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Principles of Macroeconomics Economics 11C
Principles of Macroeconomics Economics 11C Professor Woolf Fall 2015 General Information: Phone: 656-0190 Office: 339 Old Mill Email: [email protected] Class meeting time: Monday, Wednesday, Friday 3:30 – 4:20 Fleming 101 Office Hours: MWF 1:00-2:00 or by appointment. You do not need an appointment to see me during my scheduled office hours. Teaching Assistant: Office and hours: Email: Justin Dunn to be determined [email protected] Required Materials: 1. Timothy Taylor, Principles of Macroeconomics (OpenStax College, 2014) There are a number of ordering options for this book, ranking from free to a hard copy. You can find a link to ordering options here: http://bit.ly/1foXWwT 2. Sapling Learning Center homeworks. This is an online practice and homework software. Purchase of a license that gives you access to Sapling is at http://bit.ly/saplinginstructions 3. An i-clicker. Available at the UVM Store or you can purchase a used one. If you have one from a previous class or need one for another class you can use the same iclicker for all classes at UVM. About The Course: Economics 11 is a survey course in macroeconomics, the study of how the overall economy behaves. The course has three parts. The first part of the course is a general overview of what economics is all about. The second part is a survey of microeconomics, which is the study of how individual actors in the economy (consumers and firms) behave, including demand and supply analysis. Part 3, which begins after the first exam, is an analysis of the macro economy, which looks at the determination of broad economic aggregates, including the level of output and income, how and why an economy grows, why growth is important, the role and importance of money and banks in the economy, the problems of unemployment and inflation, and what appropriate macroeconomic policies are. The course has three basic goals: (1) to introduce you to the tools and concepts of economic reasoning; (2) to give you an understanding of basic economic data and theories; and (3) to use the data and theories to explain and understand the workings of our economic system. We will do that by looking at the microeconomic foundations of the economy and four important macroeconomic variables: output, economic growth, unemployment, and inflation. The course syllabus can be found on Blackboard. Readings and podcasts are hyperlinked on the syllabus and some are on Blackboard. The course syllabus has hyperlinked readings, videos, and podcasts and can be found on the class Blackboard site. To get to Blackboard, go to bb.uvm.edu, login, and click on this class. If you have questions or problems with Blackboard, go to help.uvm.edu and follow the appropriate links or call the UVM tech support helpline at 656-2604. Economics 11 covers a great deal of material; it is like learning a new language or learning to use new tools. You should expect to at least one hour, and probably two hours, outside of class for each hour you spend in the classroom if you want to do well in this class. A word to the wise: read each chapter before the lecture on that chapter. If you let yourself fall behind, it will be very difficult to catch up. Each lecture and each topic in economics builds on previous concepts. By the end of the course you should be able to read and understand economics articles in The Wall Street Journal, The Economist, the business and economics pages of The New York Times, and other publications with an economic content and have an intelligent conversation about questions such as: Last year, a barrel of crude oil cost more than $100. Today it costs $40. Why has this happened? When will the earth run out of oil? What happened in Greece this summer? What are the causes of economic growth? Why are some nations more developed than others? Fifty years ago, Argentina was richer than South Korea, and South Korea was about as poor as most African nations today. Why is South Korea so much richer than its neighbor North Korea, where famine kills hundreds of thousands of people and few people have electricity? What determines the price of apples, both the Granny Smith and iPhone type? How many American workers earn the minimum wage? Should the government raise the minimum wage to $15? Or to $50? What are the likely consequences of raising the minimum wage? Why did the U.S. economy go into a recession in 2008? What caused the financial crisis and the ensuing recession? What is a recession? What determines the level of unemployment? How much control does the government have over the unemployment rate? Should we be worried about unemployment? What is inflation? Should you be worried about it? What is money? Why is it important in an economy? How do banks work, and why are they important? What is the Federal Reserve System? How do its policies affect the economy? In 2000, the federal government collected $240 billion more in tax revenues than it spent. In 2009 the government spending was $1.4 trillion more than tax revenues. Why should you be concerned about the federal budget and its surpluses and deficits? The federal government owes more than $18 trillion to people and institutions that have lent it money. What is the federal debt and how large is it really? 