facilitate infrastructure investment by attracting strong commitment of member States and increased financing from international banks and bilateral donors, and (c) define operational services for a more harmonized approach to the development and operation of dry ports in the region through enhanced collaboration with the private sector. The ESCAP secretariat is currently developing such an agreement in close consultation with member states. Some recent dry port and intermodal facility development initiatives in the ESCAP region are described below. Australia Over the last decade Australia has witnessed a significant growth in interest in intermodal facilities in both the domestic and international transport supply chains. Several States have unveiled plans for the development of major new intermodal terminals. For example, in 2006, the Government of the state of New South Wales endorsed a plan for a new network of intermodal terminals to support the movement of containers by rail with the aim of increasing the proportion of import and export containers moving in and out of the Port Botany by rail from 20 per cent to 40 per cent. In 2007, the Government approved Sydney Ports Corporation’s proposal to develop the disused rail marshalling yard at Enfield as an Intermodal 68 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Logistics Centre (ILC). The Enfield site is connected to the port by dual track rail, and the site also has direct access to Sydney’s key road freight corridors. Site works commenced in 2010, and the Early Works package, including work associated with the a new vehicular bridge over RailCorp’s New Enfield Marshalling Yards to connect the ILC Site with Wentworth Street, is due for completion during 2011.85 In August 2011, the Government announced today that Hutchison Port Holdings (HPH) has been appointed operator of the terminal.86 Meanwhile, the Moorebank Project Office (MPO) was established within the Department of Finance and Deregulation to conduct a feasibility study into a proposed IMT at Moorebank. The study is considering technical, economic, environmental and community factors. Subject to environmental assessment and Government approval of the proposed Moorebank IMT the staged development of the facility is expected to commence in 2013.87 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan has identified the renewal and reconstruction of ports infrastructure (including dry ports) as a priority in its transport policy, and has endorsed the development of dry ports along its main international transport corridors as one of the key issues in the creation of international transport infrastructures. The main dry ports of Azerbaijan that involve rail connections are the dry port at Yalama on the border with the Russian Federation and the dry port at Boyuk-Kasik on the border with Georgia. There are also cargo interchange points on border crossings along the Asian Highway network. The Main Cargo Terminal of Baku Sea Trade Port (Dry Cargo terminal) situated within the boundaries of Baku city also plays an important role. The Terminal, which has a throughput of 2 million tonnes/year, is served by 8 kilometres of rail siding of railways of the terminal is 8 km and has 24,000 m2 of open storage and 10,000 m2 of closed warehouse.88 Cambodia There are many privately owned dry ports in Cambodia, mainly concentrated in and around Phnom Penh. The most important existing dry ports are: 85 O So Nguon ICD at Bavet, which operates on seven hectares of land and provides customs clearance facilities as well as warehousing and container freight station services O So Nguon ICD at Phnom Penh, which operates on ten hectares of land and provides a similar range of services89 O MSE-KPM ICD at Sangkat Cham Chao, Khan Dangkor, Phnom Penh. The terminal enjoys good access to Sihanoukville Port, Phnom Penh Port and Phnom Penh International Airport. It covers an area of almost 10 hectares currently and provides some 10,000 square metres of warehousing space and 27,000 square metres of storage and container yard.90 O Tec Srun ICD at Chom Chao on national road 4 O Olair Dry Port at Chom Chao O Teng Lay Dry Port at Chom Chao, which occupies an area of 40,000 square metres91 O Bok Seng ICD in Phnom Penh “ILC at Enfield project update”, website of Sydney Ports Corporation, www.sydneyports.com.au, accessed 19 September 2011. 86 Hutchison Port Holdings to Operate Enfield Intermodal Logistics Centre, website of Sydney Ports Corporation, www.sydneyports.com.au, accessed 19 September 2011. 87 Moorebank Intermodal Terminal Project – Community Update August 2011, Department of Finance website, http:// www.finance.gov.au/, accessed 19 September 2011. 88 Azerbaijan Country Paper, presented to UNESCAP Regional Expert Group Meeting on the Development of Dry Ports along the Asian Highway and Trans-Asian Railway Networks, 1-3 November 2010 Bangkok, Thailand. 89 Songuon Group website, http://www.songuongroup.com accessed 19 September 2011. 90 SKL Group website, http://www.sklgroup.com, accessed 19 September 2011. 91 Teng Lay Transport Group website, http://tenglaytransport.com, accessed 19 September 2011. V. Dry ports, Intermodal Terminals and Logistics Development O CWT Dry Port in Phnom Penh operated by the Port Authority of Sihanoukville. O New dry ports are planned for Bavit, Trapeanplong and Poi Pet.92 69 China The ‘Go West’ policy of moving the locus of economic development to the inland provinces of China has sparked a renewed interest in intermodalism and Dry Port development in China. One major initiative to cater for this expansion has been a programme launched by Railway Container Transport Corp. Ltd. (a subsidiary of the Ministry of Railways) in 2003. The project will see the construction of 18 new inland hub container handling facilities throughout China through joint venture private partners at a cost of US$ 1.6 billion. These terminals will form the basis of a transport network composed of approximately 16,000 kilometres of railway by 2020. The terminals, which are planned for completion by 2015, are shown in Figure V-1. Figure V-1. Existing and planned major intermodal terminals in China Medium and Long-Term Railway Planning Legend Rail container terminal under operation Rail container terminal under construction Existing railway Planned railways to be constructed New railway proposals Source: Ministry of Railways, Government of China. 92 Cambodia Country Paper, presented to UNESCAP Regional Expert Group Meeting on the Development of Dry Ports along the Asian Highway and Trans-Asian Railway Networks, 1-3 November 2010 Bangkok, Thailand. 70 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 India India currently has 252 dry ports, operated by private companies, state governments and their various agencies and by the Container Corporation of India (CONCOR).93 Although the Indian railway network was opened to 13 new entrants in 2005, CONCOR remains the dominant operator of rail-based intermodal facilities. Established by the Ministry of Railways to promote containerized transport in India, at its incorporation, CONCOR inherited the then network of seven ICDs from the Indian Railways and was charged with their operation. It currently operates a total of 61 dry ports.94 Figure V-2. Container throughput at ICDs operated by CONCOR 1995-2009 3,000,000 2,500,000 TEU 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 International 10 -20 11 10 20 20 -20 09 09 -20 08 20 07 -20 08 07 20 06 -20 06 20 -20 05 05 20 -20 04 20 -20 04 03 03 20 -20 02 02 -20 01 20 01 20 00 -20 00 20 -20 99 19 -19 99 98 98 19 -19 97 19 19 96 -19 97 0 Domestic Source: Website of Container Corporation of India Ltd., 18 September 2011, www.concorindia.com/corebusiness.asp Figure V-2 shows that the number of containers (TEU) handled by CONCOR has increased fourfold since 1996-1997. A downturn in volumes due to the impact of the global financial crisis was experienced in international intermodal container handling in 2008-2009 with an overall drop in intermodal container volumes from the 2007-2008 level of 2.45 million TEUs to 2.3 million TEUs, but volumes have since recovered to exceed the previous peak. Indonesia In Indonesia, providing high quality transport links to the interior is regarded as essential to the economic development of these inland areas, and a number of signification dry ports have been established. Four of these – at Cikarang, Surabaya, Cirebon and Cilegon – are in fact located very close to major seaports. However, the other four serve areas that do not have direct maritime access. Cikarang, Gedebage, Cibungur and Solo are rail-based terminals; all of the others are served only by road. Figure V-3 shows the volume of containers handled at each of the major dry ports in 2008. An additional dry port – the Rambipuji dry port in East Java – has temporarily ceased operations because of a shortage of traffic.95 93 India Country Paper, presented to UNESCAP Regional Expert Group Meeting on the Development of Dry Ports along the Asian Highway and Trans-Asian Railway Networks, 1-3 November 2010 Bangkok, Thailand. 94 Container Corporation of India Website, http://www.concorindia.com, accessed 18 September 2011. 95 Indonesia Country Paper, presented to UNESCAP Regional Expert Group Meeting on the Development of Dry Ports along the Asian Highway and Trans-Asian Railway Networks, 1-3 November 2010 Bangkok, Thailand. V. Dry ports, Intermodal Terminals and Logistics Development 71 Figure V-3. Throughput of Indonesia’s major dry ports, 2008 120,000 100,000 TEU 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Cikarang Gede Bage Cibungur Cirebon Solo Surabaya Tonjong Cilegon Dry Port Import Export Source: Based on Indonesia Country Paper to Regional UNESCAP Regional Expert Group Meeting on the Development of Dry Ports along the Asian Highway and Trans-Asian Railway Networks, 1-3 November 2010 Bangkok, Thailand. Islamic Republic of Iran The Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran has adopted a number of policies in support of the development of intermodal transport and dry ports, and the first major dry port in Aprin is now in operation. The Aprin Terminal is located 21 kilometres south western of Tehran at the intersection of East-West and North-South railways; it is also accessible to a number of highways. It has a total area of 100 hectares. Current throughput at the terminal is 5,000 TEU. Two other major dry ports are planned to serve designated special economic zones: a 36 hectare facility in the Salafchegan Special Economic Zone and a 40 hectare facility in the Sirjan Special Economic Zone.96 Republic of Korea The National Intermodal Transportation Network Plan (2000-2019) was set up to secure transportation infrastructure to boost national competitiveness in the 21st century and to build a transport system that will be sufficient to handle the expected intermodal freight. There are five large-scale inland container depots that are in operation or under development in the Republic of Korea (Table V-1. These ICDs are used primarily to distribute trade between the country’s two main ports (Busan and Gwangyang) and the hinterland. Each of these facilities is connected by rail to both of these ports, and all (except Yangsan) have, or will be provided with full customs service. The first of these facilities, Uiwang ICD, was completed in 1993 with funding provided through a Build-Operate-Transfer contract with a private concessionaire. 96 Islamic Republic of Iran Country Paper, presented to UNESCAP Regional Expert Group Meeting on the Development of Dry Ports along the Asian Highway and Trans-Asian Railway Networks, 1-3 November 2010 Bangkok, Thailand. 72 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table V-1. Inland container handling facilities in the Republic of Korea Region Seoul 2010 Jan-Oct 2011 Capacity (TEU) 753,127 903,000 841,000 1,370,000 Area (sq m) Location Uiwang, Kyunggi-do Province Throughput (TEU) Busan Yangsan, Kyungsangnam-do Province 951,940 395,000 250,000 1,400,000 Honam Jangsung, Chollanam-do Province 520,782 5,700 4,280 340,000 Central Chungboo, Chungchungbuk-do Province 480,736 3,500 11,290 350,000 Youngnam Chilgok, Kyungsangbuk-do 456,499 6,600 18,740 330,000 Source: Data provided to UNESCAP by Government of Korea. Lao People’s Democratic Republic At present, Lao People’s Democratic Republic has one dry port, the Thanalaeng Warehouse State Enterprise on the outskirts of Vientiane. With the completion of the rail link from Thanalaeng to Bangkok and Laem Chabang, there are plans to establish another dry port at the Thanalaeng Railway Station. Dry ports are also planned for Savannakhet, at the intersection of NR13 and NR9 highways, which will improve logistics facilities along the Greater Mekong Subregion East-West Economic Corridor; and at Champasack on NR16, which will facilitate transport on Thailand-Laos-Cambodia-Vietnam route.97 Malaysia Dry ports have been an important feature of the logistics landscape in Malaysia since the development of the Sungai Way ICD in conjuction with the containerization of Port Klang in 1973. At present there are six major facilities operating in Malaysia. The main details of these facilities are shown in Table V-2 below. Malaysia does not have an explicit national plan for the development of dry ports and ICDs, and any impetus for further development of the network is expected to come from the private sector. Table V-2. Dry Ports in Malaysia Name Location Served by (mode) Container yard area (m2) 30,000 Approximate throughput (TEU) Ipoh Cargo Terminal (ICT) 181 km south of Penang Port and 250 km north of Port Klang Road/Rail Nilai Inland Port (NIP) 50 km south of Kuala Lumpur and 93 km from Port Klang Road/Rail/ Inland waterway Prai ICD 10 km from Butterworth Terminal, Pinang Road/Rail 20,000 3,000 Sungai Way ICD 22 km from Port Klang Road/Rail 30,000 6,000 Padang Besar ICD* 158 km north of Penang Port and 588 km north of Port Klang Road/Rail 20,000 90,000 Segamat Inland Port (SIP) 212 km south of Kuala Lumpur and 188 km north of Port Tanjung Pelepas Road/Rail 101,000 c. 1,000 Not known 40,000 4,000 Source: Malaysian Country Paper to UNESCAP Regional Expert Group Meeting on the Development of Dry Ports along the Asian Highway and Trans-Asian Railway Networks, 1-3 November 2010 Bangkok, Thailand. * Padang Besar ICD does not provide a full range of services – it serves purely as an intermodal facility with transfer of cargo between road and rail. 97 Lao PDR Country Paper, presented to UNESCAP Regional Expert Group Meeting on the Development of Dry Ports along the Asian Highway and Trans-Asian Railway Networks, 1-3 November 2010 Bangkok, Thailand. V. Dry ports, Intermodal Terminals and Logistics Development 73 Mongolia Dry port development plans for Mongolia centre on a small number of facilities serving strategic economic development zones. The government of Mongolia has identified four key locations: the Zamyn Uud Free Economic Zone, on the border with China; Samshand Industrial Park; Ulaanbataar; and Altanbulag Free Trade Zone, on the border with Russian Federation.98 In December 2010, The Asian Development approved a US$ 40 loan for the development of the Zamyn Uud dry port.99 Nepal Nepal has several dry ports in the border towns of Birgunj, Bhairahawa, Biratnagar, and Kakarbitta, which are key land customs points. Birgunj has rail access; the other three facilities are road-based. Another dry port is being developed at Larcha, near the border with China. The facilities are designed to offer the complete range of modern infrastructure to facilitate expeditious clearance of import and export cargo movement by containers. The Birgunj Dry Port, located at Sirsiya, 4 km west of Birgunj town, is the biggest of the four, stretching over an area of 38 hectares. It is linked with a broad gauge railway which has a connection to the seaport in Kolkata via Raxaul. The complex has a railway yard with 6 full length lines. The container stacking yard has 656 ground slots capable of holding 1,570 TEUs at one time with the possibility of extensions up to 2,528 TEUs. Figure V-4 shows that throughput at Birgunj has grown strongly since its inception in 1984, with growth over the last five years averaging nearly 20 per cent per annum. The Kakarbhitta Dry Port has an area of 7.5 hectares and is reported to be currently handling 80-90 trucks per day.100 The Biratnagar facility is a road-based ICD with a total area of 2.86 hectares. It has a container yard of 3,700 sq.m. capable of holding 150 TEUs at a time and parking area for around 80 trucks. The Bhairahawa ICD is also a road-based ICD with a total area of 3.6 hectares. Figure V-4. Throughput at Birgunj Dry Port 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 TEU 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 Imports 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 Exports Source: Based on data from Himalayan Terminals Pvt. Ltd. website, http://wwe.htpldryport.com, accessed 19 September 2011. 98 Mongolia Country Paper, UNESCAP Regional Expert Group Meeting on the Development of Dry Ports along the Asian Highway and Trans-Asian Railway Networks, 1-3 November 2010 Bangkok, Thailand. 99 Asian Development Bank, 41192: Regional Logistics Development Project: Project Information Document, accessed on ADB websire http://www.adb/org, 19 September 2011. 100 Ripak D. Sharma, Kakarbhitta dry port awaits its potential to be tapped, Republica, 13 Novenber 2011, viewed at http:// www.myrepublica.com, 8 December 2011. 74 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Thailand Thailand has one major dry port facility, located at Lat Krabang approximately 30 kilometres east of the centre of Bangkok. The Lat Krabang ICD was developed in the early 1990s in conjunction with the development of the new deepwater port at Laem Chabang, and has direct rail connections (as well as good road connections) with the port. The site, which is owned by the State Railway of Thailand, is divided into six roughly equal modules, each of which is leased to a private terminal operator. The six modules share access to a central rail spur. Throughput through Lat Krabang has grown strongly since the facility was established, reaching nearly 2 million TEU before the downturn in trade brought on by the global financial crisis. Uzbekistan The major dry port facilities in Uzbekistan are: O International Logistic Center Navoi: located in the Navoi Free Industrial Zone adjacent to the Navoi International airport, this facility is designed to facilitate the integration of road, rail and air transport. O International Logistic Center Angren: the Angren centre in Tashkent was commissioned in 2010 and provides a full range of freight forwarding, cargo handling services, container transportation, storage, customs clearance and certification of goods. It handled an estimated 4 million tonnes of cargo in 2010. O International Logistic Center Tashkent: this centre is still under development. It is located 2 km away from Tashkent ring road. O Container Terminal Station Chuqursoy: this facility occupies an area of 18.2 ha with a handling capacity of 460 containers per day. It handled approximately 20,000 containers in 2009. O There are also 22 regional ICDs focussed on meeting the needs of export cotton industry.101 B. Logistics Development in the ESCAP Region The ESCAP region is home to some of the most sophisticated logistics operations in the world, with Singapore and Hong Kong, China in particular established benchmarks of world’s best practice in logistics. However, many developing countries in the ESCAP region have yet to address logistics issues in a coherent way. In many countries in the region the “logistics industry” consists of a fragmented collection of infrastructure, services, actors, rules and regulations that are administered or managed by independent ministries, departments, agencies, organizations and companies, each operating in their own “silos”. Even transportation alone, as one of the key activities in logistics, responsibility for each transport mode often falls under the jurisdiction of separate agencies. Consequently, investment and development decisions are based primarily on the needs of the sub-sector with little coordination between the different modes. Information and communications technology (ICT) infrastructure and software are also crucial elements in the development of the logistics industry as they can, amongst others, provide information on the location of goods and inventories, increase efficiency and reduce transactions costs. While individual companies and transport sub-sectors in some developed countries have established tracking and tracing systems, no standardized systems are in place that cover all sub-sectors, countries and users. In view of the modal silo systems that have evolved, it is unlikely that standardization of transport and logistics information systems will be achieved without policy interventions. In some countries, a number of issues related to logistics fall under the jurisdiction of state or provincial governments. Policy measures can include regulation of warehousing and distribution, toll gates at state borders to collect local taxes, and regulation of farm-to-market supply chains. These practices impact directly on incomes of farmers, increase losses in the supply chain, impair the quality of produce and increases the prices paid by consumers. 101 Uzbekistan Country Paper presented to UNESCAP Regional Expert Group Meeting on the Development of Dry Ports along the Asian Highway and Trans-Asian Railway Networks, 1-3 November 2010, Bangkok, Thailand. V. Dry ports, Intermodal Terminals and Logistics Development 75 While infrastructure and logistics service providers are the elements that link the supply side of the logistics industry, institutional arrangements can play a significant role in stimulating the demand side. In the Republic of Korea, for example, where physical infrastructure and working capital seems to be less of an issue compared to other countries of the region, it is recognized that the demand for logistics services can be further stimulated. According to a 2006 survey by the Korea International Trade Association, small- and medium-sized businesses have a very low level of awareness, knowledge and information about third-party logistics service provider. 20.9 per cent of survey respondents cited “lack of knowledge and information about 3PL” for their reason of not acquiring services. 