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Invecchiamento della popolazione e fenomeni sociali
Seminario I.N.R.C.A. Ancona, 14 marzo 2008 Invecchiamento della popolazione e fenomeni sociali correlati Antonio Golini Sapienza, Università di Roma e Accademia dei Lincei [email protected] L’allungamento della vita è stato negli ultimi decenni così intenso e rapido da superare qualsiasi previsione o proiezione che era stata fatta negli ultimi decenni secolo scorso. In particolare, come è ben noto, non si è allungata la durata massima della vita umana dei singoli individui, nel senso che resta assolutamente straordinario il raggiungere o superare i 110 anni, ma si è allungata la durata media della vita di una intera popolazione essendo stata eliminata quasi completamente la mortalità precoce, ed essendo quindi diventato straordinario il numero di persone che riesce a superare gli 80 , 90 anni. Length of life (years) by major development groups, 1950-55/2005-10 Major areas 1950-55 2005-10 difference %difference More developed regions – MDR 66.1 76.5 +10.4 +16 Less developed regions LDR 41.1 65.4 +24.3 +59 Difference MDR less LDR 25.0 11.1 Europe 65.6 74.6 +9.0 +14 Africa 38.4 52.8 +14.4 +38 Asia 41.4 69.0 +27.6 +67 Difference Europe-Asia 25.2 5.6 Source: our elaboration on UN, World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, New York, 2007 Popolazione 60 anni e oltre (milioni). Africa, Ue 27, Russia, Cina e India. 1950-2005 e proiezioni al 2050 (variante media) 450 AFRICA UE 27 Russia Cina India 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 Fonte: elaborazione propria su dati Onu, World Population Prospects. The 2004 Revision, New York, 2005 2050 2045 2040 2035 2030 2025 2020 2015 2010 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 1965 1960 1955 1950 0 Popolazione 15-59 anni (milioni). Africa, Ue 27, Russia, Cina e India. 1950-2005 e proiezioni al 2050 (variante media) 1.200 AFRICA UE 27 Russia Cina India 1.000 800 600 400 200 Fonte: elaborazione propria su dati Onu, World Population Prospects. The 2004 Revision, New York, 2005 2050 2045 2040 2035 2030 2025 2020 2015 2010 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 1965 1960 1955 1950 0 Popolazione 0-14 anni (milioni). Africa, Ue 27, Russia, Cina e India. 1950-2005 e proiezioni al 2050 (variante media) 600 AFRICA UE 27 Russia Cina India 500 400 TFT (numero medio figli per donna) 300 Africa Europa Russia Cina India 200 100 Fonte: elaborazione propria su dati Onu, World Population Prospects. The 2004 Revision, New York, 2005 2050 2045 2040 2035 2030 2025 2020 2015 2010 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 1965 1960 1955 1950 0 2000-05 4,98 1,40 1,33 1,70 3,07 2045-50 2,52 1,83 1,85 1,85 1,85 Current and future aging of the population: it will be unavoidable, but less rapid where it is currently more intense and vice versa. Percentage of 60+ at 2006 and its increase between 2006 and 2050 Δ% 60+ 350,0 2006-2050 300,0 Africa America Latina 250,0 Asia 200,0 Mondo Oceania 150,0 Nord Amertica 100,0 50,0 Europa Italia 0,0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 % 60+ 2006 Fonte: elaborazione propria su ONU, 2006 A synthesis of the population aging, 2006 e 2050 Population 60+ Countries or area Millions 2006 2050 Percentage of total population 2006 2050 2006 to 2050 increase mln 2050 Percentage in labor force, about 2006 men women More developed regions 248 400 20 32 152,0 61,0 22 11 Less developed regions 440 1,568 8 20 1,1 256,0 50 19 40 171 5 10 131,0 328,0 71 37 World 688 1,968 11 22 1,3 186,0 40 16 Africa 49 193 5 10 144,0 293,9 64 32 Asia 375 1231 9 24 856,0 228,3 48 18 Europe 152 225 21 34 73,0 48,0 15 7 America Latina and Caribbean 51 189 9 24 138,0 270,6 46 16 Nord America 57 118 17 27 61,0 107,0 29 18 Oceania 4,7 11,9 14 25 7,2 153,2 26 12 Italia 15 21 26 41 6,0 40,0 13 4 Least developed countries Fonte: elaborazione propria su ONU, 2006 Un approfondimento del processo demografico che caratterizzerà il XXI secolo: l’invecchiamento della popolazione e della forza lavoro. Una sfida per le società e le economie, ma anche una opportunità per il business Età massima individuale alla morte 110 in 1973 (first supercentenarian, a woman from Lazio) 111 in 1991 (a man from Calabria) 112 in 2002 (a man from Sardinia) 113 in 2003 (a woman from Puglia) Barbi et al. (2005) E. Barbi: “Il prolungamento della vita umana: realtà, prospettive, problemi” Sopravviventi su 1000 nati vivi Italia 1961 2004 Variaz. Variaz % 60 anni M 768 906 138 18 60 anni F 849 950 101 12 80 anni M 286 527 241 84 80 anni F 415 724 309 75 Anni attesi di vita residua Italia 1961 2004 Variaz. Variaz % 60 anni M 16.7 21.4 4.7 28 60 anni F 19.3 25.8 6.5 34 80 anni M 5.7 7.8 2.1 37 80 anni F 6.4 9.8 3.4 53 Anni vissuti dopo l’età indicata Italia 1961 2004 Variaz. Variaz % 60 anni M 12.826 19.338 6.563 51 60 anni F 16.386 24.510 8.124 50 80 anni M 1.630 4.111 2.480 152 80 anni F 2.656 7.095 4.439 167 La malattia (% di persone con almeno 1 malattia cronica che dichiarano di sentirsi “in buona salute”, 2007) Italia 2007 M 2007 F Differ. Differ % 60-64 a. M 49.7 41.8 7.9 16 75+ a. M 23.3 20.5 2.8 12 La morte (morti di 90 anni e oltre per stato civile e sesso, 2004) Italia Single 2004 M 2004 F Distr.%M Distr.%F 1.610 8.132 5.6 11.8 Coniugati 11.128 2.235 38.6 3.3 Vedovi 15.970 58.094 55.4 84.5 101 262 0.4 0.4 28.809 68.723 100.0 100.0 10.6 25.3 Divorziati Totale % su totale morti Sopravviventi a 65 anni e loro ulteriore aspettativa di vita, Giappone,1951 e 2005, e Italia, 2003 Fonte: per il Giappone: http://www.ipss.go.jp/p-info/e/S_D_I/Indip.html Per l’Italia: Istat, Annuario statistico italiano 2006 Anno 1950-52 2005 Numero di Durata della Incremento Incremento sopravviventi vita residua totale in mesi per a 65 anni a 65 anni in anni ogni anno (su 1.000) (in anni) 1951-2005 di calendario Maschi 900 11.4 994 17.7 6.3 1.4 Italia 2003 850 1950-52 2005 908 996 16.8 Femmine 13.4 22.9 Italia 2003 922 20.6 9.5 2.1 LE PROSPETTIVE PER LA LONGEVITA’ DEGLI INDIVIDUI A. possibili discontinuità positive 1. successi sostanziali e ricorrenti nella ricerca di base (con particolare riferimento alla biogenetica e alle biotecnologie); 2. cure efficaci, semplici, economici e facilmente accessibili legate alle cellule staminali, all’ingegneria genetica e alle nanotecologie; 3. strumenti diagnostici ancora più efficaci e affidabili; 4. medicine testate su e prodotte per anziani e vecchi; 5. attività fisica lungo l’intera vita e maggior cura per il corpo; 6. più intensa attività preventiva legata a miglioramenti nella nutrizione e negli stili di vita. B. possibili discontinuità negative 1. effetti negativi di accumulo di fenomeni di inquinamento dell’aria, dell’acqua, del cibo; 2. effetti iatrogeni di medicine prese lungo decenni per contrastare le malattie croniche; 3. comparsa di nuove, inattese e impreviste epidemie (come può succedere o è successo per l’AIDS, per il virus H5N1, nuove forme di tubercolosi); 4. eccessiva “venerazione” del corpo; 5. accresciuta diffusione di droghe, doping, obesità soprattutto fra le giovani generazioni; 6. mutamenti climatici di larga scala; 7. insostenibilità del sistema di welfare legata all’invecchiamento della popolazione e/o crisi economiche. L’invecchiamento delle famiglie The coexistence of several generations in a household of a Western country and not only Una struttura della famiglia così invecchiata pone anche il problema di quale sia il contesto psicologico e sociale nel quale cresce il bambino, problema più che mai grande se i genitori sono separati o divorziati. E quindi in prospettiva si pone il problema di che tipo di genitori sapranno essere questi bambini (e in particolare che tipo di padri, per i figli di divorziati affidati quasi sempre alla madre). The multiplication of the coexistence of several generations The multiplication of one-child or childless (somebody now says childfree) families requires more and more the growth of an intra-generational solidarity among elderly, to be implemented side by side with the traditional inter-generational one A rough evaluation of three co-existent generations (population aged 20-24, 45-49, 70-74; in thousands), 1950-2050, Italy, France, China, India 45-49 70-74 Source: UN, World Population Prospects. The 2004 Revision (medium variant), New York, 2006 20-24 45-49 20 40 20 50 20 50 20 20 20 20 20 10 20 00 19 90 19 80 19 70 0,00 19 60 0,00 19 50 20.000,00 20 50 20.000,00 20 40 40.000,00 20 30 40.000,00 20 20 60.000,00 20 10 60.000,00 20 00 80.000,00 19 90 80.000,00 19 80 100.000,00 19 70 100.000,00 19 60 120.000,00 19 50 70-74 INDIA 120.000,00 20-24 20 40 CHINA 45-49 20 30 20-24 20 10 19 90 19 80 19 70 19 60 19 50 20 50 70-74 20 30 45-49 20 40 0,00 20 30 0,00 20 20 1.000,00 20 10 1.000,00 20 00 2.000,00 19 90 2.000,00 19 80 3.000,00 19 70 3.000,00 19 60 4.000,00 19 50 4.000,00 20-24 FRANCE 5.000,00 20 00 ITALY 5.000,00 70-74 Di alcune conseguenze biopsicosociali 1/3 Con l’allungamento della vita e la mobilità straordinariamente crescente, aumentano, in via formale e informale, sincronica e diacronica: 1. 2. 3. 4. Il numero di partner nella vita; Il numero di famiglie nella vita Il tipo e il numero di lavori nella vita; Il numero di residenze nella vita. Saper gestire, individualmente e collettivamente, queste straordinarie trasformazioni è, e sarà, questione fondamentale per il benessere psicofisico degli individui Di alcune conseguenze biopsicosociali 2/3 Con l’allungamento della vita e la mutata epidemiologia sanitaria e sociale sono destinati ad aumentare: 1. il numero e la proporzione di malattie (in particolare le varie forme di demenza) che richiedono particolare e prolungata assistenza; 2. il numero e la proporzione di morti per tumore e malattie cardiocircolatorie in età molto avanzata; 3. Il numero e la proporzione di disturbi cognitivi, anche severi; 4. Il numero e la proporzione di disturbi di personalità, legati fra l’altro alla possibile difficoltà individuale di gestire le ripetute e intense transizioni della vita (di cui si è detto prima); Di alcune conseguenze biopsicosociali 3/3 Con l’allungamento della vita e la mutata struttura della popolazione sono destinate ad aumentare: 1. La difficoltà di assicurare ai vecchi adeguata assistenza sanitaria e sociale (compresa quella burocraticoamministrativa), particolarmente complessa per le persone che vivono sole; 2. La difficoltà di adattamento, specie per le persone anziane e vecchie, a una crescente presenza di stranieri e a una crescente multiculturalità; 3. La difficoltà di assicurare ai giovani adeguate politiche per il loro sviluppo, per il rischio che le politiche fatte da anziani e vecchi tendano a proteggere eccessivamente loro stessi (il che in parte avviene già adesso con l’azione dei sindacati) 4. Le distanze fra le generazioni anche a causa della pervasive, massicce e continue innovazioni tecnologiche . Di alcune conseguenze socio-economiche Net financial position of the different age groups/cohorts in public administration accounts, Italy (data from Sartor, 2003) A tentative scheme of imbalance between a population of specific age-groups and human resources (i. e. teachers, paediatricians, geriatricians, nurses, etc.) (c) (a) (d) (d) (b) (e) (1) (2) Time (a) Possible trends in human and other resources according to a balance situation (b) Possible trends of young population (c) Possible trends of old population (d) Possible imbalances between demand and supply (e) Possible trends in human and other resources according to a balance situation Time Demography, aging and GDP GDP Employed WAP GDP = ------------- * ---------------- * ------------- * Population Employed Working Age Population Population |productivity| | economic components ||demographic components| Fonte: Leanza, 2005 Demography, aging and GDP GDP Employed WAP GDP = ------------- * ---------------- * ------------- * Population Employed Working Age Population Population 11,711.8 139.3 164.9 11,711.8 = --------- * --------- * -------- * 293.7 139.3 164.9 293.7 1,677.8 22.4 32.2 1,677.8 = --------- * --------- * -------- * 57.6 22.4 32.2 57.6 1.12 * 1.21 * 1.00 * 5.10 source: World Bank Employed in millions, 2004 source: USA, ILO; ITALY, ISTAT WAP (population. aged 2059) in millions, 2005 source: UN, population estimates Population in millions, 2004 source: World Bank USA ITALY 11,711.8 84.1 0.845 0.561 293.7 USA ------------ = --------- * --------- * ---------- * --------- ----------1,677.8 74.9 0.696 0.559 57.6 ITALY 6.98 = GDP (current US$) in billions, 2004 USA ----------ITALY Population by broad age group: less than 15, 15-59, 60 and over Italy, 1950-2050 medium variant) 40,0 35,0 30,0 25,0 20,0 15,0 10,0 5,0 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 0-14 12,4 12,2 12,4 12,7 13,2 13,4 12,6 11,1 6,9 6,3 6,1 6,0 6,1 6,0 5,8 15-59 28,9 30,3 30,9 31,8 31,9 32,4 34,3 35,1 35,7 35,9 35,5 34,9 33,8 32,7 31,2 29,0 26,5 24,1 22,5 21,6 20,8 6,8 7,6 8,7 9,6 9,6 10,4 13,8 15,4 16,7 17,9 19,0 19,9 19,2 18,2 60+ 5,8 6,2 9,0 12,0 8,6 12,8 8,2 7,9 14,4 7,4 16,0 6,1 19,8 Source: UN, World Population Prospects. The 2002 Revision (medium variant), New York, 2003 ITALIAN OLDER WORKERS: EXIT AGE + EMPLOYMENT RATE ARE TOO LOW Average exit age of labor force 64 Sweden Portugal 63 Switzerland Ireland 62 61 Finland Germany Italy 60 Lux. UK Netherlands Spain Denmark Ø=60.5 Czech Rep. Austria Greece 59 Hungary France Belgium 58 Slovakia Poland 57 Ø=41% 56 20 30 40 Stockholm Target* 50 60 70 Employment rates of older workers (% of pop. 55-64) *EU “Stockholm” target: increase employment rate of 55 – 64 year olds to 50% by 2010 Source: EU Commission; BfS; Avenir Suisse; Murray Gendell; US CRS; Team analysis Numero medio di ore lavorate per lavoratori di 50 + in alcuni paesi europei Fonte: indagine Share Figure 62 - European Working Women and Men and mean daily working hours 7 6.3 6.1 6 6 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.3 4 3.6 3 2.4 2 M F Aus M F Ger M F Svi M F Sve M F Fra M F Ola Source: the SHARE Project, Our Elaboration (2006) M Dan F M F Sp M F Ita M F Gre Aging of working age population and work force Il mercato del lavoro Una conclusione che dal versante demografico sembra chiara: in presenza di una più o meno forte attesa diminuzione della popolazione in età lavorativa, occorre lavorare tutti di più e più a lungo. Far crescere la produttività anche per questa via contribuisce a far crescere l’economia e quindi i posti di lavoro, pure di medio-alto profilo per i giovani, mantenendo alta l’occupazione dei giovani anziani EU DEMOGRAPHIC REVOLUTION IS ALREADY HERE In the next 10 years the EU will see dramatic growth in the older population, e.g. • Across Europe, for the first time, people over 40 will be in the majority (in Italy and Germany they will be 60% of the population) • France will have 20% more people aged 60+ • Spain and Germany will have 20-25% more in their 50s ... and many fewer young people e.g.: • Spain will see a 50% fall in people aged 20-35 (a 60% drop for 25-29 years) • Italy will have fewer people in literally every age group from birth to 44 years, with one quarter less in their 30s • The UK will see a big fall in 30s, early 40s (with a 20% drop in 35-45 year-olds) Source: International Labor Organization (ILO), Laborsta data base, Oct 2006 DEMOGRAPHIC CHALLENGE – COMPANY EFFECTS Some European Examples Air France: In 2002, it had 8,600 workers aged over 50. In 2010 it will be 16,500 BASF: Today 55% of the workforce are aged between 35 and 50, but in 2020 the large majority (two thirds !) will be 50 to 65 years old France Telecom 45% of the headcount in France is aged 46 to 54 (in fact, each of the 8 biggest age cohorts in the company are in exactly these ages) Some large European banks 60% of workforce is already aged between 40 and 65 Source: Press reports, May 2007 TAKE A LOOK AT OLDER PEOPLE 70 IS THE NEW 50 • HSBC study of 21,000 people aged 40 to 79 years, across 21 countries • Paid work. In OECD, 75% of people in their 50s and half in 60s have some Paid work for 70-year olds = 20% in USA, 1% in France (which is future?) • Rethinking retirement. Many more men + women in 50s, early 60s plan to: - “work as long as possible”, or to - “retire at the full pension age” • Older people feel healthier today. - People after 60 do things in past only for 40s / 50s e.g. sports, travel, sex - Only 8% of 70 year olds in OECD feel in poor health (3% Canada, 12% Germ) Il processo di invecchiamento della popolazione e il mercato del lavoro in Italia I risultati di due indagini: - su un campione di 1000 lavoratori da 50 a 70 anni e su 1000 pensionati da 50 a 70 anni (luglio-ottobre 2003); - su un campione di 175 aziende (novembre 2003-febbraio 2004) Policies and opinions Figure 7 – Companies according to evaluations about skills and aptitudes of younger and older workers (percentage values; end 2003 – beginning 2004) Q. 15: According to the company’s experience, compare younger (<35) and older (>50) personnel with respect to the aspects listed below more positive for younger workers adaptability to innovations 90,8 familiarity w ith IT 0.0 1.9 90,4 creativity 67,8 flexibility w ith different duties 0.1 59,7 general serviceability 8.2 42,4 group integration 7.5 33,4 6.6 total productivity 19,6 15.6 absenteeism 18,7 16.4 respect of hierarchy 17,6 w illingness to hard or repetitive tasks 17,1 w illingness to w ork overtime 37.3 35.4 14,2 35.4 level of attention 10,7 w illingness to help co-w orkers 12,1 general reliability 33.2 33.6 3,2 sensitivity tow ards company’s interests 39.8 6,4 accuracy 45.0 4,6 ability to lead 51.1 11,4 loyalty to the company 100.0 30.5 9,2 personal responsibility Source: survey data, Department of demographic Sciences and ISFOL more positive for older workers 64.3 1,8 75.0 50.0 25.0 65.4 0.0 25.0 50.0 NB: the 100 difference is represented by the ‘substantial equality 75.0 100.0 Training Figure 9a - Employed (aged 50-69) who have attended professional training and upgrading courses and period in which the course has taken place (percentage values; June-July 2003) Q. 13: During your professional career, have you been involved in professional training and/or upgrading activities? If yes, Q.13a: When does your last course date back to? 1-2 years ago 9.7% No 49.1% Yes 50.9% 2-5 years ago 8.4% Less than 1 year ago 21.1% 5-10 years ago 6.5% More than 10 years ago 5.3% Source: survey data, Department of demographic Sciences and ISFOL Desire of retirement Figure 12a - Employed workers opinion about their desire and motivations for retirement (percentage values; June-July 2003) Q. 20: If it would only depend on you, would you retire: Q. 21a: As soon as possible, and why? % I don’t know 8.2% As soon as possible 49.2% Provided that my economic conditions are suitable Regardless of my economic conditions Because of my work environment Total Q. 21b: As late as possible, and why? When my contract expires 25.2% As late as possible 17.3% Source: survey data, Department of demographic Sciences and ISFOL Provided that my work environment is favourable In order to reach better economic conditions Regardless of my economic conditions Total 66.4 17.7 15.9 100.0 % 38.3 31.6 30.1 100.0 Desire of retirement Figure 13 - The