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V. Ferrari Cascina March 4th, 2014 Note (preliminari) sull’incontro “INFN:What next?” Roma, 7-8 aprile 2104, Sent by A. Masiero Innanzitutto, cosa NON vuol essere questo incontro: un workshop sul futuro della fisica di area INFN in Italia e nel mondo in cui si invitano esperti per darci lo status e le prospettive; due giornate del piano decennale INFN, o qualcosa del genere in cui si guarda allo sviluppo delle linee di ricerca scientifico-tecnologica e delle infrastrutture INFN nel prossimo decennio. Questo incontro vuole rispondere in profondita’ a una sfida precisa: 2) Sessione GW – ma alla fine c’e’ o non c’e’ il “no-lose theorem”: o nel ’16 abbiamo visto le GW (e quindi abbiamo vinto, (o almeno chi le ha viste per primo ha vinto), o nel ’16 non le abbiamo viste e allora la GR e’ messa in crisi (e quindi abbiamo vinto)? – Ammesso che nel ’16 le abbiamo viste, e poi che si fa? Si va (o meglio l’INFN e’ interessato ad andare) verso la “GW"astronomy – osservatorio di onde gravitazionali, es. verso l’ Einstein telescope visto che di Lisa se ne parlera’ nel’30...? – Come estrarre nuova fisica dalla GW astronomy? Relic density di GW? MASIERO: about the “no-lose theorem”: either by ’16 (or later) we have a GW detection and therefore we “win”, or, there is no detection and consequently General Relativity has a serious flaw (and we “win” again) main target: NS-NS coalescence NS-NS evolve according to General Relativity, emitting GWs: there is a clear, observational evidence PSR 1913+16, PSR J0737-3039 This is a weak field evidence (v/c ≈ 10-3 , M/r << 1). The signal is described by a sinusoid with amplitude and frequency increasing according to a well known law up to a few orbit before merging, where strong field effects take over. Corrections computed using alternative theories of gravity are very small and do not affect the main features of the inspiral part of the signalsignal. If the coalescing source is within the detector horizon it must be seen, no question about that. MASIERO: about the “no-lose theorem”: either by ’16 (or later) we have a GW detection and therefore we “win”, or, there is no detection and consequently General Relativity has a serious flaw (and we “win” again) The question posed by Masiero sould be refrased as following : what if, running the detectors for a few years, we do not see any signal from coalescing binaries. The only uncertainty concerns the coalescence rate of compact binaries in a given volume of space. these uncertainties arise - from the small sample of observed galactic binary pulsars - from poorly contrained population-synthesis models - from the lack of knowledge in a number of astrophysical parameters, such as the pulsar luminosity distribution, or evolution processes, as the common envelope phase in binary evolution. These uncertainties lead to estimates of coalescence rates which may differ by 1-2 orders of magnitude The question posed by Masiero sould be refrased as following : what if, running the detectors for a few years, we do not see any signal from coalescing binaries. Estimates of coalescence rates differ by orders of magnitude SNR=8 dH=33 Mpc dH=161 Mpc dH=445 Mpc dH=2187 Mpc LIGO/Virgo collab. Classical and Quantum Gravity, 2010 No detection over a few years of data taking would mean that there is something deeply wrong in the way we model the process of stellar evolution and interaction in galaxy populations MASIERO: If by ’16 GWs have been detected, what do we do next? Shall we go for (or better, is INFN interested in going for) a GW astronomy? Gw detection will certainly open a new observational window on the universe, and one of the main outcomes will be what we call gravitational wave astronomy. But this is not the only goal of the GW-enterprise: we want to test and explore gravitational interations in a strong field regime, where they have never been tested . We want to probe the behaviour of matter at densities of the order of 1015 gr/cm3, typical of the inner core of neutron stars, unreachable by experiments in a laboratory these goals are in the main stream of INFN’s interests and purposes: Masiero: La missione dell’ente e’ lo studio della fisica dei costituenti fondamentali e delle loro interazioni, facciamo WHATNEXT perche’ vogliamo andare avanti su questa strada. MASIERO: GW observatory? shall we go for the Einstein telescope (given that for LISA we will have to wait until 2030?) ? - How to extract new physics from GW astronomy? GW relic density ? MASIERO: there are two complementary needs: 1) consolidate already explored physics which, however is not completely understood, and 2) open new routes These issues and questions are related. I will discuss them giving a teoretician’s point of view Some open issues in astrophysics/nuclear physics on which GWs