1. Measuring Logistics Performance In order to measure the quality and level of logistics, several indices have been developed. The most commonly cited indices are the Logistics Performance Indicator and the “Doing Business Across Borders”, both developed by the World Bank. The Logistics Performance Index (LPI) summarizes the performance of countries in six areas that capture the most important aspects of the current logistics environment, as identified through theoretical and empirical research and extensive interviews with international logistics professionals: O O O O O O Efficiency of the customs clearance processes. Quality of trade and transport-related infrastructure. Ease of arranging competitively priced shipments. Competence and quality of logistics services. Ability to track and trace consignments. Frequency with which shipments reach the consignee within the scheduled or expected time. Figure V-5 shows the value of the World Bank Logistics Performance Index for selected ESCAP economies as well as the average for the region as a whole and for each subregion with ESCAP, and compares these with the global average value. The average value of the Index for ESCAP economies was very close to the global average in both 2006 and 2009. But this overall average masks some significant differences between subregions. The East and North-East Asian subregion rates particularly well, with Japan and Hong Kong, China in particular acknowledged as being at or very close to world’s best practice. South-East Asia also rates very highly, with Singapore ranked second only to Germany in the global rankings and Malaysia and Thailand also ranked highly. The Pacific subregion, taken as a whole, also scores above the world average, because of the high scores achieved by Australia and New Zealand on the index. The average for South and South-West Asia fell below the global average in both years, but was boosted by high scores for two of the subregion’s largest economies. By contrast, in North and Central the Index was equal to or lower than the world average for all of subregional members in both 2006 and 2009. However, this subregion achieved the largest improvement in the Index between 2006 and 2009, will every member of the group recording an improved performance. A complementary perspective of logistics performance can be obtained from the World Bank’s cost of Doing Business project. This project monitors the ease of doing business in 183 countries around the world, looking at a set of nine key factors. Most of these do not relate directly to logistics, but one of them – the ease of trading across borders – reflects both the success of facilitation measures and the level of transport costs. The ease of trading across borders is reflected in an index that takes into account: O O O the number of documents required to import and export the cost to import and export the time to import and export. 76 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Figure V-5. World Bank Logistics Performance Index – Selected ESCAP economies World ESCAP Average South-East Asia Average Viet Nam Thailand Singapore Philippines Myanmar Malaysia Lao People’s Democratic Republic Indonesia Cambodia South and South-West Asia Average Turkey Sri Lanka Pakistan Nepal Maldives Islamic Republic of Iran India Bhutan Bangladesh Afghanistan Pacific Average Solomon Islands Papua New Guinea New Zealand Fiji Australia North and Central Asia Average Uzbekistan Turkmenistan Tajikistan Russian Federation Kyrgyzstan Kazakhstan Georgia Azerbaijan Armenia East and North-East Asia Average Republic of Korea Mongolia Japan Hong Kong, China China 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 World Bank Logistics Performance Index 2009 2006 Source: Based on data in World Bank, Connecting to Compete – Trade Logistics in the Global Economy: the Logistics Performance Index and its Indicators, World Bank, Washington 2010. Figure V-6 shows the ranking given to each of the ESCAP economies included in the reporting set, grouped by subregion. Singapore and Hong Kong, China rank first and second in the world on this measure. A number of the other East and North-East Asian and ASEAN economies also rank very highly. Within these subregions, there appears to be a storng correlation between ranking and level of economic development, with lower income countries clustered at the lower end of the rankings. V. Dry ports, Intermodal Terminals and Logistics Development 77 Figure V-6. Relative ease of trading across borders, 2011 Hong Kong, China Republic of Korea Japan China Mongolia 2 8 24 50 158 Georgia Armenia Kyrgyzstan Russian Federation Uzbekistan Azerbaijan Tajikistan Kazakhstan 35 82 156 162 169 177 178 181 New Zealand Australia Tonga Marshall Islands Kiribati Solomon Islands Samoa Papua New Guinea Micronesia (Federated State of) Fiji Palau Vanuatu 28 29 60 70 83 86 94 96 97 103 121 142 Sri Lanka Turkey Pakistan India Bangladesh Islamic Republic of Iran Maldives Bhutan Nepal Afghanistan 72 76 81 100 112 131 138 161 164 183 Singapore Thailand Malaysia Indonesia Brunei Darussalam Philippines Viet Nam Timor-Leste Cambodia Lao People’s Democratic Republic 1 12 37 47 52 61 63 91 118 170 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Rankings on ease of trading across borders Source: Based on data downloaded for the World Bank ‘Doing Business’ project website, http://www.doingbusiness.org, downloaded 30 September 2011. This relationship is not evident within the North and Central Asian subregion. All but two of these economies are clustered within the bottom quartile of the rankings. (The exceptions are Georgia and Armenia), and there is no clear relationship between ranking and income level. Pacific Island countries, with the exception of the developed economies of Australia and New Zealand, are clustered around the median value, while rankings of South and South-West Asian countries cover a comparatively broad spectrum, from a ranking of 73 for Sri Lanka to 183 for Afghanistan. 78 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 These patterns suggest that some caution is required in interpreting these results. While to some extent the rankings reflect the policies and procedures that are under the control of government, the size and location of the country also influence the cost and time of exporting. For this reason, the index is more appropriately interpreted as a measure of the challenges facing an economy in forging links with the international trading community that as a measure of government performance. The ‘Doing Business’ project has been tracking the six dimensions of the ease of trading across borders since 2004. Comparative data for most ESCAP economies is available for 2006 and 2011. Table V-3 shows how performance on these dimesions has changed over this five year period. In most cases, the cost of importing and exporting has increased. However, in most cases the time required to import and export, and the number of documents required in each case, has either improved or remained unchanged. 2. Developing a National Logistics Strategy Some countries in the region have started to take initiatives to put in place policies to guide and support the development of efficient logistics. For example, the Government of Thailand adopted a national strategy on logistics (2007-2011). In recent years the National Development and Reform Commission of China has been leading the development of national logistics policy with participation of seven ministries and authorities as well as the private sector. In Japan, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry and the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport jointly formulated a “Comprehensive Programme of Logistics Policies (2005-2009)”. In the Republic of Korea, many initiatives have been taken by the Government to promote the development of logistics. For example, in 1995, the Logistics Facilitation Act was revised and the Distribution Centre Development Act was passed in order to provide financial incentives to developers. Among the ways of assisting the industry players to implement more cost effective practices being pursued by ESCAP and its member countries are the promotion of development of freight forwarder associations. Indonesia, for example, has established a national logistics blueprint and multimodal transportation blueprint, while Malaysia is implementing a range of initiatives aimed at supporting improved freight forwarding practices, such as the establishment of establishing industry standards and a professional accreditation body for freight forwarders, customs agents, and shipping operators; a National Logistics Council; and an independent research body, namely, a Supply Chain and Logistics Centre for the purpose of strengthening rules and regulations on road hauliers, introducing container safety measures; reviewing licensing policies on road transport; and adopting more liberal employment policies for foreign experts.102 One of the most significant factors impeding the further development of multimodal transport and adoption of logistics solutions within the ESCAP region is the limited number of trained personnel available to the industry. The provision of the full range of freight forwarding and multimodal transport services requires up-to-date knowledge of a broad range of issues, including regimes of liability and applicable international conventions, contract law, trading terms, documentary credits, customs procedures and documentation, quarantine requirements, transport arrangements, packaging and labelling requirements, dangerous goods codes, and recovery claims and insurance. As well as these operational capabilities, there is also a need to improve core management capabilities for running small businesses. In addition, due to the complexity of the tasks and responsibilities assumed by the multimodal transport operator on behalf of shippers, a thorough knowledge of case law and precedents can help in avoiding unnecessary risks and, in the case of loss, lead to a speedy and satisfactory resolution of claims. The general lack of common standards in the region impedes progress of the freight forwarding industry in development of the operational capacities. As well as supporting freight forwarders through skill development, it is also important to enhance their professionalism and competitiveness by establishing minimum standards and codes of conduct for participation in the industry. As suggested by Table V-4 below, research conducted by ESCAP revealed that freight forwarders (as well as NVOCCs and MTOs) in the Region may be managed by different models of government regulation and licensing or industry self-regulation. 102 Report of the UNESCAP Regional Forum of Freight Forwarders, Multimodal Transport Operators and Logistics Service Providers, Bali, Indonesia, 15 July 2010. V. Dry ports, Intermodal Terminals and Logistics Development 79 Table V-3. Change in ease of trade across borders, 2006-2011 Documents to export Time to export Cost to export Documents to import Time to import Cost to import China Hong Kong, China Japan Mongolia Republic of Korea Increased Decreased Unchanged Decreased Decreased Increased Decreased Unchanged Decreased Decreased Increased Increased Increased Increased Increased Decreased Decreased Unchanged Decreased Decreased Unchanged Decreased Unchanged Decreased Decreased Increased Increased Increased Decreased Decreased Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Russian Federation Tajikistan Uzbekistan Decreased Unchanged Decreased Decreased Decreased Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Decreased Decreased Decreased Decreased Decreased Unchanged Unchanged Decreased Increased Increased Decreased Increased Increased Increased Increased Increased Unchanged Unchanged Decreased Decreased Decreased Unchanged Decreased Unchanged Decreased Decreased Decreased Decreased Decreased Unchanged Unchanged Decreased Increased Increased Decreased Increased Increased Increased Increased Increased Australia Fiji Kiribati Marshall Islands Micronesia (Federated State of) New Zealand Palau Papua New Guinea Samoa Solomon Islands Tonga Vanuatu Increased Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Decreased Decreased Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Increased Increased Decreased Increased Increased Increased Decreased Increased Decreased Decreased Increased Decreased Decreased Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Decreased Decreased Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Decreased Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Decreased Unchanged Increased Increased Decreased Increased Increased Increased Decreased Increased Unchanged Decreased Increased Decreased Afghanistan Bangladesh Bhutan India Islamic Republic of Iran Maldives Nepal Pakistan Sri Lanka Turkey Increased Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Increased Decreased Increased Decreased Unchanged Decreased Decreased Unchanged Decreased Decreased Decreased Decreased Increased Increased Increased Increased Increased Increased Increased Decreased Increased Increased Increased Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Decreased Decreased Decreased Decreased Unchanged Decreased Decreased Increased Unchanged Decreased Decreased Decreased Increased Increased Increased Decreased Increased Increased Increased Increased Increased Increased Cambodia Indonesia Lao People’s Democratic Republic Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand Timor-Leste Viet Nam Increased Unchanged Decreased Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Decreased Unchanged Unchanged Decreased Decreased Decreased Unchanged Decreased Unchanged Decreased Unchanged Decreased Decreased Increased Increased Increased Decreased Increased Decreased Increased Increased Decreased Unchanged Decreased Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Decreased Unchanged Decreased Decreased Unchanged Decreased Unchanged Decreased Unchanged Decreased Unchanged Decreased Increased Decreased Increased Increased Decreased Increased Decreased Increased Increased Economy Source: Based on data downloaded for the World Bank ‘Doing Business’ project website, http://www.doingbusiness.org, downloaded 30 September 2011. 80 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table V-4. Government regulations and industry self regulations for freight forwarders Government regulations Industry self regulations Bangladesh Yes Yes China Yes Yes Indonesia Yes Yes Republic of Korea Yes Yes Philippines Yes Yes India No Yes Country Lao People’s Democratic Republic No Yes Myanmar No Yes Singapore No Yes Sri Lanka No Yes Thailand No Yes ESCAP is currently working to develop a draft code of conduct, as well as minimum standards for staff qualifications and numbers. ESCAP’s research suggested that when choosing a model, the level of economic development and the maturity of the industry, the legal regime, and the national industry policies need to be taken into consideration. It was also suggested that it is desirable for a country to set up an integrated government agency in managing freight forwarders, NVOCCs and MTOs. However, if different government authorities are in charge of different types of operators, coordination among them needs to be promoted. VI. Facilitating Transport Across Borders 81 VI. FACILITATING TRANSPORT ACROSS BORDERS A. Implementation of International Conventions and Agreements Relating to Transport Facilitation and the Movement of Goods and Services across Borders International trade has played an increasingly prominent role in driving economic growth around the world, and in the Asia and Pacific region in particular. While recognising the importance of infrastructure, however, it is now widely accepted the institutional and regulatory rules governing the movement of goods and people across borders have an equal if not bigger influence on international transport. For the road transport sector, for example, the smooth and efficient flow of transport requires the harmonization of a number of elements: O infrastructure planning standards and signage. O rules on access to the transport market and the right to conduct transport operations. O technical insurance and customs regulations relating to the means of transport (trucks, trailers, et cetera). O driver licensing standards and visa requirements. O customs and quarantine rules governing the movement of cargo. O traffic rules. Broadly speaking, measures to address issues such as those listed above are grouped together as trade and transport facilitation issues. Many international organizations have promoted international conventions and agreements as a means to harmonize the rules regulating international movement of goods. For example, international transport conventions and agreements such as those developed under the auspices of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) have focused on the transportrelated aspects of the movement of goods and people, such as cross-border movement of vehicles, goods, transit fees, and visas for drivers. Most subregional agreements which were subsequently developed under the auspices of subregional organizations and groupings contain the same principles or refer to the international transport conventions, particularly those relating to road transport. Recognizing that the harmonization of certain rules governing the international movement of goods by road and rail could contribute to international trade by reducing time and costs, the ESCAP Commission adopted Resolution 48/11 on “Road and rail transport modes in relation to facilitation measures” in 1990. This resolution recommended that ESCAP member countries consider the possibility of acceding to the following seven core international conventions relating to transport facilitation: O Convention on Road traffic (Vienna, 8 November 1968) O Convention on Road Signs and Signals (Vienna, 8 November 1968) O Customs Convention on the International Transport of Goods under Cover of TIR Carnets (TIR Convention) (Geneva, 14 November 1975) O Customs Convention on the Temporary Importation of Commercial Road Vehicles (Geneva, 18 May 1956) O Customs Convention on Containers (Geneva, to December 1972). O International Convention on the Harmonization of Frontier Control of Goods (Geneva, 21 October 1982) and O Convention on the Contract for the International Carriage of Goods by Road (CMR) (Geneva, 19 May 1956). 82 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table VI-1 provides an update of the status of accession by ESCAP member states. Although there has been some progress since resolution 48/11 was adopted, the legal and institutional harmonization at the level expected has yet to be achieved. A review undertaken by ESCAP in 2006 identified several key obstacles to the effective implementation of the resolution and recommended a new strategy to support further progress. The review also recommended the inclusion of three additional facilitation conventions: O Protocol to the Convention on Contracts for the international carriage of goods by road, 1978. O International Convention on the Simplification and Harmonization of Customs Procedures, as Amended (revised to Kyoto convention), 1973. O Convention on Temporary Admission (Istanbul Convention), 1990. Table VI-1. Status of accession of ESCAP Regional Members to the International Conventions listed in Commission resolution 48/11, as of 30 November 2011 Country or area Convention on Road Traffic (1968) Convention on Road Signs and Signals (1968) Customs Convention on the International Transport of Goods under Cover of TIR Carnets (1975) Customs Convention on the Temporary Importation of Commercial Road Vehicles (1956) x E E x Customs International Convention Convention Convention on the on on the Contract Containers Harmonization for the (1972) of Frontier International Controls of Carriage Goods of Goods (1982) by Road (CMR) (1956) Group I: Mainland Asia Afghanistan Armenia Azerbaijan Bangladesh Bhutan Cambodia China Democratic People’s Republic of Korea Georgia India Islamic Republic of Iran Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Lao People’s Democratic Republic Malaysia Mongolia Myanmar Nepal Pakistan Republic of Korea Russian Federation Singapore Tajikistan Thailand Turkey Turkmenistan Uzbekistan Viet Nam E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E x x x x E E x E x x E E E E E E E E E x S1 x x S x x x E x E E E x x x E S E S E E E E E x E E E E x E E E E E E E VI. Facilitating Transport Across Borders 83 Table VI-1. (continued) Country or area Convention on Road Traffic (1968) Convention on Road Signs and Signals (1968) Customs Convention on the International Transport of Goods under Cover of TIR Carnets (1975) S S x x x Customs Convention on the Temporary Importation of Commercial Road Vehicles (1956) Customs International Convention Convention Convention on the on on the Contract Containers Harmonization for the (1972) of Frontier International Controls of Carriage Goods of Goods (1982) by Road (CMR) (1956) Group II: Island countries Brunei Darussalam Indonesia Japan Maldives Philippines Sri Lanka x Source: http://treaties.un.org/Pages/Treaties.aspx?id=11&subid=A&lang=en http://www.unece.org/trans/conventn/legalinst.html, Notes: x acceded before adoption of ESCAP Commission Resolution 48/11. E acceded after adoption of ESCAP Commission Resolution 48/11. S signature. 