Topics in Central Banking - Ec 220 Alternatives to Central Banking
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Topics in Central Banking - Ec 220 Alternatives to Central Banking
Topics in Central Banking - Ec 220 Alternatives to Central Banking Spring 2014 This course is a study of the workings and implications of an entirely unregulated banking system in the capitalist world economy. It asks whether financial and price stability can be maintained in a capitalist world without the intervention of central banks functioning as the issuer of the state's money and as lender of last resort. We will examine a variety of proposals for monetary reform based on free banking principles and consider the spontaneous evolutionary processes that produce and maintain our monetary institutions. Instructor Information Professor Shirley Gedeon 802.656.0188 [email protected] 337 Old Mill Office Hours: Monday and Wednesday: 2-3:30 p.m. Organization of Class Each class will begin with a 25 minute free write on a topic assigned at the beginning of the class or with a report from each student of a short article recently posted on one of the websites devoted to free banking, alternative currencies, policy analysis from a neoliberal/neoconservative/Austrian perspective, etc. Discussion questions will be posted by Sunday evening prior to each class. Class discussion will be structured around these discussion questions, and each student will be expected to participate. Grading: Weights & Policies 2 assigned essays: 40% of grade 1 research paper: 40% of grade, of which class presentation: 10% final draft of paper: 30% Quality of class participation and blog entries: 20%, of which weekly blog entry from FreeBanking.org or in-class essays: 5% class participation: 15% Class attendance is mandatory. If you must miss class because of illness, etc., you must notify Professor Gedeon by the morning of the class with the explanation. If you miss more than one class for any reason, your overall participation grade will be lowered 10 points for each missed class. Exceptions will only be made if the Dean of Students makes the recommendation. Format and Length of Research Paper You may write a research paper on any of the topics explored in this course or related to the topics discussed. Research papers must be typed, double-spaced, and should not exceed 6,500 words including references. This is approximately 26 pages. References may take the form of (Smith, p. 250) and additional comments may be entered as either footnotes or endnotes (your choice) and numbered. You must also include a formal bibliography. Begin your paper with an abstract of no more than 100 words. The abstract should concisely state the research question and key findings. This can be single spaced, but the rest of your paper should be double-spaced. Your Introduction follows the abstract. Any commonly accepted format for bibliography is acceptable: MLA, Chicago, APA. A useful guide for helping you correctly cite your references can be found: http://library.uvm.edu/guides/citation/why.php Presentation of Papers: All students will be expected to present their research papers to the class. Papers must be submitted by Sunday evening before the Tuesday of your presentation. All students will be expected to read each other's papers and be ready for discussion and comment following the 20-minute presentation. Students who are not presenting that day will be assigned as principal discussants to one of the papers Syllabus January 14: Roots of Neoliberalism Required Reading: 1. Jerry Muller, "Adam Smith," Ch. 3 from The Mind and the Market: Capitalism in Western Thought 2. Jerry Muller, "Justus Moser," Ch. 4 from The Mind and the Market: Capitalism in Western Thought 3. John Cobin, "Ideas and Interest Groups in Economics and Public Policy," Ch. 1 from A Primer on Modern Themes in Free Market Economics and Policy 4. John Cobin, "The Austrian Business Cycle and Free Banking," Ch. 11 from A Primer on Modern Themes in Free Market Economics and Policy If you are interested in studying neoliberalism further: (I own copies of all of these) David Harvey, A Brief History of Neoliberalism, Oxford, 2005 Manfred Steger and Ravi Roy, Neoliberalism: A Very Short Introduction, Oxford, 2010 Gerald Dumenil and Dominique Levy, The Crisis of Neoliberalism Frank Lechner and John Boli, Globalization Reader (debates of the issues) Joseph Stiglitz, Globalization and its Discontents, 2003 Jagdish Bhagwati, In Defence of Globalization, Oxford, 2004 January 21: Financial Globalization--The Issues Required Reading 1. Rudiger Dornbusch, Stanley Fischer, Richard Startz, "International Linkages," Ch. 12 in Macroeconomics, pps. 283 – 306 2. "Liberalization and Management of Capital Flows, " IMF, 2012 3. Barry Eichengreen, "The Global Gamble on