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Gary Palmer Critical Point Consulting 1
Gary Palmer Critical Point Consulting 1 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Intellectual Property This document is the Intellectual Property of Critical Point Ltd This document is supplied for the personal use of the recipient and is not to be copied, edited, transmitted or broadcast in part or in whole without the prior permission of Critical Point Ltd. 2 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk What do we mean by ‘Project Failure’? Late Over Budget Below Specification Below Quality 3 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Why do we need to change? - 1 Late Over Budget Below Specification Below Quality 4 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Why do we need to change? - 2 Productivity & Throughput: Often Low Excessive Wastage Slow Progress Costly 5 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Why do we need to change? - 3 Business Impact: Product Expensive Late to Market Customer Dissatisfaction Reputation Project Failure & Slow Costly Projects Cripples Business 6 Why do we continue to have poor project performance? 1. The traditional methods in use, VIRTUALLY GUARANTEE these results. 2. We have not had a viable alternative. Until now… 7 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Chain Project Management CCPM Statistics: Project Delivery: 90%+ on time Project Completion: 20% - 50% Faster Productivity: 20% - 60% Increase Throughput: 50% - 200% Increase Without increasing resources 8 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk How Does CCPM Deliver These Improvements? By resolving: Endemic problems in Traditional Proj. Mgmt 9 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk What is CCPM? ‘A set of interlinked techniques and tools that work individually and collaboratively to significantly improve the processes and operation of scheduling and execution in project, programme and portfolio environments’ 10 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk What is CCPM? ‘A set of interlinked techniques and tools that work individually and collaboratively to significantly improve the processes and operation of scheduling and execution in project, programme and portfolio environments’ Techniques: Working practices, Behaviours Tools: Processes, Software 11 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk What is CCPM? ‘A set of interlinked techniques and tools that work individually and collaboratively to significantly improve the processes and operation of scheduling and execution in project, programme and portfolio environments’ Individually: Resolve a specific problem Collaboratively: In unison to support the whole 12 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk What is CCPM? ‘A set of interlinked techniques and tools that work individually and collaboratively to significantly improve the processes and operation of scheduling and execution in project, programme and portfolio environments’ Improvements: Efficient processes Faster operation 13 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk What is CCPM? ‘A set of interlinked techniques and tools that work individually and collaboratively to significantly improve the processes and operation of scheduling and execution in project, programme and portfolio environments’ Scheduling: Optimum, realistic schedule Effective contingency protection Execution: Efficient working practices Excellent progress visibility, focus, control 14 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk What is CCPM? ‘A set of interlinked techniques and tools that work individually and collaboratively to significantly improve the processes and operation of scheduling and execution in project, programme and portfolio environments’ Projects: Single projects Programme: Multi-project Portfolio: Enterprise-wide 15 Traditional Project Management The Five Elements of Failure So, what are the problems in Traditional Proj. Mgmt.? Deadline Schedule Task-Level Contingency Poor Measures & Control Critical Path Multi-tasking 16 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management The Five Elements of Failure Deadline Schedule Task-Level Contingency Poor Measures & Control Critical Path Multi-tasking 17 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management Task Deadline Scheduling – Planning to Fail 09/09 22/09 23/09 1/10 13/10 Planned Completion 13/09 1/09 09/09 10/09 10/09 22/09 14/09 15/09 14/09 15/09 23/09 22/09 23/09 20/09 21/09 03/10 04/10 30/09 1/10 09/10 13/10 15/10 06/10 07/10 13/10 Attempt to impose a Rigid construct on a Variable situation Actual dates will always change … and will need constant and continued updating 18 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management Task Deadline Scheduling – Planning to Fail Shouldn’t early and late finishes balance out? Usually not. 19 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management Task Deadline Scheduling – Planning to Fail Potential Early Finish Deadline Date Task Missed Time-Saving Parkinson’s Law – ‘Work expands to fill the time available’ 20 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management Task Deadline