would shed light Within 5 years of operation, advanced detector network should confirm whether NS-NS or NS-BH mergers are progenitor of Short Gamma Ray Bursts Detection of signals from NS-NS or NS-BH close to merging would set constraints the equation of state of matter in the interior of a neutron star, i.e. at densities well above the nuclear saturation density Advanced detectors could also observe weak galactic sources such as neutron stars with an ellipticity of ε ∼ 10−9- 10−7 (with spin frequencies in the range 0.1-1 kHz) Which is the mechanism through which supernova explode? AdV Virgo/LIGO could observe, for the first time, NS-BH and BH-BH binaries. Although radio, x-ray and gamma-ray observations could soon discover a NS-BH system, observation of a stellar-mass BH-BH system is most likely to come from GW observations. BH-BH systems could be observed up to z ∼ 0.45, with rate of many tens per Some open issues in astrophysics/nuclear physics on which GWs would shed light Within 5 years of operation, advanced detector network should confirm whether NS-NS or NS-BH mergers are progenitor of Short Gamma Ray Bursts Detection of signals from NS-NS or NS-BH close to merging would set constraints the equation of state of matter in the interior of a neutron star, i.e. at densities well above the nuclear saturation density synergy of Advanced detectors could also observe weak galactic sources such as neutron stars with an ellipticity of ε ∼ 10−9- 10−7 (with spin frequencies in the range 0.1-1 kHz) multi-messenger astronomy Which is the mechanism through which supernova explode? AdV Virgo/LIGO could observe, for the first time, NS-BH and BH-BH binaries. Although radio, x-ray and gamma-ray observations could soon discover a NS-BH system, observation of a stellar-mass BH-BH system is most likely to come from GW observations. BH-BH systems could be observed up to z ∼ 0.45, with rate of many tens per year (up to Some open issues related to cosmology (but not only) on which GWs would shed light Compact binaries are standard sirens that could be used to precisely measure the luminosity distance to a source without the aid of any cosmic distance ladder. Additionally, if one can also identify their host galaxies and measure their red-shifts, then one could infer the cosmological parameters, i.e. the Hubble parameter, dark matter and dark energy densities, as well as the dark energy equation-of-state parameter. ET and eLISA will be crucial for this issue How did supermassive BHs sitting at the centre of many galaxies form? How did they grow? Advanced LIGO/Virgo, ET, eLISA, will allow to measure the mass distribution of coalescing compact binaries (from NS-NS to BH-BH at any mass scale). With this information we will validate the models of formation and evolution of binaries as a function of redshift for a given cosmological model, and all the physics involved gravitational wave background generated by galactic and extra-galactic populations of GW sources. Estimates of the extra-galactic background are based on assumptions on the source initial mass funtion, on the star formation rate history, on the signal modeling, all to be tested The cosmological stochastic background of GW is an unique window on the very early Universe, as GWs propagate uncorrupted to us from cosmic events occurred at the highest temperatures and densities, potentially up to the GUT scale 1016 GeV. The detection of any such background would have huge consequences for fundamental physics, possibly giving us direct indications of inflation, phase transitions or formation of topological defects. Virgo/LIGO already ruled out some proposed models LIGO-Virgo coll. Letters to Nature 460, 2009 Open issues in fundamental physics on which GWs would shed light Do gravitational waves travel at the speed of light ? Does the graviton have mass? if mG ≠ 0, the wave propagation speed is vG ≈ 1- λ/ λG for λ<< λG , λG =Compton wavelenght Irrespective of the alternative theory which predicts a massive graviton, the phasing of a coalescence signal would be distorted because of the shifted time of arrival Δt ≈ D (- λ/ λG )2 Open issues in fundamental physics on which GWs would shed light Do gravitational waves travel at the speed of light ? Does the graviton have mass? Are there more than two transverse modes of propagation? Does gravity couple to other dynamical fields, such as, massless or massive scalars? Is Lorentz invariance exact? What is the behavior of gravity in dynamically evolving space-times? What is the structure of space-time just outside astrophysical black holes? Do their space-times have horizons? Are they described by the Kerr metric (i.e. by general relativity)? Do black holes have no-hair? coalescing binaries + Black Hole quasi-normal modes would provide the answer … AND MUCH MORE WILL COME FROM UNKNOWN SOURCES!