Financial Liberalization: Reflections on Capital Mobility, National Autonomy, and Social Justice," 1998 4. Benjamin Cohen, "Monetary Governance and Capital Mobility in Historical Perspective," in The Regulation of International Financial Markets, 2006 5. Adam Harmes, "Neoliberalism and Multilevel Governance," Review of International Political Economy, Vol. 13, No. 5, 2006 And choose one of these two: 1. Geoffrey Underhill, "Paved with Good Intentions: Global Financial Integration, The Eurozone, and the Imaginary Road to the Fabled Gold Standard," Center for Economic Policy Research, Dec. 2010 2. Stephen Gill, "Globalisation, Market Civilization, and Disciplinary Neoliberalism," Millennium - Journal of International Studies, 1995 If you are interested in these topics - further readings (I have copies of all of these articles) Capital controls debate within IMF: (I have copies of all of these) Burcu Aydin, "Banking Structure and Credit Growth in Central and Eastern European Countries," IMF Working Paper WP08/215 Zsófia Árvai, Karl Driessen, and İnci Ötker-Robe, "Regional Financial Interlinkages and Financial Contagion Within Europe" IMF, 09/6 Linda Goldberg, "Understanding Banking Sector Globalization," IMF Staf Papers, Vol. 56, No. 1, 2009 "Globalization, Financial Markets, and Fiscal Policy," Fiscal Policy and Surveillance Division, Fiscal Affairs Department of the IMF, 2007 Jagdish Bhagwati, "The Capital Myth: The Difference between Trade in Widgets and Dollars," Foreign Affairs, May/June 1998 Critique of Neoliberalism and Globalization of Finance (I have copies of all of these) Eric Helleiner, "A Bretton Woods moment? The 2007-08 crisis and the future of global finance" International Affairs, 86: 3, 2010 Geoffrey Underhill and Xiaoke Zhang, "Setting the Rules: Private Power, Political Underpinnings, and Legitimacy in Global Monetary and Financial Governance, " International Affairs, 84, 2008. Benjamin Cohen, "The International Monetary System: Diffusion and Ambiguity," International Affairs, 84, 2008. Adam Harmes, "Institutional Investors and Polanyi's Double Movement: A Model of Contemporary Currency Crises," Review of International Political Economy, 8, 2001 Benjamin Cohen, "Macrofoundaitons of Monetary Policy," in International Monetary Power, David Andrews (ed.) 2006 Stephen Gill and David Law, "Global Hegemony and the Structural Power of Capital," International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 33, No. 4 (Dec 1989), pps. 475499 January 28: Friedrich von Hayek and the Argument for Denationalization of Money Required Reading: 1. F. A. Hayek, Denationalization of Money, 1976 2. Steven Horwitz, "Money as the Language of the Market Process," (Ch. 3) in Monetary Evolution, Free Banking, and Economic Order, Westview Press, 1992. (Ch. 2, "Rules, Institutions, and the Evolution of Economic Order," is recommended for econ/philosophy double majors. The PDF has both together, so just scroll to Ch. 3) 3. Lawrence White, "Competitive Money, Inside and Out," (Ch. 2) Competition and Currency, New York University Press, 1989 4. Recommended: Manfred Neuman, "Seignorage in the US: How Much Money Does the US Government Make From Money Production?" Federal Reserve of St. Louis, 1992 If you are interested in these topics - further readings (I have copies of all of these articles) Critical Review, Vol. 25, No. 3-4, 2013: o Jeffrey Friedman, "Hayek's 2 Epistemologies and the Paradox of His Thought" o Peter Boettke and Kyle O'Donnell, "The Failed Appropriation of F.A. Hayek by Formalist Economics o Andrew Gamble, "Hayek and Liberty" o Francois Godard, "The Road to Serfdom's Economistic Worldview o Paul Lewis, "Hayek, Social Theory, and the Contrastive Explanation of Socio-Economic Order" o Andrew Lister, "The 'Mirage' of Social Justice: Hayek Against (and For) Rawls o Alan Ryan, "The Planners and the Planned" o Karen Vaughn, "Hayek, Equilibrium, and the Role of Institutions in Economic Order" David Glasner, "Money and the State," (Ch. 2) in Free Banking and Monetary Reform, Cambridge University Press, 1989 Lawrence White, "Why Didn't Hayek Favor Laissez Faire in Banking?" History of Political Economy, Vol 31, No. 4, 1999. F. A. Hayek, "Free Market Monetary System" and "Pretense of Knowledge" (PDF) Gerry O'Driscoll, Economics as a Coordination Problem: The Contributions of Friedrich Von Hayek, 1977. Nicholas Wapshott, Keynes Hayek: The Clash That Defined Modern Economics, Norton, 2011 Robert P. Murphey, "Hayek's Plan for Private Money," Mises Daily http://mises.org/daily/1854 (an introduction to Hayek's thought on denationalization) Another interesting topic is to look at the issue of seignorage. You will find plenty of resources from the Free Banking community of contributors that examine seignorage in light of the US bailout and Federal Reserve