Scheduling – Planning to Fail Late Finish Adds Time Planned 5 days 7 days Early Finish Gain Lost ✓ 3d 5 days ✓ 5 days 5 days 5 days ✓ 5 days 5 days 2 days added to schedule No benefit to schedule Parallel Converging Tasks tied to schedule dates Losses Accumulate - Gains Don’t …And the schedule moves out 21 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management Task Deadline Scheduling – Planning to Fail Summary Dates attempt a rigid structure on a variable situation Parkinson’s Law often prevents early finishes Losses increase time and costs, not offset by gains Schedule is guaranteed to require frequent changes Project end-date slip is almost inevitable 22 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Chain Project Management The Five Elements of Success CCPM Schedule Task-Level Contingency Poor Measures & Control Critical Path Multi-tasking 23 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk 09/09 22/09 23/09 13/09 1/09 09/09 10/09 10/09 22/09 14/09 15/09 14/09 15/09 23/09 22/09 23/09 20/09 21/09 1/10 03/10 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk 13/10 04/10 30/09 1/10 09/10 13/10 15/10 06/10 07/10 13/10 Why use dates if we know that they are going to change? 24 CCPM Schedule 09/09 13/09 1/09 30/12 10/09 No Internal Due Dates / Deadlines Schedule is used only as a Dependency Chart Each task completes asap and next task is started No schedule updating necessary 25 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Schedule Potential Early Finish Deadline Date Task So now, without deadlines to fuel Parkinson behaviours, 26 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Schedule Potential Early Finish Deadline Date Task So now, without deadlines to fuel Parkinson behaviours, Our potential Early Finish… 27 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Schedule Potential Early Finish Task So now, without deadlines to fuel Parkinson behaviours, Our potential Early Finish… 28 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Schedule Actual Early Finish Task …can become a reality. 29 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Schedule Saves time across the whole project 30 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Schedule Shorter Task Execution = Reduced Time & Costs Faster and Cheaper Projects 31 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Schedule Summary No internal due dates Work carried out on an ‘as soon as possible’ basis ‘Relay Race’ Early finishes reduce timescales & cost Flexible structure for a variable environment No due-dates mean no schedule dates to update 32 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management The Five Elements of Failure CCPM Schedule Task-Level Contingency Poor Measures & Control Critical Path Multi-tasking 33 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk www.criticalpoint.co.uk Task-Level Contingency Confidence in own ability Familiarity with technology Familiarity with task Interruptions Multi-tasking Complexity of the task How Much Contingency? Known Unknowns Specification Stability Easy Life Fear of Failure Estimate chopping Confidence in Spec. Unknown Unknowns 34 Task-Level Contingency Effect 1- An Extended Schedule Self-protection encourages fat estimates A project may contain > 50% embedded contingency 35 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Task-Level Contingency Effect 2 – Student Syndrome Scheduled Start Deadline Date Work Contingency Actual Start Initially plenty of contingency No incentive to start immediately Start deferred 36 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Task-Level Contingency Effect 2 – Student Syndrome Scheduled Start Deadline Date Work Actual Start Contingency decreased 37 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Task-Level Contingency Effect 2 – Student Syndrome Scheduled Start Deadline Date Work Other work Big Problem Maybe another task is required / preferred Now no contingency left and work is rushed Then a big problem surfaces… 38 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Task-Level Contingency Effect 2 – Student Syndrome Scheduled Start Deadline Date Work Other work Big Problem And now we have a task over-run… 39 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Task-Level Contingency Effect 3 – Unprotected Project End-Date Planned Completion Delayed Completion If on a Critical Path task = project over-run 40 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Task-Level Contingency Effect 4 - Unmanaged Time 41 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Task-Level Contingency Effect 4 – Unmanaged Time Where is the contingency? How do you measure and manage it? 42 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management Task-level Contingency Task-Level Contingency - Problem Cascade Self-Protection leads to Inflated ‘Localised’ Estimates which generate Long, Over-padded Schedules which encourages Parkinson’s Behaviours and Student Syndrome which results in Slow and Costly Projects which are still Unprotected From Delays and which have Hidden, Unmanaged Contingency 43 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Chain Project Management The Five Elements of Success CCPM Schedule Project-Level Contingency Poor Measures & Control Critical Path Multi-tasking 44 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Project-Level Contingency Traditional Task-Level Contingency (Review) High Levels of Embedded Contingency 45 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Project-Level Contingency Remove task-level contingency 46 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Project-Level Contingency Remove task-level contingency Task Estimates have no in-built contingency Estimates are based on ‘Aggressive-but-possible’ task times 47 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Project-Level Contingency Remove task-level contingency Shorter Task Durations & much reduced timeline No space for Parkinson or Student Syndrome But where is our contingency now? 48 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Project-Level Contingency Aggregate Contingency Project Commit Date Project Buffer Buffer protects the Project – not individual tasks Provides the project Commit Date 49 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Project-Level Contingency Project Protection Project Commit Date Project Buffer Critical Task over-runs are absorbed by the Buffer The Project ’Schedule’ remains unchanged The Project Commit Date is not affected 50 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Project-Level Contingency Project Protection Project Commit Date Buffer Status Project Buffer Buffer Status shows the impact on contingency And we are able to measure and manage our contingency 51 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Project-Level Contingency Project Protection Project Commit Date Buffer Status Project Buffer If a Critical Task finishes early… The time saved is ‘added back’ into our contingency Buffer Status always shows the latest position 52 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Project-Level Contingency Project-Level Contingency Cascade Aggregated Uncertainties are built into a Project Contingency which results in Streamlined Schedules with Visible, Manageable Contingency which prevents Parkinson’s Behaviours and Student Syndrome which results in Fast and Efficient Projects which are Protected From Delays and Do not require Schedule Changes 53 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management The Five Elements of Failure CCPM Schedule Project-Level Contingency Poor Measures & Control Critical Path Multi-tasking 54 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management Critical Path – A dangerous path to follow? Task E Task A Task B Task F Task G Task H Task I Task C Task D Task J Critical Path ignores resources Critical Path based ONLY on task dependency & duration Valid only in an environment without resource constraints But what happens if we have resource contentions? 55 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Path Problems Resource Contentions Task E Task A Task B Task F Task G Task H Task I Task C Task D Task J 56 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Path Problems Post–CP Resource Levelling Task F Task E Task A Task B Task H Task I Task C Task D Task G Task J Levelling resolves the issue… but increases timescales And the vision of the Critical Path dominates …and so tactical manoeuvres soon start... 57 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Path Problems Avoidance Tactics 1- Multi-Tasking Task E Task H Task A Task B Task D Task J Quality may be reduced Predictability becomes less certain Work becomes fragmented and control less easy But because Multi-tasking takes longer… 58 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Path Problems 2 - Overtime Task E Task H Task A Task B Task D Task J …Extra hours need to be worked Scheduling becomes difficult And Control starts to ebb away 59 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Path Problems Slippage Task E Task H Task A Task B Task D Task J Multi-tasking is high risk High potential for slippage Diminishing returns due to staff morale / burnout Schedule long since become unmanageable 60 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Scope Cut Scope Cut Critical Path Problems Scope Cut Task E Task A Task B Scope Cut Task H Task D Task J Last resort to hit target date is a Scope Cut May cause work in other areas Further degrades quality ‘Project Meltdown’ 61 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Path Cascade Traditional Project Management Critical Path Problems Ignoring Resources Contentions leads to an Incorrect Dependency Path often with Unrealistic Completion Dates and Misleading Priorities which encourages a spiral of Fire-fighting tactics which leads to an Out of Control Project with an Unstable Schedule which needs Frequent Changes 62 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Chain Project Management The Five Elements of Success CCPM Schedule Project-Level Contingency Poor Measures & Control Critical Chain Multi-tasking 63 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Critical Chain 1. Build Dependency Network As Normal Task E Task A Task B Task F Task G Task H Task I Task C Task D Task J Include Resource Requirements 64 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Critical Chain 2. CCPM Software - Resource Levelling Task E Task H Task A Task G Task F Task B Task I Task C Task D Task J Prevents over-allocation of resources 65 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Critical Chain 3. CCPM Software - Identify the Critical Chain Task E Task H Task A Task G Task F Task B Task I Task C Task D Task J CCPM treats Resource Constraints as dependencies… …which changes the project priority path Priority sequence ‘jumps’ to resource dependencies A realistic critical sequence – The Critical Chain 66 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Chain / Critical Path Comparison Task E Task H Task A Task G Task F Task B Task E Task I Task C Task F Critical Chain Task D Task J Task G Critical Path Task H Task A Task B Task C Task I Task D Task J 67 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Critical Chain Critical Chain Cascade Including Resources Contentions leads to a Correct Dependency Path with Realistic Project Duration and Realistic Priorities which provides a Project Under Control with a Stable Schedule that Does not need changes 68 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management The Five Elements of Failure CCPM Schedule Project-Level Contingency Poor Measures & Control Critical Chain Multi-tasking 69 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management Multi-tasking: The Illusion of being productive Time Without Multi-tasking: Task 1: 9 days With Multi-tasking: 3d 3d Task 2: 9 days Task 3: 9 days Day 9 3d 27 Days Day 23 3d • Everything is late. Task 1: +14 days late(+155%) Task 2: + 8 days late (+42%) Task 3: +2 days late (+22%) 3d 3d 3d 3d 3d 29 Days • Nothing gets completed until day 23. 2 days added to overall duration. Quality likely to be poorer. 70 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Summary Traditional Project Management Multi-tasking: The Illusion of being productive It slows everything down It reduces quality It wastes time and costs more It is bad for morale It complicates scheduling & control It removes planning predictability It causes delivery delays Multi-tasking; The SINGLE best way… …to screw up TWO JOBS. 71 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Chain Project Management The Five Elements of Success CCPM Schedule Project-Level Contingency Poor Measures & Control Critical Chain Single-tasking 72 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM - Task Management Single Tasking One task only worked on at a time No interruptions Dedicated work until complete 73 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Single Tasking The reality of being productive Time Without Multi-tasking: Task 1: 9 days Task 2: 9 days Task 3: 9 days 27 Days Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Single Tasking Can Multi-tasking be removed? ‘Good’ Multi-Tasking Non-Project / background, no dependencies or deadlines. Training/education. QA tasks. Flexi-time. ‘Bad’ Multi-Tasking ‘Double-booked’ on overlapping tasks. Covering Additional / Support roles. ‘Ugly’ Multi-Tasking Personnel allocated simultaneous project tasks. Endemic, cultural. 75 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Single Tasking Summary It improves quality It reduces time & money spent It simplifies scheduling & control It enables planning predictability It is good for morale It speeds everything up 76 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management The Five Elements of Failure CCPM Schedule Project-Level Contingency Poor Measures & Control Critical Chain Single-tasking Multi-tasking 77 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management Progress Measurement Use of ‘Percentage Complete’: Report to expectation – no bad news to give Can’t be challenged – only task owner knows Often simply aligned with time used Optimism that time can be pulled back Reality is often ignored - An easy place to hide 78 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management Progress Measurement Measurements - Percentage Complete, Time / money used / left Position against base line, Milestones achieved… What do they tell us? How much time/money used - Retrospective What do they tell us about the future? Very little… What is the Only Question PM’s get asked? 79 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management Progress Measurement Are we on target? What do we really need to know? How exposed are we? Have we got enough safety in hand? Is there a trend? Is it upward or downward? Should we be taking any action? Where should we be taking action? 80 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Summary Traditional Project Management Progress Measurement Often not a true / realistic picture Real Status / safety contingency is hidden False sense of schedule security Leads to persisting ‘90% complete’ / late-emerging issues Can cause major / incorrect re-scheduling Doesn’t answer the Big Question 81 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Chain Project Management The Five Elements of Success CCPM Schedule Project-Level Contingency Good Measures Visible Control Critical Chain Single-tasking Multi-tasking 82 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Progress Measurement CCPM Progress Reporting: Frequent – daily Is task complete? If not, how much task-time left remaining? 83 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Progress Measurement ‘Critical Chain’ Completed ✓ A E B C ✓ ✓ F D Critical Chain completed reported into CCPM software 84 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Progress Measurement Contingency Buffer Usage A E F +3 B C +3 D ✓ 85 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Progress Measurement Contingency Buffer Usage Buffer Used Buffer Remaining +3 +3 A E F +3 B C +3 D ✓ Task C has no effect on buffer 86 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Progress Measurement Contingency Buffer Usage Buffer Used Buffer Remaining +3 +3 +5 A E F +3 B C +3 D +5 Early report from task D that an additional 5 days will be required This report also feeds into the Buffer usage Provides early notification of expected position 87 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Progress Measurement Now we have two key measurements: Amount of critical work completed: Critical Chain How much contingency remaining: Project Buffer Put these two together… 88 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Progress Measurement The Fever Chart Singular Objective Predictive Easily interpreted Auto constructed Up-to-date Immediate 89 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Progress Measurement Summary - 1 Daily Reporting: Progress is always up-to-date Project position is always up-to-date 90 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Progress Measurement Summary - 2 ‘Remaining Duration’ Reporting: More accurate / realistic picture Focusses the task worker Real Status / safety contingency is visible Persisting ‘90% complete’ syndrome banished Prevents late-emerging issues 91 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Progress Measurement Summary - 3 Fever Chart: Combined view of progress and contingency Trends provide early warning Objective, singular, visual, always available Prevents unnecessary schedule changes Answers the Big Question! 92 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Chain Project Management The Five Elements of Success So, have we fixed all of the problems? CCPM Schedule Project-Level Contingency Good Measures Visible Control Critical Chain Single-tasking Multi-tasking Yes – but not just 5 problems, CCPM fixes 2 more as well. 93 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk The Ever Changing Schedule 94 Traditional Project Management The Five Problems Task-Level Contingency Poor Measures & Control Deadline Schedule Critical Path Multi-tasking What other problem is common to each of these? 95 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management Schedule Changes Task-Level Contingency Schedule Changes Poor Measures & Control Deadline Schedule Critical Path Schedule Changes Schedule Changes Multi-tasking Schedule Changes Each individual issue causes schedule changes 96 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Schedule Stability Project-Level Contingency Rem. Duration Visible Control CCPM Schedule Critical Chain Single-tasking Each CCPM element fixes individual problems AND removes the causes of Schedule Changes 97 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Vicious Circles 98 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management Schedule Changes Task-Level Contingency Schedule Changes Poor Measures & Control Deadline Schedule Critical Path Schedule Changes Schedule Changes Multi-tasking Schedule Changes But…Not only does each problem area cause schedule 99 changes… Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management Schedule Changes Task-Level Contingency Schedule Changes Poor Measures & Control Deadline Schedule Critical Path Schedule Changes Schedule Changes Multi-tasking Schedule Changes Each individual problem area perpetuates others 100 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Traditional Project Management Self-Perpetuation Schedule Changes Task-Level Contingency Schedule Changes Poor Measures & Control Deadline Schedule Critical Path Schedule Changes Schedule Changes Multi-tasking Schedule Changes Locked-in to self-perpetuating systemic failure 101 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Schedule Stability Project-Level Contingency Rem. Duration Visible Control CCPM Schedule Critical Chain Single-tasking CCPM removes the causes of individual problems, constant schedule changes and systemic failure 102 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Seven Problems of Traditional PM… …and the Seven Solutions of CCPM Traditional v’s CCPM – Overall Summary Traditional Problems: CCPM Solutions: Deadline Scheduling Flexible Scheduling Task-Level Contingency Project-Level Contingency Critical Path Critical Chain Multi-tasking Single-tasking Poor Measures & Control Good Measures & Control Schedule Volatility Schedule Stability Problem Perpetuation Solution Constancy + Poor Work Environment + Good Work Environment = ‘Terminal Mediocrity’ = ‘Progressive Excellence’ 103 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Programme & Portfolio Myth Achieving Terminal Mediocrity on a Large Scale 104 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM in Programme and Portfolio Environments The Programme & Portfolio Myth 1. That the more projects you start, the more you will get done 105 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Overlapping Projects + Overloaded Resources Project 1 KR Project 2 KR KR Project 3 KR KR KR Key Resource Projects stopped by resource contention 106 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Overloaded Programme 1. Project Fragmentation Project 1: 9mths Project 2: 9mths Project3: 9mths 27 mths mth 9 mth 23 Project Fragmentation: 3mths 3mths 3mths 3mths 3mths 3mths 3mths 3mths 3mths 30 mths Overloading can lead to project fragmentation Fragmentation delays all projects 107 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Overloaded Programme 2. Increased Exposure to Change Project 1: 9 mths Project 2: 9mths Project3: 9mths 27 mths 9 mths 21 mths 3mths 3mths 3mths 3mths 3mths 3mths 3mths 3mths 3mths 30 mths Longer elapsed time gives more exposure time for changes Changes generate more work and extend projects Meanwhile unfinished work gets ‘rusty’ 108 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Overloaded Programme 3. Generates Multi-tasking Reality at Working Level Perception Project 1 Project 2 Project 3 Overloading creates multi-tasking at the working level Causes constant schedule changes Causes fighting for resources Slows all projects 109 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Overloaded Programme 4. Loss of Completion Predictability Plan Reality Project 1 ? Project 2 ? Project 3 ? Multi-tasking leads to Fragmentation Fragmentation makes completion unpredictable 110 Summary Traditional Project Management Overloaded Programme Project fragmentation causes delays Increased exposure to changes Drives multi-tasking Competition for Resources Loss of Planning Predictability 111 Critical Consulting Point Consulting Critical Point www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk The Programme & Portfolio Myth 1. That the more projects you start, the more you will get done’ … You won’t 112 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk The Programme & Portfolio Myth 1. That the more projects you start, the more you will get done … You won’t So what can we do to improve this? 113 CCPM in Multi-Project Environment: Maximising Throughput Recognise that: Increasing work in progress slows throughput Decreasing work in progress speeds up throughput 114 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM in Multi-Project Environment: Maximising Throughput ‘Reducing Work in Progress: Reduce & Limit ‘In progress’ projects to optimum ‘Stagger’ new project starts Implement a ‘Pull’ System: not a ‘Push’ System 115 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Overlapping Projects + Overloaded Resources “It’s all TOP PRIORITY” Project 1 KR Project 2 KR KR Project 3 KR KR KR Key Resource Projects stopped by resource contention 116 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Stagger Project Starts on Key Resource Project 1 KR Project 2 KR KR Project 3 KR KR KR Key Resource Stagger projects = faster completions 117 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Summary CCPM in Multi-Project Environment: Maximising Throughput Reducing WIP accelerates throughput Staggering starts reduces key resource contention Multi-tasking greatly reduced Competition for resources reduced Planning predictability restored Increased throughput improves profitability 118 Critical Consulting Point Consulting Critical Point www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk It’s what you finish… …not what you start. 119 CCPM Programme Management The Programme Fever Chart Singular Objective Predictive Easily interpreted Auto constructed Up-to-date Immediate Image copyright of Exepron used with permission from Dux Global Inc. Programme Fever Chart focusses on projects that need attention 120 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk The Evidence for CCPM 121 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Companies Using CCPM - 1 High Tech 3M Advasense Technologies Agilent Technologie AMCC AMD Avaya Avitronics Barco Bell Canada BT Radianz Computer Sciences Corp Cray, Inc. ECI Telecom Ltd. Eclozion Informatique Ericsson Estonian Telephone Fairchild Semiconductor Graftech Hewlett Packard Hitachi Computer Products Honeywell IBM Ismeca Europe Semiconductor ITT Canon L-3 Communication Systems LSI Logic Lucent Technologies Marvell High Tech / Medtronic, Inc. Microsoft Motorola Numonyx Philips Semiconductors Pioneer Qualcomm RSA Security SanDisk Sapient Seagate Technology LLC Sony Ericsson Spirent Communications Sprint Sun Microsystems Symbian Tadiran Spectralink Tektronix TT Technologies Tundra Semiconductor Workscape Xerox Corporation Business Education Ashridge Management College Project Management Institute London Business School + Over 160 Universities Life Sciences Abbott Labs Adirondack Surgery AHIS-St. Vincent Health AMGEN Andover Healthcare Inc. Arterain Medical Baxter Boston Scientific Central Dupage Health Bovis Pharmaceuticals Converge Medical Inc. Cytori Therapeutics, Inc. Edwards Lifescience Ethicon Gambro Healthcare GlaxoSmithKline Johnson & Johnson Medtronic Merck Medco Managed Care Pfizer Pharmacia Roche Diagnostics Spectranetics Tenet Health Care Tyco Healthcare United Behavioral Health Vascore Medical 122 Ventana Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Companies Using CCPM - 2 Aerospace and Defense Aerojet Corporation Air Force Institute of Tech. BAE Systems The Boeing Company General Dynamics Halliburton ITT Space Systems Lockheed NASA Northrop Grumman Portsmouth Naval Shipyard Puget Sound Naval Shipyard Raytheon SAAB Avionics US Air Force Consumer Products Coca-Cola Colgate Palmolive Del Monte Foods Fonterra Gillette Heineken IKEA Kraft Foods McKee Foods Nike Philip Morris Industrial ABB Accoat Advanced Energy Technology Alcan Alfa Lava American Rubber Products Applied Plasmonics AREVA Atomic Energy of Canada . Balfour Beatty Bimba Manufacturing Bosal Bosch Rexroth Ltda. Brice Manufacturing BVR Technologies Company C.F. Roark Welding. Callaway Golf Celite Corporation s Conoco Corning Cable Systems Cueros Industrializados DaimlerChrysler UK Danfoss Delta Faucet Company Detroit Diesel Reman-West DuPont Eastman Kodak Company Industrial/ ExxonMobil Chemical Fisher Controls Fluid Brasil Sistemas Fluke Corporation Fuel Cell Energy GE Industrial Systems Hach Honda ITT Corporation Kawasaki Heavy Industries, M&M Precision Systems Marshall Industries Merichem Chemicals Milwaukee Forge Rail care Raychem Rolls Royce Siemens Sylvania Unilever Tata UPC Technology Volvo Source:TOC International, Gatlinburg, 123 TN. Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Some Results: Japanese Government After having used it in 2,523 public works projects in 2007 and over 4,000 public works projects in 2008, the Japanese government has recommended that critical chain project management “be used on all projects henceforth (approximately 20,000 projects per year).” 124 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Professional Recognition Association for Project Management APM Body of Knowledge. "An alternative to creating networks based on activity dependencies is to use a technique called critical chain. This method considers the availability of resources and the interdependencies between resources.“ - APM Body of Knowledge 6th edition (2012) p 155 Project Management Institute PMI Body of Knowledge “Critical chain is a schedule network analysis technique that modifies the project schedule to account for limited resources. Initially, the project schedule network diagram is built using duration estimates with required dependencies and defined constraints as inputs. The critical path is then calculated. After the critical path is identified, resource availability is entered and the resource-limited schedule result is determined. The resulting schedule often has an altered critical path.” PMI BoK 4th edition. Ch 6 Time Management p.155 125 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Professional Recognition Conference Presentation Critical Chain Project Management using Microsoft Project 2010 and Prochain: Implementing Project Portfolio Management. The Theory of Constraints International Certification Organization (TOCICO) is a global not-for-profit certification organization for TOC practitioners, consultants and academics to develop and administer certification standards, and facilitate the exchange of latest developments. TOCICO has run an international conference for the past 8 years. 126 CCPM Potted History Development: Result of many years of continuous development Based on Theory of Constraints (TOC) 1980’s Needed software to be truly viable Software to slow to develop Now several good software products Key Publications by Eliyah Goldratt: 1984 'The Goal' – TOC in manufacturing 1997 ‘ Critical Chain’ - Applying TOC to project management 127 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk CCPM Implementation Not just software! Often considerable culture change Requires education throughout company People need time to get used to new working methods No ‘Big Bang’ Start with single project ‘Pilot’ Progress to Multi-project (Programme) Progress to Portfolio (Organisation) 128 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Last Word ‘Critical Chain Project Management presents us with an opportunity to plan projects well for maybe the very first time. We should make sure that we break with our old traditions of how we have done things in the past, and replan our projects from scratch. But planning is only half the story. The real power of CCPM comes from the control afforded during the execution or deployment of the job. Buffer status and buffer management allows us unprecedented feedback on the progress of the project and where to focus attention and where not. And maybe this is the most important factor in the whole approach. We have a totally new and systemic way to manage projects. We should make the very most of this opportunity.’ Dr. Kelvin Youngman 129 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk Critical Point Consulting Over 15 years experience of implementing CCPM in Multiple companies / Multiple industries Consider what CCPM could do for your organisation Contact Critical Point Consulting for a CCPM overview presentation at your company [email protected] 01892 506881 130 Critical Point Consulting www.criticalpoint.co.uk