1 The Republic of Korea acceded to the Convention on Road Traffic (1949), while it remains as a signatory of the new version of the convention (1968). The facilitation of transport is also connected to the broader issue of the liberalisation and facilitation of trade. On the one hand, it can be argued that trade liberalisation agreements give meaning and urgency to transport facilitation agreements, especially as these relate to the carriage of goods. In some cases trade liberalization measures also lead directly to improved transport performance: for example, those measure which liberalise the trade in transport services. Trade facilitation agreements, such as agreements to simplify customs procedures, also have an impact on transport movements across borders; they not only lower the cost of preparing and processing customs documentation, but also reduce the time that cargoes spend in transit. The agreements negotiated under the World Trade Organization have both a direct and indirect bearing on the rules and regulations governing the movement of freight across borders. The General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS), negotiated under the Uruguay Round, is the first multilateral set of legally binding rules for international trade in services. Under GATS, trade in services is subdivided into economic sectors, including transport, and each sector is characterized by four modes of supply: O Mode 1 – cross-border supply (services supplied from one country to another – for example, international telephone calls); O Mode 2 – consumption abroad (consumers or firms making use of a service in another country – for example, tourism) O Mode 3 – commercial presence (a foreign company setting up subsidiaries or branches to provide services in another country – for example foreign banks setting up operations in a country); and O Mode 4 – presence of natural persons (individuals travelling from their own country to supply services in another – for example, fashion models or consultants).103 The GATS commits member governments to undertake negotiations on specific issues and to enter into successive rounds of negotiations to progressively liberalize trade in services. Services negotiations 103 World Trade Organization, “Discussion Paper on the Environmental Effects of Services Trade Liberalization (WT/CTE/W/ 218)”, October 2002, viewed on the WTO website on 26 November 2007 at http://www.wto.org/english 84 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 started officially in early 2000 under the Council for Trade in Services. Progress has been erratic, with several periods during which negotiations have effectively stalled, partly because of linkages between negotiations of services and negotiations in other particularly intractable areas – notably agriculture and more recently, reduction in carbon dioxide emissions.104 In a report to the Trade Negotiations Committee of the WTO in April 2011, the Chairman of the Negotiating Committee summarised progress in the following terms: “While Members have intensified their engagement in the negotiations as of January 2011, gaps remain. Limited progress has been achieved in the market access negotiations since July 2008. On domestic regulation, recent intensification of negotiations has produced notable progress, even if disagreement persists on important and basic issues. On GATS rules, while technical work continues, there does not seem to be any convergence regarding the expected outcome in any of the three negotiating subjects (safeguards, government procurement and subsidies). On the implementation of LDC modalities, while Members support a waiver permitting preferential treatment to LDCs, disagreements continue, mainly regarding the scope of the waiver, and rules of origin for services and service suppliers.”105 The generally mixed outcome of the negotiations on trade in services extends to areas that relate more specifically to services related to transport and logistics. The state-of-play in four such areas, as described in the Chairman’s report, is summarised in the Table VI-2 below. Table VI-2. Summary of GATS progress on matters related to transport and logistics, 2011 Service Type Summary of Progress Air transport Some improvements of existing offers had been indicated at the plurilateral meeting in March 2011, notably in the sub-sectors of aircraft maintenance and repair, selling and marketing, and computer reservation services. On ground handling services and airport operation services, some Members indicated that they would take commitments. Other Members considered that these two sub-sectors were not covered by the Annex and, therefore, they would not consider offering any commitments. In sum, gaps still remained between the request and the offers tabled and signals given. Maritime transport 13 of the 25 recipients had made positive indications at the Signalling Conference in 2008 or during bilateral and plurilateral meetings, but no recipient had fully met the plurilateral request. Although some recipients and co-sponsors had taken positive steps towards meeting the plurilateral request, it was felt that significant gaps remained and further efforts to meet the level of ambition of the request were needed. Distribution services In the lead-up to the 2008 Signalling Conference, 12 of the 27 recipients (including the eight co-sponsors) had indicated that they would consider further improvement to their offers in response to the request. However, a sizable gap remained between the request’s ambition as well as autonomous market openings and the offers and signals of recipients. No recipient had offered commitments for all sub-sectors included in the request. Regarding the specific request for the removal or easing of foreign equity caps, only 12 recipients had indicated not to have any equity caps and only one recipient signalled easing of existing caps. While welcoming progress, co-sponsors believed that it was important to at least bind current autonomous liberalization. Logistics services About one half of the 41 recipients of the request (including co-sponsors) had given positive signals in respect of certain logistics services at the Signalling Conference in 2008. While there were relatively more positive signals on “other related services”, few were given in “core freight logistics services” and “management consulting and related services”, and only a few positive indications were provided regarding rail and road freight transportation services. Significant gaps persisted between recipients’ offers or indications and the request. Source: Based on report of Ambassador Fernando de Mateo, Chairman of the Negotiating Committee on Trade in Services, Report to the Trade Negotiations Committee, 21 April 2011. 104 Timeline on progress of GATS negotiations, World Trade Organization website, http://www.wto.org, accessed 19 September 2010. 105 Ambassador Fernando de Mateo, Chairman of the Negotiating Committee on Trade in Services, Report to the Trade Negotiations Committee, 21 April 2011. VI. Facilitating Transport Across Borders 85 In addition to the liberalization of trade in services, the World Trade Organization has actively promoted trade facilitation. The WTO’s work on trade facilitation complements that of many other international organizations – such as World Customs Organization, the United Nations Centre for Trade Facilitation and Electronic Business (UN/CEFACT), OECD, UNCTAD, the World Bank, regional commissions, and private sector. The work of these actors not have the binding force of WTO commitments, but consists of facilitation of agreements, development of recommendations, preparation of conventions, articulation of standards, and technical assistance projects. Critically, they are crucial to the “practical implementation of trade facilitation reforms, as they provide practical solutions, allow for the exchange of experiences, and develop harmonized approaches”.106 Despite the many difficulties hampering the conclusion of the current Doha Round, therefore, some observers have noted that there has been some progress in the area of trade facilitation.107 At the centre of the negotiations are the level of obligation and the level of precision that the new rules will have, as well as their overall coherence. In general, the language of the negotiating text is non-prescriptive, expressed in “best endeavour” terms rather than binding commitments. This is attributed partly to uncertainty on the part of developing countries on the concerns about implementation, and also by issue linkage between the negotiations on trade facilitation and the Doha Round’s other negotiating areas.108 B. Subregional Approaches to Transport Facilitation In a move that has paralleled the growth of Preferential Trade Agreements, the number, magnitude and extent of subregional cooperation initiatives and organizations have increased significantly over the past 20 years. Most new initiatives involved only a handful of countries at a time. The result of these trends is a “hub-and-spoke” system of agreements and programmes. For example, the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) founding members were India, the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Russian Federation, and BIMSTEC links a subset of members of SAARC with a subset of members of ASEAN. The conclusion of these agreements and initiatives, however, has sometimes lead to the establishment of different legal and operating regimes for the inter-subregional movements of goods, vehicles and passengers. These differences can act as physical and non-physical barriers to smooth and efficient transport between subregions. As a result, these subregions can effectively become “isolated islands” with little land transport and trade to and from other subregions.109 A recent ESCAP report on “Regional Cooperation for Facilitation of International Road Transport” notes that while many subregional agreements relating to transport facilitation have been developed over the past two decades, “many of the subregional agreements took years to negotiate and also years to complete the legal process for entry into force after conclusion of the negotiation”.110 The report expresses confidence that for most comprehensive subregional facilitation agreements, focus will move from negotiation to implementation in the next five to ten years, but draws attention to the significant challenges that will be faced in operationalizing these agreements. In particular, the geographical overlap of the subregional agreements, combined with their differing terms and conditions, may create legal conflicts – for example in the adoption of international conventions. Furthermore, partly as a consequence of the slow development of regional and subregional agreements, a large number of bilateral agreements now underpinned the international movement of road freight in the ESCAP region. Many countries have signed more than ten, and some over 40, bilateral agreements on road transport. The same report notes that “[formulation management and implementation of 106 UNCTAD, p. 135. According to UNCTAD, “the WTO negotiations on trade facilitation are now in their sixth year and are widely described as an area of the Doha Round in which tangible progress has been made.” UNCTAD, Review of Maritime Transport 2010, UNCTAD, Geneva, p. 134. 108 UNCTAD, loc. cit. 109 ESCAP, Emerging issues in transport: Connecting subregional transport networks, paper prepared for the Expert Group Meeting on Preparations for the Ministerial Conference on Transport, Bangkok, 14 and 15 July 2011 (TD/EGM.1/2011/12). 110 ESCAP, Report of Study on Regional Cooperation for Facilitation of International Road Transport, prepared for Regional Meeting on Cooperation for Facilitation of International Road Transport, 30 May – 1 June 2011, Beijing, p. 21. 107 86 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 the numerous agreements represents a challenge for governments, inspectors, carriers and drivers”, and recommends the development of a “standardized structure or template the model clauses further bilateral agreements on international road transport… [which would]… help to reduce the differences between the bilateral agreements and to better align it with international conventions and subregional agreements”.111 The current status of transport facilitation initiatives under selected subregional organizations is described below. 1. Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) was formed from regular Summit Meetings between China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, the Russian Federation and Tajikistan which aimed primarily to promote cooperation, regional and global peace, security and stability. In 2001, the Prime Ministers of the SCO members signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) on Fundamental Goals and Directions of Regional Economic Cooperation and Kick-off of the Process for Facilitation of Trade and Investment between the Governments of Members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. The MOU specifically noted the potential of transit transport with effective utilization of the existing transport and communication infrastructure, and the opportunity to realize facilitation of trade and investment through ensuring legal, economic, organizational and other conditions for goods and passenger transport (including transit transport).112 The Charter of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, which was signed at the Second SCO Summit Meeting, also underlined the need for the improvement of transit potential of member countries with effective utilization of existing transport infrastructure.113 In September 2003, the Prime Ministers of the SCO members approved the Programme of Multilateral Economic and Trade Cooperation of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Members during their meeting at Beijing, China. The programme includes cooperation in utilization and further development of transport as one of the essential tasks, and utilization of existing transport infrastructure and common use of potential of transit transport as priority areas. The Prime Ministers’ Meeting in Beijing also issued a communiqué, which stated that the Prime Ministers of the six countries advocate that the SCO members should further strengthen cooperation in transport, improve transport infrastructure, coordinate transit transport policies, establish international transport corridors and formulate relevant multilateral instruments.114 In June 2008, Kyrgyzstan hosted the eighth meeting of experts from the SCO member states on the preparation of the draft Agreement on road transportation facilitation. During the negotiations, the parties reached a united position on all the articles of the Agreement and expressed hope for the earliest possible formulation of Addenda to the Agreement after its initialling. This was followed by the fourth Meeting of the Ministers of Transport of the Member States of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization in 2009. The Ministers noted significant progress in transport cooperation of the member states which had played a positive role in developing economic cooperation in the SCO region. These included SCO pilot projects in the field of transport, such as the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan motorway and E-40 route, as well as other important projects of regional transport cooperation, including the construction of Tajikistan-Uzbekistan motorway. The Ministers particularly noted the completion of the draft framework Agreement among the governments of the SCO member states on international road transportation facilitation. The experts were instructed to continue their work in preparing the relevant Appendices to the draft Agreement. A series of meetings has subsequently been held to finalise the text of the main agreement on the Agreement on the Facilitation of International Road Transport, and the negotiation of the operational annexes to the agreement. The third and most recent negotiating meeting was held in September 2011 in Shanghai. The parties to the agreement are considering multilateral transport permit that “would be 111 ibid, p. 25. Articles 1, 2 and 3, Memorandum of Understanding on Fundamental Goals and Direction of Regional Economic Cooperation and Kick-off of the Process for Facilitation of Trade and Investment between the Governments of Members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, Almaty, Kazakhstan, 14 September 2001. 113 Article 3, Charter of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation, 7 June 2002. 114 Paragraph 5, Joint Communiqué on the Meeting of the Prime Ministers of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Members, Beijing, China, 23 September 2003. 112 VI. Facilitating Transport Across Borders 87 centrally issued and distributed and issued to transport operators by national issuing authorities. Initially it would be valid for a single trip within one year of issuance. Quotas will be decided annually by a joint committee of the contracting parties”.115 2. Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) Cross Border Transport Agreement (CBTA) Historically, the Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) has faced inconsistent and difficult border crossing formalities and procedures, restrictions on entry of motor vehicles, restrictive visa requirements, and different standards on vehicles and drivers across countries. The Agreement for the Facilitation of the Cross-Border Transport of Goods and People in the Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS CBTA) was signed by the Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Thailand and Viet Nam on 26 November 1999. Subsequently it was acceded to by Cambodia on 29 November 2001; by China on 3 November 2002; and by Myanmar on 19 September 2003.116 The agreement is a 10-year development strategy that aims to facilitate the cross border movement of people and goods.117 The GMS agreement attempts to harmonize these procedures and reduce the non-physical barriers of cross-border freight movement. Lao People’s Democratic Republic and Viet Nam were the first two countries to implement the GMS agreement. The initial stage saw the Lao Bao border gate in Huong Hoa district and central Quang Tri Province commence single window and single stop inspections. Representatives of the Governments of Lao People’s Democratic Republic and Viet Nam signed a memorandum of understanding on initial implementation of the GMS agreement at the two border gates and are continuing to negotiate the remaining annexes and protocols of the agreement. As a result of this initial signing, the time required for cross border procedures and transport costs has been cut.118 The East-West corridor linking Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Myanmar, Thailand and Viet Nam previously allowed most trucks to move freely across the Lao-Thai border. However, any movements further inside the countries were restricted to the border areas. Because of the absence of inland container depots near the border, Lao goods are brought across the border as loose cargo, transferred to Thai trucks, and transported to the port where they are loaded into containers. The implementation of the GMS agreement is an attempt to reduce the above barriers by creating a streamlined process of transit through this corridor. Initial Memoranda of Understanding were signed for Mukdahan-Savannakhet (July 2005) and Lao Bao-Dansavanh (March 2007). With financial and technical assistance from the Asian Development Bank, the GMS countries drafted, negotiated, and finalized a set of annexes and protocols to articulate the detailed commitments required to operationalize the CBTA. These annexes and protocols were prepared in consultation with other relevant agencies, such as ESCAP and the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (ECE) to ensure that they were in conformity with the substantive provisions of relevant international conventions. By 2010, formalization of the agreement was complete, with the main gaps in the ratification process confined to two GMS countries: Thailand has ratified only 11 of 20 annexes and protocols, while Myanmar has yet to ratify any. However, there is still a considerable way to go before the CBTA is fully effective. Progress on the exchange of traffic rights in particular has been slow. At present, traffic rights under the CBTA have been granted only for operations on a small number of the designated corridors and are limited in number. This constrains and increases cost of delivery of the goods to their final inland destination. Bilateral exchange of traffic rights has been adopted by Viet Nam and Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Cambodia and Thailand, Cambodia and Viet Nam. The GMS Customs Transit and Temporary Admission System does not yet function as intended and utilization is low. 115 ESCAP, Report of Study on Regional Cooperation for Facilitation of International Road Transport, Regional Meeting on Cooperation for Facilitation of International Road Transport, 30 May – 1 June 2011, Beijing, China, p. 36. 116 Study of transit charges to be assessed under Protocol 2 of the Agreement for the facilitation of the Cross Border Transport of Goods and People in the Greater Mekong Subregion, November 2004. 117 http://www.johannesburgsummit.org/html/prep_process/national_reports-/cambodia_natl_assess.pdf 118 Viewed on VOV Radio News, 2005, http://www.vov.org.vn 88 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Strategic Framework for Connecting GMS railways Because the major cross-border activity in the GMS region was road-based, the initial focus of transport facilitation activity was on the facilitation of road transport. However, more recently cross-border rail operations have been gaining increased priority. The 16th GMS Ministerial Conference held in Hanoi in 2010 sought to address this need by endorsing a Strategic Framework for Connecting GMS Railways. The Fourteenth Meeting of the GMS Subregional Transport Forum, held in Nanning, China, with the theme “Next Generation of Transport Connectivity in the GMS”, focused on revisiting the recommendations endorsed by the Ministerial Conference, and trying to translate these into a plan of action. The Strategic Framework identified five key priority actions: O Ensuring that all GMS countries are connected to a rail network by 2020 O Promoting development of a seamless rail network by: – agreeing on technical standards of interoperability – streamlining and harmonizing procedures for cross-border movement of people and goods O Ensuring that railway infrastructure and equipment are modern and sufficient to meet the demand for rail services O Supporting the development of GMS railway organizations and the implementation of best practice in the operation and regulation of GMS railways O Involving the private sector in the planning and development of the GMS railway network119 The Strategic Framework is a significant first step toward the development of an integrated GMS railway system, which is a key element of the multimodal transport connectivity envisioned for the subregion. It was also announced in the meeting that ADB would provide technical assistance (TA) to help set up and prepare a detailed business and financing plan for a GMS Railway Coordination Office (RCO), a key recommendation of the Strategic Framework. The RCO will help ensure that GMS countries’ railway plans and broad activities are coordinated and that all stakeholders are engaged in the future development of GMS railways.120 3. IGC-TRACECA The Basic Multilateral Agreement (MLA) on International Transport for the Development of the Transport Corridor Europe-Caucasus-Asia routes, and its technical annexes were signed by Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bulgaria, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Romania, Tajikistan, Turkey, Ukraine and Uzbekistan, on 8 September 1998. The Islamic Republic of Iran acceded to the MLA in 2009. The MLA aims at: 119 O developing economic relations, trade and transport communications in the regions of Europe, Black Sea, the Caucasus, the Caspian Sea and Asia, O facilitating access to the international market of road, air and railway transport and also commercial maritime navigation, O facilitating international transport of goods and passengers and international transport of hydrocarbons, O ensuring traffic safety, security of goods and environment protection, O creating equal conditions of competition between different types of transport.121 ABD, Connecting GMS Railways: A Strategic Framework, Mandaluyong City, Philippines: Asian Development Bank, 2010. Greater Mekong Subregion Economic Cooperation Project, Fourteenth Meeting of the GMS Subregional Transport Forum, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region People’s Republic of China, 2-3 December 2010, Summary of Proceedings. 121 Basic Multilateral Agreement (MLA) TRACECA, viewed on TRACECA website, http://www.traceca-org,org, 20 September 2011. 120 VI. Facilitating Transport Across Borders 89 In July 2008, the TRACECA Legal Working Group developed a Draft Agreement on the development of Multimodal Transport, with the objective of harmonising the relevant legislation of member countries to provide a unified legal framework based on a consistent set of definitions and concepts. The Working Group has also developed a draft Model National Law on Freight Forwarding Activity.122 On 16 June 2009, the 7th Meeting of the Intergovernmental Commission TRACECA the MLA Parties adopted the Agreement on Development of Multimodal Transport TRACECA. The agreement commits the parties to the agreement to endeavouring to harmonize their legislation to implement a unified legal framework for multimodal transport development using the definitions and based on the concepts based in the Agreement.123 To further progress the objectives of the MLA, The IGC-TRACECA has developed and adopted a formally articulated strategy. This strategy identifies seven key focus areas for TRACECA through to 2015: O O O O O O O Strengthening and modernising the institutional dimensions of transport Integration and cohesion of infrastructure networks Development of sound multimodal chains Exploiting the full potential of air transport and boosting air passenger traffic Making transport within TRACECA safe, secure and sustainable Secure funding solutions Supporting the strategy by strengthening IGC-TRACECA.124 4. Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO) The members of the Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO), namely, Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, the Islamic Republic of Iran, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Pakistan, Tajikistan, Turkey, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, signed the Transit Transport Framework Agreement (TTFA) on 9 May 1998. In 2002, ECO undertook a reconciliation of the inconsistencies between the agreement and the Transit Trade Agreement signed on 15 March 1995.125 The Transit Transport Coordination Council (TTCC) conducted several meetings between 2006-2007 to finalize modalities for establishment of ECO Fund for implementation of TTFA. The Transit Transport Framework Agreement (TTFA) entered in to force in May 2007. The main purposes and objectives of the TTFA and its Annexes are: O to facilitate the movement of goods, luggage and passengers through the respective territories of the Contracting Parties and provide all necessary facilities for transit transport under the provisions of this Agreement. O to ensure the safety of goods, luggage and passengers and avoidance of unnecessary delays during the transit traffic through territories of Contracting Parties; O to cooperate and coordinate the efforts of the Contracting Parties to avoid the incidence of customs frauds and tax evasion and harmonizing necessary administrative affairs dealing with transit traffic. At the Third Meeting of TTCC, the Council decided that the joint ECO/IRU/UNECE regional workshop for capacity building on international conventions mentioned in the TTFA, should consider development of a roadmap for implementation of the relevant conventions, in particular the TIR convention, in the ECO region. UNESCAP and other relevant international organizations should be invited 122 Central Asia Transport website, http://www.centralasiatransport.com, viewed 31 December 2009. TRACECA, Agreement on Multimodal Transport, downloaded from TRACECA website, http://www.traceca-org.org, 20 September 2011. 124 TRACECA, Strategy of the Intergovernmental Commission TRACECA for the development of the intermodal transport corridor “Europe-Caucasus-Asia” (TRACECA) for the period to 2105, downloaded from TRACECA website, http:// www.traceca-org.org, 20 September 2011. 125 ECO Transit Transport Framework Agreement, Almaty, Kazakhstan, May 1998. 123 90 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 to this workshop. Expressing its satisfaction with the approval of a Technical Assistance (TA) Grant by IDB and ECO Feasibility Study Fund for preparation of a regional programme on implementation of the TTFA, the Meeting agreed steps to be taken by the ECO Secretariat and the Member States for effective implementation of the TA project.126 At the 8th Meeting of the Ministers of Transport and Communications of the ECO Member States held in 2011, the Ministers endorsed the new Programme of Action for ECO Decade of Transport and Communications. Other decisions included endorsement of the establishment of the ECO Logistic Provider Associations Federation, and developing road transport corridor on Islamabad-Tehran-Istanbul as well as on Islamic Republic of Iran-Afghanistan-Tajikistan-Kyrgyz Routes. 126 Moj News Agency, A Report on 3rd Meeting of ECO’s Transit Transport Coordination Council (TTCC). viewed on the Highbeam website, http://www.highbeam.comm , 20 September 2011. VII. Safe and Sustainable Transport 91 VII. SAFE AND SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORT A. Road Safety Increasing economic activities and the rapid growth in population have led to a significant effect on the growth of motor vehicles in the ESCAP region. Consequently, this has resulted in an upsurge in the numbers of road accidents in several countries within the region, particularly within metropolitan cities. Worldwide, road traffic takes the lives of nearly 1.3 million people every year, and injures 20-50 million more.127 According to the World Health Organization, road traffic fatalities are predicted to rise to become the fifth leading cause of death by 2030, resulting in an estimated 2.4 million fatalities per year. Road traffic fatalities and injuries are believed to disproportionately impact lower income groups: over 90 per cent of road traffic deaths and injuries occur in low- and middle-income countries128 with vulnerable road users (pedestrians, motorcyclists and cyclists) accounting for the majority of the fatalities.129 Direct costs of traffic accidents include any related expenses, including medical costs, costs for vehicle repairs and administrative costs, and indirect costs include items, such as the loss of quality of life (including pain, grief and suffering) and the loss of productivity. In total, road accidents are estimated to cost most developing countries one to three per cent of their gross national product.130 A number of factors, including geometric features of roads, vehicle design, road user and driver behaviour, traffic and pavement characteristics, and environmental aspects, are thought to contribute towards the increase in road accidents.131 In addition, there tends to be a link between poor road conditions and the number of road crashes (i.e. the type of road, whether it is an urban or rural location (which will often have an impact on road standards and maintenance), and the type of terrain). Roads that are not capable of handling levels of traffic volume, are inadequate for the terrain, are poorly maintained and have poor visibility, can all contribute to road fatalities and injuries. In a recent survey, WHO concluded that poor road and land-use planning in South-East Asia often leads to a deadly mix of high-speed through traffic, heavy commercial vehicles, motorized two-wheelers, pedestrians and bicyclists on developingcountry roads. Adequate accommodation for vulnerable road users, such as sidewalks and bicycle lanes, is rare.132 The WHO Global Report on Road Safety also highlighted significant concerns regarding road user behaviour with respect to seat belt wearing, with many developing nations in particular having laws that do not apply to all car occupants. Whilst seat belt laws are widespread, the rate of compulsory seat belt laws drops in alignment with socio-economic indicators; 76 per cent of high income nations require all occupants to wear seat belts, with the rate lowering to 54 per cent in middle income countries and 38 per cent in low income countries.133 Enforcement of seat belt laws is also weak in many nations. 1. Road fatalities Figure VII-1 shows that road fatality rates, measured as the number of deaths per 100,000 population, vary widely across the region. Most developing countries in the ESCAP region have higher fatality rates than OECD countries. According to the last Global Status Report by the WHO, published in 127 World Health Organization, Saving Millions of Lives, WHO, Geneva, 2011, downloaded from WHO website http:// www.who.int 26 October 2011. 128 World Health Organization, United Nations Road Safety Collaboration: Key Messages, viewed on WHO website http:// www.who.int 26 October 2011. 129 World Health Organization, Global Status Report on Road on Road Safety: Time for Action , WHO, Geneva, 2009. 130 World Heath Organization, United Nations Road Safety Collaboration: Key Messages, viewed on WHO website http:// www.who.int 26 October 2011. 131 Chakraborty, S., and Roy, S.K. (2005) Traffic Accident Characteristics of Kolkata, Transport and Communications Bulletin for Asia and the Pacific, No. 74, 2005. 132 WHO (2009) Regional Report on Status of Road Safety: the South-East Asia Region – A call for policy direction. 133 WHO (2009) Global Status Report on Road Safety – Time for Action. 92 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Figure VII-1. Fatality rate per 100,000 population in selected ESCAP countries, 2007 Cook Islands Afghanistan Cambodia Islamic Republic of Iran Kazakhstan Pakistan Russian Federation Malaysia Myanmar Kyrgyzstan Philippines Thailand Mongolia Turmenistan Vanuatu Lao People’s Democratic Republic Maldives Solomon Islands India Georgia China Indonesia Viet Nam Timor-Leste Nepal Palau Bhutan Micronesia (Federated State of) Papua New Guinea Tajikistan Armenia Brunei Darussalam Sri Lanka Turkey Azerbaijan Samoa Republic of Korea Bangladesh New Zealand Nauru Uzbekistan Tuvalu Australia Fiji Tonga Japan Singapore Marshall Islands 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Road Fatalities per 100,000 population 40 45 50 Source: Based on data from Statistical Annex, World Health Organization, Global Status Report on Road on Road Safety 2009. For consistency, the number of fatalities is based on the point estimates provided in this report, not on reported fatalities. This differs from the approach taken in the 2009 Review of Developments of Transport in Asia and the Pacific. 2009 with data from 2007, the highest rate of 45 per 100,000 was for the Cook Islands. However, as this is somewhat anomalous (most small Pacific Island countries have low fatality rates due to limited motor vehicle travel) and the number of fatalities involved is small, this is likely to be a statistical aberration. Of the larger countries, Afghanistan has the highest fatality rate, at nearly 40 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants. Eight other countries (Cambodia, Islamic Republic of Iran, Kazakhstan, Pakistan, Russian Federation, Malaysia, Myanmar and Kyrgyzstan) recorded rates in excess of 20 per 100,000 inhabitants. However, it has been argued that “road fatality rates per million inhabitants are an ambiguous indicator of road safety since the number of accidents depends to a great extent on the number of vehicles in each country”.134 Figure VII-2 therefore compares fatality rates per 10,000 registered vehicles. 134 OECD, OECD Factbook 2006, OECD Paris 2007. VII. Safe and Sustainable Transport 93 Figure VII-2. Fatality rate per 10,000 vehicles in selected ESCAP countries, 2007 Cambodia Bangladesh Papua New Guinea Afghanistan Myanmar Solomon Islands Pakistan Timor-Leste Nepal Kyrgyzstan Micronesia (Federated State of) Tajikistan Philippines Tonga Mongolia Vanuatu India Bhutan Lao People’s Democratic Republic Maldives China Kazakhstan Samoa Islamic Republic of Iran Turkmenistan Azerbaijan Georgia Armenia Tuvalu Russian Federation Sri Lanka Turkey Fiji Viet Nam Indonesia Cook Islands Palau Thailand Marshall Islands Malaysia Republic of Korea Singapore Brunei Darussalam New Zealand Australia Japan 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Road Fatalities per 10,000 motor vehicles Source: Based on data from Statistical Annex, World Health Organization, Global Status Report on Road on Road Safety 2009. For consistency, the number of fatalities is based on the point estimates provided in this report, not on reported fatalities. This differs from the approach taken in the 2009 review. Adjusting for the level of motorization significantly improves the relative safety performance of some upper middle income countries with high levels of car ownership, such as Kazakhstan and Malaysia. Conversely, the relative safety performance of low income countries – most notably Bangladesh – is worse on this indicator. In terms of fatalities per 10,000 vehicles, the low income countries Cambodia and Bangladesh have the highest fatality rates in the ESCAP region, while the rates for high income countries are, without exception, very much lower: for example, in Cambodia, there were 337 fatalities per 10,000 vehicles in 2007; in Japan, there were 0.7. Figure VII-2 suggests that, once the level of motorization is taken into account, there is strong and systematic relationship between poverty and road fatalities. This is confirmed by the analysis presented in Figure VII-3. This figure charts, on a dual logarithmic scale, the relationship between road deaths per 10,000 motor vehicles and per capita income for a cross-section of ESCAP countries. 94 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Figure VII-3. Relationship between road fatalities and per capita income, selected ESCAP countries, 2007 Fatalities per 10,000 motor vehicles (logarithmic scale) 1,000.0 100.0 10.0 1.0 0.1 100 y = 17753x-0.902 2 R = 0.7331 1,000 10,000 Per capita income (logarithmic scale) 100,000 Source: Based on data from Statistical Annex, World Health Organization, Global Status Report on Road on Road Safety 2009. The large differences between fatality rates in countries in the Asia Pacific region, and systematic relationship between these rates and income level, indicates there is considerable potential for concerted action to significantly reduce the levels of road traffic deaths, injuries and property damage – but also that, to realize this potential, significant resources will need to be directed to the less developed countries of the region. The nature of road safety issues in the region also varies between developing and developed countries (see Figure VII-4). The majority of people killed in road accidents in Bangladesh are non-motorized road users: pedestrians and cyclists. The same appears to be the case in India, although in this case the picture is somewhat clouded by the large proportion of road crash casualties not classified by road user type. Non-motorized road users also comprise more than 40 per cent of fatalities in Tajikistan, Tonga, Kyrgyzstan, China, Islamic Republic of Iran, Myanmar, and China. Perhaps more surprisingly, since high levels of pedestrian deaths are often associated with developing countries, non-motorized road users also comprise more than 40 per cent of all road fatalities in Japan and the Republic of Korea. Meanwhile, in some countries motor-cycle riders and passengers form a very high proportion of roads fatalities in some countries, especially in South-East Asia: deaths in this category exceed 50 per cent of all fatalities in Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Cambodia and Thailand. The 2009 Country Status Reports provided by ESCAP member countries to the secretariat reflected mixed progress in reducing road user fatalities between 2007 and 2009.135 Figure VII-5 shows that the majority of countries providing reports recorded reductions in road fatalities over this period. Progress was particularly impressive in Kazakhstan, which achieved a drop in fatalities close to 20 per cent per annum, and in Bhutan, Brunei Darussalam, the Russian Federation, Kyrgyzstan and Azerbaijan, fatalities were reduced by over 10 per cent per annum. Also noteworthy, given the low rates that they had already achieved in 2007, were the further reductions of over 5 per cent per year in Singapore and Japan. On the other hand, fatalities increased by over 10 per cent per year in Nepal, Georgia and Lao People’s Democratic Republic, and by over 5 per cent in Indonesia, Cambodia, Myanmar and India. 135 UNESCAP, Road Safety, paper prepared for Expert Group Meeting on Preparations for the Ministerial Conference on Transport, Bangkok, 14-15 July 2011 (TD/EGM.1/2011/9). VII. Safe and Sustainable Transport 95 Figure VII-4. Road fatalities by road user class, selected ESCAP countries, 2007 100% 90% Share of total road fatalities 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Fi ji v am es bo Th dia ai l M and al a M ysi a o Ka ng za olia kh M s ic ro A ta ne B N us n e t r si a une w Z ralia (F ed i Da eala er r u n at ss d ed a St lam at e of ) di al M C Ba ng la de sh I Ta ndia jik is ta n To ng a C hi Is na la m J ic K a R yrg pa ep n ub yzs lic tan o R ep M f Ira Pa ub ya n l pu ic nm a of ar N ew Kor e C Gu a oo in k e Is a la Ar nds m Az en er ia b Si aija n ga n R us po si an T re Fe urk de ey r S ati Tu ri L on r k an m en ka is ta n Pa In do lau ne G sia eo rg ia 0% Occupants of 4-wheeled vehicles Occupants of 2-wheeled vehicles Motorized (vehicle not specified) Pedestrians Non-motorized (cyclists and pedestrians) Other of unspecified Cyclists Source: Based on data from Statistical Annex, World Health Organization, Global Status Report on Road on Road Safety 2009. Figure VII-5. Change in road fatalities in selected ESCAP countries, 2007-2009 Kazakhstan Bhutan Brunei Darussalam Russian Federation Kyrgyzstan Azerbaijan Singapore Turkey Viet Nam Japan Armenia Thailand Mongolia Republic of Korea Malaysia Tajikistan Islamic Republic of Iran Indonesia Cambodia Myanmar India Sri Lanka Lao People’s Democratic Republic Georgia Nepal -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% Annual change 2007-2009 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Annual change 2007-2008 Source: Based on data from UNESCAP Road Safety, TD/EGM.1/2011/9. Data for Mongolia, Islamic Republic of Iran, Sri Lanka, Georgia and Nepal is not available for 2009, so data for 2008 has been used. 96 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 To a significant extent, the increases are due to rapidly increasing motorization in these countries. Unfortunately, the data required to systematically assess the influence of increased motor vehicle ownership and impact on the number of fatalities is not available for most countries. However, the rate of fatalities per 10,000 motor vehicles fell in all six of the countries that provided data on movements in this ratio – in four of these countries, the actual number of fatalities increased. This demonstrates that it is feasible for developing countries in particular to achieve significant reductions in road fatalities in a short period of time provided there is commitment and sustained effort by the national government and other road safety stakeholders. 