THE POLICY OF INDONESIA’S ENERGY MIX REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA
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THE POLICY OF INDONESIA’S ENERGY MIX REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA
REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA MINISTRY OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES THE POLICY OF INDONESIA’S ENERGY MIX Presented at ESCAP Policy Dialogue, December 17-19th 2013 PROF. IGN WIRATMAJA PUJA EXPERT STAF TO MINISTER OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare I. INTRODUCTION TO INDONESIA’S MACRO OUTLOOK Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare INDONESIA’S PROFILE 2011 Indicator Population GDP GDP per capita (PPP) Nominal Growth 240 million 1.49% $ 846.3 billions INDONESIA 6.4% $ 3,542 17.000 islands Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare Economic Growth GDP( RP. Trliun) 3,943 6.4% 4000 2,177 3000 Growth on Energy Consumption 2000 1000 Energy (M BOE) 0 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 1,316 1,500.0 7.1% 712 1,000.0 Population Growth 500.0 Penduduk (Juta) 231 260 256 0.0 2010 1.49% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 240 220 200 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare ADDITIONAL ELECTRICITY : 5000 MW/YEAR 2017 2018 2019 POLICY ON ENERGY DEVELOPMENT CATUR DHARMA ENERGY 1. Increase Oil & Gas Production 2. Reduce Oil Consumption 3. New & Renewable Energy Development 4. Energi Efficiency & Conservation Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare CURRENT CONDITION 2013 TARGET 2025 Biofuel 5% ENERGY ELASTICITY= 1,65 NON FOSSIL ENERGY SHARE 5% Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare Nuclear, Hydro, Solar, Wind, and Other NRE 5% Geothermal 5% Liquified Coal 2% ENERGY ELASTICITY LESS THAN 1 IN 2025 OPTIMIZING NEW RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES OIL AND GAS PRODUCTION PROFILE The development of the oil and gas industry has changed from oil dominance to natural gas 2000 PEAK 1977 PEAK 1995 Plateau stage 1683 1631 1624 1612 1624 15891587 1575 1506 1574 1539 1519 1535 1557 1586 1537 1500 1491 1500 1445 1407 1373 1336 1338 1305 1288 13021302 1264 1214 1327 1499 1468 1462 1316 15001500 14981496 1460 1408 1267 1229 1375 1373 1366 1341 1364 1303 1501 1415 1397 1404 1387 1362 1522 1252 1240 MBOEPD 1147 1096 1082 1062 1056 1006 1000 966 954 904 889 853 977 1000 10101010 949 945 902 744 742 773 900 861 847 830 797 Decline 3-5% 569 500 601 585 488 466 512 550 544 401 266 153 52 57 57 51 53 59 74 91 99 109 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 0 TAHUN *) Outlook per 29 Januari 2013 Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare Minyak Gas GAS RESERVES ACEH (NAD) 5.56 NATUNA NORTH SUMATRA 1.29 50.94 CENTRAL SUMATRA 9.01 17.36 PAPUA EAST BORNEO SOUTH SUMATRA 23.91 3.83 15.79 CELEBES WEST JAVA 4.24 5.73 MOLUCCAS 15.22 EAST JAVA (Advance Resources Interational, Inc., 2003 processed) GAS RESERVES PROVEN POTENTIAL TOTAL = = = (As of January 1st 2012) 103.35 TSCF 47.35 TSCF 150.70 TSCF ESDM untuk Kesejahteraan Rakyat CBM RESOURCES = 453.30 TCF Total CBM Basin = 11 (Advance Resources Interational, Inc., 2003) Contract Signed up to May 2013 : 54CBM PSCs SHALE GAS POTENTIAL = 574 TCF Total Shale Gas Basin = 14 (Geology Agency, 2010) 1st Unconventional Oil & Gas (MNK) PSC was signed on May 2013 COAL RESOURCES & RESERVE Resources 119.4 billion ton (open pit resources) Reserves 28.9 billion ton Very High (anthrasit) ( > 7.100 cal/gr ) High (Bituminus) ( 6.100 - 7.100 cal/gr ) Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare Source: Indonesian Geological Agency, 2012 Medium (Sub Bituminus)( 5100 - 6100 cal/gr ) Low (Lignite) ( < 5.100 cal/gr ) MASSIVE DEVELOPMENT OF RENEWABLE ENERGY Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare Geothermal (40% of World Resources..) NAD 2 WKP Jaboi: 70 MW Seulawah Agam: 130 MW No. Pulau Jumlah Lokasi 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Sumatera