opinion of companies about their workers’ desire to anticipate retirement (percentage values; end 2003 – beginning 2004) Q. 22: Do you think that workers would like to anticipate retirement before achieving the legal retirement age? Yes, provided that they receive incentives from the company 40.4% Yes, they would do so anyway 18.2% I don’t know 19.1% No, generally they would not do so 22.4% Source: survey data, Department of demographic Sciences and ISFOL Età fino alla quale ci si ritiene capaci di lavorare Figure 14 - The opinion of employed as concern the age until which one mantains a full capability to work, by age Q.14: In your opinion, up to what age could a person at your age and with your work condition work efficiently? 60,0 50,0 40,0 30,0 20,0 10,0 0,0 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 50-54 8,8 2,1 0,9 0,0 55 -59 26,2 16,9 5,2 0,0 60-64 39,0 47,5 24,3 18,8 65-69 17,4 24,2 40,9 31,3 70 and over 8,6 9,3 28,7 50,0 Age group Respondents’ age Source: survey data, Department of demographic Sciences and ISFOL Alcuni elementi della strategia della Volkswagen per fronteggiare l’invecchiamento della forza lavoro (da una presentazione di Wilfried Kruger, manager-human resource Volkswagen Braunschweig, Milano, Seminario Adecco, febbraio 2006) Prejudice of „older deficit“ and influences restricted efficiency of older employees low flexibility through older employees high health-related absenteeism low motivation state of health of older employees high personnel expenditure „compartmentation“ and suppression of older employees assignment of older employees adding little value advancing productivity by „high-tech“- investment production just for young and fit employees lower qualification for older employees loss of knowledge and experts low performer discussion Early retirement programme - control cancellation agreement for older employees – high costs number of employees Volkswagen - Demografical development – forecast by 2024 average age: 45 250 average age: 38 200 2004 2024 150 problem: number of employees with healthy restrictions increases with older age 100 50 most restrictions: 0 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65 age of employees 77% 64% Employee age 53 to 61: 45-60% restrictions Employee age 30 to 40: 20-35% restrictions 49% posture (to carry) posture (to bend) posture (to stand) 45% working time human resource management – rethink-process/ influences since 1993: Instruments of human resource management •Time-bond Early possibility to leave work •Flexibility ledger with demografical saving accounts Working life account of positive overtime-balances in a year (unit-linked) •„Altersstafette“ Agreement to lower working time of older employees •occupational health promotion Lots of programes to keep work ability •Time for qualification (Auto5000) Longlife Learning / costs: 50% VW + 50% employees •„Personaleinsatzbetrieb“ To introduce flexible employment guarantee, for example work2work Personal responsibility + Provision of agreed and individualed services work2work – procedures / assignment Analysis with company physician healthy restrictions original production trans-sectoral production human resource, staff association, representative body for disabled employees, line manager, company physician individual contract of integration work-book personnel data profile of employee: human resource: -work ability -interests -qualification -skills Knowledge about possibilities of assignment data of working place special skills healthy restrictions fitnessprogram work2work – work-out programme cw 02 - 03 2006 time monday tuesday wednesday thursday 7:30 - 8:30am Pezziball (B) Volleyball Bodyfit (A) Volleyball Fantasy (R) 8:30 - 9:30am Qi Gong (R) Perineal gymnastics (A) Fitnesstraining (C) Qi Gong (R) Theraband (B) 9:30 - 10:30am Pezziball (B) Fitnesstraining (C) Volleyball Bodyfit (A) Qi Gong (R) 10:30 - 11:30am Volleyball Fantasy (R) Theraband (B) 11:30 - 12:30am Bodyfit (A) Fitnesstraining (C) Fantasy (R) Perineal gymnastics (A) Volleyball friday Qi Gong (R) Pezziball (B) 12:30 - 1:30pm Theraband (B) Qi Gong (R) Perineal gymnastics (A) Fitnesstraining (C) Fantasy (R) 1:30 - 2:30pm Volleyball Pezziball (B) Volleyball Fantasy (R) Bodyfit (A) aerobic (A) back exercises (B) cardiovascular gymnastics (C) relaxation (R) theory (TH) Alcuni elementi della strategia di altre aziende Da una presentazione di Peter Siderman, Managing Director, Adecco Institute Seminario Adecco, Torino, novembre 2007 DEMOGRAPHIC CHALLENGE – COMPANY EFFECT Audi cars Silverline Program The average Audi production worker is today aged 40 and in 5 years more than 1-in-3 workers will be aged 50+ years (at least 7,000 workers in Germany) Audi recently launched its Silverline Program, to find out how best to keep older workers productive and included Audi is increasing production of the new R8 sports car, and is focusing on older workers for this – because experience is better than physical fitness here The R8 production requires the same manual assembly process to be repeated every 46 minutes, versus every 1.5 minutes for typical Audi models Source: Press reports, May 2007 DEMOGRAPHIC CHALLENGE – CASE STUDIES CAREER MANAGEMENT ASDA (Wal-Mart) – UK One of the UK’s largest retailers, it values attracting mature workers. 20% of ASDA’s total 20,000 employees are over 50. ASDA offers flexible arrangements and benefits targeted at older workers: • “Benidorm leave” (three months unpaid leave from January to March) • “Grandparent leave” (a week unpaid after the birth of a grandchild). Flexible arrangements for older workers provide benefits, e.g. in high business periods, and performance gains (stores with a higher proportion of older workers have ~30% the average ASDA absenteeism rates) Source: CEO Forum Group DEMOGRAPHIC CHALLENGE – CASE STUDIES LIFELONG LEARNING VOEST ALPINE – Austria / Germany Voestalpine offers a Formula 33 training aimed at all age groups. 33 = 3 age groups (young, middle, old) and 3 types of training: - On the job (quality control, project leader, health and safety training) - Near the job (e-learning, job rotation, public speaking, train-the-trainer) - Off the job (trade fairs, field trips, seminars) Workers can invest 2% of their annual work time (~4 days) in personal or professional training Participation is acknowledged in people‘s annual performance review Since 2000, Voestalpine has hired nearly 3,000 staff and 17% are over 40 Source: Voestalpine HR manager presentation, April 27, 2007 DEMOGRAPHIC CHALLENGE – CASE STUDIES AGE DIVERSITY MANAGEMENT Storebrand - Norway One of Norway’s biggest banking and insurance groups, Storebrand supports diversity and equality of status for older workers. Storebrand policy initiatives include: • Ignoring age as a factor in both recruitment and down-sizing • Intranet pages specifically with information on “senior policy” • Workers aged 60+ can take 3 extra days off. • Employees aged 64+ may have shorter working days than others. • Workers aged 60+ have one hour physical training during the week. • Older workers have a special fund for studies • A “senior committee” covers flexible job arrangements and retirement planning Source: “Healthy Work in an Ageing Europe” Fare dell’invecchiamento un business La realtà di una popolazione che invecchia in Italia e in tutto il mondo può anche essere vista pensando alla popolazione anziana e vecchia come un enorme e crescente mercato che ha bisogni specifici sia di beni, sia di servizi. Investire, da parte delle aziende, nella produzione di tali beni e servizi può giovare alla economia italiana in termini generali e al benessere degli anziani e dei vecchi in termini specifici.