THE ROLE OF MONGOLIA FOR DEVELOPMENT OF NORTHEAST ASIAN SUPER GRID
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THE ROLE OF MONGOLIA FOR DEVELOPMENT OF NORTHEAST ASIAN SUPER GRID
The 3rd Northeast Asia Energy Security Forum THE ROLE OF MONGOLIA FOR DEVELOPMENT OF NORTHEAST ASIAN SUPER GRID Chadraa Batbayar, Ph.D Head of Ministerial Task Team on Asian Super Grid E-mail: [email protected] The Plaza, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 17 December 2015 Contents Mongolian energy sector and energy resource Energy policy and legal environment Renewable energy cooperation in North East Asia MONGOLIAN ENERGY SECTOR AND ENERGY RESOURCES Energy Sector of Mongolia Central energy system (CES) 5 coal fired thermal plants (987.3 MW) and connected to the Russian energy system which covering energy demand of Ulaanbaatar city, and 14 provinces (70% of total population). West energy system (WES) Connected to the Russian energy system and Durgun hydro power plant (12 MW) which covering energy demand of 3 provinces. East energy system (EES) Coal fired thermal power plant which covering energy demand of 2 provinces. Altai-Uliastai energy system (AUES) 6 hydro power plant (14 MW) and Diesel generators which covering energy demand of 2 provinces. South region 2 coal fired thermal plants (27 MW) and connected to the Chinese power system which covering energy demand of Oyutolgoi copper mine deposit. CES WE S The Plaza, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 17 December 2015 EE S AUES South Sustainable power generation and supply in Mongolia Installed Capacity of Power Generation, Total- 1178 MW Electricity Generation by Plant Types, 2014 Generation, Million. kWh Percentage 5191.3 96.3% Diesel 8.2 0.2% Hydro 66.3 1.2% Wind and Solar 126 2.3% Total 5392 100.00% Type of PP Wind & Solar, 53.7 MW, 5% Combined Heat and Power (CHP) Plant Hydro, 28 MW, 2% Diesel, 46 MW, 4% CHP, 1050.3 MW, 89% Source– National Statistical Committee 5 The Plaza, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 17 December 2015 Renewable energy in total energy consumption RE percentage: RE quantity: 2008 0.1% 4.9 million kWh The Plaza, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 17 December 2015 2014 3.6% 192.3 million kWh Energy resource of Mongolia (coal and wind) Preliminary estimates of geologists, geological reserves of coal in Mongolia is more than 160 billion tons, which includes Mongolia, one of the 10 countries of the world, with large coal reserves. Mongolia has potential to be a major wind power producer. Mongolia has enormous wind power resources; Good-to-excellent wind resources equivalent to 1,100 GW of wind electric potential. The Plaza, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 17 December 2015 Energy resource of Mongolia (solar) An annual average amount of solar energy is 1,400 kWh/m2/y with solar intensity of 4.3-4.7 kWh/m2 per day. About 300-330 sunny days per year with an average sunlight duration of 2,250-3,300 hours are available in most of the territories of Mongolia. The Plaza, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 17 December 2015 Energy resource of Mongolia (geothermal and hydro) There are over 40 indications of geothermal manifestations from those biggest springs such as Tsenkher, Khujirt, Taragt and Shargaljuut located in the Khangai region, may be used for energy production purposes There are 3800 small and big streams and rivers in Mongolia, and available power could be 6417.7 megawatts, which will deliver 56.2 billion kWh of electric energy in a year. Mongolian Gobi Desert is the best platform for Field test and Operation for Asian Super Grid Project The Plaza, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 17 December 2015 ENERGY POLICY AND LEGAL ENVIRONMENT Government policy and programs on energy development Name of Documents Approved Update and Status Legal frameworks 1 Energy Law of Mongolia 2001 2011 and 2015 2 Concession Law 2010 - 3 Renewable Energy Law of Mongolia 2007 2015 Development programs 4 State Policy on Energy 2015 - 5 “100000 Solar Ger” National Program 1999 end 2012 6 Program on Integrated Power Energy System 2002 2007 and end 2015 7 National Renewable Energy Program 2005 end 2015 2012 - Action plan 8 Government Action Plan 2012-2016 State Policy on Energy (2015-2030) Expected Results In the 1st stage 2015-2023: The stage to develop energy safety resources and backup capacity, establish a foundation for the development of renewable, enhance normal documents and improve legal environment. The installed power capacity will be doubled, and start using critical technology with high parameters. Hydro will be taken place at least 10% of the total installed power capacity and it will increase backup capacity to 10%, and create fundament for renewable sector to development intensively, enhance tariff system. In the 2nd stage 2024-2030: The stage to export secondary energy and develop sustainably the renewable sector. The backup capacity of power system will be reach at 20% and share of renewables will be reach at 30%. Integrated smart energy system will be created by connecting regions with high capacity transmission lines. State owned Power companies will be become a public company. Distribution and supply service will be privatized and energy sector will be worked as a competitive marked with regulation. Secondary energy will be exported by connecting with North east Asian countries with high capacity DC lines. The Plaza, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 17 December 2015 State Policy on Energy (2015-2030) 2014 он /Base year/ -10% 3% -16.22 % 14.4 % 1st stage /by 2023 / 10 % ≤ 10 %≤ 0% 11.2% 2nd stage /by 2030/ 20% ≤ 15 % ≤ 5% 9.14 % Transmission & Distribution Loss /excluding Oyutolgoi/ 13.7% 10.8% 7.8% Share of Renewables on total Installed Capacity for Domestic Supply 7.62% 20% 30% 0.52 ton СО2 equivalent 0.49 ton СО2 equivalent 0.47 ton СО2 equivalent 0% 20% 40% CFB Sub Critical Coal Bed Methane, Battery Energy Storage, Pumped Storage Super Critical, Ultra S/Critical, Hydrogen, Concentrated Solar Plant Indicators of criteria Reserve Capacity for Electricity Generation Reserve Capacity for Heat Generation in Cities Profit Share on Tariff Structure in Central Region Own Use of CHP’s Greenhouse Gas Emission per 1 Gcal Power Generation Reduction of Building Heat Loss Technological Achievements that have to be utilized in Energy Sector The Plaza, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 17 December 2015 Amendment of Law on Energy Purpose: Enhance legal environment for investors in energy sector of Mongolia Amendments: Utilization of Natural gas /coal bed methane/ • Definitions • Regulation to relating matters for gas supply infrastructure Interagency Relationship • Obligation of National Dispatching Center Independent Power Producer and its regulations Power Purchase Agreement and its regulations Interrelationship between supplier and consumer • Obligation The Plaza, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 17 December 2015 Law on Renewable energy Purpose: Promotes and supports the production of energy from renewable sources by regulating electricity pricing. January 11, 2007 • Feed-in tariffs (FIT) for renewable power sources Type of Energy Capacity Wind Grid Off Grid Hydro Tariff /USD/ 0.08-0.095 Up to 5 MW 0.045-0.06 Solar 0.15-0.18 Wind 0.1-0.15 Solar 0.2 – 0.3 • Law was recently updated by Parliament in June 19, 2015 • New term – “Encouraging tariff” /gap between feeding tariff and consumer’s tariff The Plaza, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 17 December 2015 Amendment of Law on Renewable energy Purpose: Enhance financial situation of single buyer model of Power sector and ensure feeding tariffs in the Law on Renewable Energy Amendments: New term – “Encouraging tariff” /gap between feeding tariff and consumer’s tariff / • Definitions • Regulation to relating matters in tariff system Power Purchase Agreement and its regulations • Regulation to relating matters The Plaza, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 17 December 2015 Renewable energy cooperation in North East Asia Sustainable Energy for All (SE4ALL) Global initiative led by SecretaryGeneral of the UN. Its objectives of: Universal access to modern energy services. Doubling energy intensity improvements between today and 2030. Doubling the global share of renewable energy by 2030. REmap - 2030 It introduces the link between REmap 2030 and the SE4ALL initiative, as well as the knowledge gaps that this study closes in view of the requests from the IRENA Member States and the SE4ALL objectives. The Plaza, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 17 December 2015 International cooperation on resource based regional energy trade Coal Based Renewable based On-Site Electricity Production for Purpose of Export. – Solar and Wind Rich Resources Gobi Area - Gobi Tec and Asia Super Grid Initiative Abundant thermal coal resources • Shivee-Ovoo brown coal deposite • Aduunchuluun brown coal deposite • Tavantolgoi and Gashuun Sukhait hard coal deposites – China, Korea, Japan lead its Electricity demand growth in the region The Plaza, Seoul, Republic of Korea, 17 December 2015 WORLDWIDE INTEGRATION ASIA SUPER GRID: WORLDWIDE INTEGRATION INITIATIVES SUB REGIONAL INTEGRATION • ASEAN Power Grid and Energy Market Integration • SAARC Energy Ring and Market for Electricity • CASA 1000 and Central Asia-South Asia Regional Electricity Market • Greater Mekong Sub-region Power Market • North-East Asian Super Grid and Gobitec • Unified Energy System of Central Asia NORTH EAST ASIA INTEGRATION INITIATIVE Policy Advisory Technical Assistance for Mongolia’s Strategy for Northeast Asia Power System Interconnection In 2013, the Government of Mongolia requested the Asian Development Bank (ADB) to provide policy advisory technical assistance (TA) to prepare the country’s strategy for Northeast Asia power interconnection, and it is included in Mongolia’s country operation and business plan (COBP) 2014–2016 The total cost of the TA is estimated at $1,750,000 which will be financed on a grant basis by other trust fund and administered by ADB. A $750,000 funding from multidonor clean energy fund under the Clean Energy Financing Partnership Facility, $500,000 funding from the PRC’s Regional Cooperation and Poverty Reduction Fund, $500,000 from the Republic of Korea’s e-Asia and Knowledge Partnership Fund. Project processing and implementation is tentatively scheduled as follows: Commencement of TA : II January 2015 TA completion : III January 2018 THE TA AIMS • Develop a power system interconnection road map for Mongolia, which can contribute to the realization of the Northeast Asian power system integration in the future. • The TA will conduct a comprehensive and analytical study to assess power system interconnection in the Northeast Asia sub-region, which includes technical, economic, legal, and institutional assessment to identify opportunities and barriers that each country, as well as the sub-region as a whole may face; • Develop Mongolia’s strategy and its action plan detailing investment plan and approaches to attract private and/or public investment for transmission system including high voltage direct current lines and further power system interconnection; • Organize knowledge sharing and consensus building activities on the Northeast Asia power system interconnection through international workshops and conferences (i.e., Mongolia, Peoples’ Republic of China, Republic of Korea, Japan, and Philippines); and (iv) stimulate key institutions and support their initiation of a regional knowledge and investment platform. Agreements for International Consortium 6th November, 2012 (Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia) The Government of Mongolia hosted the first regional conference on the power system interconnection in November 2012, which was attended by representatives from non-governmental organizations, research institutes, and private sectors from the subregion 27‐28th November, 2012 (Jeju,Korea) GOBITEC & ASG MOU signed March 2013 between ENERGY CHARTER SECRETARIAT (ECS) ENERGY ECONOMICS INSTITUTE OF THE REPUBLIC OF KOREA (KEEI) ENERGY SYSTEMS INSTITUTE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION (ESI) MINISTRY OF ENERGY OF MONGOLIA (MOE) JAPAN RENEWABLE ENERGY FOUNDATION (JREF) The planned installed capacity of roughly 100 GW is a very large project size. The overall cost for the project is estimated to be around 293 billion US dollars, with yearly maintenance and system cost of 7.3 billion dollars. Jan 2014 SREP INVESTMENT PLAN FOR MONGOLIA Upscaling Rural RE: Western Region 1 DARHANUUL HOVSGOL UVS BAYANULGII DZAVHAN SELENGE DORNOD ULAANBAATAR KHOVD GOVI-ALTAY 19 soums, population of about 80,000, capital city Ulangoom. BULGAN ARHANGAY GOVI-ALTAYOVORHANG AY UVS HENTIY 2 SUHBAATAR DUNDGOVI BAYAN-ULGII 13 soums, population of about 100,000, capital city Olgiy. DORNOGOVI OMNOGOVI 3 KHOVD 17 soums, population of about 90,000, capital city Khovd. Upscaling Rural RE: Western Region 20 MW of Solar PV 1 MW small Hydro rehabilitation 5 MW of Wind Power Shallow Ground Heat Pumps (5 locations) Upscaling Rural RE: Western Region • Western region has abundant renewable energy resources (hydro, wind, and solar) • Renewable energy deployment is the highest priority for sustainable power supply and reduce heavy dependence on electricity import SREP Financing Plan (US$ million) Private Sector MDBa SREP Total ADB WB ADB WB GoM TOTAL Investment Plan Components PHASE 1 - TRACK 1: Upscaling Rural Renewable Energy 1. Solar PV power plants 2x10 MW - 24.8 12.4 12.4 11.4 11.4 1.0 48.6 2. Wind energy plant 1 X 5 MW - - - - 11.5 - 0.5 12.0 3. Small hydropower development X 1 - 1.2 1.2 - - - 0.1 1.3 4. Shallow Ground Heat Pumps x 5 - 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.1 1.1 5. Technical assistance - 1.5 1.0 0.5 - - 0.2 1.7 - 28.5 15.6 12.9 22.9 11.4 1.9 64.7 Subtotal PHASE 1 - TRACK 2: Strengthening Renewable Energy Regulations 6. Technical assistance for ERC and NDC Subtotal - 1.2 - 1.2 - - 0.1 1.3 - 1.2 - 1.2 - - 0.1 1.3 29.7 15.6 14.1 22.9 11.4 2.0 66.0 tbd - - - 35.0 - 3.5 38.5 tbd - - - 42.1 - 4.2 46.3 tbd 29.7b 15.6 14.1 100.0 11.4 9.7 150.8 PHASE 1 TOTAL PHASE 2 7. 8. Scale up / replication in WES and AuES (20 MW) Scale up / replication in EES (30 MW) PHASE 1 and 2 TOTAL TRILATERAL MEETING OF PRESIDENTS OF MONGOLIA, RUSSIAN FEDERATION AND THE PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF CHINA On 11 September 2014, a trilateral meeting was held between President of Mongolia Tsakhiagiin Elbegdorj, President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin and President of the People’s Republic of China Xi Jinping in Dushanbe. At the meeting, parties discussed to coordinate Mongolian “Steppe Road” project with Chinese “New Silk Road” and other relevant projects of Russian Federation. 14th SCO Summit, Dushanbe, 11 Sep 2014 “... Mongolia deems itself a shortest and key transit infrastructure for Russia by the means of exit from Europe to Asia and for China as an outlet from Asia to Europe…” The President of Mongolia Ts. Elbegdorj TRILATERAL MEETING BETWEEN THE HEADS OF STATE OF MONGOLIA, RUSSIA AND CHINA (SCO summit in Dushanbe on September 11 , 2014) “... China and Russia have already established 750 MW of 500 kilovolt power transmission network. We are currently studying the feasibility of building a transnational power grid. Furthermore, the discussion of establishing a three-party power plant is open and Mongolia’s participation in the China-Russia energy cooperation is ready to be discussed …” The President of the People’s Republic of China Xi Jinping TRILATERAL MEETING BETWEEN THE HEADS OF STATE OF MONGOLIA, RUSSIA AND CHINA (SCO summit in Dushanbe on September 11 , 2014) “... It is possible to transmit power lines through the territory of Mongolia, if the Chinese and Mongolian sides are interested. It might be decided based on economic benefits and other calculations …” The President of the Russian Federation Vladimir V. Putin TRILATERAL MEETING BETWEEN THE HEADS OF STATE OF MONGOLIA, RUSSIA AND CHINA (SCO summit in Dushanbe on September 11 , 2014) As of 2014, the operational UHV circuits are: Length Name (Chinese) Type Transmission capacity (GW) Voltage (KV) (km) Year Jindongnan–Nanyang–Jingmen (晋东南-南阳 UHVAC -荆门) 1000 640 5.0 2009 Huainan–Zhejiang North-Shanghai(淮南-浙 UHVAC 北-上海) 1000 2x649 8.0 2013 Zhejiang North - Fuzhou(浙北-福州) UHVAC 1000 2x603 6.8 2014 Yunnan - Guangdong(云南-广东) UHVDC ±800 1373 5 2009 Xiangjiaba–Shanghai(向家坝-上海) UHVDC ±800 1907 6.4 2010 Jinping – Sunan(锦屏-苏南) UHVDC ±800 2059 7.2 2012 Nuozadu - Guangdong(糯扎渡-广东) UHVDC ±800 1413 5 2013 Hami – Zhengzhou(哈密-郑州) UHVDC ±800 2192 8 2014 Xiluodu - Zhejiang West(溪洛渡-浙西) UHVDC ±800 1653 8 2014 Total length 13741кm Transmission capacity 59.4GW Name (Chinese) Type Voltage (KV) Length (km) Transmission capacity (GW) Expected year Huainan–Nanjing-Shanghai(淮南-南京- UHVAC 上海) 1000 2x780 Xilingol League - Shandong(锡盟-山东) UHVAC 1000 2x730 Inner Mongolia West - Tianjin(蒙西-天津 UHVAC 南) 1000 2x608 2016 Yuheng - Weifang(榆横-潍坊) UHVAC 1000 2x1049 2017 Ningxia East - Zhejiang(宁东-浙江) UHVDC ±800 1720 8 2016 Shanxi North–Jiangsu(晋北-江苏) UHVDC ±800 1119 8 2017 Jiuquan–Hunan(酒泉-湖南) UHVDC ±800 2383 8 2017 Xilingol League–Jiangsu(锡盟-江苏) UHVDC ±800 1620 10 2017 Shanghaimiao–Shandong(上海庙-山东) UHVDC ±800 1238 10 2017 Length 14414 км Transmission capacity 78GW Total length 28140 кт 2016 9 2016 High voltage grid is coming!!! CONCLUSION • Mongolia wishes to be RE export country to supply clean electricity to neighboring countries in the future, • Mongolia will start preparing power interconnection road map, and building coordination framework with China, Korea, Russia, and Japan, with ADB TA to be commenced in early 2016 • After successful completion, strongly recommend to each Governments for political decision MINISTRY OF ENERGY Thank you for your attention Address: Khan-Uul district, Chinggis avenue, Government building Phone: + (976) 99093511 Website: www.energy.gov.mn