Jawa Bali Nusa Tenggara Kalimantan Sulawesi Maluku Papua Total 86 71 5 22 8 55 26 3 276 SUMUT 4 WKP Sibayak – Sinabung: 130 MW Sibual – Buali: 750 MW Sipaholon Ria-ria: 75 MW Sorik Marapi: 200 MW Potensi (MW) 13.516 10.092 296 1.471 115 2.519 954 75 29.038 SULUT 2 WKP Kotamobagu: 410 MW Lahendong-Tompaso: 358 MW GORONTALO 1 WKP Suwawa: 110 MW JAMBI 1 WKP Sungai Penuh: 70 MW MALUT 2 WKP Jailolo: 75 MW Songa Wayaua: 140 MW SUMSEL 3 WKP Lumut Balai: 250 MW Rantau Dedap: 106 MW Danau Ranau: 210 MW SUMBAR 4 WKP Bukit Kili: 83 MW Gn Talang: 35 MW Liki Pinangawan: 400 MW Bonjol: 200 MW BANTEN 2 WKP Kaldera Danau Banten: 115 MW G. Endut: 80 MW LAMPUNG 3 WKP Gn.Rajabasa: 91 MW Suoh Sekincau: 230 MW Waypanas – Ulubelu: 556 MW Danau Ranau: 210 MW SULTENG 1 WKP Marana: 35 MW BALI 1 WKP Tabanan: 276 MW BENGKULU 1 WKP Tmbg Sawah-Hululais: 873 MW JABAR 10 WKP Ciater - Tgkban Perahu: 60 MW Cibeureum–Parabakti: 485 MW Cibuni: 140 MW Cisolok Cisukarame: 45 MW Gn. Tampomas: 50 MW Gn. Tgkuban Perahu: 100 MW Kamojang-Darajat: 1465 MW Karaha Cakrabuana: 725 MW Pangalengan: 1106 MW G. Ciremai: 150 MW JATENG 4 WKP Baturaden: 175 MW Dataran Tinggi Dieng: 780 MW Guci: 79 MW Gn. Ungaran: 100 MW MALUKU 1 WKP Tulehu: 100 MW NTB 1 WKP Hu'u Daha: 65 MW TOTAL POTENTIAL: 29 000 MW (276 LOCATION) TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY: 1 226 MW (6 WKP) JATIM 3 WKP Blawan – Ijen: 270 MW Gn. Iyang Argopuro: 295 MW Telaga Ngebel: 120 MW Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare NTT 4 WKP Atadei: 40 MW Sokoria: 30 MW Ulumbu: 199 MW Mataloko: 63 MW 11 GEOTHERMAL Proses Integrity Pipeline ESDM untuk Kesejahteraan Rakyat TOTAL RESOURCES : 49 800 MW TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY: 1 618 MW 8% 28% 9% 4% 5% 29% 5% Plywood factory 9% 12% 42% 50% Sugar factory Palm oil mill 18% Rice mill Municipal waste Maluku Kalimantan 260,66 MW Sumatera 814,56 MW 28% Sulawesi 102,63 MW 29% 2 1% 3% Sawmill Papua Jawa 1.835,51 MW 1% 8% 6% 100% 85% Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare Bali 18,43 MW Nusa Tenggara BIODIESEL – PALM OIL TOTAL PALM OIL PRODUCTION : 28 MM kLITER TOTAL BIODIESEL : 2.1 MM kLITER PT. Pelita Agung Agri Industries 200.000 MT/Th PT. Musim Mas 420.000 MT/Th PT. Petro Andalan Nusantara 150.000 Kl/Th PT. Cemerlang energi perkasa 400.000 MTl/Th PT. Oil Tanking 504.000 MT/Th PT. Bioenergy Pratama Jaya 66.000 MT/Th PT. sumi asih Oleo Chem. 100.000 MT/th PT. Darmex Biofuels 150.000 MT/th PT. Wilmar Bioenergy Ind 1.050.000 MT/Th PT. Wahana Abdi tirta tehnika 13.200 KL/th PT. Alia Mada Perkasa 11.000 KL/th PT. Sintong Abadi 35.000 Kl/Th PT. Ciliandra 250.000 MT/Th PT. Pasadena Biofuels Mandiri Biodiesel:10.240 Kl/th PT. Multikimia Inti Pelangi 14.000 Kl/Th PT. Indo Biofuels Energy 60.000 MT/Th PT. Energi alternatif 7.000 MT/Th PT. Eternal Buana Chem, Ind 40.000 MT/Th PT. Primanusa Palma Energi 24.000 Kl/Th Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare PT. anugerah inti gemanusa 40.000 MT/Th PT. Damai sejahtera sentosa 120.000MT/Th PT. eterindo Nusa Graha 40.000 MT/Th Non Asosiasi Asosiasi/Aprobi Production Capacity: 4,2 million KL INDONESIA WIND MAP TOTAL RESOURCES : 9 000 MW TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY: 1. 8 MW Yogyakarta Wind Farm Project Phases I & II (50 MW) Sidrap Wind Farm Project Phases I II & III (70 MW) Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare SOLAR ENERGY POTENTIAL Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare TOTAL RESOURCES : 4,80 kWh/m2/day TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY: 22. 45 MW HYDRO POWER POTENTIAL TOTAL RESOURCES : 75 670 MW TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY: 6 650 MW Sumber : • Direktorat Jenderal Ketenagalistrikan • *)RUPTL • Statistik EBTKE Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare 1. Political supports… 2. Capital & technology…. 3. Experiences… 4. Cultures... 5. …. ESDM untuk Kesejahteraan Rakyat www.esdm.go.id Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare