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Energy Security in South and South-West Asia:
Energy Security in South and South-West Asia: Mr Prabhat Kumar Joint Secretary (ES & ITP), Ministry of External Affairs, India Chair, South and South-West Asia Consultation Meeting Expert Group Meeting Sustainable Energy Development in Asia and the Pacific 21-23 November 2012, Bangkok South and South-West Asia: Energy Access and Availability SSWA Energy Characteristics 2500 Geothermal, solar etc 0% Hydro 1% Nuclear 1% 120 Source: IEA (2009) Coal and Peat 28% Biofuels and waste 19% Energy Consumption per capita (kgoe/capita) 3000 Energy mix 100 80 60 40 Natural gas 21% 20 Crude oil 30% Turkey Pakistan India Bangladesh Afghanistan 0 Nepal 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Energy consumption per capita (kgoe) 2000 Sri Lanka Maldives Bhutan Pakistan 4000 0 Nepal Sri Lanka 500 Maldives 6000 1000 Afghanistan 8000 1500 Iran Iran World India 10000 2000 Bhutan Turkey Bangladesh 12000 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 2500 0 Level of electrification (%) Source: World Bank (2009) HDI HDI Income per capita (in 2005 US$ PPP) 14000 Per capita energy consumption and Source: UNDP (2011), UN (2012) HDI 3000 0.8 Energy Consumption Energy consumption vis-à-vis income level Source: UN (2012); UNESCAP (2012) Energy security and sustainable energy in SSWA Energy security challenges • Energy for lighting needs More than half of the population of South Asia has no access to modern forms of energy. Iran and Turkey are in better situations. Decentralized power - Renewable energy-based decentralized electricity solutions are a priority. - R&D on establishment of smart mini grids and related pilot initiatives. - Adoption of best practices on deployment of biomass gasifiers for power generation, and use of solar lanterns for unelectrified and semi-electrified households. • Energy for cooking Traditional biomass: inefficiency, health and safety hazards. Clean lifeline energy to all - Dissemination of clean cookstoves that use less firewood and reduce indoor pollution. - In order to ensure availability of appropriate energy supplies, service delivery and affordability, need to promote knowledge exchange for better understanding of rural/urban contexts, penetration of sustainable energy, and better targeting of subsidies. Supplementing conventional supply with renewable energy - Biomass: - Cleaner use of traditional fuels is a policy priority. India’s lead in development of clean cookstoves and biomass gasifiers provides an opportunity for technology dissemination. - Solar and wind: - India’s manufacturing base in solar PV modules and solar thermal systems, can be employed for Renewable Energy advancement in the region. - Small hydro: - Run-of-the-river projects in water-abundant regions; minimize externalities of hydropower generation. Sharing of good practices from SELCO India, LABL, Solar Home Systems (Bangladesh), amongst others. Collaborative clean tech development: Institution of clean fossil fuels and renewable energy fund with differential contributions. Possibilities for Subregional Energy Cooperation in SSWA Beginning to exploit potential of regional cooperation for energy security Energy security Energy challenges – – – – – Exponentially growing demand, energy poverty, lack of supplies, poor energy infrastructure High import dependence for fossil fuels Complementarities across region in terms of demand- supply mismatches which can be optimized through grid connections and cross-country pipelines Some energy interconnections have taken place, some are in process Development of regional energy markets in SSWA through creation of regional energy grids and crosscountry pipelines as a part of the incipient Asian Energy Highway South and South-West Asia Energy interconnections Central Asia Turkey Afghanistan Exports Exports & Imports Proposed connection Nepal Islamic Republic of Iran Pakistan India Maldives Bhutan Bangladesh Sri Lanka 9 Agenda for energy cooperation Up-scaling isolated, scattered experiments Need for an investor-friendly resource atlas for the subregion Support for application oriented R & D Capacity building to access international funds Focus on the energy-development -sustainability nexus Addressing energy poverty as a dimension of socio-economic vulnerability … Agenda for energy cooperation Pursue joint techno-economic evaluation of opportunities, and determination of prerequisites, for instance, synchronization of grids and land acquisition for transmission right-of-way. Develop project-specific legal/institutional arrangements that lend credibility to initiatives and provide assurance. Support from multilateral institutions such as World Bank, ADB and UNESCAP Infrastructure projects: increase stakeholders, spread risks, build investor confidence and ensure government backing for projects in risk-prone areas Lessons learned: Southern Africa Power Pool, Nord Pool, and power trade in Europe: significance of domestic reform, operation and pricing protocols as part of a transmission policy, and a regional coordination body. Outcome of the SSWA subregional consultation meeting South and South-West Asia Subregional Consultation Meeting • • • • 6-7 November 2012 Secretariat plus 31 participants Presentation of background study prepared by TERI Participants adopted a Chair’s summary 13 Chair’s summary The participants highlighted the following key issues in regards to energy security and sustainable use of energy in South and South-West Asia. • The participants noted that South and South-West Asia is characterized by a diversity in national energy profiles. Given the high dependence on imports of hydrocarbons (except Islamic Republic of Iran), their economic dynamism will imply rising fuel import bills in the future. In addition, there is an uneven distribution of energy resources and a large proportion of the population of the subregion remain without access to modern energy services. • The priorities of poverty reduction and the productive use of locally available energy resources are perceived as key drivers to improving access to modern energy services. 