2. International initiatives to improve road safety The significant social and economic costs associated with traffic accidents have been recognized in a number of international initiatives. For some years now, ESCAP has worked to improve road safety in the region. ESCAP has also supported the creation of the Global Road Safety Partnership (GRSP) movement and encourages a multilateral approach towards road safety represented in its work in partnership with Asian Development Bank, World Bank, GRSP, International Road Assessment Programme, International Road Federation and International Road Transport Union. In 2006, ESCAP transport ministers attended the Ministerial Conference of Transport in Busan, the Republic of Korea. Ministers at the conference conveyed profound concern for the rapid increase in deaths and injuries resulting from road traffic accidents, and the conference adopted the Ministerial Declaration on Improving Road Safety in Asia and the Pacific by transport ministers on 11 November 2006 (The Busan Declaration). Calls for action at the global level were stepped up during the First Global Ministerial Conference on Road Safety, hosted by the Russian Federation in 2009. The Conference led to the adoption of the Moscow Declaration which invited the UN General Assembly to declare a Decade of Action for Road Safety from 2011 to 2020. Subsequently, the General Assembly of the United Nations endorsed the proposal of Moscow Declaration and proclaimed the period 2011-2020 as the Decade of Action for Road Safety (Box VII-1). The Decade of Action was proclaimed with a goal to stabilize and then reduce the forecast level of road traffic fatalities around the world by increasing road safety activities conducted at the national, regional and global levels. Box VII-1. The Global Plan for the Decade of Action for Road Safety 2011-2020 United Nations General Assembly Resolution 64/255 requested the World Health Organization and the United Nations regional commissions, in cooperation with the United Nations Road Safety Collaboration and other stakeholders, to prepare a Global Plan for the Decade as a guiding document to support the implementation of its objectives. The Global Plan provides an overall framework for activities at the local, national, regional and global levels. The guiding principles of the Global Plan are those of a “safe system” approach. This approach aims to develop a road transport system that is better able to accommodate human error and take into consideration the vulnerability of the human body. The goal of a “safe system” is to ensure that accidents do not result in fatality or serious human injury. Road users, vehicles and the road network are addressed in a holistic manner through a wide range of traditional and newer approaches, with a focus on five “pillars”: (a) building road safety management capacity, (b) providing safer roads and mobility, (c) ensuring vehicles are safer (d) inculcating safer behaviour in road users, and (e) improving post-crash response. Moving to a “safe system” approach requires the development and implementation of sustainable road safety strategies and programmes, and the setting of ambitious yet feasible targets for the reduction of road fatalities during the Decade of Action for Road Safety. The Global Plan defines specific activities to be undertaken in support of each of the five pillars, and suggests indicators that could be used to track progress in each area. At the national and regional levels, road safety management capacity, and data collection and monitoring systems need to be strengthened and improved. Also important is the sharing of successes and lessons with other countries and the region, and optimizing the value of existing resources whilst continuing to seek further funding for future road safety projects and endeavours. VII. Safe and Sustainable Transport 97 In response to the General Assembly resolution and in accordance with the Global Plan for the Decade, ESCAP has developed a detailed set of goals targets and indicators for road safety improvement in the Asia-Pacific region. The overall objective of the ESCAP road safety goals, targets and indicators for the Decade of Action for Road Safety is a 50 per cent reduction in fatalities and serious injuries on the roads of Asia and the Pacific over the period 2011 to 2020.136 There are eight areas supporting the overall objective: O O O O O O O O Making road safety a policy priority; Making roads safer for vulnerable road users, including children, senior citizens, pedestrians, non-motorized vehicle users, motorcyclists, and persons with disabilities; Making roads safer and reducing the severity of road crashes (“forgiving roads”); Making vehicles safer and encourage responsible vehicle advertising; Improving national and regional road safety systems, management enforcement; Improving cooperation and fostering partnerships; Developing the Asian Highway as a model of road safety; and Providing effective education on road safety awareness to the public, young people and drivers. Across the eight areas, ESCAP has recommended a list of 25 targets and 36 indicators for member countries to consider when planning and implementing their national road safety strategies and in evaluating progress. The road safety goals, targets and indicators were presented at the ESCAP Regional Expert Group Meeting on the Implementation of the Decade of Action for Road Safety, held in Bangkok in September 2010 (see Table VII-1). The Meeting noted the UNESCAP road safety goals, targets and indicators for the Decade of Action with an overall objective of a 50 per cent reduction in fatalities and serious injuries on the roads of Asia and the Pacific over the period 2011-2020.137 Table VII-1. ESCAP Road Safety Goals, Targets and Indicators for the Decade of Action Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring achievements Overall Objective: 50 per cent reduction in fatalities and serious injuries on the roads of Asia and the Pacific over the period 2011 to 2020 a) Reduce the fatality rates by 50 per cent from 2011 to 2020. 1) Number of road fatalities (and fatality rates per 10,000 motor vehicles, per motor vehicle-km and per passenger-km). 2) Number of road crashes. b) Reduce the rates of serious road injuries by 50 per cent from 2011 to 2020. 3) Number of serious road injuries (and injury rate per 10,000 motor vehicles, and per motor vehicle-km). Goal 1: Making road safety a policy priority a) Create a road safety policy/strategy, designate a lead agency and implement a plan of action, by 2011. 4) Information on existing national road safety policy, strategy, and plan of action. 5) Name of designated lead agency. Description of responsibilities of local, regional and national government organizations. 6) National road safety reports or impact evaluation reports of government programmes. b) Allocate sufficient financial and human resources to improving road safety. 7) Amount of funding allocated to road safety programmes (public, private and donors) and research and development to create safer road environment. 136 The overall objective of a 50 per cent reduction in fatalities and serious injuries is comparable to the previous objective of saving 600,000 lives and preventing a commensurate number of serious injuries on Asia-Pacific roads between 2007 to 2015 contained in the Ministerial Declaration on Improving Road Safety in Asia and the Pacific made in Busan, Republic of Korea, in November 2006. 137 UNESCAP, Report of Report of the Regional Expert Group Meeting on Implementation of Decade of Action for Road Safety, 2011-2020, 21-23 September 2010, Bangkok, Thailand, viewed on ESCAP website http://www.unescap.org, 27 October 2011. 98 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table VII-1. (continued) Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring achievements Goal 2: Making roads safer for vulnerable road users, including children, senior citizens, pedestrians, non-motorized vehicle users, motorcyclists, and persons with disabilities a) Reduce by one third the pedestrian death rate in road crashes (or reduce it to less than 1 per 10,000 motor vehicles). 8) Numbers of pedestrian deaths or pedestrian deaths per 10,000 motor vehicles. b) Increase the number of safe crossings for pedestrians (e.g., with subway, overhead crossings or traffic signals). 9) Number of new safe crossings or improvement constructed or planned. c) Make the wearing of helmets the norm and ensure minimum helmet quality, in order to reduce the motorcyclist death rate by one third (or reduce it to below the average motorcyclist death rate of the ESCAP region). 10) Number of motorcyclist deaths and motorcyclist death per 10,000 motorcycles. d) Ensure minimum child safety measures, in order to reduce the child death rate by one third (or reduce it to less than 0.01 per 10,000 motor vehicles). 12) Number of child fatality in road crashes. 11) Existing law or administrative rule for mandatory use of helmets and specifying minimum helmet quality standards. Information on helmet use (percentage). 13) Existing law or administrative rule on measures for child safety in cars (child restraints) and on motorcycles (child helmets). 14) Use of child seat restraints and child helmets (percentage). e) Equip all school children with basic road safety knowledge. 15) Existing or planned education programmes on road safety in school, starting class and its coverage. Goal 3: Making roads safer and reducing the severity of road crashes (“forgiving roads”) a) Integrate road safety audit in all stages of road 16) Number of, and information about, road safety audits carried out for new road construction and major improvements. development starting at the design stage, carry out necessary improvement works, and improve 17) Number of improvement programmes carried out to make roads hazardous locations. “forgiving” (e.g., blackspot, removing or cushioning roadside obstacles). b) Increase separate/secure road space for pedestrians and cyclists in urban and suburban areas (where space permits). 18) Existing length of pedestrian and bicycle tracks in kilometres per 100,000 people or per 10,000 km of roads (along highways and city roads). Programme to construct pedestrian and bicycle tracks. Goal 4: Making vehicles safer and encourage responsible vehicle advertising a) Make regular inspection of road vehicles mandatory and ensure enforcement of inspection (starting in urban areas). 19) Existing law or administrative rule on vehicle inspection, frequency of inspection (annual), number of vehicle inspection facilities and organizations. b) Ensure safety requirements for new vehicles to be in line with international standards. 20) Existing law and regulation specifying vehicle safety standards and implementation. Goal 5: Improving national and regional road safety systems, management and enforcement a) Implement a national (computerized) database that provides information on road crashes. 21) Information on existing road safety database and responsible organizations. b) Introduction of laws and regulation to ensure compliance with mandatory helmet, seat-belt use, drinking and driving, use of mobile phone and speed limits. 22) Information on law or administrative rule on compliance with helmet wearing (including percentage use). 23) Information on law or administrative rule on compliance with seat-belt use, use of mobile phone (including percentage use). 24) Information on law or administrative rule on compliance with “drinking and driving” and speed limits. c) Allow alcohol tests for prosecution (either breathalyzer and/or behavioural tests). 25) Existing alcohol level testing rules, types of tests and alcohol limits used and allowed for prosecution. VII. Safe and Sustainable Transport 99 Table VII-1. (continued) Goals and Targets Indicators for monitoring achievements Goal 5: Improving national and regional road safety systems, management and enforcement (continued) d) Make it the norm to keep motorcycle frontlights on at all times. 26) Information on existing law or administrative rule on keeping motorcycle headlight on while driving. e) Increase coverage of emergency assistance systems for road victims, to cover at least all urban areas and trunk roads. 27) Kilometres of road (by type) on which emergency services are provided. 28) Average emergency response time. 29) Number of emergency service centres per length of highways (except city roads). Goal 6: Improving cooperation and fostering partnerships a) Encourage and recognize private-sector 30) Number of major partnerships in the area of road safety, funding (private sector, public-private initiatives). sponsored initiatives. b) Create new and deepen existing partnerships with non-governmental organizations. 31) Number of major partnerships with NGO, scope and funding. Goal 7: Developing the Asian Highway as a model of road safety a) Reduce the total number of fatalities and road 32) Total number of road fatalities and road crashes on the Asian crashes on the Asian Highway. Highway in each country per year. b) Reduce the number of fatalities on all Asian Highway segments to below 100 per billion vehicle-kilometres. 33) Number of fatalities per billion vehicle-kilometres for each Asian Highway segment per year. c) Increase resource allocation for road safetyrelated measures along the Asian Highway. 34) Amount of resources allocated to safety-related works for the Asian Highway segments from government and donors. d) Improve Asian Highway road segments to be forgiving to road users if a crash occurs. Demonstrate best practice. 35) Information on road safety assessment and rating programme for the Asian Highway. Goal 8: Providing effective education on road safety awareness to the public, young people and drivers a) Carry out targeted awareness campaigns and training programmes 36) Information on number of national road safety awareness campaigns and training programmes carried out. Source: UNESCAP, Report of Report of the Regional Expert Group Meeting on Implementation of Decade of Action for Road Safety, 2011-2020, 21-23 September 2010. 3. National road safety targets and initiatives Many ESCAP member countries have developed national road safety plans with measurable goals, targets and indicators. Recent examples include Thailand, which aims to reduce the number of deaths resulting from road crashes by half by 2020;138 Cambodia, whose draft National Road Safety Action Plan includes the goal of reducing the number of road fatalities and fatality rate by 50 per cent by 2020;139 and Australia, whose National Road Safety Strategy for 2011-2020 includes the target of a 30 per cent reduction in deaths and serious injuries by 2020.140 Table VII-2 provides an overview of the types of measures being implemented across the region. 138 Thailand determined to achieve the goals of the Decade of Action for Road Safety 2011-2020, viewed on website of United Nations Road Safety Collaboration, from http://www.who.int/roadsafety/en, 26 October 2011. 139 Boran Pen, Cambodia National Road Safety Action Plan 2011-2020, presentation to Regional Expert Group Meeting on Implementation of Decade of Action for Road Safety, 2011-2020, 21-23 September 2010, downloaded from UNESCAP website, http://www.unescap.org, 26 October 2011. 140 Australian Transport Council, National Road Safety Strategy 2011-2020, 28 May 2011, downloaded from website of Australian Transport Council, http://www.atcouncil.gov.au 26 October 2011. 100 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table VII-2. Overview of types of measures being implemented by ESCAP member states Type of measure Countries Road safety audits Afghanistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, India, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Malaysia, Mongolia, Nepal, Philippines, Republic of Korea, Russian Federation, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Tajikistan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Viet Nam. Hazardous locations improvement programmes Bhutan, Cambodia, Japan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Malaysia, Nepal, Philippines, Republic of Korea, Russian Federation, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Tajikistan, Thailand, Turkey and Viet Nam. Phasing out older vehicles which are no longer roadworthy through regular mandatory vehicle inspections Bhutan, Cambodia, India, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Malaysia, Mongolia, Nepal, Philippines, Russian Federation, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Tajikistan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Turkey and Viet Nam. Legislation on seatbelt use in cars Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bhutan, Cambodia, China, Georgia, India, Indonesia, Islamic Republic of Iran, Japan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Malaysia, Nepal, Pakistan, Philippines, Republic of Korea, Russian Federation, Singapore, Tajikistan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Viet Nam. Legislation on helmet use by motorcyclists Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Cambodia, China, Georgia, India, Indonesia, Japan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Malaysia, Mongolia, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan, Philippines, Republic of Korea, Russian Federation, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Tajikistan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Viet Nam. Legislation on drink-driving Afghanistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Cambodia, China, Georgia, India, Islamic Republic of Iran, Japan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Malaysia, Mongolia, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan, Philippines, Republic of Korea, Russian Federation, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Tajikistan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Viet Nam. Source: Country reports presented at various ESCAP meetings. Table VII-3 lists more specific commitments aimed at the improvement of road safety from a crosssection of ESCAP countries. Table VII-3. Recent Road Safety Initiatives in ESCAP member States141 Country Recent Road Safety Initiatives in 2009-2010 Armenia Government launched a plan to include a compulsory subject on road safety in the school curriculum for classes 1 to 11. Bangladesh The Bangladesh Road Transport Authority has launched a road safety publicity programme through newspapers, radio, television, posters and leaflets. It also arranged 81 training programmes for 8,500 professional drivers to improve their driving skills and road awareness. Brunei Darussalam The Government’s draft road safety action plan for 2011-2020 includes a proposal to establish a centre for road safety. Cambodia A survey on seat-belt wearing in Phnom Penh and surrounding areas was conducted. It found that the average wearing rate among drivers and front-seat passengers was 55 per cent. Indonesia A dedicated website with national road safety and impact evaluation reports was established (http://hubdat.web.id/). The rollout of a national accident investigation and road safety audit training programme continued in 9 provinces involving 270 participants. 141 As reported in 2009 Country Status Reports and at the Regional Expert Group Meeting on Implementation of Decade of Action for Road Safety (Bangkok, 21-23 September 2010). Country papers and presentations are prepared and presented by the focal points from member countries and should not necessary be considered as reflecting the views and carrying the endorsement of the United Nations. VII. Safe and Sustainable Transport 101 Table VII-3. (continued) Country Recent Road Safety Initiatives in 2009-2010 Kazakhstan The Young Inspectors’ Movement programme targeted at young children was implemented in 85 per cent of public schools. The Government also plans to implement a computerized information system to record road accident information. Kyrgyzstan The Government introduced car parking rules and traffic discipline in the Chuy region of Bishkek. Malaysia Remedial measures were carried out on 30 black spot hazardous areas. Nepal The Government has introduced traffic safety in the curriculum of school classes I to IV as part of a subject entitled “Social studies and creative arts”. Philippines A road safety awareness project entitled “Use of Flash Cards as Instructional Materials for Grade 5 Students in Public Schools” which seeks to reduce road fatalities involving children is to be launched following a six month pilot in the 2010-2011 school year. Republic of Korea A historic Memorandum of Understanding between the Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs, and the Police was signed. This will enhance traffic safety in the Republic of Korea. Russian Federation A dedicated website which contains comprehensive and regularly updated database and information on road safety issues was established (http://www.fcp-pbdd.ru/). Sri Lanka The National Council for Road Safety has erected a road safety fund with US$ 100 million. One per cent of third party insurance premiums is being allocated to this fund. Thailand The Government declared 2011-2020 as Thailand’s Decade of Action for Road Safety with a new road safety target of a 50 per cent decrease in road deaths per 100,000. Timor-Leste The Government has approved a ministerial diploma concerning the enforcement of laws regarding the use of motorcycle helmets. Turkey Publicity campaigns were run in 2009 and 2010 to inform and impact the behaviour of road users and raise the general public’s awareness of road safety. Viet Nam The Government introduced strong penalties for drink-driving as well as new law requiring children above the age of six to wear motorcycle helmets properly. Source: UNESCAP, Report of the Regional Expert Group Meeting on Implementation of Decade of Action for Road Safety, 2011-2020, 21-23 September 2010. As can be seen from the preceding paragraphs, the majority of ESCAP countries have reasonably comprehensive frameworks for the regulation of safe driving (and riding) behaviour. Four of the most critical issues covered by legislation are drink driving; the wearing of helmets (by motor cycle riders and passengers); speed limits; and the wearing of seat belts. Alcohol Most ESCAP countries now have national legislation defining the maximum blood alcohol content (BAC) at which it is legal to drive. From a cross-section of 48 countries for which information is provided in the WHO’s Global Status Report on Road Safety, eight countries – mainly countries in which the consumption of alcohol is generally prohibited – the limit is set at zero.142 Meanwhile, 25 of the 48 countries have a legislated national BAC equal to or lower than the ‘typical’ Western European level of 0.05 per cent, and 37 of the 48 countries set this level at or below the level permitted in the United States. Only one country set a blood alcohol content above this level. In ten countries there are no national limits, because either there is no legislation on this issue (one country); the limits are set by sub-national governments and are not uniform (two countries);143 or driving under the influence of alcohol is defined with reference to something other than blood alcohol content (seven countries). 142 Based on data from Statistical Annex, World Health Organization, Global Status Report on Road on Road Safety 2009. For the Philippines, BAC limit (0.05) was taken from website of International Centre for Alcohol Policies, http://www.icap.org, viewed 27 October 2010. 143 In some countries, such as Australia, limits are formally set by sub-national governments but legislation is coordinated to give a common national standard. In the analysis above, these countries have been regarded as having national BAC legislation. 