policies under Bernanke. February 4: Gold Standard - The Theory Required Reading 1. Barry Ickes, "Lecture Note on the Gold Standard" Fall 2006 (read pps 1-27) 2. Hugh Rockoff, "Wizard of Oz" as a Monetary Allegory," Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 98, No. 4 (Aug., 1990), pp. 739-760 3. George Selgin, Brian Domitrovic, Larry White - Gold Standard Explained. Video produced at Hillsdale College 4. Michael Bordo, "The Classical Gold Standard: Some Lessons for Today," Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, May 1981 5. Good Introduction to the Issues: Charles Postel, "Why Conservatives Spin Fairytales About the Gold Standard," Reuters, September 17, 2013 (http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2013/09/17/why-conservatives-spinfairytales-about-the-gold-standard/) If you are interested in these topics - further readings (I have copies of all of these articles) theoretical approach and models: Robert Barro, "Money and the Price Level Under the Gold Standard," Economic Journal, Vol. 89, March 1979 Michael Bordo and Hugh Rockoff, "The Gold Standard as a "Good Housekeeping Seal of Approval," Journal of Economic History, Vol. 56, June 1996 Michael Bordo, "A Model of the Classical Gold Standard with Depletion," Journal of Monetary Economics, 1985 Michael Bordo, Robert Dittmar, William Gavin, "Gold, Fiat Money, and Price Stability," NBER Working Paper 10171, 2003 Michael Bordo and Angela Redish, "Putting the 'System' In the International Monetary System," NBER, 2013. http://www.nber.org/papers/w19026 Larry White, The Theory of Monetary Institutions, Chs. 2 & 3, Blackwell, 1999 policy, history of thought, and implementation Lawrence White, "Making the Transition to a New Gold Standard," Cato Journal, Spring/Summer 2012 Michael Bordo, The Gold Standard: The Traditional Approach (an intellectual history of the gold standard) Giulio Gallarotti, "The Scramble for Gold: Monetary Regime Transformation in the 1870's" in Bordo and Capie, Monetary Regimes in Transition. (This is a class analysis of which sectors favored gold, how they lobbied to institute GS in 1870's- international context) John Wood, Money: Its Origin, Development, Debasement, and Prospects, American Institute for Economic Research, Economic Education Bulletin, August 1999 Judy Shelton, "Gold and Government," Cato Journal Sumer 2012 Mark Skousen, Economics of a Pure Gold Standard, Foundation for Economic Education, 1977 Bernard von NotHaus, The Liberty Dollar Solution to the Federal Reserve, 2004 Llewellyn Rockwell, (ed), The Gold Standard: Perspectives in the Austrian School "The Case for a Genuine Gold Dollar - Murray Rothbard The Monetary Writings of Carl Menger - Hans Sennolz "Ludwig von Mises and the Gold Standard" - Richard Ebeling "The Costs of a Gold Standard" - Roger Garrison "Gold and the International Monetary System: The Contribution of Michael Heilperin" - Joseph Salerno "Free Banking and the Gold Standard" - Larry White "The Political and Economic Agenda for a Real Gold Standard" – Ron Paul February 11: Gold Standard - The Reality Required Reading: 1. Barry Eichengreen and Peter Temin, "Fetters of Gold and Paper," NBER, 2010 2. Barry Eichengreen and Peter Temin, "The Gold Standard and the Great Depression," Contemporary European History, 2000 3. Kevin O'Rourke, "Cross of Euros," Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 27/1, 2013 4. Giulio Gallarotti, "The Scramble for Gold: Monetary Regime Transformation in the 1870's", in Bordo and Capie, Monetary Regimes in Transition, 1993 5. Christopher Meissner, "Capital Flows, Credit Booms, and Financial Crises in the Classical Gold Standard Era," NBER 2013 6. Kevin Dowd, "Financial Instability in a 'Directly Convertible' Gold Standard," Southern Economic Journal, 57/3, 1991 There are thousands of articles published on the gold standard. Here are some classics, but feel free to conduct your own search for topics that interest you, including the economics of gold mining and production, gold stand and price stability, return to the GS in the 21st century. Here are some of the major works whose bibliographies might be helpful Barry Eichengreen, The Gold Standard and the Great Depression, 19191939, 1995 Michael Bordo and Ronald McDonald, "Interest Rate Interactions in the Classical Gold Standard, 1880-1914: Was There Any Monetary Independence?" Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 52, no. 2, 2005 Christopher Hanes and Paul Rhode, "Harvests and Financial Crises in Gold Standard America," Journal of Economic History, Vol. 73/1, March 2013 Giulio Gallarotti, The Anatomy of an International Monetary Regime: The Classical Gold Standard, 1880 - 1914 Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz, A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960. Charles Kindleberger, Manias, Panics, and Crashes, 1996 J. E. Tanner and V Bonomo, "Gold, Capital Flows, and Long Swings in American Business Activity," Journal of Political Economy, vol. 76/1 1968 February 18: No class will be held. Essays are due by 4:30 p.m. on February 18. Typed, double-spaced, stapled together, delivered to Professor Gedeon. February 25: Free Banking - The Theory & Laissez-Faire Model Required Reading: 1. George Selgin and Lawrence White, "How Would the Invisible Hand Handle Money?" Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 32, December 1994 2. George Selgin, Central Banks as Sources of Financial Instability" Independent Review, Spring 2010 3. Lawrence White, The Theory of Monetary Institutions, Ch. 3 "Money Issue by Unrestricted Banks Ch. 4 "Evolution and Rationales of Central Banking" March 11: Free Banking - The Institutional Issues Required Reading 1. Lawrence White, The Theory of Monetary Institutions, Ch. 7 "Seigniorage" 2. Ignacio Briones and Hugh Rockoff, "Do Economists Reach a Conclusion on Free-Banking Episodes?" Econ Journal Watch, Vol. 2, no. 2, August 2005 3. Shirley Gedeon, "The Modern Free Banking School: A Review" Journal of Economic Issues, Vol. 31, no. 1, March 1997 4. David Glasner, Free Banking and Monetary Reform, Ch. 8 "The Competitive Breakthrough" and Ch. 9 "Can Competitive Banking be Safe & Stable?" 5. Recommended: George Selgin, Theory of Free Banking, Ch. 8 "The Supply of Currency" and Ch. 9 "Stability and Efficiency" For a more formal treatment, complete with historical examples, see the following Steve Horwitz, Monetary Evolution, Free Banking, and Economic Order Kevin Dowd, Laissez-Faire Banking Larry Sechrest, Free Banking: Theory, History, and a Laissez-Faire Model George Selgin, Good Money: Birmingham Button Makers, the Royal Mint, and the Beginnings of Modern Coinage, 1775-1821, 2011 David Glasner, Free Banking and Monetary Reform Lawrence White, Free Banking in Britain: theory, experience and debate Lawrence White, Competition and Currency: Essays on Free Banking & Money Lawrence White, The Theory of Monetary Institutions. See especially Ch. 5, "Should Government Play a Role in Money? Ch. 6, "Should Government Play a Role in Banking? March 18: No class will be held. Essays are due by 4:30 p.m. on March 18. Essay topic will be assigned. Typed, double-spaced, stapled together, delivered to Professor Gedeon. March 25: Bitcoin: Digital Currency and Payment System Required Reading 1. Peter Surda, "Economics of Bitcoin: is Bitcoin an alternative to fiat currencies and gold?" MA Thesis, Vienna University of Economics and Business, 2013 2. Jerry Brito and Andrea Castillo, "Bitcoin: A Primer for Policymakers" Mercatus Center, George Mason University, 2013. 3. Cato Institute, Private Digital Economy, 2013 4. Lawrence White and George Selgin, "Why Private Banks and NOt Central Banks Should Issue Currency, Especially in Less Developed Countries," 2000 5. If you like to hear an explanation: Marc Hockstein, "Bitcoin: An Introduction" Interview on SurprisinglyFree.com. Go to: http://cdnsurprisinglyfree.s3.amazonaws.com/SFC-154-130416.mp3 As you work through these assigned texts, sketch out answers to the following questions: What precisely is digital money? Is Bitcoin a fiduciary currency? Does it satisfy the formal definitions of fiduciary currency? How is the supply of Bitcoin controlled? April 1: Monetary Stability under a Private Digital Economy: Bitcoin as Case Study. Supply of Bitcoin, Mining, Volatility of Bitcoin, Control of Price Levels Required Reading 1. Michael Taylor, "Bitcoin and the Age of Bespoke Silicon," International Conference on Compilers, Architecture and Synthesis for Embedded Systems, Sept. 2013 2. Sarah Meilejohn, Marjori Pomarole, et. al., "A Fistful of Bitcoins: Characterizing Payments Among Men with No Names," 2013 3. Nicholas Houy, "The Bitcoin Mining Game," WP 1412, Groupe d'Analyse et de Theorie Economique Lyon - St Etienne, 2014 4. European Central Bank, "Virtual Currency Schemes," 2012 5. Tim Sablik, "New Private Currencies Like Bitcoin Offer Potential...and Puzzles," Richmond Federal Reserve, Econ Focus, Third Quarter, 2013 6. Nicholas Plassaras, "Regulating Digital Currencies: Bringing Bitcoin Within the Reach of the IMF" Chicago Journal of International Law, 2013 To go further into mathematical models: Joshua Kroll, Ian Davey, and Edward Felten, "The Economics of Bitcoin Mining, or Bitcoin in the Presence of Adversaries," Princeton, 2013. April 8: Back to Hayek Required Reading 1. Friedrich Hayek, "Choice in Currency: A Way to Stop Inflation" 2. Francois R. Velde, "Bitcoin: A primer" Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 317, December 2013 April 15: Presentation of Research Paper April 22: Presentation of Research Paper April 29: Presentation of Research Paper