2 Economics has been called the “dismal science.” If these kinds of questions are interesting to you, then you won’t find economics dismal. (And if you are interested in why economics is called the dismal science, read this.) Class Policies: Come to class on time and do not leave before class is over. Do not use cell phones during class. Do not open up laptops during class. Take notes by hand. Research shows you learn more taking notes that way than by typing on a laptop. If you have a medical or some other reason for using a laptop during class see me. Bring your i-clickers to class every day and only respond to questions with your own clicker. Be aware that using another student’s clicker constitutes cheating. Familiarize yourself with all UVM policies, including the code of academic integrity, at <https://www.uvm.edu/policies/?Page=cats.php&cat=St&SM=cat_menu.php> Ancillary Material: 1. To apply the economic concepts you are learning, I recommend either of the following: a. The New York Times (nytimes.com) including the business section, as well as other economics articles in the Times. Student subscriptions are about $15 for the semester at <http://www.nytimes.com/subscriptions/edu/lp3K6JY.html?campaignId=4RXH8>. b. The Wall Street Journal (wsj.com) available at a student subscription price of $15 for the semester at< wsj.com/studentoffer >. 2. If you want to truly understanding economics, read some economics blogs. I guarantee you that if you read a couple of these blogs each day, you will get a great exposure to how economists think about the world. Some of my favorites are: Marginal Revolution One of the most popular economics blogs, and not just about economics. Planet Money Not really a blog, but National Public Radio reports about economic issues from the Planet Money team. Several of their podcasts are on the syllabus. Conversable Economist Timothy Taylor, author of your text, has a very readable almostdaily post on some interesting economic topic. 3 Exams and Grading: You will be evaluated on two midterm (MT) exams, a cumulative final exam, Sapling and other homework assignments and in-class i-clicker quizzes and assignments. Some homework questions will be assigned after we discuss a topic and others before the topic is discussed in class, but will be based on readings you will do before the class period. I will alert you via email when homework assignments are due, so be sure to regularly check your UVM email account. I do not accept late homework assignments. In-class quizzes and iclicker assignments cannot be made up. I will drop your two lowest i-clicker assignment grades so if you have to be away from class for any reason you will not be penalized for two absences. Course components will be weighted as follows: Course Component Sapling exercises, homeworks, i-clicker in-class quizzes Midterm 1 Midterm 2 Final Total Weighting 1 Weighting 2 Weighting 3 (MT1 is lowest score) 15% 10% 15% 25% 35% 100% (MT2 is lowest score) 15% 10% 25% 15% 35% 100% (Final is lowest score) 15% 10% 25% 25% 25% 100% I will calculate your final course grade using each of the three weighting schemes. Your final grade will be determined by the highest score. Course Schedule: The following is a timetable for the course. I will try to stick to the schedule but it may change. I expect you to do the assigned readings before the class period. If you do, you will better understand the material we cover in class and you will do better on the exams. Assignments listed as TT refer to the Timothy Taylor text. Other readings are either hyperlinked or on the class Blackboard site. Note that most Planet Money podcasts are about 20 minutes long. Some have transcripts as well as the podcast. 4 Date Aug 31, Sept 2 Topic Introduction, the Economic Way of Thinking, and Basic Economic Principles Sept 4, 7 Sept 9, 11 Sept 14,16,18 No Class Simple Economic Models: Choice and the Production Possibility Curve Comparative Advantage and Trade Sept 21- 30 Demand and Supply Oct 2 Oct 5, 7, 9 Midterm 1 GDP: Measurement and Definition Oct 12, 14 Wealth and Poverty: The Importance of Economic Growth Oct 16, 19 Jobs and Unemployment Oct 21, 23, 26 Inflation and the Price Level Readings TT Ch 1 TT Appendix A: The Use of Mathematics in Economics Leonard Reed, I Pencil Sassa Issenberg, The Sushi Economy (The American, July/August 2007) Recommended: Bruce Gottlieb, Why Don't Buses Have Seat Belts?, Slate Steven Levitt (video), The Freakonomics of Crack Dealing, TED talk TT Ch 2 TT Ch 20 Frédéric Bastiat, A Petition (1845) Paul Krugman, In Praise of Cheap Labor, Slate (March 20, 1997) Recommended: Don Boudreaux, Comparative Advantage and the Tragedy of Tasmania (Everyday Economics) TT Ch 3,4 Alan Krueger, Seven Lessons About Super Bowl Ticket Prices, New York Times (Feb 1, 2001) A Teenager’s Guide to Doing Business in North Korea, Planet Money podcast Timothy Taylor, Characteristics of U.S. Minimum Wage Workers, The Conversable Economist, August 13, 2014 Recommended: Russell Roberts, Ticket Prices and Scalping (podcast) Khan Academy: Supply, Demand and Market Equilibrium TT Ch 