102 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Helmets In 41 of the 48 countries for which data is available, there is now national (or quasi-national) legislation requiring the wearing of motor-cycle helmets. In all but one of these cases, the requirement is that helmets are worn by both the rider and his or her passengers. There is, however, considerable variability between countries in the conditions under which a rider or passenger is exempt from this requirement. Of the seven countries in which there is no national legislation, the issue is dealt with at a sub-national level in two, while four of the remaining five countries are small island states.144 In many ESCAP countries, anecdotal information also suggests that the helmets being sold or produced are of a substandard quality, thereby giving a false sense of security to riders even when they do wear them. Legislation on the need to wear helmets usually specify that helmets must be certified by a government authority or relevant safety standard-setting authority. Unfortunately, substandard helmets may feature fake certification stickers. In the Philippines, the Motorcycle Helmet Act of 2009 requires the seller and/or dealer of new motorcycles to make new motorcycle helmets bearing the Philippine Standard (PS) mark or Import Commodity Clearance (ICC) of the Bureau of Product Standards (BPS) available as a purchasing option for new buyers.145 Speed In ESCAP countries, the most common general urban speed limits are 40 km/hr, 50 km/hr and 60 km/hr, with almost equal numbers of countries in each group (11, 12 and 13 respectively). Pacific island countries tend to dominate the group with 40 km/hr speed limit, while in the 60 km/hr speed limit group, North and Central Asian countries are over-represented. There is greater variation in generally applicable speed limits on rural roads. Approximately one-quarter of countries set the general limit at or below 50 km/hr; this group is dominated by small island countries and countries with very limited sealed road networks. At the other end of the scale, approximately one-quarter of countries have limits in excess of 80 km/hr, with three countries reporting no generally applicable limit. Seat belts Compulsory wearing of seat belts is the legislative area in which the current situation in the Asia-Pacific lies furthest away from best road safety practice. Only a little over one-third of countries have legislation that requires all occupants to wear seatbelts. One-quarter of countries do not have national compulsory seatbelt legislation, while one-third limit the requirement to wear a belt to occupants of the front seats. Enforcement To have appropriate road safety legislation is one thing; to ensure that it is effectively enforced is another. As well as compiling hard data on legislative regimes in the Asia-Pacific, the WHO has used a survey approach to gain some insight into how effectively different regulations are enforced in each country. Figure VII-6 summarises the results from this survey. From a possible score of 10 for perfectly effective enforcements, the average score for enforcement of helmet laws was 6.4; this was the highest rating for any of the four legislative components reported above. The weakest enforcement (5.28 on average) was in the area in which the legislation itself is the weakest – compulsory wearing of seatbelts. This is also the area in which the variability of enforcement across the region was greatest (this is shown by the fact the standard deviation of scores for enforcement of seatbelt laws is higher than the corresponding statistic for the other aspects of road safety legislation). 144 145 Based on the Statistical Annex to World Health Organization, Global Status Report on Road on Road Safety 2009. http://wiki.lawcenter.ph/index.php?title=Motorcycle_Helmet_Act_of_2009 VII. Safe and Sustainable Transport 103 Figure VII-6. Mean and variability of enforcement effectiveness, selected ESCAP countries, 2009 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Alcohol Helmets Average Score (scale of 0-10) Speed Limits Seatbelts Standard Deviation of Valid Scores Source: Based on data from Statistical Annex, World Health Organization, Global Status Report on Road on Road Safety 2009. B. Sustainable Transport Development 1. The impact of transport activities on the environment Human activities are increasingly changing the composition and properties of the earth’s atmosphere. Most significantly, the concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere has increased by 38 per cent over the levels of the pre-industrialised era146 to a level higher than at any time in the past 800,000 years.147 Moreover, the rate of increase in the concentration of CO2 is accelerating. Measurement records from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration research station in Hawaii Moreover show an increase of over 22 per cent in atmospheric CO2 over the last fifty years. During the decade 1960-1970, the average annual rate of increase in atmospheric CO2 was 0.27 per cent. Between 2000 and 2010, the average annual rate of increase was 0.54 per cent. There has also been a rise in the atmospheric concentrations of other significant greenhouse gases: “the CO2 equivalent concentration of the 6GHG is – CO2, CH4 , N2O, hydrofluorocarbons (HFC), perfluorocarbons (PFC) and sulphite hexafluoride (SF6 – included in the Kyoto protocol reached 438 ppm CO2-equivalent in 2008, an increase of 160 space ppm from the preindustrial level.”148 Together, these gases build up in the earth’s atmosphere, and it is generally accepted that this build-up has led to the trapping of more heat from sunlight than would otherwise be the case. The additional heat in the earth’s atmosphere manifests as global warming, which is strongly related to climate change and sea level rise. For example, extreme weather events such as heatwaves, heavy rain, drought and tropical cyclones are all forecast to increase in intensity and frequency.149 These global environmental impacts pose obvious threats 146 European Environment Agency, Understanding climate change — SOER 2010 thematic assessment, EEA, Copenhagen 2010. The Copenhagen Diagnosis, 2009: Updating the World on the Latest Climate Science. I. Allison, N.L. Bindoff, R.A. Bindschadler, et al. The University of New South Wales Climate Change Research Centre (CCRC), Sydney, Australia, viewed at http://www.copenhagendiagnosis.com/on 9 December 2009. 148 European Environment Agency, Understanding climate change — SOER 2010 thematic assessment, EEA, Copenhagen 2010. 149 The Copenhagen Diagnosis, 2009: Updating the World on the Latest Climate Science. I. Allison, N.L. Bindoff, R.A. Bindschadler, et al. The University of New South Wales Climate Change Research Centre (CCRC), Sydney, Australia, viewed at http://www.copenhagendiagnosis.com/on 9 December 2009. 147 104 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 to low-lying oceanic states in the ESCAP region.150 But they also have very significant implications for major continental economies: the Maplecroft Climate Change Vulnerability Index includes five major Asian economies – Bangladesh, India, Philippines, Viet Nam and Pakistan – in its list of the 16 countries classified as at ‘extreme risk’ from climate change.151 In 2005, it was estimated that approximately 70 per cent of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions were due to energy consumption, while transport-related emissions accounted for 21 per cent of energy-related emissions. The majority of these emissions are CO2, though transport also contributes to global N2O and methane emissions. Motor vehicle air conditioners are major contributors of HFCs. As shown in figure VII-7, it is estimated that transport activity produces approximately 15 per cent of total anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Road transport accounts for three-quarters of transport-related greenhouse gas emissions; aviation accounts for approximately one-eighth, and the rest is emitted by rail and shipping.152 One of the main factors driving the growth of transport-related GHG emissions is rapid urbanization and the increase in the number of motor vehicles used, particularly for passenger transport in cities. In addition to contributing to climate change, urban air pollution also causes the greatest damage to health and loss of welfare from environmental causes in Asian countries. Figure VII-8 show clearly that urban air pollution is principally a problem that afflicts developing countries. Despite high levels of urbanization and motorization, few if any cities in Western Europe, North America or Japan have PM10 (particulate matter of less than 10 micrometres diameter) concentrations in excess of 30 µg/m3. By contrast, the majority of major cities in developing ESCAP member states have concentrations above this level. Figure VII-7. Sources of global greenhouse gas emissions in 2005 Source: International Transport Forum, Reducing Transport GHG Emissions, Trends and Data 2010, OECD/ITF 2010. 150 See, for instance, UNDP, Climate change threatens human security in the Pacific Islands, August 2009, viewed on UNDP Newsroom website, http://content.undp.org/go/newsroom, 18 October 2011. 151 Maplecroft, Big economies of the future – Bangladesh, India, Philippines, Viet Nam and Pakistan – most at risk from climate change, 20 October 2010, viewed on Maplecroft website, http://maplecroft.com, 18 October 2011. 152 International Transport Forum, Reducing Transport GHG Emissions, Trends and Data 2010, OECD/ITF 2010. VII. Safe and Sustainable Transport 105 Figure VII-8. Geographical distribution of urban air pollution Source: World Health Organization, WHO website, http://www.who.int, accessed 18 October 2011. The air quality in selected Asian cities over the period 1993-2009 is presented below in Figure VII-9 below. On average, NO2 levels were fairly low even at the start of the period, and there has been a modest decline over the period. By the end of the period, the average across the 243 cities in the sample was below the World Health Organization (WHO) standard, but in 63 cities in the region experiences levels of NO2 pollution that exceeded the standard.153 Similarly, while there was a significant improvement in SO2 levels over the observation period, in 51 of the 213 cities for which 2008 data is available, average daily concentrations of SO2 levels exceeded the World Health Organization (WHO) standard. However, the major air pollution challenge facing the cities of the region is the reduction of particulate emissions. Although there was some improvement over the period 1993 to 2001, the average concentration of particulate matters has subsequently increased. By 2008, much of the modest gain that had been achieved in the first half of period has been reversed, and the average level across the sample approaching 90 µg/m3 – this is four-and-a-half times the WHO Air Quality Guidelines (20 µg/m3) and well in excess of even the WHO Interim Target 1 of 70 µg/m3.154 CAI-Asia reports two cities with annual average PM10 concentrations of above 250 µg/m3, with a further six cities with particulate pollution at or about that level. In total, 10 per cent of all the cities in the CAI-Asia sample have annual average PM10 concentrations above 200 µg/m3 – ten times the level recommended by the WHO.155 This is a serious health concern: outdoor air pollution, particularly due to transport emissions, therefore has the potential to significantly affect human health and mortality. The WHO has estimated that, worldwide, the annual number of premature deaths caused by urban air pollution is in excess of 1 million per year.156 153 Clean Air Initiative for Asian Cities Center, Air quality in Asia: Status and Trends, 2010 Edition, Pasig City, Philippines. Note that the WHO standard is set as the average over a 24-hour period, rather than an annual average. 154 The WHO notes that the Interim Target 1 levers ‘are associated with about a 15 per cent higher long-term mortality risk relative to the AQG level’. (WHO, WHO Air Quality Guidelines for particulate matter, ozone, nitrogen dioxide and sulphur dioxide: global update 2005 – summary of risk assessment, WHO Press, Geneva). 155 Clean Air Initiative for Asian Cities Center, op cit. 156 World Health Organization, Global health risks: Mortality and burden of disease attributable to selected major risks, WHO, Geneva, 2009. 106 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Figure VII-9. Air Quality in Asia: Average annual ambient AQ levels, 1993-2009 Source: Clean Air Initiative for Asian Cities, 2011. www.citiesact.org. Note: Not all cities have reported data for PM10, SO2 and NO2 consistently from 1993 to 2009. AQ = Air quality. µg/m3 = micrograms per cubic metre. Red line represents United States Environmental Protection Agency’s National Ambient Air Quality standards; purple line represents European Union Air Quality standards; blue line represents WHO’s air quality guidelines. 2. Policies to address the dual challenges of climate change and air pollution The transport sector, like other economic sectors, is expected to play a part in the emissions abatement challenge. However, unlike other sectors such as energy production and distribution which are more geographically concentrated, transport emissions come from a huge number of individual, privately owned vehicles, and therefore pose an enormous challenge for policy-makers. For example, with the coming into force of the Kyoto Protocol in 2005, many of the 37 major industrial countries and members of the European Community which were bound by the agreement introduced various measures to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions, including measures to reduce emissions from transport.157 However, the various market-based tools offered under the Kyoto Protocol, namely emissions trading – known as “the carbon market”, the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), and Joint Implementation (JI) project have not been widely utilized by governments to address emissions from the transport sector, partly because the first methodology for transport projects under the CDM was only approved by the Executive Board of the United Nations Clean Development Mechanism in 2006. The commitments made under the Kyoto Protocol extend only to 2012. It was widely hoped that a new agreement containing binding commitments from both developed and developing countries would be achieved at the 16th “Conference of the Parties” held in Copenhagen in December 2009, but the Conference did not produce an enforceable agreement on greenhouse gas targets. It did, however, result in the Copenhagen Accord, which articulated a number of important principles and provided a framework for voluntary commitments to targets for, and/or programmes for the reduction of, GHG emissions. These were further negotiated during the 17th meeting of the “Conference of the Parties” held in Cancun, Mexico in 2010, where the Copenhagen Accord, which, one year earlier, had merely been “noted”, was formerly adopted. By doing so they agreed to keep temperature increases below a global average of 2 degrees Celsius. This brought this aspiration, as well as the emission pledges of individual countries, into the formal United Nations process for the first time. 157 The Kyoto Protocol was adopted in Kyoto, Japan, on 11 December 1997 and entered into force on 16 February 2005. VII. Safe and Sustainable Transport 107 The contribution that transport makes towards greenhouse gas emissions and other forms of pollutants will continue to pose significant challenges for policy makers in the future. These challenges must be addressed at every level of government. At the national and subnational levels, governments have a leading role to play, for example, by taking into consideration energy efficiency and pollution effects of national transport planning; investing in “eco-efficient and socially inclusive” infrastructure, or infrastructure that will “create more value with less impact”; and setting national legislation to minimize the negative impacts of transport. Legislation to control environmental impacts of transport, however, has been relatively ineffective due to limited institutional capacity and weak enforcement: despite the fact that most countries in the ESCAP region now have clearly defined air quality standards, in many cases these fall short of the latest WHO recommendations. Table VII-4. Air Quality Standards – Selected ESCAP Economies (µg/m3) PM2.5 Economy 24-Hr PM10 Annual 24-Hr Annual SO2 NO2 O3 24-Hr Annual 8-Hr CO (’000) 1-Hr Pb 8-Hr Annual Afghanistan – – – – – – – – – – Bangladesh 65 15 150 50 365 100 157 40 10 0.5 Bhutan – – – – – – – – – – Cambodia – – – – 300 – – 40 20 – China: Grade I – – 50 40 50 40 – 10 – 1.0 China: Grade II – – 150 100 150 80 – 10 – 1.0 China: Grade III – – 250 150 250 80 – 20 – 1.0 Hong Kong, China – – 180 55 350 80 – 30 10 – India* 60 40 100 60 80 40 100 4 2 0.5 India** 60 40 100 60 80 30 100 4 2 0.5 Indonesia – – 150 – 365 100 – 30 – 1.0 Lao People’s Democratic Republic – – – – – – – – – – Malaysia – – 150 50 105 – 120 35 10 – Mongolia – – – – 30 – – – – – Nepal – – 120 – 70 40 – – 10 0.5 Pakistan – – – – – – – – – – Philippines – – 150 60 180 – 60 35 10 1.0 Republic of Korea – – 100 50 131 56 118 28.6 10.3 0.5 Singapore 35 15 150 – 365 100 147 40 10 – Sri Lanka 50 25 100 50 80 – – 30 10 – Thailand – – 120 50 300 – 140 34 10 – Viet Nam – – 150 50 125 40 120 30 10 0.5 25 10 50 20 20 40 100 30 10 0.5 WHO Source: Clean Air Initiative for Asian Cities Center, Air quality in Asia: status and trends, 2010 Edition, Philippines. Notes: Red indicates a less stringent standard than WHO recommended levels; green indicates equal to or stricter than WHO standards China: Grade I = applies to specially protected areas, such as natural conservation areas, scenic spots, and historical sites; China: Grade II = applies to residential areas, mixed commercial/residential areas, cultural, industrial, and rural areas; China: Grade III = special industrial areas; India* = NAAQS for Industrial, Residential, Rural and Other Areas; India** = NAAQS for Ecologically Sensitive Areas (notified by Central Government); Pb = lead; PM10 = Particles with aerodynamic particle diameters of 10 micrometers or less; PM2.5= Particles with aerodynamic particle diameters of 2.5 micrometers or less. In order to meet the needs of the environment, policy makers have taken a combination of measure including: the development of new transport technologies, increased use of renewable energy sources, changes in economic geography and urban form, and new and more sophisticated forms of demand management. The following sections focus on three separate but related policy measures: urban air pollution abatement policies; development of rapid mass transit systems and promotion of non-motorized transport in urban areas; and moving freight sustainably. 108 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Urban air pollution abatement policies One of the major policy instruments available to governments in reducing impact of transport activities on air quality is the specification of vehicle emissions standards. As part of China’s Air Quality Regulations of 2010, for example, there are provisions to tighten the approval process for newly produced motor vehicles, while the production, sale and registration of vehicles which fail minimum vehicle standards is prohibited (see Box VII-2). Box VII-2. New Clean Air Regulations in China In 2010, China introduced new Air Quality Regulations. The regulations provide guidance to ‘all provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government, all ministries and commissions of the State Council, and all institutions directly under the State Council’ and set out the policies and strategies to be adopted by these bodies to improve air quality. The regulations include four strategies that specifically address the reduction of emissions from motor vehicles: Strict implementation of national motor vehicle emission standards by tightening approval procedures for newly produced motor vehicles, and prohibiting production, sale and registration of vehicles that fail to comply with the national motor vehicle emission standards. The regulations also include expansion of the government subsidy programme for replacement of old vehicles, and call for ‘vigorous’ development of clean energy automobiles. Improve the motor vehicle environmental management system through strengthening the inspection of motor vehicle compliance with emission standards, introduction of motor vehicle environmental labelling. The regulations also call for consideration of tax policies that promote motor vehicle pollution prevention and control. Accelerate the use of clean vehicle fuels through promotion of low-sulphur vehicle fuels, acceleration of improvements in oil refineries, and increasing the market supply of quality vehicle fuels. The regulation also for acceleration of the development of improved fuel quality standards. Development of public transportation through improved infrastructure, prioritization of public transit in transportation strategy, speeding up the construction of dedicated bus and electric vehicle lanes (roads), and establishing signal systems that give priority to public buses. The regulation also calls for improvement of the conditions for residents to travel on foot or by bicycle. Source: China’s New Regional Air Quality Regulation – translated, viewed on the Network for Climate and Energy Information website (a World Resources Institute website) http://www.chinafaqs.org, 22 October 2011. In Japan, the Ministry of Environment is jointly working with other ministries, is preparing to tighten its already stringent tailpipe emissions requirements on NO2, PM, sulphur oxides (SOx), and carbon dioxide (CO2) for ethanol-fueled vehicles, and heavy-duty, diesel-powered vehicles. These new emissions standards under development are likely to apply to vehicle manufacturers and importers by the end of 2016.158 Meanwhile, the Russian Federation has recently proposed linking vehicle tax rates to the emissions class to which they belong – with higher rates imposed on higher polluting vehicles. The proposal would keep the basic tax rate on vehicles meeting the Euro-4 equivalent emissions level, currently at 2.5 to 15.0 roubles per unit of horsepower depending on the vehicle class. However, the basic tax rate for vehicles meeting the Euro-3 equivalent emissions would be raised by about 20 per cent, and for vehicles only meeting the Euro-2 equivalent standards the rate would increase by about 60 per cent.159 Another major policy instruments available to governments in reducing impact of transport activities on air quality is the specification of fuel standards. Over the past few decades, there are two main areas in which fuel standards have been tightened in an endeavour to improve air quality and, as a consequence, improve public health: the elimination of lead from fuels and reduction in sulphur levels. The presence of lead, even in relatively low concentrations, was found to have harmful health effects on the development of the central nervous system of foetuses and children, and many studies confirmed that motor 158 159 “Japan to toughen tailpipe emission standards”, ACFA News, Nov./Dec. 2010, Asian Clean Fuels Association. “Russia considering tax rate like to emission levels”, ACFA News, Nov./Dec. 2010, Asian Clean Fuels Association. VII. Safe and Sustainable Transport 109 vehicle exhausts were a significant source of lead in the urban air.160 By 2000, 42 countries, mainly from the developed world, had banned the use of lead as an additive in transport fuels.161 Other countries have gradually followed suit, and leaded petrol is now in use in only three countries of the ESCAP region (see Table VII-5). Table VII-5. Fuel standards in selected ESCAP countries Economy Unleaded petrol Sulphur – max permitted Diesel Petrol Afghanistan Leaded Armenia Unleaded 10,000 50 Australia Unleaded 10 Azerbaijan Unleaded 1,000 Bangladesh Unleaded 5,000 Bhutan Unleaded 500 Brunei Darussalam Unleaded 1,000 Cambodia Unleaded 1,500 China Unleaded 2,000 Fiji Unleaded 500 Georgia Unleaded 350 500 Hong Kong, China Unleaded 50 50 150 1,000 150 India Unleaded 500 Indonesia Unleaded 3,500 Islamic Republic of Iran Unleaded 5,000 Japan Unleaded 10 Kazakhstan Unleaded 2,000 500 1,000 Kiribati Unleaded Kyrgyzstan Unleaded 2,000 Lao People’s Democratic Republic Unleaded 2,500 Macao, China Unleaded Malaysia Unleaded Maldives Unleaded Marshall Islands Unleaded 500 Micronesia (Federated State of) Unleaded Mongolia Unleaded 5,000 Myanmar Leaded 2,000 Nauru Unleaded Nepal Unleaded 500 New Zealand Unleaded 10 Niue Unleaded 500 500 Pakistan Unleaded Palau Unleaded 5,000 Papua New Guinea Unleaded Philippines Unleaded 500 500 Republic of Korea Unleaded 50 10 Russian Federation Unleaded 350 150 Samoa Unleaded Singapore Unleaded 50 500 Solomon Islands Unleaded 160 Swapan K. Biswas et al., Impact of Unleaded Gasoline Introduction on the Concentration of Lead in the Air of Dhaka, Bangladesh, Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association, 53: 1355-1362. 161 Facts and Firsts about Lead, viewed on the website of the LEAD Group Inc., http://www.lead.org.au, 22 October 2911. 110 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table VII-5. (continued) Economy Sri Lanka Unleaded petrol Sulphur – max permitted Diesel Petrol Unleaded 500 Tajikistan Unleaded 2,000 1,000 Thailand Unleaded 350 500 Timor-Leste Unleaded Tonga Unleaded Turkey Unleaded 10 10 Turkmenistan Unleaded 2,000 1,000 Tuvalu Unleaded Uzbekistan Unleaded 5,000 1,000 Vanuatu Unleaded Viet Nam Unleaded 500 500 Source: United Nations Environment Programme, Matrix indicating status of leaded gasoline by country, Middle East, North Africa & West Asia; Matrix indicating status of sulphur in diesel by country [Actual Sulphur Levels], Middle East, North Africa & West Asia; » Matrix indicating status of leaded gasoline by country, Asia-Pacific Matrix indicating status of sulphur in diesel by country, Asia-Pacific; Fuel Quality Information Matrix, Central and Eastern Europe. Viewed on UNEP website, http://www.unep.org, 22 October 2011. Note: India and China have lower limits for some urban areas. Policies to reduce sulphur levels in fuels have been less effective due to the popularity of diesel fuels. Sulphur oxides (SOx), especially when present as particulate sulphates (particulate matter may be formed in the atmosphere from SOx precursors) have local health and environmental effects, such as impacts on respiratory health and asthma. SOx are gaseous emissions formed by the oxidation of fuel sulphur during the combustion process and depend entirely on the level of sulphur in the fuel. (NOx). Diesel fuels tend to be particularly high in sulphur, and diesel PM is of special concern because diesel exhaust has been associated with an increased risk of lung cancer. Additionally, SOx emissions result in the acidification of local environments, damaging buildings, and urban greenery (e.g. trees and shrubs). Finally, reducing sulphur to very low levels (50 ppm and less) not only reduces PM emissions but also enables the introduction of emission control technologies that provide even greater emission reductions. Initiatives such as the Partnership for Clean Fuels and Vehicles (PCFV) are promoting the reduction of sulphur in vehicles fuels to 50 parts per million (ppm) or below worldwide, concurrent with clean vehicles and clean vehicle technologies, with roadmaps and timelines developed regionally and nationally.162 At the urban (or local level), air pollution abatement strategies vary significantly between countries and cities in terms of the focus of attention on the different types of pollutants, and their source. This is primarily due to the need to target specific pollutants and emissions whilst working within the framework of local, national and regional policy frameworks. Table VII-6 shows some of the recent initiatives introduced by municipal authorities of the region. 3. Moving people sustainably Governments in the region’s urban areas, particularly the large cities, have recently been investing in Mass Rapid Transit (MRT) projects. The term “Mass Rapid Transit” refers to “public transport modes operating on fully or partially exclusive tracks (rail or road), away from street traffic and are thus subject to full or at least considerable managerial control by the operator”.163 In a number of cases, these projects are undertaken with private sector participation. 162 United Nations Environment Programme, Opening the door to cleaner vehicles in developing and transitional countries: the role of lower sulphur fuels, Report of the Sulphur Working Group of the Partnership for Clean Fuels and Vehicles (PCFV), UNEP, Nairobi, undated. 163 World Bank Public Transport Modes & Services, viewed 11 August 2005, http://web.worldbank.org VII. Safe and Sustainable Transport 111 Table VII-6. Measures to improve urban air quality City Delhi, India Initiative Delhi was the host city for the Commonwealth Games in 2010. Preparation for the Games served as an additional stimulus to long term plans to improve air quality in the city. However, it has been pointed out that the air quality measures adopted during the Games were part of larger plan which included upgrading fuel quality, shifting and closing of industries, development of new standards for PM2.5, benzene and ozone comparable to European Union’s standards and World Health Organization’s guidelines.164 The principal transport related measures adopted to improve air quality in Delhi are: O O O O O O Expansion of public transport (in particular the Delhi Metro) Phasing out of old public transport Conversion of all buses to CNG mode Introduction of unleaded petrol and catalytic converter Reduce sulphur content in diesel Adopting EURO standards for vehicle emissions.165 Jakarta, Indonesia In Jakarta, transport activities are the main source of hydrocarbon, carbon monoxide and nitrogen oxide emissions, and a significant contributor to particulate emissions, while industry is the main source of sulphur dioxide emissions. The Jakarta provincial government has responded through a series of measures, including the passage of a bylaw to prevent, control, monitor and mitigate air pollution. Subsequent implementing regulations provide for gas fuel use in public transport and government operational vehicles; and vehicle emission testing and maintenance.166 In 2008, the Jakarta city administration introduced a Car Free Day on the last Sunday of every month along Jalan Sudirman and Jalan Thamrin. The administration recently announced that the frequency of the Car Free Day will now be increased to once a week.167 The municipal public transport agency, TransJakarta, also developed the first full BRT system in Asia.168 Istanbul, Turkey The Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality has adopted a multi-pronged Action Plan to reduce vehicle emissions as part of its broader strategy of air quality improvement. The Plan includes: O O O O O O O O Mandulayong, Philippines 164 Raising awareness about the environmentally friendly driving techniques. Using filter and catalytic converter systems for exhaust emission control on vehicles. Reducing pollution through the use of environmentally acceptable vehicles and fuels in public transportation. Promoting alternative and more sustainable modes of transport to the cars. Improving and popularizing marine transportation. Promoting the implementation of Park and Ride applications. Application of traffic congestion charge. Improving major transportation infrastructure.169 About 34 per cent of total vehicular population in the Philippines is made up of two- and threewheelers, which are major causes of air and noise pollution, traffic congestion and accidents. Despite all the negative impacts of tricycles, they remain a major transport tool to the residents in the local government units (LGUs). The city of Mandaluyong launched a programme aimed to replace the existing fleet of tricycles with more environmentally friendly substitutes. Following agreement with the tricycle federations, a city ordinance has announced the ban of 2-stroke tricycle operations in the city.170 At the Clean Air Initiative for Asian Cities (CAI-Asia) Center, Communicating Air Quality during the Commonwealth Games 2010 Delhi, Report on the Post-CWG AQM Workshop held on 8 March 2011, Central Pollution Control Board, Delhi, India. 165 AQM [Air Quality Management] Measures in Delhi 2010, viewed on the Clear Air Initiative megaevents website, http:// megaevents.cleanairinitiative.org, 22 October 2011. 166 GTZ, Indonesia Country Profile: Focus on Smaller Cities, report prepared for CAI-Asia Center, 2009. 167 Jakarta’s Car Free Day to Be Expanded, 19 June 2011, viewed on the website of the Jakarta Globe, http:// www.thejakartaglobe.com, 23 October 2011. 168 Making TransJakarta a World Class BRT System, Final Recommendations of the Institute of Transportation and Development Policy, June 30, 2005. 169 Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality, Istanbul Air Quality Strategy, 2009, downloaded from the Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality website, http://www.ibb.gov.tr, 21 October 2011. 170 Transport measures and policies to promote emission reductions, Philippines, viewed on website of the Sustainable Urban Transport Initiative, http://ww.sutp.org, 23 October 2011. 112 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Table VII-6. (continued) City Initiative same time, together with CAI-Asia and its country network Partnership for Clean Air, a microfinancing scheme was set-up to replace existing 2-strokes tricycles with 4-stroke motorcycle engines to lessen carbon emissions. In addition, ADB sponsored a trial of twenty electrically powered tricycles. These will have an estimated range of 200 km and will cost around PHP 45 to recharge, compared to PHP 235 for the fuel used by a petrol-driven tricycle to cover the same distance.171 Mandulayong, the Philippines (continued) Shanghai, China Shanghai has a car plate auction system for interested vehicle buyers. Shanghai only allows 50,000 new vehicles to be registered every year. Shanghai has an extensive bus system covering many different routes and its metro system is the largest in the world (in terms of length) and one of the top 10 busiest. Rail-based Mass Rapid Transit Systems Rail-based MRT systems have many advantages. Most notably, rail-based systems can provide high capacity as well as high quality services. At the same time, however, they require considerable funding, and their viability is contingent upon high passenger flows. Several Asian megacities have welldeveloped or are in the process of developing rail-based MRT systems: underground rail systems are already a long-established feature of the cities of Tokyo, Hong Kong, China; and Seoul, and their systems continue to be enhanced and improved. More recently, rail-based public transport systems have also been introduced in several other Asian cities, including light rail (Bangkok, Manila, Changchun) and metro (Beijing, Delhi, Nanjing, Shanghai) systems. Other cities in which rail-based mass transit systems have either been implemented, are planned or are under active consideration, include Busan, Daegu and Incheon (Republic of Korea), Kolkata, Chennai and Mumbai (India), Tianjin and Chongqing (China), Karachi (Pakistan); Tbilisi (Georgia) and Dhaka (Bangladesh). Details of selected recent rail-based MRT projects are provided in Table VII-7. Table VII-7. Selected recent rail mass transit developments in the ESCAP region City Changchun, China Investment projects Changchun metro and railway lines The new mass transit system in Changchun, a city situated in north-eastern China, is said to be the first new light rail transit system in China. The initial phase of Line 3 was completed in 2001, while the second phase was completed in 2007. Trial service on the second light rail line, Line 4, began in June 2011. This 17 km north-south route includes three underground stations on its northernmost section, while the rest of the line runs mostly elevated along Linhe Street (Linhejie). A further north-south line (Line 1) and East-West line (Line 2) are planned for completion by 2020. Chongqing, China Chongqing subway Chongqing’s first full subway runs from Chaotianmen (passenger port) at the east end of the central district to Shapingba in the west. The initial section is 16.4 km, with 14 stations. In the long term it will be extended to Shuangbei, a further 6.2 km. Limited service started between Jiaochangkou (L2) and Shapingba in July 2011. Line 6, the second full subway, is schedule for completion in 2012. Beijing, China Beijing suburban metro lines The first sections of four suburban metro lines opened on 30 December 2010: Changping Line, Daxing Line, Fangshan Line and Yizhuang Line. The Daxing Line is connected directly to Subway Line 4, with metro trains running through on the mostly underground suburban route. Until metro line 9 is opened, the Fangshan Line is not directly linked to the existing subway network. The suburban subway lines share the same specifications with the urban lines, but typically have longer average station distances and run partly on the surface. 171 Carlo Suerte Felipe, Mandaluyong tests e-trikes, November 22, 2010, viewed on the website of Manila Bulletin Publishing Corporation, 23 October 2011. VII. Safe and Sustainable Transport 113 Table VII-7. (continued) City Shanghai, China Investment projects Shanghai metro lines Shanghai’s metro system is one of the most rapidly expanding in the world. Recently completed extensions to the metro network include the extension of Line 2 to Pudong International Airport (completed April 2010); the extension of Line 6 and Line 8 to the Oriental Sports Stadium (April 2011); and the construction of Lines 10, 11 and 13. Delhi, India Delhi Metro System: Development of the Delhi Metro System has been under consideration for over 50 years. Scheduled for completion by 2021, the master plan includes the construction of 240 kilometres of high capacity rail transit. As of July 2011, with the Airport Express Line in service, the Delhi Metro system comprises six lines with a total length of ~190 km and 142 stations. Recent extensions to the system include: a 28-km extension of Yellow Line (line 2), completed September 2010; extension of the Blue Line (lines 3 and 4) to Dwarka Sector 21 and Vaishal, completed July 2011extension of Green Line (line 5) to Mundka and connection of this line to the Blue Line at Kirti Naga; and completion of the new Violet Line (line) and Orange Line Lines (Airport Express Line). Bangkok, Thailand BTS Extension and Airport Link The extension of the Sukhumvit Line of the BTS system from On Nut eastwards to Bearing was completed in August 2011. A further extension in this direction to Samut Prakhan has been contracted, while extension at the other end of the line from Mo Chit to Lm Lukka is planned. In 2010, the Airport Link from Makkasan to Suvarnabhum Airport was brought into operation. This line is also used for the City Line commuter service. Kolkata, India Kolkata Metro Construction of Line 2 started in 2009. It will run from Salt Lake (Bidhannagar) Sector 5 (in east) to Howrah Railway Station (in west). Unlike line 1, which is operated by Indian Railways, line 2 will be operated by a new company – Kolkata Metro Rail Corporation (KMRC). Trains will be air conditioned, and underground stations would have platform screen doors. It will use standard gauge, like Kolkata tram, but unlike line 1, which uses broad gauge. It will be elevated along the eastern section through Salt Lake City. Mashad, Islamic Republic of Iran Mashad “Urban Railway” Baku, Azerbaijan Baku Metro extension Mashad’s “Urban Railway” is a completely segregrated light rail system, using low-floor rolling stock manufactured by CNR Changchung. The first line now in operation is an 18 km east-west route with 22 stations, of which about 9 km and 11 stations are underground. Construction works began in December 1999, and regular services commenced in October 2011. During 1970-1980s, a 2-line network of 52 km and 33 stations was planned to be completed by the year 2000. In 2010, however, a new Baku metro development master plan was announced, which sets a target of 5 lines, 119 km of track and 76 stations by 2030. Construction works started in August 2011. Sources: http://www.urbanrail.net (viewed in October 2011). Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) systems Bus rapid transport, or BRT, systems, refer to high-capacity buses which operate in segregated bus lanes and allow rapid loading and unloading of passengers at stations. Buses used in such systems are often articulated, meaning that they feature a pivotal joint connecting an additional trailer, thereby allowing for a longer bus which can still negotiate turns safely. Most BRT systems utilize electronic fare pre-payment systems and level access to decrease the stopping times at stations. BRT systems can be attractive economical alternatives to rail-based MRT systems especially but not exclusively in developing countries, as BRT systems tend to be cheaper and faster to construct, more profitable to operate and cheaper for commuters. 114 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Across Asia there is increased interest in the development of BRT, which can also contribute to the reduction of congestion and pollution within cities. Approximately 40 cities across Asia now have operational Bus Rapid Transit systems. China is now formally integrating BRT projects into its plans to improve urban public transportation, and the largest number of BRT systems that are planned, under construction or under consideration are in Chinese cities. However, there are also over a dozen cities in India constructing or planning BRT systems. Table VII-8 provides details of selected BRT projects across the region. Table VII-8. Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) projects in the ESCAP region City Ahmedabad, India Projects Ahmedabad BRT The Ahmedabad BRT system consists of 38 km of dedicated busway located in the centre of the road. There are 57 stations are located at approximately 700 m intervals along the route. The system uses a fleet of 70 dedicated BRT diesel buses. The first 12 km came into operation in 2009, with the full system becoming operational in 2010. As at June 2011, the average daily patronage was 115,000. Bangkok, Thailand Bangkok BRT On 15 May 2010 the first Bus Rapid Transit line commenced service linking Sathorn to Ratchapruek across the Chao Phraya River in Thonburi. This is the first of 14 Bus Rapid Transit lines ultimately serving the greater part of the city in the next decade. In the first phase, there will be five BRT lines. The existing and planned Bangkok BRT lines will link to existing skytrain and subway lines and planned mass rapid transport lines. The BRT uses custom-built air-conditioned buses on dedicated bus lanes on the outer lanes of the road. Changzhou, China Changzhou BRT The development of the Changzhou BRT was completed in 2009. The system consists of two intersecting corridors comprising a total of 41 kms located in the centre of the roadway, with 51 stations at an average separation of approximately 900 m. Guangzhou, China Guangzhou BRT A new BRT line in Guangzhou opened in February 2010. The BRT line starts from Guangzhou Dadao in Tianhe District in the west and runs along Tianhe Lu, Zhongshan Dadao and Huangpu Donglu before reaching Luogang Kaifa Dadao. The route runs 23 km and has a total of 26 bus stops (1 more is expected to be added in 2011).172 Peak ridership at any point is around 27,500 passengers per hour in one direction, and total passenger volumes average 805,000 trips per day. The Guangzhou BRT is the first high capacity ‘direct-service’ BRT system, in which BRT buses can enter and leave the BRT corridor, and the first BRT system to include direct physical connections between BRT stations and metro stations. Hefei, China Heifi BRT The Hefei Bus Rapid Transit system opened in 2010. It uses a combination of 7.7 km of dedicated busway and 15 kilometres of bus lanes, with a total of incorporating 9 stations at intervals of approximately 850 m along the dedicated busway. Peak traffic level is 2,700 persons per hour in one direction. Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran Tehran BRT The city of Tehran has seven BRT lines operating in various directions. Line 1 was inaugurated in January 2008. It comprises an 18-km route in the east-west direction between Tehran-Pars and the Azadi Terminal. The line is characterized by a segregated corridor with median arterial runway, median-located stations, and low-floor left-door buses. It does not operate express buses. Investment on Line 1 was US$ 80 million. Line 2 also operates in the east-west direction along a 20-km route between Khavaran Terminal and Azadi Terminal. It has its own segregated corridor, reserved platforms and stations located at the side of the roads. The line operates about 250 express and normal buses. It was inaugurated in September 2008 and currently carries more than 270,000 commuters daily. 