14 Chair’s summary • The subregion is also endowed with substantial renewable energy resources that play a small but increasing complementary role, and has the capacity to diversify energy sources using locally available wind, solar, hydropower and biomass resources. However, countries highlighted the technical, commercial and market risks in harnessing these resources. • Institutional mechanisms differ across the member States of the subregion, although at the same time, regional cooperation initiatives such as the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) and the IranPakistan/Iran-Pakistan-India (IP/IPI) gas pipelines and cross-border power grids provide an opportunity for enhancing energy security 15 Chair’s summary 1. The participants agreed that the lack of access to modern energy services is a key dimension of deprivation and poverty in the subregion. With over 450 million people in South and South-West Asia without access to electricity, adequate and sustainable access to energy for all is a not only an essential development goal itself but is necessary for the achievement of all the other internationally agreed development goals including the Millennium Development Goals and the SAARC development goals. 2. The participants noted that affordability was an aspect of energy access given widespread poverty in the subregion. Very often subsidies need to be seen in that context. 3. The participants stressed the need for improved availability of information on energy reserves and clean energy potential (both in terms of renewable energy deployment and energy savings). 16 Chair’s summary 4. 5. 6. In view of demand-supply mismatches and complementarities across countries in the subregion, the participants recognized the large potential for power inter-connections and gas pipelines in the subregion and highlighted this as a crucial area for subregional/inter-subregional collaboration. The participants emphasized the need to promote international energy trade and development of regional power markets in line with the vision of an Asian Energy Highway. The countries of South and South-West Asia recognized the importance of an integrated energy market in the region and developing of energy infrastructure for this purpose and expressed concern that any extraregional influences can compromise the energy security of the region. Participants recognized that the creation of a subregional knowledge management system is perceived as an important mechanism. This would help in sharing and upscaling isolated, scattered good practices in the domain of energy security and the sustainable use of energy. 17 Chair’s summary 7. 8. 9. The participants noted that exploitation of opportunities of regional cooperation in energy requires substantial investments for development of energy infrastructure such as power grids and pipelines. Investments could be facilitated through public-private partnerships (PPP), foreign direct investment (FDI) and other multilateral financial institutions. The participants called for improved access to finance, environmentally sound technologies and technology transfer as important factors to deliver sustainable use of energy. The participants highlighted the need for technology incubation centres that would provide support for application-oriented R&D and help stakeholders from the subregion develop targeted energy solutions in the areas of renewables, smart grids, sustainable consumption, energy conservation and network-loss reduction. 18 Chair’s summary 10. Participants recognized existing and ongoing intergovernmental and regional initiatives of SAARC and BIMSTEC for energy cooperation including the proposed SAARC Intergovernmental Framework Agreement for Regional Energy Cooperation and the SAARC Energy Ring and expressed the hope that these are expedited and pursued in a timebound manner. 11. The participants recognized the special problems facing the mountain countries, least developed countries (LDCs), landlocked developing countries (LLDCs) and small island developing states (SIDS) in their efforts towards sustainable energy development and called for increased attention for their national capacity building and appropriate energy efficient technology transfer. 12. The participants were requested to provide comments on the draft background study to ESCAP South and South-West Asia Office (ESCAPSSWA, [email protected]) by 15 November 2012. The authors of the study were requested to incorporate the comments as much as possible and submit a revised draft which will be shared with the participants. 19 Thank you. 20 Thank you. 21