6 Why GDP Matters for Schoolkids (Planet Money podcast) Josh Zumbrun, Sex, Drugs, and GDP: The Challenge of Measuring the Shadow Economy, (Wall Street Journal) Bill Davidow, The Invisible Economy (The Atlantic) Recommended: Khan Academy: GDP: Measuring National Income TT Ch 7 Alex Tabarrok, Basic Facts of Growth and Development and The Importance of Institutions, (MRUniversity video) Hans Rosling, Debunking Third World Myths (TED video, 1/14/07) Would You Rather be Rich in 1900 or Middle Class Now? (Planet Money podcast) The Secret Document that Transformed China (Planet Money podcast) TT Ch 8 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, How the Government Measures Unemployment (2014) Adam Davidson, Making it in America, The Atlantic, January 2012 Keeping the Biggest Secret in the U.S. Economy (Planet Money podcast) Young, European, and Broke, (WSJ, Aug 9, 2014) (this article is in Blackboard under Course Materials) TT Ch 9 Uncle Sam’s Eyes in the Aisles (Washington Post Aug 29, 2006) Megan McArdle, Printing Money Goes Haywire in Venezuela, Bloomberg View, August 28, 2015 Recommended: 5 Oct 28, 30 Nov 2 Nov 4,6,9 International Trade and Globalization Midterm 2 Money and Banks and the Financial Crisis Nov 11, 13, 16 The Federal Reserve Nov 18, 20 (and 30) Macro Theories and Models Thanksgiving Break Nov 23-27 Dec 2, 4 The Federal Budget and Fiscal Policy Dec 7,9 Borrowing and the National Debt Dec 14 Final Exam 10:30 am Khan Academy: Inflation—Measuring the Cost of Living TT Ch 10 Hal Varian, An Ipod has Global Value, New York Times (June 28, 2007) TT Ch 14 The Birth of the Dollar Bill (Planet Money podcast) Michael Phillips, In Some Places U.S. Currency Isn’t Sound as the Dollar, (Wall Street Journal, Nov 2, 2006) Giant Pool of Money (This American Life, May 2008) Recommended: Khan Academy: The Monetary System TT Ch 15 to p.357 The Birth of the Dollar Bill (Planet Money podcast) Michael Phillips, In Some Places U.S. Currency Isn’t Sound as the Dollar, (Wall Street Journal, Nov 2, 2006) Recommended: Khan Academy: The Monetary System TT Ch 11, 12, 13, Ch 15 Section 15.4, 15.5 Recommended: Khan Academy: Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply Keynesian Economics TT Ch 17 Gregory Mankiw, Fair Taxes? Depends on What You Mean by Fair (NY Times, July 15, 2007) The Surprisingly Entertaining History of the Income Tax (Planet Money podcast) TT Ch 18 John Steele Gordon, A Short History of the National Debt (Wall Street Journal, 2/18/09) What If We Paid Off the Debt? (Planet Money podcast) Analysis of the CBO’s Updated Budget and Economic Analysis, Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (2015) pp 1-25. 6 If you are interested in exploring economics in more depth, but not in a technical way, here are some interesting and readable books about economics: Hernando de Soto: The Mystery of Capital A Peruvian economist explains why poor institutions help explain world poverty Tim Harford: The Undercover Economist: Exposing Why the Rich are Rich, the Poor are Poor—and Why You can Never Buy a Decent Used Car You’ll learn why Starbucks locates stores where they do Steven Landsburg, The Armchair Economist: Economics and Everyday Life The title says it all Steven Levitt and Stephen Dubner, Freakonomics and SuperFreakonomics An economist and journalist write about how economics and data can be used in a clever way to explain why teachers and sumo wrestlers cheat, and a lot of other things Russell Roberts, The Choice: A Fable of Free Trade and Protectionism A novel about free trade Russell Roberts, The Price of Everything: A Parable of Possibility and Prosperity A novel about economic theory P.J. O’Rourke, Eat the Rich: A Treatise on Economics Very funny look at the wealth of (some) nations PBS: The Commanding Heights at http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/commandingheights/lo/story/index.html A great PBS video series, made in 2002, interweaves the economic and intellectual history of the twentieth century, focusing on the great conflict over using governments or markets to guide the economy Matt Ridley, The Rational Optimist: How Prosperity Evolves Why are we so pessimistic about the economic and environmental future when we are so much better off than we were in the past? Pietra Rivoli, The Travels of a T-Shirt in the Global Economy: An Economist Examines the Markets, Power, and Politics of the Global Economy An exploration of how your T-shirt went from being cotton grown in a Texas field to the shirt in your drawer, and how it eventually ends up in Africa James Surowiecki, The Wisdom of Crowds: Why the Many are Smarter than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies, Societies, and Nations How the decentralized decision making of markets leads to optimal outcomes. Includes stories about how Wall Street investors figured out which part caused the space shuttle Challenger to explode seconds after if blasted off within minutes of the accident and how a bunch of country peasants know exactly how much a cow weighs Charles Wheelan, Naked Economics: Undressing the Dismal Science A nice non-technical and easy to read introduction to economics. Definitely not a textbook. Last updated August 28, 2015 7