172 The official website of the 16th Asian Games, http://www.gz2010.cn, Guangzhou Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) to open in January, viewed on 4 January 2010. VII. Safe and Sustainable Transport 115 Table VII-8. (continued) City Projects Line 3 runs in a north-south direction between Khavaran Terminal and Elm-O-San’nat Terminal over a distance of 14 km. The route operates 120 buses, carrying 150,000 commuters daily. Other lines which have started operations in 2010 include: Line 4 between Parkway and the South terminal, Line 5 between the Elm-O-San’nat Terminal and the Olympic Village, Line 6 between Parkway and Hafte Tir, and Line 7 between Tajrish and Railway Square. These lines together operate more than 2,000 articulated buses.173 Hanoi, Viet Nam Hanoi BRT With financial assistance from the World Bank, the Japan Policy and Human Resources Development Fund and the Global Environment Fund (GEF), the Hanoi People’s Committee Transport and Urban Works Projects Management Unit is investing US$ 170 million in an ongoing Urban Transport Development Project (HUTDP). The project has three components. The first of these covers an estimated US$ 60-90 million of investment into developing the city’s bus network. Project activities include increasing the capacity of the bus system, building two experimental BRT routes, developing bus maintenance facilities, and the implementation of modern secure ticketing systems.174 Jakarta, Indonesia Jakarta BRT TransJakarta was the first full BRT system in Asia. It was opened on a single route in January 2004, was constructed by the municipal government of Jakarta and cost US$ 49 million. The TransJakarta system now encompasses ten routes and 145 stations, spanning a total of 119 km of dedicated busweay. The planned system includes 14 corridors. ITDP data shows there were only 30,000 passengers a day in the busway’s first operational year in 2004. By April 2011, the number of busway passengers has now increased to 330,000 day, with the peak volume on an individual route reaching 3,000 per hour.175 Source: Unless otherwise indicated, information is from China Bus Rapid Transit website, http://www.chinabrt.org, viewed 25 October 2011. Promotion of Non-motorized Transport (NMT) Non-motorized transport (NMT), such as walking, bicycles and three-wheel pedal-powered vehicles, is still an important form of transportation for many people in a number of Asia’s major cities. A recent ADB report examines a cross-section of 19 Asian cities and finds pedestrian mode share to range from 40 to 63 per cent (see Figure VII-10).176 Separate studies conducted under the Clean Air Initiative – Asia on sustainable transport indicators in Pune (India), Hanoi (Viet Nam) and Xi’an (China) found that 60 per cent of all trips in each of these cities are walked, cycled, in two-wheelers, or in cycle rickshaws (Pune and Hanoi) and three-wheeled rickshaws (Pune). However, increased motorization in many Asian cities means that “walking and non-motorized transport... traditionally the main means of transport in emerging Asia… are becoming more difficult and less socially acceptable in many Asian cities.”177 Leather et al. report that: “in Hanoi, many trips could be made by foot and bicycle because average trip lengths are low. But poor infrastructure forces people to abandon walking and cycling and use motorcycles instead. The situation is similar in Manila where nearly 35 per cent of destinations are within a 15-minute walk or bicycle trip, but the majority of short trips are made by paratransit (jeepneys and tricycles) and cars. In Surabaya, a city that is only 15 km from north to 173 BRT in Iran: Beneficiary of country’s transportation reforms, July 1, 2011, viewed on website of Global Mass Transit, http:// www.globalmasstransit.net, viewed 26 October 2011. 174 World Bank (2004), VN-Hanoi Urban Transport Project, [Project Information Document (PID) Concept Stage], (World Bank, Washington), viewed on World Bank website projects database, www.worldbank.org 175 Jakarta Post, Busway system could save Rp 235 billion in subsidies, 7 February 2008. 176 James Leather, Herbert Fabian, Sudhir Gota, and Alvin Mejia Walkability and Pedestrian Facilities in Asian Cities: State and Issues, ADB Sustainable Development Working Paper Series, ADB, Manila, February 2011. 177 Asian Development Bank, Energy Efficiency and Climate Change Considerations for On-road Transport in Asia, Working Paper Consultation Draft, 19 May 2006, viewed October 2007, http://www.cleanairnet.org/caiasia/1412/articles-70656-draft2.pdf. 116 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Figure VII-10. Pedestrian mode share in Asian Cities Chongqing, China, 2002 Dhaka, Bangladesh, 1999 Haiphong, Viet Nam, 2007 Shimla, India, 2008 Zhuzou, China, 2000 Gangtok, India, 2008 Lanzhou, China, 2001 Shenzhen, China, 2005 Surat, India, 2005 Mysore, India, 2005 Chennai, India, 2002 Ghangzhou, China, 2003 Bikaner, India, 2008 Jaipur, India, 2005 Weihai, China, 2005 Nanchang, China, 2003 Urumqi, China, 2006 Pondicherry, India, 2008 Dongguan, China, 2006 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Pedestrian Mode Share Source: Leather et al., Walkability and Pedestrian Facilities in Asian Cities: State and Issues. south, over 60 per cent of trips are under 3 km, but they are mostly made by motor vehicles such as motorcycle mopeds or by paratransit modes.”178 The needs of non-motorized transport have been ignored in conventional planning strategies and have been assigned lower importance compared to other vehicles on the road.179 But NMT remains a viable option to meet the basic mobility needs of all groups in an environmentally sustainable way. The endorsement of “segregated walk- and bike-ways to provide the safety and user-friendliness that these activities require” is a necessity.180 There are some signs of increasing formal recognition of the importance of pedestrian movements in urban transport planning. The Dhaka Strategic Transport Plan, for example, explicitly adopts a ‘Pedestrian First’ philosophy.181 Examples of cities which promote the use of the bicycle as a sustainable means of transportation are given in Table VII-9 below. 178 Leather et al., op. cit. Garima Nayyar, People first: Time for some democracy on the streets, The Times of India, 4 June 2010, 180 Asian Development Bank, Energy Efficiency and Climate Change Considerations for On-road Transport in Asia, Working Paper Consultation Draft, 19 May 2006, viewed in October 2007, http://www.cleanairnet.org/caiasia/1412/articles-70656draft2.pdf. 181 Leather et al., op. cit. 179 VII. Safe and Sustainable Transport 117 Table VII-9. Urban Policies promoting the use of Bicycles City Policy Metro Manila, the Philippines Bicycle lanes have been developed in Marikina, Metro Manila, the Philippines as part of the greater Metro Manila Urban Transport Integration Project, co-financed by the World Bank and the Government of the Philippines. Implemented by the Global Environment Facility (GEF), the component includes the construction, evaluation and promotion of the Marikina Bikeway System – a 66 kilometre network of trails and road lanes designed specifically for NMT, plus bicycle parking and traffic calming systems. It is hoped that the new NMT-friendly facilities will encourage the use of NMT modes, and connection with the public transport terminals will promote the combined use of NMT and train/bus for trips between Marikina and the rest of metropolitan Manila. Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran Tehran Municipality has implemented the first phase of a plan to provide public bikes together with dedicated cycle routes. A pilot project in District 8 and during this period, 34 bicycle storage fracilities have been established and about 2,000 bicycles have been distributed among them. It is reported that 8,000 people have enrolled to use the bicycle lane. There are plans to extend the scheme to districts 12, 20, and 22. In addition, the scheme will be extended to Chitgar Park, which has more than 120 km of bicycle lanes, and there are plans to open special bicycle stations near BRT bus stops in the near future.182 Chennai, India A pilot initiative at Anna Nagar will see a dedicated cycle track will be developed on a 6.5-km stretch and cycle lands will be developed in another seven-km stretch. A hierarchy of tracks will be developed so that cyclists and pedestrians can share space.183 Shanghai, China Authorities have decided to set up more bicycle lanes between major transport roads and hubs in order to expand the coverage of bike-rental services. Commission officials have begun assessing road conditions in preparation for building bike-connection lanes between major streets, bus and Metro stations. The city’s transport bureau has also stated its intention to integrate bike-rental services in more of under-construction Metro stations, especially in outlying areas. Shanghai started offering bike-rental services on a trial basis last year in Zhangjiang High-tech Park in Pudong.184 4. Moving Freight Sustainably Far less attention has been paid to moving freight sustainably than to moving people sustainably. Yet the movement of freight generates a significant proportion of urban traffic, and an even higher proportion of regional and inter-urban traffic. In recent work undertaken by the United Nations, a taxonomy of measures that might be taken to improve the sustainability of freight movements was developed.185 This is reproduced in Figure VII-11 below. Reducing the volume of freight moved The two main strategies for reducing the volume of freight moved are de-materialization of the economy and the reduction in the movement of ‘unwanted’ freight. At the most general level, the de-materialization of the economy may entail a change the way in which progress is conceived and measured away from the predominance of indicators that indicate the volume of market transaction, such as GDP or GNI, towards broader based measures of societal welfare.186 It is clear that without positive specific policy action any inherent tendency for the economy to dematerialize as income increase will not be sufficient to contribute significantly to the achievement of sustainability objectives. This has been recognized by several ESCAP member countries through the adoption of specific policies aimed re-focusing 182 Tehran Reconciles with Bicycles, 17 May 2010, viewed on the website of the Iran Architecture and Urbanism News Agency, http://news-en.aruna.ir, 25 October 2011. 183 Ajai Sreevatsan, Cycle lanes are a symbol of democracy, The Hindu, 13 July 2010. 184 Shanghai Daily, City thinks green in bike-only lanes plan, 20 October 2009, http://www.shanghaidaily.com, viewed on 4 January 2010. 185 Steve Meyrick, Indicators of eco-efficiency and sustainability for urban freight transport, paper prepared for Guidelines for developing eco-efficient and socially inclusive infrastructure, UNESCAP (2011). 186 Redefining Progress, Economic Localization, accessed at the Redefining Progress website, http://www.rprogress.org, 25 April 2010. 118 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Figure VII-11. “Attack points” in reducing the environmental impact of urban freight transport Source: Steve Meyrick, Indicators of eco-efficiency and sustainability for urban freight transport, paper prepared for Guidelines for developing eco-efficient and socially inclusive infrastructure, UNESCAP (2011). economic growth. For example, under the umbrella of the Law of the Circular Economy 2006, China’s Resource Efficient and Environment-Friendly (REEF) Society Project incorporates a four commitments, the first of which relates directly to re-orienting economic growth away from material consumption: O O O O Develop service sector to increase share in the economy Revive traditional frugality values to guide Consumption behaviours; Raise public awareness among producers and consumers towards rational consumption.187 Another fruitful approach to reducing the amount of waste transporting is to make the costs of removal of waste the responsibility of those who benefit from the sale and who control the decisions of how products are manufactured. This approach has now been quite widely adopted in developed countries as far as hazardous waste is concerned: “The management of return flows is becoming increasingly important for a growing number of businesses. Governmental policy and legislation, such as the WEEE Directive and environmental regulations restricting the disposal of potentially hazardous product and packaging materials, have forced manufacturers to take responsibility for the take-back of used goods from customer markets. Customer awareness is also creating opportunities for “green branding” and new markets for returned goods. Moreover, return flows can reduce production costs by replacing raw materials.”188 Unproductive freight movements related to the carrying of packaging materials can be addressed in a similar manner, by making manufacturers responsible for the disposable of all packaging. This would provide an incentive to reduce the quantity of packaging and also to ensure that what packing is used is recyclable (as in Japan’s Packaging Recycling Law). However, an alternative available to government is to more directly intervene through the regulation of packaging practice, as, for example, in China’s ‘Law For Promoting Circular Economy’.189 187 United Nations ESCAP, Greening Growth in Asia and the Pacific, UNESCAP, Bangkok, 2008. McLeod, Fraser et al., Developing innovative and more sustainable approaches to reverse logistics for the collection, recycling and disposal of waste products from urban centres: Literature review and identification of opportunities, 2008, downloaded from Green Logistics website, http://www.greenlogistics.com, 24 April 2010. 189 World Bank, Developing a Circular Economy in China: Highlights and Recommendations, World Bank Technical Assistance Programme 2009, World Bank, Washington. 188 VII. Safe and Sustainable Transport 119 Reducing the distance over which freight must be moved The typical supply chain consists of a number of distinct movements: input materials to component factory; components to final assembly; movement of the final product to a distribution centre; movement from distribution centre to wholesaler; from wholesaler to retailer; and from retailer to final destination. If some of these movements can be eliminated or reduced in length by the collocation of activities that take place at different stages of the supply chain then the total distance travelled by freight can be reduced. Free trade zones, freight villages, logistics centres and other initiatives encourage the collocation of production logistics and distribution activities within a single industrial park. In particular, the collocation of final assembly/packaging with warehousing activities offers the potential to remove one transport link from complex supply chains. Changing freight transport mode There are very significant differences between the energy consumption and emissions performance of different transport modes. The extent of these differences depends very much on the specific characteristic of the freight task and the transport vehicle used, but top-down analysis based on total energy consumption and emissions can provide a robust indication of the relative magnitude. A wide range of studies has confirmed the following general ranking, in order of increasing energy efficiency and decreasing emissions: sea, rail, road and air. Reversing the trend to increasing road transport dominance of the freight task will require reconfiguring the rail transport model from the traditional ‘point to point’ carriage to a focus on seamless multimodal freight movement. UIC reports initial steps in this direction by a number of railways of the region: “Russian and Malaysian Railways have completely shifted their freight activities to a totally integrated intermodal concept, including hubs with ports and roads. Despite investments worth thousands of billions of US$ in the next 20 years on rail infrastructure, Indian Railways are facing a real challenge regarding congestion and have already defined priority corridors to invest or upgrade, targeting a 50 per cent + rail market share from their existing 40 per cent share of the freight market. Finally, the Korean experience shows that seaports are competing with the development of inland dry ports, optimally positioned closer to manufacturing location, creating real added-value, new functions and services. Caucasus Railways, by upgrading their rail infrastructure in creating new corridors, are becoming key actors for Asia to Europe transportation. Those integrated activities, now everywhere in Asia, will definitely interact with railways, making them unavoidable partners”.190 Reducing the number of movements required Much of the time, urban freight vehicles run empty. Improvement of urban logistics through construction of freight consolidation and distribution centres near urban and other strategic locations have potential to reduce the number of less than truck loads as well as empty truck trips which are currently estimated to be around one third of total freight truck trips. For example, the percentage of trucks running empty is around 12-30 per cent in Pakistan and 43 per cent in China.191 And even when they are carrying loads, the loads that are carried loads are often much less than the capacity of the vehicle. To some extent, this in unavoidable because freight flows are usually unbalanced, and some backhaul trips will always be made empty. Also, many urban delivery tasks involve drop-offs at a number of locations. A truck that leaves the depot full will often be nearly empty before it makes its final delivery. 190 UIC participates in the 2nd successful UNESCAP Working Group on the Trans-Asian Railway Network, viewed on the International Union of Railways website, http://www.uic.org, 26 October 2011. 191 Londono-Kent, P., Freight Transport for Development Toolkit: Road Freight, World Bank, 2009. 120 Review of Developments in Transport in Asia and the Pacific 2011 Nevertheless, there are a number of things that can be done to improve load factors (load to capacity ratios). For example, the potential for the development and promotion of urban freight centres to facilitate the consolidation of freight has been explored in detail by Wisetjindawat192 and Min.193 Consolidation of freight can reduce the number of freight vehicle movements by both permitting the use of larger vehicles and by increasing load factors. Wisetjindawat argues that freight consolidation has the potential to reduce the environmental impact of urban freight transport while at the same time enhancing business competitiveness, but that some incentives may need to be provided to promote collaboration between business in order to achieve these benefits consolidated delivery and sharing technologies can reduce operation costs and at the same time decrease the environmental impact. In developing countries, similar cooperation should be encouraged in order to improve not only the quality of life of citizens, but also to improve the position of these countries’ businesses in the global market. Incentives for shifting deliveries from shipper’s own trucks to using services provided by freight forwarders are also recommended in order to increase the chance of consolidated deliveries. Reducing the impact of each vehicle movement To a significant extent, reduction in the impact of each vehicle movement will result from the more stringent fuel efficiency and fuel quality standards discussed earlier in this chapter. However, the adoption of strict environmental standards for motor vehicles is one thing: enforcement of those standards is another. In a recent paper based on a comparative study of policies in 10 Asian cities, Hirota notes that: “Not only implementation of emission standards for new vehicles, but also regular inspection and maintenance of vehicles with uncontrolled emissions are effective for emission reductions. Asian countries have legislation regarding registration, I/M (inspection and maintenance) and Fuel Quality Monitoring (FQM) systems. However, operation of the registration, I/M (inspection and maintenance) and fuel quality monitoring systems used in developing countries are observed to share similar characteristics, such as a weakness of government initiative and inadequate operation by government bodies, which results from shortages of human resources and analysis facilities. These present issues may affect emission volumes from mobile sources.” 194 Vehicle maintenance practices and minor design changes can result in improved environmental performance and also in reduced fuel consumption. Fleet operators therefore often have an financial incentive to pursue these improvement, provided they are aware of the economies that could be gained by doing so. Fabian (2010) reports a pilot project in Guangzhou that focuses on the following minor design improvements to an existing truck fleet. The results of the pilot suggest a payback period of 1.8 years for the required investment, and a reduction of fuel consumption of 12 per cent.195 According to the Victorian Transport Association, a “driver’s level of skill can effect fuel use by up to and in excess of 35 per cent”.196 Although savings of this magnitude are likely to be rare, it is clear that driver behaviour can have a significant impact on the environmental impact of freight vehicles operations. The United States Environmental Protection Agency cites a Canadian study which estimates that many fleets could achieve a 10 per cent fuel economy improvement through driver training and monitoring, and two trucking fleet studies found fuel efficiency improvements of 18 per cent and 20 per cent.197 Moreover, driver behaviour is one aspect of the freight transport system that can be changed quickly and at little cost. 192 Wisetjindawat, Wisinee Review of Good Practices in Urban Freight Transportation, Paper prepared for Eco-Efficient and Sustainable Urban Infrastructure Development in Asia and Latin America Project, 2010, downloaded from ESCAP website, http:// www.unescap.org, 21 October 2011. 193 Min, Yeonjoo, GHG Mitigation Strategies in Logistics Sector of Korea, Presentation to Expert Group Meeting on Sustainable Transport Development: Eco-efficiency in Freight Transportation and Logistics, 29-30 March 2010, Bangkok. 194 Keiko Hirota, Comparative Studies on Vehicle Related Policies for Air Pollution Reduction in Ten Asian Countries, Sustainability, Vol. 2, 145-162, 2010. 195 Fabian, Bert 2010, Freight and its impact on air pollution, greenhouse gas emissions, and fuel consumption in Asia, Presentation to Expert Group Meeting on Sustainable Transport Development: Eco-efficiency in Freight Transportation and Logistics, 29-30 March, Bangkok. 196 Victorian Transport Association, Freight Sector GHG Management, Presentation to Freight Environment and Productivity Conference, Melbourne, 2009. 197 United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA), A Glance at Clean Freight Strategies: Drivers Training, undated. downloaded from USEPA website, http://www.epa.gov, 15 May 2010. United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific Transport Division United Nations Building Rajadamnern Nok Avenue Bangkok 10200, Thailand Tel.: +66 2 288 1371 Fax: +66 2 288 3050 Website: http://www.unescap.org/ United Nations publication Sales No. E.12.II.F.8 Copyright © United Nations 2011 ISBN: 978-92-1-120642-5 ST/ESCAP/2623